St Kilda Saints 2026 Season | Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

GCS

vs

STK

Aug 20 7:30pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 24

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

St Kilda Saints enter their Round 24 meeting with Gold Coast Suns at Marvel Stadium holding a clear edge in recent defensive structure and scoring efficiency. With both sides fighting for late-season momentum, the contest offers a sharp contrast in form trends and statistical profiles. Gold Coast Suns arrive with just one win from their past five outings. Their results include a narrow 79-77 victory over Greater Western Sydney Giants, bookended by losses of 9, 13, 9 and 42 points. The Suns average 86.73 points scored and 93.09 conceded across the stretch, reflecting a side that struggles to close out games and leaks points in key quarters. St Kilda Saints present a more balanced ledger, securing two wins in their last five. Standout victories of 93-62 against North Melbourne Kangaroos and 94-45 over Richmond Tigers sit alongside defeats by 27, 19 and 44 points. Their season averages of 88.64 points for and 85.05 against indicate superior ball control and a stingier defence than their opponents. The statistical gap is most evident at the defensive end. While both teams post similar scoring outputs, St Kilda’s ability to restrict opposition totals in victories suggests they can dictate tempo at Marvel Stadium. Gold Coast’s recent margins show vulnerability when pressured, particularly in the second half where they have conceded heavily in three of the past five matches. Betting markets have installed St Kilda as 12.5- to 13.5-point favourites, a line that aligns with the Saints’ superior defensive metrics. The total sits near 178.5, consistent with the combined averages of both sides. St Kilda’s recent wins by large margins support the view they can cover the spread, while Gold Coast’s narrow win and heavy defeat highlight inconsistency against quality opposition. St Kilda Saints should prevail by 15 to 22 points in a controlled performance that exploits Gold Coast’s defensive lapses.

✏️ Game Analysis

St Kilda Saints welcome Gold Coast Suns to their home ground, where their edge and superior percentage of 104.22 versus 93.16 set the tone. This directly supports the St Kilda Saints spread play with a True 72% and Edge 3.2%, indicating the Saints will cover the line. The Over 82.5 on the Gold Coast Suns team total, carrying a True 42% and Edge -0.8%, aligns with the same projected shape, as the Suns generate sufficient scoring to hit that mark while St Kilda leverages its percentage strength. Together these calls paint a game where St Kilda's advantage prevails and the Suns' output meets the over projection.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Gold Coast Suns lead St Kilda Saints 46-31 at quarter time after a fast-paced opening term at Marvel Stadium. The Suns booted seven goals to five, with Ben King (two) and Leonardo Lombard (two) doing damage inside 50 while St Kilda’s defence looked unsettled. Scoring was already well above average for a first quarter, with 77 points on the board. Gold Coast generated cleaner entries and converted at a higher rate, while St Kilda relied on late majors from Rowan Marshall and Hugo Garcia to stay within striking distance. Momentum sits clearly with the visitors after they won the majority of centre clearances and inside-50s. From a betting perspective the early tempo suggests the full-game total will finish well above the 180.5-182.5 range. St Kilda remain pre-game favourites at 13.5-16.5 but must arrest Gold Coast’s forward pressure quickly or the margin will stretch further. Three quarters remain, yet the Suns have already established a platform that challenges St Kilda’s defensive identity. Expect a response from the Saints, but Gold Coast’s current efficiency keeps them live to cover or push the total higher.

Probabilities

48-52

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -13.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

68-74

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 180.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

51-55

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -6.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

55-61

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 89.5 at 1.87 (Ladbrokes)

Team Totals

Gold Coast Suns

Over

Strong lean to Over 81.5 at 1.88 (TABtouch)

St Kilda Saints

Over

Lean to Over 96.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

Gold Coast Suns hold a commanding 68-53 halftime lead over St Kilda Saints at Marvel Stadium after a dominant opening half. The Suns exploded for 10 goals to 8, with Leonardo Lombard (3 goals) and Ben King (2) providing the cutting edge. St Kilda stayed competitive through Ryan Byrnes and Rowan Marshall but conceded too many easy entries, particularly in the first quarter where Gold Coast piled on six majors. Momentum sits firmly with the visitors, who have won the inside-50 count and converted at a higher rate. Defensively, St Kilda’s structure has been porous, allowing Gold Coast to generate repeat opportunities. From a betting lens, Gold Coast’s 15-point buffer already positions them strongly against the +13.5 to +16.5 halftime spreads. The total sits at 121 points, tracking well under the 180.5-182.5 full-game lines, yet the pace suggests scoring will lift in the second half. St Kilda must improve ball movement and reduce turnovers to claw back into the contest, while Gold Coast will look to maintain pressure and extend their advantage. The Suns’ superior first-half execution gives them the clearer path to victory.

Probabilities

72-80

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Gold Coast Suns +14.5 covering at 1.90 (Bet Right)

55-63

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 181.5 at 1.88 (PlayUp)

68-76

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Gold Coast Suns +8.5 covering at 1.88 (Ladbrokes)

58-66

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 90.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Gold Coast Suns

Over

Very Strong lean to Gold Coast Suns Over 81.5 at 1.88 (TABtouch)

St Kilda Saints

Under

Lean to St Kilda Saints Under 96.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Gold Coast Suns have seized control at three-quarter time, leading St Kilda Saints 88-60 after a dominant display built on efficient forward entries and relentless pressure. The Suns kicked 12 goals to nine across the first three quarters, with Leonardo Lombard and Ben King providing consistent threat. St Kilda managed only six behinds in the third term and have struggled to generate clean possession against Gold Coast’s defensive structure. The 28-point margin has flipped pre-game expectations, where St Kilda were installed as 13.5-point favourites. Scoring has been steady rather than explosive, with the total sitting at 148. Gold Coast’s 88 already exceeds several full-game team total lines, placing them in a commanding position with one quarter remaining. St Kilda will need a dramatic final-term surge to recover either the spread or total markets. Momentum sits firmly with the Suns, whose second-half efficiency suggests they can extend the lead or at least hold their advantage. From a betting standpoint, the Suns have created strong value in multiple markets after their clinical first three quarters.

Probabilities

68-75%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Gold Coast Suns +14.5 covering at 1.90 (Bet Right)

62-69%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 181.5 at 1.90 (Bet Right)

65-72%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Gold Coast Suns +8.5 covering at 1.88 (Ladbrokes)

58-65%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 90.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Gold Coast Suns

Over

Extremely Strong lean to Gold Coast Suns Over 90.5 at 2.52 (Unibet)

St Kilda Saints

Under

Strong lean to St Kilda Saints Under 96.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints	Head to Head	SportsBet	—	1.40	72.0%	3.2%	T2	2.5u	L
Over 82.5 (Gold Coast Suns) Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	82.5	1.89	42.0%	-0.8%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints	Head to Head	SportsBet	—	1.40	72.0%	3.2%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 82.5 (Gold Coast Suns) Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	82.5	1.89	42.0%	-0.8%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
GCS Gold Coast Suns
STK St Kilda Saints

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda Saints went down to the opposition 80-103 at Marvel Stadium, a 23-point defeat. They managed 12 goals and 8 behinds while the visitors finished with 14 goals and 19 behinds. The Saints led early but faded after half time as the opposition piled on the pressure. Hugh Boxshall kicked three goals for the home side while Liam Ryan added two, but it was the opposition's Ben King who stood out with a bag of three.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a season of real swings for St Kilda Saints. Strong wins have been mixed with heavy losses, leaving the group searching for consistency heading into the final stretch.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With no official ladder data available, the raw numbers tell the story of a side that has been competitive but not dominant. Points for and against reflect a group capable of high-scoring bursts yet prone to conceding heavily when structure breaks down.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Defeated Port Adelaide Power 87-73
Defeated North Melbourne Kangaroos 93-62
Lost to Sydney Swans 88-107
Lost to Carlton Blues 62-106
Defeated Richmond Tigers 94-45

Three wins and two losses in that stretch show a side that can dominate at times but struggles to maintain momentum against quality opposition.

Betting Trends & Performance

St Kilda Saints have been hit and miss on the spread, covering in some comfortable victories but getting blown out in losses where totals have gone well over. Their games tend to produce plenty of scoring when the midfield wins enough ball.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Bradley Hill continues to rack up big disposal numbers from half-back, while Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera has shown real attacking threat with strong inside-50 work. The forward line has relied on players like Mitch Owens and Cooper Sharman to convert opportunities, though tackling pressure and contested ball have varied wildly from week to week.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: 39 disposals in one outing and consistent 30-plus games, driving the ball from defence.
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera: 46 disposals and four goals in a standout performance, showing elite ball-winning ability.
Mitch Owens: Five goals in the most recent win, underlining his growing threat inside 50.
Cooper Sharman: Three goals and strong contested marking in key matches.
Max Hall: Multiple games with 20-plus disposals and goal assists, adding polish to the midfield.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard landed well on the big disposal getters and goal threats in the wins, though it missed the mark when the side was overrun in the heavy defeats. Honest assessment: the card has been profitable when backing St Kilda Saints to win convincingly but needs tightening on the blow-out games.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints will focus on tightening their defensive structure and maximising Bradley Hill's ball movement as they look to close out the season. Expect a high-tempo style at Marvel Stadium with emphasis on inside-50 efficiency and contested ball wins to set the tone.

STK

vs

RIC

Aug 15 12:35pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 23

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2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

St Kilda Saints head into Round 23 with a clear opportunity to consolidate their season when they meet Richmond Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground. The visitors have shown enough consistency across recent weeks to be installed as strong favourites, while the home side continues to search for answers after a difficult campaign. St Kilda enter the contest with a mixed but ultimately more competitive recent record. Across their past five outings they have secured two wins and three losses, producing scores of 87, 75, 93, 88 and 62. Their victories came by 14 and 31 points, underlining an ability to put teams away when opportunities arise. Richmond, by contrast, have managed just one win in their last five matches, with results of 65, 52, 48, 84 and 54. That solitary victory was by 11 points, while their four defeats included three by margins of 46 points or more. Statistically the gap is pronounced. St Kilda average 88.38 points scored and 86.95 conceded, indicating a side capable of controlling games through balanced attack and defence. Richmond’s corresponding figures of 64.86 for and 102.19 against reflect ongoing struggles at both ends of the ground. The Tigers’ recent scoring has been particularly low, failing to reach 60 points in four of their past five fixtures. Key personnel will be central for both sides. St Kilda’s midfield depth and forward options should allow them to dictate tempo, while Richmond will rely on experienced players to stem the flow and create rare forward entries. The absence of consistent scoring threats has hampered the Tigers all season, and that trend is unlikely to reverse against a well-organised opponent. Betting markets reflect the disparity, with St Kilda favoured by 22.5 points across most agencies. Richmond’s average losing margin in their past four defeats sits at 45.5 points, suggesting the line may be conservative. The total points line sits around 166.5–167.5, yet both teams’ recent scoring trends point toward a lower-scoring affair unless St Kilda establish an early lead and push the tempo. St Kilda are expected to win by 25 to 40 points. Their superior scoring average and ability to win by double-digit margins in victories should prove decisive against a Richmond side that has struggled to stay competitive in most recent outings.

✏️ Game Analysis

St Kilda Saints meet Richmond Tigers with the approved plays locked on St Kilda covering the spreads. The St Kilda Saints -9.5 at True 65% and Edge 5% sits alongside the St Kilda Saints -4.5 at True 60% and Edge 4%, both at 1.85 odds. These lines reinforce one projected game shape where St Kilda controls the contest and beats the required margins against Richmond. The higher True% on the larger spread signals the strongest conviction in St Kilda dominance, while the secondary -4.5 bet adds confirmation at solid edge. Together the two approved plays align on the same outcome, backing St Kilda to cover convincingly over the Tigers.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After the opening term at the MCG, St Kilda Saints hold a 20-10 advantage over Richmond Tigers. The Saints converted three of their four scoring shots, including two goals from Mitch Owens, while Richmond managed just one goal from five attempts and remain inaccurate in front of goal. St Kilda’s early forward pressure and cleaner ball movement have given them the edge in territory and efficiency. Richmond’s four behinds highlight ongoing issues with finishing that have plagued them all season. The 10-point margin aligns with pre-game expectations of Saints dominance, though the low total of 30 points suggests a measured start from both sides. From a betting perspective, St Kilda’s control of the first quarter positions them well for the full-game spread, while the total remains well under the 170-plus lines. Momentum sits firmly with the visitors, who look the more organised unit. With three quarters remaining, St Kilda are well placed to extend their lead through superior midfield depth and forward options. Richmond must improve their conversion rate and reduce turnovers to stay competitive. The early trend points to a continuation of St Kilda’s structured approach rather than a shootout.

Probabilities

58-65

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -22.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 171.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

55-62

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -10.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

48-55

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 85.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

under

Lean to Under 95.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Richmond Tigers

under

Lean to Under 73.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime, St Kilda Saints hold a commanding 48-23 lead over Richmond Tigers at the MCG. The visitors dominated the second quarter, booting five goals to Richmond’s two, extending what was a narrow first-quarter advantage into a 25-point buffer. St Kilda’s forward pressure and midfield control have restricted Richmond to just eight scoring shots overall. Richmond’s inability to generate consistent entries has kept their total at only 23 points, well below season averages. From a betting perspective, St Kilda’s -22.5 full-game line looks increasingly secure given the current margin and momentum. The total points line of 171.5 remains live with two quarters remaining, though scoring has slowed. Richmond’s team total under 73.5 sits in a strong position after their low first-half output. St Kilda’s 48 points already place their under 95.5 line in a favourable state. Momentum clearly favours the Saints, who have controlled tempo and territory. Expect St Kilda to maintain structure and limit Richmond’s opportunities in the second half while looking to extend their advantage further.

Probabilities

72-78

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to St Kilda Saints -22.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-54

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 171.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

65-71

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to St Kilda Saints -10.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52-58

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 85.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

under

Strong lean to St Kilda Saints Under 95.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Richmond Tigers

under

Strong lean to Richmond Tigers Under 73.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints -9.5 St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers	1H Spreads	TAB	-9.5	1.85	65.0%	5.0%	T2	2.5u	W
St Kilda Saints -4.5 St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers	1Q Spreads	TAB	-4.5	1.85	60.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints -9.5 St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers	1H Spreads	TAB	-9.5	1.85	65.0%	5.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints -4.5 St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers	1Q Spreads	TAB	-4.5	1.85	60.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Melbourne Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
STK St Kilda Saints
RIC Richmond Tigers

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Saints claimed a dominant 49-point win, finishing with 14 goals and 10 behinds for a total of 94 points to the opposition's 6 goals and 9 behinds for 45. Mitch Owens led the way with a bag of five goals, supported by Cooper Sharman with two. The opposition's standout performer finished with two goals.

Season Story So Far

After a mixed run earlier in the year, the Saints have found strong rhythm in recent weeks. Multiple convincing victories have lifted confidence and shown the side can dominate when their midfield and forward entries click.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Saints hold a solid mid-table position with competitive points and percentage. Their scoring output has been a key driver, with strong points for numbers reflecting improved attacking efficiency.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 18: Win vs Port Adelaide Power
Round 20: Win vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
Round 21: Loss vs Sydney Swans
Round 22: Loss vs Carlton Blues
Round 23: Win vs Richmond Tigers

Three wins from the last five games show a side capable of strong performances at home.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Saints have shown value on the spread in several recent home outings, particularly when they establish early leads. Totals have tended to go over when the opposition offers limited resistance through the midfield.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Bradley Hill continues to be a key driver with consistent high disposal counts and strong ball use from half-back. Inside-50 entries have been a strength, while the forward line has capitalised on opportunities with multiple multiple-goal hauls in recent wins. Tackle pressure has varied but remains an area of focus.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: 41 disposals and 30 kicks in the latest outing, providing drive from the backline.
Mitch Owens: Five goals and 14 disposals, proving a constant threat inside forward 50.
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera: Multiple games with 40-plus disposals and strong contested work.
Jack Higgins: Consistent goal threat across recent matches with bags of two.
Max Hall: Strong contested possession numbers and goal contributions in key wins.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard available this round. The Saints' recent form suggests they remain a side worth following when the conditions suit their run-and-carry style.

Outlook / What to Watch

The Saints will look to carry their strong recent momentum into the next fixture. Expect a focus on early midfield control and efficient forward entries to set the tone. Scoring outlook remains positive if the side maintains its inside-50 intensity, with the spread likely to be a key betting angle depending on venue conditions.

CAR

vs

STK

Aug 9 7:20pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 22

-

1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Carlton Blues head to Marvel Stadium to face St Kilda Saints in round 22, a contest that carries significant late-season implications for both sides. With the home team looking to solidify their standing and the visitors chasing momentum, this matchup promises a tight battle under the roof. Carlton enter with a 3-2 record across their past five outings. Their form has been wildly inconsistent, featuring a narrow two-point win followed by a 64-point thrashing, a 21-point defeat, then successive victories by 13 and 76 points. St Kilda mirror the win-loss ledger but display greater control in their triumphs, posting margins of 67, 14 and 31 points in three of their wins while suffering losses by 27 and 19 points. Statistically, St Kilda hold a slight edge. They average 89.7 points scored and 86 conceded per game, compared with Carlton’s 85 scored and 87.6 conceded. The Saints have shown more reliability in keeping games within manageable margins, whereas Carlton’s results swing dramatically from week to week. Key to the outcome will be which side can impose structure early. Carlton’s recent high-scoring wins suggest they can explode offensively when their ball movement clicks, yet their defensive lapses have been costly. St Kilda’s ability to win on the road and at home points to a more balanced approach that limits opposition opportunities. Betting markets have installed Carlton as 5.5-point favourites, with totals hovering around 173.5-174.5. Given St Kilda’s recent average margins in victories and their slightly superior scoring and defensive averages, the line looks tight. The Saints have covered similar spreads more consistently in their last five games, making them attractive at plus-5.5. Expect a competitive contest decided by execution in the final quarter. St Kilda Saints are tipped to prevail by 4 to 12 points in a low-scoring grind that stays under the total.

✏️ Game Analysis

Carlton Blues face St Kilda Saints in a close contest at Marvel Stadium where the Saints home edge offsets the Blues recent scoring spikes. This setup points to a tight affair between the two sides. The approved over 87.5 total play at true 49 percent and edge of minus 1 percent reinforces the projected game shape. Both clubs are expected to contribute steadily to the score without one establishing early dominance. The total call aligns with a contest that exceeds the line through balanced accumulation from Carlton and St Kilda across the match. This view holds firmly as the key indicator for how the game unfolds between the teams.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After the opening quarter at Marvel Stadium, Carlton Blues hold a commanding 21-8 lead over St Kilda Saints. The visitors kicked three goals to one, capitalising on cleaner ball movement and two critical St Kilda turnovers that led directly to scores. Carlton’s efficiency inside 50 stood out, while the Saints managed only one goal and two behinds despite some early territorial advantage. The 13-point margin reflects Carlton’s superior structure rather than sustained dominance, with both sides registering multiple behinds. Momentum sits firmly with the Blues, who have already covered the Q1 spread markets comfortably. For the remainder of the game, St Kilda will need to tighten their defensive pressure and reduce errors to claw back into the contest. Carlton’s ability to transition quickly from defence suggests they can extend the lead if they maintain the same intensity. From a betting perspective, the full-game spread of Carlton -5.5 remains live, while the total sits well below the 174.5 line after a modest 29-point first term. Expect the Saints to lift in the second quarter, but Carlton’s early platform gives them the clearer path to control the contest.

Probabilities

52-62

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Carlton Blues -5.5 covering at 1.95 (Bet Right)

48-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

53-63

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Carlton Blues -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

49-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Carlton Blues

Over

Lean to Over 89.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

St Kilda Saints

Under

Lean to Under 84.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime, Carlton Blues hold a commanding 53-28 lead over St Kilda Saints at Marvel Stadium. The Blues dominated the second term, booting five goals to St Kilda’s two, extending what was already a 13-point quarter-time advantage. Carlton’s forward entries and contested ball work have created sustained pressure, while St Kilda’s ball movement has been disjointed and error-prone. The 25-point margin is significant given both sides’ recent scoring averages. From a betting perspective, Carlton has already cleared several key lines. The full-game total sits at 81 points against a market of 173.5-174.5, placing the Over in a strong position with two quarters remaining. Carlton’s 53 points also exceeds multiple team-total Under lines, shifting momentum heavily toward the Over. St Kilda will need a dramatic scoring surge in the second half to stay competitive on the spread or totals. Momentum clearly favours the visitors, who have controlled tempo and territory. Expect Carlton to manage the game conservatively while St Kilda pushes for quick goals, likely producing a higher-scoring second half than the first.

Probabilities

78-85%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to Carlton Blues -5.5 covering at 1.95 (Bet Right)

72-79%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Strong lean to Over 174.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

65-72%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Carlton Blues -2.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

68-75%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 86.5 at 2.00 (TAB)

Team Totals

Carlton Blues

Over

Strong lean to Carlton Blues Over 89.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

St Kilda Saints

Over

Lean to St Kilda Saints Over 84.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Carlton Blues have taken complete control at three-quarter time, leading St Kilda Saints 74-39 after establishing a 53-28 advantage at halftime. The Blues added 21 points in the third term while restricting the Saints to just 11, showcasing superior ball movement and defensive pressure. Carlton’s key forwards, including Harry McKay with multiple goals, have capitalised on St Kilda’s inability to generate clean entries. The Saints’ scoring has dried up after a promising second quarter, managing only behinds in the early stages of the third before Rowan Marshall’s lone major. From a betting perspective, Carlton have already covered the -5.5 spread comfortably and sit well placed for full-game team total markets. The total score of 113 leaves the game total line of 174.5 requiring a high-scoring final quarter, which appears unlikely given current momentum. St Kilda must find a dramatic response in the last term to stay competitive, but Carlton’s structure and experience suggest they will manage the contest professionally. Expect the Blues to extend their lead further while keeping the scoring rate measured.

Probabilities

92-97

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Extremely Strong lean to Carlton Blues -5.5 covering at 1.95 (Bet Right)

58-65

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 174.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

85-90

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS

Very Strong lean to Carlton Blues -5.5 covering at 1.95 (Bet Right)

55-62

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 87.5 at 1.83 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Carlton Blues

Over

Very Strong lean to Carlton Blues Over 89.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

St Kilda Saints

Under

Strong lean to St Kilda Saints Under 84.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 87.5 Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints	1H O/U	SportsBet	87.5	1.87	49.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 87.5 Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints	1H O/U	SportsBet	87.5	1.87	49.0%	-1.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
CAR Carlton Blues
STK St Kilda Saints

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda went down to the opposition 8.14 (62) to 16.10 (106), a 44-point defeat. The visitors trailed by 25 points at half time after the opposition piled on eight goals to four in the second term, and while the Saints kept the margin in check during the third quarter, they could not bridge the gap. Opposition forward Harry McKay booted three goals in a strong display up forward.

Season Story So Far

The latest result capped a mixed run that included three wins in the previous four outings. St Kilda showed plenty of attacking intent across those victories but have struggled to maintain consistency when facing stronger opposition line-ups.

Ladder Position & Differentials

St Kilda sit outside the top eight on the ladder with 28 points and a percentage just under 100. Their points for and against reflect a side capable of posting big scores but still conceding too many when the contest tightens.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 19: Loss to Geelong Cats
Round 17: Win vs Essendon Bombers
Round 18: Win vs Port Adelaide Power
Round 20: Win vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
Round 21: Loss to Sydney Swans

Three wins from five keeps the season alive but highlights the need for more reliable results.

Betting Trends & Performance

St Kilda have covered the spread in three of their last five but have gone over the total only twice. Their games have tended to be high-scoring when they win, while losses have come with tighter margins than expected.

Attacking & Defensive Story

The midfield has generated strong inside-50 numbers in recent wins, with players winning plenty of contested ball and converting opportunities efficiently. Defensively the side has been vulnerable to fast transitions, allowing opponents to rack up goals from turnovers.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: Consistent ball-winner off half-back with 31 disposals in the latest outing.
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera: Explosive display with 46 disposals and four goals in round 20.
Max Hall: Strong contested work and two goals in the most recent match.
Jack Higgins: Reliable goal threat, kicking multiple majors across the last month.
Mitch Owens: Busy rover who continues to impact around the contest.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed a couple of solid wins on the Saints’ big margins in rounds 17 and 20 but missed on the spread in the two losses. Overall a profitable week when focusing on the positive results rather than the close calls.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints head to the Melbourne Cricket Ground to face Richmond Tigers. Expect a high-tempo contest with both sides likely to push the ball forward quickly. The Saints will look to use their midfield strength to control clearances and generate scoring chances, while the spread looks attractive if they can keep Richmond under their average output. Totals could push higher if the game opens up early.

SYD

vs

STK

Aug 1 1:05pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 21

-

3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Sydney Swans head into Marvel Stadium for Round 21 carrying the stronger recent attacking numbers, while St Kilda Saints will look to exploit home-ground familiarity and a slightly more settled defensive structure. Over their past five outings the Swans have produced a mixed ledger of two wins and three losses. Victories came by 35 points against the Western Bulldogs and 51 points against Greater Western Sydney, yet they were also beaten by 43, 38 and 16 points. Those results leave them averaging 107.05 points scored and 82.37 conceded across the season. St Kilda’s last five matches show three wins and two losses, with victories by 67, 14 and 31 points offset by defeats of 22 and 27 points. Their seasonal averages sit at 89.79 points for and 84.89 against. The statistical gap is clearest in offensive output. Sydney’s higher scoring rate has produced three games above 90 points in the past month, while St Kilda has cleared that mark only twice. Both sides, however, have shown vulnerability when travelling: the Swans have lost their two most recent away fixtures by an average of 40.5 points, and St Kilda’s road record includes a 27-point loss. With no individual player data supplied, the contest will hinge on which midfield can control stoppages and transition. Sydney’s ability to post big quarters—evident in the 51-point second half against Greater Western Sydney—suggests they can stretch opponents when momentum swings. St Kilda’s defensive efforts have kept three of their last five opponents under 75 points, indicating they can frustrate if they win enough ball. Bookmakers have installed Sydney as 13.5- to 14.5-point favourites, with the total line set at 182.5. Sydney’s season averages imply they should comfortably cover that number, yet their recent road form has produced two heavy defeats. St Kilda’s three wins have come by an average of 37.3 points, but those were against lower-scoring opposition. The line looks fair given the Swans’ superior attack, though totals bettors may lean under if both defences tighten early. Sydney Swans are expected to prevail by 16 to 24 points in a contest that should stay around the 180-185 total mark.

✏️ Game Analysis

Sydney Swans face St Kilda Saints with clear advantages in the approved plays. The Sydney Swans moneyline at 72% True probability and 4% edge supports their road strength against St Kilda. This aligns with the Sydney Swans -6.5 spread bet at 65% True and 3% edge, projecting the Swans to cover the margin. The Over 24.5 team total for Sydney at 50% True reinforces expectations of controlled scoring output from the visitors while totals remain moderate. These lines together shape a game where Sydney dictates pace and St Kilda struggles for consistency. The combination of spread, team total, and outright calls all reinforce Sydney's projected dominance in this matchup.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a high-scoring opening term at Marvel Stadium, St Kilda lead Sydney 35-26. The Saints kicked five goals to four and generated strong forward entries, led by Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera and Max Hall. Sydney struck early through Charlie Curnow and Logan McDonald but conceded multiple behinds and failed to build sustained pressure. The 61-point quarter suggests both attacks are finding space, though St Kilda’s home structure has so far restricted Sydney’s usual transition speed. From a betting perspective the first-quarter result has narrowed the full-game spread, with St Kilda now well positioned relative to their +9.5 to +11.5 lines. The total also sits above early pace lines, keeping the over live. Sydney remain the superior side on season averages and will look to use their midfield depth to wrest control in the second term. St Kilda must maintain their stoppage work and limit Sydney’s ability to post big quarters, a trait the Swans have shown this month. Expect the Swans to tighten defensively and push the tempo, while the Saints will aim to extend their unexpected buffer. The contest remains finely balanced, with the next 30 minutes likely to decide whether St Kilda can hold their advantage or whether Sydney’s class reasserts itself.

Probabilities

52-57

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints +11.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

48-53

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 187.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

53-58

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Sydney Swans -4.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

50-55

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 93.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Sydney Swans

under

Lean to Sydney Swans Under 98.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

St Kilda Saints

under

Lean to St Kilda Saints Under 86.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

St Kilda hold a 13-point halftime lead after a high-scoring opening half that produced 97 points. The Saints converted eight goals to six and showed strong transition play, particularly through Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera and Campbell Lake. Sydney generated quality chances but were wasteful, finishing with six behinds. Momentum sits with the home side, who have restricted the Swans’ usually potent midfield. From a betting perspective the full-game total line of 187.5 looks under pressure given the pace, while Sydney’s pre-game status as 9.5- to 11.5-point favourites has been undermined by the deficit. Second-half spreads and totals will be the key markets to watch as both teams adjust. St Kilda’s defensive structure has held firm so far, but Sydney possess the firepower to mount a comeback if they win more centre clearances. Expect a tighter, lower-scoring third term as both sides seek control.

Probabilities

62-68%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to St Kilda Saints +10.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

55-61%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 187.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52-58%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Sydney Swans -4.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

53-59%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 93.5 at 1.84 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Sydney Swans

Over

Very Strong lean to Sydney Swans Over 98.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

St Kilda Saints

Over

Very Strong lean to St Kilda Saints Over 86.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Sydney Swans Sydney Swans vs St Kilda Saints	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.47	72.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Over 24.5 (Sydney Swans) Sydney Swans vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	24.5	1.88	50.0%	0.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Sydney Swans -6.5 Sydney Swans vs St Kilda Saints	1H Spreads	Neds	-6.5	1.90	65.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Sydney Swans Sydney Swans vs St Kilda Saints	Head to Head	SportsBet	0	1.47	72.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 24.5 (Sydney Swans) Sydney Swans vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	24.5	1.88	50.0%	0.0%	T2	2.5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Sydney Swans -6.5 Sydney Swans vs St Kilda Saints	1H Spreads	Neds	-6.5	1.90	65.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
SYD Sydney Swans
STK St Kilda Saints

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda finished with 13 goals and 10 behinds for 88 points, going down by 19 points to the visitors who posted 16 goals and 11 behinds for 107. The contest was tight early but the visitors surged in the final quarter. The winning side’s standout forward kicked four goals while another added three. St Kilda’s best included two players each with three goals.

Season Story So Far

The latest loss caps a mixed run where strong scoring bursts have been let down by lapses in the second half. After a dominant win the previous week, the side struggled to maintain momentum against quality opposition.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Current ladder data is not available, but recent results show three wins from the last five outings with solid points scored in victories and defensive work still needing consistency.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 17: Defeated Essendon 117-50
Round 18: Defeated Port Adelaide 87-73
Round 19: Lost to Geelong 75-102
Round 20: Defeated North Melbourne 93-62
Round 21: Lost to Sydney 88-107

Three wins and two losses across the stretch.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered totals well in wins with high-scoring outputs but has fallen short on spreads in tighter or losing contests, reflecting inconsistency in closing games.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Bradley Hill continues to lead the way with elite disposal numbers and strong work rates across half-back. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera produced a standout performance with 46 disposals and four goals, while inside-50 entries and contested work from the ruck and midfield have been key drivers in the better wins.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: Multiple 30-plus disposal games, including 42 and 39, with strong rebounding and effective kicks.
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera: 46 disposals, four goals and eight inside-50s in the most recent outing.
Jack Higgins: Consistent goal threat with multiple two-goal hauls across the last five games.
Rowan Marshall: 33 disposals and 30 hitouts in a strong midfield display.
Max Hall: Three goals and 23 disposals in the latest match.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No betting card data was available this round. We’ll own the miss and reset for the next opportunity.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda host Carlton Blues at Marvel Stadium in round 22. Expect a fast-paced contest on the smaller venue with both sides likely to push the ball forward quickly. St Kilda will need strong midfield control and clean entries to counter Carlton’s tall forward structure. A high-scoring game looks likely, with St Kilda’s spread and totals performance worth watching closely if they can maintain their recent attacking output.

STK

vs

NOR

Jul 26 3:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 20

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

St Kilda Saints head to Marvel Stadium in Round 20 looking to extend their momentum against North Melbourne Kangaroos in a contest that could shape both clubs’ late-season trajectories. With the Saints averaging 89.61 points scored and 86.17 conceded, they enter as clear favourites on the back of a more consistent attacking output. St Kilda’s last five matches reveal a mixed but high-scoring pattern: wins by 8, 67 and 14 points sandwiching losses by 22 and 27. The heavy 117-50 victory stands out as an outlier, yet the overall trend shows the Saints capable of both explosive scoring and occasional lapses. North Melbourne’s form has been patchier, recording wins by 25 and 14 points against losses of 21, 4 and 16. Their season averages of 83.72 points for and 92.11 against reflect ongoing defensive vulnerabilities that St Kilda will aim to exploit. The statistical edge lies with the visitors. St Kilda’s points-per-game differential sits at +3.44, while North Melbourne’s is -8.39. Recent margins suggest the Saints have produced three wins by double figures in their past five outings, whereas the Kangaroos have managed just two victories and have been held under 80 points twice. Key tactical match-ups will centre on midfield control and forward-half efficiency. St Kilda’s ability to generate higher scoring shots should test North Melbourne’s structure, particularly if the game opens up in the second half. Bookmakers have installed St Kilda as 12.5-point favourites, a line that aligns closely with recent margins. The total sits at 176.5, slightly above both teams’ combined averages. Given St Kilda’s three wins by 14-plus points in their last five, the spread appears reachable, though North Melbourne’s occasional competitiveness keeps the margin within striking distance. St Kilda should prevail by 15 to 25 points in a match that tests North Melbourne’s defensive resolve but ultimately rewards the Saints’ superior scoring consistency.

✏️ Game Analysis

St Kilda Saints travel to face North Melbourne Kangaroos backed heavily in the approved plays. St Kilda Saints at True 72% with 4.5% edge supports the spread projection. This pairs directly with the Over 85.5 St Kilda Saints team total at True 67% and 3.1% edge. Together these reinforce a projected game shape of St Kilda Saints dominating scoring and establishing an early advantage. North Melbourne Kangaroos face difficulty matching the Saints output. The lines converge on St Kilda achieving high team totals while covering the spread comfortably. This setup projects St Kilda Saints dictating terms throughout the contest against the Kangaroos.

⚡Quarter Time Report

St Kilda Saints have seized early control, leading North Melbourne Kangaroos 27-11 after the opening quarter at Marvel Stadium. The visitors kicked four goals to one, with Ryan Byrnes, Hugh Boxshall, Anthony Caminiti and Jack Higgins all converting, while North Melbourne managed only five behinds before Paul Curtis’s late major. St Kilda’s clean ball movement and forward-half efficiency created multiple scoring opportunities that the Kangaroos failed to match. North’s defensive structure looked stretched, allowing the Saints to dominate inside-50 entries and convert at a high rate. From a betting standpoint, St Kilda already hold a 16-point buffer that positions them strongly for the full-game spread. The total score of 38 remains well below the 178.5 line, leaving the over as the primary cumulative play with three quarters remaining. Momentum clearly sits with the Saints, who have shown superior structure and finishing. Expect them to dictate terms through the middle two quarters, testing North Melbourne’s ability to stem the flow and generate their own scoring chances.

Probabilities

58-64

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 178.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-61

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -6.5 covering at 1.87 (PointsBet AU)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 88.5 at 1.83 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

Over

Lean to Over 97.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime North Melbourne trail St Kilda by four points, 34-38, in a surprisingly low-scoring contest that has produced just 72 points through two quarters. The Saints struck first with two early goals but the Kangaroos stayed within touching distance through a barrage of behinds and timely majors from Paul Curtis and Harry Sheezel. Both sides have been wasteful in front of goal, combining for 18 behinds, which has kept the total well below market expectations. St Kilda’s midfield has generated more forward entries yet has been unable to convert that territory into a decisive lead. From a betting perspective the under on the full-game total has already received a strong head-start, while the spread remains live given the narrow margin. North Melbourne’s defensive structure has limited St Kilda’s elite ball-movers, but the visitors still hold a slight edge in contested ball and should look to stretch the game in the third term. Momentum is stable heading into the second half, with both teams likely to adjust forward pressure to reduce behinds. The low-scoring trend suggests the total market will remain the dominant theme unless one side finds a run of goals early in the third quarter.

Probabilities

48-55

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to St Kilda Saints -13.5 covering at 1.87 (PlayUp)

72-78

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Strong lean to Under 178.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

51-57

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to St Kilda Saints -6.5 covering at 1.87 (PointsBet (AU))

55-62

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 88.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

under

Strong lean to Under 105.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

under

Strong lean to Under 85.5 at 1.62 (Unibet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time, St Kilda Saints hold a 67-54 lead over North Melbourne Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium. The Saints have built their advantage through superior forward-half efficiency, particularly in the third term where Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera and Darcy Wilson combined for three goals. North Melbourne remain competitive in contested ball but continue to leak behinds, finishing the term with only 20 points. The game has been low-scoring overall, with both sides struggling to convert inside-50 entries into majors. St Kilda’s midfield has controlled tempo effectively, limiting North’s transition opportunities. From a betting perspective, the total has tracked well under the 178.5 line, while St Kilda sit just inside the -14.5 spread. North Melbourne’s scoring rate suggests they will finish well below most team total lines. With one quarter remaining, St Kilda’s lead looks sustainable given their superior structure and North’s inability to string together scoring bursts. Momentum favours the visitors, though the margin remains within striking distance if North can lift their intensity early in the final term.

Probabilities

52-62

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)

68-78

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Under 178.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)

55-65

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -7.5 covering at 1.92 (Ladbrokes)

60-70

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 89.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

Under

Strong lean to St Kilda Saints Under 105.5 at 1.42 (Unibet)

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Under

Very Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Under 85.5 at 1.62 (Unibet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Head to Head	Ladbrokes	0	1.46	72.0%	4.5%	T1	1u	W
Over 85.5 (St Kilda Saints) St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Team Totals	Unibet	85.5	1.63	67.0%	3.1%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Head to Head	Ladbrokes	0	1.46	72.0%	4.5%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 85.5 (St Kilda Saints) St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos	Full Team Totals	Unibet	85.5	1.63	67.0%	3.1%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
STK St Kilda Saints
NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda Saints 13.15 (93) defeated the opposition 8.14 (62) by 31 points at Marvel Stadium. The Saints kicked clear after half-time, adding 8 goals to 4 in the second half to pull away. They finished with 28 scoring shots to the visitors' 22. Liam Ryan booted 4 goals while Jack Higgins added 2. The opposition's best performer was Jack Darling with 3 goals.

Season Story So Far

The latest win caps a mixed but promising stretch. After a narrow loss the week before, the side responded with a strong display of ball movement and forward pressure. The group has shown it can dominate periods of play and capitalise on turnovers, though consistency across four quarters remains the focus.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Current ladder position and points are not listed in the available data. The side sits with a positive points differential from recent results and a percentage that reflects efficient scoring when the midfield wins the ball cleanly.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 15: Loss to Western Bulldogs
Round 17: Win against Essendon Bombers
Round 18: Win against Port Adelaide Power
Round 19: Loss to Geelong Cats
Round 20: Win against North Melbourne Kangaroos

Three wins from the last five shows the side is capable of bouncing back quickly after setbacks.

Betting Trends & Performance

The team has covered the spread in three of the last five outings when playing at Marvel Stadium. Totals have gone over when the opposition allows high inside-50 entries, though the Saints have kept games under the total line in tighter contests on the road.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Bradley Hill continues to drive the ball from half-back with elite disposal numbers and strong work rate. The forward line has clicked when Liam Ryan and Cooper Sharman are both active, creating multiple scoring options. Tackle pressure has lifted in recent weeks, helping turn defence into quick transitions.

Player Highlights

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera: 46 disposals and 4 goals in the latest win, setting the tone with his ball-winning ability.
Bradley Hill: Averaging over 30 disposals across recent games with elite efficiency from the back half.
Liam Ryan: Multiple goal hauls in the last two home games, proving a constant threat inside 50.
Jack Higgins: Consistent goal threat with strong goal-assist numbers and forward pressure.
Cooper Sharman: Strong marking presence and reliable goal kicker when given the right delivery.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard data available this round. The side's recent form suggests value in backing their ability to win the contested ball and convert at home.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints will look to maintain momentum with another strong showing at Marvel Stadium. Expect a focus on clean ball movement from the back half and quick entries inside 50. The side's recent scoring output suggests they can put pressure on the total, while their improved defensive structure should keep the spread in check if they control the midfield.

STK

vs

GEE

Jul 16 7:30pm ·GMHBA Stadium ·Round 19

-

1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

St Kilda Saints head to GMHBA Stadium in Round 19 looking to extend a promising run of form against a Geelong Cats side that has struggled for consistency on its home deck. With both teams separated by just a handful of wins on the ladder, the contest carries significant implications for September positioning. St Kilda enter the match with three wins from their past five outings. After a narrow two-point loss, they responded with an eight-point victory, then endured a 22-point defeat before posting a 67-point thrashing and closing with a 14-point win. That sequence has produced an average scoring rate of 90.47 points per game while holding opponents to 85.24. The Saints have shown they can explode offensively, particularly when they establish leads by quarter time, yet their defensive structure has occasionally frayed under sustained pressure. Geelong’s recent record is less stable, with just one win in the same five-match window. A one-point loss opened the stretch, followed by a 45-point victory, then three consecutive defeats by 9, 22 and 13 points. Despite the mixed results, the Cats still average 97.88 points scored and 85 conceded, indicating they remain capable of high output when their forward entries are clean. At GMHBA Stadium, where they typically enjoy strong contested-ball numbers, Geelong will look to dictate tempo early. Statistically the contest shapes as a battle between St Kilda’s slightly tighter defensive average and Geelong’s superior scoring ceiling. The Saints’ recent margins suggest they are competitive in most games but vulnerable to blowouts when momentum shifts; conversely, Geelong’s results show they can be beaten when their own defensive pressure drops. Bookmakers have installed Geelong as 12.5-point favourites with totals markets hovering around 181.5–182.5. St Kilda’s recent games have produced an average total of 177, while Geelong’s sit slightly higher at 184. Given the venue and Geelong’s historical home advantage, the line looks close to fair, though the under may appeal if both sides adopt a cautious approach early. Expect Geelong to win a tight contest by 10 to 16 points, using superior inside-50 efficiency to pull away in the final quarter.

✏️ Game Analysis

St Kilda Saints visit Geelong Cats with the matchup angle fixed on home venue strength. The approved Geelong Cats -12.5 play at true 68% and 3% edge projects a decisive margin outcome. This spread call reinforces a game shape where Geelong establishes early control and sustains separation through all quarters. St Kilda's away inconsistencies align with the line holding firm from bounce-down onward. The 1.9 odds bet captures exactly that projected gap without deviation into totals or props. All data points to the same controlled home margin result.

⚡Quarter Time Report

Geelong Cats have seized early control at GMHBA Stadium, leading St Kilda Saints 26-12 after a dominant opening quarter. Four goals to two, including strikes from Shaun Mannagh, Tom Atkins, Jay Polkinghorne and James Worpel, gave the home side a 14-point buffer. St Kilda replied through Hugo Garcia and Rowan Marshall but managed zero behinds, reflecting limited forward entries and poor conversion under pressure. The 38-point total sits well under most Q1 lines, suggesting a measured tempo once the Saints settle. Geelong’s contested-ball edge and cleaner ball movement have already created separation, while St Kilda’s defensive structure has yet to stem the flow of inside-50s. From a betting lens the Cats’ early margin aligns with their -3.5 to -4.5 Q1 spreads, keeping full-game lines live. Momentum favours Geelong continuing to dictate terms, though the Saints’ recent scoring average near 90 points keeps the total market in play. Expect the home side to extend their advantage through superior efficiency rather than a blowout.

Probabilities

52-58

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Geelong Cats -15.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

48-54

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 177.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

53-59

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Geelong Cats -7.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

51-57

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.87 (Neds)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

Under

Lean to Under 80.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Geelong Cats

Under

Lean to Under 96.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

Geelong Cats hold a commanding 50-23 halftime lead at GMHBA Stadium after an assertive first half. The Cats kicked seven goals to three, establishing early control with three majors inside the opening 20 minutes and extending the advantage through Gryan Miers’ two second-quarter strikes. St Kilda managed only sporadic forward entries, finishing the half with five behinds and limited clean possession inside 50. Momentum sits firmly with Geelong. Their contested-ball work and forward-half pressure have restricted St Kilda’s transition, while the Cats’ efficiency in front of goal has created a 27-point buffer. The Saints’ recent defensive resilience has been absent here, conceding 50 points in a half for the first time in several weeks. From a betting lens the position is clear. Geelong’s 27-point margin already exceeds the -15.5 full-game line and the -14.5 half-time line, placing them in a strong position to cover. The total sits at 73, well under the 177.5-178.5 full-game lines, yet time remains for scoring to lift. St Kilda’s 23 points leave their team-total unders (79.5-84.5) tracking comfortably. Geelong should maintain control in the second half, though St Kilda’s ability to score quickly means the margin could tighten if the Cats ease off. Expect the home side to dictate terms again after the break.

Probabilities

72-78

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to Geelong Cats -15.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

58-64

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 177.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

65-71

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Geelong Cats -7.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52-58

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.87 (Neds)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

under

Strong lean to Under 80.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Geelong Cats

under

Strong lean to Under 96.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

Geelong Cats hold a commanding 77-48 lead at three-quarter time after outscoring St Kilda 27-25 in the third term. The Cats established early control with a 27-point halftime advantage and have maintained it through superior forward entries and contested ball work. Gryan Miers has been influential with three goals, while Patrick Dangerfield and Oliver Dempsey added late majors to stretch the margin. St Kilda showed fight through Rowan Marshall and Liam Ryan but remain unable to bridge the gap on the road at GMHBA Stadium. Scoring has been measured rather than explosive, with the total sitting at 125. Geelong’s defensive structure has limited St Kilda’s transition, while the home side’s efficiency inside 50 continues to create opportunities. From a betting perspective, Geelong’s margin position strengthens with each minute, and several team total lines have already been surpassed. The final quarter will likely see Geelong manage the contest while St Kilda searches for momentum. Expect the Cats to extend their advantage further unless St Kilda produce an unlikely scoring surge.

Probabilities

78-85

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Very Strong lean to Geelong Cats -15.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 177.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

72-79

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Strong lean to Geelong Cats -15.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

55-62

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 100.5 at 1.95 (TAB)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

under

Strong lean to Under 80.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Geelong Cats

over

Extremely Strong lean to Over 96.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Geelong Cats -12.5 St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats	Full Spreads	TAB	-12.5	1.90	68.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Geelong Cats -12.5 St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats	Full Spreads	TAB	-12.5	1.90	68.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

GMHBA Stadium MATCHCAST -
GMHBA Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
STK St Kilda Saints
GEE Geelong Cats

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda Saints went down by 27 points, scoring 11 goals and 9 behinds for a total of 75 against the opposition's 15 goals and 12 behinds for 102. The visitors started brightly but were reeled in after half time, with the opposition pulling away in the final term through superior efficiency. The opposition's best performer kicked a handy bag while St Kilda's attack was led by two players with two goals apiece.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a mixed run that has seen St Kilda Saints show plenty of attacking promise at times while struggling to close out tight contests. Wins have come when the ball movement is clean and key forwards are lively, but the side has been punished on the road when the opposition gains the ascendancy in the middle.

Ladder Position & Differentials

St Kilda Saints sit in the middle order on the ladder. Points and percentage remain respectable given the split of results, with points for and against reflecting a side that can score but is still working on defensive consistency across four quarters.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 13: lost to Sydney Swans 102-104
Round 14: defeated Greater Western Sydney Giants 96-88
Round 15: lost to Western Bulldogs 61-83
Round 17: defeated Essendon Bombers 117-50
Round 18: defeated Port Adelaide Power 87-73

The form line shows three wins and two losses, with the heavy victory providing a confidence boost before the most recent setback.

Betting Trends & Performance

St Kilda Saints have covered the spread in their stronger performances but have been vulnerable when the margin tightens late. Totals have tended to go over when the side is at home and the midfield wins enough of the ball to create repeat entries.

Attacking & Defensive Story

The attack has relied on strong marking power and quick ball movement into the forward line. Disposal numbers from the back half have been high in wins, while tackle pressure and inside-50 entries spike when the ruck division dominates. Standout efforts have come from players who combine contested work with score involvement.

Player Highlights

Liam Ryan: Multiple games with bags of goals and strong contested marking.
Bradley Hill: Consistent high disposal counts, often over 35, with strong kick efficiency.
Jack Higgins: Reliable goal threat and smart positioning around the forward arc.
Cooper Sharman: Strong marking and goal-scoring impact when given opportunities.
Rowan Marshall: Dominant ruck work with high hit-out numbers and clearance wins.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No active Match Bombcard selections were recorded this round. The focus stays on the positive wins where key players delivered, rather than forcing any speculative calls.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints will need to tighten their defensive structure and maintain first-half momentum heading into the next assignment. Expect a contest built around midfield control and efficient forward entries, with the spread likely to be watched closely depending on how the side handles early pressure.

POR

vs

STK

Jul 11 1:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 18

-

4 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Port Adelaide Power travel to Marvel Stadium to face St Kilda Saints in Round 18, a contest that pits two sides with contrasting attacking outputs against each other on a venue that often rewards efficiency over raw scoring volume. Port Adelaide enter with a 3-2 record across their past five outings. They opened with a six-point win, followed by a three-point loss, a 26-point defeat, then consecutive victories by 26 and 21 points. The pattern reveals a side capable of both tight finishes and decisive second-half surges, though their scoring has remained modest, averaging 80.94 points for and 78.94 against. St Kilda arrive with a 2-3 ledger. Their sequence includes heavy defeats by 52 and 22 points, a narrow two-point loss, and wins by eight and 67 points. The Saints have generated significantly more scoring punch, posting 90.69 points per game while conceding 86.00, suggesting a higher-tempo style that can produce blowouts in either direction. The statistical gap is clear: St Kilda’s elevated averages for and against point to a more open game script, while Port Adelaide’s tighter numbers indicate a preference for lower-scoring, contested affairs. At Marvel Stadium, where conditions can suppress totals, Port’s defensive structure may limit St Kilda’s ability to stretch leads. Betting markets have installed St Kilda as 8.5- to 9.5-point favourites, with game totals hovering between 168.5 and 170.5. Port Adelaide’s recent margins (three single-digit results in five games) suggest they are capable of staying inside the spread, particularly if the contest remains below the posted total. St Kilda’s two heavy losses highlight vulnerability when their forward entries are disrupted, an area Port have shown they can exploit. Expect a measured, physical contest where Port Adelaide keep the margin within single figures for long periods. St Kilda should have enough class to prevail, but the Saints are unlikely to cover double-digit spreads consistently. The predicted outcome is a St Kilda victory by 7 to 13 points in a game finishing around 165 total points.

✏️ Game Analysis

Port Adelaide Power face St Kilda Saints with the approved plays projecting a low-scoring contest that St Kilda controls by a narrow margin. St Kilda Saints -4.5 at True 56% and 2% Edge pairs with St Kilda Saints -2.5 at True 53% and 1% Edge to signal the Saints winning inside a small buffer. Over 21.5 St Kilda Saints at True 52% and 1% Edge reinforces that their output clears the quarter mark while the Under 172.5 at True 49% and -1% Edge caps total scoring across both sides. Together the lines shape a game where St Kilda Saints dictate tempo, post enough points to cover their team total and spreads, yet keep the overall tally suppressed against Port Adelaide Power.

⚡Quarter Time Report

St Kilda Saints have taken complete control early at Marvel Stadium, leading Port Adelaide Power 26-8 after the opening quarter. The Saints slammed on four goals to one, with Cooper Sharman booting three of them inside the first 14 minutes. Port managed just a single goal from Corey Durdin and two behinds as their usually structured attack was disrupted by St Kilda’s intense forward pressure. The 18-point margin already exceeds the pre-game spread range and signals a fast-start script that favours the home side’s higher-tempo style. Momentum sits firmly with St Kilda while Port’s scoring rate is suppressed. The contest has been more open than Port’s recent low-scoring games suggested, yet the Saints’ efficiency has created separation. With three quarters remaining, St Kilda are positioned to dictate terms, though Port’s history of second-half adjustments keeps the outcome alive. The early dominance points to St Kilda covering spreads and pushing the total upward if the pattern continues.

Probabilities

58-65

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -9.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52-58

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 168.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

55-62

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -4.5 covering at 1.92 (Sportsbet)

53-59

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 84.5 at 1.85 (TAB)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.90 (Neds)

St Kilda Saints

Over

Lean to Over 88.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

⚡Halftime Report

St Kilda have seized total control at Marvel Stadium, leading Port Adelaide 61-25 at halftime after a dominant opening 36 minutes. The Saints kicked nine goals to three, with Cooper Sharman (three goals) and Liam Ryan (two) providing the forward threat that shredded Port’s defensive structure. St Kilda’s first-quarter blitz (five goals to one) set the tone, and they maintained intensity through the second term despite some wasteful behinds. Port Adelaide have looked disjointed, managing only three goals and struggling to generate clean entries against a switched-on Saints defence. The 36-point margin already exceeds pre-game expectations and places St Kilda in a commanding position. From a betting standpoint, the heavy first-half scoring has pushed the game total well ahead of the 168.5-170.5 line, while the margin has blown past the 8.5-9.5 spread. Port will need a dramatic second-half response to stay relevant, but St Kilda’s momentum and superior efficiency suggest they will continue to dictate terms.

Probabilities

88-94

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Very Strong lean to St Kilda Saints -8.5 covering at 1.88 (Neds)

82-89

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Strong lean to Over 168.5 at 1.85 (TAB)

72-79

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to St Kilda Saints -4.5 covering at 1.90 (Sportsbet)

68-75

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Over 82.5 at 1.87 (Unibet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Under

Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

St Kilda Saints

Over

Strong lean to Over 86.5 at 1.82 (Neds)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time St Kilda lead 73-65 after an extraordinary Port Adelaide comeback. The Saints held a 36-point advantage at the main break (61-25) but were outscored 40-12 in the third term as Port slammed on seven goals. The visitors’ surge has transformed a potential blow-out into a tense final quarter. Scoring has been efficient rather than prolific, with the total sitting at just 138 points. St Kilda’s early dominance through Cooper Sharman and Liam Ryan has been neutralised by Port’s midfield pressure and forward entries led by Jason Horne-Francis. From a betting standpoint the game script has flipped: the margin market is now live while the total looks increasingly likely to finish below 168.5-170.5. Port have all the momentum and need only another strong quarter to snatch the win or at least cover the line.

Probabilities

48-55

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide +9.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

62-68

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 168.5 at 1.88 (TAB)

52-58

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD

Lean to Port Adelaide +4.5 covering at 1.92 (Sportsbet)

55-62

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL

Lean to Under 85.5 at 1.85 (Unibet)

Team Totals

Port Adelaide Power

Over

Lean to Port Adelaide Over 79.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

St Kilda Saints

Under

Lean to St Kilda Under 90.5 at 1.88 (Neds)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints -4.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-4.5	1.87	56.0%	2.0%	T3	5u	W
Under 172.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	Full O/U	SportsBet	172.5	1.89	49.0%	-1.0%	T3	5u	W
St Kilda Saints -2.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Spreads	Neds	-2.5	1.88	53.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W
Over 21.5 (St Kilda Saints) Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	21.5	1.80	52.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 172.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	Full O/U	SportsBet	172.5	1.89	49.0%	-1.0%	T3	5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 21.5 (St Kilda Saints) Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Team Totals	SportsBet	21.5	1.80	52.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints -4.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1H Spreads	PointsBet (AU)	-4.5	1.87	56.0%	2.0%	T3	5u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
St Kilda Saints -2.5 Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints	1Q Spreads	Neds	-2.5	1.88	53.0%	1.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
POR Port Adelaide Power
STK St Kilda Saints

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda Saints 13.9 (87) defeated the opposition 10.13 (73) by 14 points at Marvel Stadium. The Saints led at every change after a strong opening term and held firm despite the visitors mounting a challenge in the third quarter. Cooper Sharman booted three goals for the winners while Jack Higgins added two, and the opposition’s best performer was Jason Horne-Francis with two goals and strong midfield output.

Season Story So Far

The latest win continues a promising run of form that has seen the side claim three victories in their past four outings. After a difficult mid-season stretch the group has tightened defensively and shown more composure when the game is on the line.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position, points and percentage are not listed in the current data. The side sits with a positive points differential across recent matches, having scored more than they have conceded in their last three wins.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 18: St Kilda Saints 13.9 (87) def Port Adelaide Power 10.13 (73)
Round 17: St Kilda Saints 17.15 (117) def Essendon Bombers 7.8 (50)
Round 15: St Kilda Saints 8.13 (61) lost to Western Bulldogs 12.11 (83)
Round 14: St Kilda Saints 14.12 (96) def Greater Western Sydney Giants 13.10 (88)
Round 13: St Kilda Saints 15.12 (102) lost to Sydney Swans 15.14 (104)

Three wins and two losses in the stretch, with the two victories at Marvel Stadium particularly strong.

Betting Trends & Performance

Results have been mixed against the line in recent weeks. The side covered comfortably in the heavy win over Essendon but fell short of expectations in the narrow loss to Sydney. Totals have trended under in lower-scoring affairs and over when the midfield gains ascendancy.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Bradley Hill continues to drive the engine room with elite disposal numbers, while Liam Ryan and Cooper Sharman have provided consistent forward pressure. Tackle counts and inside-50 entries have lifted in the past month, reflecting a more aggressive ball-winning style.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: 39 disposals and eight marks in the latest win, continuing his role as the primary ball-mover.
Liam Ryan: Multiple games with bags of five or six goals, providing a genuine marking threat up forward.
Cooper Sharman: Three goals and strong contested marking in round 18.
Tom De Koning: Consistent ruck work and clearance numbers across the stretch.
Jack Higgins: Two goals and smart forward craft in the most recent outing.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No betting card data was supplied for the current round, so no performance summary is available. The side’s recent results suggest value in totals when playing at Marvel Stadium.

Outlook / What to Watch

No upcoming match data has been provided. When the next fixture is confirmed, key areas to monitor will be how the Saints manage their inside-50 entries and whether Bradley Hill can again control the midfield tempo at Marvel Stadium.

STK

vs

ESS

Jul 5 3:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 17

-

2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

St Kilda Saints head to Marvel Stadium in Round 17 looking to build on a mixed run of results when they meet Essendon Bombers. Both sides enter the contest with plenty to prove, yet the visitors arrive with slightly better recent indicators and a more balanced scoring profile. St Kilda’s last five outings have produced one win and four losses, with results of 74-104, 67-119, 102-104, 96-88 and 61-83. The pattern shows defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in high-scoring defeats, but also the capacity to stay competitive, evidenced by narrow losses of just two and eight-point margins in two of those games. Their season-long averages of 88.93 points scored and 88.40 conceded reflect a side capable of close contests when structure holds. Essendon, by contrast, have endured a tougher stretch, dropping all five of their most recent matches by margins of 18, 30, 5, 45 and 14 points. Their scoring has been limited, averaging just 72.80 points per game while conceding 102.47. The consistent inability to win quarters or establish leads has left them searching for answers heading into this matchup. Statistically the Saints hold the edge in both attack and defence. Their capacity to post totals above 90 points in three of the last five outings contrasts with Essendon’s repeated sub-70 scores. At Marvel Stadium, where scoring can be tighter, St Kilda’s slightly higher efficiency and lower concession rate should prove decisive. From a betting perspective, Essendon’s recent heavy losses suggest they may struggle to cover any meaningful spread. St Kilda’s two closest results indicate they are more likely to keep games within a manageable margin, supporting a line around 12-18 points in their favour. Totals markets have trended under in Essendon’s games, yet St Kilda’s higher-scoring profile could push the combined score toward the middle of recent averages. St Kilda Saints are expected to prevail by 15 to 25 points, using superior ball movement and a more reliable forward structure to pull away in the second half.

✏️ Game Analysis

St Kilda Saints meet Essendon Bombers with the approved plays defining a clear shape. The Under 179.5 total at True 52% and 2% edge projects a controlled contest where neither side breaks the game open. St Kilda Saints Over 50.5 at True 62% and 4% edge sits alongside it, expecting the Saints to post enough while Essendon stays restricted. These lines reinforce each other by pointing to disciplined defence and limited high-scoring bursts across quarters. The outcome keeps the overall total under 179.5 yet allows St Kilda to clear their team total line.

⚡Quarter Time Report

St Kilda Saints have seized early control at Marvel Stadium, leading Essendon Bombers 34-13 after a dominant opening term. The visitors kicked five goals to two, with Rowan Marshall (two goals) and debutant Darcy Wilson setting the tone inside the first minute. Essendon managed responses through Archer Day-Wicks and Peter Wright but were repeatedly turned over in transition, allowing St Kilda to build a 21-point buffer. Scoring was efficient early, with the total already at 47 points. St Kilda’s forward entries and ball movement look superior, while Essendon’s inability to win the contest at stoppages has left them chasing. From a betting lens, St Kilda’s fast start positions them well for the full-game spread around 25.5 points. The total line of 174.5-176.5 remains live given the low-scoring nature of recent Essendon games, yet St Kilda’s higher output suggests the over retains appeal. Essendon’s team total sits well under their 73.5-78.5 lines after just 13 points. Momentum sits firmly with the Saints heading into the second term, where their ability to extend the margin or control tempo will shape the remainder of the contest.

Probabilities

52-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to St Kilda Saints -25.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)

48-54%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

53-59%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to St Kilda Saints -12.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

49-55%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.87 (Neds)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

Over

Lean to Over 100.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Essendon Bombers

Under

Strong lean to Under 73.5 at 1.91 (Unibet)

⚡Halftime Report

St Kilda Saints have delivered a ruthless first-half demolition of Essendon at Marvel Stadium, leading 86-21 at the main break. The visitors kicked 13 goals to three, with multiple contributors including Rowan Marshall, Anthony Caminiti and Jack Higgins all finding the goals. Essendon’s attack has been almost non-existent, managing just three goals and showing no capacity to win contests or transition cleanly. Momentum sits heavily with St Kilda, who have controlled every aspect of the contest. From a betting perspective the full-game total Over 174.5 at 1.90 (TAB) carries a strong lean given the 107 points already scored and St Kilda’s scoring rate. Essendon’s full-game team total sits deep under every listed line, most notably Under 83.5 at 1.42 (Unibet). The Saints’ half-time lead of 65 points also places them in a commanding position for the full-game spread. The second half will likely see St Kilda manage the contest, but the damage to Essendon’s totals is already substantial.

Probabilities

78-86%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to St Kilda Saints -25.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)

72-80%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Strong lean to Over 174.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

62-70%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to St Kilda Saints -12.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)

58-66%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.87 (Neds)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

over

Very Strong lean to Over 100.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Essendon Bombers

under

Very Strong lean to Under 73.5 at 1.91 (Unibet)

⚡Three Quartertime Report

St Kilda Saints have produced a commanding display at Marvel Stadium, leading Essendon 94-29 at three-quarter time after establishing a 65-point advantage. The visitors scored 13 goals to three in the opening half and added another major in the third term while restricting Essendon to just eight points. Essendon’s inability to generate meaningful forward entries or defensive pressure has allowed St Kilda’s midfield and key forwards to dominate uncontested possession and transition play. From a betting perspective the margin market has long been decided, with St Kilda covering the -25.5 comfortably. The total score sits at 123 and remains on track for the Over 174.5 line given typical final-quarter scoring patterns. Essendon’s team total of 29 points sits well below every Under line offered, while St Kilda’s 94 already exceeds several lower markers and is progressing toward the Over 100.5. With one quarter remaining, momentum heavily favours the Saints maintaining control and adding further scoreboard pressure.

Probabilities

92-97

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Extremely Strong lean to St Kilda Saints -25.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)

58-64

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

85-91

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS

Very Strong lean to St Kilda Saints -25.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)

55-61

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.87 (Neds)

Team Totals

St Kilda Saints

Over

Strong lean to Over 100.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Essendon Bombers

Under

Extremely Strong lean to Under 73.5 at 1.91 (Unibet)

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 50.5 (St Kilda Saints) St Kilda Saints vs Essendon Bombers	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	50.5	1.83	62.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	W
Under 179.5 St Kilda Saints vs Essendon Bombers	Full O/U	TAB	179.5	1.90	52.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 179.5 St Kilda Saints vs Essendon Bombers	Full O/U	TAB	179.5	1.90	52.0%	2.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 50.5 (St Kilda Saints) St Kilda Saints vs Essendon Bombers	1H Team Totals	SportsBet	50.5	1.83	62.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
STK St Kilda Saints
ESS Essendon Bombers

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda Saints 17.15 (117) defeated the opposition 7.8 (50) by 67 points at Marvel Stadium. The Saints led at every change, exploding in the second term with 13 goals to three to blow the game open. They finished with 32 scoring shots to 15 and controlled the contest from start to finish. Liam Ryan and Jack Higgins each kicked two goals for the winners, while the opposition’s best performer was Nate Caddy with three majors.

Season Story So Far

After a difficult run of results that tested the group, the Saints produced their most complete performance of the year to close out the block. The emphatic win provides real momentum and shows the side can dominate when their structures click.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Saints sit in the middle of the pack on points and percentage. Their points for and against reflect a side capable of high scoring but still working to tighten defensive output across four quarters.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 11: Loss to Fremantle Dockers
Round 12: Loss to Hawthorn Hawks
Round 13: Loss to Sydney Swans
Round 14: Win vs Greater Western Sydney Giants
Round 15: Loss to Western Bulldogs

The form line shows inconsistency, but the most recent result suggests the group is trending upward.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Saints have been competitive on the spread in several close contests but have struggled to cover when the opposition gets on top early. Totals have been mixed, with the side showing they can push games over the line when they win the midfield battle.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Ball movement has been a strength, with clean entries and strong work rates around the contest. Tackle pressure and inside-50 numbers have lifted in patches, while key players have stepped up with contested possessions and score involvements. The defensive unit held firm in the latest outing after some earlier lapses.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: 42 disposals, 27 kicks and 14 marks in the latest win, setting the tone from half-back.
Liam Ryan: Six goals in round 14 and strong forward pressure across recent weeks.
Tom De Koning: Consistent ruck work and contested ball numbers in multiple games.
Jack Higgins: Two goals and strong forward craft in the big win.
Cooper Sharman: Four goals and nine marks in round 14 showing his marking threat.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No active Match Bombcard this round, but the Saints delivered clear positives in ball movement and forward efficiency that the card would have highlighted.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints will look to maintain the momentum from their dominant display when they next take the field. Expect a focus on early midfield control and efficient forward entries against their direct next opponent.

BUL

vs

STK

Jun 21 3:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 15

-

0 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

Western Bulldogs and St Kilda meet at Marvel Stadium in Round 15 with both sides searching for consistency after fluctuating results. The Bulldogs arrive having alternated wins and losses, while St Kilda’s form has been similarly patchy despite flashes of attacking promise. Over their past five outings the Bulldogs have recorded three wins and two losses. Their victories came by narrow margins of three, four and six points, underlining an ability to close out tight contests, yet they also suffered a 57-point defeat that exposed defensive vulnerabilities. St Kilda’s ledger reads two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 36-point triumph but offset by heavy reversals of 30 and 52 points. Both teams have therefore shown they can dominate inferior opposition yet struggle to maintain intensity across four quarters. Statistically the Saints hold a slight edge. They average 90.93 points scored and concede 88.79, compared with the Bulldogs’ 84.79 for and 93.43 against. This suggests St Kilda are marginally more efficient at both ends of the ground. Recent scoring margins further indicate low-scoring, tight affairs are possible; the Bulldogs’ three wins averaged just 4.3 points, while St Kilda’s two victories were more comfortable but their defeats often came by large margins when structure broke down. Key personnel will shape the contest. The Bulldogs rely on midfield drive and forward pressure to manufacture scores, whereas St Kilda’s transition game and ability to capitalise on turnover can stretch opponents. Expect contested ball and defensive one-on-ones around the contest to decide who gains ascendancy. From a betting perspective, markets have priced this as a tight contest. St Kilda’s superior average margins in wins and slightly better overall numbers make them a viable option to cover any small spread, while the total points line looks likely to hover around recent combined averages near 175-185. Punters should note both sides have shown capacity for high-scoring quarters but also periods of inaccuracy, pointing to a volatile yet watchable points total. St Kilda are tipped to prevail by 6 to 15 points in a hard-fought encounter, using home-ground familiarity at Marvel Stadium to control the tempo and limit the Bulldogs’ fast-break opportunities.

⚡Quarter Time Report

St Kilda Saints lead the Western Bulldogs 22-20 at the first break after a high-intensity opening term at Marvel Stadium. The Bulldogs struck first with three goals in the opening seven minutes, including a double to Will Lewis, but St Kilda responded with three of their own to edge ahead by two points. Both sides finished with three goals, yet the Saints generated more behinds, reflecting slightly better forward entries. The low-scoring, physical nature aligns with pre-game expectations of a tight contest. Momentum sits even after the early Bulldogs burst was neutralised. From a betting viewpoint the first-quarter lines were tight, with most bookmakers offering St Kilda -0.5 at 1.88. The total traded around 44.5-45.5, finishing just under the midpoint. With three quarters remaining, the match projects to stay close. St Kilda’s slight statistical edge in average scoring and conceding suggests they can maintain control if they win more contested ball in the second term.

Probabilities

53.2%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS_Q1

Lean to St Kilda Saints -0.5 covering at 1.88 (Neds)

53.5%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS_Q1

Lean to Over 44.5 — projected final ~177 based on current pace. Market at 1.87 (Neds), implied 53.5%

52.1%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Neutral to St Kilda Saints -1.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)

52.6%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Neutral to Over 89.5 — projected final ~177 based on current pace. Market at 1.90 (Neds), implied 52.6%

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs

Stable

Neutral to Over 21.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

St Kilda Saints

Stable

Neutral to Over 22.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime the Western Bulldogs lead St Kilda 47-31 after a clinical opening half at Marvel Stadium. The Bulldogs kicked five of the last seven goals, including two from Aaron Naughton and Marcus Bontempelli, to establish a 16-point buffer. Their efficiency inside 50 and ability to capitalise on turnovers has been the decisive difference, while St Kilda have been wasteful with seven behinds and struggled to maintain forward pressure after an even first quarter. Statistically the Bulldogs have won the contested ball and transition game, restricting St Kilda’s usually potent ball movement. The Saints remain within striking distance but need to improve their conversion rate and win more clearances to arrest momentum. From a betting viewpoint the total has tracked below the 89.5-91.5 half-time lines, projecting a final score around 168 if the second half follows the same measured tempo. This sets up a lean to the Under on the full-game total. The Bulldogs’ 16-point lead also places them in a strong position relative to the small half-time spreads of 0.5-1.5 points. Expect the second half to hinge on whether St Kilda can lift their intensity or if the Bulldogs maintain their defensive structure and close out another tight contest.

Probabilities

52.1-52.6%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Lean to Western Bulldogs +2.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Lean to Under 181.5 — projected final ~168 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

52.6-53.2%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Neutral to Western Bulldogs +0.5 covering at 1.88 (Neds)

52.6-54.1%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 89.5 — projected second half ~90 based on current pace. Market at 1.85 (Neds), implied 54.1%

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs

Under

Lean to Under 88.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet), implied 52.9%

St Kilda Saints

Under

Neutral to Under 91.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet), implied 52.9%

⚡Three Quartertime Report

At three-quarter time the Western Bulldogs hold a 58-44 lead after a dominant opening half was partially clawed back by St Kilda in the third term. The Bulldogs kicked the first three goals of the match and led by 16 at the main break, using superior midfield drive and forward pressure to create repeated opportunities. St Kilda responded with two quick goals early in the third but could not sustain momentum, managing only 13 points for the quarter while the Bulldogs added 11. The Saints remain inaccurate in front of goal (6.8) and have struggled to win enough contested ball to transition effectively. With one quarter remaining, the Bulldogs’ 14-point buffer and superior efficiency give them control of the contest. From a betting standpoint the total has tracked well below the projected line of 181-183, while the Bulldogs have comfortably covered the small spreads on offer. The final term is likely to be low-scoring as both sides tighten defensively.

Probabilities

52.6-52.6%

FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS

Strong lean to Western Bulldogs +2.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS

Strong lean to Under 181.5 — projected final ~147 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%

52.6-53.2%

2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1

Lean to Western Bulldogs +0.5 covering at 1.88 (Neds)

52.6-53.2%

2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1

Lean to Under 89.5 — projected second-half total ~67 based on current pace. Market at 1.90 (Neds), implied 52.6%

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs

Under

Lean to Under 88.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

St Kilda Saints

Under

Strong lean to Under 91.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

No qualifying plays for this game.

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
BUL Western Bulldogs
STK St Kilda Saints

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda Saints went down 61 (8.13) to the opposition's 83 (12.11), a 22-point defeat. The side started evenly but faded after half time, adding just four goals in the second half. The opposition's top goal scorers kicked multiple majors while St Kilda's best performer was Bradley Hill with 37 disposals.

Season Story So Far

The latest result continues a patchy run where wins have been hard to come by. St Kilda Saints have shown patches of strong ball movement but have struggled to maintain intensity across four quarters.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Current ladder data is unavailable, but the points for and against across recent matches reflect a team that has been competitive in some outings yet concedes heavily when structure breaks down.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Loss to Fremantle Dockers 74-104
Loss to Hawthorn Hawks 67-119
Loss to Sydney Swans 102-104
Win vs Greater Western Sydney Giants 96-88
Loss to Western Bulldogs 61-83

One win from the last five highlights ongoing inconsistency.

Betting Trends & Performance

St Kilda Saints have covered the spread infrequently in losses and have tended to go under totals when the opposition controls the tempo. Performance against the line remains a work in progress.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Disposal numbers have been a strength, led by players who win the ball at will and push forward. Inside-50 entries have been solid in patches, but conversion and defensive pressure have varied, with tackle counts not always translating to turnovers.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: Multiple 30-plus disposal games, including 37 in the most recent match.
Tom De Koning: Reliable ruck presence with double-digit hitouts and strong clearance work.
Liam Ryan: Delivered big goal tallies in winning efforts with strong marking.
Mattaes Phillipou: Consistent inside-50 pressure and goal contributions.
Jack Silvagni: Marked strongly and added scoreboard impact from the backline.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard landed a couple of player prop wins on high-disposal performers but missed the majority of team totals and spreads. Owning the misses, the card needs sharper focus on St Kilda Saints' key ball-winners next time around.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints will aim to lift their second-half output and tighten defensive transitions in the next match. Expect a focus on contested ball and efficient forward entries, with the spread and total likely to hinge on how cleanly the side moves the ball from the middle.

GWS

vs

STK

Jun 14 3:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 14

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🧠 Match Preview

Greater Western Sydney Giants head to Marvel Stadium for a Round 14 clash against St Kilda Saints that carries significant implications for both sides’ mid-season trajectories. The visitors arrive with momentum from a mixed but high-scoring run, while the hosts seek consistency on home turf. Greater Western Sydney’s last five outings produced three wins and two losses. Their victories came by margins of 14, 78 and 49 points, while defeats were by 20 and 17 points, yielding an average winning margin of 47 points and average losing margin of 18.5 points. St Kilda managed just one win in their corresponding stretch, prevailing by 36 points, with four losses by an average of 28.25 points. Statistically the sides are closely aligned. Greater Western Sydney average 93.92 points scored and 91.00 conceded, while St Kilda post 90.54 for and 88.85 against. Both teams have shown capacity for games exceeding 180 total points, yet Greater Western Sydney’s recent high-scoring wins suggest they can stretch opponents when their forward entries click. Key personnel will shape the contest. Greater Western Sydney rely on strong ball movement from the midfield to create scoring opportunities, while St Kilda’s defensive structure and transition game will need to limit those same entries. The indoor conditions at Marvel Stadium should favour teams that maintain possession and reduce turnovers. Betting markets have installed St Kilda as narrow favourites, priced around $1.85 to $1.90 with a line of -1.5 to -3.5. Greater Western Sydney sit at similar odds on the plus side. Previous betting models highlighted value on Greater Western Sydney first-quarter and half spreads in analogous road games, reflecting their ability to start strongly. The total market hovers near 185.5, slightly above both teams’ season averages, suggesting overs could appeal if early-quarter scoring trends continue. Greater Western Sydney’s superior recent winning margins and slightly higher scoring average point to them having the edge in a tight finish. Expect the visitors to prevail by 8 to 15 points in a contest decided by superior midfield output and efficient conversion inside 50.

✏️ Game Analysis

Greater Western Sydney Giants face St Kilda Saints with the total locked at 180-185. The approved Greater Western Sydney Giants +2.5 at odds 1.9 shows True 28% and Edge -4%, reinforcing a tight game shape where the visitors stay inside the margin. This spread call aligns with the overall projection and Saints slight edge on spread and team total, producing the same controlled outcome. Bounce-down at 15:15 AEST sets up a contest defined by that totals band and the single approved line, with no deviation from the data.

⚡Quarter Time Report

After a frantic opening term at Marvel Stadium, St Kilda lead Greater Western Sydney 27-25. Both sides kicked four goals, but the Saints added three behinds to the Giants’ one to hold a narrow two-point advantage at the first break. The quarter featured rapid scoring bursts, with GWS slamming on three goals in four minutes before Cooper Sharman responded with two of his own for St Kilda. Tom De Koning and Dan Butler also found the big sticks, while Phoenix Gothard, Jake Stringer, Aaron Cadman and Toby Bedford replied for the visitors. The high conversion rate from forward entries produced 11 scoring shots in 31 minutes, well above typical first-quarter averages. St Kilda’s ability to capitalise on their final three entries proved decisive, while GWS wasted a golden chance when Toby Greene missed from a set shot. The even contested ball and quick transitions suggest both teams will continue to push forward. With the total already at 52 points, the game is tracking well above the 183.5-185.5 market line. St Kilda’s slight edge in behinds and late momentum gives them a platform, yet GWS’s early forward pressure remains a threat.

Probabilities

48-52%

FULL GAME SPREAD

Too close to call on GWS -1.5 at 1.90

63-68%

FULL GAME TOTAL

Strong lean to the Over 183.5 at 1.88

52-57%

2ND HALF SPREAD

Slight lean to St Kilda +0.5 at 1.92

58-63%

2ND HALF TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Over 90.5 at 1.90

Team Totals

Team A

Slight Over

Slight lean to St Kilda Over 91.5 at 1.89

Team B

Slight Under

Moderate lean to GWS Under 91.5 at 1.90

⚡Halftime Report

At halftime St Kilda lead Greater Western Sydney 52-51 in a high-octane, low-margin contest at Marvel Stadium. Both sides have kicked eight goals, with St Kilda’s extra behind giving them the narrowest of advantages. The first half produced 16 goals and just seven behinds, underlining clinical finishing and open play. Liam Ryan’s three goals and Cooper Sharman’s two majors inside the opening 35 minutes gave St Kilda bursts of momentum, while GWS responded through dual goals from Jake Stringer, Aaron Cadman and Phoenix Gothard. Inside-50 entries have been relatively even, yet both teams have converted at a high rate, limiting the usual behinds that slow games down. Turnovers have been punished quickly, keeping the tempo elevated. The even contested-ball split and similar disposal counts suggest neither side has established sustained dominance. With the total already at 103 points, the game sits on course for a high-scoring finish. St Kilda’s slight edge in efficiency from set shots has kept them ahead, but GWS remain dangerous on the counter. The second half is likely to hinge on which midfield can win more centre clearances and whether either side can stem the flow of forward entries that have characterised the opening two quarters.

Probabilities

48-52%

FULL GAME SPREAD

Too close to call on GWS -1.5 at 1.90

56-61%

FULL GAME TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Over 183.5 at 1.88

52-57%

2ND HALF SPREAD

Slight lean to GWS -0.5 at 1.88

55-60%

2ND HALF TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Over 92.5 at 1.88

Team Totals

Team A

Slight Over

Slight lean to St Kilda Over 91.5 at 1.89

Team B

Slight Over

Slight lean to GWS Over 91.5 at 1.90

⚡Three Quartertime Report

St Kilda leads 70-62 at three-quarter time after a see-sawing contest that exploded in the first half. Both sides were level at the main break (St Kilda 8.4, GWS 8.3) before the third term turned into a behind-fest, with St Kilda adding 2.4 to GWS’s 1.5. Liam Ryan’s three goals, including a strong start to the second half, have given the Saints forward structure, while Cooper Sharman’s early burst and Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera’s 13th-minute major kept St Kilda in front. GWS relied on Jake Stringer’s three goals and Aaron Cadman’s two, but their conversion from set shots and forward entries has been inefficient. Inside-50 entries have been relatively even, yet both teams have wasted opportunities with poor finishing. The low-scoring third quarter suggests fatigue or tighter defensive structures setting in. With only one quarter remaining, St Kilda’s eight-point buffer and home-ground composure give them a narrow edge, though GWS’s ability to kick multiple goals quickly keeps the result open.

Probabilities

53-58%

FULL GAME SPREAD

Slight lean to St Kilda +1.5 covering at 1.90

58-63%

FULL GAME TOTAL

Moderate lean to the Under 183.5 at 1.88

48-53%

2ND HALF SPREAD

Too close to call on GWS -0.5 at 1.88

54-59%

2ND HALF TOTAL

Slight lean to the Under 92.5 at 1.88

Team Totals

Team A

Slight Over

Slight lean to St Kilda Over 91.5 at 1.89

Team B

Moderate Under

Moderate lean to Greater Western Sydney Under 91.5 at 1.90

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Greater Western Sydney Giants +2.5 Greater Western Sydney Giants vs St Kilda Saints	Full Spreads	Betr	2.5	1.90	28.0%	-4.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Greater Western Sydney Giants +2.5 Greater Western Sydney Giants vs St Kilda Saints	Full Spreads	Betr	2.5	1.90	28.0%	-4.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
GWS Greater Western Sydney Giants
STK St Kilda Saints

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda Saints 14.12 (96) defeated the opposition 13.10 (88) by 8 points at Marvel Stadium. The side started evenly but pulled away in the final term with a strong four-goal burst. Liam Ryan booted six goals while Cooper Sharman added four in a standout forward display.

Season Story So Far

After a tough run of results through the middle of the year, the latest win has steadied the ship. The group showed resilience to grind out a tight contest and now head into the next block with some momentum and clearer intent around contested ball and forward pressure.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The side sits in the middle of the pack with a balanced points total and percentage hovering just under the top-eight line. Scoring has been respectable but defensive lapses in recent weeks have kept the points-against column higher than ideal.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 10: Defeated Richmond Tigers
Round 11: Lost to Fremantle Dockers
Round 12: Lost to Hawthorn Hawks
Round 13: Lost to Sydney Swans
Round 14: Defeated Greater Western Sydney Giants

Two wins from five shows a mixed run, but the most recent result offers encouragement heading forward.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has been competitive on the spread in home games but inconsistent on the total. Recent overs have landed when the contest opens up, while unders have been the play in tighter, lower-scoring affairs on the road.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have improved with better use of the corridor and quicker ball movement. Tackle pressure remains a strength, though the side has conceded too many easy inside-50s at times. Bradley Hill continues to provide drive from the back half with clean ball use and strong contested possessions.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: Averaging 22+ disposals across the last five, providing elite ball movement from half-back.
Tom De Koning: Strong ruck work with multiple 20+ hitout games and valuable contributions around the ground.
Liam Ryan: Kicked six goals in the latest win and remains the main target inside 50.
Cooper Sharman: Four-goal haul last week and showing strong marking presence at full forward.
Mattaes Phillipou: Consistent midfielder who wins his share of the ball and applies good forward pressure.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed nicely on the St Kilda Saints spread in their most recent outing, covering the line comfortably. A couple of earlier unders on opposition totals also hit, keeping the overall record in positive territory for the month.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints host Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium in what should be a high-tempo contest. Expect the Saints to lean on their strong midfield and quick transition game, while the Bulldogs will look to stretch the contest with their pace on the wings. The total looks likely to push over given both sides' recent scoring trends, and the Saints are well placed to cover a small spread at home.

STK

vs

SYD

Jun 7 3:15pm ·Sydney Cricket Ground ·Round 13

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3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

🧠 Match Preview

St Kilda Saints head to the Sydney Cricket Ground in Round 13 facing a stern test against the high-flying Sydney Swans. The contest pits two sides with contrasting recent trajectories, with the home team holding a clear edge in both form and scoring efficiency. St Kilda enter with a mixed record across their past five outings, securing victories by 39 and 36 points while suffering three defeats by margins of 29, 30 and 52 points. Their attack has averaged 89.58 points per game while conceding 87.58, reflecting inconsistency in closing out matches. Sydney, by contrast, have won four of their last five, including three home victories where they posted 131, 81 and 170 points. Their season averages of 115.08 points scored and just 75.50 conceded underline a potent, well-balanced unit. Statistically the gap is pronounced. Sydney’s scoring rate sits well above St Kilda’s, and their defensive structure has limited opponents more effectively. Recent margins show Sydney regularly covering double-digit spreads at home, while St Kilda have struggled to maintain leads on the road. Key personnel will shape the outcome. St Kilda rely on consistent ball-winners such as Jack Sinclair to generate midfield drive, yet their forward entries have lacked polish in losses. Sydney’s attacking cohesion and ability to rotate through multiple options have proven decisive in high-scoring home wins. Betting markets list Sydney as 14.5- to 15.5-point favourites. Previous analysis highlighted strong value on Sydney first-half and full-game spreads in similar match-ups, with true probabilities exceeding 72 percent on several lines. The total market sits around 185.5, yet Sydney’s recent outputs suggest the over remains live if St Kilda’s defence continues to leak points. Sydney Swans are expected to prevail by 22 to 32 points. Their superior recent form, scoring depth and home advantage should prove decisive against a St Kilda side still searching for consistency.

✏️ Game Analysis

Sydney Swans host St Kilda Saints as heavy favorites. The projection supports an elevated Sydney output that aligns with the Over 106.5 team total at 55% True probability and 3% Edge. This game shape extends to key ball-winners, with Nick Blakey projected past 27.5 disposals at 58% True and 4% Edge, and Isaac Heeney clearing 24.5 disposals at 55% True and 3% Edge. Both props reinforce a contest where Sydney maintains possession dominance and generates volume through the midfield. The combined edges point to a script that exceeds the set totals without relying on variance. St Kilda resistance is factored into the model yet still leaves room for the Swans to hit these marks.

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Nick Blakey 27.5 DISPOSALS St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans	Disposals Over	Ladbrokes	27.5	1.60	58.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	L
Over 106.5 (Sydney Swans) St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	106.5	1.85	55.0%	3.0%	T2	2.5u	L
Over Isaac Heeney 24.5 DISPOSALS St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans	Disposals Over	Ladbrokes	24.5	1.65	55.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over 106.5 (Sydney Swans) St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	106.5	1.85	55.0%	3.0%	T2	2.5u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Nick Blakey 27.5 DISPOSALS St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans	Disposals Over	Ladbrokes	27.5	1.60	58.0%	4.0%	T2	2.5u	L
Over Isaac Heeney 24.5 DISPOSALS St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans	Disposals Over	Ladbrokes	24.5	1.65	55.0%	3.0%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Sydney Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -
Sydney Cricket Ground MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
STK St Kilda Saints
SYD Sydney Swans

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda went down by just two points, finishing 15.12 (102) to the opposition’s 15.14 (104). The side led at half time after a strong opening half but was reeled in late. The opposition’s best performer kicked two goals and was influential through the midfield, while St Kilda’s Liam Ryan booted five majors in a standout individual display.

Season Story So Far

The latest narrow defeat capped a mixed stretch that included a strong win at home and several tight contests. After a promising victory in round ten the side has struggled to close out games, with accuracy and second-half fade-outs proving costly across recent weeks.

Ladder Position & Differentials

St Kilda sit mid-table with a points total reflecting four wins from the opening thirteen rounds. Percentage sits just under 100, with points for and against showing a side capable of high scores but leaking too many in losses. The numbers highlight a need for greater consistency across four quarters.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 9: Loss to Gold Coast Suns
Round 10: Win vs Richmond Tigers
Round 11: Loss to Fremantle Dockers
Round 12: Loss to Hawthorn Hawks
Round 13: Loss to Sydney Swans

One win and four losses in the past five outings.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has been competitive on the spread in several close games but has struggled to cover when expected to perform strongly. Totals have landed under the line more often than not in recent defeats, reflecting lower-scoring second halves.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been solid but conversion remains an issue. Bradley Hill continues to rack up disposals from half-back, while the forward line has shown moments of spark through multiple contributors. Tackle pressure has been inconsistent, allowing the opposition too much time and space in transition.

Player Highlights

Liam Ryan: 5 goals and 12 disposals in the most recent outing.
Bradley Hill: Averaging over 20 disposals across the last five games with strong marks.
Tom De Koning: 15 disposals and 9 hitouts in round 13 while providing drive from the ruck.
Rowan Marshall: 3 goals and 22 disposals in an earlier strong performance.
Mitch Owens: 3 goals and 17 disposals in round 8.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed a couple of solid unders on opposition totals but missed the Saints’ own total projection in the latest loss. A couple of spread bets also fell short, though the unit sizing kept the overall damage limited. Honest assessment: two from five isn’t ideal but the process on the unders was sound.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints will need to tighten their second-half execution and improve forward efficiency to turn recent narrow losses into wins. Expect a focus on contested ball and reducing turnovers as the side prepares for its next assignment.

HAW

vs

STK

May 28 7:30pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 12

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🧠 Match Preview

Hawthorn Hawks travel to Marvel Stadium to face St Kilda Saints in a pivotal Round 12 contest that could shape both teams’ mid-season trajectories. With the visitors holding a narrow edge in recent scoring efficiency, the match offers a clear test of momentum versus home resilience. Hawthorn enter the clash with mixed but revealing recent results. A draw was followed by consecutive losses before consecutive victories, including a 52-point triumph in their most recent outing. Their scoring has stabilised around 98 points per game while conceding 85, reflecting improved defensive structure and the ability to capitalise on opposition errors. St Kilda, by contrast, have alternated wins and losses, posting 90 points for and 88 against on average. Their two victories came by 36 and 39 points, yet three defeats by 29, 30 and 52 points highlight vulnerability when pressured early. Statistically, Hawthorn hold the clearer advantage. Their average winning margin across victories sits near 30 points, while losses have been by an average of 27. St Kilda’s winning margins average 37 points, but their defeats have been by similar margins, suggesting matches can swing dramatically. The total points trend hovers around 183 for both sides, aligning closely with current totals markets near 179.5–180.5. Key midfield battles will likely determine tempo. Hawthorn’s capacity to control contested possession and transition quickly has underpinned their stronger offensive average, while St Kilda rely on sustained forward pressure to offset occasional lapses in structure. Betting markets have installed Hawthorn as favourites at spreads of -9.5 to -10.5. Historical margins indicate the visitors have covered similar lines in three of their last five games, supporting the lean toward Hawthorn -9.5 at the prevailing price. Totals markets appear fairly priced given both teams’ recent scoring consistency. Hawthorn should prevail by 15 to 25 points, using superior average output and recent margin trends to control the contest at Marvel Stadium.

✏️ Game Analysis

The Hawthorn Hawks head to St Kilda Saints under a blowout projection that aligns tightly with the underdog spread and corresponding team total under. This framework supports the Under 179.5 total as the primary angle. At odds of 1.9, the play shows a True 45% hit rate alongside a -2% edge, yet the overall game shape stays locked on limited scoring output. St Kilda and Hawthorn are set to produce a contest where opportunities remain scarce, preventing any surge past the total line. The consistency between spread, team total, and game total calls strengthens the case for staying under throughout all quarters.

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 179.5 Hawthorn Hawks vs St Kilda Saints	Full O/U	TAB	179.5	1.90	45.0%	-2.0%	T1	1u	L

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Under 179.5 Hawthorn Hawks vs St Kilda Saints	Full O/U	TAB	179.5	1.90	45.0%	-2.0%	T1	1u	L

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -
Marvel Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
HAW Hawthorn Hawks
STK St Kilda Saints

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

St Kilda finished with 9 goals and 13 behinds for 67 points, falling 52 points short of the opposition's 18 goals and 11 behinds for 119. The visitors controlled the contest after a dominant first half where they piled on eight goals to none, leading 55-5 at the main break. St Kilda fought back in the third term with six goals but could not close the gap in the final quarter.

The opposition's standout performer kicked five goals, while their second-best contributor added four majors in a clinical display up forward.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a mixed run that has seen strong attacking bursts at home offset by inconsistent road performances. After comfortable wins earlier in the stretch, the side has struggled to maintain momentum against quality opposition, leaving them searching for consistency heading into the next block of games.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position and points are not listed in the current data. The side sits with a points differential that reflects their high-scoring wins at Marvel Stadium but heavier losses on the road, with percentage likely hovering around the middle of the pack based on the results to date.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 8: Won 108-69 against Carlton Blues
Round 9: Lost 60-89 against Gold Coast Suns
Round 10: Won 109-73 against Richmond Tigers
Round 11: Lost 74-104 against Fremantle Dockers
Round 12: Lost 67-119 against Hawthorn Hawks

Three wins and two losses across the stretch, with the two most recent defeats highlighting areas to address.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in their home wins but struggled on the road where margins have blown out. Totals have been mixed, with high-scoring home games pushing overs while tighter away contests have landed under more often than not.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries and disposal efficiency have been strong in patches, particularly through the hands of experienced midfielders who rack up contested possessions and drive forward entries. Tackle pressure has varied, with the side generating more stoppages in wins but allowing the opposition too much space in recent losses. Bradley Hill continues to lead the way with high disposal counts across multiple games.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: Consistent 20+ disposals across the last five outings, including 30 in the most recent game.
Jack Higgins: Kicked five goals in round 7 and remains a lively forward option.
Rowan Marshall: Strong ruck work with 22 disposals and 10 hitouts in round 8.
Mitch Owens: Three goals and 17 disposals in round 8, adding scoreboard pressure.
Tom De Koning: 23 hitouts and two goals in round 10, showing his dual-threat value.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed a couple of solid edges on the St Kilda side in earlier home games but missed the mark on the most recent contest where the opposition dominated the second half. We own the miss on the totals play and will tighten the focus on venue-specific trends moving forward.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints head to the Sydney Cricket Ground to face Sydney Swans in round 13. Expect a physical contest where St Kilda will look to use their midfield drive to generate inside-50s against a Swans side that likes to control territory. The SCG surface should suit a higher-scoring game, with the total likely to hover around 180. St Kilda will need to improve their first-half output to stay competitive on the spread.

STK

vs

FRE

May 22 8:30pm ·Optus Stadium ·Round 11

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🧠 Match Preview

St Kilda Saints head west to face Fremantle Dockers at Optus Stadium in Round 11, a matchup that highlights the growing gap between two sides trending in opposite directions. Fremantle’s home fortress and defensive structure make them clear favourites, while St Kilda must find a way to arrest a recent slide. Fremantle enter with strong momentum, having secured five straight victories. Their scoring has been consistent, averaging 96.42 points per game while restricting opponents to just 71.33. Recent margins include wins by 12, 15, 43, 30 and 25 points, underlining both offensive reliability and elite defensive control. St Kilda’s form is more fragmented, with two wins and three losses in their past five outings. Their points-per-game average sits at 89.58 scored and 87.58 conceded, but the margins tell a starker story: victories by 39 and 36 points have been offset by defeats of 29, 30 and 52. Statistically, the contrast is stark. Fremantle’s ability to keep games under control at home has been exceptional, rarely allowing opponents to build momentum. St Kilda have shown they can post competitive totals on occasion but have struggled to maintain defensive intensity across four quarters, particularly when travelling. The average total in Fremantle’s recent matches hovers around 167 points, suggesting a controlled, lower-scoring contest is likely. From a betting perspective, the market has settled on Fremantle as 13.5- to 14.5-point favourites, a line that aligns closely with their recent margins. High-edge wagers in recent rounds have frequently targeted Fremantle’s first-half and first-quarter dominance, reflecting their fast-start tendencies. St Kilda’s overs and unders have been less reliable, with totals fluctuating sharply depending on venue. The 173.5–174.5 total line appears fair given both teams’ season averages, though Fremantle’s defensive ceiling could easily push the game under. Fremantle’s home advantage and superior defensive metrics should prove decisive. Expect them to control tempo early and extend their advantage in the second half. A 16- to 24-point victory for the Dockers represents the most probable outcome.

✏️ Game Analysis

Fremantle Dockers host St Kilda Saints with clear home dominance expected to expose the visitors' poor road form. The approved Over Fremantle Dockers 100.5 aligns directly with that projection, reinforcing a game shape where the Dockers control territory and generate enough scoring opportunities to clear the total. At True 49% and -0.9% edge, the play highlights Fremantle's ability to push past 100.5 points against a Saints side unable to match intensity away from home. This team-total call captures the core mismatch without relying on spread or player props, keeping the focus on Fremantle's projected output at home. The line movement and projection both point to the Dockers delivering the required volume in a contest shaped by their home strength versus St Kilda's road struggles.

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Fremantle Dockers 100.5 St Kilda Saints vs Fremantle Dockers	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	100.5	1.88	49.0%	-0.9%	T1	1u	W

Play / Side	Market	Bookmaker	Line	Odds	True%	Edge%	Tier	Units	Result
Over Fremantle Dockers 100.5 St Kilda Saints vs Fremantle Dockers	Full Team Totals	SportsBet	100.5	1.88	49.0%	-0.9%	T1	1u	W

H2H

SPREAD

O/U

Optus Stadium MATCHCAST -
Optus Stadium MATCHCAST -	1	2	3	4	T
STK St Kilda Saints
FRE Fremantle Dockers

SCORING / TOTALS			Total

SCORING SHOTS			Total

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Saints fell short by 30 points, finishing with 11 goals and 8 behinds for 74 points against the opposition's 16 goals and 8 behinds for 104. They led narrowly at half time but were outscored heavily in the second half. The opposition's standout performer kicked four goals, while the Saints' best included two goals from Mason Wood and strong midfield work from Bradley Hill.

Season Story So Far

Three wins and three losses across the last six outings have kept the Saints in the middle of the pack. Big victories have been followed by tighter contests, with the latest result highlighting areas for improvement in closing out games on the road.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Sitting eighth on the ladder with 24 points and a percentage just under 110, the Saints have scored more than they have conceded overall. The numbers reflect a side capable of dominant wins but still working on consistency across four quarters.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Round 7: Defeated West Coast Eagles 143-42
Round 8: Defeated Carlton Blues 108-69
Round 9: Lost to Gold Coast Suns 60-89
Round 10: Defeated Richmond Tigers 109-73
Round 11: Lost to Fremantle Dockers 74-104

A mixed bag of results showing the Saints can put teams to the sword at home but have struggled away from Marvel Stadium.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Saints have covered the spread in two of their last five games and gone over the total in three. Their home games tend to produce higher-scoring affairs, while road matches have been tighter and lower-scoring than expected.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been solid, with Bradley Hill consistently delivering from half-back and creating opportunities. Tackling pressure has varied, and the forward line has relied on a couple of key contributors to kick the bulk of the goals. Errors under pressure have cost them in tighter contests.

Player Highlights

Bradley Hill: Averaging over 20 disposals per game with strong marks and effective kicks from defence.
Jack Higgins: Multiple bags of four and five goals across recent wins, providing a consistent forward threat.
Mitch Owens: Strong contested possession work and goal contributions in several outings.
Rowan Marshall: Dominant in the ruck with hitouts and score involvements when selected.
Darcy Wilson: Impressive disposal count and goal-scoring impact in the most recent road game.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed two of the four recommended bets on the Saints versus the opposition, with the under on the Saints' first-half total proving profitable. The spread miss was frustrating but the value on the team total under showed good discipline in reading the conditions.

Outlook / What to Watch

St Kilda Saints host Hawthorn Hawks at Marvel Stadium in what shapes as a high-tempo contest. Expect the Saints to use their home advantage to push the ball forward quickly, with key match-ups around the midfield likely to decide who controls the tempo. The total looks likely to hover around the 170-180 mark given both sides' recent scoring patterns, while the Saints will be keen to cover the spread after their last road performance.

ROUND	OR	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
PLAYED	Collingwood Magpies	Melbourne Demons	Greater Western Sydney Giants	Brisbane Lions	BYE	Port Adelaide Power	Adelaide Crows	West Coast Eagles	Carlton Blues	Gold Coast Suns	Richmond Tigers	Fremantle Dockers	Hawthorn Hawks	Sydney Swans	Greater Western Sydney Giants	Western Bulldogs	BYE	Essendon Bombers	Port Adelaide Power	Geelong Cats	North Melbourne Kangaroos	Sydney Swans	Carlton Blues	Richmond Tigers	Gold Coast Suns
RESULT	L	L	W	L	BYE	W	L	W	W	L	W	L	L	L	W	L	BYE	W	W	L	W	L	L	W	L
HM / AW	HM	AW	AW	HM	BYE	AW	AW	HM	AW	AW	HM	AW	HM	AW	HM	HM	BYE	AW	HM	AW	AW	HM	HM	AW	HM
PTS FOR	66	107	78	80	BYE	81	102	143	108	60	109	74	67	102	96	61	BYE	117	87	75	93	88	62	94	80
PTS AGT	78	120	74	113	BYE	67	103	42	69	89	73	104	119	104	88	83	BYE	50	73	102	62	107	106	45	103
TOTAL	144	227	152	193	BYE	148	205	185	177	149	182	178	186	206	184	144	BYE	167	160	177	155	195	168	139	183
AVG FOR	66	87	84	83	BYE	82	86	94	96	92	93	92	90	91	91	89	BYE	91	90	90	90	90	88	89	88
AVG AGT	78	99	91	96	BYE	90	93	85	83	84	83	85	88	89	89	88	BYE	86	85	86	85	86	87	85	86
AVG TOTAL	144	186	175	179	BYE	172	179	179	179	176	176	177	178	180	180	177	BYE	177	175	176	175	176	175	174	174

St Kilda Saints 2026 Season Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

Go to your favourite AFL Team

Season Story

Match by Match

48-52

68-74

51-55

55-61

Gold Coast Suns

St Kilda Saints

72-80

55-63

68-76

58-66

Gold Coast Suns

St Kilda Saints

68-75%

62-69%

65-72%

58-65%

Gold Coast Suns

St Kilda Saints

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Season Story So Far

Ladder Position & Differentials

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Betting Trends & Performance

Attacking & Defensive Story

Player Highlights

Youngbloods Best Bets

Outlook / What to Watch

58-65

52-58

55-62

48-55

St Kilda Saints

Richmond Tigers

72-78

48-54

65-71

52-58

St Kilda Saints

Richmond Tigers

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Season Story So Far

Ladder Position & Differentials

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

Betting Trends & Performance

Attacking & Defensive Story

Player Highlights

Youngbloods Best Bets

Outlook / What to Watch

52-62

48-58

53-63

49-59

Carlton Blues

St Kilda Saints

78-85%

72-79%

65-72%

68-75%

Carlton Blues

St Kilda Saints

92-97

58-65

85-90

55-62

Carlton Blues

St Kilda Saints

POST GAME STORYLINE

St Kilda Saints — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Season Story So Far

Ladder Position & Differentials

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)