Adelaide Crows 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

Adelaide Crows sit at the bottom of the 2026 ATS ladder in 18th place with a dismal 2-12 record and 14.29% cover rate, well short of the 52.38% threshold needed to beat the bookies. They have started 10 times as favourites but covered just once in those games, while managing only one win from four starts as underdogs. The Crows have also leaned heavily toward the unders at 5-9 (35.71% overs), aligning with the league-wide trend where unders have hit 59.44% across the season.

This profile marks Adelaide as one of the least reliable sides for spread bettors. They have failed to generate value whether installed as favourites or dogs, making them a consistent fade candidate. The team’s only notable spread success came in round 10 when they demolished North Melbourne by 68 points to cover a -15.5 line by a 52.5-point margin, their largest cover of the year.

Recent form offers no relief. The same 14.29% ATS mark applies across both the last five and last 10 games, confirming a sustained cold streak rather than an early-season anomaly. League comparison underscores the issue: while even strong sides have struggled to cover as favourites (39.86% league-wide), Adelaide’s rate sits far below that benchmark.

Without meaningful quarter or half splits available, the clearest angle remains avoiding Adelaide on the spread entirely and continuing to monitor their unders lean, which has been the only consistent betting characteristic in an otherwise poor season for punters backing the Crows.