Melbourne Demons 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

Melbourne Demons have delivered one of the stronger ATS profiles in the 2026 AFL season, finishing with an 11-6 record and 64.71% cover rate that ranks third across the 18 teams and comfortably clears the 52.38% bookmaker threshold. Their results split clearly along favourite-underdog lines, covering just 3 of 8 starts as favourites while securing 6 covers from 9 underdog assignments. This pattern has created a clear betting angle, especially when the Demons have been priced as underdogs in a league where favourites have covered only 39.86% of games overall. Totals have leaned slightly under at 52.94% (9-8), consistent with the competition-wide under rate of 59.44%. The Demons’ most significant spread result occurred in round 10, when they demolished the Hawthorn Hawks 120-81 to cover a 16.5-point line by 55.5 points. Recent form has held steady at the season ATS mark of 64.71%, indicating no pronounced hot or cold streak in the closing weeks. Quarter and half-time splits are unavailable, limiting deeper intragame analysis. The primary takeaway is that Melbourne has been a reliable underdog cover team rather than a strong favourite, giving bettors a repeatable edge whenever the line has undervalued them against the rest of the competition.