Collingwood Magpies 2026 Season | Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

COL

vs

BUL

Aug 28 7:40pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round Wildcard Final

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

✏️ Game Analysis

The Collingwood Magpies and Western Bulldogs are set for a tight battle at the MCG. The approved Collingwood Magpies +2.5 play at True 47% and Edge -2% aligns with expectations of a narrow margin where the visitors stay within reach. Pairing this with the Under 85.5 at True 51% and Edge 1% reinforces a projected low-output game shape, limiting opportunities for either side to pull away. Both lines converge on controlled possession and efficient but limited scoring bursts. This setup favors a contest decided by small margins rather than blowouts, with the total staying suppressed throughout. The combination projects a grind-it-out affair where Collingwood Magpies cover the spread and the game total remains under the line.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Western Bulldogs lead Collingwood 47-32 at quarter time of this Wildcard Final at the MCG after a high-scoring opening term. The 79-point total already sits well above typical Q1 benchmarks, driven by 19 combined scoring shots. Bulldogs converted efficiently with 7.5 from 12 attempts while the Magpies managed 5.2 from seven. The margin of 15 points has already exceeded the pre-game spread lines of -2.5 and -3.5. This Q1 performance was clearly HOT, both in raw points and shot volume. Accuracy favoured the home side, who capitalised on their opportunities while Collingwood left minimal waste but simply had fewer looks. From a betting perspective the full-game spread PRE lines are now under pressure, with the Bulldogs well placed to cover after establishing early control. The match total PRE lines around 169.5 remain live but carry only a soft lean to the over given one quarter of elevated scoring. Team totals show the Bulldogs already at 47 against their 85.5 line, creating a soft lean over, while Collingwood sit at 32 against 81.5 and look more likely to finish under. Second-half markets are not yet active. The key takeaway is that the Bulldogs have seized early momentum with superior conversion and shot volume, placing immediate pressure on Collingwood to respond in the second term if they are to stay within the pre-game numbers.

Q1 HOT 79 pts 19 shots (Bulldogs 12, Magpies 7)

Probabilities

70-85%

FULL GAME SPREAD PRE

Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -3.5 covering at 1.91 (PlayUp) – ahead by 15 after Q1

55-65%

FULL GAME TOTAL PRE

Soft lean Over 169.5 at 1.93 (SportsBet) – 79 on the board after HOT Q1

50-60%

FULL GAME SPREAD LIVE

Neutral on full_game_spread_live – Q1 only, live lines not yet meaningful

50-60%

FULL GAME TOTAL LIVE

Neutral on full_game_total_live – Q1 only, live lines not yet meaningful

50-60%

2ND HALF SPREAD 2H

2H market not live until half – Neutral

50-60%

2ND HALF TOTAL 2H

2H market not live until half – Neutral

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies Under 81.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet) – 32 at Q1

Western Bulldogs

Over

Soft lean to Western Bulldogs Over 85.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet) – already at 47

⚡Halftime Report

Western Bulldogs lead Collingwood 48-38 at halftime at the MCG after an 86-point first half. The Bulldogs established a 10-point buffer despite Collingwood kicking the opening two goals of the match. First-half scoring was brisk, with eight goals in the opening term alone before a slightly tighter second quarter produced five more majors. Accuracy was mixed: the Bulldogs converted 7.6 from 13 shots while Collingwood managed 6.2 from eight, giving the home side a clear edge in finishing. The 48-point Bulldogs half is already close to their pre-game team-total line of 85.5-89.5, while Collingwood’s 38 sits well under the 79.5-83.5 range. Live spreads have shifted to Bulldogs -8.5 to -10.5, meaning the Magpies must win the second half by at least that margin to cover the adjusted line. With 2H markets now live, the 83-point half-total line looks generous given the 86 already on the board. A typical second half of 70-110 points remains the realistic band, but the Bulldogs’ conversion edge and Collingwood’s early wastefulness suggest the home side retains the clearer path to extending the margin. The key takeaway is that the first-half pace has already pushed several team-total Unders into difficult positions while opening value on the live underdog in the second half.

HT HOT 86 pts Bulldogs 7.6 (13 shots), Collingwood 6.2 (8 shots)

Probabilities

50-60%

FULL GAME SPREAD PRE

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies +2.5 covering at 1.90 (Dabble AU) – margin 10 at HT

50-60%

FULL GAME TOTAL PRE

Neutral on Over 169.5 at 1.93 (SportsBet) – 86 on the board, needs 83.5

55-65%

FULL GAME SPREAD LIVE

Soft lean to Collingwood Magpies +9.5 covering at 1.84 (SportsBet) – behind by 10

50-60%

FULL GAME TOTAL LIVE

Neutral on Over 169.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – 86 on the board, needs 83.5

55-65%

2ND HALF SPREAD 2H

Soft lean to Collingwood Magpies +9.5 covering at 1.84 (SportsBet) – behind by 10

50-60%

2ND HALF TOTAL 2H

Neutral on Over 84.5 at 2.10 (TAB) – first half 86

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies Under 79.5 at 1.93 (SportsBet) – already at 38

Western Bulldogs

Over

Strong lean to Western Bulldogs Over 89.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – already at 48

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time the Western Bulldogs lead the Collingwood Magpies 68-56 at the MCG, a 12-point margin that has widened only marginally from the 10-point halftime gap. The match total sits at 124 after a subdued third term that added just 38 points. Western Bulldogs scored 20 in the quarter while Collingwood managed 18, keeping the contest within reach but preventing either side from seizing decisive momentum. Q3 pace was NORMAL, with behinds proving costly for both teams and limiting the scoreboard impact of their shot volume. The Bulldogs have converted more efficiently across the match, holding a two-goal advantage despite similar overall opportunities. With one quarter remaining, the full-game total line of 169.5 requires roughly 46 points in Q4 to go over. A trailing Collingwood side may lift its intensity, but the current run rate suggests a neutral stance on the total. On the spread, the Bulldogs’ PRE line of -9.5 is already covered by the existing margin, creating a strong lean to the home side finishing the job. Live spreads around the same number offer similar value. Team totals remain live for both sides, with the Bulldogs sitting at 68 against lines of 85.5-89.5 and Collingwood at 56 against 79.5-81.5, both needing modest final-quarter hauls to clear their marks.

3QT NORMAL 124 pts Mixed accuracy with several behinds limiting scoreboard return despite opportunities

Probabilities

70-85%

FULL GAME SPREAD PRE

Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -9.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – ahead by 12 at 3QT

50-60%

FULL GAME TOTAL PRE

Neutral on Over 169.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – 124 on the board, needs 45.5 in one quarter

70-85%

FULL GAME SPREAD LIVE

Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -9.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – ahead by 12 at 3QT, not settled

50-60%

FULL GAME TOTAL LIVE

Neutral on Over 169.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – 124 on the board, needs 45.5 in one quarter

70-85%

2ND HALF SPREAD 2H

Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -9.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – ahead by 12 at 3QT, not settled

50-60%

2ND HALF TOTAL 2H

Neutral on Over 88.5 at 1.85 (TABtouch) – 76 in first half, expects 35-50 in Q4

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Soft lean to Collingwood Magpies Over 79.5 at 1.93 (SportsBet) – already at 56

Western Bulldogs

Over

Strong lean to Western Bulldogs Over 85.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet) – already at 68

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 85.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	1H O/U	SportsBet	85.5	1.84	51.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	—
Collingwood Magpies +2.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Full Spreads	SportsBet	2.5	1.92	47.0%	-2.0%	T1	1u	—

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies +2.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Full Spreads	SportsBet	2.5	1.92	47.0%	-2.0%	T1	1u	—

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 85.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	1H O/U	SportsBet	85.5	1.84	51.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	—

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
COL Collingwood Magpies
BUL Western Bulldogs

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Magpies went down by three points in a tense finish, 93 to 96. They booted 14 goals and nine behinds while the opposition managed 14 goals and 12 behinds. Scores were tight at every change, with the visitors holding a narrow edge at half time before the home side pulled away late. Daniel McStay finished with four goals for the Magpies and the opposition’s best performer kicked four of their own.

Season Story So Far

A solid mid-season run of results has kept the Magpies in the mix, though the latest narrow defeat highlights the fine margins that have defined their campaign. Strong showings in attack and around the contest have been tempered by occasional lapses in the final term.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The side sits comfortably in the middle order of the ladder. Their points tally and percentage reflect a balanced record, with scoring output roughly matching what they have conceded across the season to date.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Win vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
Win vs Carlton Blues
Win vs West Coast Eagles
Draw vs Hawthorn Hawks
Loss vs Brisbane Lions

Four competitive results from five outings underline a group that is hard to beat when they control the ball and apply pressure.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Magpies have been competitive on the spread in most outings, often keeping games within striking distance. Totals have tended to land on the lower side when their defensive structure is set early.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Work rate around the contest remains a strength, with high disposal numbers and strong contested possession figures from the engine room. Inside-50 entries have been efficient on many nights, though conversion has varied. Tackle pressure has been consistent and has helped limit opposition scoring opportunities.

Player Highlights

Daniel McStay: Four goals and 12 disposals in the latest outing, providing a strong target up forward.
Nick Daicos: 30 disposals, four clearances and two goals in a standout midfield display.
Scott Pendlebury: Continues to lead by example with clean hands and smart decision making across multiple games.
Tim Membrey: Multiple goal hauls and strong marking presence when named in the forward line.
Patrick Lipinski: Reliable ball winner on the wing with 19 disposals and two goals in recent form.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card missed the mark this week. While the selections did not land, the underlying performances from the key contributors still offered plenty of encouragement for the weeks ahead.

Outlook / What to Watch

Collingwood Magpies will look to reset quickly and take confidence from their contested ball work into the next assignment. Expect a focus on early forward entries and maintaining tackle pressure to keep the contest tight from the opening bounce.

BRI

vs

COL

Aug 21 7:40pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 24

-

3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Brisbane Lions travel to the Melbourne Cricket Ground for a Round 24 showdown against Collingwood Magpies, a fixture that carries significant implications for both sides as the season nears its conclusion. The Lions enter as clear favourites, carrying superior recent form and a higher scoring average into the contest. Brisbane have secured four wins from their past five outings, demonstrating consistent attacking output and defensive resilience. Their victories have come with margins of 24, 59, 67 and 42 points, although a heavy 76-point defeat interrupted the sequence. Across the period the side has averaged 106 points scored and 89 conceded, underlining an ability to control games through strong midfield dominance and efficient forward entries. Collingwood’s record over the same span reads three wins, one loss and a draw. Their results show tighter margins, with victories by 21, 34 and 19 points alongside a 25-point defeat and a level scoreline. The Magpies average 87.5 points for and 82.5 against, reflecting a more conservative style that relies on structure and contested ball rather than high-scoring bursts. Statistically the contrast is stark. Brisbane’s season-long averages of 106.36 points scored and 89 conceded sit well above Collingwood’s 87.5 and 82.5. The Lions have also posted higher totals in four of their last five matches, suggesting they are better equipped to exploit the MCG’s open spaces. Key personnel will shape the outcome. Brisbane’s forward line has shown the capacity to kick large scores when given opportunities inside 50, while Collingwood’s defensive unit has proven capable of restricting opposition tallies when the contest remains close at half-time. Betting markets reflect the form gap, with Brisbane listed at approximately 25.5 to 26.5 points start. Recent margins indicate the Lions have covered similar lines in three of their four wins, while Collingwood’s narrower results suggest they may struggle to keep the margin inside that range. The total line sits around 181.5–182.5; given both teams’ recent scoring trends, a slight lean toward the over appears reasonable. Brisbane Lions are expected to prevail by 30 to 40 points. Their superior scoring rate and ability to win by large margins position them to control the contest from the opening quarter and maintain the advantage through to the final siren.

✏️ Game Analysis

Brisbane Lions face Collingwood Magpies in a contest shaped by low-output expectations. The approved under 92.5 at True 34% and Edge -2% locks in a tight total, while Brisbane under 25.5 at True 33% and Edge -2.2% caps the Lions' scoring. The under 46.5 at True 35% and Edge -1.9% further reinforces subdued first-half action. Together these lines project a game where both teams stay below the thresholds, with Collingwood's inconsistency limiting any surge and Brisbane unable to push the totals higher. All three plays align on the same controlled, low-scoring shape across the full match and key periods.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Brisbane Lions have seized early control at the MCG, leading Collingwood 33-21 after a dominant opening quarter. The visitors kicked five goals to three, with Conor McKenna and Will Ashcroft each contributing two majors in a fast-starting display that exposed Collingwood’s slow transition from defence. Brisbane’s efficiency inside 50 and clean ball movement allowed them to build a 12-point advantage despite Collingwood’s occasional bursts through Nick Daicos and Angus Anderson. The total score of 54 points has already cleared several Q1 totals lines around 45.5–47.5, signalling an open contest. Momentum sits firmly with Brisbane, who have now won four of their last five games by significant margins. Collingwood’s structure has looked disjointed early, struggling to contain Brisbane’s forward entries. From a betting perspective, Brisbane’s +4.5 to +12.5 Q1 spreads look well positioned after the first term, while full-game team totals for Brisbane over 101.5–110.5 carry strong lean potential given the early scoring rate. The game remains in its infancy, yet the Lions’ superior recent form and scoring average suggest they are well placed to extend this advantage across the next three quarters.

Probabilities

58-65%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Brisbane Lions -18.5 covering at 1.90 (Bet Right)

52-58%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 185.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

55-62%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Brisbane Lions -9.5 covering at 1.90 (Ladbrokes)

53-59%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 91.5 at 1.90 (Ladbrokes)

Team Totals

Brisbane Lions

strong

Strong lean to Brisbane Lions Over 101.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Collingwood Magpies

lean

Lean to Collingwood Magpies Under 83.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

Brisbane Lions hold a commanding 63-41 halftime lead at the MCG after a dominant second quarter. The visitors booted seven goals to Collingwood’s three after quarter time, with Logan Morris finishing three majors and the Lions’ forward entries proving far more efficient. Collingwood managed only 41 points despite some early promise from Angus Anderson and Nick Daicos. Brisbane’s midfield control and ability to capitalise on turnover has created a 22-point buffer that reflects their superior recent form. The total has already reached 104 points, placing the game well above most half-time and full-game lines. From a betting perspective, Brisbane’s lead already exceeds several key spreads and team-total thresholds. Momentum sits firmly with the Lions, who average over 106 points per game and have shown they can extend margins in the second half. Collingwood will need a dramatic shift in contested ball and defensive structure to claw back into the contest. Brisbane are well positioned to maintain control through the third term.

Probabilities

68-75%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to Brisbane Lions -20.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

72-78%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Strong lean to Over 186.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

62-68%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Brisbane Lions -8.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

58-65%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 92.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Brisbane Lions

Over

Very Strong lean to Brisbane Lions Over 101.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Lean to Collingwood Magpies Under 83.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Brisbane Lions hold a commanding 103-54 lead over Collingwood at the MCG. The visitors have added 40 points in the third term alone, extending a 22-point halftime advantage into a 49-point buffer. Brisbane’s forward efficiency has been ruthless, with multiple goal kickers contributing while Collingwood’s defensive structure has collapsed under sustained pressure. The Magpies have managed only 13 points for the quarter and look devoid of answers in transition. From a betting perspective the game state is decisive. Brisbane has already eclipsed several team-total lines and sits well inside the full-game spread. The total is tracking toward the over despite a modest first half. With one quarter remaining, Brisbane’s momentum shows no sign of slowing. Collingwood will need a miracle scoring burst simply to stay competitive on the margin markets. The contest is effectively over as a contest, though the final margin and total points remain live for punters.

Probabilities

92-97

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Extremely Strong lean to Brisbane Lions -20.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

78-84

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 186.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

85-91

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Very Strong lean to Brisbane Lions -20.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

65-72

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 92.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Brisbane Lions

Over

Extremely Strong lean to Brisbane Lions Over 101.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies Under 83.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 46.5 Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies	1Q O/U	SportsBet	46.5	1.94	35.0%	-1.9%	T2	2.5u	L
Under 92.5 Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies	1H O/U	SportsBet	92.5	1.88	34.0%	-2.0%	T2	2.5u	L
Under 25.5 (Brisbane Lions) Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	25.5	1.92	33.0%	-2.2%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 25.5 (Brisbane Lions) Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	25.5	1.92	33.0%	-2.2%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 92.5 Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies	1H O/U	SportsBet	92.5	1.88	34.0%	-2.0%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 46.5 Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies	1Q O/U	SportsBet	46.5	1.94	35.0%	-1.9%	T2	2.5u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
BRI Brisbane Lions
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Magpies came up well short, finishing with 15 goals and 6 behinds for 96 points against the opposition's 25 goals and 9 behinds for 159. The final margin sat at 63 points after a strong second half from the visitors. The opposition's best performer kicked a bag of eight goals.

Season Story So Far

Results have been up and down across the middle of the year, with some solid wins mixed in with tougher outings. The latest performance highlighted areas that need tightening if the side is to build momentum heading into the back end of the season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder numbers are not yet confirmed in the data, but the points for and against from recent matches show a side that has been competitive in patches while struggling with consistency on the scoreboard. Percentage will be a key factor in the weeks ahead.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 19: Win vs Carlton Blues
Round 22: Win vs West Coast Eagles
Round 23: Draw vs Hawthorn Hawks
Round 24: Loss vs Brisbane Lions
Round 18: Win vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

Four wins, one draw and one loss across those matches.

Betting Trends & Performance

Without specific betting data available, the on-field numbers suggest the side has been capable of covering spreads when the attack clicks, though totals have varied depending on how the game opens up.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries and contested possessions have been solid from several key players, but defensive structures have been stretched at times. Work rate around the contest and tackle pressure remain focus areas, with a couple of players stepping up in disposals and score involvements.

Player Highlights

Angus Anderson: 3 goals and strong contested work in the latest outing.
Charlie West: 3 goals plus solid minutes and inside-50 pressure.
Tim Membrey: Consistent goal threat across recent weeks with multiple bags.
Scott Pendlebury: High disposal counts and leadership through the midfield.
Daniel McStay: Reliable goal kicker and strong marking presence.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard data was provided this round, so we own the miss and move on. The focus stays on the positive signs from the young players who continue to earn more midfield time.

Outlook / What to Watch

Collingwood Magpies will look to tighten their defensive setup and improve transition speed in the next contest. Expect a strong emphasis on contested ball and forward-half pressure to set the tone early.

COL

vs

HAW

Aug 15 7:40pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 23

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Hawthorn Hawks host Collingwood Magpies at the MCG in Round 23, a contest that could shape final ladder positions as both sides chase strong finishes to 2026. The home side enters with clear momentum, while the visitors look to bounce back from inconsistency. Collingwood have recorded four wins from their past five outings, averaging 87.29 points scored and 82.05 conceded. Their margins read +4, +21, +34, -25 and +19, producing an average winning margin of 10.6 points across victories. The Magpies have shown resilience on the road but struggled when facing stronger opposition at home. Hawthorn arrive in outstanding form, winning four of five with an average of 98.14 points for and 83.05 against. Their margins of +64, +70, +93, +16 and -67 reflect an average winning margin of 35.2 points in victories. The Hawks have been particularly dominant in attack, regularly posting totals above 100. Statistically, Hawthorn hold the edge in both scoring output and defensive structure. Collingwood’s games have averaged 169 points total, while Hawthorn’s have reached 181, suggesting a higher-scoring affair is possible if the visitors can match the locals’ tempo. Key matchups will centre on midfield control and forward efficiency. Collingwood will need their experienced leaders to limit Hawthorn’s transition speed, while the Hawks will look to exploit space created by their recent scoring surges. Betting markets have installed Hawthorn as 19.5- to 20.5-point favourites, with totals hovering around 174.5-176.5. Recent margins indicate the Hawks have covered similar lines comfortably in three of their last four wins. Collingwood’s narrow victories suggest they may struggle to keep the margin under 20 points against a confident home side. Hawthorn are expected to prevail by 18 to 28 points in a high-scoring contest that could exceed 180 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Hawthorn Hawks host Collingwood Magpies with LWWWW form and home MCG advantage against the visitors' WLWWW road inconsistency. This projects a low-output contest. The Under 174.5 total locks to that shape at True 35% and Edge -4.2%, keeping the full game below the line. The Under 87.5 reinforces the same early restraint at True 38% and Edge -3.8%, capping first-half scoring where neither side opens up. Both approved plays converge on defensive control and limited scoring chances, consistent with Hawthorn's edge and Collingwood's variability on the road.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a fast-paced opening quarter at the MCG, Hawthorn Hawks and Collingwood Magpies are locked at 15-15. The Magpies struck twice early through Charlie West and Edward Allan, but Hawthorn responded with goals from Jai Newcombe and Lloyd Meek to level the scores by the siren. Both sides generated multiple forward entries yet finished with three behinds each, highlighting early inaccuracy. Momentum has been even, with neither team establishing sustained dominance in the midfield or transition. The low-scoring stanza (30 points total) sits well below projected pace, leaving full-game markets largely untouched. Hawthorn’s recent attacking form suggests they will look to lift output in the second term, while Collingwood must tighten their defensive structure to avoid falling behind on the spread. From a betting perspective, the first-quarter deadlock keeps the full-game spread and totals live, with value likely to emerge once one side seizes momentum after the break.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Hawthorn Hawks -19.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.92 (SportsBet)

50-55

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Hawthorn Hawks -9.5 covering at 1.94 (Neds)

53-57

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

over

Lean to Collingwood Magpies Over 76.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Hawthorn Hawks

over

Lean to Hawthorn Hawks Over 96.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime Collingwood lead Hawthorn 47-25 after a dominant second quarter that yielded five goals to the Magpies. The visitors established control through the midfield and capitalised on transition, with Nick Daicos and Charlie West providing key contributions. Hawthorn managed only one goal after quarter time and have struggled to generate clean entries inside fifty. The low-scoring first half (72 points total) reflects a physical, contested style that has limited both teams’ forward efficiency. Collingwood’s 22-point buffer positions them well for the second half, yet the pre-game expectation of a high-scoring contest remains relevant given both sides’ recent averages above 85 points per half. Betting markets opened Hawthorn as 19.5-point favourites, but that line has already been erased. For the remainder of the game, momentum favours the Magpies to maintain or extend their advantage while the total is likely to climb toward the 174.5 mark. Key adjustments in the second half will centre on Hawthorn’s ability to win more centre clearances and reduce Collingwood’s intercept possessions.

Probabilities

52-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +19.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

58-64%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.92 (SportsBet)

55-61%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +9.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

56-62%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Strong lean to Over 86.5 at 1.42 (TABtouch)

Hawthorn Hawks

Under

Lean to Under 96.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Hawthorn have completed a remarkable turnaround, erasing a 22-point halftime deficit to lead Collingwood 60-57. The Hawks booted five goals to one in the third term, with Jack Gunston (three goals) and Connor Macdonald providing the spark after a sluggish first half where they managed just 25 points. Collingwood’s early dominance through Nick Daicos and Charlie West has been neutralised by Hawthorn’s improved transition and forward pressure. The match remains tight on the scoreboard but momentum sits firmly with the home side. From a betting perspective the full-game total of 117 points sits well under the 174.5 line, while Hawthorn’s narrow lead leaves the 19.5-point spread very much alive. Collingwood’s scoring rate has slowed dramatically, placing their full-game team total in a strong position to finish under key lines. Hawthorn’s late surge suggests they will control the final term, but the low-scoring nature of the contest so far points to an under result on the total.

Probabilities

48-55

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Hawthorn Hawks -19.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 174.5 at 1.90 (Dabble AU)

55-62

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Hawthorn Hawks -9.5 covering at 1.94 (Neds)

58-65

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 86.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Strong lean to Under 86.5 at 1.42 (TABtouch)

Hawthorn Hawks

Under

Lean to Under 96.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 87.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks	1H O/U	SportsBet	87.5	1.85	38.0%	-3.8%	T1	1u	W
Under 174.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks	Full O/U	SportsBet	174.5	1.90	35.0%	-4.2%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 174.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks	Full O/U	SportsBet	174.5	1.90	35.0%	-4.2%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 87.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks	1H O/U	SportsBet	87.5	1.85	38.0%	-3.8%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
COL Collingwood Magpies
HAW Hawthorn Hawks

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side finished level at 13 goals and 14 behinds for 92 points apiece. After a tight opening term the visitors pulled clear at half time with 7 goals to 3, but the opposition fought back strongly in the second half to level the scores late. Lachlan Schultz and Tim Membrey led the way with three goals each while Roan Steele and Charlie West each kicked two.

Season Story So Far

A strong run of results has kept the side in the hunt, with the latest draw coming after four straight wins that showed real consistency across all lines.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The numbers place the side in a solid mid-to-upper position with a healthy points tally and percentage above 100, reflecting a balanced attack and defence that has been hard to break down.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 16: Defeated Richmond Tigers 15.16 (106) to 11.6 (72)
Round 17: Defeated Gold Coast Suns 15.14 (104) to 15.8 (98)
Round 18: Defeated North Melbourne Kangaroos 13.11 (89) to 12.13 (85)
Round 19: Defeated Carlton Blues 14.6 (90) to 10.9 (69)
Round 22: Defeated West Coast Eagles 17.15 (117) to 15.8 (98)

Four wins and a draw across those outings underline a side that has been hard to stop when it finds its rhythm.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in most recent outings and shown a tendency to push totals higher when the midfield gains ascendancy early.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Work rate around the contest has been a feature, with strong inside-50 numbers and tackle pressure keeping opponents under the pump. Nick Daicos has been a standout with his ball-winning and forward entries while the forward line has shared the load effectively.

Player Highlights

Nick Daicos: 37 disposals, 3 goals and 9 inside-50s in the most recent win before the draw.
Scott Pendlebury: Consistent 20-plus disposals and strong clearance work across the last month.
Lachlan Schultz: Multiple goal hauls and high tackle counts when playing forward.
Tim Membrey: Reliable goal threat with strong marking and score involvements.
Daniel McStay: Dual role impact with goals and ruck support when required.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No active betting card was available this round, so the focus stays on the on-field momentum rather than any specific wagers.

Outlook / What to Watch

Collingwood Magpies will look to carry their strong ball movement and contested ball edge into the final stretch, with the midfield expected to set the tone and the forwards aiming to convert opportunities at a high rate.

COL

vs

WCE

Aug 9 4:10pm ·Optus Stadium ·Round 22

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Collingwood Magpies head to Optus Stadium in Round 22 with a chance to solidify their season, facing a West Coast Eagles side still searching for answers. The visitors arrive in strong form while the home team continues to battle consistency issues on home soil. Collingwood enter with four wins from their past five outings. They secured victories by margins of six, four, 21 and 34 points before a 25-point loss in their most recent match. That run reflects a side capable of both grinding out tight contests and producing dominant quarters. West Coast, by contrast, have lost all five of their previous games, with losing margins of 25, 16, 24, 70 and 11 points. Their attack has struggled to generate consistent scoring pressure. Statistically the gap is clear. Collingwood average 85.8 points scored and 81.25 conceded across recent matches. West Coast sit at 70.75 points scored and 99.9 conceded. The Eagles have been particularly vulnerable in the second and third quarters, where opponents have repeatedly built decisive leads. Key areas for Collingwood will be maintaining defensive structure and capitalising on transition opportunities. West Coast need to improve contested ball work and reduce turnovers if they are to stay competitive for longer periods. Betting markets have installed Collingwood as 15.5- to 18.5-point favourites. Given the visitors’ recent average winning margin of 16.25 points in victories and West Coast’s average losing margin near 29 points, the line looks reachable. The total sits at 170.5, which aligns with Collingwood’s average game total of 166 but exceeds West Coast’s lower-scoring trend. Collingwood should control the contest from the opening bounce. Expect them to win by a margin of 25 to 35 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

The Collingwood Magpies versus West Coast Eagles matchup highlights a clear projection edge for the visitors. Approved plays back the Collingwood Magpies team total at True 72% probability with an 8% edge, alongside the -6.5 spread at True 68% and 6% edge. These selections reinforce a single game shape where Collingwood establishes dominance and pulls away on the scoreboard. The team total and spread both project sustained control from the Magpies, aligning with venue scoring patterns. No conflicting signals emerge between the lines, as each call supports Collingwood covering the margin while reaching the targeted team total output. This overlap confirms the projected outcome in the contest.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a frantic opening term at Optus Stadium, Collingwood lead West Coast 39-37 at quarter time. Both sides booted six goals, but the Magpies’ three behinds proved decisive in a high-tempo, end-to-end quarter that produced 76 points. Collingwood struck first through Daniel McStay and Lachlan Schultz, yet West Coast answered with goals from Jobe Shanahan, Tim Kelly and Elliot Yeo to stay within touching distance. The visitors showed slightly better forward pressure and transition speed, while the Eagles relied on individual bursts from Shanahan and Tom Gross. Momentum sits marginally with Collingwood after they won the final five minutes of the term. From a betting perspective the full-game total of 170.5 already looks reachable given the scoring rate, though the spread remains wide open with three quarters remaining. Collingwood’s pre-game favouritism of 15.5-18.5 points is intact but not yet reflected on the scoreboard. Expect the Magpies to tighten defensively and use their superior midfield depth to stretch the lead in the second term.

Probabilities

58-62%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -7.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

52-56%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 170.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-59%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -4.5 covering at 1.92 (Ladbrokes)

53-57%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 85.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Collingwood Magpies Over 88.5 at 1.86 (SportsBet)

West Coast Eagles

Under

Lean to West Coast Eagles Under 80.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime Collingwood leads West Coast 65-59 after a high-tempo opening half at Optus Stadium. The Magpies won the second quarter by seven points but could not shake the Eagles, who responded with three goals in the final five minutes before the break. Collingwood’s efficiency inside 50 has been the difference, converting ten of their fifteen entries into goals, while West Coast has relied on individual brilliance from Tim Kelly and Jack Graham to stay within striking distance. Momentum sits narrowly with the visitors, yet the six-point margin keeps the contest alive. Collingwood’s midfield dominance has not translated into scoreboard separation, and West Coast’s contested-ball work has improved markedly in the second term. The total has already reached 124 points, placing the game on pace for a 170-plus finish. From a betting perspective the full-game spread remains live. Collingwood’s pre-game 15-to-18-point favouritism has not yet materialised, but their superior recent form suggests they will look to extend the lead after the restart. Both teams sit well under their full-game team-total unders, increasing the likelihood those lines are surpassed.

Probabilities

52-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -7.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

58-64%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 170.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-61%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -4.5 covering at 1.92 (Ladbrokes)

53-59%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 85.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Strong lean to Over 88.5 at 1.86 (SportsBet)

West Coast Eagles

Over

Lean to Over 80.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Collingwood lead West Coast 116-98 after a dominant third term that stretched their advantage from six points at half-time. The Magpies have controlled the contest through superior contested ball and transition efficiency, adding 51 points in the third quarter while restricting the Eagles’ ability to build momentum. West Coast showed fight in the final minutes of the term but remain behind the contest in key statistical areas. The total score has already reached 214, well clear of the 170.5 line, while Collingwood’s 116 points have comfortably surpassed every team-total market. With one quarter remaining, the game state heavily favours the visitors maintaining their edge. From a betting perspective the full-game total and both team totals are tracking strongly toward the over, while the margin market remains live but Collingwood are well positioned to cover their line. West Coast will need a fast start to the final term to stay in the contest, yet Collingwood’s recent form and superior scoring rate suggest they will dictate the closing stages.

Probabilities

78-85

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -7.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

95-99

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Extremely Strong lean to Over 170.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

65-72

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -4.5 covering at 1.92 (Ladbrokes)

58-65

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 85.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

over

Extremely Strong lean to Over 88.5 at 1.86 (SportsBet)

West Coast Eagles

over

Strong lean to Over 80.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.65	72.0%	8.0%	T3	5u	W
Collingwood Magpies -6.5 Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles	Full Spreads	Ladbrokes	-6.5	1.90	68.0%	6.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.65	72.0%	8.0%	T3	5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -6.5 Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles	Full Spreads	Ladbrokes	-6.5	1.90	68.0%	6.0%	T2	2.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Optus Stadium MATCHCAST -
Optus Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
COL Collingwood Magpies
WCE West Coast Eagles

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Collingwood 17.15 (117) defeated the opposition 15.8 (98) by 19 points at Optus Stadium. The side trailed narrowly at half time but kicked seven goals to six after the main break to pull away. Lachlan Schultz and Tim Membrey both bagged three goals, while the opposition’s Jake Waterman was their standout with three majors of his own.

Season Story So Far

The latest win caps a strong run of form that has the side building momentum heading into the final weeks. After a tough loss in round 21, the group responded with a convincing road victory that showcased improved second-half control and forward efficiency.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Magpies sit in the upper half of the ladder with a healthy points tally and strong percentage. Their points for and against differential reflects a balanced attack and a defence that has tightened in recent weeks, keeping them firmly in finals contention.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 22: Collingwood Magpies 17.15 (117) def West Coast Eagles 15.8 (98)
Round 19: Collingwood Magpies 14.6 (90) def Carlton Blues 10.9 (69)
Round 18: Collingwood Magpies 13.11 (89) def North Melbourne Kangaroos 12.13 (85)
Round 17: Collingwood Magpies 15.14 (104) def Gold Coast Suns 15.8 (98)
Round 16: Collingwood Magpies 15.16 (106) def Richmond Tigers 11.6 (72)

Four wins from the last five has restored confidence after the round 21 setback.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in three of the last four outings and shown a tendency to push totals higher when playing with run and carry. Their ability to kick multiple goals in bursts has been a consistent theme in recent victories.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward pressure has been a strength, with multiple players rotating through the forward line to create scoring opportunities. Inside-50 entries have been efficient, while the midfield has lifted its work rate around the contest. Defensively, the group has limited opposition entries in the second half of recent games through better structure and tackling intensity.

Player Highlights

Nick Daicos: 37 disposals and three goals in a standout performance earlier in the month.
Scott Pendlebury: Continues to lead the midfield with 20-plus disposals and strong contested ball numbers across multiple games.
Daniel McStay: Multiple bags of three goals in recent weeks, including a five-goal haul in round 21.
Lachlan Schultz: Three goals and seven tackles in the latest win, adding pressure and scoreboard impact.
Tim Membrey: Consistent forward threat with three goals and strong marking in the most recent outing.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed cleanly on the road win and total points over, with the side’s second-half surge proving the decisive factor. No excuses needed after a straightforward performance that delivered on the key metrics.

Outlook / What to Watch

Collingwood Magpies head to the Melbourne Cricket Ground to face Hawthorn Hawks in round 23. Expect a contest built around contested ball and transition, with the Magpies likely to lean on their experienced midfield to control tempo. Scoring should remain competitive given both sides’ forward lines, though the Magpies’ recent form suggests they may edge the totals line if they maintain their second-half intensity. The spread will hinge on how quickly they can establish an early lead against a Hawthorn side that likes to push forward quickly.

GEE

vs

COL

Jul 30 7:30pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 21

-

1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Geelong Cats head to the MCG in Round 21 looking to arrest a patchy run of results against a Collingwood Magpies side that has rediscovered its winning rhythm. With both teams still jostling for finals positioning, the contest carries significant weight for late-season momentum. Geelong’s last five outings have produced a 2-3 record. After three consecutive losses by single-digit and low-double-digit margins, the Cats responded with back-to-back victories by 27 and 20 points. Their scoring output has remained consistent, averaging 99.11 points per game while conceding 85.11. The recent pattern shows Geelong capable of explosive quarters but vulnerable when opponents build early leads. Collingwood arrives with a five-game winning streak and a more controlled style. Across those victories the Magpies have averaged an 86.53-point attack and 80.42 points conceded, with winning margins ranging from four to 34 points. Their defensive structure has tightened noticeably, limiting opponents below 100 points in four of the last five matches. Statistically the contrast is clear. Geelong generates more scoring volume but has been less efficient at converting opportunities into consistent wins. Collingwood’s lower-scoring, lower-conceding profile suggests a tighter, lower-total game may unfold. The current betting line of Collingwood -5.5 aligns with their superior recent form and home-ground familiarity, while the total sits around 172. Key match-ups will centre on midfield contested ball and forward-half efficiency. Geelong’s ability to win centre clearances and transition quickly will test Collingwood’s defensive organisation, while the Magpies’ capacity to apply sustained pressure inside 50 could expose Geelong’s occasional lapses in structure. From a betting perspective, Collingwood’s recent margins comfortably cover the 5.5-point line in four of their last five wins. The total line looks appropriately set given both teams’ season averages, though a low-scoring first half remains a realistic possibility. Expect a tight, physical contest decided by execution in the final quarter. Collingwood’s current form and home advantage point to a narrow victory, with a predicted margin of 6–12 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Geelong Cats visit Collingwood Magpies at the MCG with the approved Geelong Cats T1 1u play at 1.75. The 48% True probability and -2% Edge frame a tight opening that projects controlled early exchanges rather than a blowout. This single unit call anchors the expected shape, where Geelong’s structure holds the first term within a narrow band that matches the modest overlay. Collingwood’s home presence is acknowledged yet the T1 wager signals the visitors can stay competitive through disciplined ball movement and contested work. The line reinforces a low-variance start, keeping the contest inside the parameters the 48% True figure implies. No other markets are required to validate the projection; the approved T1 stake alone dictates the measured tempo and the narrow margin the game is expected to follow.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Geelong Cats have seized total control after the opening quarter, leading Collingwood Magpies 38-8 at the MCG. The Cats kicked six goals to one, with Oliver Henry, Oliver Dempsey and Shannon Neale all finding the big sticks early. Collingwood managed only one goal from Daniel McStay and two behinds, looking disjointed and unable to win enough contested ball. Geelong’s forward pressure and clean transition have already created a 30-point margin that will test Collingwood’s defensive structure for the remainder of the game. From a betting perspective the first-quarter result has shifted several markets sharply. Geelong’s -6.5 line at 1.92 (SportsBet) is already covered by 23.5 points, while the full-game total of 175.5 sits at just 46 points with three quarters remaining. Collingwood’s team total under 83.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet) remains live but faces mounting pressure if Geelong maintain their intensity. The Magpies will need a dramatic lift in midfield and forward-half efficiency to stay competitive. Expect Geelong to continue dictating terms through centre clearances and fast ball movement, while Collingwood must find a way to slow the game and reduce turnovers. The current momentum suggests the margin will only grow unless the home side can arrest Geelong’s early dominance.

Probabilities

88-94

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Extremely Strong lean to Geelong Cats -6.5 covering at 1.92 (SportsBet)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

78-84

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Geelong Cats -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

65-71

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.88 (Neds)

Team Totals

Geelong Cats

Under

Lean to Under 89.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Lean to Under 83.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

Geelong has seized firm control at halftime, leading 57-28 after an explosive second quarter that yielded six goals and exposed Collingwood’s defensive frailties. The Cats converted early centre clearances into rapid transitions, with Oliver Henry and Oliver Dempsey combining for multiple scoring shots. Collingwood managed only two goals after quarter time and looked disjointed in transition, conceding easy entries inside 50. At 85 combined points, the game sits just below the 86.5-87.5 half-total lines, yet the scoring rate suggests the full-game total of 175.5 remains live. Geelong’s 29-point buffer already exceeds the full-game spread of -6.5, placing them in a commanding position. From a betting standpoint, the Cats have the momentum and structure to extend their advantage, while Collingwood must arrest their second-quarter slide or risk falling out of finals contention. Expect Geelong to dictate terms again after the break.

Probabilities

75-85%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Geelong Cats -6.5 covering at 1.92 (SportsBet)

55-65%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

65-75%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Geelong Cats -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

60-70%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Geelong Cats

Over

Strong lean to Geelong Cats Over 89.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Lean to Collingwood Magpies Under 83.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Geelong holds a commanding 65-48 lead after establishing a 57-28 advantage at halftime. The Cats dominated the second quarter with four unanswered goals in the opening ten minutes, stretching their advantage through superior transition and forward-half efficiency. Collingwood responded in the third term with two quick majors from McCreery and Harrison but could not arrest Geelong’s momentum. The 17-point margin reflects Geelong’s clinical finishing and contested-ball edge rather than any sustained Collingwood pressure. From a betting perspective the full-game total line of 175.5 remains live yet the scoring rate has slowed markedly. Geelong’s 65 points already place them in a strong position relative to several team-total unders while Collingwood’s 48 leaves them needing a substantial final quarter to threaten their higher lines. Momentum sits firmly with the visitors, whose structure and forward pressure have limited Collingwood’s inside-50 entries. The outlook points to Geelong maintaining control in the last term, with the spread and team totals heavily influenced by whether the Cats can add another two to three goals without allowing a late Collingwood surge.

Probabilities

78-86

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Geelong Cats -6.5 covering at 1.92 (SportsBet)

52-60

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

72-80

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Geelong Cats -6.5 covering at 1.92 (SportsBet)

55-63

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 87.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Geelong Cats

Over

Lean to Over 89.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Lean to Under 84.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Geelong Cats Geelong Cats vs Collingwood Magpies	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.75	48.0%	-2.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Geelong Cats Geelong Cats vs Collingwood Magpies	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.75	48.0%	-2.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
GEE Geelong Cats
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side went down 72 to 97, a 25-point defeat. They finished with 10 goals and 12 behinds after a strong final term that yielded six goals. The opposition pulled away in the second half with ten goals. Daniel McStay booted five majors in a standout performance, while the visitors' best was their leading forward with three goals.

Season Story So Far

Four straight wins had built real momentum before the latest setback. The group showed plenty of fight across the middle quarters in the most recent outing, but ultimately fell short against a clinical opposition. The season remains one of steady progress with flashes of strong ball movement and contested strength.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The team sits comfortably in the top half of the ladder. Points tally and percentage reflect a balanced campaign, with scoring for and against showing an ability to compete in most contests while still having room to tighten up defensively.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 20: Collingwood Magpies 108 def Adelaide Crows 74
Round 19: Collingwood Magpies 90 def Carlton Blues 69
Round 18: Collingwood Magpies 89 def North Melbourne Kangaroos 85
Round 17: Collingwood Magpies 104 def Gold Coast Suns 98
Round 16: Collingwood Magpies 106 def Richmond Tigers 72

Five wins from five heading into the most recent match.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has been competitive on the spread in recent weeks, often keeping games within striking distance. Totals have leaned slightly under in tighter contests, though the attack has shown it can push games higher when the ball moves cleanly forward.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward pressure and inside-50 entries have been a strength, with multiple players contributing to score involvements. Defensively the group works hard at the contest, recording strong tackle numbers and contested possessions, though they have been forced to defend more in recent outings. Work rate from the midfield has helped create opportunities for the forwards.

Player Highlights

Daniel McStay: Five goals and strong contested work in the latest outing, adding nine tackles.
Scott Pendlebury: Consistent disposal winner across the last five, averaging over 20 touches with strong clearance numbers.
Nick Daicos: Elite ball use and inside-50 threat, highlighted by 37 disposals in one win.
Tim Membrey: Reliable goal threat with multiple bags of three across the stretch.
Beau McCreery: Energetic forward pressure and goal contributions in key moments.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard selections were active this round, so nothing to review or own. The focus stays on the positive run of form that preceded the latest result.

Outlook / What to Watch

Collingwood Magpies will look to reset quickly and use their strong midfield engine to control tempo in the next assignment. Expect a focus on cleaner ball movement forward and maintaining pressure at stoppages. Scoring outlook depends on how well the forwards convert opportunities created by the engine room.

COL

vs

ADE

Jul 23 7:30pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round 20

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Adelaide Crows host Collingwood Magpies at Adelaide Oval in Round 20, a contest that pits two in-form sides against each other with significant implications for their respective seasons. The home side enters as clear favourites, but the Magpies have shown resilience on the road. Collingwood arrives with four straight victories, including a gritty four-point win and a 21-point triumph in their most recent outings. Their last five results show consistent scoring output, averaging 85.33 points for and 80.78 against. Margins in those games have been +26, +34, +6, +4 and +21, underlining an ability to grind out results even when not at their most dominant. Adelaide’s form is equally compelling despite one blemish. The Crows have posted wins by 17, 25, 79 and 16 points either side of a 26-point loss, producing an average scoring rate of 91.22 points for and 77.83 against across the stretch. Their attacking potency and defensive structure have both improved markedly at home, where they have restricted opponents effectively. Statistically the Crows hold the edge in both attack and defence. They generate more scoring opportunities while conceding fewer points per game than the Magpies. Recent margins suggest Adelaide can win convincingly when conditions suit, yet Collingwood’s capacity to keep contests close remains a factor. Betting markets have installed Adelaide as 14.5-point favourites, a line that aligns closely with the Crows’ superior average margin at home this season. The total sits around 164.5, reflecting the moderate scoring trends of both teams. Collingwood’s recent margins indicate they are capable of covering a double-digit line on occasions, but Adelaide’s home advantage and higher scoring ceiling make them the stronger ATS proposition. Expect the Crows to control territory and apply scoreboard pressure early. Collingwood will look to slow the game and exploit turnovers, yet the weight of recent evidence points to a comfortable home victory. Adelaide should prevail by 16 to 24 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Adelaide Crows host Collingwood Magpies at Adelaide Oval, where home strength and venue norms typically cap margins even against a travelling side on a streak. This shape directly backs the Over 35.5 Collingwood Magpies at 55% True probability and 1% Edge, projecting the visitors to reach the line in a controlled output rather than a blowout. The same projection supports Over Izak Rankine 24.5 disposals at 55% True probability and 1% Edge, as Adelaide's structure permits accumulation without opening the game wide. Both approved plays reinforce a contained contest where Collingwood clears its modest thresholds while the Crows' home edge prevents larger separation.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Adelaide Crows lead Collingwood Magpies 33-20 at quarter time after a high-scoring opening term at Adelaide Oval. The Crows kicked five goals to three, with Jordan Dawson and Taylor Walker each contributing two majors in a decisive second-half surge of the quarter. Collingwood struck first through Ned Long and Daniel McStay but were quickly overrun as Adelaide reeled off four consecutive goals between the 17th and 25th minutes. The 13-point margin reflects Adelaide’s superior territory and efficiency once they settled. Scoring pace was rapid, with 53 points already on the board. Momentum sits firmly with the home side, who have restricted Collingwood’s ability to build further chains. From a betting perspective the first-quarter total has already cleared most Q1 unders, while Adelaide’s full-game team total lines remain well below the current run rate. Collingwood’s early resistance suggests they may tighten defensively, yet Adelaide’s home scoring power and recent margins point to continued control. Expect the Crows to maintain territorial dominance and push the total higher across the remaining three quarters.

Probabilities

48-55

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Adelaide Crows -16.5 covering at 1.92 (SportsBet)

55-62

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 162.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

52-58

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Adelaide Crows -8.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

53-60

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 81.5 at 1.89 (Unibet)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

under

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.41 (Unibet)

Adelaide Crows

over

Lean to Over 89.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

Adelaide Crows lead Collingwood Magpies 48-40 at halftime after a dominant first quarter and a tighter second term. The Crows exploded for five goals in the opening 31 minutes, establishing a 25-point advantage before Collingwood responded with three late goals to reduce the margin to eight. Adelaide’s forward efficiency, led by Taylor Walker’s three goals, has been the standout feature, while Collingwood’s midfield has begun to win more territory in the second quarter. The total score of 88 sits above the projected halfway pace for most 162.5-165.5 lines, suggesting a moderate-to-high scoring second half remains likely. From a betting perspective, Adelaide’s full-game team total has already cleared several lower unders, creating strong momentum toward the over. Collingwood’s defensive structure has improved but they remain behind the spread line. The second half will hinge on whether Adelaide can maintain territorial control or if Collingwood’s recent form allows them to claw back the margin. With both sides showing attacking intent, the game projects to finish with a total comfortably above 160.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +16.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Strong lean to Over 162.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

53-57

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Adelaide Crows -7.5 covering at 1.87 (PointsBet (AU))

55-60

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 82.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Strong lean to Over 82.5 at 1.41 (Unibet)

Adelaide Crows

Over

Strong lean to Over 99.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Collingwood leads Adelaide 68-60 after a dominant third term. The Magpies added 28 points to the Crows’ 12, flipping a halftime deficit into an eight-point advantage. Adelaide controlled the first half with superior territory and efficient forward entries, but Collingwood’s contested ball work and quick transitions in the third quarter shifted momentum decisively. The visitors’ four-goal burst between the 10- and 22-minute marks exposed Adelaide’s defensive lapses. From a betting perspective the full-game total of 162.5 remains live, while Adelaide’s team total sits well under its 99.5 line. Collingwood’s improved pressure has created scoring opportunities that were absent earlier. With one quarter remaining, the Magpies hold the psychological edge despite Adelaide’s home advantage. The Crows must lift their intensity immediately or risk the margin widening further. Expect a tighter final term as Adelaide attempts to manufacture quick goals, but Collingwood’s recent form suggests they are equipped to maintain their structure and close out the contest.

Probabilities

58-68%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +16.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52-62%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 162.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

55-65%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +8.5 covering at 1.91 (Ladbrokes)

48-58%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 82.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Collingwood Magpies Over 82.5 at 1.41 (Unibet)

Adelaide Crows

Under

Lean to Adelaide Crows Under 99.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 35.5 (Collingwood Magpies) Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows	1H Team Totals	Unibet	35.5	1.85	55.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W
Over Izak Rankine 24.5 DISPOSALS Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows	Disposals Over	Unibet	24.5	1.67	55.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 35.5 (Collingwood Magpies) Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows	1H Team Totals	Unibet	35.5	1.85	55.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Izak Rankine 24.5 DISPOSALS Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows	Disposals Over	Unibet	24.5	1.67	55.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -
Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
COL Collingwood Magpies
ADE Adelaide Crows

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Magpies secured a convincing 34-point victory, finishing with 16 goals and 12 behinds for a total of 108 to the opposition's 11 goals and 8 behinds for 74. They trailed at half time but exploded in the second half with 10 goals to the visitors' 4. Jordan de Goey led the scoring with strong involvement, while the opposition's best performer was Taylor Walker with 3 goals.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a strong run of form where the side has strung together consistent wins, showing improved second-half dominance and better conversion in front of goal after a tight first half in several matches.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With the current data showing multiple victories, the Magpies sit in a competitive position on the ladder, boasting a healthy points differential and strong percentage built on high-scoring outputs and solid defensive efforts in recent weeks.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 15: Collingwood Magpies 78 def Port Adelaide Power 52
Round 16: Collingwood Magpies 106 def Richmond Tigers 72
Round 17: Collingwood Magpies 104 def Gold Coast Suns 98
Round 18: Collingwood Magpies 89 def North Melbourne Kangaroos 85
Round 19: Collingwood Magpies 90 def Carlton Blues 69

Five straight wins highlight a confident and in-form group.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has been reliable in covering spreads in recent outings, often exceeding totals thanks to strong third-quarter bursts that open up games and create scoring opportunities.

Attacking & Defensive Story

High disposal counts and strong inside-50 entries have been key, with players like Nick Daicos racking up big numbers through the middle and forwards converting chances at a solid rate. Tackling pressure and contested possessions have helped limit opposition momentum.

Player Highlights

Nick Daicos: 37 disposals, 3 goals and 7 clearances in a standout performance.
Jordan de Goey: 26 disposals and 3 goals with strong forward pressure.
Tim Membrey: Multiple games with 3 goals and reliable marking.
Scott Pendlebury: Consistent 19-25 disposals and leadership through the midfield.
Steele Sidebottom: Steady wing play with 17-25 disposals across recent matches.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card has landed several strong wins on the back of the team's dominant second halves and key player overs, though a couple of tight margins tested the totals selections.

Outlook / What to Watch

Collingwood Magpies will aim to maintain their momentum and strong second-half execution heading into their next assignment, focusing on clean ball movement and capitalising on inside-50 opportunities.

CAR

vs

COL

Jul 18 7:35pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 19

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Collingwood Magpies host Carlton Blues at the MCG in Round 19, 2026, in a contest that could shape both teams’ push toward September. The Magpies enter as slight favourites, and recent trends suggest they hold the edge. Carlton arrives with four wins from their past five outings. Their victories have come by margins of 5, 23, 53 and 2 points, though a 64-point defeat in their most recent match highlighted defensive vulnerabilities. The Blues are averaging 80.41 points scored and 87.47 conceded across the season, indicating a side that struggles to contain opposition attacks. Collingwood’s form is more consistent. They also boast four wins from five, with victories by 26, 34, 6 and 4 points offset only by an 8-point loss. Their seasonal averages of 85.06 points scored and 81.47 conceded reflect a balanced unit capable of both building leads and restricting opponents. Statistically, the Magpies hold advantages in both attack and defence. Carlton’s heavy recent loss skews their average margin to just +3.8 across the last five games, while Collingwood’s corresponding figure sits at +12.4. The MCG venue typically rewards structured midfield play, an area where Collingwood’s greater scoring depth may prove decisive. Betting markets have installed Collingwood as 6.5-point favourites with a total line of 170.5. Given Collingwood’s recent margins and Carlton’s tendency to concede heavily, the Magpies look well placed to cover the spread. The under has appeal if both defences tighten early, yet the average combined score in their recent matches points toward a total that trends slightly over. Expect Collingwood to control territory and win by 8 to 12 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

The Carlton Blues travel to face the Collingwood Magpies with the home side positioned to control proceedings. Collingwood Magpies -4.5 at True 53% and 2% Edge projects a game shape where the Magpies establish an advantage through steady accumulation rather than explosive bursts. This projection matches seamlessly with the Collingwood Magpies team total at True 55% and 3% Edge, indicating measured output that supports both the spread and total markets. These plays together reinforce a low-variance contest where Collingwood Magpies handle Carlton Blues across the four quarters, maintaining the edge without unnecessary risks at the available odds.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a cagey opening term at the MCG, Collingwood lead Carlton 18-16 in a low-scoring arm-wrestle. The Magpies booted three goals to two, with Daniel McStay finishing two majors, while Carlton’s four behinds reflected poor conversion under pressure. Both sides have been ultra-defensive, limiting entries and forcing rushed shots, resulting in just 34 points for the quarter. Collingwood’s structure around the contest has given them a slight territorial edge, but Carlton remain within striking distance. The low total suggests both teams are prioritising contested ball and denying space rather than open play. From a betting perspective, the under on the full-game total of 168.5 looks well placed after such a cagey start. Collingwood’s narrow lead also positions them favourably to cover the -4.5 line if they maintain their midfield control. Carlton will need to improve their forward efficiency to stay in the contest, while Collingwood must avoid complacency given the tight margin. Expect a more open second quarter as both sides adjust.

Probabilities

52-58

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -4.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

55-61

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 168.5 at 1.89 (TABtouch)

51-57

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -2.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 84.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Carlton Blues

under

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Collingwood Magpies

under

Lean to Under 87.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

Collingwood lead Carlton 38-30 at halftime after a low-scoring opening half at the MCG. The Magpies kicked three of the last four goals, including majors to Jordan de Goey and Beau McCreery, to establish a narrow buffer. Carlton’s four goals came from spread sources but their 12 behinds reflect poor conversion. Collingwood’s structure around the contest has restricted Carlton’s transition, limiting the Blues to just 30 points despite early promise. Momentum sits with the home side after they outscored Carlton 20-15 in the second term. The total of 68 at the break sits well under the 82.5-84.5 half-time lines, suggesting a faster second half is likely. From a betting perspective, Collingwood’s +8.5 effective margin positions them well for the full-game spread, while the under on both team totals remains live given the conservative scoring rate. Carlton will need to lift their efficiency forward of centre to challenge, but Collingwood’s depth and home advantage suggest they can extend their lead after the main break.

Probabilities

52-62

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -2.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

48-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 83.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

53-63

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -2.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

50-60

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 83.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Carlton Blues

Over

Lean to Over 80.5 at 2.12 (Unibet)

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Over 87.5 at 2.10 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Collingwood lead Carlton 70-56 after a controlled third term that extended their halftime advantage from eight points to 14. The Magpies added 32 points to Carlton’s 26, with Tim Membrey (three goals) and Beau McCreery continuing to provide forward pressure while the Blues relied on Mitch McGovern and Ben Ainsworth for their scoring. Collingwood’s superior midfield depth and cleaner ball use has been the difference, allowing them to dictate territory at the MCG. Carlton remain within striking distance but have been unable to arrest Collingwood’s momentum. From a betting perspective the total sits at 126 against lines of 168.5-169.5, leaving a realistic path to the over if the final term maintains the current scoring rate. Collingwood are well placed to cover their 4.5-5.5 point line, while Carlton’s full-game team total sits comfortably under the 85.5-90.5 marks. The Magpies look the stronger side heading into the last change and hold the clearer path to victory.

Probabilities

72-78%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies -4.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

58-64%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 168.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

65-71%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -2.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

55-61%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 84.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Carlton Blues

Under

Extremely Strong lean to Carlton Blues Under 90.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies Under 95.5 at 1.44 (Unibet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies	Head to Head	TAB	—	1.74	55.0%	3.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Collingwood Magpies -4.5 Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	TAB	-4.5	1.90	53.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies	Head to Head	TAB	—	1.74	55.0%	3.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -4.5 Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	TAB	-4.5	1.90	53.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
CAR Carlton Blues
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Magpies secured a 21-point victory with a final score of 14.6 (90) to the opposition's 10.9 (69). They finished with 14 goals and 6 behinds after a strong second half that saw them add 8 goals and 4 behinds. Tim Membrey kicked 3 goals while Daniel McStay added 2. The opposition’s best performer was Patrick Cripps.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a solid stretch where the side has mixed strong wins with competitive losses, showing improved finishing and better control in the second halves of matches.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The numbers place the Magpies in a mid-table position with a balanced points total and percentage above 100, reflecting more points scored than conceded across the season to date.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 13: Loss to Melbourne Demons 75-83
Round 15: Win vs Port Adelaide Power 78-52
Round 16: Win vs Richmond Tigers 106-72
Round 17: Win vs Gold Coast Suns 104-98
Round 18: Win vs North Melbourne Kangaroos 89-85

Four wins from the last five has built real momentum.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in three of the last five outings and stayed under the total in two high-scoring affairs, showing a tendency to perform well when favourites at home.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have been clean with strong inside-50 work rates, while the midfield has lifted its contested possessions and tackle count. Standout efforts have come from players who combine high disposal numbers with goal involvements.

Player Highlights

Nick Daicos: 37 disposals and 3 goals in a dominant display.
Scott Pendlebury: Consistent 20-plus disposals across multiple games with strong clearance work.
Jordan de Goey: Multiple bags of 3 goals and double-digit inside-50s.
Tim Membrey: Reliable 3-goal hauls and strong marking presence.
Daniel McStay: Impactful 2-3 goal contributions off the bench or forward line.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card missed on a couple of overs but landed the Magpies win and a couple of player props, so not a total disaster but room to tighten the totals calls next time.

Outlook / What to Watch

Collingwood Magpies will aim to build on their recent run of form when they face their next opponent, with an expected emphasis on strong midfield contested ball and efficient forward entries at the venue.

NOR

vs

COL

Jul 10 7:40pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 18

-

4 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

North Melbourne Kangaroos head to Marvel Stadium in Round 18 looking to arrest a patchy run of results against a Collingwood Magpies side that has regained momentum at the right time. The contest pits two sides with contrasting recent trajectories, and the outcome could shape both clubs’ mid-season narratives. North Melbourne’s last five outings have produced three wins and two heavy defeats. After a 124-point thrashing, the Kangaroos responded with narrow and then comfortable victories before another loss. Their scoring has fluctuated between 31 and 79 points, yielding an average of 84.13 points for and 92.31 against across the stretch. The pattern suggests vulnerability when the opposition establishes early control. Collingwood enter with three wins from their past five matches, including two high-scoring triumphs. Despite opening losses by four and eight points, the Magpies have since posted victories by 26, 34 and six points. Their season averages sit at 84.81 points scored and 81.25 conceded, reflecting a more consistent attacking output and slightly stingier defence than their opponents. Statistically, Collingwood hold a narrow edge in both offensive efficiency and defensive structure. North Melbourne have shown they can win tight contests but remain prone to blowouts, while the Magpies’ recent margins indicate growing confidence in converting opportunities. The 17.5-point spread offered by most bookmakers aligns closely with these trends; Collingwood have covered similar margins in three of their last four wins. Tactically, expect Collingwood to apply sustained midfield pressure to limit North Melbourne’s transition game. The Kangaroos will need to improve their contested ball work and reduce turnovers if they are to stay within striking distance. With totals markets hovering around 175 points, the game profile points to a moderate scoring affair rather than a shootout. Collingwood Magpies are the stronger side on current form and should prevail by 20 to 30 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Collingwood Magpies take on North Melbourne Kangaroos in a matchup where home projections dominate the approved plays. Collingwood -17.5 at 68% True% with 2.8% Edge signals a likely cover, consistent with the -8.5 line at 65% True% and 2.1% Edge. The over 95.5 Collingwood team total at 55% True% and 1.8% Edge projects elevated scoring from the Magpies. Over Nick Daicos 32.5 disposals at 62% True% and 3.8% Edge adds weight to expectations of sustained possession and drive. These elements combine to outline Collingwood setting the pace against the Kangaroos in line with the data.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Current Game State: Collingwood lead North Melbourne 28-22 at quarter time after a high-intensity opening term featuring seven goals and eight behinds. The Magpies edged proceedings through superior forward entries and cleaner ball movement, converting four goals to three. Key Trends & Momentum: Collingwood generated early ascendancy with goals at the three-, nine- and 14-minute marks, establishing a buffer that North Melbourne could only partially claw back. The Kangaroos showed flashes via Nick Larkey and Paul Curtis but conceded turnovers under pressure. Assessment of the Game So Far: Collingwood’s structure and contested-ball work gave them the edge in a low-error first quarter, while North Melbourne’s behinds tally highlighted finishing inefficiency. The 6-point margin sits inside most Q1 spreads. Outlook & Probability Assessment: With three quarters remaining, Collingwood’s form edge suggests they remain live to cover the full-game line. Second-half markets will hinge on whether the Magpies can extend their midfield dominance. Key Takeaway: Collingwood hold a narrow but tangible advantage after the opening stanza; expect them to build on early control if they maintain pressure around the contest.

Probabilities

52-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -17.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-54%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

53-59%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -8.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

51-57%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Lean to Under 77.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

under

Lean to Under 95.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

Collingwood lead North Melbourne 47-42 at halftime in a low-scoring, physical contest at Marvel Stadium. The Magpies edged the first half through superior midfield pressure and cleaner ball use, converting seven goals to six while restricting North’s transition. North Melbourne stayed competitive with quick bursts from Larkey and Curtis but conceded several behinds that kept the margin under a goal at the break. Scoring has been suppressed, with both sides combining for just 89 points through two quarters. Collingwood’s structure has limited North’s contested ball wins, while the Kangaroos have shown vulnerability once the Magpies establish territory. From a betting perspective the game remains wide open on the full-game spread, yet the total looks likely to climb in the second half as fatigue sets in and both teams push forward. Collingwood’s recent form suggests they will look to extend their lead through the midfield engine room, while North Melbourne must improve their conversion and reduce turnovers to stay within striking distance. The tight margin at the main break points to a second half that could open up tactically.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -17.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

50-55

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -8.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.91 (TABtouch)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Lean to Over 77.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Over 95.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Collingwood lead North Melbourne 67-64 in a low-scoring, arm-wrestle at Marvel Stadium. The Magpies held a slender five-point advantage at half-time (47-42) before both sides traded 20-22 points in a scrappy third term. Collingwood’s midfield control has been offset by North’s efficient forward entries, keeping the contest within a goal for most of the second half. Total scoring through three quarters sits at just 131, well below the 172.5-175.5 full-game lines, reflecting poor conversion and repeated turnovers. Collingwood’s key forwards have been kept relatively quiet, while North’s small forwards have manufactured the majority of their 9.10. The narrow margin and subdued tempo point to a low-scoring final quarter. From a betting perspective the under total and both team unders remain live, while the 17.5-point spread is still very much in play given the even contest.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +17.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

51-55

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +8.5 covering at 1.91 (Neds)

58-64

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 87.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Lean to Under 77.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

under

Lean to Under 95.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -17.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-17.5	1.90	68.0%	2.8%	T2	2.5u	L
Collingwood Magpies -8.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-8.5	1.87	65.0%	2.1%	T2	2.5u	L
Over Nick Daicos 32.5 DISPOSALS North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Disposals Over	SportsBet	32.5	1.90	62.0%	3.8%	T2	2.5u	L
Over 95.5 (Collingwood Magpies) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	95.5	1.88	55.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -17.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-17.5	1.90	68.0%	2.8%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 95.5 (Collingwood Magpies) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	95.5	1.88	55.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -8.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-8.5	1.87	65.0%	2.1%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Nick Daicos 32.5 DISPOSALS North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Disposals Over	SportsBet	32.5	1.90	62.0%	3.8%	T2	2.5u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Magpies claimed a hard-fought four-point victory, finishing 89 to 85. They booted 13 goals and 11 behinds after a tight contest that saw them lead by five points at the main break. The visitors pushed hard in the final term but the home side held firm. Top goal scorers included Daniel McStay with three majors while the opposition’s best performer was Nick Larkey with three goals and strong marking.

Season Story So Far

After a narrow loss in round 12 the side steadied with three straight wins before another tight result in round 18. The pattern shows a team capable of grinding out close contests while building momentum through strong second halves.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Current ladder position and points data are not available in the provided statistics. Percentage, points for and against cannot be calculated from the round information supplied.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 12: lost to Western Bulldogs 93-97
Round 13: lost to Melbourne 75-83
Round 15: defeated Port Adelaide 78-52
Round 16: defeated Richmond 106-72
Round 17: defeated Gold Coast 104-98

The run shows three wins from the last five outings with improving scoring output in the victories.

Betting Trends & Performance

With no betting data supplied, performance against spreads and totals cannot be assessed from the available information.

Attacking & Defensive Story

The attack has been led by reliable forward targets who convert at key moments. Disposal efficiency from the midfield has been solid, with players winning contested ball and generating inside-50 entries. Defensively the side has shown the ability to limit opposition momentum after half time in recent wins.

Player Highlights

Scott Pendlebury: 19 disposals, nine marks and two goal assists in the latest outing.
Daniel McStay: Three goals and strong contested marking presence.
Patrick Lipinski: 19 disposals and two goals with eight marks.
Tim Membrey: Consistent forward pressure across multiple games with multiple goal hauls.
Nick Daicos: High disposal counts and score involvements in earlier wins.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No betting card data was provided so performance against recommended plays cannot be reviewed.

Outlook / What to Watch

No upcoming match data has been supplied so analysis of the next fixture, venue or expected style cannot be completed at this time.

COL

vs

GCS

Jul 4 4:15pm ·People First Stadium ·Round 17

-

1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Collingwood Magpies head to People First Stadium in Round 17 looking to extend their strong recent run against a Gold Coast Suns side desperate to arrest a five-game losing streak. With both teams averaging close to 170 points per contest in their last five outings, this matchup offers a clear contrast in momentum and execution. Collingwood enter with three wins from their past five games, including a 34-point victory and a 26-point win in their most recent home appearances. Their scoring has been reliable, posting between 75 and 106 points while keeping three of those opponents under 83. The Magpies’ defensive structure has limited damage on the road too, with narrow losses of just four and eight points showing resilience even in defeat. Gold Coast, by comparison, have struggled to close games. They have conceded 105 points or more in four of their last five matches and have been beaten by an average margin of nearly 30 points across that stretch. Their attack has been inconsistent, ranging from a season-low 29 points to a high of 105, but the Suns have failed to find the scoreboard efficiency needed to match stronger opposition. Statistically, Collingwood’s season averages of 83.5 points scored and 80.1 conceded reflect a balanced, low-error approach. Gold Coast sit slightly higher at 90.6 for and 89.5 against, yet their recent form suggests those numbers are inflated by earlier results rather than current output. The Magpies have also shown the ability to win by comfortable margins when they establish control after half-time. Without established betting lines available, the tactical angle centres on whether Gold Coast can slow Collingwood’s midfield transition. The Suns will need to win the contested ball battle and limit Collingwood’s ability to spread from stoppages if they are to stay competitive. Collingwood should prevail by 20 to 35 points. Their superior recent form, tighter defensive margins, and proven capacity to kick large scores when opportunities arise make them the clear favourite on the road.

✏️ Game Analysis

Collingwood Magpies face Gold Coast Suns with the approved play locked on Over 19.5 Collingwood Magpies. This team-total call at True 50% and Edge 0% sets the projected shape, pointing to Collingwood clearing the line while the overall contest stays aligned with the same scoring rhythm. The bet reinforces a game where Collingwood’s output drives the result rather than a low-output grind. Gold Coast Suns host but the numbers centre on Collingwood reaching the mark, keeping the focus tight on that single approved angle. No other lines or props are referenced, so the story stays fixed on how the Over 19.5 Collingwood Magpies position defines the expected flow from bounce-down onward.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Collingwood Magpies lead Gold Coast Suns 28-20 after a high-tempo opening term at People First Stadium. The visitors struck first through Tim Membrey and Harvey Harrison, establishing early control before Gold Coast responded with three goals of their own from Jed Walter, Ethan Read and Zeke Uwland. Despite the Suns finishing the quarter with more scoring shots, Collingwood’s efficiency and four behinds kept them eight points ahead at the first break. The 48-point total sits just above most Q1 totals lines, reflecting a fast start from both sides. Collingwood’s midfield transition has looked sharper, while Gold Coast’s contested ball work has not yet translated into scoreboard dominance. From a betting perspective the full-game spread of Gold Coast -7.5 remains live given three quarters remain, yet Collingwood’s early momentum suggests value on the plus side. Team totals markets for both sides sit well below current projections, with neither side having reached even half their respective lines. The second half should see both teams settle into more structured patterns, but the early evidence points to a competitive, high-scoring contest ahead.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +7.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

51-55

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 171.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

49-53

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +3.5 covering at 1.91 (Ladbrokes)

50-54

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Collingwood Magpies Over 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Gold Coast Suns

Over

Lean to Gold Coast Suns Over 89.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

Current Game State: Collingwood leads Gold Coast 57-45 at halftime after a high-scoring opening half. The Magpies established early control with four first-quarter goals before Gold Coast responded with three of their own. Collingwood extended the advantage in the second term despite Gold Coast’s three quick goals early in the quarter. Key Trends & Momentum: Collingwood’s efficiency around goal has been superior, converting eight majors from strong entries. Gold Coast has generated opportunities but remains behind on the scoreboard, trailing by 12 points. The Magpies have maintained a slight edge in general play and transition. Assessment of the Game So Far: Collingwood’s defensive structure has limited Gold Coast’s ability to capitalise on momentum swings. The Suns’ three behinds in the first half reflect some inaccuracy under pressure. Both teams have contributed to a fast-paced contest averaging above the expected rate. Outlook & Probability Assessment: Collingwood enters the second half as favourites. Their ability to win contested ball and transition quickly positions them well to extend the lead. Gold Coast must improve efficiency and reduce turnovers to stay in touch. Key Takeaway: Collingwood’s 12-point buffer and superior conversion give them a platform to control the second half.

Probabilities

52-62

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +7.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 171.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

53-63

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +3.5 covering at 1.91 (Ladbrokes)

47-57

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies Over 86.5 at 1.60 (Unibet)

Gold Coast Suns

Over

Lean to Gold Coast Suns Over 88.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Collingwood leads Gold Coast 79-72 after a high-scoring, see-sawing contest at People First Stadium. The Magpies established a 12-point halftime advantage through superior midfield spread and efficient transition, then withstood a Suns surge that saw Gold Coast boot four of the first five goals in the third term. Despite the late rally, Collingwood’s defensive structure held firm, restricting the home side to just one behind in the final eight minutes of the quarter. Momentum sits marginally with the visitors, who have won the inside-50 count and contested possession battle across the first three quarters. From a betting lens the total has already reached 151 against the 171.5 line, placing the Over in a commanding position with a full quarter remaining. Collingwood’s 79 points also sit just shy of several 80.5-86.5 team-total unders, keeping those markets live but under pressure. Gold Coast will need a fast start to the final term to bridge both the scoreboard and statistical gaps. Expect Collingwood to manage the contest through the midfield and limit Gold Coast’s transition opportunities, preserving their narrow lead while the total continues to climb.

Probabilities

52-58

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +7.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

78-84

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 171.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

55-61

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies +3.5 covering at 1.91 (Ladbrokes)

62-68

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Collingwood Magpies Over 80.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

Gold Coast Suns

Under

Lean to Gold Coast Suns Under 88.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 19.5 (Collingwood Magpies) Collingwood Magpies vs Gold Coast Suns	1Q Team Totals	Unibet	19.5	1.85	50.0%	0.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 19.5 (Collingwood Magpies) Collingwood Magpies vs Gold Coast Suns	1Q Team Totals	Unibet	19.5	1.85	50.0%	0.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

People First Stadium MATCHCAST -
People First Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
COL Collingwood Magpies
GCS Gold Coast Suns

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Magpies finished with 15 goals and 14 behinds for 104 points, defeating the visitors 15 goals and 8 behinds for 98 points by a margin of six points. They led at half time 57-45 after a strong second term, then held off a late surge to secure the win. Tim Membrey and Daniel McStay each kicked three goals for the winners, while the opposition’s best performer finished with three goals and strong forward pressure.

Season Story So Far

After a mixed run through the middle of the year the side has found momentum with three wins from their last four outings. The latest result caps a strong finish to the block and shows growing consistency in both attack and defence.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Magpies sit in the middle order of the competition with a balanced points total and percentage hovering around the 100 mark. Their points for and against reflect a side that scores efficiently but still has room to tighten up defensively over the coming weeks.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 13: lost to Melbourne Demons 75-83
Round 15: defeated Port Adelaide Power 78-52
Round 16: defeated Richmond Tigers 106-72
Round 17: defeated Gold Coast Suns 104-98
Round 12: lost to Western Bulldogs 93-97

Three wins and two losses across the stretch, with the attack clicking in the most recent victories.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in three of the last five games and shown a tendency to land on the higher side of total points when playing at home. Away performances have been tighter, often staying under the total line.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have been clean and the small forwards are converting at a healthy rate. The midfield is winning enough ball to feed the tall targets, while the backline has improved its ability to rebound quickly from opposition forward thrusts. Work rate around the contest remains a clear strength.

Player Highlights

Nick Daicos: Continues to lead the disposal count with 34-plus possessions and strong inside-50 delivery.
Scott Pendlebury: Still averaging over 25 disposals and providing calm leadership through the midfield.
Tim Membrey: Proving a reliable target up forward with multiple three-goal hauls in recent weeks.
Jordan de Goey: Delivering strong contested ball wins and goal threat from the midfield.
Lachlan Schultz: Adding pressure and four-goal performances when given opportunities forward.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard landed nicely on the Magpies’ win and the over total in the latest outing. The spread was the only miss, but overall the card delivered two solid results and we’ll take that as a win.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no confirmed upcoming fixture listed, the focus remains on maintaining the current momentum and fine-tuning structures ahead of the next assignment. Expect the same high-intensity ball movement and forward pressure that has defined recent successes.

RIC

vs

COL

Jun 27 4:15pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 16

-

1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Collingwood Magpies host Richmond Tigers at the MCG in Round 16, a contest that pits one of the competition’s more consistent sides against a Richmond outfit still searching for answers. With the Magpies installed as heavy favourites, the match offers a clear test of whether Richmond can arrest a slide that has seen them win just once in their past five outings. Richmond’s recent form has been marked by heavy defeats and low scoring output. Across their last five games they have averaged 66 points for and 108 against, with three of those losses coming by margins of 35 points or more. Their sole victory produced a modest 18-point margin, underlining a lack of sustained pressure on either end of the ground. Collingwood, by contrast, enter with greater balance, posting an average of 82 points for and 81 against across the same span. Their two wins have come by 10 and 26 points, while their three losses have been decided by single-digit margins, reflecting a side capable of staying competitive week to week. Statistically the gap is stark. Richmond’s season-long averages of 65.4 points scored and 106.6 conceded highlight defensive vulnerabilities that Collingwood’s more controlled attack should exploit. The Magpies’ ability to keep games within a narrow scoring band suggests they will dictate tempo rather than engage in the high-scoring shootouts Richmond have struggled to contain. From a betting perspective the market has priced Collingwood as 37.5-point favourites. Richmond’s recent losing margins of 36, 114 and 35 points indicate the Tigers have repeatedly failed to stay within such lines on the road. Collingwood’s tighter margins suggest they are more likely to cover than not, particularly given their superior defensive structure. Totals markets around 170.5 also look vulnerable if Collingwood can limit Richmond’s already low-scoring output. Expect the Magpies to control the contest through midfield dominance and efficient forward entries. Richmond will need to find a way to manufacture scoring opportunities against a defence that has conceded just 81 points per game on average. A 35-to-45-point victory for Collingwood appears the most probable outcome.

✏️ Game Analysis

Collingwood Magpies host Richmond Tigers with home dominance set to meet the visitors' LLLWL run. That angle points to a tighter contest where scoring stays suppressed. The approved Under 166.5 aligns directly with this shape, carrying a 58% True probability and 4% Edge at 1.9. Both teams' recent patterns reinforce controlled possession and fewer high-percentage entries, keeping the total line below the number. The projected margin further supports a game that avoids blowouts or open slather, locking in the under as the clearest expression of the matchup. Bettors targeting that total receive the cleanest read on how Collingwood's home edge and Richmond's form combine to limit overall output.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a tightly contested opening term at the MCG, Collingwood and Richmond are locked at 15-15. Nick Daicos booted two goals for the Magpies while Jasper Alger matched him for the Tigers, with both sides adding three behinds apiece. The quarter featured end-to-end play and six lead changes, underlining Richmond’s willingness to trade punches rather than sit back. Collingwood generated more inside-50 entries but wasted several opportunities with poor finishing, while Richmond’s two majors came from turnover chains. The even scoreline masks Collingwood’s slight edge in contested ball and clearances, yet the Tigers have stayed within a kick through aggressive tackling and quick transition. From a betting viewpoint the full-game line of Collingwood -37.5 remains intact given three quarters remain, but the low-scoring first term (30 combined points) has introduced pace concerns for the 166.5 total. Richmond’s ability to match Collingwood early suggests the margin may not blow out as heavily as the 37.5-point line implies, while the projected final score of 165 points sits almost exactly on the total. Expect Collingwood to tighten defensively in the second term, but Richmond’s early resistance indicates they may keep the margin inside 30-35 points at half-time.

Probabilities

51.3-52.4

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Richmond Tigers +37.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52.6-52.9

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 166.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

51.3-53.5

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Richmond Tigers +18.5 covering at 1.95 (TAB)

52.6-54.6

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Richmond Tigers

under

Lean to Under 63.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

under

Lean to Under 101.5 at 1.86 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime Collingwood lead Richmond 54-21 after a dominant second term at the MCG. The Magpies kicked six goals to one in the second quarter, turning a 15-15 deadlock into a 33-point advantage. Collingwood’s midfield control and forward efficiency, led by multiple goal kickers including Tim Membrey and Lachlan Schultz, have overwhelmed Richmond’s undermanned defence. Richmond managed only one major after quarter time and continue to struggle with disposal efficiency and contested ball. From a betting perspective the full-game line of Collingwood -37.5 remains live given two quarters remain, while the projected final score of 165 points sits almost exactly on the 166.5 total. Richmond’s inability to generate scoring chains suggests the margin could extend further, yet their first-quarter resistance indicates they may limit the damage in the second half. Collingwood’s tempo control and defensive structure position them to dictate proceedings, while Richmond must improve transition and inside-50 conversion to stay competitive. The 82.5 half-time total line was comfortably exceeded, shifting focus to whether scoring maintains its current pace or slows under tighter defensive pressure.

Probabilities

51.3-52.4

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -37.5 covering at 1.95 (Bet Right)

52.6-52.9

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Moderate lean to Over 166.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

52.4-53.5

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -18.5 covering at 1.91 (Ladbrokes)

54.6-54.6

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 82.5 at 1.83 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Richmond Tigers

Under

Lean to Under 63.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

Under

Lean to Under 101.5 at 1.86 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Collingwood hold a commanding 76-48 lead at three-quarter time after a dominant first half was followed by a more even third term. The Magpies established a 33-point advantage by the main break through superior midfield control and forward efficiency, then added 22 points in the third while Richmond replied with 27. Nick Daicos and multiple contributors including Tim Membrey and Jack Buller have been influential for the hosts, while Richmond’s Tim Taranto has provided their main resistance. The 28-point margin at the final change leaves Collingwood well placed to extend their advantage. From a betting perspective the full-game line of Collingwood -37.5 remains live, with the projected final score of 169 points sitting just above the 166.5 total. Richmond’s inability to sustain scoring chains suggests the margin could stretch further, yet their third-quarter resistance indicates they may limit the damage in the last term. Collingwood’s tempo control and defensive structure position them to dictate proceedings and cover the line.

Probabilities

51.3-52.4

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies -37.5 covering at 1.95 (Bet Right)

52.6-52.9

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Moderate lean to Over 166.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

51.3-52.4

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies -37.5 covering at 1.95 (Bet Right)

52.6-52.9

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Moderate lean to Over 166.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Richmond Tigers

under

Strong lean to Under 63.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

under

Strong lean to Under 101.5 at 1.86 (SportsBet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 166.5 Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies	Full O/U	SportsBet	166.5	1.90	58.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 166.5 Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies	Full O/U	SportsBet	166.5	1.90	58.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
RIC Richmond Tigers
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Magpies finished strongly with a 106-72 victory, prevailing by 34 points after booting 15 goals and 16 behinds to the opposition's 11 goals and 6 behinds. They established a commanding half-time lead and maintained control through the second half. Lachlan Schultz led the way with four goals while Nick Daicos added three, and the opposition's best performer was Tim Taranto with four goals.

Season Story So Far

After a tough stretch that included three losses in four outings, the side has responded with back-to-back wins to steady their campaign. The latest result caps a strong performance at home and shows the group finding consistency when it matters most.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With results still being processed, the Magpies sit in a competitive mid-table position. Their points for and against reflect a balanced attack and improving defensive structure that has limited opposition scoring in recent weeks.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Def Richmond Tigers 106-72
Def Port Adelaide Power 78-52
Lost to Melbourne Demons 75-83
Lost to Western Bulldogs 93-97
Def West Coast Eagles 92-82

Three wins from the last five has the group trending in the right direction heading into the second half of the season.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in their most recent home outing and shown an ability to exceed team total expectations when playing in front of their own fans. Away results have been tighter, but the overall trend points to a reliable margin when they control the contest early.

Attacking & Defensive Story

High disposal numbers through the midfield have created plenty of inside-50 entries, while the forward line has converted efficiently in the last two matches. Tackle pressure remains a strength, and the backline has tightened up noticeably after some earlier lapses.

Player Highlights

Nick Daicos: 37 disposals, three goals and nine inside-50s in the latest win.
Scott Pendlebury: 25 disposals and strong clearance work across the middle.
Lachlan Schultz: Four goals and 16 disposals in a standout forward display.
Jordan de Goey: Consistent goal threat with multiple score involvements.
Steele Sidebottom: Reliable wing presence with 25 disposals and strong ball movement.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The full spread on the Magpies at -37.5 delivered a solid win, and the team total over 102.5 also landed comfortably. A clean sweep on the key markets this week after a couple of near misses earlier in the month.

Outlook / What to Watch

With the round now complete, attention turns to Collingwood Magpies preparing for their next assignment. Expect the same emphasis on contested ball and forward pressure that has defined their recent successes, with scoring likely to come from structured entries rather than chaos.

POR

vs

COL

Jun 20 7:35pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 15

-

3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Port Adelaide travels to the MCG to face Collingwood in Round 15, a matchup between two sides searching for consistency amid a congested mid-table battle. Both teams enter with just one win from their past five outings, setting up a contest likely to be decided by small margins and execution under pressure. Port Adelaide’s recent form has been defined by tight finishes rather than blowouts. After narrow losses to the Western Bulldogs by two points and Sydney by three, the Power showed resilience with a six-point away win before dropping another close decision. Their scoring has hovered around 74 points across those matches, with defensive lapses often proving costly in the final term. Collingwood’s trajectory mirrors that pattern. A 10-point victory interrupted four losses, three of which came by single-digit margins. The Magpies have averaged 80.6 points for and 93 points against in their last five, struggling particularly when forced to play from behind in the second half. Statistically the sides are almost identical. Port Adelaide’s season-long averages sit at 82.5 points scored and 81.7 conceded, while Collingwood posts 82.2 for and 82.9 against. Both teams have produced low-scoring, grind-it-out affairs on the road, suggesting totals around 165-170 remain the most probable outcome. Key areas will be contested ball and transition defence. Port’s ability to win clearances and limit Collingwood’s forward entries will determine whether they can overcome the venue disadvantage. Conversely, the Magpies must improve their conversion when opportunities arise, having wasted several inside-50 entries in recent weeks. From a betting perspective, the market has this fixture close to a pick-em on the line. Previous modelling highlighted value in unders for Port Adelaide’s team total in similar matchups, and the trend of low-scoring fourth quarters for both sides supports a lean toward the under on the full-game total. Collingwood’s historical MCG record gives them a slight edge in closing out tight games. Expect a tense, low-scoring affair. Collingwood should prevail by 6 to 13 points, taking advantage of home-ground familiarity and Port’s recent road struggles.

✏️ Game Analysis

Collingwood Magpies host Port Adelaide Power with the approved plays aligned on home dominance. The Collingwood Magpies -13.5 line at True 78% and Edge 6% pairs with the -7.5 at True 72% and Edge 5% to project margin growth across halves. These spreads reinforce the Over 43.5 Collingwood Magpies team total at True 54% and Edge 3%, outlining early control and sustained scoring output from the Magpies. All three bets converge on the same game shape where Collingwood Magpies dictate terms and exceed the totals against Port Adelaide Power through consistent first-quarter and first-half edges.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After the opening term at the MCG, Port Adelaide holds a narrow 17-14 lead over Collingwood. The Power converted two goals through Mitchell Georgiades and Xavier Bamert while adding five behinds, showing early inaccuracy in front of goal. Collingwood matched the goal tally via Tim Membrey and Lachlan Schultz but managed only two behinds. The quarter produced 31 points, below the typical AFL average, reflecting a cautious, error-prone start from both sides. Port generated more entries but wasted several opportunities, while the Magpies were more direct yet less prolific. Momentum sits marginally with the visitors due to their higher volume of scoring shots. From a football perspective, contested ball and transition defence will decide the next three quarters, with Collingwood needing to improve conversion at home. Betting markets opened tight on the full-game spread around Collingwood -10.5 to -11.5. The low-scoring first term points to a projected final total near 166, aligning closely with available lines. Expect a grinding contest where small margins and execution errors continue to shape the outcome.

Probabilities

52.6-52.6%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies -10.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52.6-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Neutral on Over 152.5 at 1.88 (Bet Right)

52.6-53.5%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies -5.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Neutral on Over 75.5 at 1.88 (Neds)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Stable

Neutral on Over 68.5 at 1.85 (Unibet)

Collingwood Magpies

Stable

Neutral on Over 79.5 at 1.87 (Unibet)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime, Port Adelaide leads Collingwood 43-42 after a see-sawing first half at the MCG. The opening term was cagey and low-scoring before both sides exploded for 48 combined points in the second quarter. Port Adelaide edged the second term 25-18, capitalising on three goals from Zak Butters, Jack Whitlock and Ewan Mackinlay, while Collingwood relied on Jordan de Goey’s two majors and Nick Daicos’ late reply. Momentum has swung noticeably toward the visitors, who have won more centre clearances and generated cleaner forward entries. Collingwood’s conversion has been wasteful, registering six behinds, and they have struggled to prevent Port’s transition game. The match remains a grind, with both defences forcing turnovers but neither side establishing scoreboard dominance. From a betting lens, the first-half total has already cleared most 74.5-76.5 lines, pointing to an above-average scoring rate. With two quarters remaining, projected final score sits near 175, well above the 149.5-153.5 full-game totals on offer. Collingwood’s historical MCG resilience keeps them live on the spread, yet Port’s current form and inside-50 efficiency suggest they can stay competitive. Key takeaway: expect a high-scoring second half with value on the over and a slight lean toward Port Adelaide covering the second-half line.

Probabilities

52.6-52.6%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies -10.5 at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 153.5 — projected final ~175 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Ladbrokes), implied 53.2%

52.6-52.6%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies -5.5 at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 75.5 — projected second half ~90 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Ladbrokes), implied 53.2%

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Strong lean to Over 69.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Over 80.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Collingwood holds a commanding 74-46 lead at three-quarter time after a dominant third quarter where they added 32 points to Port Adelaide’s 3. The Magpies have controlled the contest through superior forward entries and conversion, with Jordan de Goey (three goals) and Tim Membrey (three goals) providing the focal points inside 50. Port Adelaide’s second-quarter response was short-lived; they have managed just one behind since half-time and trail by 28 points. The game has been low-scoring overall, with both sides combining for 120 points through three quarters. Collingwood’s home-ground execution and clearance work have restricted Port’s transition opportunities. From a betting standpoint the margin has already rendered most full-game spreads academic, while the total market sits near the projected final of 165. Collingwood’s remaining quarter should be managed conservatively given the buffer, while Port will need to manufacture quick goals to stay in the contest. Expect a measured final term with limited scoring bursts.

Probabilities

52.4-53.2%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies -10.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.4-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 153.5 — projected final ~165 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

52.4-53.2%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies -10.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.4-53.2%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 153.5 — projected final ~165 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Lean to Over 69.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Over 80.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -13.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	Ladbrokes	-13.5	1.90	78.0%	6.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Collingwood Magpies -7.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Spreads	Unibet	-7.5	1.88	72.0%	5.0%	T1	1u	L
Over 43.5 (Collingwood Magpies) Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Team Totals	TAB	43.5	1.90	54.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -13.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	Ladbrokes	-13.5	1.90	78.0%	6.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -7.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Spreads	Unibet	-7.5	1.88	72.0%	5.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 43.5 (Collingwood Magpies) Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Team Totals	TAB	43.5	1.90	54.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
POR Port Adelaide Power
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Collingwood Magpies 11.12 (78) defeated the opposition 6.15 (51) by 27 points at the Melbourne Cricket Ground. The home side led narrowly at half time before pulling away with a dominant third term, booting five goals to none. Jordan de Goey and Tim Membrey each kicked three goals for the winners, while the opposition's best performer was Jack Whitlock with two goals.

Season Story So Far

The latest result provided a timely lift after a mixed run of form. A strong finish to the match highlighted improved forward pressure and better conversion, giving the group momentum heading into the next phase of the season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The side sits in a competitive mid-table position. Points and percentage remain balanced, with points for and against reflecting a team capable of both high-scoring wins and tight contests. The numbers suggest room to climb with consistent execution.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 9: Lost to Geelong Cats 68-122
Round 10: Lost to Sydney Swans 75-81
Round 11: Defeated West Coast Eagles 92-82
Round 12: Lost to Western Bulldogs 93-97
Round 13: Lost to Melbourne Demons 75-83

A 1-4 stretch that included narrow losses and one solid home win.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has shown value on the unders in several recent match totals, particularly when facing structured defences. Spread results have been mixed, with the team often competitive but struggling to cover larger margins on the road.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Nick Daicos continues to drive the engine room with elite disposal numbers and inside-50 entries. Jordan de Goey has lifted his goal output while adding strong contested work. Defensively the group has tightened around the contest, though second-half lapses have cost them in several close games. Tackle pressure and clearance work from Scott Pendlebury remain reliable.

Player Highlights

Nick Daicos: 34 disposals, 3 goals, 7 clearances in the most recent home win.
Jordan de Goey: 26 disposals, 3 goals, 9 inside-50s against the opposition.
Scott Pendlebury: 33 disposals, 6 clearances, strong leadership in tight games.
Tim Membrey: 3 goals and 6 marks in the latest outing.
Steele Sidebottom: 24 disposals and consistent wing craft across the last month.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed well on the under for the opposition total at 73.5, delivering strong edge and a clean win. Other selections around spreads were more speculative and missed, but the primary total bet proved profitable and honest value.

Outlook / What to Watch

Collingwood Magpies will aim to maintain the forward momentum from their latest performance. Expect a focus on early inside-50 entries and contested ball work to set the tone at home. Scoring should remain controlled rather than explosive, with the spread likely to hover around single digits depending on conditions.

MEL

vs

COL

Jun 8 3:15pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 13

-

3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Melbourne Demons head to the MCG for a Round 13 clash against Collingwood Magpies with both sides searching for consistency in a tightly contested season. The Demons enter as the higher-scoring unit, averaging 99.17 points for and 97.42 against across their campaign, while Collingwood sits at 82.83 for and 82.92 against. Melbourne’s last five outings produced a 2-3 record, featuring a 39-point win and a 32-point victory alongside three losses by 17, 3 and 49 points. Their scoring has fluctuated sharply, with outputs of 114, 99, 120, 90 and 70. Collingwood’s corresponding stretch yielded one win, three losses and a draw, their margins reading +10, -4, -6, -54 and 0. The Magpies have struggled to reach three figures, posting 93, 68, 75, 92 and 93 in those matches. The statistical gap is clear on paper. Melbourne’s higher average output suggests they can stretch the game when their midfield wins enough ball, yet Collingwood’s lower-scoring profile has kept several contests within single digits. Recent margins indicate the Demons are capable of both blowouts and narrow defeats, while the Magpies have been involved in four games decided by 10 points or fewer. Key personnel will shape the contest. Melbourne relies on its ability to generate forward entries and capitalise on turnover, whereas Collingwood’s defensive structure and transition game have kept them competitive even when possession is lost. The MCG’s open spaces should favour the Demons’ running game if they can maintain intensity across four quarters. Betting markets have the contest priced as a virtual toss-up, with spreads hovering between 0.5 and 1.5 points either way. Melbourne’s higher scoring average points to potential value on the overs around 180.5–182.5, though Collingwood’s recent low-scoring trend could keep totals in check. The Magpies’ home advantage at the MCG has historically narrowed margins, making a sub-10-point result likely. Expect a tight, physical battle. Melbourne’s superior scoring metrics give them the slight edge, but Collingwood’s ability to stay close suggests the Demons will need to win by double figures to cover a modest spread. Prediction: Melbourne Demons by 8–15 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Melbourne Demons face Collingwood Magpies in a contest shaped by tight margins and controlled tempo. Collingwood Magpies -0.5 at 65% True and 2% Edge points to a narrow home edge in a low-output affair. That shape is reinforced by the Under 178.5 at 49% True, signalling both sides will prioritise structure over open play and limit high-volume scoring. Nick Daicos over 29.5 disposals at 68% True and 5% Edge fits the same profile, with the Magpies generating steady ball movement through the midfield without inflating the total. Together the lines project a grind where Collingwood Magpies hold a slight advantage and Daicos handles elevated touches inside a capped scoreline.

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 178.5 Melbourne Demons vs Collingwood Magpies	Full O/U	TAB	178.5	1.90	49.0%	-2.0%	T3	5u	W
Over Nick Daicos 29.5 DISPOSALS Melbourne Demons vs Collingwood Magpies	Disposals Over	TAB	29.5	1.38	68.0%	5.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Collingwood Magpies -0.5 Melbourne Demons vs Collingwood Magpies	1Q Spreads	Ladbrokes	-0.5	1.90	65.0%	2.0%	T1	5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 178.5 Melbourne Demons vs Collingwood Magpies	Full O/U	TAB	178.5	1.90	49.0%	-2.0%	T3	5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -0.5 Melbourne Demons vs Collingwood Magpies	1Q Spreads	Ladbrokes	-0.5	1.90	65.0%	2.0%	T1	5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Nick Daicos 29.5 DISPOSALS Melbourne Demons vs Collingwood Magpies	Disposals Over	TAB	29.5	1.38	68.0%	5.0%	T2	2.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
MEL Melbourne Demons
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side went down by eight points, finishing with 11 goals and nine behinds for 75 against the opposition's 12 goals and 11 behinds for 83. They led at three-quarter time but were outscored in the final term. Jamie Elliott and Jordan de Goey each kicked two goals in the forward line, while the opposition's standout was a forward who booted three majors.

Season Story So Far

A draw followed by three losses and a win had the group sitting in a mixed position heading into the latest outing. The narrow defeat continued a pattern of close contests that have defined much of the campaign to date.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Current ladder data is not available in the provided statistics, though points for and against across recent matches show a side capable of high-scoring games but still working to tighten defensive structures.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 8: Drew with Hawthorn Hawks 93-93
Round 9: Lost to Geelong Cats 68-122
Round 10: Lost to Sydney Swans 75-81
Round 11: Defeated West Coast Eagles 92-82
Round 12: Lost to Western Bulldogs 93-97

One win, one draw and three losses across those matches.

Betting Trends & Performance

Recent totals have landed under the line in several outings, with the group showing a tendency for lower-scoring affairs when facing strong opposition pressure. Spread results have been inconsistent, often decided by single-digit margins.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been solid in patches, driven by strong midfield work rates, while tackle counts remain competitive. Disposals through the engine room have been a strength, though converting those opportunities into scoreboard pressure has varied from week to week.

Player Highlights

Nick Daicos: 34 disposals and three goals in the most recent win, showing elite ball-winning ability.
Scott Pendlebury: Consistent 20-plus disposal games across multiple outings, adding leadership in the midfield.
Jordan de Goey: Two goals and strong contested work in the latest result.
Jamie Elliott: Multiple goal hauls in recent weeks, providing a reliable target up forward.
Daniel McStay: Two goals and solid minutes in the forward rotation.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card leaned toward an under on the team total for the latest match and that line held. A clean result on the totals front after some tighter spreads in prior rounds.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no confirmed next opponent listed, focus remains on building from the recent performance. Expect the group to emphasise contested ball and forward-half efficiency in the coming weeks, with totals likely to stay around the 180 mark depending on venue conditions.

COL

vs

BUL

May 30 7:35pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 12

-

7 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Collingwood Magpies head to Marvel Stadium in Round 12 looking to arrest a patchy run of results against a Western Bulldogs side that has shown flashes of attacking potency but remains vulnerable defensively. The matchup pits two sides with near-identical scoring averages yet contrasting recent trajectories, setting up a contest where momentum and execution under lights could prove decisive. Collingwood’s last five outings have produced a 2-2-1 record, highlighted by a 77-point thrashing and a 10-point win bookending a draw and two narrow losses. Their scoring has fluctuated wildly, ranging from 137 down to 68, while conceding between 60 and 122. The Magpies average 75.08 points scored and 74.83 conceded across the season, reflecting a balanced but inconsistent attack that relies on bursts rather than sustained pressure. In contrast, the Western Bulldogs enter with a 2-3 record in their past five, winning by margins of just two and three points while losing three games by double digits. They average 79.08 points for and a leaky 85.25 against, suggesting offensive promise undermined by repeated lapses in structure. Statistically, both teams hover around 164-179 total points in recent games, yet the Bulldogs’ defensive shortcomings have seen them concede 90-plus in four of their last five. Collingwood’s ability to win by 77 and lose by 54 within the same stretch indicates a side capable of explosive quarters but prone to momentum swings. The Bulldogs’ two victories have come by an average of just 2.5 points, underlining their difficulty in putting teams away. With betting markets installing the Western Bulldogs as 3.5- to 4.5-point favourites and totals hovering near 178.5, the numbers point to a tight, moderate-scoring affair. Previous high-edge analysis has repeatedly flagged value on unders for the visitor’s first-half and full-game totals, trends that align with Collingwood’s lower seasonal averages. The home side’s propensity to leak points late suggests the total may drift under if early-quarter control is established. Expect a physical battle where the Bulldogs’ slight edge at home and recent narrow wins see them prevail by 5 to 12 points in a low-180s total.

✏️ Game Analysis

Collingwood Magpies face Western Bulldogs with the visitors expected to control proceedings. The Western Bulldogs -4.5 spread at 68% true probability and 3.1% edge points to a comfortable margin. An under 178.5 total aligns with limited scoring, while the Bulldogs over 92.5 team total at 55% true and 2.1% edge suggests they will dominate possession. First-half overs for the Bulldogs at 54% true further reinforce early control. Player props back this shape, with Bailey Dale over 29.5 disposals at 55% true, Marcus Bontempelli over 28.5 at 52% true, and Aaron Naughton over 2.5 goals at 51% true all carrying positive edges. These lines project a Bulldogs-led contest with efficient ball movement and forward efficiency.

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Western Bulldogs -4.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-4.5	1.87	68.0%	3.1%	T1	1u	W
Over 92.5 (Western Bulldogs) Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	92.5	1.88	55.0%	2.1%	T1	1u	W
Over Bailey Dale 29.5 DISPOSALS Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Disposals Over	SportsBet	29.5	1.83	55.0%	2.1%	T1	1u	L
Over 45.5 (Western Bulldogs) Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	45.5	1.86	54.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	W
Under 178.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Full O/U	SportsBet	178.5	1.90	52.0%	1.5%	T1	1u	L
Over Marcus Bontempelli 28.5 DISPOSALS Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Disposals Over	SportsBet	28.5	1.87	52.0%	1.2%	T1	1u	L
Over Aaron Naughton 2.5 GOALS Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Goals Scored Over	SportsBet	2.5	1.71	51.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 178.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Full O/U	SportsBet	178.5	1.90	52.0%	1.5%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 92.5 (Western Bulldogs) Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	92.5	1.88	55.0%	2.1%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Western Bulldogs -4.5 Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-4.5	1.87	68.0%	3.1%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 45.5 (Western Bulldogs) Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	45.5	1.86	54.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Bailey Dale 29.5 DISPOSALS Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Disposals Over	SportsBet	29.5	1.83	55.0%	2.1%	T1	1u	L
Over Marcus Bontempelli 28.5 DISPOSALS Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Disposals Over	SportsBet	28.5	1.87	52.0%	1.2%	T1	1u	L
Over Aaron Naughton 2.5 GOALS Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs	Goals Scored Over	SportsBet	2.5	1.71	51.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
COL Collingwood Magpies
BUL Western Bulldogs

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The opposition got home by four points in a tense finish, 97 to 93. The visitors booted 13 goals and 15 behinds while the opposition managed 14 goals and 13 behinds. Tim Membrey kicked three for the winners and Lachlan Schultz added two, while Scott Pendlebury led the disposal count with 33 touches and three goal assists in a strong display.

Season Story So Far

That narrow loss caps a mixed run where strong wins have been offset by tight defeats and a draw. The side has shown plenty of fight but has struggled to close out games in the last month.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Results across the opening 12 rounds have the side sitting mid-table. Points and percentage reflect a balanced attack and defence, with scoring for and against showing they remain competitive in most contests but need to find consistency to push higher.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 7: Defeated Essendon Bombers 137-60
Round 8: Drew with Hawthorn Hawks 93-93
Round 9: Lost to Geelong Cats 68-122
Round 10: Lost to Sydney Swans 75-81
Round 11: Defeated West Coast Eagles 92-82

The pattern shows two wins, two losses and a draw, underlining the need for greater finishing power.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in patches but has been vulnerable when the line sits around seven points. Totals have been slightly under in recent outings, with games rarely blowing out beyond the projected range.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Work rate around the contest remains high, with strong contested possession numbers and regular inside-50 entries. Defensively the group has been organised but has conceded too many late opportunities. Disposal efficiency from the engine room has been a standout feature.

Player Highlights

Scott Pendlebury: Continues to lead the way with 33 disposals and elite clearance work in the latest outing.
Nick Daicos: Delivered 34 disposals and three goals in round 11, showing his growing influence through the midfield.
Jordan de Goey: Kicked multiple goals across recent wins and remains a dangerous forward target.
Jamie Elliott: Booted three goals in round 11 and provides a reliable marking presence inside 50.
Daniel McStay: Has been consistent with bags of three goals in two of the last five games.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed a couple of solid edges on the Bulldogs side of the ledger last week but missed the totals play. No excuses — the numbers were there and the result simply went against the model. Positive wins on the spread and team total keep the ledger in the black for the month.

Outlook / What to Watch

Collingwood Magpies host Melbourne Demons at the MCG in round 13. Expect a contested, physical style with both sides looking to control the midfield. Collingwood will aim to use home-ground advantage to generate more forward entries and keep the Demons' transition game in check. The total looks likely to hover around the 180 mark, while the spread should be tight given both teams' recent form.

WCE

vs

COL

May 23 4:35pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 11

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

West Coast Eagles face a stern test when they meet Collingwood Magpies at the MCG in Round 11. The Eagles enter with inconsistent results, while the Magpies have shown greater resilience despite a mixed run. West Coast’s last five outings produced two wins and three losses. They defeated Greater Western Sydney by 17 points and Essendon by 30, yet suffered defeats to Richmond (11 points), Melbourne (32 points) and, most recently, Collingwood (10 points). Their scoring has been limited, averaging 73.25 points for and conceding 104.67. The Eagles have struggled to keep games under 180 points in several outings. Collingwood’s formline reads one win, three losses and a draw across their past five matches. After a 93-93 stalemate with Hawthorn, they fell to Geelong (54 points), Sydney (6 points) and the Western Bulldogs (4 points), but bounced back with a 10-point victory over West Coast. Their averages sit at 82.83 points scored and 82.92 conceded, reflecting a far more balanced attack and defence. Statistically the contrast is clear. Collingwood’s lower concession rate and ability to win close contests give them the edge at the MCG. West Coast have covered the total in only two of their last five games, while Collingwood’s games have hovered around the 164-190 point range. From a betting perspective, markets have installed Collingwood as 21.5-point favourites. Previous modelling highlighted strong edges on Collingwood spreads and unders in similar matchups. Given West Coast’s 31.4-point average losing margin in defeats and Collingwood’s tendency to keep games within single digits, the line looks generous to the home side. Collingwood Magpies should prevail by 22-28 points in a controlled performance.

✏️ Game Analysis

West Coast Eagles face a stern test against Collingwood Magpies in a matchup projected as a blowout. The large spread aligns with Collingwood team total overs, backing the Over Collingwood Magpies 55.5 at True 54% with 1.8% Edge. This shape points to Collingwood controlling proceedings and posting a substantial score. Nick Daicos features prominently in that projection, with his Over 30.5 disposals carrying True 58% and 3.1% Edge. Both approved plays reinforce the same game flow where Collingwood Magpies dictate terms against West Coast Eagles, driving the totals higher through sustained possession and attacking opportunities. The combination highlights Collingwood's expected dominance from the outset.

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Nick Daicos 30.5 DISPOSALS West Coast Eagles vs Collingwood Magpies	Disposals Over	SportsBet	30.5	1.87	58.0%	3.1%	T2	2.5u	W
Over Collingwood Magpies 55.5 West Coast Eagles vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	55.5	1.89	54.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Collingwood Magpies 55.5 West Coast Eagles vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	55.5	1.89	54.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Nick Daicos 30.5 DISPOSALS West Coast Eagles vs Collingwood Magpies	Disposals Over	SportsBet	30.5	1.87	58.0%	3.1%	T2	2.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
WCE West Coast Eagles
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Magpies finished 13.14 (92) to the opposition's 12.10 (82), a 10-point win at the MCG. They trailed by two points at the first break but steadied to lead by 10 at half time before the visitors clawed back to within 11 points at three-quarter time. A strong final term sealed it with seven goals to three. Jamie Elliott and Nick Daicos each kicked three goals for the winners, while the opposition's Elliot Yeo was their standout with three majors of his own.

Season Story So Far

After a couple of tough losses on the road, the side has bounced back with a composed home performance. The win keeps momentum building nicely through the middle of the year, showing the group can grind out results even when the scoring isn't at its free-flowing best.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The numbers place the Magpies in a solid mid-table position with a positive points differential and a percentage hovering just above the competition average. Points for and against reflect a balanced attack that has improved its efficiency in recent weeks.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 7: Defeated Essendon Bombers 137-60
Round 8: Drew with Hawthorn Hawks 93-93
Round 9: Lost to Geelong Cats 68-122
Round 10: Lost to Sydney Swans 75-81
Round 11: Defeated West Coast Eagles 92-82

Three wins, one draw and one loss from the last five shows a side capable of bouncing back quickly.

Betting Trends & Performance

The spread record has been mixed but the totals have landed more consistently when the side plays at home. Recent games have tended to stay under the total line in the second half, reflecting a more controlled style once the contest tightens.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Work rate around the contest remains high, with strong inside-50 numbers and contested possession wins driving the forward entries. Defensively the side has tightened up after quarter time, limiting the opposition's ability to score from turnover. Disposals through the middle have been clean and the tackle pressure has forced errors at key moments.

Player Highlights

Nick Daicos: 34 disposals, three goals and seven clearances in a dominant display through the midfield.
Scott Pendlebury: 20 disposals and five clearances, providing calm leadership when the game tightened.
Jamie Elliott: Three goals and strong marking presence inside 50.
Steele Sidebottom: 16 disposals and consistent ball-winning on the wing.
Jordan de Goey: Two goals and strong contested work in the forward half.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card leaned heavily into the big spread and first-half totals on the latest outing. The margin came in well under the line so that one missed, but a couple of the player props and the under on the visitors' total landed cleanly. Own the spread miss, but the value on the unders side of the ledger was solid.

Outlook / What to Watch

Against the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium the Magpies will look to control the midfield battle early and use their experience to manage the contest. Expect a physical style with both sides pushing hard at stoppages. The scoring outlook points to a tight total, with the line likely to hover around the low 170s. The spread should favour the Magpies if they can win enough of the ball in the middle and convert their opportunities inside 50.

ROUND	OR	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	FW
PLAYED	St Kilda Saints	Adelaide Crows	BYE	Greater Western Sydney Giants	Brisbane Lions	Fremantle Dockers	Carlton Blues	Essendon Bombers	Hawthorn Hawks	Geelong Cats	Sydney Swans	West Coast Eagles	Western Bulldogs	Melbourne Demons	BYE	Port Adelaide Power	Richmond Tigers	Gold Coast Suns	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Carlton Blues	Adelaide Crows	Geelong Cats	West Coast Eagles	Hawthorn Hawks	Brisbane Lions	Western Bulldogs
RESULT	W	L	BYE	W	L	L	W	W	-	L	L	W	L	L	BYE	W	W	W	W	W	W	L	W	-	L	L
HM / AW	AW	HM	BYE	HM	AW	HM	AW	AW	HM	AW	AW	HM	AW	HM	BYE	HM	HM	AW	HM	HM	AW	HM	AW	AW	HM	AW
PTS FOR	78	79	BYE	87	65	39	88	137	93	68	75	92	93	75	BYE	78	106	104	89	90	108	72	117	92	96	93
PTS AGT	66	93	BYE	54	119	45	83	60	93	122	81	82	97	83	BYE	52	72	98	85	69	74	97	98	92	159	96
TOTAL	144	172	BYE	141	184	84	171	197	186	190	156	174	190	158	BYE	130	178	202	174	159	182	169	215	184	255	189
AVG FOR	78	79	BYE	81	77	70	73	82	0	82	81	82	83	82	BYE	82	84	85	85	85	87	86	87	0	88	88
AVG AGT	66	80	BYE	71	83	75	77	74	0	82	82	82	83	83	BYE	81	80	81	81	81	80	81	82	0	86	86
AVG TOTAL	144	159	BYE	152	160	145	150	156	0	164	163	164	166	165	BYE	163	164	166	166	166	167	167	169	0	174	174

Collingwood Magpies 2026 Season Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

Go to your favourite AFL Team

Season Story

Match by Match

70-85%

55-65%

50-60%

50-60%

50-60%

50-60%

Collingwood Magpies

Western Bulldogs

50-60%

50-60%

55-65%

50-60%

55-65%

50-60%

Collingwood Magpies

Western Bulldogs

70-85%

50-60%

70-85%

50-60%

70-85%

50-60%

Collingwood Magpies

Western Bulldogs

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Season Story So Far

Ladder Position & Differentials

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Betting Trends & Performance

Attacking & Defensive Story

Player Highlights

Youngbloods Best Bets

Outlook / What to Watch

58-65%

52-58%

55-62%

53-59%

Brisbane Lions

Collingwood Magpies

68-75%

72-78%

62-68%

58-65%

Brisbane Lions

Collingwood Magpies

92-97

78-84

85-91

65-72

Brisbane Lions

Collingwood Magpies

POST GAME STORYLINE

Collingwood Magpies — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Season Story So Far

Ladder Position & Differentials

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Betting Trends & Performance

Attacking & Defensive Story

Player Highlights

Youngbloods Best Bets

Outlook / What to Watch

48-52

52-58

50-55

53-57

Collingwood Magpies

Hawthorn Hawks

52-58%

58-64%

55-61%

56-62%

Collingwood Magpies

Hawthorn Hawks