Port Adelaide Power 2026 Season | Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

POR

vs

ESS

Aug 23 12:20pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 24

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🧠 Match Preview

Port Adelaide Power head to Marvel Stadium in Round 24 facing an Essendon Bombers side that has struggled to maintain consistency. With both teams searching for late-season momentum, the contest offers a clear statistical contrast between a more efficient attack and a defence under sustained pressure. Port Adelaide enter the match on the back of five consecutive defeats, yet their underlying numbers remain more competitive than the results suggest. Across those games they averaged 77.23 points scored and 88.77 conceded. Their scoring has been steady in the 63-75 range, but heavy concessions in the final two outings inflated the defensive average. Essendon, by comparison, have managed just one win in five matches and sit at 68.45 points for and 107.86 against. Their attack has been held below 55 points in three of the last five, while their defence has repeatedly conceded totals above 110. The margin trends reinforce the gap. Port’s losses have come by an average of 54 points, though two of those defeats were decided by fewer than 30. Essendon’s results show even wider variance, with a three-point victory offset by three losses of 67 points or more. This inconsistency has left Essendon vulnerable to teams that can sustain pressure across quarters. At the betting window, Port Adelaide are favoured by between 6.5 and 8.5 points on the line, with totals set around 176.5. The market appears to have factored in Port’s superior scoring average and Essendon’s leaky defence. Given Port’s recent ability to keep games within three goals for longer stretches, a line of -7.5 looks reachable if they avoid another slow start. The over/under sits near both teams’ combined seasonal averages, suggesting a moderate-scoring affair rather than a shootout. Tactically, Port will look to exploit Essendon’s second-half fade-outs by maintaining possession and forcing repeat entries. Essendon’s best chance lies in an early surge and capitalising on any Port inaccuracy inside 50, but their low scoring output makes that path difficult to sustain. Port Adelaide should prevail. Expect them to win by a margin of 12 to 22 points in a contest that stays under the total.

✏️ Game Analysis

Port Adelaide Power visit Essendon Bombers in a matchup where the approved Port Adelaide Power team total play at 2.5 units stands out. With True 62% and Edge 8% at odds 1.84, this wager reinforces a projected game shape of controlled, low-output football. Port Adelaide Power are positioned to manage the tempo, keeping the total in check while Essendon Bombers struggle to break through. The line call ties directly to expectations of a grind-it-out battle at Marvel, where Port Adelaide Power's structure limits high-scoring bursts. This single approved play captures the essence of the contest, projecting Port Adelaide Power to shape the outcome through steady accumulation rather than explosive plays.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Port Adelaide Power lead Essendon Bombers 21-17 at the first change in a scrappy, low-scoring opening term at Marvel Stadium. Both sides were wasteful inside 50, combining for just six goals and 14 behinds as entries were repeatedly repelled. Port struck first through Mitchell Georgiades and added majors via Tom Anastasopoulos and Oliver Wines, while Essendon replied with goals to Peter Wright and Nate Caddy but missed five shots themselves. The Power hold a narrow four-point advantage despite recording only three goals, reflecting Essendon’s inaccuracy rather than sustained dominance. Momentum sits slightly with the visitors, who generated cleaner forward entries late in the quarter. From a betting lens the game remains wide open. Full-game totals sit around 187.5 with both teams well under projected scoring pace after 38 combined points. Spread markets price Port as modest favourites, yet the first-quarter margin was only four points. Expect adjustments once structures tighten and both attacks find rhythm in the second term.

Probabilities

52-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Port Adelaide Power -3.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

48-54%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 187.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

53-59%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Port Adelaide Power -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

49-55%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 93.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Under 94.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Essendon Bombers

Under

Lean to Under 90.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime, Port Adelaide Power lead Essendon Bombers 54-38 after a dominant second quarter that saw them kick six goals to three. Port’s efficiency inside 50 and ability to capitalise on Essendon’s turnovers has created clear separation. Essendon showed early promise with Nate Caddy’s three goals but faded under sustained pressure, managing only eight behinds for the half. The 16-point margin reflects Port’s superior ball movement and contested ball work, while Essendon’s defence has struggled to limit repeat entries. From a betting perspective, the total sits at 92, tracking comfortably toward the 187.5 line. Port’s 54 already exceeds several half-time team total unders, creating strong momentum for their full-game overs. Essendon’s attack remains below most projected lines, keeping their overs under pressure. The second half should see Port maintain structure and exploit Essendon’s second-half fade-outs noted in recent form. Expect Port to extend the margin while the game stays on pace for a moderate-to-high total. Key takeaway: Port Adelaide hold clear control and are well positioned to cover spreads while pushing the total over.

Probabilities

72-78

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power -3.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)

68-74

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 187.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

65-71

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

62-68

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 93.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power Over 94.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Essendon Bombers

Under

Lean to Essendon Bombers Under 90.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Essendon lead Port Adelaide 63-62 after a dominant third quarter that erased a 16-point halftime deficit. The Bombers booted five goals to one in the term, with Nate Caddy finishing with four majors and Peter Wright adding two. Port Adelaide’s earlier efficiency faded as turnovers and poor entries allowed Essendon to seize momentum and control of the contest. The total score sits at 125, well below the 187.5-189.5 market lines, yet the pace of the last quarter suggests the over remains live. Essendon’s defensive pressure has improved markedly since the main break, restricting Port to just one goal after they had kicked eight in the opening half. From a betting perspective the game has flipped: Port were 3.5-5.5 point favourites pre-game, yet Essendon now hold a narrow lead and the better recent form. With one quarter remaining, the contest is effectively a one-goal game that could swing either way, though Essendon’s current momentum gives them the edge in a low-scoring final term. The key takeaway is that Essendon have seized control through superior ball movement and forward pressure, while Port must lift their intensity immediately to avoid a damaging late-season defeat.

Probabilities

52-58

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Essendon Bombers +4.5 covering at 1.90 (Bet Right)

68-74

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 187.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

55-61

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Essendon Bombers +3.5 covering at 1.92 (SportsBet)

62-68

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 93.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Over 94.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Essendon Bombers

Over

Lean to Essendon Bombers Over 90.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Port Adelaide Power Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers	Head to Head	SportsBet	—	1.84	62.0%	8.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Port Adelaide Power Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers	Head to Head	SportsBet	—	1.84	62.0%	8.0%	T2	2.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
POR Port Adelaide Power
ESS Essendon Bombers

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side claimed a hard-fought 105-95 win by 10 points. They finished with 16 goals and 9 behinds after a tight contest that saw them lead at half time by 16 points. The visitors responded strongly in the final term but the home side held firm. Top goal scorers from the winning team included a standout bag of 5 from the full forward, supported by 2 from the wingman. The opposition’s best performer kicked 6 goals from centre half forward.

Season Story So Far

After a string of heavy defeats that exposed defensive vulnerabilities, the latest result provided a timely boost. The group showed improved structure and efficiency in attack to secure their first win in six outings, suggesting some late-season momentum despite an otherwise difficult campaign.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position is unavailable from current data, but the points for and against across recent matches indicate a season of significant challenges. The percentage reflects a side that has conceded heavily while struggling to maintain scoring output in most games.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 19: Loss to Fremantle Dockers 75-103
Round 20: Loss to Brisbane Lions 67-126
Round 21: Loss to Greater Western Sydney Giants 63-75
Round 22: Loss to Sydney Swans 70-167
Round 23: Loss to Melbourne Demons 56-132

The run of results highlights ongoing issues with consistency and defence.

Betting Trends & Performance

Recent heavy losses have seen the side fail to cover spreads or totals in most outings. The latest victory showed better control and efficiency, though overall trends remain negative until more consistent performances emerge.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Work rate around the contest has been led by the ruck rover, who consistently posted high disposal counts and clearance numbers. Forward entries have relied heavily on a small number of key targets, while defensive pressure has been inconsistent, allowing opponents too many scoring opportunities from turnover.

Player Highlights

Mitchell Georgiades: 5 goals and 15 disposals in the latest win, showing strong marking and finishing.
Oliver Wines: 27 disposals, 3 clearances and strong contested possession work across recent games.
Mitch Zadow: 2 goals and solid wing minutes with 8 disposals in the victory.
Jordon Sweet: 25 hitouts and 18 disposals in a ruck battle that helped midfield supply.
Corey Durdin: Consistent forward pressure with multiple goals across the stretch.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard data available for assessment. The recent win stands as a clear positive that the group can take forward without excuses needed for prior misses.

Outlook / What to Watch

Port Adelaide Power will look to build on their improved ball movement and forward efficiency when they next meet their opponent. Expect a focus on contested ball and reducing turnovers to set a stronger platform at the venue.

MEL

vs

POR

Aug 15 8:10pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round 23

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🧠 Match Preview

Melbourne Demons head to Adelaide Oval in Round 23 with a chance to strengthen their finals push against a Port Adelaide Power side that has endured a difficult run of form. The Demons enter as clear favourites and will look to exploit their superior scoring depth on the road. Melbourne have won four of their last five matches, showing strong attacking output and defensive resilience. Their recent results include comfortable victories by 46, 16 and 9 points, though they suffered a 20-point loss in one outing. Across those five games they have averaged 105.4 points scored and 94.4 conceded, reflecting consistent control in most contests. Port Adelaide, by contrast, have lost their past five matches by an average margin of 42 points, with heavy defeats of 59 and 97 points highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Statistically the gap is pronounced. Melbourne average 99.1 points for and 92.1 against across the season, while Port Adelaide sit at 78.2 for and 86.7 against. The Demons have also produced higher-scoring games in their recent form, with three of their last five totals exceeding 210 points. Port’s matches have trended lower, averaging just 165 points combined in their past five outings. Key matchups will centre on Melbourne’s ability to move the ball forward efficiently against a Port defence that has struggled to contain opposition entries. The visitors’ capacity to kick multiple goals in bursts has been a feature of their wins, while Port have been limited to under 80 points in four of their last five games. Betting markets have installed Melbourne as 25.5 to 27.5-point favourites, a line that aligns closely with recent margins. The Demons have covered similar spreads in three of their past four wins, suggesting value on the minus line. The total sits around 181.5–182.5; given Melbourne’s attacking average and Port’s defensive concessions, the over appears the more likely outcome. Melbourne Demons are expected to win by 22 to 32 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Melbourne Demons face Port Adelaide Power at Adelaide Oval with form and venue norms pointing to a blowout. Melbourne's WWLWW record and 107.6% stand against Port Adelaide's LLLLL skid and 90.23%, setting up one-sided scoring. This shape directly supports the approved Melbourne Demons T4 7.5u play. At True 82% and a 7% edge, the selection projects the Demons to clear the team total line with room to spare. The bet reinforces expectations that Melbourne will control territory and output while Port Adelaide offers minimal resistance. The line and probability align on the same outcome, locking in value through sustained dominance rather than a tight contest.

⚡Quarter Time Report

⚡Halftime Report

Melbourne Demons hold a commanding 57-20 lead at halftime after an explosive opening half at Adelaide Oval. The visitors kicked nine goals to Port Adelaide’s three, with multiple bursts of scoring in both quarters highlighting their superior forward efficiency and ball movement. Port have managed just two behinds in the second term and remain well below their season scoring average. Momentum sits firmly with Melbourne, who have controlled contested possessions and limited Port’s ability to transition quickly. The 37-point margin already exceeds the full-game spread line of -26.5, placing the Demons in a strong position to cover. The total game score of 77 sits well under the 180.5-181.5 line, suggesting a slower second half is likely. From a betting perspective, Melbourne’s second-half spread around -12.5 to -13.5 looks attractive given their current form and Port’s defensive frailties. Team totals also lean toward the Demons exceeding 103.5 for the match. Port’s inability to generate scoring opportunities reduces the likelihood of a significant comeback. Key takeaway: Melbourne are well placed to extend their advantage, with the spread and Melbourne team total offering the clearest value heading into the second half.

Probabilities

78-85

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Very Strong lean to Melbourne Demons -26.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

58-65

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 181.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

72-79

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Strong lean to Melbourne Demons -12.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

55-62

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 90.5 at 1.83 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Melbourne Demons

Over

Strong lean to Melbourne Demons Over 103.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 76.5 at 1.86 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Melbourne Demons hold a commanding 95-42 lead over Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval. The Demons have dominated since half-time, adding 38 points to Port’s 22 while restricting the Power to just six goals for the match. Melbourne’s forward line has been clinical, with Bayley Fritsch and multiple goal kickers combining for efficient entries. Port Adelaide’s defence has again looked porous, conceding heavily after a poor opening half. The 53-point margin already exceeds the 25.5–27.5 pre-game spread, though the final margin remains fluid. Scoring has been steady rather than explosive, with the total sitting at 137 against the 181.5 line. Melbourne’s 95 points already sit close to several full-game team total lines, placing the Demons in a strong position to exceed those marks with a quarter remaining. Port’s low output makes their team total lines look increasingly difficult to reach. Momentum sits firmly with Melbourne, who have controlled territory and inside-50 entries throughout the second half.

Probabilities

78-85

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Very Strong lean to Melbourne Demons -26.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

62-70

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 181.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

72-79

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Melbourne Demons -12.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

58-66

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 90.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Melbourne Demons

Over

Extremely Strong lean to Melbourne Demons Over 103.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Very Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 76.5 at 1.86 (SportsBet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Melbourne Demons Melbourne Demons vs Port Adelaide Power	Head to Head	SportsBet	—	1.25	82.0%	7.0%	T4	7.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Melbourne Demons Melbourne Demons vs Port Adelaide Power	Head to Head	SportsBet	—	1.25	82.0%	7.0%	T4	7.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -
Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
MEL Melbourne Demons
POR Port Adelaide Power

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The team went down to the opposition 56 to 132, a 76-point margin. They finished with 8 goals and 8 behinds while the visitors booted 20 goals and 12 behinds. Top goal scorers from the winning side included a bag of four, with another player also finishing with four majors. The opposition’s best performer kicked four goals and recorded strong score involvements.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a difficult run home. The side has been unable to arrest a slide that has seen them concede heavy scores across the past month, with attacking output remaining well below what was hoped for earlier in the campaign.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder numbers are not available in the current data set, but the points for and against reflect a team that has been outscored heavily in recent weeks, leaving percentage and overall standing under pressure as the season closes.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 18: Lost to St Kilda Saints by 14 points
Round 19: Lost to Fremantle Dockers by 28 points
Round 20: Lost to Brisbane Lions by 59 points
Round 21: Lost to Greater Western Sydney Giants by 12 points
Round 22: Lost to Sydney Swans by 97 points

Five straight defeats have left the group searching for answers heading into the final round.

Betting Trends & Performance

Without dedicated betting data available, the pattern of large margins suggests the side has struggled to stay competitive against the spread in recent outings, with totals also landing well above expectations on several occasions.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been limited and conversion has been poor. The midfield has worked hard for disposals and clearances, yet the forward line has been unable to capitalise consistently. Defensively the side has conceded high volumes of scoring shots, particularly in the second half of games.

Player Highlights

Oliver Wines: Consistent high disposal counts (23–31) and strong clearance work across the past five games.
Mitchell Georgiades: Multiple games with three or four goals, providing the main forward threat.
Jason Horne-Francis: Strong contested possession numbers and two goals in the most recent outing.
Corey Durdin: Regular goal threat with two-goal hauls in back-to-back weeks.
Jordon Sweet: Solid ruck output including 25 hitouts and two goals in the latest match.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard data is available for assessment this round. We’ll park any betting recommendations until fresh figures are provided.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no upcoming fixture listed, Port Adelaide Power will now turn attention to a full off-season review and preparations for 2027.

POR

vs

SYD

Aug 8 4:15pm ·Sydney Cricket Ground ·Round 22

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🧠 Match Preview

Sydney Swans host Port Adelaide Power at the SCG in round 22 with a clear opportunity to strengthen their position. The Swans enter as strong favourites after showing greater scoring consistency, while the Power have struggled to maintain momentum on the road. Port Adelaide’s recent form has been patchy. They opened their last five matches with a 21-point win but followed it with four losses, including heavy defeats by 28 and 59 points. Their scoring has remained modest, averaging just 78.65 points per game while conceding 82.70. The Power have found it difficult to build leads beyond the opening quarters and have been outscored significantly in the second halves of their recent losses. Sydney, by contrast, have averaged 107.05 points for and 82.65 against across the same period. Although they suffered two narrow losses, they produced two substantial wins, including a 51-point victory and a 19-point away success. Their ability to kick high scores and limit opponents has given them a clear statistical edge heading into this contest. The betting market reflects this gap. Bookmakers have installed Sydney as 37.5- to 38.5-point favourites. Given Sydney’s average winning margin in their two victories was 35 points and Port’s average losing margin in their last four games sits near 28 points, the line looks appropriately set. The total points line sits around 176.5-177.5, which aligns with the combined averages of both sides. Tactically, Sydney’s higher scoring rate should stretch Port’s defence, particularly if the Swans can establish an early lead at the SCG. Port will need to improve their second-half output to stay competitive, but their recent road performances suggest they may again fall away after half-time. Sydney Swans are expected to win by a margin of 30 to 40 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

The Port Adelaide Power versus Sydney Swans matchup centers on elevated scoring projections. The over 178.5 total at True 52% and 2% edge supports an open contest between the sides. Sydney Swans team total over 112.5 with 75% True probability and 9% edge highlights their expected output. Port Adelaide Power over 15.5 registers at 42% True and -1% edge, indicating limited but present contribution. These lines together reinforce a game shape where Sydney Swans drive the majority of points while the combined total clears comfortably, consistent with the approved wagers on SportsBet. The structure favors the higher team total and overall over as the primary drivers in this projection.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After an open and high-scoring first quarter at the SCG, Port Adelaide leads Sydney Swans by two points, 22-20. Both sides traded goals freely, with Port striking early through behinds from Zadow and Moraes before Anastasopoulos, Horne-Francis and Whitlock converted. Sydney responded through Lloyd, Warner and McDonald, keeping the margin within a kick at every change. Eight goals and ten behinds in the opening term point to an end-to-end style that favours both teams’ transition games. Port’s early efficiency inside 50 gave them the narrow edge, yet Sydney’s ability to score from turnover remains a threat. From a betting perspective the full-game spread still sits at Sydney -48.5, meaning the Swans must dominate the remaining three quarters to cover. The total line of 178.5 looks reachable given the scoring rate already established. Sydney’s historical second-half strength and home scoring average suggest they will push the tempo after the break, while Port must maintain their early output to stay competitive. Expect the contest to tighten tactically but remain high-scoring overall.

Probabilities

52-62

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Sydney Swans -48.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 178.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

55-65

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Sydney Swans -23.5 covering at 1.92 (Ladbrokes)

50-60

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 89.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Over 64.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Sydney Swans

Over

Lean to Sydney Swans Over 112.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime Sydney Swans lead Port Adelaide Power 78-36 after a commanding first half at the SCG. The Swans exploded in the second term, booting nine goals to three, turning a 21-point quarter-time advantage into a 42-point buffer. Sydney’s forward pressure and clean ball movement have overwhelmed Port’s defence, while the Power have managed only five goals and look disjointed after half-time adjustments. Momentum sits firmly with the home side, who have kicked 12 of the last 15 goals. From a betting perspective the full-game total of 114 already sits well above most first-half lines and is tracking toward the 178.5-180 mark. Sydney’s team total has already cleared several 107.5-112.5 unders, placing the Over in a strong position. Port Adelaide’s scoring has been restricted and their second-half output in recent weeks has been poor. Expect Sydney to continue controlling territory and tempo. The Swans should extend their lead further, with the margin likely finishing between 45 and 60 points. Key takeaway: Sydney’s second-quarter surge has shifted both the contest and the betting landscape decisively in their favour.

Probabilities

78-85

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Very Strong lean to Sydney Swans -48.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

72-79

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 178.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

74-81

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Sydney Swans -24.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

68-75

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 89.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

under

Very Strong lean to Under 64.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Sydney Swans

over

Strong lean to Over 112.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 112.5 (Sydney Swans) Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	112.5	1.85	75.0%	9.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Over 178.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans	Full O/U	SportsBet	178.5	1.91	52.0%	2.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Over 15.5 (Port Adelaide Power) Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	15.5	1.89	42.0%	-1.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 178.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans	Full O/U	SportsBet	178.5	1.91	52.0%	2.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 112.5 (Sydney Swans) Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	112.5	1.85	75.0%	9.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 15.5 (Port Adelaide Power) Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	15.5	1.89	42.0%	-1.0%	T2	2.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Sydney Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Sydney Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
POR Port Adelaide Power
SYD Sydney Swans

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Port Adelaide Power 10.10 (70) fell to the opposition 26.11 (167) by 97 points. The first term was tight at 22-20, but the visitors exploded in the second with 12 goals to 5 to lead by 42 at half time. The second half saw further dominance as the opposition added another 14 goals. Mitchell Georgiades booted three goals for the Power while the opposition’s standout forward bagged five.

Season Story So Far

After a solid win in round 17 the side has hit a rough patch, dropping the next five matches. The latest heavy defeat highlights areas that need tightening, particularly in the middle quarters where the contest has slipped away too often.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Port Adelaide Power currently sit mid-table with 24 points and a percentage hovering around 85. The points for and against show a team that has been competitive at times but has conceded heavily in recent outings, meaning percentage will be a key focus in the run home.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 18: Loss to St Kilda Saints 73-87
Round 19: Loss to Fremantle Dockers 75-103
Round 20: Loss to Brisbane Lions 67-126
Round 21: Loss to Greater Western Sydney Giants 63-75
Round 22: Loss to Sydney Swans 70-167

Four of those five results were decided by large margins, underlining the need for greater consistency.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has struggled to cover the spread in the last month, with totals also landing on the lower side in several contests. Home games have offered slightly better value, but away form has been a clear betting concern.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been solid in patches, yet conversion remains an issue. The midfield has worked hard at the coalface with strong tackle numbers, but the defensive structure has been stretched too often once the ball moves forward. Oliver Wines continues to lead the way in contested possessions and clearances.

Player Highlights

Mitchell Georgiades: Three goals and 14 disposals in the latest outing, showing strong marking presence.
Oliver Wines: 23 disposals, five clearances and tireless ruck-rover work across 88 minutes.
Jack Whitlock: Three goals from 10 disposals, providing a target up forward.
Corey Durdin: Two goals and 13 disposals, adding pressure with his forward pressure.
Jason Horne-Francis: 23 disposals and two goals in a strong midfield display.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The recent card missed on the spread and total in the heavy loss, but we own that one. The earlier win delivered a nice result on the player props, so the focus now shifts to finding better value in the next window.

Outlook / What to Watch

Port Adelaide Power will look to reset quickly and build around their key ball-winners. With no confirmed next opponent listed, the emphasis stays on improving contested ball and forward efficiency in the coming weeks.

GWS

vs

POR

Aug 1 6:35pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round 21

-

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🧠 Match Preview

Greater Western Sydney Giants head to Adelaide Oval in Round 21 looking to arrest a slide that has seen them drop three of their past five outings, while Port Adelaide Power will be desperate to steady the ship after consecutive heavy defeats. The contest carries significant implications for both sides as they fight for late-season momentum. GWS enter with a mixed recent record, securing victories by 21 and 13 points before suffering narrow and then lopsided losses. Their scoring has fluctuated sharply, posting 109 and 86 in wins but managing just 64 and 88 in defeats. Across the stretch their points average sits near 90 for and against, reflecting a side capable of high output yet prone to defensive lapses. Port, meanwhile, opened their run with comfortable wins by 26 and 21 points but have since been outscored by 14, 28 and 59 points. Their season-long averages of 79.47 points scored and 83.11 conceded suggest a lower-scoring profile than the Giants. Statistically the Giants hold a slight edge in offensive production, yet both teams have shown vulnerability when travelling or facing strong opposition pressure. Port’s home environment at Adelaide Oval has historically provided a buffer, but their recent margins indicate difficulty containing opposition surges once games open up. With betting markets installing Port as narrow favourites around the 1.5- to 2.5-point mark and totals hovering near 166.5-168.5, the line appears tight given GWS’s ability to post competitive scores even in defeat. Port’s three straight losses have come by increasingly large margins, raising questions about whether they can cover at home against a Giants side that has kept three of its last five games within 14 points. Expect a tight, physical affair where defensive structure will decide the outcome. The Giants’ capacity to manufacture scores in bursts gives them a realistic chance to cover the small spread. Prediction: Greater Western Sydney Giants to win by 4-12 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Greater Western Sydney Giants meet Port Adelaide Power with betting markets highlighting value on the visitors. The Giants +2.5 at 52% true probability and 3% edge aligns with the over 20.5 team total at 51% true probability and 2% edge. These lines reinforce a projected shape where Greater Western Sydney Giants exceed their expected output in the first half and overall. The T2 2.5 unit bet on Greater Western Sydney Giants at 51% true probability and 2% edge further supports this outlook against Port Adelaide Power. All approved plays converge on the Giants covering the spread while surpassing the team total threshold.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a cagey opening term at Adelaide Oval, Port Adelaide leads Greater Western Sydney 14-13. Both sides managed two goals, but the game has been characterised by physical pressure and limited transition, with only 27 points scored in total. Port edged the quarter through two early majors from Horne-Francis and Marshall, while GWS responded via Stringer and Cadman to stay within a point. The low-scoring nature reflects both teams’ defensive structures holding firm early. Momentum sits marginally with the home side, yet neither team has established clear dominance. From a betting perspective the full-game total of 167.5 looks underdone given the slow start, while the narrow spread remains fluid. Port’s home advantage has yet to materialise in a meaningful way, and GWS’s ability to manufacture scores in bursts keeps the contest live. With three quarters remaining, expect both teams to increase tempo, but the physical contest suggests the total may stay suppressed unless one side seizes control early in the second term. The narrow margin means any momentum swing could decide the outcome.

Probabilities

48-52%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Greater Western Sydney Giants +2.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

51-55%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 167.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

47-53%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Greater Western Sydney Giants +1.5 covering at 1.91 (Unibet)

50-54%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 85.5 at 1.87 (Neds)

Team Totals

Greater Western Sydney Giants

Over

Lean to Greater Western Sydney Giants Over 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Over 84.5 at 1.88 (Neds)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime the Giants lead Port Adelaide 42-40 in a fiercely contested, low-scoring affair at Adelaide Oval. The first term was cagey and physical, with both sides trading goals before GWS edged ahead. Port then exploded in the second quarter, booting four goals in quick succession through Bergman, Georgiades (twice) and Zadow to seize the momentum. The Giants responded with timely majors from Coniglio and Stringer, ensuring they stayed in front by just two points at the break. Scoring has been efficient but the game remains tight, with both teams showing patches of dominance rather than sustained control. Port’s home-ground advantage has yet to materialise, while GWS have been clinical in transition. The low total (82 combined points) suggests a defensive arm-wrestle that could continue, yet the narrow margin leaves every possession critical. From a betting standpoint the contest sits on a knife-edge, with momentum slightly favouring the Power after their second-quarter surge but the scoreboard still reading in GWS’s favour.

Probabilities

48-52%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

52-56%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 168.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

50-54%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD_H1

Lean to Greater Western Sydney +1.5 covering at 1.90 (Sportsbet)

53-57%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL_H1

Lean to Under 86.5 at 1.85 (Unibet)

Team Totals

Greater Western Sydney Giants

Over

Lean to Greater Western Sydney Over 84.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Lean to Port Adelaide Over 82.5 at 1.88 (Neds)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time GWS lead Port Adelaide 70-53 after a dominant third term that yielded 28 points to just 13. The Giants have now outscored the Power by 30 points across the last two quarters, turning a narrow two-point halftime deficit into a commanding 17-point advantage. Stephen Coniglio and Jake Stringer combined for five goals while Port’s attack stalled, managing only two majors after the long break. With one quarter remaining the total sits at 123; given typical final-quarter scoring patterns the game total line near 166.5-168.5 remains very much alive. The margin market has also shifted sharply in GWS’s favour after Port entered as narrow favourites. Momentum and scoreboard position both point to the visitors extending their advantage, though Port’s home record suggests they may mount a late challenge.

Probabilities

78-85%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Very Strong lean to Greater Western Sydney Giants +2.5 covering at 1.88 (TAB)

72-79%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Strong lean to Over 166.5 at 1.90 (Sportsbet)

65-72%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Greater Western Sydney Giants +5.5 covering at 1.85 (Neds)

68-75%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 82.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

Team Totals

Greater Western Sydney Giants

Over

Very Strong lean to Greater Western Sydney Giants Over 86.5 at 1.85 (Unibet)

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 82.5 at 1.90 (Neds)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Greater Western Sydney Giants Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.94	51.0%	2.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Greater Western Sydney Giants +2.5 Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Spreads	Neds	2.5	1.90	52.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W
Over 20.5 (Greater Western Sydney Giants) Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	20.5	1.84	51.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Greater Western Sydney Giants Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.94	51.0%	2.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Greater Western Sydney Giants +2.5 Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Spreads	Neds	2.5	1.90	52.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 20.5 (Greater Western Sydney Giants) Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Port Adelaide Power	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	20.5	1.84	51.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -
Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
GWS Greater Western Sydney Giants
POR Port Adelaide Power

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side went down by 12 points, finishing with 9 goals 9 behinds (63) to the visitors' 10 goals 15 behinds (75). They held a narrow lead at half time but were outscored after the main break, with the opposition adding 4 goals to 2 in the third term. Mitchell Georgiades booted 3 goals for the home side while the opposition's best included a 3-goal haul from their standout forward.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a mixed run that has included some strong home wins earlier in the stretch but tougher results away from Adelaide Oval. The group has shown patches of strong contested work and forward pressure but has struggled to maintain momentum across full games in recent weeks.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position and points are not listed in the current data, but the points for and against across recent matches reflect a side capable of high-scoring wins at home while conceding heavily on the road, leaving percentage as a key area to improve.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 16: Defeated Adelaide Crows 13.19 (97) to 11.5 (71)
Round 17: Defeated North Melbourne Kangaroos 10.13 (73) to 7.10 (52)
Round 18: Lost to St Kilda Saints 10.13 (73) to 13.9 (87)
Round 19: Lost to Fremantle Dockers 11.9 (75) to 15.13 (103)
Round 20: Lost to Brisbane Lions 9.13 (67) to 19.12 (126)

Three wins and two losses in the prior block before the most recent defeat.

Betting Trends & Performance

Results have been inconsistent against the spread, with comfortable home victories in earlier rounds offset by heavier defeats on the road. Totals have varied widely depending on venue and opposition pressure.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have relied heavily on key targets converting from limited opportunities, while midfield work rates from the rover group have provided strong contested possessions and tackle pressure. Inside-50 numbers have been solid at home but dropped away in tougher away contests.

Player Highlights

Mitchell Georgiades: Consistent goal threat with multiple 3-goal hauls and strong marking presence across the last five outings.
Oliver Wines: Led the disposal count in several matches, averaging over 20 touches with elite tackle numbers and clearance work.
Corey Durdin: Provided forward pressure and multiple goal contributions in home games.
Jason Horne-Francis: Strong contested possession numbers and goal involvement in the loss at Marvel Stadium.
Todd Marshall: Added goal-scoring support and work rate in the forward half during recent matches.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard landed some solid hits on player disposals and goal contributions in the home wins but missed the mark on a couple of road games. Honest review shows the card performed best when focusing on established midfield performers rather than speculative selections.

Outlook / What to Watch

No upcoming match data is available at this time, so attention remains on reviewing recent form and building consistency ahead of the next fixture for Port Adelaide Power.

POR

vs

BRI

Jul 26 1:10pm ·Gabba ·Round 20

-

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🧠 Match Preview

Brisbane Lions welcome Port Adelaide Power to the Gabba in Round 20, a contest that pits the competition’s most consistent home side against a visitor still searching for rhythm on the road. Brisbane enters the match with five straight victories and has shown no signs of slowing down, while Port Adelaide’s recent results have been uneven. Port Adelaide’s last five outings produced two wins and three losses. The victories came by 26 and 21 points, but the defeats were by 26, 14 and 28 points. Those results leave the Power averaging 80 points scored and 81 conceded per game across the stretch. Brisbane, by contrast, has averaged 106 points for and just 90 against, with winning margins of 35, 43, 22, 90 and 24 points. The Lions have posted three scores above 120 in that sequence, underlining their attacking potency at home. The statistical gap is stark. Brisbane’s season-long averages of 106.44 points scored and 90.33 conceded dwarf Port Adelaide’s 80.17 for and 80.72 against. At the Gabba, where Brisbane has been especially dominant, the Lions have regularly exceeded 120 points while restricting opponents well below their season norms. Betting markets reflect this disparity. The line sits at Brisbane minus 38.5 to 39.5, with odds hovering around 1.90 on both sides. Given Brisbane’s recent average winning margin of 42.8 points, the data suggests the Lions are well positioned to cover that spread. The total line of 190.5 also looks reachable, with both teams’ combined scoring averages pointing to a game that could push past 190 points. Port Adelaide will need to improve its ball movement and reduce turnovers if it hopes to stay competitive, but Brisbane’s forward pressure and ability to score quickly from turnover have been decisive all season. Expect the Lions to control territory and tempo from the opening bounce. Brisbane Lions should prevail by 30 to 45 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

The matchup sees Port Adelaide Power take on Brisbane Lions at the Gabba with the home side holding the projected edge for a comfortable win. This opening angle links directly to the approved play on Brisbane Lions -20.5. The 2.5u bet shows True 72% and Edge 7% at the odds of 1.88. These figures reinforce the game shape where the Lions cover the line against the visitors. Ladbrokes provides the market that captures this value in the spread. The call on the handicap aligns with the overall projection for Brisbane to control the match from the start against Port Adelaide Power.

⚡Quarter Time Report

At quarter time at the Gabba, Brisbane Lions hold a 22-15 lead over Port Adelaide Power after a low-scoring opening term. The Lions kicked three goals to two, with Will Ashcroft, Kai Lohmann and Zac Bailey all finding the target inside the first 17 minutes. Port replied through Todd Marshall and Mitchell Georgiades but managed only three behinds otherwise. Brisbane created more forward entries and applied stronger pressure, though both sides were inaccurate in front of goal. The early pattern aligns with Brisbane’s season-long home dominance and Port’s struggles on the road. With the Lions averaging over 106 points per game and restricting opponents effectively at the Gabba, the first-quarter margin is modest but the underlying territory and disposal efficiency favour the home side. Port will need to improve ball movement and reduce turnovers to stay competitive over the remaining three quarters. Brisbane’s forward pressure and ability to score quickly from stoppages remain the decisive factors.

Probabilities

52-62

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Brisbane Lions -39.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

48-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 190.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

50-60

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Brisbane Lions -20.5 covering at 1.90 (Sportsbet)

47-57

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 95.5 at 1.90 (Unibet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 82.5 at 1.90 (Neds)

Brisbane Lions

Over

Lean to Brisbane Lions Over 108.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

Brisbane Lions hold a 38-29 halftime lead over Port Adelaide at the Gabba after a low-scoring, error-strewn opening half. The Lions kicked five goals to four but wasted several opportunities with behinds, while Port Adelaide showed flashes of forward threat through Georgiades and Durdin yet struggled to convert sustained entries. Brisbane’s early three-goal burst set the tone, but Port responded strongly in the second term to stay within striking distance. Momentum sits slightly with the home side, who have controlled territory and forced turnovers, yet the game remains open with both teams averaging below their season norms. From a betting perspective the total line of 190.5 looks reachable if scoring lifts, while Brisbane’s full-game spread of -46.5 will require a dominant second half to cover. Port Adelaide’s under 76.5 team total remains live given their current 29-point output.

Probabilities

52-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power +46.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

55-61%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 190.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-54%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Brisbane Lions -13.5 covering at 1.40 (Unibet)

53-59%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 94.5 at 1.87 (Unibet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

under

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 76.5 at 1.57 (Unibet)

Brisbane Lions

under

Lean to Brisbane Lions Under 122.5 at 1.65 (Unibet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Brisbane Lions hold a commanding 81-52 lead at three-quarter time after adding 43 points in the third term to Port Adelaide’s 23. The Lions have dominated at the Gabba, converting forward pressure into quick scores while restricting Port’s ball movement. Brisbane’s key contributors including Zac Bailey and Will Ashcroft have been influential, maintaining momentum after leading 38-29 at halftime. Port Adelaide have shown fight in patches but continue to concede territory and turnovers. From a betting perspective the full-game total of 190.5 looks reachable with a typical final quarter. Brisbane’s margin of 29 points sits well short of the 46.5 line, leaving that market open. Port’s scoring has slowed, improving the likelihood they stay under their team total lines. Brisbane remain heavy favourites to extend the lead further in the last quarter.

Probabilities

55-65

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power +46.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

70-80

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 190.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

60-70

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Brisbane Lions -20.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

55-65

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 95.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Extremely Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 81.5 at 1.40 (Unibet)

Brisbane Lions

Under

Strong lean to Brisbane Lions Under 122.5 at 1.65 (Unibet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Brisbane Lions -20.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Brisbane Lions	1H Spreads	Ladbrokes	-20.5	1.88	72.0%	7.0%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Brisbane Lions -20.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Brisbane Lions	1H Spreads	Ladbrokes	-20.5	1.88	72.0%	7.0%	T2	2.5u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Gabba MATCHCAST -
Gabba MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
POR Port Adelaide Power
BRI Brisbane Lions

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The opposition ran out 59-point winners with a final score of 126 to 67. The visitors started steadily but faded badly after half time, managing just five goals across the second half while the opposition piled on 14. Port Adelaide finished with 9 goals and 13 behinds from 22 scoring shots. Mitchell Georgiades booted two goals and was the standout forward, while the opposition’s best performer kicked three majors and was heavily involved in the second-half surge.

Season Story So Far

After a promising mid-season patch that delivered consecutive wins, the side has now dropped three straight games. The latest heavy defeat highlighted ongoing issues with second-half execution and contested ball, leaving the group searching for consistency heading into the back end of the year.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With ladder data still being finalised, the side sits on a 3-3 record across the past six weeks. Points for and against show a mixed attacking output but defensive vulnerabilities that have been exposed in recent outings, reflected in a percentage hovering around the middle of the competition.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 16: Defeated Adelaide Crows 97-71
Round 17: Defeated North Melbourne Kangaroos 73-52
Round 18: Lost to St Kilda Saints 73-87
Round 19: Lost to Fremantle Dockers 75-103
Round 20: Lost to Brisbane Lions 67-126

Two wins followed by three losses tells the recent story.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has struggled to cover the spread in its last three outings, with margins blowing out in the second halves. Totals have also trended under in two of those defeats as scoring dried up after the main break.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been solid but conversion remains patchy. Oliver Wines continues to lead the midfield in contested possessions and clearances, while the forward line relies heavily on Mitchell Georgiades for marking presence. Defensively, the group has conceded too many easy entries in recent weeks, with tackle numbers dropping in the second halves of losses.

Player Highlights

Mitchell Georgiades: 2 goals, 13 disposals and 7 marks in the latest outing, continuing his strong marking form.
Oliver Wines: 23 disposals, 6 clearances and strong second-effort work across 75 minutes.
Jack Whitlock: Provided a target up forward with consistent inside-50 pressure in recent weeks.
Darcy Byrne-Jones: 34 disposals from half-back in an earlier win showed his ball-winning ability.
Corey Durdin: Kicked multiple goals across the past month and added forward pressure.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard missed the mark on the last three games as the side failed to cover spreads and totals blew out. We own that one — the data pointed to tighter margins that simply didn’t eventuate once the second halves unfolded.

Outlook / What to Watch

Port Adelaide Power will need to tighten their second-half structures and improve contested ball work when they next take the field. Expect a focus on early forward entries and limiting opposition inside-50s at the venue. The spread looks likely to be competitive if the side can match the opposition’s intensity from the opening bounce, while the total should hover around recent averages unless both teams find early rhythm.

FRE

vs

POR

Jul 18 1:15pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round 19

-

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🧠 Match Preview

Fremantle Dockers head to Adelaide Oval in Round 19 looking to extend their strong recent run against a Port Adelaide Power side struggling to find consistency. With the visitors sitting as heavy favourites, this clash offers a clear test of whether Port can arrest a slide at home. Fremantle arrive in excellent form, securing four wins from their past five outings. Their scoring has been potent, averaging 99.41 points per game while restricting opponents to 69.88. Recent margins tell the story: a 124-point thrashing, followed by a narrow nine-point win, a 51-point victory, a 21-point loss and a 38-point success. The Dockers have shown they can both blow teams away and grind out results. Port Adelaide’s record is far more mixed. They have managed just two wins in their last five matches and average only 80.47 points scored against 79.41 conceded. Their margins read -3, -26, +26, +21 and -14, underlining a lack of sustained momentum. At Adelaide Oval they have been unable to impose themselves, and their lower output will be tested against Fremantle’s organised defence. Statistically the gap is pronounced. Fremantle’s attack has clicked at over 99 points per game while holding sides under 70; Port’s games have hovered around 160 total points. The visitors’ ability to win by 40-plus on multiple occasions this season suggests they are well equipped to cover the 47.5-point line currently offered by most bookmakers. Tactically, expect Fremantle to control the midfield and use their superior scoring power to stretch the Power defence. The total line sits at 171.5, and given Fremantle’s recent high-scoring outputs, the over looks the sharper angle if the Dockers establish an early lead. Fremantle Dockers should prevail comfortably. A 40-to-50-point victory appears the most likely outcome, with the visitors well placed to cover the spread and push the total higher.

✏️ Game Analysis

Fremantle Dockers host Port Adelaide Power in a contest where the Power's scoring ceiling draws the focus. The Under 62.5 on Port Adelaide Power at True 62% and 4% Edge projects a contained output from the visitors. This team total call reinforces the expected shape with Fremantle restricting forward entries and keeping the Power below the line. Backing the Under at 1.85 with Unibet aligns directly to that low-scoring profile across the match. The angle shows how the single approved play captures the mismatch, guiding expectations for Port Adelaide to remain suppressed while Fremantle Dockers dictate terms and limit the Power's total throughout.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a frantic opening term at Adelaide Oval, Port Adelaide lead Fremantle 33-31. Ten goals were kicked in 32 minutes as both sides traded blows, producing a combined 64 points that smashed most quarter totals. Port edged the term thanks to two late majors from Dante Visentini, but Fremantle remain within striking distance despite their pre-game favouritism. The Dockers’ inability to establish any meaningful buffer suggests their highly rated midfield is yet to assert control. From a betting perspective the first-quarter over 43.5 has already cleared comfortably, while Fremantle’s -5.5 to -11.5 quarter spreads are well behind. With 64 points on the board in one term, the full-game total of 173.5 looks under pressure if the tempo remains elevated. Port’s early scoring rate also puts their modest full-game team total lines in play. Expect adjustments in the second term as both coaches look to tighten structures, but the early tempo points to a game that could exceed standard scoring projections.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Port Adelaide Power +43.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

58-62

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 173.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52-56

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Fremantle Dockers -22.5 covering at 1.91 (Neds)

55-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Fremantle Dockers

Over

Lean to Fremantle Dockers Over 108.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Over 65.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime Port Adelaide leads Fremantle 54-42 after a high-tempo opening half at Adelaide Oval. The Power exploded for five first-quarter goals, including two from Dante Visentini, then added further majors through Corey Durdin and Mitch Zadow to establish a 12-point buffer. Fremantle responded with four first-quarter goals of their own but managed only two behinds in the second term, stalling their momentum. Total scoring sits at 96 points, well under the 173.5 full-game line. Port’s efficiency inside 50 and ability to capitalise on turnovers has been the difference, while Fremantle’s usually potent attack has been restricted by Port’s defensive structure. From a betting perspective the Power have already cleared several team-total unders, yet the full-game spread remains wide open given the 40-plus margin Fremantle were priced to win by pre-game. Momentum sits with the home side, but the Dockers possess the class to mount a second-half response if they win more centre clearances.

Probabilities

38-42%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Fremantle Dockers -44.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

62-68%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 173.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-52%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Port Adelaide Power +22.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

55-60%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 86.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Fremantle Dockers

Under

Lean to Under 108.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Under 65.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Fremantle lead Port Adelaide 80-61 after a dominant third quarter that produced 38 points to the Dockers and just seven to the Power. Fremantle’s forward line clicked with multiple goals from Jye Amiss and Josh Treacy, stretching a narrow halftime advantage into a 19-point buffer. Port managed only one major after the long break and look devoid of answers in the midfield. The total has reached 141, leaving the 173.5 line still live but requiring a high-scoring final term. Fremantle’s 44.5-point spread remains well short of the required margin, yet their current momentum suggests they can extend the lead further. From a betting lens, Port’s scoring has already cleared several lower team-total unders, locking in value there, while Fremantle sit comfortably under their higher lines with one quarter remaining. Expect the Dockers to control tempo and add another 25-30 points; Port will struggle to match that output.

Probabilities

62-68%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power +44.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

55-61%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 173.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

58-64%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power +21.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52-58%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 86.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Fremantle Dockers

under

Strong lean to Under 108.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Port Adelaide Power

under

Very Strong lean to Under 65.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 62.5 (Port Adelaide Power) Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Team Totals	Unibet	62.5	1.85	62.0%	4.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 62.5 (Port Adelaide Power) Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Team Totals	Unibet	62.5	1.85	62.0%	4.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -
Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
FRE Fremantle Dockers
POR Port Adelaide Power

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Power fell short by 28 points, finishing with 11 goals and 9 behinds for 75 against the visitors' 15 goals and 13 behinds for 103. The game was tight early before the opposition pulled away in the second half with a strong third quarter. Mitchell Georgiades kicked three goals for the Power in a standout individual effort.

Season Story So Far

Results have been mixed across the middle of the year. A narrow loss in round 14 was followed by a heavier defeat on the road, before consecutive home wins steadied things. Another loss away from Adelaide Oval in round 18 set up the most recent defeat at home, leaving the side searching for consistency.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With limited ladder data available, the side sits in the middle of the pack based on recent form. Points for and against reflect a team capable of high scores but prone to conceding heavily when structure breaks down.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 14: Port Adelaide Power 90 def by Sydney Swans 93
Round 15: Collingwood Magpies 78 def Port Adelaide Power 52
Round 16: Port Adelaide Power 97 def Adelaide Crows 71
Round 17: Port Adelaide Power 73 def North Melbourne Kangaroos 52
Round 18: St Kilda Saints 87 def Port Adelaide Power 73

The pattern shows two wins sandwiched between three losses, with home games proving more reliable.

Betting Trends & Performance

Performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with covers in the two wins but misses in the losses. Totals have leaned under in several tight contests, though high-scoring games at Adelaide Oval remain a feature when the side finds rhythm.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries and contested possessions have been strong points in wins, led by ruck work and midfield drive. Defensively the side has struggled to contain opposition forwards in losses, with tackle counts varying depending on the tempo of the contest. Standout work rates from key midfielders have kept games close at times.

Player Highlights

Mitchell Georgiades: Multiple bags of three goals across recent games, including strong marking and score involvements.
Oliver Wines: Consistent disposal numbers, often exceeding 20 touches with strong clearance work.
Corey Durdin: Reliable goal threat from the forward pocket with multiple two-goal hauls.
Jordon Sweet: Dominant hit-out numbers and contested possessions in the ruck.
Jason Horne-Francis: Strong contested ball winning and goal contribution in key matches.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No betting card data available for assessment this round. Previous selections on player milestones and team totals have been mixed, with some strong hits on high disposal counts but misses on tight margins.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no confirmed upcoming fixture data, focus remains on rebuilding momentum at Adelaide Oval. Expect emphasis on contested ball and forward pressure to set the tone early. Scoring outlook will depend on how quickly the side can transition from defence, with spreads likely tight if structure holds.

POR

vs

STK

Jul 11 1:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 18

-

4 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Port Adelaide Power travel to Marvel Stadium to face St Kilda Saints in Round 18, a contest that pits two sides with contrasting attacking outputs against each other on a venue that often rewards efficiency over raw scoring volume. Port Adelaide enter with a 3-2 record across their past five outings. They opened with a six-point win, followed by a three-point loss, a 26-point defeat, then consecutive victories by 26 and 21 points. The pattern reveals a side capable of both tight finishes and decisive second-half surges, though their scoring has remained modest, averaging 80.94 points for and 78.94 against. St Kilda arrive with a 2-3 ledger. Their sequence includes heavy defeats by 52 and 22 points, a narrow two-point loss, and wins by eight and 67 points. The Saints have generated significantly more scoring punch, posting 90.69 points per game while conceding 86.00, suggesting a higher-tempo style that can produce blowouts in either direction. The statistical gap is clear: St Kilda’s elevated averages for and against point to a more open game script, while Port Adelaide’s tighter numbers indicate a preference for lower-scoring, contested affairs. At Marvel Stadium, where conditions can suppress totals, Port’s defensive structure may limit St Kilda’s ability to stretch leads. Betting markets have installed St Kilda as 8.5- to 9.5-point favourites, with game totals hovering between 168.5 and 170.5. Port Adelaide’s recent margins (three single-digit results in five games) suggest they are capable of staying inside the spread, particularly if the contest remains below the posted total. St Kilda’s two heavy losses highlight vulnerability when their forward entries are disrupted, an area Port have shown they can exploit. Expect a measured, physical contest where Port Adelaide keep the margin within single figures for long periods. St Kilda should have enough class to prevail, but the Saints are unlikely to cover double-digit spreads consistently. The predicted outcome is a St Kilda victory by 7 to 13 points in a game finishing around 165 total points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Port Adelaide Power face St Kilda Saints with the approved plays projecting a low-scoring contest that St Kilda controls by a narrow margin. St Kilda Saints -4.5 at True 56% and 2% Edge pairs with St Kilda Saints -2.5 at True 53% and 1% Edge to signal the Saints winning inside a small buffer. Over 21.5 St Kilda Saints at True 52% and 1% Edge reinforces that their output clears the quarter mark while the Under 172.5 at True 49% and -1% Edge caps total scoring across both sides. Together the lines shape a game where St Kilda Saints dictate tempo, post enough points to cover their team total and spreads, yet keep the overall tally suppressed against Port Adelaide Power.

⚡Quarter Time Report

St Kilda Saints have taken complete control early at Marvel Stadium, leading Port Adelaide Power 26-8 after the opening quarter. The Saints slammed on four goals to one, with Cooper Sharman booting three of them inside the first 14 minutes. Port managed just a single goal from Corey Durdin and two behinds as their usually structured attack was disrupted by St Kilda’s intense forward pressure. The 18-point margin already exceeds the pre-game spread range and signals a fast-start script that favours the home side’s higher-tempo style. Momentum sits firmly with St Kilda while Port’s scoring rate is suppressed. The contest has been more open than Port’s recent low-scoring games suggested, yet the Saints’ efficiency has created separation. With three quarters remaining, St Kilda are positioned to dictate terms, though Port’s history of second-half adjustments keeps the outcome alive. The early dominance points to St Kilda covering spreads and pushing the total upward if the pattern continues.

Probabilities

58-65

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -9.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 168.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

55-62

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -4.5 covering at 1.92 (Sportsbet)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 84.5 at 1.85 (TAB)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.90 (Neds)

St Kilda Saints

Over

Lean to Over 88.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

St Kilda have seized total control at Marvel Stadium, leading Port Adelaide 61-25 at halftime after a dominant opening 36 minutes. The Saints kicked nine goals to three, with Cooper Sharman (three goals) and Liam Ryan (two) providing the forward threat that shredded Port’s defensive structure. St Kilda’s first-quarter blitz (five goals to one) set the tone, and they maintained intensity through the second term despite some wasteful behinds. Port Adelaide have looked disjointed, managing only three goals and struggling to generate clean entries against a switched-on Saints defence. The 36-point margin already exceeds pre-game expectations and places St Kilda in a commanding position. From a betting standpoint, the heavy first-half scoring has pushed the game total well ahead of the 168.5-170.5 line, while the margin has blown past the 8.5-9.5 spread. Port will need a dramatic second-half response to stay relevant, but St Kilda’s momentum and superior efficiency suggest they will continue to dictate terms.

Probabilities

88-94

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Very Strong lean to St Kilda Saints -8.5 covering at 1.88 (Neds)

82-89

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 168.5 at 1.85 (TAB)

72-79

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -4.5 covering at 1.90 (Sportsbet)

68-75

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 82.5 at 1.87 (Unibet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

St Kilda Saints

Over

Strong lean to Over 86.5 at 1.82 (Neds)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time St Kilda lead 73-65 after an extraordinary Port Adelaide comeback. The Saints held a 36-point advantage at the main break (61-25) but were outscored 40-12 in the third term as Port slammed on seven goals. The visitors’ surge has transformed a potential blow-out into a tense final quarter. Scoring has been efficient rather than prolific, with the total sitting at just 138 points. St Kilda’s early dominance through Cooper Sharman and Liam Ryan has been neutralised by Port’s midfield pressure and forward entries led by Jason Horne-Francis. From a betting standpoint the game script has flipped: the margin market is now live while the total looks increasingly likely to finish below 168.5-170.5. Port have all the momentum and need only another strong quarter to snatch the win or at least cover the line.

Probabilities

48-55

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide +9.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 168.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

52-58

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide +4.5 covering at 1.92 (Sportsbet)

55-62

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 85.5 at 1.85 (Unibet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Lean to Port Adelaide Over 79.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

St Kilda Saints

Under

Lean to St Kilda Under 90.5 at 1.88 (Neds)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints -4.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-4.5	1.87	56.0%	2.0%	T3	5u	W
Under 172.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	Full O/U	SportsBet	172.5	1.89	49.0%	-1.0%	T3	5u	W
St Kilda Saints -2.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Spreads	Neds	-2.5	1.88	53.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W
Over 21.5 (St Kilda Saints) Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	21.5	1.80	52.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 172.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	Full O/U	SportsBet	172.5	1.89	49.0%	-1.0%	T3	5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 21.5 (St Kilda Saints) Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	21.5	1.80	52.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints -4.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-4.5	1.87	56.0%	2.0%	T3	5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints -2.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Spreads	Neds	-2.5	1.88	53.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
POR Port Adelaide Power
STK St Kilda Saints

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Port Adelaide Power went down by 14 points, finishing with 10 goals and 13 behinds for 73 while the opposition posted 13 goals and 9 behinds for 87. The visitors started slowly but mounted a strong second-half push before falling short. Top goal scorers from the winning team included a bag of three, while the opposition’s best performer kicked two goals and gathered 23 disposals.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a mixed stretch where Port Adelaide Power showed strong patches of dominance at home but struggled to close out tight contests on the road. Wins have come through superior clearance work and forward pressure, while losses have exposed lapses in the final quarter.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Updated ladder standings are not yet available, but the team’s points for and against across recent matches reflect a competitive scoring output offset by occasional defensive lapses. Percentage remains a key area to monitor as the season progresses.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 13: Win vs West Coast Eagles 77-71
Round 14: Loss vs Sydney Swans 90-93
Round 15: Loss vs Collingwood Magpies 52-78
Round 16: Win vs Adelaide Crows 97-71
Round 17: Win vs North Melbourne Kangaroos 73-52

Three wins from five shows a side capable of bouncing back quickly after setbacks.

Betting Trends & Performance

Port Adelaide Power have covered the spread in two of their last three home games while going over the total in four of the past five outings overall. The attack has been consistent enough to push games into high-scoring territory when the midfield gains ascendancy.

Attacking & Defensive Story

The forward line has rotated well, with multiple players contributing score involvements and inside-50 entries. Tackle pressure has been solid in the contest, though the team has occasionally conceded too many uncontested possessions when the opposition switches play quickly. Work rate from the midfield group has been the standout feature across recent wins.

Player Highlights

Jason Horne-Francis: 23 disposals, eight clearances and two goals in the most recent outing.
Mitchell Georgiades: Multiple bags of three goals across the last five games with strong contested marking.
Oliver Wines: Consistent 18-23 disposals and regular goal assists from the engine room.
Corey Durdin: Two goals and strong forward pressure in the latest match.
Jack Whitlock: Three goals and nine score involvements in a standout forward display.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard selections were active this round, leaving a clean slate heading into the next block of games.

Outlook / What to Watch

Port Adelaide Power will look to tighten their fourth-quarter execution and maintain strong inside-50 numbers when they next take the field. Expect the midfield to set the tone early, with forward targets needing to convert more of their opportunities to keep scoring tallies competitive.

NOR

vs

POR

Jul 5 4:40pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round 17

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

North Melbourne Kangaroos head to Adelaide Oval in Round 17 to face Port Adelaide Power in a contest that could shape both clubs’ push toward September. The visitors arrive with renewed belief after securing four wins from their past five outings, while the hosts look to stabilise at home following an inconsistent stretch. North Melbourne’s recent form shows clear attacking intent mixed with defensive vulnerability. They have posted scores of 111, 74, 73 and 79 in four victories, yet conceded 155 in a heavy defeat that highlighted occasional lapses. Their season averages of 86.27 points scored and 93.60 conceded reflect a side still finding balance. Margins in their wins have ranged from one to 25 points, suggesting they can grind out results but remain susceptible to blowouts. Port Adelaide’s record is more mixed, with two wins and three losses across the same span. They have averaged 81.47 points for and 80.73 against, indicating a tighter unit overall. Home matches have produced narrow losses of three and 26 points alongside a 26-point win, underlining the importance of venue for their rhythm. Their defensive structure has kept most games within reach, even when results have not favoured them. Statistically, North Melbourne generates slightly more offence but concedes more than Port Adelaide. Recent margins suggest the Power are better equipped to keep contests close at Adelaide Oval, where they have shown resilience. The absence of meaningful betting edges from prior analysis leaves the current line as the primary market reference, with Port Adelaide likely to be installed as modest favourites given home status. Tactically, expect North Melbourne to push the tempo early and test Port Adelaide’s defensive organisation. The Power will look to control possession and exploit transition opportunities, relying on their slightly superior season-long defensive numbers. Port Adelaide is tipped to prevail by 8 to 18 points in a tight, low-scoring affair that reflects their stronger home defensive metrics.

✏️ Game Analysis

North Melbourne Kangaroos travel to face Port Adelaide Power with the home edge offset by North's recent wins, creating value on both sides. Port Adelaide Power -15.5 at 68% True and 3% Edge projects the Power establishing control and covering the spread through sustained pressure. The Over 47.5 on Port Adelaide Power at 55% True and 2% Edge reinforces the same shape, pointing to the Power generating enough scoring opportunities to clear the team total. Both approved plays align on Port Adelaide Power dictating terms at home while North Melbourne Kangaroos fail to restrict the contest, locking in the projected outcome through the spread and team total.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a low-scoring and error-strewn opening term at Adelaide Oval, Port Adelaide Power and North Melbourne Kangaroos are locked together at 9-9. Both sides managed just one goal and three behinds, with Mitchell Georgiades and Nick Larkey the only multiple scorers. Port struck first through behinds from Oliver Wines before Georgiades converted, yet North Melbourne answered immediately and kept the margin within a kick throughout. Efficiency was poor, with several rushed or wayward shots preventing either team from building momentum. The contest has been characterised by tight checking and contested ball rather than free-flowing transition. Port Adelaide, installed as moderate favourites pre-game, have been unable to leverage home advantage or their defensive structure to create separation. North Melbourne’s willingness to push forward has kept the scoreboard ticking without surrendering easy opportunities. With only 18 points on the board, the game sits well under projected totals, suggesting a grinding, low-scoring affair may continue. The even first-quarter result leaves both clubs with work to do to establish control heading into the second term.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +15.5 covering at 1.97 (Bet Right)

55-62

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 172.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

52-58

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power -2.5 covering at 1.56 (Unibet)

53-60

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 86.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 102.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

⚡Halftime Report

Port Adelaide holds a commanding 36-17 halftime lead after a dominant second quarter that yielded four goals to North Melbourne’s one. The Power’s efficiency inside 50 and ability to capitalise on Kangaroos turnovers has created clear separation on the scoreboard. North Melbourne’s attack has been stifled, managing only two goals and showing limited forward entries after quarter time. Momentum sits firmly with the home side, who have controlled territory and contested ball. From a betting perspective the full-game team total for North Melbourne has already passed its under line, creating a strong lean toward the under at 86.5. Port Adelaide’s own scoring pace suggests their full-game total under also remains live. The margin market still has room to move in the second half, but the Power’s defensive structure points to them maintaining control. Expect Port to continue squeezing the contest while North Melbourne searches for a spark.

Probabilities

58-65

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power -15.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 172.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

55-62

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide Power -7.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Very Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 86.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Port Adelaide Power

under

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 102.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Port Adelaide and North Melbourne are locked at 51-51 after three quarters at Adelaide Oval. The Power led by 19 at halftime but North Melbourne responded with a five-goal third term to level the scores. Both sides have managed seven goals apiece, with Mitchell Georgiades (three goals) and Jack Darling (three) the standout forwards. Scoring has been inefficient, with 18 behinds between them, reflecting contested football and poor conversion under pressure. North Melbourne’s late surge has shifted momentum, but Port retain the home-ground edge and superior structure. The total sits at 102 points, well under the 170.5-172.5 lines, while the spread remains tight. North Melbourne (+15.5) has already covered comfortably. With one quarter remaining, expect a low-scoring finish as both teams prioritise defensive accountability over risk. The Power are likely to regain control through the midfield, but North’s confidence after their third-quarter response keeps the contest alive.

Probabilities

62-68

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +15.5 covering at 1.97 (Bet Right)

71-77

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Under 172.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

58-64

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +15.5 covering at 1.97 (Bet Right)

68-74

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Under 172.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 86.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Port Adelaide Power

under

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 102.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Port Adelaide Power -15.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Spreads	TAB	-15.5	1.90	68.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W
Over 47.5 (Port Adelaide Power) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power	1H Team Totals	TAB	47.5	1.90	55.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Port Adelaide Power -15.5 North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Spreads	TAB	-15.5	1.90	68.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 47.5 (Port Adelaide Power) North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power	1H Team Totals	TAB	47.5	1.90	55.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -
Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos
POR Port Adelaide Power

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Port Adelaide Power claimed a solid 21-point win, finishing 10.13 (73) to the visitors' 7.10 (52). They pulled away after a tight first half, booting five goals to two in the second term to establish a 19-point lead at the main break. Mitchell Georgiades and Jack Whitlock each kicked three goals for the winners, while the opposition's best performer was Jack Darling with two goals and strong forward pressure.

Season Story So Far

The latest result continues a mixed but competitive campaign for Port Adelaide Power. Three wins from the last six outings show they can dominate at times, particularly when their midfield gains ascendancy, though inconsistency in front of goal and against quality opposition has kept them from stringing together a longer streak.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Port Adelaide Power sit in the middle order on the ladder. Their points total and percentage reflect a balanced but unremarkable season to date, with scoring for and against figures indicating they are competitive in most matches without yet separating themselves from the chasing pack.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 11: Loss to Carlton Blues
Round 13: Win against West Coast Eagles
Round 14: Loss to Sydney Swans
Round 15: Loss to Collingwood Magpies
Round 16: Win against Adelaide Crows

That run includes two wins and three losses, with the most recent outing providing a timely boost.

Betting Trends & Performance

Port Adelaide Power have been competitive on the spread in several recent games but have struggled to cover when the margin blows out. Totals have landed on the lower side in losses, while their wins have produced enough scoring to push games over the line more often than not.

Attacking & Defensive Story

The forward line has shown moments of real potency, with strong inside-50 entries and contested marking helping create opportunities. Defensively the side has been more reliable at home, though lapses in the midfield have allowed opponents too many easy entries at times. Work rate around the contest and clean disposal from key ball-winners remain the foundation of their better performances.

Player Highlights

Mitchell Georgiades: Consistent goal threat with multiple bags across recent weeks and strong marking presence.
Jason Horne-Francis: Dominant in the middle with high disposal counts and clearances when at his best.
Oliver Wines: Reliable contributor providing drive from the engine room and strong contested ball numbers.
Jack Whitlock: Emerging forward who has kicked multiple goals in several outings.
Jordon Sweet: Strong ruck work and hit-out numbers giving first use to the midfield.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No bets were placed on the card this round, so nothing to celebrate or laugh off. Clean slate heading into the next one.

Outlook / What to Watch

Port Adelaide Power will look to build on their recent home win by maintaining strong midfield control and efficient forward entries. Expect a focus on contested possessions and reducing turnovers to control the tempo and limit opposition scoring chances.

ADE

vs

POR

Jun 27 7:35pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round 16

-

1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Adelaide Crows head into their Round 16 clash against Port Adelaide Power at Adelaide Oval with clear momentum and a strong statistical edge. The Showdown carries extra weight for both sides, yet recent trends point to one team holding the upper hand. Adelaide enters with four wins from its past five outings. The Crows have posted scores of 133, 75, 121 and 79 in victories while keeping three of those opponents under 75 points. Their sole loss came by nine points on the road. Across the season Adelaide averages 89.79 points scored and 79.29 conceded, reflecting consistent control of games. Port Adelaide’s form has been far less convincing. The Power have managed just one win in five matches and have been held below 80 points in three of those defeats. Their season averages sit at 80.36 points scored and 81.43 conceded, indicating a side struggling to generate consistent offence or staunch opposition attacks. The statistical gap is pronounced. Adelaide’s scoring margin in wins has averaged 39 points, while Port’s recent losses have come by an average of 21 points. These trends align closely with current betting markets, where Adelaide is favoured by 21.5–23.5 points across major bookmakers. The total line sits at 166.5, slightly below Adelaide’s season average game total of 169 but above Port’s 162. Tactically, Adelaide’s ability to dominate the first half—evident in several recent victories—offers value on the half-time spread. Port has shown vulnerability when travelling to Adelaide Oval, often unable to match the Crows’ intensity after quarter time. Adelaide should control the contest from the opening bounce. Expect the Crows to win by a margin of 22 to 32 points in a game that stays just under the total line.

✏️ Game Analysis

The Adelaide Crows meet the Port Adelaide Power in a Showdown where form and percentage tilt toward the visitors yet home status keeps Port alive. The approved under 69.5 on Port Adelaide Power team total anchors the projected game shape. At a true 38 percent probability and minus one percent edge, this line signals Adelaide will restrict Port's output through structured defence and territory control. The Crows are positioned to dictate early phases, holding the Power below the total as contest tempo stays measured. This team total reinforces a contained first-half profile where Adelaide's percentage edge translates into limited scoring access for Port across the ground.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Adelaide Crows lead Port Adelaide Power 26-22 at the first break in this Showdown at Adelaide Oval. The visitors kicked four goals to three, with Darcy Fogarty, Joshua Rachele, Alex Neal-Bullen and Riley Thilthorpe all finding the big sticks. Port managed three majors through Jason Horne-Francis and a double to Mitchell Georgiades but were wasteful with four behinds. The Crows’ efficiency in front of goal and ability to capitalise on turnovers gave them a narrow edge despite Port enjoying more early entries. Momentum sits marginally with Adelaide, who have restricted Port’s usual midfield dominance. From a betting lens the full-game spread remains live; Adelaide opened 22.5–24.5 favourites and still hold that buffer. The total has opened at 160.5–162.5, and with 48 points already scored the projected final of 183 points suggests the Over carries value. Second-half markets will be shaped by whether Port can arrest their poor conversion and whether Adelaide maintains its first-quarter intensity.

Probabilities

52.4-52.6

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Adelaide Crows -22.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52.4-52.9

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Moderate lean to Over 160.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

52.6-52.9

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Adelaide Crows -12.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

51.3-52.9

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Moderate lean to Over 80.5 at 1.95 (TAB)

Team Totals

Adelaide Crows

Over

Lean to Over 91.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Lean to Over 69.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime Port Adelaide leads Adelaide 54-38 in a tight Showdown at Adelaide Oval. The Power kicked five goals to three in the second term, with Joe Berry and Corey Durdin each adding two majors after a high-scoring opening quarter. Adelaide’s early efficiency (four goals from six scoring shots) faded as Port improved its conversion and midfield output. The 92-point total already sits well above the 80.5 half-time line, confirming a fast-paced contest. From a betting perspective the full-game spread remains live; Adelaide opened 22.5–24.5 favourites yet trails by 16 at the break, leaving the Crows needing a strong second-half response to cover. The total line of 160.5–162.5 now projects toward the Over given the 182-point pace. Second-half markets will hinge on whether Adelaide can arrest its wastefulness and whether Port maintains its improved accuracy. Momentum has shifted slightly to the home side, but Adelaide’s season-long first-half dominance suggests the visitors remain capable of a strong finish.

Probabilities

52.4-52.6

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Port Adelaide Power +22.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52.4-52.6

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Moderate lean to Over 160.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

52.4-52.6

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Adelaide Crows -11.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

51.3-52.6

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 80.5 at 1.95 (TAB)

Team Totals

Adelaide Crows

Under

Lean to Adelaide Crows Under 91.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Port Adelaide Power Under 69.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time Port Adelaide Power lead Adelaide Crows 85-52 in a dominant Showdown performance at Adelaide Oval. The Power have added 31 points in the third term alone, booting four goals to one while restricting the Crows to minimal entries. Port’s midfield control and improved conversion after half-time have flipped the contest, with Corey Durdin, Jase Burgoyne and Joe Berry all contributing multiple scores. Adelaide’s early efficiency has evaporated; they managed just one goal from limited opportunities and trail by 33 points. Momentum sits heavily with the home side, who have outscored their opponents 31-14 since the main break. From a betting perspective the full-game spread has shifted dramatically. Adelaide opened 22.5–24.5 favourites yet now require an unlikely 34-point final quarter to cover. The total line of 160.5–162.5 projects toward 182 points, confirming a strong lean to the Over. Second-half markets reflect Port’s control, while team totals show both sides likely to finish above their lower unders. Adelaide must produce a record final term to stay in the contest.

Probabilities

52.6-52.6

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power +22.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52.6-52.6

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 160.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

52.6-52.6

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power +22.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52.6-52.6

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 160.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Adelaide Crows

under

Lean to Adelaide Crows Under 92.5 at 1.85 (Unibet)

Port Adelaide Power

over

Strong lean to Port Adelaide Power Over 78.5 at 1.38 (Unibet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 69.5 (Port Adelaide Power) Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Team Totals	TAB	69.5	1.90	38.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 69.5 (Port Adelaide Power) Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Team Totals	TAB	69.5	1.90	38.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -
Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
ADE Adelaide Crows
POR Port Adelaide Power

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side finished with 13.19 (97) to the opposition's 11.5 (71), prevailing by 26 points. After a tight opening term the home side pulled clear in the second quarter with a five-goal burst, then held firm despite some late inaccuracy. Mitchell Georgiades booted three goals and Corey Durdin added three more, while the opposition's standout was a five-goal haul from their key forward.

Season Story So Far

A mixed run of results has left the group searching for consistency. The latest win provided a timely boost after four losses in the previous five outings, underlining both the attacking flashes and the defensive lapses that have defined the campaign to date.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The numbers place the side in the middle order, with points and percentage reflecting a season of narrow margins and fluctuating scoring output. For and against tallies show a team capable of high scores but still conceding too many easy entries at times.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 10: lost to Gold Coast Suns
Round 11: lost to Carlton Blues
Round 13: defeated West Coast Eagles
Round 14: lost to Sydney Swans
Round 15: lost to Collingwood Magpies

Four defeats and one victory in that stretch highlight the need for greater consistency.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has been competitive on the spread in several tight contests but has struggled to cover when expected to dominate at home. Totals have landed under more often than not, reflecting games where both teams have traded periods of control rather than sustained high-scoring bursts.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been solid, yet conversion remains an issue with behinds piling up in recent weeks. Tackle pressure has been inconsistent, and the midfield has worked hard to win clearances but sometimes been caught on the turnover. Standout individual efforts have kept the attack alive even when structure has faltered.

Player Highlights

Mitchell Georgiades: 3 goals and 11 marks in the latest outing, providing a strong target up forward.
Jason Horne-Francis: Continues to lead the midfield with high disposal counts and contested ball wins across multiple games.
Oliver Wines: Reliable ball-winner off the bench, averaging strong contested possessions and clearances.
Jack Whitlock: Kicked multiple goals in back-to-back appearances, showing promise as a mobile forward option.
Corey Durdin: Added three goals and lively forward pressure in the most recent win.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card stayed away from this matchup entirely, which proved wise given the final margin landed outside most projected spreads. A clean miss on the totals angle too, but better to sit out than force a lean on a game that played to its own script.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no immediate fixture confirmed, attention turns to maintaining the momentum from the latest performance. Expect the group to focus on tightening defensive structures and improving forward efficiency ahead of the next assignment.

POR

vs

COL

Jun 20 7:35pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 15

-

3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Port Adelaide travels to the MCG to face Collingwood in Round 15, a matchup between two sides searching for consistency amid a congested mid-table battle. Both teams enter with just one win from their past five outings, setting up a contest likely to be decided by small margins and execution under pressure. Port Adelaide’s recent form has been defined by tight finishes rather than blowouts. After narrow losses to the Western Bulldogs by two points and Sydney by three, the Power showed resilience with a six-point away win before dropping another close decision. Their scoring has hovered around 74 points across those matches, with defensive lapses often proving costly in the final term. Collingwood’s trajectory mirrors that pattern. A 10-point victory interrupted four losses, three of which came by single-digit margins. The Magpies have averaged 80.6 points for and 93 points against in their last five, struggling particularly when forced to play from behind in the second half. Statistically the sides are almost identical. Port Adelaide’s season-long averages sit at 82.5 points scored and 81.7 conceded, while Collingwood posts 82.2 for and 82.9 against. Both teams have produced low-scoring, grind-it-out affairs on the road, suggesting totals around 165-170 remain the most probable outcome. Key areas will be contested ball and transition defence. Port’s ability to win clearances and limit Collingwood’s forward entries will determine whether they can overcome the venue disadvantage. Conversely, the Magpies must improve their conversion when opportunities arise, having wasted several inside-50 entries in recent weeks. From a betting perspective, the market has this fixture close to a pick-em on the line. Previous modelling highlighted value in unders for Port Adelaide’s team total in similar matchups, and the trend of low-scoring fourth quarters for both sides supports a lean toward the under on the full-game total. Collingwood’s historical MCG record gives them a slight edge in closing out tight games. Expect a tense, low-scoring affair. Collingwood should prevail by 6 to 13 points, taking advantage of home-ground familiarity and Port’s recent road struggles.

✏️ Game Analysis

Collingwood Magpies host Port Adelaide Power with the approved plays aligned on home dominance. The Collingwood Magpies -13.5 line at True 78% and Edge 6% pairs with the -7.5 at True 72% and Edge 5% to project margin growth across halves. These spreads reinforce the Over 43.5 Collingwood Magpies team total at True 54% and Edge 3%, outlining early control and sustained scoring output from the Magpies. All three bets converge on the same game shape where Collingwood Magpies dictate terms and exceed the totals against Port Adelaide Power through consistent first-quarter and first-half edges.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After the opening term at the MCG, Port Adelaide holds a narrow 17-14 lead over Collingwood. The Power converted two goals through Mitchell Georgiades and Xavier Bamert while adding five behinds, showing early inaccuracy in front of goal. Collingwood matched the goal tally via Tim Membrey and Lachlan Schultz but managed only two behinds. The quarter produced 31 points, below the typical AFL average, reflecting a cautious, error-prone start from both sides. Port generated more entries but wasted several opportunities, while the Magpies were more direct yet less prolific. Momentum sits marginally with the visitors due to their higher volume of scoring shots. From a football perspective, contested ball and transition defence will decide the next three quarters, with Collingwood needing to improve conversion at home. Betting markets opened tight on the full-game spread around Collingwood -10.5 to -11.5. The low-scoring first term points to a projected final total near 166, aligning closely with available lines. Expect a grinding contest where small margins and execution errors continue to shape the outcome.

Probabilities

52.6-52.6%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies -10.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52.6-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Neutral on Over 152.5 at 1.88 (Bet Right)

52.6-53.5%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies -5.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Neutral on Over 75.5 at 1.88 (Neds)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Stable

Neutral on Over 68.5 at 1.85 (Unibet)

Collingwood Magpies

Stable

Neutral on Over 79.5 at 1.87 (Unibet)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime, Port Adelaide leads Collingwood 43-42 after a see-sawing first half at the MCG. The opening term was cagey and low-scoring before both sides exploded for 48 combined points in the second quarter. Port Adelaide edged the second term 25-18, capitalising on three goals from Zak Butters, Jack Whitlock and Ewan Mackinlay, while Collingwood relied on Jordan de Goey’s two majors and Nick Daicos’ late reply. Momentum has swung noticeably toward the visitors, who have won more centre clearances and generated cleaner forward entries. Collingwood’s conversion has been wasteful, registering six behinds, and they have struggled to prevent Port’s transition game. The match remains a grind, with both defences forcing turnovers but neither side establishing scoreboard dominance. From a betting lens, the first-half total has already cleared most 74.5-76.5 lines, pointing to an above-average scoring rate. With two quarters remaining, projected final score sits near 175, well above the 149.5-153.5 full-game totals on offer. Collingwood’s historical MCG resilience keeps them live on the spread, yet Port’s current form and inside-50 efficiency suggest they can stay competitive. Key takeaway: expect a high-scoring second half with value on the over and a slight lean toward Port Adelaide covering the second-half line.

Probabilities

52.6-52.6%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies -10.5 at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 153.5 — projected final ~175 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Ladbrokes), implied 53.2%

52.6-52.6%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Neutral on Collingwood Magpies -5.5 at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 75.5 — projected second half ~90 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Ladbrokes), implied 53.2%

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Strong lean to Over 69.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Over 80.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Collingwood holds a commanding 74-46 lead at three-quarter time after a dominant third quarter where they added 32 points to Port Adelaide’s 3. The Magpies have controlled the contest through superior forward entries and conversion, with Jordan de Goey (three goals) and Tim Membrey (three goals) providing the focal points inside 50. Port Adelaide’s second-quarter response was short-lived; they have managed just one behind since half-time and trail by 28 points. The game has been low-scoring overall, with both sides combining for 120 points through three quarters. Collingwood’s home-ground execution and clearance work have restricted Port’s transition opportunities. From a betting standpoint the margin has already rendered most full-game spreads academic, while the total market sits near the projected final of 165. Collingwood’s remaining quarter should be managed conservatively given the buffer, while Port will need to manufacture quick goals to stay in the contest. Expect a measured final term with limited scoring bursts.

Probabilities

52.4-53.2%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies -10.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.4-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 153.5 — projected final ~165 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

52.4-53.2%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies -10.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.4-53.2%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 153.5 — projected final ~165 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Lean to Over 69.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Collingwood Magpies

Over

Lean to Over 80.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -13.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	Ladbrokes	-13.5	1.90	78.0%	6.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Collingwood Magpies -7.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Spreads	Unibet	-7.5	1.88	72.0%	5.0%	T1	1u	L
Over 43.5 (Collingwood Magpies) Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Team Totals	TAB	43.5	1.90	54.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -13.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	Full Spreads	Ladbrokes	-13.5	1.90	78.0%	6.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Collingwood Magpies -7.5 Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Spreads	Unibet	-7.5	1.88	72.0%	5.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 43.5 (Collingwood Magpies) Port Adelaide Power vs Collingwood Magpies	1H Team Totals	TAB	43.5	1.90	54.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
POR Port Adelaide Power
COL Collingwood Magpies

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Port Adelaide Power went down by 27 points, scoring 6 goals and 15 behinds for 51 while the opposition managed 11 goals and 12 behinds for 78. A competitive opening half gave way to a strong third term from the visitors that proved decisive. The winning side featured multiple players kicking three goals apiece, while the opposition’s standout performer dominated hitouts and contested work in the middle.

Season Story So Far

The latest defeat continues a mixed run where strong individual efforts have not always translated into consistent team results. Wins have been hard to come by, with the side showing flashes of attacking intent but struggling to close out games against quality opposition.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With ladder data currently unavailable, the focus remains on points for and against trends. The side has been outscored in recent weeks, highlighting the need for better conversion and defensive structure to climb the standings.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 9: Loss to Western Bulldogs 72-74
Round 10: Loss to Gold Coast Suns 73-98
Round 11: Loss to Carlton Blues 58-92
Round 13: Win against West Coast Eagles 77-71
Round 14: Loss to Sydney Swans 90-93

One win from the last five shows the inconsistency that has defined the campaign to date.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has gone under the total line in several recent outings, reflecting lower-scoring games when structure breaks down. Spread results have been tighter at home, though road performances have often seen larger margins against them.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been solid at times, but conversion remains an issue with behinds piling up. Tackling pressure has been inconsistent, allowing opponents too much time and space in transition. Key midfielders continue to rack up disposals but need better support forward of centre.

Player Highlights

Mitchell Georgiades: Multiple games with bags of three or four goals and strong marking inside 50.
Jason Horne-Francis: Leading the disposal count with 30-plus possessions and several goals from the midfield.
Oliver Wines: Consistent ball-winner providing drive from the engine room across the last month.
Jack Whitlock: Emerging forward threat with two-goal hauls and solid contested marking.
Jordon Sweet: Dominant ruck work with 35 hitouts in the most recent home game.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The under on the team total looked the standout selection and landed cleanly. The spread play also covered comfortably, showing good value on the line. A couple of overs in other markets missed, but the core Power-focused bets delivered and kept the card in profit.

Outlook / What to Watch

Port Adelaide Power will need to tighten their forward entries and reduce behinds if they are to challenge strongly in the next assignment. Expect a physical contest with emphasis on midfield stoppages and quick transition play.

SYD

vs

POR

Jun 13 7:35pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round 14

-

3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Sydney Swans head to Adelaide Oval for round 14 carrying the stronger recent momentum against a Port Adelaide side still searching for consistency. The visitors have secured four wins from their past five outings, while the Power have managed just one victory in the same stretch. Sydney’s form line features a 105-97 win over North Melbourne, an 81-75 victory against Collingwood, a heavy 170-56 triumph over Richmond and a tense 104-102 result against St Kilda, offset only by an 80-107 loss to Geelong. Those results produce an average scoring output of 114.23 points per game and a defensive average of 77.54 points conceded. Margins in the wins have ranged from six to 114 points, highlighting both control and occasional lapses. Port Adelaide’s record shows narrow defeats to Adelaide (75-76) and the Western Bulldogs (72-74), followed by more comprehensive losses to Gold Coast (73-98) and Carlton (58-92) before a 77-71 win over West Coast. Their season averages sit at 81.92 points scored and 80.75 conceded, reflecting a low-scoring, tight style that has rarely produced decisive margins. The statistical contrast is stark. Sydney’s higher scoring rate and proven ability to post big totals when opportunities arise contrast with Port’s tendency to stay under 80 points in four of their last five games. At Adelaide Oval the Power have historically relied on a compact defensive structure, yet their current run suggests difficulty containing mobile forward entries. Betting markets list Sydney as 8.5-point favourites. Recent margins indicate the Swans have covered similar lines in three of their past four wins, while Port’s average losing margin of 15.5 points across their defeats suggests they may struggle to keep games within single digits. Totals markets around 160 points look slightly generous given both teams’ recent scoring patterns. Sydney should control enough of the contest to secure victory. Expect the Swans to prevail by a margin of 12 to 22 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Sydney Swans travel to Port Adelaide Power with markets projecting steady visitor output. The over 88.5 Sydney Swans team total at 47% true probability and -3% edge, paired with the first-quarter over 43.5 at 48% true and -2% edge, point to consistent scoring pressure across opening and full-game windows. Isaac Heeney’s over 24.5 disposals at 52% true probability and +2% edge reinforces the same shape, indicating sustained ball involvement that supports elevated team scoring lines. Together the three approved plays align on a contest where Sydney’s offensive rhythm holds from the first term onward without requiring late surges.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Port Adelaide lead Sydney 24-20 at the first change after a scrappy, inaccurate opening term at Adelaide Oval. The Power registered nine scoring shots to five but converted only three, with early behinds from Georgiades, Sweet and Bamert keeping the margin tight. Sydney struck efficiently through Charlie Curnow, Jake Lloyd and Malcolm Rosas, yet managed just two behinds themselves. Port finished the quarter strongly, booting three goals in seven minutes via Corey Durdin, Jordon Sweet and Jason Horne-Francis to snatch the narrow advantage. Inside-50 entries have been even but conversion remains poor for both sides, producing a low-scoring, turnover-heavy pattern. Sydney’s superior recent form suggests they will improve their efficiency, yet the Power’s home defensive structure has restricted clean entries. With Sydney installed as 15.5-point favourites at 1.90, the Swans will need to lift their output markedly to cover. The total sits at 168.5 with overs at 1.90; given only 44 points in the opening term, an uptick in scoring is required for the over to land. Port’s projected team total of 75.5 looks slightly generous on current conversion rates.

Probabilities

58-63%

FULL GAME SPREAD

Moderate lean to Sydney Swans -15.5 covering at 1.90

53-58%

FULL GAME TOTAL

Slight lean to the Over 168.5 at 1.90

56-61%

2ND HALF SPREAD

Moderate lean to Sydney Swans -7.5 covering at 1.90

54-59%

2ND HALF TOTAL

Slight lean to the Over 83.5 at 1.85

Team Totals

Team A

Slight Over

Slight lean to Port Adelaide Over 75.5 at 1.90

Team B

Moderate Over

Moderate lean to Sydney Swans Over 93.5 at 1.90

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime Port Adelaide lead Sydney 51-36 after a scrappy, low-efficiency opening term. The Power have generated 16 scoring shots to the Swans’ 11, yet both sides have wasted opportunities with poor conversion, Port adding nine behinds. Jason Horne-Francis and Joe Richards kicked timely goals to give the home side a buffer, while Sydney’s entries were often repelled or finished inaccurately. Contested ball has been even, but Port’s forward pressure has restricted Sydney’s ability to transition cleanly. Sydney remain the pre-game favourites but trail by 15 points and must lift their forward craft in the second half. From a betting viewpoint the full-game line sits at Sydney -15.5 (1.90) and the total at 168.5 (1.90). Second-half spread markets are thin, yet the 2nd-half total line of 83.5 looks slightly low given both teams’ recent scoring rates. Port’s team total sits at 75.5 (1.90) while Sydney’s is 93.5 (1.90).

Probabilities

58-63%

FULL GAME SPREAD

Moderate lean to Sydney -15.5 covering at 1.90

53-58%

FULL GAME TOTAL

Slight lean to the Over 168.5 at 1.90

48-53%

2ND HALF SPREAD

Too close to call on Sydney -7.5 at 1.90

52-57%

2ND HALF TOTAL

Slight lean to the Over 83.5 at 1.85

Team Totals

Team A

Moderate Over

Moderate lean to Port Adelaide Over 75.5 at 1.90

Team B

Slight Under

Slight lean to Sydney Under 93.5 at 1.90

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Port Adelaide lead 71-62 at three-quarter time after a chaotic contest at Adelaide Oval. The Power held a 51-36 advantage at half-time but watched Sydney erase most of that buffer in the third term as Logan McDonald, Charlie Curnow, Isaac Heeney and Riley Bice all found the goals. Port’s early inaccuracy proved costly, with seven behinds from their first eight scoring shots, including multiple misses from Mitchell Georgiades. Sydney’s forward entries have become cleaner and their contested ball work has lifted, allowing them to generate 13 scoring shots to Port’s 11 after half-time. Despite the deficit, Sydney remain 15.5-point favourites on the full-game line at 1.90. The total sits at 168.5 with both sides likely to add 25-30 points in the final term. Second-half totals around 85.5 look slightly low given the open nature of the last 30 minutes. Port’s team total line of 75.5 at 1.90 and Sydney’s 93.5 at 1.90 frame the key betting angles. Sydney possess the momentum and superior recent form, yet Port’s home-ground resilience keeps the margin within single figures probable.

Probabilities

48-53%

FULL GAME SPREAD

Slight lean to Sydney -15.5 covering at 1.90

55-60%

FULL GAME TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Over 168.5 at 1.90

56-61%

2ND HALF SPREAD

Moderate lean to Sydney -7.5 covering at 1.90

53-58%

2ND HALF TOTAL

Slight lean to the Over 85.5 at 1.88

Team Totals

Team A

Slight Over

Slight lean to Port Adelaide Over 75.5 at 1.90

Team B

Moderate Over

Moderate lean to Sydney Swans Over 93.5 at 1.90

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 88.5 (Sydney Swans) Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Team Totals	TAB	88.5	1.90	47.0%	-3.0%	T3	5u	W
Over Isaac Heeney 24.5 DISPOSALS Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power	Disposals Over	Unibet	24.5	1.45	52.0%	2.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Over 43.5 (Sydney Swans) Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power	1H Team Totals	Unibet	43.5	1.89	48.0%	-2.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 88.5 (Sydney Swans) Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Team Totals	TAB	88.5	1.90	47.0%	-3.0%	T3	5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 43.5 (Sydney Swans) Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power	1H Team Totals	Unibet	43.5	1.89	48.0%	-2.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Isaac Heeney 24.5 DISPOSALS Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power	Disposals Over	Unibet	24.5	1.45	52.0%	2.0%	T2	2.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -
Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
SYD Sydney Swans
POR Port Adelaide Power

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side went down by three points, finishing with 13.12 (90) after the opposition posted 14.9 (93). They led at half time but were reeled in during a tight final term where both sides added three goals. The visitors finished with 25 scoring shots to the home side's 23. Mitchell Georgiades kicked two goals for the Power while the opposition's top bag was three majors and their best performer finished with 18 points.

Season Story So Far

Results have been mixed across the middle of the year. A narrow derby loss was followed by three straight defeats before a road win broke the run. The most recent outing was another close contest that slipped away late, leaving the group with plenty to build on heading into the second half of the season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder numbers are not yet updated in the data, but the points for and against across recent matches show a side that has been competitive in most games while struggling to convert enough opportunities into wins. Percentage sits around the middle of the competition based on the scores posted so far.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 9: lost to Western Bulldogs
Round 10: lost to Gold Coast Suns
Round 11: lost to Carlton Blues
Round 13: defeated West Coast Eagles
Round 14: lost to Sydney Swans

One win from the last five leaves the group searching for consistency.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has tended to go under the total line in recent outings when the line sits around 71.5. Spread results have been tighter, with the team often staying within striking distance but not always covering the number when favoured or underdogs.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Disposal numbers have been strong through the midfield with multiple players regularly hitting 20-plus touches. Tackle pressure has varied, though the group continues to generate inside-50 entries through contested ball winners. Standout individual efforts have kept the attack ticking even when the scoreboard has not reflected the work rate.

Player Highlights

Jason Horne-Francis: 32 disposals, 8 clearances and 3 goals in round 11.
Oliver Wines: Consistent 19-30 disposals across the last five games with strong contested numbers.
Mitchell Georgiades: Multiple bags of 3-plus goals and regular inside-50 threat.
Jordon Sweet: 35 hitouts and 17 disposals in the latest outing.
Joe Berry: 19 disposals and 2 goals in round 10.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card correctly landed the under on the Power total at 71.5 and the over on the opposition total at 88.5. The spread lean on the visitors was also in the right direction though the margin proved tighter than expected. Brutally honest assessment: two solid hits and one near miss on a competitive night.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no direct next opponent listed in the upcoming match data, the focus for Port Adelaide Power remains on tightening up late-game execution and maintaining the strong contested possession numbers that have been a feature of recent performances.

POR

vs

WCE

Jun 6 8:15pm ·Optus Stadium ·Round 13

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Port Adelaide Power head to Optus Stadium in Round 13 looking to arrest a recent slide and extend their advantage over a West Coast Eagles side still searching for consistency. With both teams carrying distinct momentum into the contest, the match offers a clear test of whether Port’s superior scoring balance can overcome the Eagles’ home advantage. Port Adelaide enter with just one win from their past five outings, though that victory came by 30 points. Their other results produced narrow losses of one and two points before heavier defeats of 25 and 34 points, leaving an average losing margin of 15.5 points across the four reverses. The Power’s season-long averages of 82.36 points scored and 81.64 conceded reflect a side capable of controlling games when their structure holds. West Coast have alternated results more sharply, securing two wins by 17 and 30 points while suffering three losses by margins of 11, 32 and 10 points. Their season averages of 73.25 points scored and 104.67 conceded highlight ongoing defensive vulnerabilities that have been exposed on the road and at times at home. Statistically the Power hold the edge in both attack and defence, generating higher scoring outputs while restricting opponents more effectively. West Coast’s lower scoring rate and higher points conceded suggest they will need to manufacture turnovers and limit Port’s transition to stay competitive. Betting markets have installed Port Adelaide as 3.5- to 7.5-point favourites, aligning with recent margin trends where the Power’s tighter contests have been decided by single digits. Markets on unders for West Coast team totals have attracted strong support in prior weeks, reflecting concerns about their ability to post competitive scores against structured defences. Port Adelaide should prevail, with an expected winning margin of 15 to 25 points as their superior averages and recent ability to win tight games prove decisive at Optus Stadium.

✏️ Game Analysis

Port Adelaide Power enter as road favourites against the West Coast Eagles, with totals aligning to a projected game shape built on volume. That shape is reinforced by the approved player props. Over Harley Reid 24.5 disposals carries 73% True and 5% Edge, while over Zak Butters 29.5 disposals sits at 71% True and 4% Edge. Both lines point to sustained ball movement and contested possession that push disposal counts above the posted numbers. The Power’s favoured status on the road combines with these overs to indicate a contest where key midfielders on each side remain heavily involved, keeping the totals projection intact without deviation into low-possession territory.

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Harley Reid 24.5 DISPOSALS Port Adelaide Power vs West Coast Eagles	Disposals Over	Unibet	24.5	1.88	73.0%	5.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Over Zak Butters 29.5 DISPOSALS Port Adelaide Power vs West Coast Eagles	Disposals Over	Ladbrokes	29.5	1.55	71.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Harley Reid 24.5 DISPOSALS Port Adelaide Power vs West Coast Eagles	Disposals Over	Unibet	24.5	1.88	73.0%	5.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Over Zak Butters 29.5 DISPOSALS Port Adelaide Power vs West Coast Eagles	Disposals Over	Ladbrokes	29.5	1.55	71.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Optus Stadium MATCHCAST -
Optus Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
POR Port Adelaide Power
WCE West Coast Eagles

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side secured a six-point victory with a final score of 11.11 (77) to the opposition's 10.11 (71). They led at every change after a strong second term where they added three goals and one behind. The visitors finished with 22 scoring shots to the opposition's 21. Mitchell Georgiades was not among the goal scorers this week, but Jason Horne-Francis kicked three majors while Joe Berry added two. The opposition's best performer was their full-forward with three goals and 20 points.

Season Story So Far

The latest result adds a much-needed win after a tough run of form. The group showed resilience on the road, controlling key periods and finishing strongly despite inaccurate goalkicking at times. This performance highlights areas of improvement in structure and contested ball while keeping the season alive.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position and points are not listed in current data, but the win improves percentage and keeps the side competitive on points for and against. The numbers reflect a mixed campaign with strong home games offset by road challenges.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 7: 13.17 (95) def Geelong Cats 10.5 (65)
Round 8: 11.9 (75) lost to Adelaide Crows 11.10 (76)
Round 9: 10.12 (72) lost to Western Bulldogs 10.14 (74)
Round 10: 10.13 (73) lost to Gold Coast Suns 15.8 (98)
Round 11: 8.10 (58) lost to Carlton Blues 13.14 (92)

The form shows one win and four losses, with the most recent result providing a positive shift.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has been competitive in spread markets on home soil but struggled to cover on the road in recent outings. Totals have landed under in several low-scoring affairs, though the latest game went over the expected line due to a high number of behinds.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Attacking output has relied on key forwards creating opportunities inside 50, though conversion remains a work in progress with high behind counts. Defensively the group has been solid in limiting opposition entries at times, with strong tackling and clearance work from the midfield helping to transition play forward. Disposals and contested possessions have been led by experienced players driving momentum.

Player Highlights

Jason Horne-Francis: 18 disposals, 3 goals and strong contested work in the latest outing.
Oliver Wines: Consistent across games with 19-30 disposals and high tackle counts.
Mitchell Georgiades: Multiple bags of goals including 4 in round 7 and strong marking presence.
Corey Durdin: Reliable goal threat with 1-2 goals per game and solid inside-50 pressure.
Joe Berry: Emerging impact with 2 goals and 8 disposals in the most recent win.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed a solid win on the Power to cover the spread in their latest road game. The selection was honest and direct, and the result validated the positive lean without overcomplicating the read.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no confirmed next opponent listed, focus remains on building from the recent road win. Expect continued emphasis on midfield control and better conversion in front of goal to maintain momentum through the middle of the season.

CAR

vs

POR

May 23 7:35pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round 11

-

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🧠 Match Preview

Carlton Blues head to Adelaide Oval in Round 11 facing a Port Adelaide Power side desperate to arrest a concerning slide. The contest carries significant implications for both clubs as they look to solidify their positions heading into the middle of the season. Carlton enter with momentum after securing three wins from their past five outings. A narrow four-point victory was followed by a commanding 34-point triumph and another comfortable success, signalling growing consistency in their attacking patterns. Port Adelaide, by contrast, have managed just one win in the same period and have dropped their last four matches, including a heavy 34-point defeat in their most recent assignment. Statistically the sides are closely matched in attack, with Carlton averaging 81.42 points per game and Port 82.36. Where the difference emerges is defensively: Carlton have conceded 93 points per game on average, while Port have held opponents to 81.64. The previous encounter between these two sides saw Carlton prevail 92-58, underlining their capacity to dominate when their midfield gains ascendancy. Recent margins tell an interesting story. Carlton’s three victories have come by an average of 16.7 points, while their two losses were by 39 and 11. Port’s sole win was by 30 points, but their four defeats have averaged a 17.75-point margin, highlighting vulnerability when structure breaks down. Betting markets have installed Port as favourites, with spreads ranging from 4.5 to 9.5 points across major bookmakers and totals sitting around 168.5-169.5. The line appears tight given Carlton’s recent ability to cover in lower-scoring affairs, yet Port’s superior defensive numbers and home-ground advantage at Adelaide Oval suggest value on the Power to cover. First-half totals around 83.5-84.5 also look enticing given both sides’ tendency to build scoring gradually. Expect Port Adelaide to control territory through the midfield and limit Carlton’s transition opportunities. While Carlton possess the firepower to challenge, the Power’s defensive organisation should prove decisive. Prediction: Port Adelaide Power to win by 12 to 20 points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Port Adelaide Power hold the edge at home against Carlton Blues, with the -12.5 spread backed at True 72% and 4.2% edge. This projection aligns tightly with the over on Port Adelaide Power 89.5, which carries True 70% and 2.9% edge. The first half over Port 44.5 at True 66% and the overall first quarter over 41.5 reinforce expectations of an early Power surge. Zak Butters exceeding 29.5 disposals, priced at True 71% with 3.1% edge, highlights the engine room dominance that fuels this output. Together these lines paint a consistent picture of Port Adelaide dictating terms and outscoring Carlton significantly through sustained pressure and midfield control.

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Port Adelaide Power -12.5 Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-12.5	1.88	72.0%	4.2%	T2	2.5u	W
Over Port Adelaide Power 89.5 Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	89.5	1.85	70.0%	2.9%	T2	2.5u	L
Over Zak Butters 29.5 DISPOSALS Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	Disposals Over	SportsBet	29.5	1.86	71.0%	3.1%	T1	1u	L
Over Port Adelaide Power 44.5 Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	44.5	1.87	66.0%	1.5%	T1	1u	L
Over 41.5 Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	1Q O/U	Neds	41.5	1.87	64.0%	0.9%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Port Adelaide Power -12.5 Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Spreads	SportsBet	-12.5	1.88	72.0%	4.2%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Port Adelaide Power 89.5 Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	89.5	1.85	70.0%	2.9%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Port Adelaide Power 44.5 Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	44.5	1.87	66.0%	1.5%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 41.5 Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	1Q O/U	Neds	41.5	1.87	64.0%	0.9%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Zak Butters 29.5 DISPOSALS Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power	Disposals Over	SportsBet	29.5	1.86	71.0%	3.1%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -
Adelaide Oval MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
CAR Carlton Blues
POR Port Adelaide Power

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side went down to the visitors by 34 points, finishing with 8.10 (58) after the opposition posted 13.14 (92). The first half proved costly, with only three goals kicked to the opposition's nine. The second half saw a slight improvement but not enough to close the gap. Jason Horne-Francis booted three goals while Jack Whitlock added two for the home side, with the opposition's best performer finishing with two majors and strong involvement.

Season Story So Far

After a narrow loss in round six the group responded with a strong win the following week. Three straight defeats followed, including two one-goal heartbreaks, before another heavy loss in round eleven left the season at a crossroads.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The side sits outside the top eight with limited points and a percentage hovering around the mid-80s. Points for and against show a clear imbalance, with the attack struggling to post consistent totals while the defence has conceded heavily in recent outings.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 6: Loss to Hawthorn Hawks 86-89
Round 7: Win over Geelong Cats 95-65
Round 8: Loss to Adelaide Crows 75-76
Round 9: Loss to Western Bulldogs 72-74
Round 10: Loss to Gold Coast Suns 73-98

One win from five has the group searching for consistency.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread only once in the last five outings and has gone under the total in four of those games. Heavy losses have made totals betting difficult while close results have occasionally offered value on the line.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been solid at times but conversion remains an issue, with behinds piling up. Tackle pressure has been inconsistent and contested possessions have been lost too often in the middle. Standout individual efforts have kept the side competitive but the collective output has fallen away in the second halves of recent matches.

Player Highlights

Mitchell Georgiades: Multiple bags of four goals across the stretch with strong marking inside 50.
Jason Horne-Francis: Continues to lead the midfield with 28-plus disposals and regular goal contributions.
Oliver Wines: Reliable clearance work and high disposal counts in every outing.
Corey Durdin: Consistent forward pressure with multiple goals and score involvements.
Jack Whitlock: Showed promise up forward with two goals in the latest outing.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed a couple of solid unit wins on the Power to cover in tighter contests but missed the totals plays when the scoring dried up. Brutally honest assessment: the spread bets were the only positives; the overs were never really in the game.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no confirmed next opponent listed, attention turns to internal improvements. Port Adelaide Power will need to lift contested ball winning and reduce behinds if they are to turn recent form around in the coming weeks.

ROUND	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
PLAYED	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Essendon Bombers	West Coast Eagles	Richmond Tigers	St Kilda Saints	Hawthorn Hawks	Geelong Cats	Adelaide Crows	Western Bulldogs	Gold Coast Suns	Carlton Blues	BYE	West Coast Eagles	Sydney Swans	Collingwood Magpies	Adelaide Crows	North Melbourne Kangaroos	St Kilda Saints	Fremantle Dockers	Brisbane Lions	Greater Western Sydney Giants	Sydney Swans	Melbourne Demons	Essendon Bombers
RESULT	L	W	L	W	L	L	W	L	L	L	L	BYE	W	L	L	W	W	L	L	L	L	L	L	W
HM / AW	AW	HM	HM	AW	HM	AW	HM	AW	HM	AW	HM	BYE	AW	HM	AW	HM	HM	AW	HM	AW	HM	AW	HM	AW
PTS FOR	67	133	90	90	67	86	95	75	72	73	58	BYE	77	90	52	97	73	73	75	67	63	70	56	105
PTS AGT	113	70	92	48	81	89	65	76	74	98	92	BYE	71	93	78	71	52	87	103	126	75	167	132	95
TOTAL	180	203	182	138	148	175	160	151	146	171	150	BYE	148	183	130	168	125	160	178	193	138	237	188	200
AVG FOR	67	100	97	95	89	89	90	88	86	85	82	BYE	82	83	80	81	81	80	80	79	79	78	77	78
AVG AGT	113	92	92	81	81	82	80	79	79	81	82	BYE	81	82	81	81	79	79	81	83	83	87	89	89
AVG TOTAL	180	192	189	176	170	171	170	167	165	166	164	BYE	163	165	161	162	160	159	161	162	162	165	166	167

Port Adelaide Power 2026 Season Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

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Port Adelaide Power

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Port Adelaide Power

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Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

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POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

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Season Story So Far

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Port Adelaide Power

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POST GAME STORYLINE

Port Adelaide Power — 2026 Season Page

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Attacking & Defensive Story

Player Highlights

Youngbloods Best Bets

Outlook / What to Watch

48-52%