North Melbourne Kangaroos 2026 Season | Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

NOR

vs

SYD

Aug 23 3:20pm ·Sydney Cricket Ground ·Round 24

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1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

North Melbourne Kangaroos head to the Sydney Cricket Ground in Round 24 facing a stern test against the in-form Sydney Swans. With both sides locked in contrasting campaigns, this contest offers a clear chance for the home side to stamp their authority on the final round of the home-and-away season. The Kangaroos enter the match with just one win from their past five outings. Their recent results show a pattern of narrow defeats interspersed with one standout victory, producing an average losing margin of 11 points across those games. Scoring has been inconsistent, with the side averaging 84.64 points for and conceding 93.27 per game. While they showed attacking promise in their lone win, defensive lapses have repeatedly allowed opponents to pull away in the second half. Sydney, by contrast, have won four of their last five matches and boast a commanding average winning margin of 37.4 points in that stretch. Their attack has clicked at a high level, posting 110 points per game on average while restricting opponents to just 81.77. The Swans have repeatedly built substantial leads by quarter time and maintained control through the middle stages, underlining both offensive potency and defensive structure. Statistically the gap is stark. North Melbourne’s season-long averages of 84.64 points scored and 93.27 conceded sit well below Sydney’s 110 and 81.77 respectively. The Swans’ ability to win by large margins in four of their past five games suggests they are well equipped to cover the current spread, which sits between 3.5 and 4.5 points in their favour across most agencies. Key personnel will need to stand up for the Kangaroos if they are to stay competitive, particularly in the midfield and forward line where sustained pressure has been lacking. For Sydney, maintaining their high-scoring output while continuing to limit opposition entries will be central to another comfortable victory. From a betting perspective, the totals line at 189.5 looks reachable given both teams’ recent scoring trends, though Sydney’s defensive record tilts the game toward the under. The most compelling angle remains the spread: Sydney’s recent margins far exceed the modest line on offer. Expect the Swans to prevail comfortably. A victory by 25 to 40 points appears the most likely outcome at the SCG.

✏️ Game Analysis

Sydney Swans host North Melbourne Kangaroos with form and percentage trends pointing to a controlled contest. The matchup projects a total staying under 197.5, supported by a True 52% probability and 2% edge at 1.9. Home venue and scoring patterns reinforce the same game shape, limiting combined output from both sides. Sydney's structure meets North Melbourne's inconsistencies to keep the scoreline below the line. Bettors on the under find every factor aligned for a lower-scoring outcome when the ball is bounced down.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After the opening quarter at the SCG, Sydney Swans hold a 27-20 lead over North Melbourne Kangaroos. The home side kicked four goals to three and added three behinds, establishing a seven-point advantage in a high-scoring first term that produced 47 points. Sydney struck quickly with goals from Caiden Cleary, Jesse Dattoli, Tom Hanily and Billy Cootee, while North Melbourne responded through Charlie Spargo, Paul Curtis and Jy Simpkin. The Swans controlled more of the forward entries and converted efficiently despite some wayward shots. North Melbourne stayed within touching distance but conceded the last two scoring shots before the siren. Momentum sits with Sydney, who have won four of their last five matches by an average of 37 points. The Kangaroos’ recent form has been inconsistent, and their defensive structure showed early signs of strain. From a betting perspective the modest Q1 spread lines around Sydney -0.5 to -1.5 look well positioned given the home side’s territorial edge. The full-game total line near 198.5 remains in play but the fast start suggests the game may trend higher. Sydney’s ability to build leads early and maintain structure positions them strongly for the remainder. Expect the Swans to extend their advantage through superior midfield control and forward pressure.

Probabilities

58-68

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Sydney Swans -4.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52-62

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 198.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-65

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Sydney Swans -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

53-63

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 97.5 at 1.88 (Neds)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Lean to Under 95.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Sydney Swans

Over

Lean to Over 101.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime Sydney Swans lead North Melbourne 61-35 after a dominant second quarter that produced 40 points to the visitors’ 13. The Swans controlled the contest from the opening minute, converting early opportunities and restricting North Melbourne’s forward entries. Sydney’s midfield dominance and efficient transition play have created repeated scoring chances, while North Melbourne have struggled to maintain pressure and have conceded turnovers that the home side has punished. The 26-point margin reflects Sydney’s superior structure and execution rather than any single standout performance. From a betting perspective the full-game total sits at 198.5, with the current combined score of 96 leaving room for either outcome depending on second-half tempo. Sydney’s team total lines around 101.5-102.5 already look vulnerable given their 61-point first half. North Melbourne’s modest output suggests their full-game totals under 95.5-96.5 remain live. The second-half spread markets price Sydney as short favourites, consistent with their established momentum. Expect the Swans to maintain control and push the margin further unless North Melbourne can generate early second-half territory and limit Sydney’s transition.

Probabilities

62-68%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Sydney Swans -4.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

51-57%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 198.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

58-64%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Sydney Swans -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

53-59%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 99.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Strong lean to Under 95.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Sydney Swans

Over

Strong lean to Over 101.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Sydney Swans hold a commanding 75-54 lead over North Melbourne Kangaroos after a dominant first half (61-35) and a controlled third term. The Swans have restricted North to just 19 points in the last 30 minutes while adding 14 of their own, underlining superior structure and efficiency. North Melbourne have shown fight through Nick Larkey and Cameron Zurhaar but remain well behind the contest. From a betting lens the full-game spread sits between -3.5 and -5.5 in Sydney’s favour; the current 21-point margin already exceeds those lines with one quarter remaining. The total line hovers near 198.5-199.5; at 129 points scored the under retains value unless the final term explodes. Team totals show North Melbourne at 54 against lines of 95.5-101.5 under and Sydney at 75 against 101.5-102.5 under. Momentum clearly favours the home side. Sydney’s defensive pressure and ability to control tempo suggest they will comfortably cover the spread while keeping the game under the total line. Expect the Swans to add another 20-30 points and limit North to 15-25 in the last quarter.

Probabilities

88-94

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Very Strong lean to Sydney Swans -5.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 198.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

78-84

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Sydney Swans -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

58-64

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 99.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Strong lean to Under 95.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Sydney Swans

under

Lean to Under 101.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 197.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans	Full O/U	SportsBet	197.5	1.90	52.0%	2.0%	T4	7.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 197.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans	Full O/U	SportsBet	197.5	1.90	52.0%	2.0%	T4	7.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Sydney Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Sydney Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos
SYD Sydney Swans

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Kangaroos went down by 53 points, finishing with 10 goals and 10 behinds for 70 points against the opposition's 17 goals and 21 behinds for 123. They started steadily but were outscored heavily in the second half. The opposition's top performer kicked three goals in a dominant display.

Season Story So Far

The side has battled hard through a challenging stretch, showing moments of promise in attack but struggling to close out games. Recent efforts highlight a team still developing consistency across all quarters.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With limited ladder data available, the numbers reflect a season of tough results. Points for and against show the need for greater efficiency in both scoring and defence to lift percentage and climb the standings.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 24: Loss to Sydney Swans 70-123
Round 23: Loss to Geelong Cats 110-125
Round 21: Loss to Hawthorn Hawks 83-99
Round 20: Loss to St Kilda Saints 62-93
Round 19: Loss to Melbourne Demons 76-92

Five straight defeats have tested the group, though several matches stayed competitive into the final term.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Kangaroos have generally fallen short of spread expectations in recent weeks, with totals often landing lower than anticipated due to defensive lapses allowing opponents to control the game.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward pressure has been a highlight, with strong inside-50 entries and contested marking from key targets. Defensively, the side has worked hard on tackles and clearances but has been stretched by opposition ball movement and quick transitions.

Player Highlights

Nick Larkey: Booted five goals in one outing with strong marking and 10 disposals.
Paul Curtis: Consistent threat with multiple three-goal hauls and solid work rate inside 50.
Jack Darling: Reliable contributor across games, mixing goals with strong contested possessions.
Cameron Zurhaar: Delivered 19 disposals and two goals in the latest match.
Cooper Trembath: Showed promise with three goals and good contested marking.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No active betting card data available this round. The focus remains on honest assessment of performances rather than speculative plays.

Outlook / What to Watch

North Melbourne Kangaroos will look to finish the season strongly, focusing on improved ball movement and defensive structure in their next contest. Expect a high-tempo approach with emphasis on forward entries and tackling pressure to challenge the opposition.

GEE

vs

NOR

Aug 15 3:45pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 23

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🧠 Match Preview

Geelong Cats head to Marvel Stadium in Round 23 looking to extend their strong late-season surge against a North Melbourne Kangaroos side still searching for consistency. With both teams carrying distinct momentum into the contest, the match offers a clear test of attacking efficiency versus defensive resilience. Geelong enter the fixture in excellent recent form, securing four wins from their past five outings. Their scoring has been potent, posting 102, 117, 97 and 117 points in victories while restricting opponents effectively in most games. The single loss came by 13 points, yet the overall trend shows an average winning margin of 34.75 points across those triumphs. North Melbourne, by contrast, have managed just one win in the same stretch, with four defeats by margins of 4, 16, 31 and 16 points before a 23-point victory in their most recent match. Their attack has been limited, averaging under 84 points per game across the period. Statistically the gap is pronounced. Geelong average 99.86 points for and 82.81 against, while North Melbourne sit at 83.43 for and 91.76 against. The visitor’s superior scoring rate and ability to win by substantial margins suggest they will control territory and tempo at Marvel Stadium. Key matchups will revolve around Geelong’s forward structure exploiting North Melbourne’s defensive lapses, particularly in transition. The home side will need to improve contested ball wins and reduce turnovers to stay competitive beyond the opening quarter. Betting markets reflect this disparity, with Geelong favoured by spreads of 20.5 to 23.5 points across major agencies. Recent margins indicate the Cats have comfortably covered similar lines in four of their last five games. Totals markets sit around 178.5 to 180.5, aligning closely with Geelong’s average game total of 183 but slightly above North Melbourne’s 175. The likelihood of the total staying under appears moderate given Geelong’s recent defensive improvements. Geelong should secure a convincing victory. Expect them to win by a margin of 28 to 38 points in a performance that underscores their superior form and statistical edge heading into the final round.

✏️ Game Analysis

Geelong Cats face North Melbourne Kangaroos with betting angles centered on North Melbourne's scoring output. The approved plays target overs on North Melbourne Kangaroos team totals, specifically over 83.5 and over 41.5. These lines project a game shape where North Melbourne exceeds these benchmarks despite a True% of 48% and Edge of -1% on each. The underdog spread alignment with Geelong's defensive rating supports a scenario favoring North Melbourne's offensive contributions in the totals. Both plays reinforce expectations of North Melbourne surpassing the set thresholds in this contest at SportsBet odds of 1.85 and 1.89 respectively. This setup highlights the projected scoring path for the Kangaroos against the Cats.

⚡Quarter Time Report

North Melbourne Kangaroos have produced a stunning first-quarter demolition of Geelong Cats at Marvel Stadium, racing to a 44-6 lead after just 30 minutes. Seven goals to one, including a blistering opening burst of three majors in the first 15 minutes, has completely flipped pre-game expectations. Jy Simpkin and Jack Darling combined for four goals while Geelong managed just a single major from Jay Polkinghorne. The 38-point margin at quarter time is the largest Q1 deficit Geelong have suffered all season. Momentum sits heavily with the home side, who have controlled territory, won the contested ball battle and restricted Geelong to almost no forward entries. From a betting perspective, North Melbourne have already cleared several team total lines and sit well placed to cover the +4.5 Q1 spread. Full-game totals around 187.5 remain live but will require a significant second-quarter slowdown to stay under. Geelong’s inability to generate scoring opportunities suggests their pre-game favouritism may be under pressure unless they arrest the momentum immediately after the break.

Probabilities

62-68

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +18.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

55-61

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 187.5 at 1.90 (Dabble AU)

58-64

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +9.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 93.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Geelong Cats

Over

Lean to Geelong Cats Over 102.5 at 1.87 (TABtouch)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 83.5 at 1.88 (TABtouch)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime North Melbourne Kangaroos trail Geelong Cats 57-64 after a high-scoring opening half that saw both sides trade momentum swings. North Melbourne started explosively with seven goals in the first term but Geelong responded with ten second-quarter majors to seize a narrow seven-point advantage. The visitors have generated superior forward entries and cleaner ball movement, while North Melbourne’s defensive structure has shown vulnerability in transition. Total scoring sits at 121, well below the 187.5-189.5 full-game lines, suggesting a slower second half is possible. From a betting perspective Geelong’s ability to extend their lead remains the key variable. The Cats need to improve their conversion in the third term to cover the -18.5 full-game spread, while North Melbourne must arrest momentum quickly or risk falling out of the contest. With one half remaining the game remains open but Geelong’s superior recent form and statistical edge give them the clearer path to victory.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Geelong Cats -18.5 covering at 1.95 (Bet Right)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 187.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

50-55

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Geelong Cats -9.5 covering at 1.94 (Neds)

48-54

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 94.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Geelong Cats

Over

Strong lean to Geelong Cats Over 102.5 at 1.87 (TABtouch)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 83.5 at 1.88 (TABtouch)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time North Melbourne lead Geelong 89-88 in a tense, high-scoring contest at Marvel Stadium. Geelong held a 64-57 advantage at half-time after a dominant second quarter, yet North exploded in the third with seven goals to four to snatch the narrow lead. The home side’s forward pressure and quick transition have disrupted Geelong’s structure, while both teams have traded momentum swings. Total score sits at 177, just 10-12 points shy of the 187.5-189.5 full-game totals lines. Geelong remain heavy pre-game favourites at -18.5 but must overcome a one-point deficit and North’s current momentum to cover. From a betting lens the game is finely balanced heading into the final term, with the result likely decided by which side wins the contested ball and reduces turnovers in the last 30 minutes.

Probabilities

52-58

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +18.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-54

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 187.5 at 1.90 (Dabble AU)

51-57

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +9.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

49-55

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 93.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Geelong Cats

Under

Lean to Geelong Cats Under 102.5 at 1.87 (TABtouch)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 83.5 (North Melbourne Kangaroos) Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	83.5	1.85	48.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	W
Over 41.5 (North Melbourne Kangaroos) Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	41.5	1.89	48.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 83.5 (North Melbourne Kangaroos) Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	83.5	1.85	48.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 41.5 (North Melbourne Kangaroos) Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	41.5	1.89	48.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
GEE Geelong Cats
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

North Melbourne Kangaroos 110 (17.8) went down to the opposition 125 (19.11) by 15 points at Marvel Stadium. The side led at three-quarter time after a strong first half that saw them boot nine goals to the visitors' ten, but the final term proved costly as the opposition added six goals to three. Nick Larkey kicked a big bag of five goals while Jack Darling booted four in a losing cause.

Season Story So Far

The latest result continues a challenging run where the side has struggled to close out tight contests. Despite showing patches of strong forward pressure and contested ball work, the team has found it difficult to maintain momentum across four quarters against quality opposition.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position and points are not available in current data, but the percentage and points differential reflect a season where the side has been outscored in recent weeks, sitting well behind the top half of the competition.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 17: Loss to Port Adelaide Power
Round 18: Loss to Collingwood Magpies
Round 19: Loss to Melbourne Demons
Round 20: Loss to St Kilda Saints
Round 21: Loss to Hawthorn Hawks

Five straight defeats heading into the latest outing, with the pattern of close losses continuing.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has been consistently unders on the total in recent outings, with scoring drying up in the final quarters. Spread results have also been tough, with the team rarely covering the line when facing stronger opposition.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have been solid at times, with strong work from the tall timber creating opportunities inside 50. Defensively the side has battled to limit opposition transitions, particularly from half-back where clean ball movement has hurt them. Tackle pressure has been a positive in patches but needs to be more consistent.

Player Highlights

Nick Larkey: 5 goals and strong contested marking in the latest win for the forwards.
Jack Darling: 4 goals and 10 disposals, providing a reliable target up forward.
Paul Curtis: Consistent goal threat across recent weeks with multiple bags of 2-3 goals.
Cooper Trembath: Showed promise with 3 goals and strong contested possession work.
Jack Darling: Also led in disposals in several games, adding versatility.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard data available this round, so nothing to review. We'll own the miss and look forward to clearer signals next time around.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no upcoming match listed in the data, focus remains on building consistency for North Melbourne Kangaroos heading into the back end of the season.

NOR

vs

BUL

Aug 6 7:30pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 22

-

4 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

North Melbourne Kangaroos face a stern test when they meet Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium in round 22. The contest carries clear implications for both sides as the season winds down, with the Bulldogs looking to solidify their position while the Kangaroos search for late-season improvement. The Kangaroos enter the match on the back of five straight defeats. Their recent margins read 21, 4, 16, 31 and 16 points, producing an average losing margin of 17.6 points. Across those games they have averaged 82.6 points scored and 92.5 conceded, highlighting persistent issues at both ends of the ground. Western Bulldogs present a more varied but ultimately stronger profile. After a 35-point loss, they recorded wins of 16, 9 and 57 points before a 37-point defeat. Their season averages sit at 81.7 points for and 86.2 against, reflecting greater scoring efficiency and slightly better defensive structure than their opponents. Statistically the Bulldogs hold the edge in both attack and defence. Their ability to post big scores in favourable match-ups, combined with a lower points-against average, suggests they are better equipped to control tempo at Marvel Stadium. The Kangaroos have struggled to keep games close, frequently conceding large margins once the contest opens up. Betting markets reflect this gap, installing the Bulldogs as 20.5- to 22.5-point favourites. Recent Kangaroos margins indicate they are unlikely to cover such a line consistently, while the Bulldogs’ three wins in their past five outings show the capacity to exceed similar spreads. The total line sits near 171.5; given both teams’ combined averages, a moderate scoring game remains the most probable outcome. Western Bulldogs should prevail by a comfortable margin. Expect them to win by 25 to 35 points, capitalising on North Melbourne’s ongoing defensive vulnerabilities and their own superior recent form.

✏️ Game Analysis

North Melbourne Kangaroos face Western Bulldogs with the Bulldogs backed heavily at home. The Western Bulldogs team total at 72% True and 8% Edge supports a strong performance, aligning with the -7.5 spread at 62% True and 5% Edge. This points to the Bulldogs controlling the contest and covering the margin against North Melbourne Kangaroos' defence. The under 172.5 at 52% True and 3% Edge reinforces a lower-scoring shape where efficiency matters over volume. Ryley Sanders over 22.5 disposals at 50% True and 2% Edge fits the Bulldogs dominating possession in a controlled win. These lines together project Western Bulldogs dictating terms with disciplined play limiting the total while Sanders contributes significantly in the midfield.

⚡Quarter Time Report

North Melbourne Kangaroos have seized early control at Marvel Stadium, powering to a 36-15 lead after the opening quarter. Six goals to two, including a clinical burst from Paul Curtis and contributions from Jy Simpkin, George Wardlaw and Jack Darling, exposed Western Bulldogs’ defensive lapses. The Bulldogs managed only three behinds in the first 15 minutes and struggled to generate clean entries against a more aggressive Kangaroos press. Scoring has been efficient and one-sided, with North Melbourne converting opportunities at a high rate. From a betting perspective, the first-quarter total of 51 points has already cleared several Q1 totals lines, while the margin of 21 points sits well above most Q1 spreads. Full-game markets remain in play, but the early dominance suggests North Melbourne are well positioned to exceed their team-total projections if they maintain intensity. Western Bulldogs will need significant adjustments at the first break to stem the flow and regain territory. Momentum clearly sits with the visitors, who have dictated terms through superior forward pressure and cleaner ball movement.

Probabilities

48-52%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52-56%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

50-54%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +6.5 covering at 2.00 (TAB)

53-57%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 78.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Western Bulldogs

Under

Lean to Western Bulldogs Under 93.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

North Melbourne Kangaroos lead Western Bulldogs 62-36 at halftime after a commanding first half at Marvel Stadium. The visitors exploded in the opening term, booting seven goals to two, with Paul Curtis and Jy Simpkin prominent, establishing a 26-point buffer. The Bulldogs responded in the second quarter but could not arrest the momentum, trailing by 26 at the main break. North Melbourne’s efficiency inside 50 and ability to capitalise on turnover has been decisive. From a betting perspective the total has already reached 98 against the 174.5 line, keeping the over live. North Melbourne’s 62 points also sits well above several full-game team total unders, suggesting their scoring run is likely to continue. The Bulldogs will need a sharp third quarter to claw back into the contest, but North Melbourne’s current form and structure give them the clearer path to extend the margin.

Probabilities

58-65

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52-58

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Western Bulldogs -6.5 covering at 1.92 (Ladbrokes)

55-62

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 78.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Western Bulldogs

Under

Lean to Western Bulldogs Under 93.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time North Melbourne leads Western Bulldogs 79-69 after a dominant first half (62-36) was partially clawed back by the home side’s 33-point third term. The Kangaroos have controlled the contest through superior forward entries and Paul Curtis’s four goals, while the Bulldogs’ midfield spark from Bontempelli and Kennedy has kept them within striking distance. Scoring has been moderate overall, with the total sitting at 148. North Melbourne’s 79 already exceeds several full-game team-total lines, placing them in a commanding position. Momentum sits with the visitors despite the Bulldogs’ strong quarter, as North’s lead and efficiency suggest they can manage the final term. From a betting view, the spread remains live but North’s buffer is meaningful, while the game total hovers near the 174.5 mark with one quarter remaining. Expect a tighter final period as both sides manage fatigue and the Bulldogs push for a late surge.

Probabilities

62-72%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-58%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

55-65%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +6.5 covering at 2.00 (TAB)

52-62%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Extremely Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 78.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Western Bulldogs

Under

Lean to Western Bulldogs Under 93.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Western Bulldogs North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.42	72.0%	8.0%	T2	2.5u	L
Western Bulldogs -7.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs	1H Spreads	Ladbrokes	-7.5	1.90	62.0%	5.0%	T1	1u	L
Under 172.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs	Full O/U	SportsBet	172.5	1.90	52.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	L
Over Ryley Sanders 22.5 DISPOSALS North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs	Disposals Over	SportsBet	22.5	1.81	50.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Western Bulldogs North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.42	72.0%	8.0%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 172.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs	Full O/U	SportsBet	172.5	1.90	52.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Western Bulldogs -7.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs	1H Spreads	Ladbrokes	-7.5	1.90	62.0%	5.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Ryley Sanders 22.5 DISPOSALS North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs	Disposals Over	SportsBet	22.5	1.81	50.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos
BUL Western Bulldogs

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

North Melbourne Kangaroos finished with 15 goals and 10 behinds for a total of 100 points, defeating the opposition who managed 11 goals and 11 behinds for 77 points in a 23-point win. The side started strongly with 6 goals to 2 in the opening term before extending the lead to 26 points by half time. A tight third quarter kept things interesting but the visitors pulled away late. Paul Curtis kicked a bag of 4 goals while Jack Darling added 2 majors, with the opposition's best performer finishing with 2 goals.

Season Story So Far

The latest result provided a much-needed lift after a challenging run of form. While results had been tough in recent weeks, the performance showed improved attacking intent and better conversion in front of goal, giving the group something positive to build on heading into the back end of the season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With ladder data still being finalised, the focus remains on the raw numbers. The side has shown it can score heavily when the ball moves forward cleanly, though defensive pressure and contested ball work will need ongoing attention to climb the standings.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 17: Lost to Port Adelaide Power by 21 points
Round 18: Lost to Collingwood Magpies by 4 points
Round 19: Lost to Melbourne Demons by 16 points
Round 20: Lost to St Kilda Saints by 31 points
Round 21: Lost to Hawthorn Hawks by 16 points

The most recent outing broke the sequence with a convincing victory.

Betting Trends & Performance

Without detailed betting data available, the pattern has been one of narrow margins in several close contests before the latest comfortable win. The group has shown it can cover the line when the midfield wins enough of the ball to create scoring opportunities.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward pressure has been a highlight, with multiple players contributing to inside-50 entries and score involvements. Tackling numbers have been solid in patches, though maintaining that intensity across four quarters remains a work in progress. Disposals through the midfield have been efficient when the side gets on top early.

Player Highlights

Paul Curtis: 4 goals, 19 disposals and strong forward pressure in the latest win.
Jack Darling: 2 goals, 16 disposals and 9 marks, providing a strong target up forward.
Nick Larkey: Consistent marking and goal threat across recent games with multiple score involvements.
Cooper Trembath: Showed promise with 3 goals and clean ball use in a key forward role.
Jack Gunston: Delivered 2 goals and strong contested marking in recent outings.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Youngbloods Best Bets card missed the mark on several selections across the recent stretch. We own the misses and will look to tighten the focus on games where the side controls the contested ball and forward entries more effectively.

Outlook / What to Watch

North Melbourne Kangaroos will aim to maintain the momentum from their strong attacking display. Expect a continued emphasis on quick ball movement into the forward line and improved defensive structure. Scoring outlook remains positive if the midfield can repeat the early dominance seen in the latest outing, with spreads likely to be tested in a high-tempo contest.

NOR

vs

HAW

Aug 1 1:35pm ·UTAS Stadium ·Round 21

-

1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Hawthorn Hawks enter their Round 21 clash with North Melbourne Kangaroos at UTAS Stadium as clear frontrunners, carrying strong recent momentum into a contest that could further separate the sides’ trajectories. The Hawks have secured four wins from their past five outings, showcasing an ability to dominate when their attack clicks. North Melbourne’s form has been patchy by comparison. A solitary victory in their last five matches came via a 14-point home win, but that was followed by four straight defeats where they conceded between 73 and 93 points each time. Their scoring has remained modest, rarely stretching beyond the mid-80s. Statistically the contrast is stark. North Melbourne average 82.58 points scored and 92.16 conceded across the season, while Hawthorn post 100.21 for and a far tighter 80.84 against. In their most recent five games the Hawks’ margins read +14, -35, +64, +70 and +93, underlining both their ceiling and the occasional lapse. North’s corresponding margins of +14, -21, -4, -16 and -31 reflect a side that struggles to keep contests close once momentum shifts. The betting market reflects these trends. Bookmakers have installed Hawthorn as 35.5- to 38.5-point favourites, with the total line set around 174.5. Given Hawthorn’s recent offensive spikes and North’s defensive vulnerabilities, the spread looks reachable for the home side, while the total could hover near the line if both teams find the goals early. Tactically, Hawthorn’s capacity to post three-figure scores against weaker opposition should stretch North’s backline. North will need to improve their contested ball work and reduce turnovers if they are to stay within striking distance at half-time. Expect Hawthorn to control the contest from the opening term and finish with a comfortable victory. A final margin of 35 to 45 points appears the most probable outcome.

✏️ Game Analysis

Hawthorn Hawks host North Melbourne Kangaroos with the approved Over 106.5 team total for Hawthorn Hawks setting the tone. This play at True 75% and 7% Edge reinforces a projected game shape where Hawthorn builds a clear lead through steady scoring across quarters. North Melbourne Kangaroos face the task of restricting that output on the road yet the data shows no contradictions in the patterns. The 5-unit stake at 1.88 odds from SportsBet locks in the conviction that Hawthorn exceeds 106.5 points. Both teams are named in the matchup and the single approved line aligns directly with expected margin and total without deviation. This shapes the contest around Hawthorn dominance from the opening bounce.

⚡Quarter Time Report

North Melbourne Kangaroos have seized early control at UTAS Stadium, leading Hawthorn Hawks 26-9 at the end of the opening term. The visitors converted four goals to one, with Harry Sheezel, Nick Larkey, Cooper Trembath and Zac Banch all finding the big sticks while Hawthorn managed only three behinds after their lone major from Will Day. North’s efficiency in front of goal and cleaner ball movement has already put the pre-game 36-point line under pressure. Hawthorn’s early behinds from Gunston and Meek suggested attacking intent, yet they were unable to capitalise on inside-50 entries. The 17-point margin after one quarter is larger than either side’s recent first-term averages and signals that North’s contested-ball work is exceeding expectations. From a betting viewpoint the total has already reached 35 points, placing the 174.5 line on a strong trajectory if the pace continues. Hawthorn must lift their conversion rate and reduce turnovers in the second term or risk falling too far behind the spread before half-time.

Probabilities

58-65

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne +36.5 covering at 1.88 (TAB)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.90 (Sportsbet)

48-55

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Hawthorn Hawks -18.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

55-62

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.85 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Lean to Over 69.5 at 1.88 (Unibet)

Hawthorn Hawks

Over

Lean to Over 105.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime the scores sit level at 46-46 in a contest that has defied pre-game expectations. Hawthorn entered as clear favourites but North Melbourne matched them early, leading by 17 points at the first break after efficient forward entries. The second quarter belonged to the Hawks, who kicked five goals to three and erased the deficit through Nick Watson’s three-goal burst and strong contributions from Jack Gunston and Josh Ward. Both sides have been inaccurate in front of goal, with Hawthorn’s 6.10 contrasting North’s 7.4, yet the overall tempo has remained measured. Momentum has shifted toward Hawthorn after their dominant middle period, but the margin remains zero and the game stays within reach for the visitors. From a betting perspective the total has tracked below the anticipated 174.5 line, while the spread market has tightened considerably from the pre-game 35-38 point range. Hawthorn’s superior recent form suggests they will look to stretch the game in the third term, but North’s ability to stay within striking distance at the main break keeps the contest alive heading into the second half.

Probabilities

52-58

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Hawthorn Hawks -4.5 covering at 1.88 (Sportsbet)

48-54

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 174.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

55-61

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD_H1

Lean to Hawthorn Hawks -5.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

51-57

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL_H1

Lean to Over 88.5 at 1.85 (Unibet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Lean to North Melbourne Under 88.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

Hawthorn Hawks

Over

Lean to Hawthorn Over 88.5 at 1.90 (Sportsbet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time North Melbourne leads Hawthorn by a single point, 69-68, in a tense, low-scoring arm-wrestle at UTAS Stadium. After a fast-opening first half that produced 92 combined points, both sides have tightened defensively in the third term. Nick Watson’s four goals have kept Hawthorn within striking distance, while North’s forward line has been clinical through Nick Larkey and Cooper Trembath. Hawthorn’s inaccuracy (14 behinds) has prevented them from seizing momentum despite superior inside-50 entries. From a betting viewpoint the total has tracked well under the pre-game 174.5 line, while the margin has collapsed from the expected 35-plus point Hawthorn advantage. With one quarter remaining, field position and turnover differential will decide whether the narrow margin holds or swings decisively. Both teams show signs of fatigue, suggesting a lower-scoring final term is probable.

Probabilities

62-68

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +36.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

58-64

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 174.5 at 1.88 (Sportsbet)

55-61

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

60-66

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 87.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 82.5 at 1.85 (Unibet)

Hawthorn Hawks

Under

Lean to Hawthorn Hawks Under 95.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 106.5 (Hawthorn Hawks) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Hawthorn Hawks	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	106.5	1.88	75.0%	7.0%	T3	5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 106.5 (Hawthorn Hawks) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Hawthorn Hawks	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	106.5	1.88	75.0%	7.0%	T3	5u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

UTAS Stadium MATCHCAST -
UTAS Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos
HAW Hawthorn Hawks

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side went down by 16 points after finishing with 12 goals and 11 behinds for 83 points to the opposition's 14 goals and 15 behinds for 99. They held their own in the first half but were outscored after the main break. Cooper Trembath booted three goals while the opposition's standout performer kicked five.

Season Story So Far

The campaign has featured a blend of competitive efforts and tough results, with the group showing improvement in patches but still searching for greater consistency across four quarters.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The team currently sits outside the top eight with a modest points tally. Their percentage hovers below the competition average, reflecting a season where points for have been outpaced by points against, highlighting the need for greater efficiency in both attack and defence.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Win vs Essendon Bombers 79-65
Loss to Port Adelaide Power 52-73
Loss to Collingwood Magpies 85-89
Loss to Melbourne Demons 76-92
Loss to St Kilda Saints 62-93

Four losses from five has left the group with plenty to work on heading into the back end of the season.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has struggled to cover the spread in recent weeks, with totals also landing on the lower side more often than not. Accuracy issues have played a part in keeping scores down.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have been solid at times but conversion remains a work in progress. The midfield has worked hard at the coalface with strong tackle counts and contested possessions, while the backline has shown moments of resilience but has been stretched by opposition movement. Standout individual efforts have kept the team in several contests.

Player Highlights

Jack Darling: Consistent goal threat with multiple bags across recent games and strong marking presence.
Paul Curtis: Dynamic forward who has contributed multiple goals and score involvements in key matches.
Nick Larkey: Tall target who has taken strong marks and added to the scoreboard regularly.
Cooper Trembath: Impressive recent haul including three goals in the latest outing.
Jacob Konstanty: Provided spark with two goals and solid work rate in his opportunities.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard missed the mark this round with several player props falling short. Still, earlier wins on key goal scorers and disposal tallies provide a platform to refine selections moving forward.

Outlook / What to Watch

The North Melbourne Kangaroos will look to sharpen their forward efficiency and maintain defensive structure in their next outing. Expect a focus on contested ball and reducing turnovers to build a stronger platform for scoring opportunities.

STK

vs

NOR

Jul 26 3:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 20

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

St Kilda Saints head to Marvel Stadium in Round 20 looking to extend their momentum against North Melbourne Kangaroos in a contest that could shape both clubs’ late-season trajectories. With the Saints averaging 89.61 points scored and 86.17 conceded, they enter as clear favourites on the back of a more consistent attacking output. St Kilda’s last five matches reveal a mixed but high-scoring pattern: wins by 8, 67 and 14 points sandwiching losses by 22 and 27. The heavy 117-50 victory stands out as an outlier, yet the overall trend shows the Saints capable of both explosive scoring and occasional lapses. North Melbourne’s form has been patchier, recording wins by 25 and 14 points against losses of 21, 4 and 16. Their season averages of 83.72 points for and 92.11 against reflect ongoing defensive vulnerabilities that St Kilda will aim to exploit. The statistical edge lies with the visitors. St Kilda’s points-per-game differential sits at +3.44, while North Melbourne’s is -8.39. Recent margins suggest the Saints have produced three wins by double figures in their past five outings, whereas the Kangaroos have managed just two victories and have been held under 80 points twice. Key tactical match-ups will centre on midfield control and forward-half efficiency. St Kilda’s ability to generate higher scoring shots should test North Melbourne’s structure, particularly if the game opens up in the second half. Bookmakers have installed St Kilda as 12.5-point favourites, a line that aligns closely with recent margins. The total sits at 176.5, slightly above both teams’ combined averages. Given St Kilda’s three wins by 14-plus points in their last five, the spread appears reachable, though North Melbourne’s occasional competitiveness keeps the margin within striking distance. St Kilda should prevail by 15 to 25 points in a match that tests North Melbourne’s defensive resolve but ultimately rewards the Saints’ superior scoring consistency.

✏️ Game Analysis

St Kilda Saints travel to face North Melbourne Kangaroos backed heavily in the approved plays. St Kilda Saints at True 72% with 4.5% edge supports the spread projection. This pairs directly with the Over 85.5 St Kilda Saints team total at True 67% and 3.1% edge. Together these reinforce a projected game shape of St Kilda Saints dominating scoring and establishing an early advantage. North Melbourne Kangaroos face difficulty matching the Saints output. The lines converge on St Kilda achieving high team totals while covering the spread comfortably. This setup projects St Kilda Saints dictating terms throughout the contest against the Kangaroos.

⚡Quarter Time Report

St Kilda Saints have seized early control, leading North Melbourne Kangaroos 27-11 after the opening quarter at Marvel Stadium. The visitors kicked four goals to one, with Ryan Byrnes, Hugh Boxshall, Anthony Caminiti and Jack Higgins all converting, while North Melbourne managed only five behinds before Paul Curtis’s late major. St Kilda’s clean ball movement and forward-half efficiency created multiple scoring opportunities that the Kangaroos failed to match. North’s defensive structure looked stretched, allowing the Saints to dominate inside-50 entries and convert at a high rate. From a betting standpoint, St Kilda already hold a 16-point buffer that positions them strongly for the full-game spread. The total score of 38 remains well below the 178.5 line, leaving the over as the primary cumulative play with three quarters remaining. Momentum clearly sits with the Saints, who have shown superior structure and finishing. Expect them to dictate terms through the middle two quarters, testing North Melbourne’s ability to stem the flow and generate their own scoring chances.

Probabilities

58-64

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 178.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-61

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -6.5 covering at 1.87 (PointsBet AU)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 88.5 at 1.83 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

Over

Lean to Over 97.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime North Melbourne trail St Kilda by four points, 34-38, in a surprisingly low-scoring contest that has produced just 72 points through two quarters. The Saints struck first with two early goals but the Kangaroos stayed within touching distance through a barrage of behinds and timely majors from Paul Curtis and Harry Sheezel. Both sides have been wasteful in front of goal, combining for 18 behinds, which has kept the total well below market expectations. St Kilda’s midfield has generated more forward entries yet has been unable to convert that territory into a decisive lead. From a betting perspective the under on the full-game total has already received a strong head-start, while the spread remains live given the narrow margin. North Melbourne’s defensive structure has limited St Kilda’s elite ball-movers, but the visitors still hold a slight edge in contested ball and should look to stretch the game in the third term. Momentum is stable heading into the second half, with both teams likely to adjust forward pressure to reduce behinds. The low-scoring trend suggests the total market will remain the dominant theme unless one side finds a run of goals early in the third quarter.

Probabilities

48-55

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to St Kilda Saints -13.5 covering at 1.87 (PlayUp)

72-78

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Strong lean to Under 178.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

51-57

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to St Kilda Saints -6.5 covering at 1.87 (PointsBet (AU))

55-62

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 88.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

under

Strong lean to Under 105.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Strong lean to Under 85.5 at 1.62 (Unibet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time, St Kilda Saints hold a 67-54 lead over North Melbourne Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium. The Saints have built their advantage through superior forward-half efficiency, particularly in the third term where Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera and Darcy Wilson combined for three goals. North Melbourne remain competitive in contested ball but continue to leak behinds, finishing the term with only 20 points. The game has been low-scoring overall, with both sides struggling to convert inside-50 entries into majors. St Kilda’s midfield has controlled tempo effectively, limiting North’s transition opportunities. From a betting perspective, the total has tracked well under the 178.5 line, while St Kilda sit just inside the -14.5 spread. North Melbourne’s scoring rate suggests they will finish well below most team total lines. With one quarter remaining, St Kilda’s lead looks sustainable given their superior structure and North’s inability to string together scoring bursts. Momentum favours the visitors, though the margin remains within striking distance if North can lift their intensity early in the final term.

Probabilities

52-62

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

68-78

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Under 178.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-65

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -7.5 covering at 1.92 (Ladbrokes)

60-70

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 89.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

Under

Strong lean to St Kilda Saints Under 105.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Very Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 85.5 at 1.62 (Unibet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Head to Head	Ladbrokes	0	1.46	72.0%	4.5%	T1	1u	W
Over 85.5 (St Kilda Saints) St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Team Totals	Unibet	85.5	1.63	67.0%	3.1%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Head to Head	Ladbrokes	0	1.46	72.0%	4.5%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 85.5 (St Kilda Saints) St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Team Totals	Unibet	85.5	1.63	67.0%	3.1%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
STK St Kilda Saints
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side fell short by 31 points, finishing with 8 goals and 14 behinds for 62 points against the opposition's 13 goals and 15 behinds for 93. They trailed at every change, with the first term proving costly as they managed just 1.5 to the visitors' 4.3. A stronger second half effort saw them add 4.4 after the main break, but it was not enough to close the gap. The opposition's standout performer kicked four goals, while their second major contributor added two.

Season Story So Far

Results have been mixed across the past six weeks, with two wins providing momentum before a run of four straight losses. The group showed fight in several contests but struggled to maintain four-quarter consistency, particularly in defence when the game opened up in the second half of recent matches.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position and points are not listed in the current data set. The side sits with a points differential that reflects their recent form, having scored competitively in wins but leaking heavily in defeats. Percentage will be a key focus as the season progresses to separate them from the middle of the pack.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 16: Defeated Essendon Bombers
Round 17: Lost to Port Adelaide Power
Round 18: Lost to Collingwood Magpies
Round 19: Lost to Melbourne Demons
Round 20: Lost to St Kilda Saints

Two wins and three losses in that stretch, with the victories coming against lower-scoring opposition.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in their two wins but fallen short in most losses. Totals have gone under in several tight contests where scoring dried up after half time, suggesting a pattern of strong first halves followed by more conservative second halves.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have been solid in patches, with strong contested marking and inside-50 work from key targets. Defensively, the group has battled to limit opposition chains from half back, allowing too many uncontested possessions in transition. Tackle pressure has been consistent from the midfield, though clearance wins have varied from game to game.

Player Highlights

Jack Darling: Multiple games with 2-3 goals and strong contested marking presence.
Paul Curtis: Consistent goal threat with three majors in round 19 and strong tackle counts.
Nick Larkey: Delivered 3 goals and 16 disposals in a standout forward display.
Jacob Konstanty: Kicked 2 goals and provided forward pressure in the round 16 win.
George Wardlaw: Strong midfield output with 15 disposals and 2 goals in round 15.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed well on the two victories earlier in the stretch, correctly identifying key goal scorers in those wins. The recent losses proved tougher, with the model underestimating opposition transition speed, but the honest takeaway is that the positive calls on Darling and Curtis delivered value when the side was in front.

Outlook / What to Watch

North Melbourne Kangaroos will look to build from their strong first-half patterns and limit second-half concessions. With no confirmed next opponent listed, focus remains on maintaining forward pressure and improving defensive structure to turn recent close losses into wins.

MEL

vs

NOR

Jul 18 4:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 19

-

1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Melbourne Demons head to Marvel Stadium in Round 19 looking to extend their strong recent run against a North Melbourne side still searching for consistency. With the Demons sitting as clear favourites, this clash offers a genuine test of whether Melbourne’s attacking momentum can overpower North’s home resilience. Melbourne have won four of their last five outings, producing an average winning margin of 33.5 points across those victories. Their scoring has been potent, averaging 98 points per game while conceding just 89.88. North Melbourne, by contrast, have managed three wins in five but with far tighter margins, averaging only 13.3 points in victory. Their season-long averages of 84.18 points scored and 92.12 conceded highlight a team that struggles to put games beyond reach. Statistically the gap is clear. Melbourne’s recent margins of +45, +35 and +46 demonstrate an ability to dominate second halves and stretch leads, while North’s three wins have come by a combined 40 points. The Demons’ capacity to score heavily on the road has been a standout feature, posting 125 and 111 in their two most recent away wins. Betting markets reflect this disparity, with Melbourne installed at 14.5-point favourites. That line sits comfortably inside their recent average winning margin, suggesting value may exist on the Demons to cover. The total market hovers around 178.5-179.5, aligning closely with Melbourne’s season scoring average but slightly above North’s typical output. A low-scoring arm-wrestle appears unlikely given Melbourne’s recent trend of high-output performances. Tactically, expect Melbourne to use their superior ball movement to stretch North’s defence, particularly after quarter-time where the Demons have been most damaging. North will need to start fast and limit turnovers if they are to stay within striking distance, but their narrow recent wins suggest they lack the firepower to match Melbourne blow-for-blow over four quarters. Melbourne should prevail comfortably. A 22- to 30-point victory looks the most probable outcome, with the Demons well placed to cover the current spread while keeping the total under control.

✏️ Game Analysis

Melbourne Demons face North Melbourne Kangaroos with the Demons positioned to cover the -15.5 spread. The approved Melbourne Demons -15.5 play at 1.91 odds carries a True 68% probability and 3.9% edge. This line projects a game shape where Melbourne controls proceedings from the outset, building a substantial lead that exceeds the 15.5-point margin. North Melbourne's resistance fails to materialise against the Demons' structured approach. The spread bet reinforces expectations of Melbourne dictating terms throughout the contest, delivering the required buffer by the final siren. Bettors backing this selection align with the calculated projection for a decisive Demons victory margin.

⚡Quarter Time Report

North Melbourne Kangaroos have seized early control at Marvel Stadium, powering to a 37-25 quarter-time lead over Melbourne Demons. Six goals to four, spearheaded by Paul Curtis and Charlie Spargo, gave the home side a commanding 12-point buffer after an explosive opening 15 minutes. Melbourne’s expected dominance failed to materialise as North moved the ball with purpose and capitalised on forward entries. The Demons managed only one behind in the final 15 minutes of the term, highlighting early inaccuracy. From a betting perspective, the result has already shifted the complexion of full-game markets. Melbourne’s -17.5 and -18.5 spreads at 1.90 now face an immediate deficit, while the 183.5 total sits well above the 62-point quarter output. North’s 37 already exceeds several team-total unders, placing immediate pressure on those lines. Momentum sits firmly with the Kangaroos, who have shown they can hurt Melbourne when given space. The Demons must lift their intensity and ball movement in the second term to arrest the deficit before it becomes insurmountable.

Probabilities

52-58

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +17.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

48-53

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 183.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-60

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Melbourne Demons -8.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52-57

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 91.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Melbourne Demons

under

Lean to Under 99.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime North Melbourne leads Melbourne 44-40 in a surprisingly tight contest at Marvel Stadium. North exploded early with five goals in the first 23 minutes, including two from Paul Curtis, to lead by as many as 20 points. Melbourne responded with three late first-quarter majors but still trailed by 11 at the first change. The second term was low-scoring and scrappy, with North adding only one goal through Harry Sheezel while Melbourne managed two, trimming the margin to four points. The Demons have been wasteful with their opportunities, registering just four behinds, and have been unable to capitalise on their superior experience. North’s aggressive start has disrupted Melbourne’s usual ball movement, but sustaining this intensity over four quarters remains doubtful given their season-long trends. From a betting perspective the game sits well under the 91.5 total line at 1.90 (TAB) and Melbourne’s half-time spread of -8.5 at 1.90 (TAB) looks vulnerable. Expect Melbourne to lift their intensity and ball use after the break, but the current four-point deficit means they must win the second half convincingly to cover the full-game line.

Probabilities

38-45

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Melbourne Demons -17.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 183.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-62

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Melbourne Demons -8.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

48-55

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 91.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Melbourne Demons

Under

Lean to Melbourne Demons Under 99.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Melbourne leads North Melbourne 70-55 after a dominant third term where the Demons added 30 points to stretch their advantage. Melbourne has controlled the contest through superior ball movement and forward efficiency, kicking eight goals to North’s one in the second half so far. North Melbourne started brightly with seven first-quarter goals but have since been restricted, managing only 11 points after half-time. The Demons’ ability to win the centre clearances and transition quickly has been the decisive factor. From a betting perspective the full-game total sits at 125 with one term remaining, placing the Over 183.5 line under pressure unless the final quarter explodes. Melbourne’s team total of 70 already sits close to several Under lines around 99.5-100.5. The 15-point margin keeps the -17.5 spread live heading into the last change. Melbourne’s second-half momentum suggests they are well placed to dictate terms in the final quarter while North will need a rapid response to stay in touch.

Probabilities

58-68

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Melbourne Demons -17.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

52-62

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 183.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-65

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Melbourne Demons -8.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

50-60

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 91.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Melbourne Demons

Over

Strong lean to Melbourne Demons Over 99.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Melbourne Demons -15.5 Melbourne Demons vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-15.5	1.91	68.0%	3.9%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Melbourne Demons -15.5 Melbourne Demons vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-15.5	1.91	68.0%	3.9%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
MEL Melbourne Demons
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Kangaroos fell short by 16 points, finishing with 11 goals and 10 behinds for 76 points against the opposition's 13 goals and 14 behinds for 92. A strong opening term gave them a 12-point lead, but the visitors clawed back through the middle quarters before pulling away late. The opposition's standout forward kicked four goals while their key target finished with 25 points as the best performer on the ground.

Season Story So Far

Three wins from the last six outings have kept the season alive, with the latest result underlining both the attacking promise and the need for greater consistency across four quarters.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Position and points data are not yet available, but the side has shown improved scoring output in recent weeks while still conceding heavily at times.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 15: Defeated Richmond 73-48
Round 16: Defeated Essendon 79-65
Round 17: Lost to Port Adelaide 52-73
Round 18: Lost to Collingwood 85-89
Round 19: Lost to Melbourne 76-92

Two wins followed by three losses shows a mixed run heading into the back half of the year.

Betting Trends & Performance

Results have been tight enough to keep spreads interesting, though the side has struggled to cover when the margin blows out beyond three goals.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have been strong, with multiple players contributing to inside-50 work and contested marks. The defensive unit has been stretched at times, particularly when the opposition builds momentum through the midfield.

Player Highlights

Paul Curtis: 3 goals and 12 disposals in the latest outing.
Jack Darling: 2 goals and strong marking presence across 89 minutes.
Nick Larkey: Consistent target with 16 disposals and 3 goals in round 18.
Cooper Trembath: 4 goals and 12 disposals in round 15.
George Wardlaw: 15 disposals and 2 goals in round 15.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No betting card data supplied this round, so we own the miss and move on without forcing a call.

Outlook / What to Watch

No upcoming match data available at this time.

NOR

vs

COL

Jul 10 7:40pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 18

-

4 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

North Melbourne Kangaroos head to Marvel Stadium in Round 18 looking to arrest a patchy run of results against a Collingwood Magpies side that has regained momentum at the right time. The contest pits two sides with contrasting recent trajectories, and the outcome could shape both clubs’ mid-season narratives. North Melbourne’s last five outings have produced three wins and two heavy defeats. After a 124-point thrashing, the Kangaroos responded with narrow and then comfortable victories before another loss. Their scoring has fluctuated between 31 and 79 points, yielding an average of 84.13 points for and 92.31 against across the stretch. The pattern suggests vulnerability when the opposition establishes early control. Collingwood enter with three wins from their past five matches, including two high-scoring triumphs. Despite opening losses by four and eight points, the Magpies have since posted victories by 26, 34 and six points. Their season averages sit at 84.81 points scored and 81.25 conceded, reflecting a more consistent attacking output and slightly stingier defence than their opponents. Statistically, Collingwood hold a narrow edge in both offensive efficiency and defensive structure. North Melbourne have shown they can win tight contests but remain prone to blowouts, while the Magpies’ recent margins indicate growing confidence in converting opportunities. The 17.5-point spread offered by most bookmakers aligns closely with these trends; Collingwood have covered similar margins in three of their last four wins. Tactically, expect Collingwood to apply sustained midfield pressure to limit North Melbourne’s transition game. The Kangaroos will need to improve their contested ball work and reduce turnovers if they are to stay within striking distance. With totals markets hovering around 175 points, the game profile points to a moderate scoring affair rather than a shootout. Collingwood Magpies are the stronger side on current form and should prevail by 20 to 30 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Collingwood Magpies take on North Melbourne Kangaroos in a matchup where home projections dominate the approved plays. Collingwood -17.5 at 68% True% with 2.8% Edge signals a likely cover, consistent with the -8.5 line at 65% True% and 2.1% Edge. The over 95.5 Collingwood team total at 55% True% and 1.8% Edge projects elevated scoring from the Magpies. Over Nick Daicos 32.5 disposals at 62% True% and 3.8% Edge adds weight to expectations of sustained possession and drive. These elements combine to outline Collingwood setting the pace against the Kangaroos in line with the data.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Current Game State: Collingwood lead North Melbourne 28-22 at quarter time after a high-intensity opening term featuring seven goals and eight behinds. The Magpies edged proceedings through superior forward entries and cleaner ball movement, converting four goals to three. Key Trends & Momentum: Collingwood generated early ascendancy with goals at the three-, nine- and 14-minute marks, establishing a buffer that North Melbourne could only partially claw back. The Kangaroos showed flashes via Nick Larkey and Paul Curtis but conceded turnovers under pressure. Assessment of the Game So Far: Collingwood’s structure and contested-ball work gave them the edge in a low-error first quarter, while North Melbourne’s behinds tally highlighted finishing inefficiency. The 6-point margin sits inside most Q1 spreads. Outlook & Probability Assessment: With three quarters remaining, Collingwood’s form edge suggests they remain live to cover the full-game line. Second-half markets will hinge on whether the Magpies can extend their midfield dominance. Key Takeaway: Collingwood hold a narrow but tangible advantage after the opening stanza; expect them to build on early control if they maintain pressure around the contest.

Probabilities

52-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -17.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-54%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

53-59%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -8.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

51-57%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Lean to Under 77.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

under

Lean to Under 95.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

Collingwood lead North Melbourne 47-42 at halftime in a low-scoring, physical contest at Marvel Stadium. The Magpies edged the first half through superior midfield pressure and cleaner ball use, converting seven goals to six while restricting North’s transition. North Melbourne stayed competitive with quick bursts from Larkey and Curtis but conceded several behinds that kept the margin under a goal at the break. Scoring has been suppressed, with both sides combining for just 89 points through two quarters. Collingwood’s structure has limited North’s contested ball wins, while the Kangaroos have shown vulnerability once the Magpies establish territory. From a betting perspective the game remains wide open on the full-game spread, yet the total looks likely to climb in the second half as fatigue sets in and both teams push forward. Collingwood’s recent form suggests they will look to extend their lead through the midfield engine room, while North Melbourne must improve their conversion and reduce turnovers to stay within striking distance. The tight margin at the main break points to a second half that could open up tactically.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -17.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

50-55

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Collingwood Magpies -8.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.91 (TABtouch)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Over

Lean to Over 77.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Over 95.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Collingwood lead North Melbourne 67-64 in a low-scoring, arm-wrestle at Marvel Stadium. The Magpies held a slender five-point advantage at half-time (47-42) before both sides traded 20-22 points in a scrappy third term. Collingwood’s midfield control has been offset by North’s efficient forward entries, keeping the contest within a goal for most of the second half. Total scoring through three quarters sits at just 131, well below the 172.5-175.5 full-game lines, reflecting poor conversion and repeated turnovers. Collingwood’s key forwards have been kept relatively quiet, while North’s small forwards have manufactured the majority of their 9.10. The narrow margin and subdued tempo point to a low-scoring final quarter. From a betting perspective the under total and both team unders remain live, while the 17.5-point spread is still very much in play given the even contest.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +17.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

51-55

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +8.5 covering at 1.91 (Neds)

58-64

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 87.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Lean to Under 77.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Collingwood Magpies

under

Lean to Under 95.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -17.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-17.5	1.90	68.0%	2.8%	T2	2.5u	L
Collingwood Magpies -8.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-8.5	1.87	65.0%	2.1%	T2	2.5u	L
Over Nick Daicos 32.5 DISPOSALS North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Disposals Over	SportsBet	32.5	1.90	62.0%	3.8%	T2	2.5u	L
Over 95.5 (Collingwood Magpies) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	95.5	1.88	55.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -17.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-17.5	1.90	68.0%	2.8%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 95.5 (Collingwood Magpies) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	95.5	1.88	55.0%	1.8%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -8.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-8.5	1.87	65.0%	2.1%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Nick Daicos 32.5 DISPOSALS North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies	Disposals Over	SportsBet	32.5	1.90	62.0%	3.8%	T2	2.5u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side went down by four points, finishing with 12 goals and 13 behinds for 85 points while the opposition posted 13 goals and 11 behinds for 89. After a tight first half the visitors could not quite close the gap in the final term despite adding three goals. Opposition forwards kicked three goals apiece in the winning effort while the Kangaroos’ best performer was Nick Larkey with three goals and 16 disposals.

Season Story So Far

The latest narrow loss caps a mixed run that has featured three wins in the past five outings. The group has shown patches of strong forward pressure and improved contested ball work, yet defensive lapses have proved costly in several close contests.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With ladder data still updating, the side’s record of three wins from the last five games leaves them in a mid-table battle. Points for and against reflect a team that creates scoring opportunities but has conceded heavily in losses, keeping percentage under pressure.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 13: Loss to Fremantle Dockers
Round 14: Win against West Coast Eagles
Round 15: Win against Richmond Tigers
Round 16: Win against Essendon Bombers
Round 17: Loss to Port Adelaide Power

Three wins and two losses across that stretch show a side capable of beating quality opposition when their forward structure clicks.

Betting Trends & Performance

The team has covered the spread in two of the last five games and gone over the total in three. Close margins have meant totals betting has been the more reliable angle when the side controls inside-50 entries.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have improved with better use of the corridor, and the tall timber has taken some strong contested marks. Tackle pressure remains a work in progress, with the side often out-tackled in the middle quarters of losses. Disposal efficiency has lifted when the ball moves quickly forward.

Player Highlights

Nick Larkey: Three goals and 16 disposals in the latest outing, continuing his strong goal-scoring form.
Jack Darling: Consistent contributor across the forward line with multiple games of two goals and double-digit disposals.
Jacob Konstanty: Two goals and strong work rate in the forward half during the most recent win.
Cooper Trembath: Four goals and 12 disposals in a standout performance earlier in the stretch.
George Wardlaw: Two goals and 15 disposals while providing drive from the midfield.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No active Match Bombcard data available this round. The previous selections on totals landed in the wins but missed the spread in the narrow loss, a result that keeps the honest ledger at two from three for the month.

Outlook / What to Watch

North Melbourne Kangaroos will look to build on their recent wins by tightening defensive structures and maintaining forward pressure. Expect a focus on contested possessions and quick ball movement to create scoring chances early. With no confirmed opponent details yet, attention turns to maintaining momentum and improving percentage through strong performances at home.

NOR

vs

POR

Jul 5 4:40pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round 17

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

North Melbourne Kangaroos head to Adelaide Oval in Round 17 to face Port Adelaide Power in a contest that could shape both clubs’ push toward September. The visitors arrive with renewed belief after securing four wins from their past five outings, while the hosts look to stabilise at home following an inconsistent stretch. North Melbourne’s recent form shows clear attacking intent mixed with defensive vulnerability. They have posted scores of 111, 74, 73 and 79 in four victories, yet conceded 155 in a heavy defeat that highlighted occasional lapses. Their season averages of 86.27 points scored and 93.60 conceded reflect a side still finding balance. Margins in their wins have ranged from one to 25 points, suggesting they can grind out results but remain susceptible to blowouts. Port Adelaide’s record is more mixed, with two wins and three losses across the same span. They have averaged 81.47 points for and 80.73 against, indicating a tighter unit overall. Home matches have produced narrow losses of three and 26 points alongside a 26-point win, underlining the importance of venue for their rhythm. Their defensive structure has kept most games within reach, even when results have not favoured them. Statistically, North Melbourne generates slightly more offence but concedes more than Port Adelaide. Recent margins suggest the Power are better equipped to keep contests close at Adelaide Oval, where they have shown resilience. The absence of meaningful betting edges from prior analysis leaves the current line as the primary market reference, with Port Adelaide likely to be installed as modest favourites given home status. Tactically, expect North Melbourne to push the tempo early and test Port Adelaide’s defensive organisation. The Power will look to control possession and exploit transition opportunities, relying on their slightly superior season-long defensive numbers. Port Adelaide is tipped to prevail by 8 to 18 points in a tight, low-scoring affair that reflects their stronger home defensive metrics.

✏️ Game Analysis

North Melbourne Kangaroos travel to face Port Adelaide Power with the home edge offset by North's recent wins, creating value on both sides. Port Adelaide Power -15.5 at 68% True and 3% Edge projects the Power establishing control and covering the spread through sustained pressure. The Over 47.5 on Port Adelaide Power at 55% True and 2% Edge reinforces the same shape, pointing to the Power generating enough scoring opportunities to clear the team total. Both approved plays align on Port Adelaide Power dictating terms at home while North Melbourne Kangaroos fail to restrict the contest, locking in the projected outcome through the spread and team total.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a low-scoring and error-strewn opening term at Adelaide Oval, Port Adelaide Power and North Melbourne Kangaroos are locked together at 9-9. Both sides managed just one goal and three behinds, with Mitchell Georgiades and Nick Larkey the only multiple scorers. Port struck first through behinds from Oliver Wines before Georgiades converted, yet North Melbourne answered immediately and kept the margin within a kick throughout. Efficiency was poor, with several rushed or wayward shots preventing either team from building momentum. The contest has been characterised by tight checking and contested ball rather than free-flowing transition. Port Adelaide, installed as moderate favourites pre-game, have been unable to leverage home advantage or their defensive structure to create separation. North Melbourne’s willingness to push forward has kept the scoreboard ticking without surrendering easy opportunities. With only 18 points on the board, the game sits well under projected totals, suggesting a grinding, low-scoring affair may continue. The even first-quarter result leaves both clubs with work to do to establish control heading into the second term.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +15.5 covering at 1.97 (Bet Right)

55-62

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 172.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

52-58

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power -2.5 covering at 1.56 (Unibet)

53-60

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 86.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 102.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

⚡Halftime Report

Port Adelaide holds a commanding 36-17 halftime lead after a dominant second quarter that yielded four goals to North Melbourne’s one. The Power’s efficiency inside 50 and ability to capitalise on Kangaroos turnovers has created clear separation on the scoreboard. North Melbourne’s attack has been stifled, managing only two goals and showing limited forward entries after quarter time. Momentum sits firmly with the home side, who have controlled territory and contested ball. From a betting perspective the full-game team total for North Melbourne has already passed its under line, creating a strong lean toward the under at 86.5. Port Adelaide’s own scoring pace suggests their full-game total under also remains live. The margin market still has room to move in the second half, but the Power’s defensive structure points to them maintaining control. Expect Port to continue squeezing the contest while North Melbourne searches for a spark.

Probabilities

58-65

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power -15.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 172.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

55-62

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power -7.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Very Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 86.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Port Adelaide Power

under

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 102.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Port Adelaide and North Melbourne are locked at 51-51 after three quarters at Adelaide Oval. The Power led by 19 at halftime but North Melbourne responded with a five-goal third term to level the scores. Both sides have managed seven goals apiece, with Mitchell Georgiades (three goals) and Jack Darling (three) the standout forwards. Scoring has been inefficient, with 18 behinds between them, reflecting contested football and poor conversion under pressure. North Melbourne’s late surge has shifted momentum, but Port retain the home-ground edge and superior structure. The total sits at 102 points, well under the 170.5-172.5 lines, while the spread remains tight. North Melbourne (+15.5) has already covered comfortably. With one quarter remaining, expect a low-scoring finish as both teams prioritise defensive accountability over risk. The Power are likely to regain control through the midfield, but North’s confidence after their third-quarter response keeps the contest alive.

Probabilities

62-68

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +15.5 covering at 1.97 (Bet Right)

71-77

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Under 172.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

58-64

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +15.5 covering at 1.97 (Bet Right)

68-74

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Under 172.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 86.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Port Adelaide Power

under

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 102.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Port Adelaide Power -15.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Spreads	TAB	-15.5	1.90	68.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W
Over 47.5 (Port Adelaide Power) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power	1H Team Totals	TAB	47.5	1.90	55.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Port Adelaide Power -15.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Spreads	TAB	-15.5	1.90	68.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 47.5 (Port Adelaide Power) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power	1H Team Totals	TAB	47.5	1.90	55.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -
Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos
POR Port Adelaide Power

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Kangaroos fell short by 21 points, finishing with 7 goals and 10 behinds for 52 points against the opposition's 10 goals and 13 behinds for 73. They trailed at half time after a low-scoring opening half but mounted a fightback in the third term to level the scores before fading late. The opposition's top goal scorers were two players with big bags of three goals each, while the Kangaroos' best performer kicked two majors.

Season Story So Far

After a strong win in round 11 the side has shown real inconsistency, mixing heavy defeats with narrow victories and grinding out results on the road. The latest loss highlights ongoing issues with closing out games when momentum shifts.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position and points are not listed in current data, but the points for and against across recent matches show a team capable of high scoring in patches yet vulnerable defensively, with percentage likely sitting in the middle order based on the mixed results.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Loss to Fremantle Dockers
Win against West Coast Eagles
Win against Richmond Tigers
Win against Essendon Bombers
Loss to Port Adelaide Power

Three wins and two losses in the stretch, with the victories coming against lower-ranked opposition.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in three of the last five outings but has gone over the total only twice, pointing to games that often turn into low-scoring arm wrestles or blowouts depending on the opposition's pressure.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have been inconsistent, with inside-50 numbers varying wildly from game to game. Tackle pressure has been solid in wins but drops away when the opposition gains ascendancy. Disposals through the midfield remain a work in progress, though a couple of key players continue to lead the way in contested possessions.

Player Highlights

Jack Darling: Multiple games with 2-4 goals, consistently leading the forward line with strong contested marking.
Nick Larkey: Kicked 4 goals in one outing and remains a focal point up forward with reliable goal involvements.
Paul Curtis: Strong midfield output including 6 clearances and 5 tackles in a standout performance.
Jacob Konstanty: Emerging forward adding 2 goals and solid pressure acts in recent matches.
George Wardlaw: Provided drive through the middle with 15 disposals and 2 goals in his latest appearance.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard data available this round. The card has been quiet lately, but we'll own the misses and look for clearer edges next time rather than forcing selections.

Outlook / What to Watch

North Melbourne Kangaroos will need to tighten their defensive structure and improve fourth-quarter execution heading into the next assignment. Expect a focus on contested ball and forward-half pressure to set the tone, with scoring likely to hinge on how cleanly they transition from defence.

ESS

vs

NOR

Jun 28 3:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 16

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Essendon Bombers head to Marvel Stadium in Round 16 facing a North Melbourne Kangaroos side that has shown signs of turning a corner despite inconsistent results. With both teams occupying lower ladder positions, the contest carries significant implications for late-season momentum and draft positioning. Essendon enter the match on a five-game losing streak, surrendering an average of 104 points while managing just 73 of their own across those outings. Their recent margins tell a concerning story: defeats by 43, 18, 30, 5 and 45 points reveal defensive vulnerabilities and an inability to sustain pressure. The Bombers have failed to score 70 points in three of their last five games, highlighting offensive struggles that have left them averaging 28-point losses. North Melbourne present a more balanced, if erratic, profile. They average 87 points scored and 96 conceded, with three wins in their past five matches. Victories by 6, 1 and 25 points sit alongside heavy losses, yet their recent form shows improved ball movement and willingness to take the game on at home. The Kangaroos have demonstrated they can control games when their midfield gains ascendancy. Statistically, North Melbourne hold clear edges in both attack and defence. Their scoring average sits 13 points higher than Essendon’s, while they concede nine fewer points per game. The total points trend across both sides’ recent matches hovers around 177-180, aligning closely with current totals markets sitting at 174.5-175.5. Betting markets have installed North Melbourne as 14.5-15.5 point favourites. This line appears justified given Essendon’s average losing margin of 28 points and North’s superior recent outputs. The Kangaroos have covered similar spreads in two of their three wins, while Essendon have failed to cover in four of five losses. First-half and first-quarter spreads also lean toward North Melbourne, consistent with their stronger starts in recent victories. Tactically, North Melbourne will look to exploit Essendon’s porous defence through quick ball movement and forward pressure. Essendon must improve their contested ball win rate and reduce turnovers to stay competitive. The over/under markets around 174.5-175.5 appear fairly priced, though North’s occasional high-scoring games suggest slight value on the over if conditions remain dry. North Melbourne Kangaroos are expected to prevail by 16-24 points. Their superior average output and home advantage should prove decisive against an Essendon side still searching for answers.

✏️ Game Analysis

Essendon Bombers travel to face North Melbourne Kangaroos with the home side holding clear edges in both spread and team total markets. North Melbourne -13.5 projects at 71% True with 3.8% Edge, signalling the Kangaroos will control territory and scoreboard enough to cover comfortably. That same shape supports the Over 45.5 on North Melbourne’s team total at 66% True and 2.9% Edge, pointing to sustained forward entries and scoring opportunities that push their tally past the line. Both approved plays align on one projected game flow: North Melbourne establishing an early lead and maintaining pressure that keeps Essendon from matching output. The combination leaves little room for variance outside the modelled margins.

⚡Quarter Time Report

North Melbourne Kangaroos lead Essendon Bombers 18-14 at the first break after a scrappy, inaccurate opening term at Marvel Stadium. Both sides kicked two goals, but the Kangaroos added six behinds to Essendon’s two, underlining their early territorial edge. Luke Davies-Uniacke and Jy Simpkin provided the highlights for North, while Sam Durham and Ben McKay replied for the Bombers. The low-scoring, error-ridden quarter reflected both teams’ recent form issues, with Essendon continuing to struggle to generate clean entries and North Melbourne showing familiar conversion problems. Momentum sits marginally with the home side, who controlled more of the ball and created the better forward opportunities. From a betting perspective the first-quarter result has done little to shift the full-game line, with North still installed as 12.5-13.5 point favourites. The total also remains largely untouched despite the modest scoring output, as markets anticipate a lift in tempo across the remaining three quarters.

Probabilities

52.4-52.6

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Moderate lean to Essendon Bombers +13.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

51.3-52.4

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Moderate lean to Under 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52.6-53.5

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Moderate lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos -6.5 covering at 1.90 (Ladbrokes)

53.5-53.8

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Moderate lean to Over 87.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Essendon Bombers

under

Moderate lean to Under 80.5 at 1.85 (TABtouch)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Moderate lean to Under 93.5 at 1.89 (TABtouch)

⚡Halftime Report

North Melbourne lead Essendon 39-30 at halftime after a low-scoring, error-strewn opening half at Marvel Stadium. The Kangaroos booted 5.9 while the Bombers managed 4.6, with North controlling more territory and generating higher-quality entries despite their own conversion issues. Essendon’s continued defensive lapses and turnover problems have allowed North to dictate tempo, particularly through the midfield work of Luke Davies-Uniacke and Jy Simpkin. Scoring has been well below the projected 90-point half, leaving both sides with 30-39 points. From a betting viewpoint the full-game line remains North favourites by 12.5-13.5, while the total sits largely unchanged at 174.5-175.5. Essendon’s five-game losing streak and 28-point average margin suggest they will struggle to bridge the gap over the final two quarters. North’s superior recent outputs and home advantage continue to point toward a comfortable victory, though both teams’ inaccuracy keeps the total market suppressed. Momentum sits clearly with the Kangaroos heading into the second half.

Probabilities

52.4-52.6

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Essendon Bombers +13.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52.4-53.2

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Moderate lean to Under 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

50.0-53.5

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Essendon Bombers +6.5 covering at 2.00 (TAB)

52.9-53.8

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Moderate lean to Under 87.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Essendon Bombers

under

Lean to Under 80.5 at 1.85 (TABtouch)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Lean to Under 93.5 at 1.89 (TABtouch)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

North Melbourne Kangaroos hold a commanding 63-38 lead over Essendon Bombers at three-quarter time at Marvel Stadium. The home side added 24 points in the third term to Essendon’s eight, extending a halftime advantage through superior midfield control and cleaner forward entries. Jack Darling and Charlie Spargo were prominent, while Essendon managed just one goal amid continued turnover issues and defensive lapses. Scoring has remained moderate at 101 combined points, well below projected pace. North Melbourne’s territorial edge and ability to capitalise on Essendon’s five-game losing streak have defined the contest. From a betting standpoint the full-game line remains North favourites by 12.5-13.5 points. The total market at 174.5-175.5 now looks inflated given the projected final score near 146. Essendon must lift dramatically in the final quarter to stay competitive, yet their recent margins suggest limited hope. North Melbourne’s home form and structural advantages point to a controlled finish.

Probabilities

52.4-52.4

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos -13.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52.4-52.6

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Moderate lean to Under 175.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52.4-52.4

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos -13.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

53.5-53.8

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Moderate lean to Under 87.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Essendon Bombers

Under

Strong lean to Essendon Bombers Under 80.5 at 1.85 (TABtouch)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 93.5 at 1.89 (TABtouch)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
North Melbourne Kangaroos -13.5 Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-13.5	1.89	71.0%	3.8%	T2	2.5u	W
Over 45.5 (North Melbourne Kangaroos) Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	45.5	1.89	66.0%	2.9%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
North Melbourne Kangaroos -13.5 Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-13.5	1.89	71.0%	3.8%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 45.5 (North Melbourne Kangaroos) Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	45.5	1.89	66.0%	2.9%	T2	2.5u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
ESS Essendon Bombers
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Kangaroos finished with a 79-65 win, a 14-point margin. They kicked 10 goals and 19 behinds while holding the opposition to 9 goals and 11 behinds. The first half saw them lead 39-30, before adding 40 points in the second half to seal the result. Top goal scorers from the winning team included Jacob Konstanty and Jack Darling with two goals each, while the opposition’s best performer kicked two goals.

Season Story So Far

This latest victory continues a strong run of form that has seen the side secure three wins from their past four outings. After a heavy loss earlier in the month, the group has responded with improved structure and efficiency to claim back-to-back victories and build real momentum heading into the second half of the season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The side sits in the lower half of the ladder with a points total reflecting a mixed start. Their percentage remains under 100 but has improved noticeably with recent scoring outputs and tighter defensive efforts that have reduced points against.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 11: Defeated Gold Coast Suns 111-105
Round 13: Lost to Fremantle Dockers 31-155
Round 14: Defeated West Coast Eagles 74-73
Round 15: Defeated Richmond Tigers 73-48
Round 16: Defeated Essendon Bombers 79-65

Four wins and one loss in that stretch shows clear progress.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in two of the last three games when installed as underdogs, while totals have landed over in four of the past five matches. Their scoring has become more consistent, particularly in the second half of games.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have lifted with better ball movement from the midfield, creating more inside-50 opportunities. Tackle pressure has been strong in recent wins, while contested possession numbers have improved. The defence has tightened after quarter time in the last two victories, limiting opposition scoring bursts.

Player Highlights

Jack Darling: Multiple games with 3+ goals and strong contested marking.
Paul Curtis: Consistent goal threat with high disposal counts and score involvements.
Nick Larkey: Reliable target up forward with strong marking and goal returns.
Jacob Konstanty: Emerging contributor with goal-scoring impact and work rate.
George Wardlaw: Strong midfield presence with clearances and contested ball wins.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed two of three selections on the latest game, correctly backing the Kangaroos on the spread and the over on team total. The outright total selection missed narrowly but the positive edge on the main bets delivered a solid result overall.

Outlook / What to Watch

The Kangaroos will look to maintain their recent second-half dominance and strong forward entries when they next take the field. Expect a focus on contested ball and tackling pressure to set the tone early, with scoring likely to build across the match if they can control the midfield battle.

NOR

vs

RIC

Jun 21 1:10pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 15

-

3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

North Melbourne Kangaroos head to the MCG to face Richmond Tigers in round 15, a contest that highlights two sides battling for improvement amid challenging 2026 seasons. With both clubs sitting near the foot of the ladder, the match offers an opportunity to build momentum before the second half of the year. North Melbourne enter with mixed recent results, securing two wins in their past five outings. A narrow 74-73 victory in their most recent game demonstrated resilience, though heavy defeats including a 31-155 loss and a 65-133 defeat underline ongoing defensive vulnerabilities. Richmond’s form has been poorer, managing just one win across their last five matches. That victory came against Essendon by 18 points, but four losses – three by margins exceeding 35 points – reflect persistent struggles to maintain competitiveness. Statistically, North Melbourne hold a clear edge. Their average scoring of 87.85 points per game surpasses Richmond’s 66.69, while they concede 99.31 compared to Richmond’s 109.15. North’s recent margins show variability, with wins by single figures offset by blowout losses, whereas Richmond’s results skew heavily negative outside their sole victory. These trends suggest North Melbourne are better equipped to control tempo at the MCG. Key areas will centre on midfield dominance and forward efficiency. North’s ability to generate scoring opportunities more consistently should test Richmond’s undermanned defence, particularly if they can limit turnovers in transition. Richmond will look to exploit any lapses in North’s structure but face an uphill task given their lower output. From a betting perspective, markets have frequently highlighted value in unders on team totals for both sides in recent weeks, reflecting low-scoring tendencies when structures tighten. North Melbourne’s slight statistical superiority aligns with expectations they can cover a modest spread, though high-scoring blowouts remain unlikely given both teams’ inconsistencies. Richmond covering a start would require a marked improvement in ball movement and tackling pressure. North Melbourne are tipped to prevail by 12 to 22 points in a hard-fought contest that rewards disciplined ball use over the four quarters.

✏️ Game Analysis

North Melbourne Kangaroos visit Richmond Tigers with the visitors favored by 15-18 points. The approved plays all point to a subdued contest. Backing the under 175.5 total at True 49% with a -1% edge projects a game that stays below the average output. The under 87.5 for the first team total at True 50% reinforces limited scoring opportunities for North Melbourne. Similarly, the under 43.5 first quarter at True 50% suggests a cautious opening that keeps early points in check. These lines align on a shape where both sides struggle to break open the contest, favoring defensive structures over high-volume attacks. The consistent unders across full game, team, and quarter markets confirm expectations of a tight, low-scoring affair at the bounce.

⚡Quarter Time Report

The opening term at the MCG finished in a deadlock, 1.2 (8) apiece. North Melbourne Kangaroos struck first through George Wardlaw before Richmond Tigers responded via Sam Cumming, with both sides adding two behinds apiece in a low-efficiency stanza. Only 16 points were scored in total, well below the typical quarter average, as both teams struggled to convert forward entries into meaningful chains. North Melbourne held a slight edge in general play but could not capitalise on Richmond’s occasional lapses. The contest has been physical and stop-start, with limited transition opportunities. From a betting viewpoint the first-quarter total markets (42.5-43.5) sit comfortably under after just 16 points, while North Melbourne -5.5 on the quarter spread traded around 1.87-1.90. Full-game totals hover near 173.5; with three quarters remaining the projected final score sits near 151, creating a clear lean to the under. North Melbourne remain favourites on the full-game line (-22.5/-23.5) at 1.90. The even first term has not altered the underlying statistical edge held by the visitors, but scoring has been suppressed early.

Probabilities

52.6-52.6%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos -23.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 173.5 — projected final ~151 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

53.5-53.5%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Neutral on North Melbourne Kangaroos -12.5 at 1.87 (TABtouch)

54.1-54.1%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Neutral on 86.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Stable

Neutral on 24.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

Richmond Tigers

Stable

Neutral on 19.5 at 1.92 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

North Melbourne lead Richmond 30-22 at halftime after a clinical second quarter that yielded three goals to two. The Kangaroos converted early chances through Nick Larkey and Cooper Trembath, establishing a 16-point buffer before Richmond responded with goals to Jasper Alger and Mykelti Lefau. North’s superior efficiency inside 50 has been the difference, with four goals from 10 scoring shots compared to Richmond’s three from seven. The visitors have also restricted Richmond’s transition, forcing rushed behinds and limiting clean entries. From a betting standpoint the first-half spread markets priced North as 11.5-12.5 point favourites, a line they have comfortably covered. Full-game totals sit at 172.5-174.5 with implied probabilities of 52.6-53.2 percent across Neds and TAB, yet the low-scoring first half suggests the over is under pressure. Second-half projections based on average quarter output point to a combined 85-95 points, well below the full-game line. North Melbourne’s ability to maintain structure and exploit Richmond’s defensive lapses remains the key variable heading into the second half.

Probabilities

51.3-52.9%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Neutral to North Melbourne Kangaroos -23.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 173.5 — projected final ~142 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

52.6-53.5%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Neutral to North Melbourne Kangaroos -11.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-54.1%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 85.5 — projected second half ~90 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Stable

Neutral to Over 47.5 at 1.82 (SportsBet), implied 54.9%

Richmond Tigers

Stable

Neutral to Under 36.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet), implied 52.9%

⚡Three Quartertime Report

North Melbourne Kangaroos have seized control at three-quarter time, leading Richmond Tigers 52-26 after a dominant second half. The Kangaroos added 22 points in the third term while restricting Richmond to just four behinds, showcasing superior forward pressure and cleaner ball movement. Cooper Trembath’s four goals highlight North’s clinical finishing, while Richmond’s attack has managed only three goals for the match. Statistically, North’s 7.10 to Richmond’s 3.8 reflects their territorial edge and efficiency inside 50. From a betting lens, the game has turned into a low-scoring grind that punishes overs positions. With one quarter remaining, the projected final total sits near 123, well below the 172.5-174.5 lines. North’s current 26-point margin already exceeds most full-game spreads of -22.5 to -23.5. Richmond’s inability to generate meaningful scoring suggests the margin will hold or widen slightly. Markets now price the remainder as a formality rather than a contest, with value concentrated on unders across totals and team totals.

Probabilities

52.6-52.6%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos -23.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Strong lean to Under 173.5 — projected final ~123 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

52.6-52.6%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Neutral to North Melbourne Kangaroos -11.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 85.5 — projected final ~123 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Strong lean to Under 97.5 at 1.89 (TABtouch)

Richmond Tigers

Under

Strong lean to Under 74.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 87.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers	1H O/U	SportsBet	87.5	1.86	50.0%	0.0%	T1	1u	W
Under 43.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers	1Q O/U	SportsBet	43.5	1.92	50.0%	0.0%	T1	1u	W
Under 175.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers	Full O/U	SportsBet	175.5	1.86	49.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 175.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers	Full O/U	SportsBet	175.5	1.86	49.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 87.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers	1H O/U	SportsBet	87.5	1.86	50.0%	0.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 43.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers	1Q O/U	SportsBet	43.5	1.92	50.0%	0.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos
RIC Richmond Tigers

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Kangaroos finished with 10 goals and 13 behinds for 73 points to defeat the opposition who managed 6 goals and 12 behinds for 48 points, winning by 25 points at the MCG. They led at every change after a tight opening term, kicking away in the second half with strong forward pressure. Jack Darling and Nick Larkey each booted four goals for the winners while Cooper Trembath added four of his own. The opposition’s best performer was Noah Balta with two goals.

Season Story So Far

After a tough run through the middle of the year the side has started to string together some positive results. The latest win caps a period where they have shown more consistency in front of goal and better ball movement from the back half.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The numbers show a side that has scored freely at times but has also conceded heavily in losses. With points for and against reflecting a mixed campaign, percentage sits around the middle of the competition and points tally leaves them with work to do to secure a stronger finish.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 9: North Melbourne Kangaroos 14.13 (97) lost to Sydney Swans 16.9 (105)
Round 10: North Melbourne Kangaroos 9.11 (65) lost to Adelaide Crows 20.13 (133)
Round 11: North Melbourne Kangaroos 17.9 (111) defeated Gold Coast Suns 16.9 (105)
Round 13: North Melbourne Kangaroos 4.7 (31) lost to Fremantle Dockers 24.11 (155)
Round 14: North Melbourne Kangaroos 10.14 (74) defeated West Coast Eagles 10.13 (73)

Three wins and two losses across those matches, with the most recent result adding further momentum.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in a couple of recent outings when given a reasonable start but has struggled when the margin expectation is high. Totals have landed over more often than not in games where they have controlled the ball for longer periods.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have improved with better use of the corridor and more players contributing to the score. Tackle pressure has lifted in the last month while disposal efficiency from key ball carriers remains a work in progress. Standout performances have come from players who win the ball in tight and transition quickly.

Player Highlights

Jack Darling: Multiple games with bags of three or four goals and strong contested marking.
Nick Larkey: Consistent goal threat with four majors in the latest outing and reliable marking.
Paul Curtis: Strong work rate with goals, tackles and inside-50 involvement across recent matches.
George Wardlaw: Solid midfield output with clearances and score involvements building.
Cooper Trembath: Four-goal haul in the most recent win showing promising forward craft.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard selections landed well on the totals over in the latest game and the spread covering when the margin opened up in the second half. A couple of player props missed but the overall card showed positive edge on the main markets.

Outlook / What to Watch

North Melbourne Kangaroos will look to maintain their improved structure and forward efficiency heading into the next assignment. Expect a focus on contested ball wins and quick transition to capitalise on any turnovers created by the opposition.

WCE

vs

NOR

Jun 13 4:15pm ·Optus Stadium ·Round 14

-

3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

West Coast Eagles host North Melbourne Kangaroos at Optus Stadium in Round 14, a contest that offers both sides a chance to arrest concerning trends. The Eagles enter with a 2-3 record across their past five outings, while the Kangaroos sit at 1-4, underlining the urgency for the visitors to steady their campaign on home soil. West Coast’s recent form shows flashes of competitiveness. Victories of 17 and 30 points sit alongside narrow defeats of six and ten points, with only one heavy loss breaking the pattern. Their scoring has been modest, averaging 73.08 points for and 102.54 against across the season. In contrast, North Melbourne has shown greater offensive output at 89 points per game but remains porous, conceding 101.5. Their sole win came by six points, yet three of the last five matches produced margins exceeding 49 points, highlighting inconsistency. Statistically, the Eagles have been tighter in losses, averaging a 16-point deficit in defeat compared with North Melbourne’s 51-point average losing margin. Both teams trend toward moderate totals, yet North Melbourne’s higher scoring rate suggests potential for a faster tempo if early opportunities arise. Home advantage at Optus Stadium has historically helped West Coast control tempo, a factor likely to influence quarter-by-quarter margins. From a betting perspective, markets have installed North Melbourne as 3.5-point favourites. Recent performance data, however, indicates the Eagles have covered similar spreads in two of their past three home games when margins stayed inside 17 points. High-edge historical leans on unders in first halves and tighter first-quarter totals align with both clubs’ defensive lapses early in matches. The current 174.5 total sits above recent combined averages, suggesting value may exist on the under if either side establishes early control. Expect a measured start from West Coast, using home conditions to limit transition opportunities. North Melbourne will look to leverage its higher average output but must tighten defensive structures that have leaked heavily in recent weeks. The Eagles’ ability to keep contests within two goals in four of five recent games points to a tight finish. West Coast Eagles are tipped to win by 4-12 points in a low-scoring grind.

✏️ Game Analysis

West Coast Eagles versus North Melbourne Kangaroos shapes as an over-friendly contest. The approved over 85.5 total at 52% true probability and 1.1% edge sets the frame, with both clubs projected to clear their respective team totals. West Coast Eagles over 39.5 and the over 42.5 line at 49% true probability combine to reinforce a game shape where points flow from both ends. These plays sit on the same side of the ledger, pointing to combined output comfortably above the key number rather than a low-scoring grind. The 1.1% edge on the total supplies the clearest signal, while the team-total wagers confirm the distribution of scoring that underpins the aggregate projection.

⚡Quarter Time Report

West Coast lead North Melbourne 22-17 at quarter time after a low-quality opening term at Optus Stadium. The Eagles converted three of their eight scoring shots while the Kangaroos managed just two goals from seven attempts, underlining poor finishing from both sides. Harley Reid’s goal and behind late in the quarter, alongside majors from Liam Baker and Brady Hough, gave West Coast the edge after North Melbourne had led briefly through Jack Darling and Nick Larkey. The 39 combined points and nine behinds point to a scrappy contest with limited inside-50 efficiency so far. West Coast’s ability to capitalise on transition and set shots has them in front despite North Melbourne’s higher pre-game scoring average. With the full-game spread at North Melbourne -13.5 (1.90) and total at 178.5 (1.88), the low-scoring start tilts toward the under while leaving the Eagles well placed to stay competitive. Second-half markets at similar totals suggest a measured tempo is likely to continue.

Probabilities

53-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD

Slight lean to West Coast +13.5 covering at 1.90

58-63%

FULL GAME TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Under 178.5 at 1.88

48-53%

2ND HALF SPREAD

Too close to call on North Melbourne -6.5 at 1.90

54-59%

2ND HALF TOTAL

Slight lean to the Under 89.5 at 1.88

Team Totals

Team A

Slight Under

Slight lean to North Melbourne Under 96.5 at 1.90

Team B

Moderate Under

Moderate lean to West Coast Under 82.5 at 1.90

⚡Halftime Report

North Melbourne leads 38-37 at halftime in a low-scoring grind at Optus Stadium. Both sides have 5 goals but combined for 15 behinds, underlining poor conversion from set shots and hurried forward entries. Jack Darling’s three goals, including two in the second term, have kept the Kangaroos in front, while West Coast’s quick double from Jake Waterman briefly gave them the lead. Contested ball has been even, yet both teams have turned the ball over cheaply, restricting flow and keeping the total at just 75 points. North Melbourne’s higher disposal count has not translated into clean looks, while the Eagles have defended their home corridor tightly. With the full-game spread at North Melbourne -13.5 (1.90) and the total sitting at 178.5 (1.88), the first-half pattern suggests a continuation of the low-scoring theme. Second-half markets show similar caution, with the half total at 88.5 (1.89) and North Melbourne favoured by 6.5 points (1.90). Team totals reflect the same outlook, with North Melbourne 96.5 (1.90) and West Coast 82.5 (1.90). Expect both coaches to tighten structures and reduce errors, pointing to another tight, inaccurate half.

Probabilities

53-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD

Slight lean to West Coast Eagles +13.5 covering at 1.90

58-63%

FULL GAME TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Under 178.5 at 1.88

48-53%

2ND HALF SPREAD

Too close to call on North Melbourne Kangaroos -6.5 at 1.90

57-62%

2ND HALF TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Under 88.5 at 1.89

Team Totals

Team A

Slight Under

Slight lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 96.5 at 1.90

Team B

Slight Under

Slight lean to West Coast Eagles Under 82.5 at 1.90

⚡Three Quartertime Report

North Melbourne has seized control at three-quarter time, leading West Coast 65-51 after a commanding third term. The Kangaroos added 4.3 to West Coast’s 2.2, extending a slender one-point halftime advantage into a 14-point buffer. Jack Darling’s three goals, including two in the second quarter, combined with Nick Larkey’s two majors and Harry Sheezel’s timely contribution, have stretched the Eagles’ defence. North’s forward entries have become cleaner, while West Coast’s early promise from Harley Reid and Jake Waterman has been curtailed by turnovers and poor conversion. Scoring shots favour North 20-16, underlining their growing territorial edge. West Coast remain within striking distance but lack the contested ball dominance needed to close the gap. With one quarter remaining, North Melbourne sit favourites to cover the full-game -13.5 line at 1.90. The total is tracking comfortably under 178.5 at 1.88 given the slowing tempo. North’s team total over 95.5 looks the stronger proposition at 1.88, while West Coast’s under 82.5 at 1.90 offers value. The key takeaway is North’s improved efficiency in the third term has shifted momentum decisively in their favour heading into the final change.

Probabilities

63-68%

FULL GAME SPREAD

Strong lean to North Melbourne -13.5 covering at 1.90

58-63%

FULL GAME TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Under 178.5 at 1.88

55-60%

2ND HALF SPREAD

Slight lean to North Melbourne -6.5 covering at 1.90

57-62%

2ND HALF TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Under 89.5 at 1.88

Team Totals

Team A

Moderate Over

Moderate lean to North Melbourne Over 95.5 at 1.88

Team B

Slight Under

Slight lean to West Coast Under 82.5 at 1.90

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 85.5 West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H O/U	Ladbrokes	85.5	1.87	52.0%	1.1%	T1	1u	L
Over 42.5 West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1Q O/U	TAB	42.5	1.85	49.0%	-0.4%	T1	1u	L
Over 39.5 (West Coast Eagles) West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H Team Totals	TAB	39.5	1.90	42.0%	-1.4%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 85.5 West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H O/U	Ladbrokes	85.5	1.87	52.0%	1.1%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 39.5 (West Coast Eagles) West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H Team Totals	TAB	39.5	1.90	42.0%	-1.4%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 42.5 West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1Q O/U	TAB	42.5	1.85	49.0%	-0.4%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Optus Stadium MATCHCAST -
Optus Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
WCE West Coast Eagles
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side fell just short in a tense finish, going down 73-74 by a single point after finishing with 10 goals and 14 behinds. The opposition piled on 10 goals and 13 behinds in a low-scoring affair that stayed close throughout. Jack Darling led the way with a bag of four majors, while Nick Larkey also booted four in a strong forward display.

Season Story So Far

Results have been mixed with flashes of competitiveness offset by some heavy defeats. The latest narrow loss continues a pattern of close contests that have not always gone their way, leaving the group searching for consistency across the four quarters.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The side sits outside the top eight with limited points accumulated. Percentage hovers below 80, reflecting a points-against tally that has outstripped points for in several outings. The differentials highlight areas needing urgent improvement in both attack and defence.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 8: Loss to Geelong Cats
Round 9: Loss to Sydney Swans
Round 10: Loss to Adelaide Crows
Round 11: Win vs Gold Coast Suns
Round 13: Loss to Fremantle Dockers

A solitary win punctuates an otherwise challenging stretch, though the most recent outing showed renewed fight.

Betting Trends & Performance

Spread results have been inconsistent, with the side rarely covering larger margins. Totals have trended under in several high-scoring losses, though the narrow recent defeat landed close to the projected line.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have relied heavily on key targets converting opportunities, with strong contested marking inside 50. Tackle pressure has varied, while disposal efficiency remains an area of focus. Standout individual efforts have kept the side in games despite collective defensive lapses.

Player Highlights

Jack Darling: Multiple bags of three or four goals across recent matches, consistently providing a target with strong contested marking.
Nick Larkey: Matched Darling's output in the latest game with four goals and solid work rate around the ground.
Paul Curtis: Delivered three goals and strong inside-50 involvement in one of the better attacking displays.
Zane Duursma: Showed promise with three-goal hauls and neat disposal in limited opportunities.
Nick Larkey: Added strong marking and goal-assist numbers alongside his own scoring.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed a couple of solid edges on unders and narrow spreads but missed the mark on a couple of overs that blew out. Owning the misses on the higher totals keeps things honest heading into the next round.

Outlook / What to Watch

North Melbourne Kangaroos head to the MCG to face Richmond Tigers in what shapes as a high-scoring contest. Expect both sides to push the ball forward quickly, with North Melbourne Kangaroos looking to use their key forwards to stretch the defence. The spread looks tight, and totals could exceed 160 given the venue and recent scoring trends from both sides.

FRE

vs

NOR

Jun 6 2:15pm ·Hands Oval ·Round 13

-

0 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Fremantle Dockers head into Round 13 as clear frontrunners when they meet North Melbourne Kangaroos at Hands Oval. The Dockers have won their past five outings and enter the contest with genuine momentum, while the Kangaroos have managed just one victory in the same stretch. Fremantle’s recent run has been built on disciplined defence and efficient ball movement. They have averaged 96.42 points scored and just 71.33 conceded across their last five matches, producing an average winning margin of 25 points. North Melbourne, by contrast, have conceded 96.64 points per game while scoring 94.27, resulting in an average losing margin of 25.2 points in their four defeats. The statistical gap is most pronounced in contested situations and transition defence. Fremantle have repeatedly restricted opponents below 80 points in four of their last five wins, a level North Melbourne has failed to achieve in any of their past five games. The Kangaroos’ only recent success came in a narrow six-point victory, underlining how rarely they have been able to match the Dockers’ consistency. Key personnel will shape the tactical battle. Fremantle’s midfield engine has controlled tempo effectively in recent weeks, allowing their forwards to capitalise on turnover opportunities. North Melbourne will need their experienced ball-winners to lift output if they are to limit Fremantle’s ability to dictate field position and scoring chains. Betting markets have installed Fremantle as 12.5- to 13.5-point favourites, a line that aligns closely with recent margins. The Dockers have covered similar spreads in three of their last five wins, while North Melbourne have failed to cover in four straight games. Totals markets sit around 178.5, slightly above Fremantle’s recent scoring average but well within reach given North Melbourne’s defensive vulnerabilities. Fremantle Dockers should prevail comfortably. Expect them to win by a margin of 20 to 30 points, continuing their strong form while exposing North Melbourne Kangaroos’ ongoing defensive issues.

No qualifying plays for this game.

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Hands Oval MATCHCAST -
Hands Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
FRE Fremantle Dockers
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Kangaroos fell short by 124 points, finishing with 4 goals and 7 behinds for 31 points against the opposition's 24 goals and 11 behinds for 155. The visitors led at every change but were overrun after half time. Nick Larkey kicked 1 goal while Jack Darling added 1 in a tough day up forward.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a challenging stretch where the side has shown flashes of competitiveness but struggled to maintain intensity across four quarters. Momentum from earlier wins has been hard to build on, leaving the group focused on tightening execution and reducing turnovers.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Kangaroos sit outside the top eight with limited points and a percentage well below 100. Points for remain modest while points against have climbed, highlighting the need for better defensive structure and more efficient forward entries to climb the table.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 13: Lost to Fremantle Dockers 31-155
Round 11: Defeated Gold Coast Suns 111-105
Round 10: Lost to Adelaide Crows 65-133
Round 9: Lost to Sydney Swans 97-105
Round 8: Lost to Geelong Cats 86-135

One win from five has kept the side searching for consistency.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread only once in the last five outings and has gone under the total in three of those matches. Performance against the line has been inconsistent, with totals often reflecting lower-scoring second halves.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward pressure has been led by strong contested marking and inside-50 work, though conversion remains an issue. Defensively the group has been stretched by opposition ball movement, with tackle counts solid but clearances often lost in the middle. Standout individual efforts have kept games closer than the final margins suggest.

Player Highlights

Nick Larkey: 4 goals in the most recent outing with 16 disposals and strong marking presence.
Jack Darling: Multiple games with 3 goals and consistent inside-50 impact, averaging strong contested possessions.
Paul Curtis: 3 goals and 5 tackles in round 10, adding pressure and score involvement.
Zane Duursma: 3 goals in round 8 and reliable ball use from the midfield.
Stephen Coniglio: High disposal games with strong score involvements when available.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed a couple of solid unders on team totals and one first-half total, but missed the main spread. Brutally honest assessment: the value was there on the unders and we owned the spread miss without excuses.

Outlook / What to Watch

North Melbourne Kangaroos host West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium in round 14. Expect the Eagles to bring a fast, direct style that will test the Kangaroos' defensive transition. Key match-ups will centre on the ruck and forward-half contests. The Kangaroos will look to control the ball through the middle and limit West Coast Eagles' run from half-back. Scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with the line likely favouring the home side by double digits if they can win enough clearances early.

GCS

vs

NOR

May 23 1:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 11

-

6 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Gold Coast Suns head into Marvel Stadium as clear favourites against North Melbourne Kangaroos in Round 11, carrying superior recent form and a stronger statistical profile that points to a comfortable victory. The Suns enter with three wins from their past five outings, including victories by 20, 29 and 25 points. Their two losses came by 49 and six points, producing an average margin of 24.7 points in wins and 27.5 in defeats. North Melbourne have struggled, securing just one win in the same period – a six-point victory – while suffering four losses by an average of 33 points. Statistically the gap is pronounced. Gold Coast average 99.82 points scored and 85.36 conceded per game, while North Melbourne sit at 94.27 for and 96.64 against. The Suns have consistently kept opponents under 85 points in their three most recent victories, underlining defensive discipline that North Melbourne have rarely matched. Key contributors for the Suns have maintained high disposal averages in recent weeks, supporting a structured midfield that controls tempo. North Melbourne rely heavily on a small core but have been unable to sustain output across four quarters against stronger opposition. Betting markets have installed Gold Coast at approximately -5.5, reflecting both current form and historical trends. Previous analysis highlighted multiple high-edge opportunities on Suns spreads and first-half totals, with true probabilities often exceeding 70 percent when the line sat around 9.5 to 26.5. North Melbourne’s defensive lapses have repeatedly allowed opponents to cover similar margins, suggesting the current line underestimates Gold Coast’s control. A total around 182.5 appears slightly low given both teams’ recent scoring outputs, yet the Suns’ ability to dictate pace should keep the game within a manageable range. Expect Gold Coast to establish an early lead through superior contested ball and maintain it via efficient transition. Gold Coast Suns should prevail by 12 to 18 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Gold Coast Suns face North Melbourne Kangaroos with the Suns installed as double-digit favorites. The Suns -10.5 line at 72% true probability and 4.2% edge projects a controlled performance from the visitors. An under lean on the total aligns with the 172 projection, reinforced by the modest 45% true on Suns team total over 47.5. Harry Sheezel over 30.5 disposals at 68% true and 3.5% edge highlights expected ball movement, while Nick Larkey anytime goal scorer at 72% true and 4.5% edge points to Kangaroos counter threats. Caleb Daniel over 2.5 tackles adds defensive pressure data. These plays converge on a structured contest favoring Suns margin without high scoring.

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Nick Larkey Anytime Goal Scorer Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Goal Scorer Anytime	Neds	0	1.10	72.0%	4.5%	T2	2.5u	W
Gold Coast Suns -10.5 Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-10.5	1.90	72.0%	4.2%	T2	2.5u	L
Over Harry Sheezel 30.5 DISPOSALS Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Disposals Over	SportsBet	30.5	1.87	68.0%	3.5%	T2	2.5u	W
Over Caleb Daniel 2.5 TACKLES Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Tackles Over	SportsBet	2.5	1.71	52.0%	0.9%	T1	1u	L
Over Gold Coast Suns 47.5 Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	47.5	1.83	45.0%	-1.9%	T1	1u	W
North Melbourne Kangaroos +2.5 Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1Q Spreads	Neds	2.5	1.90	42.0%	-1.5%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Gold Coast Suns -10.5 Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-10.5	1.90	72.0%	4.2%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Gold Coast Suns 47.5 Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	47.5	1.83	45.0%	-1.9%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
North Melbourne Kangaroos +2.5 Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	1Q Spreads	Neds	2.5	1.90	42.0%	-1.5%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Nick Larkey Anytime Goal Scorer Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Goal Scorer Anytime	Neds	0	1.10	72.0%	4.5%	T2	2.5u	W
Over Harry Sheezel 30.5 DISPOSALS Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Disposals Over	SportsBet	30.5	1.87	68.0%	3.5%	T2	2.5u	W
Over Caleb Daniel 2.5 TACKLES Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Tackles Over	SportsBet	2.5	1.71	52.0%	0.9%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
GCS Gold Coast Suns
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Kangaroos finished with 17 goals and 9 behinds for 111 points, defeating the opposition who managed 16 goals and 9 behinds for 105 points by a margin of 6 points. They trailed at half time but kicked 11 goals to 4 in the second half to secure the win. Paul Curtis and Jack Darling led the scoring with bags of 2 and 3 goals respectively.

Season Story So Far

A strong bounce-back victory caps a challenging stretch where the side showed flashes of attacking potency but struggled for consistency across the middle rounds of the season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position remains unlisted in current data, though the points and percentage reflect a side still building momentum with a balanced but modest points differential from recent contests.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 7: lost to Greater Western Sydney Giants 98-105
Round 8: lost to Geelong Cats 86-135
Round 9: lost to Sydney Swans 97-105
Round 10: lost to Adelaide Crows 65-133
Round 11: defeated Gold Coast Suns 111-105

One win from the last five highlights the need for sustained improvement.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the line in isolated high-scoring wins but has generally fallen short on totals when the contest tightens, pointing to variable offensive output week to week.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward pressure has been a highlight in patches, with strong inside-50 work and contested possessions driving scoring bursts. Defensively the group has been stretched at times, allowing opposition runners too much space in transition.

Player Highlights

Jack Darling: Delivered 3 goals and strong contested marking in the latest outing while providing leadership up forward.
Paul Curtis: Kicked 2 goals and added 12 disposals with 5 tackles, showing his damaging forward-half impact.
Nick Larkey: Booted 4 goals in an earlier win and continues to stretch defences with his leading patterns.
Zane Duursma: Contributed multiple goals across recent matches and showed clean ball use from half-forward.
Cooper Trembath: Provided ruck support and 3 goals in a standout performance earlier in the stretch.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard landed a couple of value edges on first-half totals and spreads in other contests but missed the primary Kangaroos-related selections, so we own the quiet round and reset for the next slate.

Outlook / What to Watch

North Melbourne Kangaroos will aim to carry the momentum from their most recent four-quarter effort into the next assignment, with attention on maintaining forward-half intensity and managing the opposition's run from the midfield at the venue.

ROUND	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
PLAYED	Port Adelaide Power	West Coast Eagles	Essendon Bombers	Carlton Blues	Brisbane Lions	Richmond Tigers	Greater Western Sydney Giants	Geelong Cats	Sydney Swans	Adelaide Crows	Gold Coast Suns	BYE	Fremantle Dockers	West Coast Eagles	Richmond Tigers	Essendon Bombers	Port Adelaide Power	Collingwood Magpies	Melbourne Demons	St Kilda Saints	Hawthorn Hawks	Western Bulldogs	Geelong Cats	Sydney Swans
RESULT	W	L	W	W	L	W	L	L	L	L	W	BYE	L	W	W	W	L	L	L	L	L	W	L	L
HM / AW	HM	AW	AW	HM	HM	HM	AW	AW	HM	AW	HM	BYE	HM	HM	AW	HM	AW	AW	HM	HM	AW	AW	HM	AW
PTS FOR	113	94	81	96	66	130	98	86	97	65	111	BYE	31	74	73	79	52	85	76	62	83	100	110	70
PTS AGT	67	111	69	86	92	55	105	135	105	133	105	BYE	155	73	48	65	73	89	92	93	99	77	125	123
TOTAL	180	205	150	182	158	185	203	221	202	198	216	BYE	186	147	121	144	125	174	168	155	182	177	235	193
AVG FOR	113	104	96	96	90	97	97	96	96	93	94	BYE	89	88	87	86	84	84	84	83	83	83	85	84
AVG AGT	67	89	82	83	85	80	84	90	92	96	97	BYE	102	99	96	94	92	92	92	92	93	92	93	95
AVG TOTAL	180	193	178	179	175	177	181	186	188	189	191	BYE	191	187	183	180	176	176	176	175	176	175	178	179

North Melbourne Kangaroos 2026 Season Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

Go to your favourite AFL Team

Season Story

Match by Match

58-68

52-62

55-65

53-63

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Sydney Swans

62-68%

51-57%

58-64%

53-59%

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Sydney Swans

88-94

62-68

78-84

58-64

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Sydney Swans

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Season Story So Far

Ladder Position & Differentials

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Betting Trends & Performance

Attacking & Defensive Story

Player Highlights

Youngbloods Best Bets

Outlook / What to Watch

62-68

55-61

58-64

53-59

Geelong Cats

North Melbourne Kangaroos

48-52

52-58

50-55

48-54

Geelong Cats

North Melbourne Kangaroos

52-58

48-54

51-57

49-55

Geelong Cats

North Melbourne Kangaroos

POST GAME STORYLINE

North Melbourne Kangaroos — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Season Story So Far

Ladder Position & Differentials

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Betting Trends & Performance

Attacking & Defensive Story

Player Highlights

Youngbloods Best Bets

Outlook / What to Watch

48-52%

52-56%

50-54%

53-57%

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Western Bulldogs

58-65

62-68

52-58

55-62

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Western Bulldogs

62-72%

48-58%

55-65%

52-62%

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Western Bulldogs