Brisbane Lions 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

Brisbane Lions sit 16th in the league for ATS results in 2026 with a dismal 5-10 record (33.33%). This falls well short of the 52.38% threshold needed to beat the books consistently. As heavy favourites in 12 of 15 games they covered just four times, while securing only one win from three starts as underdogs. The side has shown a mild lean toward overs at 8-7 (53.33%), contrasting the league-wide trend where unders have landed in 59.44% of games.

Brisbane’s profile is that of a poor betting proposition overall. They have struggled to cover both when installed as short-priced favourites and in the rare occasions they have been priced as underdogs. The totals market has been closer to a coin flip, offering little repeatable edge either way.

Recent form mirrors the season-long struggles, with the 33.33% ATS mark holding across the most recent windows. No sustained hot streak has emerged on either the spread or totals.

Quarter and half-time splits are unavailable, limiting deeper timing analysis. The standout betting result came in round 13 when the Lions covered a modest 10.5-point spread against Gold Coast by a 41.5-point margin in a 106-75 win. League-wide, favourites have covered at just 39.86%, yet Brisbane’s 33.33% mark still ranks among the weakest.

The clear takeaway is that Brisbane has offered limited betting value in 2026. Backing them ATS has been a losing angle regardless of role, while the slight over tendency lacks the sample size or consistency to exploit confidently.