Essendon Bombers 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

Essendon sit 14th in the 2026 ATS rankings with a 7-10 record (41.18%), well below the 52.38% bookmaker threshold and offering little consistent value. The Bombers have operated almost exclusively as underdogs (16 dog starts, 1 win as dog) while covering zero of one start as favourites, confirming a profile that has failed to deliver when expected to compete. Totals have leaned heavily unders (11-6, 64.71%), aligning with the league-wide under rate of 59.44% but exceeding it in frequency. Their standout betting result came in Round 5 when covering a 25.5-point line against Melbourne by a 70.5-point margin in a 113-68 win. League-wide, favourites have covered just 39.86% of the time, yet Essendon have been unable to capitalise even in that depressed environment. Recent form shows no improvement, with the same 41.18% ATS mark across the last five and ten games and the unders trend continuing. Bettors have found no reliable angle with Essendon this season, whether backing them outright or on the total, leaving the club as a clear avoid in most markets heading into the latter rounds.