Collingwood Magpies 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

Collingwood sit 11th on the ATS ladder at 8-8 (50%) for the 2026 season, falling just short of the 52.38% benchmark required to beat the bookmakers long-term. Their record splits unevenly: they have started as favourites in 10 games yet covered only three times, while securing two wins in six starts as underdogs. The Magpies have leaned heavily toward the unders at 10-6 (62.5%), a profile that aligns with the league-wide trend where unders have landed in 59.44% of games.

This season Collingwood have been a difficult side to back as favourites, covering just 30% of those matchups. Their value has appeared more as underdogs or in totals markets rather than spread plays when installed as short-priced sides. The standout result came in Round 7 when they dismantled Essendon by 77 points, covering a -16.5 spread by 60.5 points in a 137-60 victory.

Recent form shows a flat 50% ATS strike rate across both the last five and last 10 games, with no clear hot or cold streak emerging. Totals have continued to trend under in recent weeks, maintaining the season-long lean. Quarter and half-time splits remain limited for analysis, preventing firm conclusions on first-half or late-game biases.

The primary betting angle has been the consistent unders tendency combined with fading Collingwood when they are short-priced favourites. Their mid-table ATS rank and sub-40% cover rate as favourites suggest they have offered more value on the total than on the spread throughout 2026.