Geelong Cats 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

Geelong Cats sit ninth in the 2026 AFL ATS standings with an 8-8 record and exactly 50% cover rate, falling short of the 52.38% threshold required to beat the books consistently. As favourites in 11 games they covered six times, a 54.5% rate that comfortably exceeds the league-wide favourite cover mark of 39.86%. However, they posted zero wins in five starts as underdogs, limiting their overall value. The Cats have been a clear unders side, landing 10 unders from 16 games (62.5%), outpacing the league under rate of 59.44%. Their most profitable betting angle came in Round 6 when they demolished the Western Bulldogs by 63.5 points as 11.5-point favourites. Limited half and quarter data prevents deeper splits analysis, but the season-long lean toward unders has been the most reliable trend. Recent form has hovered around 50% ATS across the last five and ten games with no pronounced hot or cold streak on totals. Overall, Geelong have offered modest betting value only when installed as favourites or when totals markets have drifted high.