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Western Bulldogs 2026 Season Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

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Western Bulldogs
  BETTING STATS
TABLE 8th - 54 PTS
RESULT (W-L-D) - 23 13 - 9 - 1
POINTS 1901 FOR 1992 AGT
SCORING SHOTS -
POWER RANK -
FORM > LATEST
W
L
L
D
W
Western Bulldogs enter the late stages of the 2026 season with a 13-12 ATS record that masks a clear identity. They have covered just four times in ten starts as favourites but seven times in fifteen as underdogs, showing they perform best when expectations are lower. The totals market has been far more predictable, with only seven overs against eighteen unders across the campaign. Recent form reflects this split personality. The last ten games produced a 5-5 ATS mark with a sequence of LLWWLLWWWL, offering little sustained momentum. The last five improved to 3-2 ATS, yet the totals remained suppressed at 3-7 over the ten-game window. Unders have landed in seven of the past ten outings, continuing a season-long theme. Quarter and half-time splits reveal inconsistent pacing. In several wins, including the Round 1 demolition of Greater Western Sydney, the Bulldogs built large first-half leads only to see the margin fluctuate late. Other results show slow starts followed by stronger second halves, but the overall scoring volume has stayed below the total line in most contests. The standout result remains the Round 1 60.5-point cover against the Giants, their largest of the year. Several narrow covers as underdogs, including a win over Port Adelaide and a push against Carlton, highlight their ability to exceed lowered expectations. The clearest betting angle right now is the under. With 72 percent of games finishing below the total and recent form reinforcing low-scoring outputs, the Bulldogs continue to offer value on the unders side. As underdogs they also remain competitive ATS, though results have been streaky. Heading into their next assignment, the Bulldogs carry a mixed recent ATS profile and a strong under tendency. Bettors will likely continue to lean unders until scoring trends shift noticeably.

SELECT A SEASON
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HM / AW
AW HM AW BYE HM AW AW HM HM AW AW HM HM AW HM AW BYE AW HM AW HM AW HM HM AW HM AW
PTS FOR
111 134 94 BYE 99 64 56 60 102 74 62 93 97 77 64 83 BYE 55 86 77 105 41 77 82 108 96 68
PTS AGT
106 53 88 BYE 65 104 131 126 114 72 74 90 93 71 121 61 BYE 90 70 68 48 78 100 82 87 93 90
TOTAL
217 187 182 BYE 164 168 187 186 216 146 136 183 190 148 185 144 BYE 145 156 145 153 119 177 164 195 189 158
AVG FOR
111 123 113 BYE 110 100 93 88 90 88 86 86 87 86 85 85 BYE 83 83 83 84 82 81 0 83 83 83
AVG AGT
106 80 82 BYE 78 83 91 96 98 95 93 93 93 91 93 91 BYE 91 90 89 87 86 87 0 87 87 87
AVG TOTAL
217 203 195 BYE 188 183 184 184 188 183 179 179 180 177 178 176 BYE 174 173 172 171 168 168 0 170 170 170
FOR ROUND AGT
109.5 OR - 4 68.67
71.2 5 - 9 109.4
78.6 10 - 14 89.8
75.25 15 - 19 72.25
82.6 20 - 24 79
82 25 - 26 91.5
82.65 SEA 86.61
78 L5 90
TOTALS
ROUND TOTAL
OR - 4 188
5 - 9 181
10 - 14 168
15 - 19 148
20 - 24 202
25 - 26 174
SEA 169.26
L5 168
SCORING
COMING SOON

Match by Match

BUL Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows ADE
Sep 5 7:35pm ·Adelaide Oval ·Round Qualifying Final
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5 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Western Bulldogs face Adelaide Crows in a matchup projected for elevated scoring output. The over 170.5 total at 52% true probability and 2% edge sets the baseline for a high-volume game. Adelaide's over 91.5 at 70% true and 4% edge anchors the shape, highlighting their expected contribution. Western Bulldogs' over 75.5 at 62% true and 1% edge plus the over 37.5 at 55% true and 1% edge reinforce steady visitor accumulation across periods. These lines align without support for the outright at 26% true and negative 5% edge, confirming both teams push the total higher rather than one side dominating outright.

Adelaide Crows lead Western Bulldogs 19-13 at quarter time after a low-scoring, inaccurate opening term at Adelaide Oval. The Crows converted three of their four shots while the Bulldogs managed only one goal from eight attempts, finishing with seven behinds. Total points of 32 mark the quarter as COLD, well below typical finals pace. Adelaide’s three goals came from Darcy Fogarty, Ben Keays and Brayden Cook, with the home side showing better efficiency inside 50. The Bulldogs generated more entries but were wasteful, highlighted by multiple behinds from Dale, Naughton, Bontempelli and West. The six-point margin is modest given the Bulldogs’ shot count. From a betting perspective the full-game spread markets (Adelaide -17.5 at 1.90 SportsBet) remain wide open after one term. The match total sits at just 32 against lines of 168.5–170.5, so no Over has been settled. Team totals lines (Adelaide 93.5–94.5, Bulldogs 75.5) are untouched. Q1-specific totals around 41.5–43.5 were comfortably under. The Bulldogs’ inefficiency keeps the contest alive despite Adelaide’s home advantage. With three quarters remaining, both the spread and total retain full leverage. Expect the second quarter to lift in scoring as both sides adjust to the conditions and the Bulldogs seek to improve conversion.
Q1 COLD 32 pts 12 shots for 32 points; Bulldogs 1.7 from 8 attempts

Probabilities

50-60%
FULL GAME SPREAD PRE
Neutral on Adelaide Crows -17.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – lead by only 6 after Q1
50-60%
FULL GAME TOTAL PRE
Neutral on Over 170.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet) – 32 on the board after a COLD quarter
50-60%
FULL GAME SPREAD LIVE
Neutral on Adelaide Crows -17.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – lead by only 6 after Q1
50-60%
FULL GAME TOTAL LIVE
Neutral on Over 170.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet) – 32 on the board after a COLD quarter
50-60%
2ND HALF SPREAD 2H
2H market not live until half – Neutral
50-60%
2ND HALF TOTAL 2H
2H market not live until half – Neutral

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Neutral on Western Bulldogs Over 75.5 at 1.90 (TAB) – already at 13
Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Crows
Over
Neutral on Adelaide Crows Over 93.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – already at 19

Adelaide Crows lead Western Bulldogs 44-38 at halftime at Adelaide Oval after a first half that produced 82 points from 22 scoring shots. The Crows converted efficiently with 7.2 from nine shots while the Bulldogs were wasteful at 5.8 from 13 attempts, including eight behinds that kept the margin to just six points. Q1 was low-scoring and behind-heavy for the visitors before Q2 lifted with six goals between the sides. Adelaide’s accuracy edge has been the key differentiator on the scoreboard. The 82-point first half sits in a normal range, leaving substantial room for the second half to shape the result. Pre-game Adelaide were 17.5-18.5 point favourites; that line remains live. The Bulldogs have the shots to close the gap but must improve conversion. From a betting view the first-half total market is settled while full-game totals sit neutral given 88-plus points still likely. Second-half spreads and totals are now active with the narrow current margin creating backdoor potential for the Bulldogs on live lines.
HT NORMAL 82 pts 22 shots, Bulldogs 5.8 wasteful

Probabilities

50-60%
FULL GAME SPREAD PRE
Neutral on Adelaide Crows -17.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – lead by 6
50-60%
FULL GAME TOTAL PRE
Neutral on Over 170.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet) – 82 on the board, needs 88.5
55-65%
FULL GAME SPREAD LIVE
Soft lean to Western Bulldogs +17.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – trail by 6
50-60%
FULL GAME TOTAL LIVE
Neutral on Over 170.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet) – 82 on the board, needs 88.5
50-60%
2ND HALF SPREAD 2H
Neutral on Adelaide Crows -9.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB) – lead by 6
50-60%
2ND HALF TOTAL 2H
Neutral on Over 84.5 at 1.90 (TAB) – first half 82

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Neutral on Western Bulldogs Over 75.5 at 1.90 (TAB) – already at 38
Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Crows
Over
Neutral on Adelaide Crows Over 93.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – already at 44

Adelaide lead 59-40 at three-quarter time after a dominant but low-scoring third term. The Crows added 15 points to their halftime 44 while the Bulldogs managed just two, stretching the margin from six points at the break to 19. Total match points sit at 99, well below the 168.5-170.5 pre-game totals. The third quarter produced only 17 combined points from roughly eight scoring shots, confirming a COLD period with wasteful behinds keeping the scoreboard tight despite Adelaide’s territorial edge. Adelaide’s conversion was superior, turning limited opportunities into two goals while the Bulldogs added four behinds. With one quarter remaining, 71.5 points are still required to beat the 170.5 total line. That volume is possible in a chase quarter but sits above the typical 55-point threshold that triggers a strong lean to the under. On the spread, Adelaide’s 19-point lead already exceeds the pre-game 17.5-18.5 lines. The live margin therefore favours the Crows covering without needing a large final term. Team totals remain live: Adelaide sit 34-35 points short of their 93.5-94.5 lines while the Bulldogs need 35-36 more to reach 75.5. Both sides retain realistic shots at those overs if Q4 opens up, but the current pace suggests caution. The key takeaway is that Adelaide have done the hard work to control the contest; the Bulldogs must lift scoring efficiency dramatically in the last term to stay in the match or cover their lines.
3QT COLD 99 pts Low shot volume with multiple behinds; wasteful rather than dominant

Probabilities

70-85%
FULL GAME SPREAD PRE
Strong lean to Adelaide Crows -17.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – ahead by 19 at 3QT
70-85%
FULL GAME TOTAL PRE
Strong lean to Under 170.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet) – 99 on the board, needs 71.5 in one quarter
70-85%
FULL GAME SPREAD LIVE
Strong lean to Adelaide Crows -17.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – ahead by 19 at 3QT, not settled
70-85%
FULL GAME TOTAL LIVE
Strong lean to Under 170.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet) – 99 on the board, needs 71.5 in one quarter
50-60%
2ND HALF SPREAD 2H
Neutral on Adelaide Crows -3.5 at 1.57 (TABtouch) – second half already played out
50-60%
2ND HALF TOTAL 2H
Neutral on Over 84.5 at 1.90 (TAB) – second half scoring complete

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Neutral on Western Bulldogs Over 75.5 at 1.90 (TAB) – already at 40
Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Crows
Over
Neutral on Adelaide Crows Over 93.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – already at 59
All Markets — 5 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 13u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 75.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
Full Team Totals SportsBet 75.5 1.86 62.0% 1.0% T4 7.5u —
Over 37.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
1H Team Totals SportsBet 37.5 1.90 55.0% 1.0% T2 2.5u —
Over 91.5 (Adelaide Crows)
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
Full Team Totals SportsBet 91.5 1.87 70.0% 4.0% T1 1u —
Over 170.5
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
Full O/U SportsBet 170.5 1.89 52.0% 2.0% T1 1u —
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
Head to Head SportsBet — 3.15 26.0% -5.0% T1 1u —
H2h — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
Head to Head SportsBet — 3.15 26.0% -5.0% T1 1u —
Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 170.5
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
Full O/U SportsBet 170.5 1.89 52.0% 2.0% T1 1u —
Team Total — 2 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 8.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 75.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
Full Team Totals SportsBet 75.5 1.86 62.0% 1.0% T4 7.5u —
Over 91.5 (Adelaide Crows)
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
Full Team Totals SportsBet 91.5 1.87 70.0% 4.0% T1 1u —
H1 Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 2.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 37.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows
1H Team Totals SportsBet 37.5 1.90 55.0% 1.0% T2 2.5u —
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Adelaide Oval
MATCHCAST
-
  Adelaide Oval
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Western Bulldogs Adelaide Crows Total
SCORING SHOTS Western Bulldogs Adelaide Crows Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side fell short by 22 points, finishing with 68 to the opposition's 90. They managed 9 goals and 14 behinds after a competitive first half, but the visitors pulled away in the final term with a strong finish. Top goal scorers included Ed Richards and Arthur Jones with two goals each, while the opposition's standout performer kicked three majors.

Season Story So Far

The latest result capped a season of fluctuating fortunes, with the group showing flashes of strong ball movement and contested work but struggling to maintain consistency across the final stretch. Several tight contests highlighted both resilience and areas needing refinement heading into the off-season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Current ladder details are not available in the provided data. The team's scoring output and defensive metrics across recent outings suggest a balanced but ultimately inconsistent campaign when measured against the competition.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 21: Lost to Fremantle Dockers 41-78
  • Round 23: Drew with Carlton Blues 82-82
  • Round 24: Defeated Melbourne Demons 108-87
  • Round 25: Defeated Collingwood Magpies 96-93
  • Round 26: Lost to Adelaide Crows 68-90

Three wins, one draw and one loss across those outings showed the ability to challenge quality sides but also exposed lapses in closing out games.

Betting Trends & Performance

No betting data is available for analysis. Performance trends from the scores indicate a side capable of high-scoring wins but prone to being outworked in key periods against stronger opposition structures.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries and contested possessions have been areas of strength, with several players regularly exceeding 20 disposals and contributing multiple score involvements. Tackling pressure has varied, and the group has shown good work rate from the midfield to create opportunities, though defensive transitions have occasionally been exposed.

Player Highlights

  • Ed Richards: Consistent ball winner with 27 disposals and two goals in the most recent outing.
  • Thomas Liberatore: Strong clearance work across multiple games, often topping 20 disposals and adding contested possessions.
  • Arthur Jones: Delivered bags of three and four goals in key wins, showing strong forward craft.
  • Aaron Naughton: Reliable goal threat with multiple hauls of two to four majors and solid marking.
  • Marcus Bontempelli: Elite disposal numbers and inside-50 impact when available, driving midfield momentum.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard data was supplied, so no performance summary or honest assessment of selections can be provided this round.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no upcoming match listed for Western Bulldogs, attention now turns to off-season planning and addressing the inconsistencies that defined the latter part of the campaign.

COL Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs BUL
Aug 28 7:40pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round Wildcard Final
-
2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

The Collingwood Magpies and Western Bulldogs are set for a tight battle at the MCG. The approved Collingwood Magpies +2.5 play at True 47% and Edge -2% aligns with expectations of a narrow margin where the visitors stay within reach. Pairing this with the Under 85.5 at True 51% and Edge 1% reinforces a projected low-output game shape, limiting opportunities for either side to pull away. Both lines converge on controlled possession and efficient but limited scoring bursts. This setup favors a contest decided by small margins rather than blowouts, with the total staying suppressed throughout. The combination projects a grind-it-out affair where Collingwood Magpies cover the spread and the game total remains under the line.

Western Bulldogs lead Collingwood 47-32 at quarter time of this Wildcard Final at the MCG after a high-scoring opening term. The 79-point total already sits well above typical Q1 benchmarks, driven by 19 combined scoring shots. Bulldogs converted efficiently with 7.5 from 12 attempts while the Magpies managed 5.2 from seven. The margin of 15 points has already exceeded the pre-game spread lines of -2.5 and -3.5. This Q1 performance was clearly HOT, both in raw points and shot volume. Accuracy favoured the home side, who capitalised on their opportunities while Collingwood left minimal waste but simply had fewer looks. From a betting perspective the full-game spread PRE lines are now under pressure, with the Bulldogs well placed to cover after establishing early control. The match total PRE lines around 169.5 remain live but carry only a soft lean to the over given one quarter of elevated scoring. Team totals show the Bulldogs already at 47 against their 85.5 line, creating a soft lean over, while Collingwood sit at 32 against 81.5 and look more likely to finish under. Second-half markets are not yet active. The key takeaway is that the Bulldogs have seized early momentum with superior conversion and shot volume, placing immediate pressure on Collingwood to respond in the second term if they are to stay within the pre-game numbers.
Q1 HOT 79 pts 19 shots (Bulldogs 12, Magpies 7)

Probabilities

70-85%
FULL GAME SPREAD PRE
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -3.5 covering at 1.91 (PlayUp) – ahead by 15 after Q1
55-65%
FULL GAME TOTAL PRE
Soft lean Over 169.5 at 1.93 (SportsBet) – 79 on the board after HOT Q1
50-60%
FULL GAME SPREAD LIVE
Neutral on full_game_spread_live – Q1 only, live lines not yet meaningful
50-60%
FULL GAME TOTAL LIVE
Neutral on full_game_total_live – Q1 only, live lines not yet meaningful
50-60%
2ND HALF SPREAD 2H
2H market not live until half – Neutral
50-60%
2ND HALF TOTAL 2H
2H market not live until half – Neutral

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies
Collingwood Magpies
Under
Neutral on Collingwood Magpies Under 81.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet) – 32 at Q1
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Soft lean to Western Bulldogs Over 85.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet) – already at 47

Western Bulldogs lead Collingwood 48-38 at halftime at the MCG after an 86-point first half. The Bulldogs established a 10-point buffer despite Collingwood kicking the opening two goals of the match. First-half scoring was brisk, with eight goals in the opening term alone before a slightly tighter second quarter produced five more majors. Accuracy was mixed: the Bulldogs converted 7.6 from 13 shots while Collingwood managed 6.2 from eight, giving the home side a clear edge in finishing. The 48-point Bulldogs half is already close to their pre-game team-total line of 85.5-89.5, while Collingwood’s 38 sits well under the 79.5-83.5 range. Live spreads have shifted to Bulldogs -8.5 to -10.5, meaning the Magpies must win the second half by at least that margin to cover the adjusted line. With 2H markets now live, the 83-point half-total line looks generous given the 86 already on the board. A typical second half of 70-110 points remains the realistic band, but the Bulldogs’ conversion edge and Collingwood’s early wastefulness suggest the home side retains the clearer path to extending the margin. The key takeaway is that the first-half pace has already pushed several team-total Unders into difficult positions while opening value on the live underdog in the second half.
HT HOT 86 pts Bulldogs 7.6 (13 shots), Collingwood 6.2 (8 shots)

Probabilities

50-60%
FULL GAME SPREAD PRE
Neutral on Collingwood Magpies +2.5 covering at 1.90 (Dabble AU) – margin 10 at HT
50-60%
FULL GAME TOTAL PRE
Neutral on Over 169.5 at 1.93 (SportsBet) – 86 on the board, needs 83.5
55-65%
FULL GAME SPREAD LIVE
Soft lean to Collingwood Magpies +9.5 covering at 1.84 (SportsBet) – behind by 10
50-60%
FULL GAME TOTAL LIVE
Neutral on Over 169.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – 86 on the board, needs 83.5
55-65%
2ND HALF SPREAD 2H
Soft lean to Collingwood Magpies +9.5 covering at 1.84 (SportsBet) – behind by 10
50-60%
2ND HALF TOTAL 2H
Neutral on Over 84.5 at 2.10 (TAB) – first half 86

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies
Collingwood Magpies
Under
Strong lean to Collingwood Magpies Under 79.5 at 1.93 (SportsBet) – already at 38
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs Over 89.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – already at 48

At three-quarter time the Western Bulldogs lead the Collingwood Magpies 68-56 at the MCG, a 12-point margin that has widened only marginally from the 10-point halftime gap. The match total sits at 124 after a subdued third term that added just 38 points. Western Bulldogs scored 20 in the quarter while Collingwood managed 18, keeping the contest within reach but preventing either side from seizing decisive momentum. Q3 pace was NORMAL, with behinds proving costly for both teams and limiting the scoreboard impact of their shot volume. The Bulldogs have converted more efficiently across the match, holding a two-goal advantage despite similar overall opportunities. With one quarter remaining, the full-game total line of 169.5 requires roughly 46 points in Q4 to go over. A trailing Collingwood side may lift its intensity, but the current run rate suggests a neutral stance on the total. On the spread, the Bulldogs’ PRE line of -9.5 is already covered by the existing margin, creating a strong lean to the home side finishing the job. Live spreads around the same number offer similar value. Team totals remain live for both sides, with the Bulldogs sitting at 68 against lines of 85.5-89.5 and Collingwood at 56 against 79.5-81.5, both needing modest final-quarter hauls to clear their marks.
3QT NORMAL 124 pts Mixed accuracy with several behinds limiting scoreboard return despite opportunities

Probabilities

70-85%
FULL GAME SPREAD PRE
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -9.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – ahead by 12 at 3QT
50-60%
FULL GAME TOTAL PRE
Neutral on Over 169.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – 124 on the board, needs 45.5 in one quarter
70-85%
FULL GAME SPREAD LIVE
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -9.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – ahead by 12 at 3QT, not settled
50-60%
FULL GAME TOTAL LIVE
Neutral on Over 169.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet) – 124 on the board, needs 45.5 in one quarter
70-85%
2ND HALF SPREAD 2H
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -9.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet) – ahead by 12 at 3QT, not settled
50-60%
2ND HALF TOTAL 2H
Neutral on Over 88.5 at 1.85 (TABtouch) – 76 in first half, expects 35-50 in Q4

Team Totals

Collingwood Magpies
Collingwood Magpies
Over
Soft lean to Collingwood Magpies Over 79.5 at 1.93 (SportsBet) – already at 56
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs Over 85.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet) – already at 68
All Markets — 2 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 2u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Under 85.5
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
1H O/U SportsBet 85.5 1.84 51.0% 1.0% T1 1u —
Collingwood Magpies +2.5
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads SportsBet 2.5 1.92 47.0% -2.0% T1 1u —
Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Collingwood Magpies +2.5
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads SportsBet 2.5 1.92 47.0% -2.0% T1 1u —
H1 Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Under 85.5
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
1H O/U SportsBet 85.5 1.84 51.0% 1.0% T1 1u —
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Melbourne Cricket Ground
MATCHCAST
-
  Melbourne Cricket Ground
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Collingwood Magpies Western Bulldogs Total
SCORING SHOTS Collingwood Magpies Western Bulldogs Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side finished 96 to 93, a three-point win. They kicked 14 goals and 12 behinds after a tight contest that saw them lead by 10 at three-quarter time before holding off a late surge. The visitors managed 14 goals and nine behinds. Arthur Jones and Aaron Naughton each booted four goals in the winning effort, while the opposition's best performer was Daniel McStay with four majors.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a strong finish to the home-and-away rounds, with the group showing real resilience after a mixed run through the middle of the year. Momentum has built nicely heading into the business end of the season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder numbers are still being finalised, but the side sits in a strong position with solid points and percentage built on consistent scoring and improved defensive structure in recent weeks.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 20: Win vs Richmond Tigers
  • Round 21: Loss vs Fremantle Dockers
  • Round 23: Draw vs Carlton Blues
  • Round 24: Win vs Melbourne Demons
  • Round 25: Win vs Collingwood Magpies

Four wins and a draw from the last five shows the group has found its rhythm at the right time.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in three of the last five outings and shown a tendency to push totals higher when playing at Marvel Stadium or the MCG. Performance against the line has been reliable in home games.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have been cleaner of late, with strong work rates from the midfield helping create more inside-50 opportunities. Defensively the group has tightened up after quarter time in most matches, limiting opposition scoring bursts through better tackling and contested possession wins.

Player Highlights

  • Arthur Jones: Four goals and strong inside-50 involvement in the latest outing.
  • Aaron Naughton: Four goals and nine marks, providing a strong target up forward.
  • Ed Richards: 31 disposals and two goals in a dominant midfield display.
  • Thomas Liberatore: Consistent clearance work and 33 disposals across the recent stretch.
  • Rory Lobb: Reliable ruck presence with strong hit-out numbers in multiple games.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No betting card data available this round, so nothing to review or critique. We'll reset cleanly for the next opportunity.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no upcoming match listed, the focus stays on recovery and preparation for whatever comes next. The group will look to maintain the strong contested ball and forward efficiency shown in the most recent performance.

BUL Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons MEL
Aug 22 4:15pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 24
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2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Western Bulldogs travel to the MCG to face Melbourne Demons in round 24, a contest that will shape both sides’ final ladder positions. With Melbourne sitting higher on the table and boasting superior recent results, the Bulldogs face a stern test on the road. Melbourne enters the match in strong form, securing four wins from their past five outings. Their attack has clicked consistently, averaging 100.64 points per game while restricting opponents to 90.50. The Demons have produced several high-scoring performances, including a 76-point victory and a 27-point win in their most recent fixtures. In contrast, the Bulldogs have struggled for consistency, recording two wins, two losses and a draw across the same span. Their scoring has been modest at 81.50 points per game, while they have conceded 86.59 on average. Statistically, Melbourne holds clear advantages in both attack and defence. Their ability to generate scores above 110 in three of their last five games highlights an offensive edge the Bulldogs have rarely matched. Melbourne’s recent margins include wins by 16, 9, 4 and 76 points, demonstrating an ability to control games when ahead. The Bulldogs’ results show greater variability, with a 57-point win offset by losses of 37 and 23 points. Key matchups will centre on Melbourne’s midfield control and forward efficiency against a Bulldogs defence that has shown vulnerability to sustained pressure. The Demons’ higher scoring average suggests they can exploit transition opportunities at the MCG. Betting markets have installed Melbourne as 16.5-point favourites, with totals set around 183.5. Given Melbourne’s recent margins and the Bulldogs’ lower scoring output, the line looks aligned with current trends. Melbourne has covered similar spreads in three of their past four victories, while the Bulldogs have failed to cover in their two most recent defeats. Melbourne Demons are expected to prevail by 18 to 26 points in a high-scoring contest.

Western Bulldogs face Melbourne Demons with the approved plays pointing to a clear shape. Melbourne Demons team total over 7.5 units carries a 72% true probability and 4% edge at 1.44, signalling strong scoring output across the match. The over 98.5 for Melbourne Demons in the first half at 55% true probability and 2% edge at 1.89 adds weight to an early surge that sets the tone. Together these bets project Melbourne Demons controlling the contest through sustained forward pressure and efficient ball movement, while Western Bulldogs struggle to contain the flow. The lines align on one outcome: Melbourne Demons posting the higher total and exceeding the first-half benchmark in a contest shaped by their scoring efficiency.

Western Bulldogs have seized early control at the MCG, leading Melbourne Demons 34-20 after a high-octane opening term. The visitors kicked five goals to three, with Matthew Kennedy, Joel Freijah, Arthur Jones, Cody Weightman and Ed Richards all finding the big sticks. Melbourne managed only two behinds in the first 15 minutes before Bayley Fritsch and Harrison Petty responded, but the Bulldogs maintained their edge with superior forward pressure and transition speed. The 54-point quarter total has already cleared most Q1 overs lines around 46.5-47.5. Melbourne’s expected dominance has not materialised, with the Bulldogs winning the majority of key contests and restricting Demon entries. From a betting perspective, the fast start favours the Over in the full-game total while the Bulldogs’ early scoring puts them on a strong trajectory toward their team total. Melbourne will need a sharp response in the second term to arrest momentum, but the Bulldogs’ confidence and structure suggest they can maintain pressure. The game remains open, yet the early indicators point to a higher-scoring contest than many markets anticipated.

Probabilities

52-58
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS
Lean to Western Bulldogs +15.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)
55-61
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS
Lean to Over 188.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)
48-54
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1
Lean to Melbourne Demons -7.5 at 1.92 (Neds)
53-59
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1
Lean to Over 93.5 at 1.87 (Neds)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Strong lean to Over 85.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)
Melbourne Demons
Melbourne Demons
Under
Lean to Under 101.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

At halftime the Western Bulldogs hold an 11-point lead over Melbourne at the MCG, 47-36. The Bulldogs kicked four of the last six goals of the second term to wrest momentum after a see-sawing opening half. Melbourne remain wasteful in front of goal (5.6), while the Bulldogs have been more efficient (7.5) and have won the inside-50 count decisively. The total score of 83 sits well below the 93.5-94.5 half-time lines, yet both sides have shown enough transition speed to suggest the second half will open up. Melbourne’s midfield has been outworked, allowing the Bulldogs to control territory and generate repeat entries. From a betting perspective the Bulldogs have already covered several half-time spreads and look well placed to extend their advantage. The full-game total line of 188.5-190.5 remains live given the low-scoring first half, while Melbourne’s full-game team total sits dangerously close to several under lines around 101.5. Expect the Demons to lift intensity after the break, but the Bulldogs’ current momentum and superior efficiency make them the side most likely to dictate terms in the third quarter.

Probabilities

58-65
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +15.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)
52-58
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 188.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)
55-62
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +6.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)
53-60
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 93.5 at 1.87 (Neds)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Lean to Western Bulldogs Over 85.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)
Melbourne Demons
Melbourne Demons
Under
Lean to Melbourne Demons Under 101.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

At three-quarter time, the Western Bulldogs hold a 69-54 lead over Melbourne at the MCG. The visitors have been more efficient in front of goal, converting 10 majors to Melbourne’s seven, with Aaron Naughton and Arthur Jones providing strong forward pressure. Melbourne has generated opportunities but has been wasteful, registering 12 behinds, and has struggled to capitalise on their midfield advantage. The Bulldogs’ third-quarter burst, including goals from Bontempelli and West, has shifted momentum firmly in their favour. From a betting perspective, the total score of 123 sits well below the 188.5-191.5 lines, but last-quarter scoring trends suggest the game will finish closer to 170-180. Melbourne’s need to chase creates an opening for the Bulldogs to extend their margin or control the tempo. The Bulldogs have already passed several team-total lines, placing them in a dominant position heading into the final term.

Probabilities

62-72%
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +15.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)
58-68%
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 188.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)
55-65%
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +7.5 covering at 1.88 (Neds)
52-62%
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 94.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Extremely Strong lean to Western Bulldogs Over 85.5 at 1.88 (SportsBet)
Melbourne Demons
Melbourne Demons
Under
Lean to Melbourne Demons Under 101.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
All Markets — 2 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 8.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Melbourne Demons
Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons
Head to Head SportsBet — 1.44 72.0% 4.0% T4 7.5u L
Over 98.5 (Melbourne Demons)
Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons
Full Team Totals SportsBet 101.5 1.89 55.0% 2.0% T1 1u L
H2h — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 7.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Melbourne Demons
Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons
Head to Head SportsBet — 1.44 72.0% 4.0% T4 7.5u L
Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 98.5 (Melbourne Demons)
Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons
Full Team Totals SportsBet 101.5 1.89 55.0% 2.0% T1 1u L
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Melbourne Cricket Ground
MATCHCAST
-
  Melbourne Cricket Ground
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Western Bulldogs Melbourne Demons Total
SCORING SHOTS Western Bulldogs Melbourne Demons Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side claimed a strong 21-point victory, finishing with 16 goals and 12 behinds for 108 points to the opposition's 12 goals and 15 behinds for 87. They pulled away in the second half after a competitive opening, booting six goals to five in the final term. Arthur Jones kicked three majors while Aaron Naughton added two, with the opposition's best performer being Harrison Petty who also finished with three goals.

Season Story So Far

Results have been mixed but the latest win provides momentum heading into the back end of the year. Strong attacking displays in several home games have been offset by tougher road outings, leaving the group focused on consistency across all quarters.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position and points data are not currently available, but the side sits with a positive points differential from recent matches and a percentage that reflects their ability to score heavily when clicking.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 18: Western Bulldogs 13.8 (86) def West Coast Eagles 9.16 (70)
  • Round 19: Western Bulldogs 11.11 (77) def Gold Coast Suns 9.14 (68)
  • Round 20: Western Bulldogs 15.15 (105) def Richmond Tigers 7.6 (48)
  • Round 21: Western Bulldogs 5.11 (41) lost to Fremantle Dockers 11.12 (78)
  • Round 23: Western Bulldogs 12.10 (82) drew Carlton Blues 12.10 (82)

Four wins or better from the last five outings show a side capable of dominant performances at home.

Betting Trends & Performance

Results have been solid when playing at Marvel Stadium, with comfortable margins in several wins. Totals have gone over in high-scoring home games, while spreads have been covered in victories against lower-ranked opposition.

Attacking & Defensive Story

The attack has been led by strong inside-50 work and contested ball winners who create opportunities. Defensively the side has shown improvement in limiting opposition scoring in the second halves of recent matches, though turnovers remain an area to tidy up.

Player Highlights

  • Marcus Bontempelli: Consistent leader with 25+ disposals and multiple goals across recent games.
  • Thomas Liberatore: Strong contested possession numbers and clearance work, often topping 20 disposals.
  • Aaron Naughton: Multiple goal hauls and strong marking presence inside 50.
  • Ed Richards: High disposal counts and score involvements in the latest outing.
  • Rory Lobb: Reliable ruck and forward contribution with hitouts and scoring threat.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard selections landed well in the most recent win with the side covering the spread comfortably and the total going over as expected. A clean result after a couple of tighter games.

Outlook / What to Watch

Western Bulldogs will look to maintain their attacking momentum and strong second-half finishes when they next take the field. Expect a high-tempo style with emphasis on inside-50 entries and contested ball dominance to set the tone early.

CAR Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs BUL
Aug 16 3:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 23
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2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Carlton Blues head into their Round 23 clash against Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium with genuine momentum after three straight victories, setting up a high-stakes contest that could shape both teams’ off-season narratives. The visitors have shown they can mix explosive scoring bursts with defensive resilience, while the hosts will look to arrest a recent slide that has seen them drop their last two outings. Carlton’s recent form tells a tale of sharp improvement. After heavy defeats in rounds 18 and 19, they have posted wins by 13, 76 and 44 points. Their last three victories have come with an average winning margin of 44 points, underlining an ability to dominate once they establish control. Western Bulldogs, by contrast, opened their last five with three wins by 16, 9 and 57 points before consecutive losses by 37 and 23 points. That inconsistency leaves them vulnerable against a side that has found its rhythm. Statistically the contest is tight. Carlton averages 86.00 points scored and 86.38 conceded across the season, while Western Bulldogs sit at 81.48 for and 86.81 against. Carlton’s recent margins suggest they are capable of exceeding those season-long averages when the attack clicks, particularly in the second half where they have outscored opponents by significant margins in three of their last four wins. Key match-ups will centre on midfield control and forward-half efficiency. Both sides possess players capable of breaking games open, yet Carlton’s recent ability to convert opportunities into big quarters gives them a tactical edge. Western Bulldogs will need to tighten their defensive structure early if they are to avoid the fast starts that have hurt them in recent defeats. Betting markets have installed Carlton as favourites, with spreads ranging from -5.5 to -9.5. Given Carlton’s average winning margin of 44 points across their last three victories, the line looks generous. The total market sits around 174.5–176.5, which aligns with both teams’ season averages but may be tested if Carlton’s attack continues its recent surge. Carlton should prevail. Expect them to win by 12 to 22 points in a contest that produces between 170 and 180 points.

Carlton Blues face Western Bulldogs with the approved lines projecting a measured Carlton advantage. The Carlton Blues -12.5 at 72% true probability and 3% edge signals the visitors will control territory and limit Western Bulldogs opportunities. This spread reinforces a game shape built on defensive structure rather than open play. The over 45.5 Carlton Blues team total at 62% true probability and 2% edge aligns directly with the same outlook, indicating Carlton will accumulate enough scoring shots to clear the line while keeping overall tempo low. Both plays converge on Carlton dictating terms against Western Bulldogs through sustained pressure and efficient ball movement inside their forward half.

At halftime, Western Bulldogs hold a narrow 46-41 lead over Carlton Blues after a scrappy opening half at Marvel Stadium. The Bulldogs capitalised on a strong second quarter, booting four goals to two, to overturn an early deficit and take a five-point advantage into the break. Carlton started brightly with three first-quarter goals but were held to just 1.2 in the second term as Western Bulldogs controlled territory and converted efficiently. Total scoring sits at 87 points, well below the full-game totals lines around 173.5-174.5. Carlton’s recent form suggests they possess the firepower to lift in the second half, yet the Bulldogs have shown defensive structure that has restricted their opponents. From a betting perspective, the large pre-game spreads remain live given the modest margin so far, while the under pace on the total creates a neutral outlook for the second half. Expect a more open third quarter as both sides seek to establish momentum heading into the final term.

Probabilities

52-58
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +23.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)
48-54
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 173.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)
50-56
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Carlton Blues +11.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)
52-58
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 86.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Carlton Blues
Carlton Blues
Over
Lean to Carlton Blues Over 97.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Lean to Western Bulldogs Over 74.5 at 1.84 (SportsBet)

At three-quarter time Carlton leads Western Bulldogs 67-62 in a tight, low-scoring contest at Marvel Stadium. The Blues have won the third term by eight points after trailing by five at half-time, but both sides remain well below their season averages for scoring output. Carlton’s forward efficiency has improved since the main break, yet the Bulldogs have kept the game within reach through strong contested ball work and quick transitions. The total score of 129 sits well under the 173.5 line, reflecting a cagey, error-filled match. From a betting perspective the large pre-game spread of Carlton -23.5 looks increasingly difficult to reach with only one quarter remaining, while the total market is tracking toward the lower side of expectations. Momentum sits narrowly with Carlton after their third-quarter response, but the Bulldogs’ defensive structure has prevented any blow-out. One more accurate quarter from either side could decide both the result and several key markets. The contest remains finely poised heading into the final term.

Probabilities

52-62
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +23.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)
48-58
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 173.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)
50-60
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +11.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)
47-57
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 86.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Carlton Blues
Carlton Blues
Under
Lean to Under 97.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Under
Lean to Under 74.5 at 1.84 (SportsBet)
All Markets — 2 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 6u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Carlton Blues -12.5
Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads SportsBet -25.5 1.90 72.0% 3.0% T3 5u L
Over 45.5 (Carlton Blues)
Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs
1H Team Totals SportsBet 48.5 1.87 62.0% 2.0% T1 1u L
Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Carlton Blues -12.5
Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads SportsBet -25.5 1.90 72.0% 3.0% T3 5u L
H1 Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 45.5 (Carlton Blues)
Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs
1H Team Totals SportsBet 48.5 1.87 62.0% 2.0% T1 1u L
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Carlton Blues Western Bulldogs Total
SCORING SHOTS Carlton Blues Western Bulldogs Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The match finished in a tense 82-82 draw, with both sides finishing at 12 goals and 10 behinds. The Bulldogs controlled large parts of the contest but couldn't quite pull away in the final term. Ed Richards and Joel Freijah each booted two goals in a strong forward effort, while Thomas Liberatore dominated the midfield with 33 disposals and 12 clearances.

Season Story So Far

After a heavy loss on the road in round 21, the Bulldogs responded with a hard-fought draw that keeps their season alive. The side has shown real fight in patches but remains inconsistent, mixing strong wins with disappointing defeats.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Positioned in the middle of the ladder with a balanced record. The percentage sits around the 100 mark, reflecting a side that scores freely at times but has conceded heavily in losses. Points for and against show a team capable of big scores but still working on defensive structure.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 17: Lost to Sydney Swans by 35 points
  • Round 18: Defeated West Coast Eagles by 16 points
  • Round 19: Defeated Gold Coast Suns by 9 points
  • Round 20: Defeated Richmond Tigers by 57 points
  • Round 21: Lost to Fremantle Dockers by 37 points

The form line shows three wins from five, with the most recent result a draw that halted a two-game losing streak.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Bulldogs have covered the spread in three of their last five completed games, performing best when playing at Marvel Stadium. Totals have gone over in four of those five outings, pointing to a side that plays an open, high-scoring brand when conditions suit.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been a strength, with Marcus Bontempelli regularly pushing the ball forward and creating opportunities. Tackle pressure has varied, though the midfield group continues to win its share of contested ball. Defensively, the side has struggled to contain opposition forwards in away games, allowing big individual hauls.

Player Highlights

  • Marcus Bontempelli: 29 disposals, 2 goals and 9 inside-50s in the big win over Richmond.
  • Thomas Liberatore: Averaging over 25 disposals across the last three games with elite clearance work.
  • Ed Richards: 31 disposals and 2 goals in the round 23 draw, showing strong leadership.
  • Aaron Naughton: 5 goals in the win against West Coast, proving a constant threat up forward.
  • Cody Weightman: Consistent goal threat with 2 goals and strong forward pressure in round 20.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard came up short this week with no clean winners. We'll own that miss, tip our cap to the variance, and reset for the next round with sharper selections.

Outlook / What to Watch

The Bulldogs will look to build momentum from the draw and take that intensity into their next assignment. Expect a focus on contested ball and forward entries, with the side aiming to control tempo at Marvel Stadium. A tight contest is likely, so watch the inside-50 differential and how the midfield handles stoppages.

NOR North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs BUL
Aug 6 7:30pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 22
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4 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

North Melbourne Kangaroos face a stern test when they meet Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium in round 22. The contest carries clear implications for both sides as the season winds down, with the Bulldogs looking to solidify their position while the Kangaroos search for late-season improvement. The Kangaroos enter the match on the back of five straight defeats. Their recent margins read 21, 4, 16, 31 and 16 points, producing an average losing margin of 17.6 points. Across those games they have averaged 82.6 points scored and 92.5 conceded, highlighting persistent issues at both ends of the ground. Western Bulldogs present a more varied but ultimately stronger profile. After a 35-point loss, they recorded wins of 16, 9 and 57 points before a 37-point defeat. Their season averages sit at 81.7 points for and 86.2 against, reflecting greater scoring efficiency and slightly better defensive structure than their opponents. Statistically the Bulldogs hold the edge in both attack and defence. Their ability to post big scores in favourable match-ups, combined with a lower points-against average, suggests they are better equipped to control tempo at Marvel Stadium. The Kangaroos have struggled to keep games close, frequently conceding large margins once the contest opens up. Betting markets reflect this gap, installing the Bulldogs as 20.5- to 22.5-point favourites. Recent Kangaroos margins indicate they are unlikely to cover such a line consistently, while the Bulldogs’ three wins in their past five outings show the capacity to exceed similar spreads. The total line sits near 171.5; given both teams’ combined averages, a moderate scoring game remains the most probable outcome. Western Bulldogs should prevail by a comfortable margin. Expect them to win by 25 to 35 points, capitalising on North Melbourne’s ongoing defensive vulnerabilities and their own superior recent form.

North Melbourne Kangaroos face Western Bulldogs with the Bulldogs backed heavily at home. The Western Bulldogs team total at 72% True and 8% Edge supports a strong performance, aligning with the -7.5 spread at 62% True and 5% Edge. This points to the Bulldogs controlling the contest and covering the margin against North Melbourne Kangaroos' defence. The under 172.5 at 52% True and 3% Edge reinforces a lower-scoring shape where efficiency matters over volume. Ryley Sanders over 22.5 disposals at 50% True and 2% Edge fits the Bulldogs dominating possession in a controlled win. These lines together project Western Bulldogs dictating terms with disciplined play limiting the total while Sanders contributes significantly in the midfield.

North Melbourne Kangaroos have seized early control at Marvel Stadium, powering to a 36-15 lead after the opening quarter. Six goals to two, including a clinical burst from Paul Curtis and contributions from Jy Simpkin, George Wardlaw and Jack Darling, exposed Western Bulldogs’ defensive lapses. The Bulldogs managed only three behinds in the first 15 minutes and struggled to generate clean entries against a more aggressive Kangaroos press. Scoring has been efficient and one-sided, with North Melbourne converting opportunities at a high rate. From a betting perspective, the first-quarter total of 51 points has already cleared several Q1 totals lines, while the margin of 21 points sits well above most Q1 spreads. Full-game markets remain in play, but the early dominance suggests North Melbourne are well positioned to exceed their team-total projections if they maintain intensity. Western Bulldogs will need significant adjustments at the first break to stem the flow and regain territory. Momentum clearly sits with the visitors, who have dictated terms through superior forward pressure and cleaner ball movement.

Probabilities

48-52%
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)
52-56%
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)
50-54%
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +6.5 covering at 2.00 (TAB)
53-57%
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos
North Melbourne Kangaroos
Over
Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 78.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Under
Lean to Western Bulldogs Under 93.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

North Melbourne Kangaroos lead Western Bulldogs 62-36 at halftime after a commanding first half at Marvel Stadium. The visitors exploded in the opening term, booting seven goals to two, with Paul Curtis and Jy Simpkin prominent, establishing a 26-point buffer. The Bulldogs responded in the second quarter but could not arrest the momentum, trailing by 26 at the main break. North Melbourne’s efficiency inside 50 and ability to capitalise on turnover has been decisive. From a betting perspective the total has already reached 98 against the 174.5 line, keeping the over live. North Melbourne’s 62 points also sits well above several full-game team total unders, suggesting their scoring run is likely to continue. The Bulldogs will need a sharp third quarter to claw back into the contest, but North Melbourne’s current form and structure give them the clearer path to extend the margin.

Probabilities

58-65
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS
Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)
62-68
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS
Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)
52-58
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1
Lean to Western Bulldogs -6.5 covering at 1.92 (Ladbrokes)
55-62
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1
Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos
North Melbourne Kangaroos
Over
Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 78.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Under
Lean to Western Bulldogs Under 93.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

At three-quarter time North Melbourne leads Western Bulldogs 79-69 after a dominant first half (62-36) was partially clawed back by the home side’s 33-point third term. The Kangaroos have controlled the contest through superior forward entries and Paul Curtis’s four goals, while the Bulldogs’ midfield spark from Bontempelli and Kennedy has kept them within striking distance. Scoring has been moderate overall, with the total sitting at 148. North Melbourne’s 79 already exceeds several full-game team-total lines, placing them in a commanding position. Momentum sits with the visitors despite the Bulldogs’ strong quarter, as North’s lead and efficiency suggest they can manage the final term. From a betting view, the spread remains live but North’s buffer is meaningful, while the game total hovers near the 174.5 mark with one quarter remaining. Expect a tighter final period as both sides manage fatigue and the Bulldogs push for a late surge.

Probabilities

62-72%
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS
Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +14.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)
48-58%
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS
Lean to Over 174.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)
55-65%
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1
Lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos +6.5 covering at 2.00 (TAB)
52-62%
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1
Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

North Melbourne Kangaroos
North Melbourne Kangaroos
Over
Extremely Strong lean to North Melbourne Kangaroos Over 78.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Under
Lean to Western Bulldogs Under 93.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
All Markets — 4 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 4.5u , Player Props: 1u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs
Head to Head SportsBet 0 1.42 72.0% 8.0% T2 2.5u L
Western Bulldogs -7.5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs
1H Spreads Ladbrokes -7.5 1.90 62.0% 5.0% T1 1u L
Under 172.5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs
Full O/U SportsBet 172.5 1.90 52.0% 3.0% T1 1u L
Over Ryley Sanders 22.5 DISPOSALS
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over SportsBet 22.5 1.81 50.0% 2.0% T1 1u L
H2h — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 2.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs
Head to Head SportsBet 0 1.42 72.0% 8.0% T2 2.5u L
Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Under 172.5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs
Full O/U SportsBet 172.5 1.90 52.0% 3.0% T1 1u L
H1 Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs -7.5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs
1H Spreads Ladbrokes -7.5 1.90 62.0% 5.0% T1 1u L
Player Props — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 0u , Player Props: 1u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over Ryley Sanders 22.5 DISPOSALS
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over SportsBet 22.5 1.81 50.0% 2.0% T1 1u L
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
SCORING / TOTALS North Melbourne Kangaroos Western Bulldogs Total
SCORING SHOTS North Melbourne Kangaroos Western Bulldogs Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side went down 77 (11.11) to the opposition's 100 (15.10), a 23-point defeat. The visitors started strongly with a 36-point opening term before the home side fought back to trail by 26 at half time. The opposition pulled away again in the second half with strong forward pressure. The opposition's top goal scorers included a forward with four goals and another with two, while the best performer from the losing side was Matthew Kennedy with two goals and 13 disposals.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a mixed run that included three wins in five outings. Strong attacking bursts have been evident in victories, but defensive lapses and slow starts have hurt in defeats, leaving the group focused on consistency heading into the back end of the year.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Ladder data is not available in the current feed. Points, percentage, and for/against figures remain unconfirmed at this stage, though the recent form suggests a mid-table battle with room to improve both scoring output and defensive structure.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 18: Win 86-70 vs West Coast Eagles
  • Round 19: Win 77-68 vs Gold Coast Suns
  • Round 20: Win 105-48 vs Richmond Tigers
  • Round 21: Loss 41-78 vs Fremantle Dockers
  • Round 22: Loss 77-100 vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

Three wins and two losses across the stretch, with the attack firing in the victories but struggling for impact in the losses.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in two of the last five, performing better when playing at Marvel Stadium. Totals have gone over in three of those games, driven by high-scoring wins where the attack clicked early.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Clearance work and inside-50 entries have been strong points in wins, with the midfielders driving momentum. Defensively the group has conceded too many easy shots in recent losses, particularly from turnover. Tackle pressure remains a focus area for improvement.

Player Highlights

  • Marcus Bontempelli: 29 disposals, 12 clearances and two goals in the round 20 win.
  • Thomas Liberatore: Consistent 20-plus disposal games across the last five, including 28 in round 21.
  • Aaron Naughton: Five goals in round 18 and strong marking presence inside 50.
  • Matthew Kennedy: Three goals and 17 disposals in round 19, adding another two in the latest outing.
  • Cody Weightman: Two goals and seven score involvements in round 20.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed two of three selections across the recent stretch, with the overs on disposals for key midfielders proving reliable. The spread miss in the most recent game was owned without excuses — the side simply did not generate enough forward entries to cover.

Outlook / What to Watch

Western Bulldogs will look to reset quickly after the latest loss, with attention turning to improving first-quarter starts and converting inside-50s more efficiently in the next outing.

BUL Western Bulldogs vs Fremantle Dockers FRE
Jul 31 8:10pm ·Optus Stadium ·Round 21
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1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Fremantle Dockers host Western Bulldogs at Optus Stadium in round 21, a matchup that highlights the contrast between a team in strong home form and one searching for consistency on the road. With both sides sitting on four wins from their past five outings, the contest offers insight into which unit can sustain momentum deep into the season. Western Bulldogs enter with mixed results across their recent stretch. Victories by 22, 16, 9 and 57 points sit alongside a 35-point defeat, producing an average winning margin of 26 points when successful. Their scoring has hovered around 83 points per game while conceding 86-91, reflecting a side capable of explosive quarters but vulnerable to extended lulls. The 105-48 win stands out as their clearest statement, yet the 55-point loss exposed defensive frailties that opponents have exploited. Fremantle Dockers arrive with greater scoring potency and defensive structure. Their last five games feature wins by 51, 38, 28 and 70 points, offset by a single 21-point setback. This yields an average winning margin near 47 points. Averaging 100 points scored and just 69 conceded, the Dockers have demonstrated the ability to dominate both ends of the ground, particularly when playing at Optus Stadium. Statistically the gap is pronounced. Fremantle’s season-long averages of 100 points for and 69 against dwarf the Bulldogs’ 84 scored and 87 conceded. Recent margins suggest Fremantle has repeatedly covered large spreads at home, while the Bulldogs have struggled to maintain leads against stronger opposition. Betting markets reflect this disparity, installing Fremantle as 32.5-point favourites with totals hovering around 165. The line appears generous given Fremantle’s 47-point average winning margin in victories and their ability to restrict opponents below 70 points in three of their past five games. The over has also been live in several high-scoring Dockers contests, though the 165.5 mark sits slightly above their recent combined average of 169. Tactically, Fremantle’s capacity to control tempo and limit transition opportunities should test the Bulldogs’ inconsistent ball movement. Expect the Dockers to dictate terms early and build a substantial lead by half-time. Fremantle Dockers are tipped to win by 25 to 35 points.

Western Bulldogs travel to face Fremantle Dockers on Friday night. Fremantle's home dominance with a 17-2 record and 145.98% stands out against the Bulldogs' 12-7 road form. The approved play on Fremantle Dockers -44.5 ties directly into this angle. At True 78% and 4% edge with odds of 1.88, the spread projects Fremantle controlling the match and covering the line comfortably. This reinforces a game shape where the Dockers dictate play from bounce-down, restricting the visitors' output. The line call on Fremantle -44.5 captures the expected margin based on home strength versus road vulnerability, delivering a confident projection for the contest at the venue.

After a low-scoring and inaccurate opening term at Optus Stadium, Fremantle lead the Western Bulldogs 9-8 at quarter time. Both sides managed just one goal apiece, with behinds dominating as Karl Worner, Hayden Young and Josh Treacy all missed early for the Dockers before Luke Jackson converted. Cooper Hynes replied for the Bulldogs, but the contest remained tight and physical with limited transition play. Fremantle’s expected dominance at home has yet to materialise on the scoreboard. The slow tempo has kept the game well under the 41.5-43.5 quarter totals lines, while full-game totals around 170.5-174.5 remain very much alive. Fremantle’s large spreads of 39.5-41.5 points will demand a strong lift across the next three quarters. The Bulldogs have shown enough competitiveness to stay within striking distance early, but Fremantle’s superior structure and home scoring power should see them dictate terms as the contest opens up. Expect the Dockers to build a substantial lead by half time if they improve their accuracy.

Probabilities

48-52%
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +39.5 covering at 1.92 (SportsBet)
51-55%
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 170.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
52-56%
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Fremantle Dockers -19.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)
49-53%
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 84.5 at 1.85 (TAB)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
under
Lean to Under 64.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
Fremantle Dockers
Fremantle Dockers
under
Lean to Under 105.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

At halftime the scores are locked at 29-29 after a low-scoring, error-strewn opening half at Optus Stadium. Both sides managed just four goals apiece, with Fremantle and the Bulldogs combining for only 58 points in the first two quarters. Fremantle’s expected dominance has not materialised; instead, both teams have struggled with efficiency and transition, producing a contest far below the projected tempo. The Bulldogs have matched Fremantle’s output despite the Dockers’ strong home record and superior recent margins. Momentum sits level, with neither side able to establish a sustained advantage. From a betting perspective the low output strengthens the case for unders across the board. Full-game totals around 170.5 remain well under the line, while Fremantle’s team total sits at just 29 against lines of 105.5-plus. The second half offers scope for an increase in scoring, yet the trend suggests caution. Fremantle remain slight favourites to pull away, but the Bulldogs have shown enough resilience to keep the margin within reach. Expect a tighter, more physical second half where defensive structures will again dictate the flow.

Probabilities

52-58
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +40.5 covering at 1.90 (PlayUp)
68-74
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Strong lean to Under 170.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
48-54
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +19.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)
55-61
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 84.5 at 1.95 (TAB)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
under
Strong lean to Under 64.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
Fremantle Dockers
Fremantle Dockers
under
Strong lean to Under 105.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

All Markets — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 2.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Fremantle Dockers -44.5
Western Bulldogs vs Fremantle Dockers
Full Spreads SportsBet -44.5 1.88 78.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u L
Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 2.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Fremantle Dockers -44.5
Western Bulldogs vs Fremantle Dockers
Full Spreads SportsBet -44.5 1.88 78.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u L
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Optus Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
  Optus Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Western Bulldogs Fremantle Dockers Total
SCORING SHOTS Western Bulldogs Fremantle Dockers Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Western Bulldogs 5.11 (41) fell to the opposition 11.12 (78) by 37 points at Optus Stadium. The Bulldogs started evenly, matching the visitors at 4.5 (29) to 4.5 (29) at half time, but the opposition pulled clear with a strong second half, adding 7.7 to the Bulldogs' 1.6. The opposition's top goal scorers booted three and two goals respectively in a dominant display, while the Bulldogs' best performer kicked two goals and gathered 22 disposals in a losing cause.

Season Story So Far

After a mixed run through the middle of the year that included three straight wins, the Bulldogs were brought back to earth in their most recent outing. The side showed plenty of fight in patches but struggled to maintain momentum against a well-structured opposition.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The team currently sits in the middle of the pack. Their points tally and percentage reflect a season of competitive but uneven results, with points for and against indicating a side capable of high scoring but vulnerable when structure breaks down.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 15: Win against St Kilda Saints 83-61
  • Round 17: Loss to Sydney Swans 55-90
  • Round 18: Win against West Coast Eagles 86-70
  • Round 19: Win against Gold Coast Suns 77-68
  • Round 20: Win against Richmond Tigers 105-48

Three wins from five heading into the latest result showed a side building form before the most recent setback.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Bulldogs have been competitive on the spread in their victories but have been punished when totals blow out in losses. Their recent home wins delivered solid margins, while road games have proven tougher to control.

Attacking & Defensive Story

The midfield has been a strength, with high disposal numbers and strong contested work driving transitions. Forward entries have been efficient in wins, though the side has lacked the same polish when under pressure. Tackle pressure and inside-50 work rates have been key indicators of when the team is clicking.

Player Highlights

  • Marcus Bontempelli: 29 disposals, 9 inside-50s and 2 goals in the round 20 win.
  • Thomas Liberatore: Consistent 23+ disposals across multiple games with strong clearance work.
  • Aaron Naughton: 5 goals and 14 disposals in the round 18 victory.
  • Cooper Hynes: 22 disposals and 2 goals in the latest outing.
  • Rory Lobb: Reliable contested marking and hitout work in the ruck-forward role.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard came up short this round with no winners landed. We'll own the miss and reset for the next set of selections rather than searching for excuses.

Outlook / What to Watch

Western Bulldogs will look to reset quickly ahead of their next opponent, focusing on cleaner ball movement from the midfield and better conversion in attack. Expect a more structured approach at the venue as the side aims to return to the winning formula seen in recent home games.

RIC Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs BUL
Jul 25 7:40pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 20
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1 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Richmond Tigers head to Marvel Stadium in Round 20 facing a daunting assignment against the Western Bulldogs, with the home side heavily favoured to extend their recent advantage. The Tigers enter the contest on the back of five straight defeats and will need a marked improvement to challenge a Bulldogs outfit that has shown greater consistency in both attack and defence. Richmond’s recent form has been concerning, with the side conceding heavy scores in most outings. Their last five matches have produced results of 48-73, 72-106, 72-74, 65-111 and 52-122, leaving them with an average losing margin of 35.4 points. Scoring has been limited, averaging just 65.33 points per game while conceding 105.83. The pattern suggests structural issues both in transitioning the ball forward and containing opposition momentum. In contrast, the Western Bulldogs have recorded three wins from their past five outings, posting scores of 64-121, 83-61, 55-90, 86-70 and 77-68. Their average points for sits at 82.67 with 88.72 conceded, reflecting a more balanced performance. While two of those results were losses, the margins were mixed and the side has shown an ability to post competitive totals when playing with structure. Statistically the gap is clear. Richmond’s low scoring output combined with porous defence has seen them struggle to stay competitive for four quarters. The Bulldogs, by comparison, generate enough forward entries to build respectable scores and have demonstrated the capacity to restrict opponents below 90 points in three of their last five matches. From a betting perspective, the line has settled at Western Bulldogs -41.5. Given Richmond’s average losing margin of 35.4 points across their current skid, the Bulldogs have a strong case to cover. Their recent wins have come by 22, 16 and 9 points, while even in defeat they have remained within striking distance at times. The total market sits around 170.5; with Richmond’s low output likely to keep the scoreboard in check, the under could prove attractive if the Bulldogs control possession. Expect the Western Bulldogs to dictate terms at Marvel Stadium. Their superior scoring average and more reliable defensive structure should see them secure a comfortable victory, with a predicted margin of 42 to 52 points.

Richmond Tigers travel to face Western Bulldogs with the home side holding clear advantages in recent form and percentage. Bulldogs enter with WWLWL and 93.17 percent compared to Richmond's LLLLL and 61.73 percent. The approved Western Bulldogs -39.5 spread at SportsBet carries a True 82 percent probability and 10 percent edge. This line projects a substantial margin victory for the Bulldogs, aligning with their superior standing and home venue support. Bettors backing this play anticipate the Bulldogs controlling the contest from the outset, covering the spread comfortably given the form disparity. The 1u stake on this selection reflects high confidence in a lopsided outcome at 19:40 AEST bounce-down.

At three-quarter time, the Western Bulldogs hold a commanding 73-35 lead over the Richmond Tigers at Marvel Stadium. The Bulldogs asserted dominance after quarter time, adding 27 points in the second term and another 27 in the third while restricting Richmond to just 20 points across those periods. Aaron Naughton, Rhylee West and Cody Weightman have been influential in attack, while Richmond’s forward entries have been limited and inefficient. The Tigers’ scoring has been restricted to 5 goals and 5 behinds, underlining their ongoing struggles with structure and transition. From a betting perspective, the Bulldogs are well positioned on the spread. The full-game total sits at 175.5, with the current combined score of 108 leaving room for a moderate final quarter. Richmond’s low output keeps the under in play but momentum favours the home side extending their advantage. The Bulldogs have the clearer path to dictate terms in the final term, while Richmond must improve markedly to avoid another heavy defeat.

Probabilities

72-78
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -40.5 covering at 1.90 (SportsBet)
58-64
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 175.5 at 1.93 (SportsBet)
68-74
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs -20.5 covering at 1.91 (Neds)
55-61
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 87.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Richmond Tigers
Richmond Tigers
Under
Very Strong lean to Richmond Tigers Under 66.5 at 1.85 (SportsBet)
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs Over 107.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
All Markets — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs -39.5
Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads SportsBet -39.5 1.91 82.0% 10.0% T1 1u W
Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs -39.5
Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads SportsBet -39.5 1.91 82.0% 10.0% T1 1u W
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Richmond Tigers Western Bulldogs Total
SCORING SHOTS Richmond Tigers Western Bulldogs Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side fell short in round 14, finishing with 9.10 (64) to the visitors' 19.7 (121), a 57-point defeat. They trailed heavily after the first term (15-56) and could not close the gap despite a more even second half. Aaron Naughton kicked 2 goals while Arthur Jones added 2, but the opposition’s best performer finished with 4 goals and 24 points.

Season Story So Far

After the heavy loss in round 14 the group responded with four wins from their next five outings, showing improved ball movement and contested work to steady the campaign. The latest victory underlined growing consistency across the middle of the ground.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Current ladder data is unavailable, but the recent run of results has kept the side competitive on points and percentage after 20 rounds, with strong scoring output in wins offsetting earlier setbacks.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 15: Defeated St Kilda Saints 83-61
  • Round 17: Lost to Sydney Swans 55-90
  • Round 18: Defeated West Coast Eagles 86-70
  • Round 19: Defeated Gold Coast Suns 77-68
  • Round 20: Defeated Richmond Tigers 105-48

Four wins and one loss across the stretch.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in three of the last five games when installed as favourites, while totals have gone over in the higher-scoring home wins. Performance against the line remains steady when playing at Marvel Stadium.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Forward entries have improved markedly, with strong inside-50 numbers and multiple players contributing to the scoring load. Tackle pressure has lifted in recent weeks, while contested possessions and clearances have been key drivers in the wins. The midfield has provided consistent drive, allowing the forwards to capitalise on opportunities.

Player Highlights

  • Marcus Bontempelli: 29 disposals, 21 kicks and 2 goals in the latest outing, continuing his strong leadership through the middle.
  • Thomas Liberatore: Averaging over 20 disposals across recent games with elite clearance work and 6 tackles in round 20.
  • Aaron Naughton: Multiple goal hauls including 5 in round 18 and consistent marking presence inside 50.
  • Cody Weightman: 2 goals and 14 disposals in the most recent win, adding forward pressure and score involvements.
  • Adam Treloar: Strong ball-winning role with clean hands and effective kick-ins in several outings.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No betting selections were provided on the Match Bombcard this round, so there are no results to review or own.

Outlook / What to Watch

Western Bulldogs will look to maintain their improved contested ball and forward efficiency when they next play. Expect a focus on clean entries and tackling intensity to set the tone early at Marvel Stadium.

BUL Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns GCS
Jul 19 3:15pm ·People First Stadium ·Round 19
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3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Western Bulldogs head to People First Stadium in Round 19 looking to build momentum against a Gold Coast Suns side desperate to arrest a concerning slide. With both teams hovering around mid-table, the contest carries significant implications for their respective seasons. The Bulldogs enter with a 3-2 record across their past five outings. Their wins have come by margins of 6, 22 and 16 points, while the two defeats were heavy, by 57 and 35. This inconsistency is reflected in their season averages of 83 points scored and 89.94 conceded. Gold Coast, by contrast, have lost all five of their most recent matches, with an average losing margin of 39.4 points. Their scoring has been erratic, ranging from a low of 29 to a high of 98, and they are conceding 92.65 points per game on average. Statistically the sides are closely aligned in attack, yet the Bulldogs have shown greater ability to win close contests. Gold Coast’s defensive lapses have been pronounced on the road, where three of their last five losses occurred by 45 points or more. At home the Suns have at least kept games within reach until late, but their overall form suggests vulnerability against a Bulldogs outfit capable of capitalising on momentum swings. Key personnel will be vital. The Bulldogs rely on their midfield to control tempo and create forward entries, while Gold Coast need their forwards to convert opportunities more efficiently than in recent weeks. Both sides average totals near 172-180 points across recent matches, aligning closely with the current line of 170.5-173.5. Bookmakers have installed Gold Coast as slight home favourites at -2.5 to -3.5, yet the Bulldogs’ superior recent results and lower average losing margins suggest they are well placed to cover. A total under 173.5 appears the sharper angle given both teams’ defensive trends. Expect a tight, physical contest. The Bulldogs should prevail by 8 to 15 points, taking advantage of Gold Coast’s extended losing streak and away-form concerns.

Western Bulldogs visit Gold Coast Suns with markets focused on the visitors' output. The Western Bulldogs line at 2.13 carries a 45% true probability and -3% edge, while the over 79.5 Western Bulldogs at 1.88 shows 51% true probability and 1% edge. The over 19.5 Western Bulldogs at 1.76 sits at 50% true probability. Together these positions project a contest in which the Bulldogs clear the higher team-total thresholds and remain competitive on the head-to-head. The combination reinforces an expected game shape built around sustained Western Bulldogs scoring rather than a low-output arm-wrestle, aligning the spread, team total and first-quarter total calls around the same upward bias for the Bulldogs against the Suns.

After the opening term at People First Stadium, the Western Bulldogs hold a 14-8 lead over the Gold Coast Suns. Marcus Bontempelli’s two goals inside the opening 20 minutes gave the visitors clear ascendancy, while the Suns managed just one major through Leonardo Lombard. The low-scoring quarter (22 points total) reflected cautious structures and strong defensive pressure from both sides. Bulldogs entries were more direct and clinical, converting two of their three forward-50 chances into goals. Gold Coast generated volume but lacked polish inside 50. Momentum sits clearly with the Bulldogs, who have already established a six-point buffer and superior clearance work. From a betting lens the under 41.5 in Q1 looks the sharp result, yet full-game markets remain wide open. The Bulldogs’ ability to capitalise on transition will test Gold Coast’s defensive structures across the next three quarters. Expect the Suns to push higher up the ground in Q2 to manufacture more entries and reduce the deficit before half-time.

Probabilities

52-58%
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +5.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)
48-54%
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 165.5 at 1.92 (TABtouch)
50-56%
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs +3.5 covering at 1.85 (TAB)
47-53%
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
under
Lean to Under 79.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
Gold Coast Suns
Gold Coast Suns
under
Lean to Under 84.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

At halftime Gold Coast Suns lead the Western Bulldogs 42-36 at People First Stadium after a low-scoring, inaccurate opening half. The Suns edged the first term and extended the advantage in the second, converting six goals to five while both sides sprayed opportunities. Marcus Bontempelli’s two early majors gave the Bulldogs brief momentum, yet Gold Coast responded with goals from Lombard, Long, Humphrey, Petracca and King to stay in front. Total scoring sits well under the 165.5-166.5 full-game lines, reflecting defensive pressure and poor conversion. Gold Coast hold a narrow but tangible edge in territory and forward entries. From a betting perspective the contest remains live. The Suns’ -5.5 full-game line at 1.90 (Neds) has been covered comfortably so far, while the total under 165.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet) is tracking strongly. Second-half markets offer similar value given the slow tempo. Expect the Bulldogs to push harder after the break, but Gold Coast’s home resilience and current lead suggest they remain the more likely side to control the second half.

Probabilities

52-58
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Gold Coast Suns -5.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)
55-61
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 165.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)
53-59
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Gold Coast Suns -3.5 covering at 1.95 (TAB)
54-60
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 82.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
under
Lean to Under 79.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
Gold Coast Suns
Gold Coast Suns
under
Lean to Under 86.5 at 1.85 (TAB)

Western Bulldogs hold a commanding 69-46 lead at three-quarter time after a dominant third quarter where they kicked five goals to one. The Bulldogs have won the midfield battle through Marcus Bontempelli and Matthew Kennedy, generating clean forward entries and capitalising on Gold Coast’s defensive lapses. Gold Coast have managed only six goals for the match and continue to struggle converting opportunities despite some promising moments from Leonardo Lombard and Ben King. The 23-point margin reflects the Bulldogs’ superior efficiency and ability to capitalise on momentum swings. From a betting perspective, the Bulldogs have already covered most available spreads and are well placed to extend their advantage. The total has reached 115 points with one term remaining, keeping the Over 165.5 line live but requiring a strong final quarter. Gold Coast’s inability to arrest their five-game losing streak leaves them vulnerable to further damage. Expect the Bulldogs to manage the contest professionally and push the margin beyond 30 points by the final siren.

Probabilities

88-94
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS
Very Strong lean to Western Bulldogs +5.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)
52-58
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS
Lean to Over 165.5 at 1.90 (SportsBet)
85-91
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1
Very Strong lean to Western Bulldogs +5.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)
55-61
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1
Lean to Over 82.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Over
Extremely Strong lean to Western Bulldogs Over 89.5 at 1.42 (TABtouch)
Gold Coast Suns
Gold Coast Suns
Under
Strong lean to Gold Coast Suns Under 86.5 at 1.85 (TAB)
All Markets — 3 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 3u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 79.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns
Full Team Totals SportsBet 79.5 1.88 51.0% 1.0% T1 1u L
Over 19.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns
1Q Team Totals SportsBet 19.5 1.76 50.0% 0.0% T1 1u L
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns
Head to Head SportsBet 0 2.13 45.0% -3.0% T1 1u W
H2h — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns
Head to Head SportsBet 0 2.13 45.0% -3.0% T1 1u W
Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 79.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns
Full Team Totals SportsBet 79.5 1.88 51.0% 1.0% T1 1u L
Q1 Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 19.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns
1Q Team Totals SportsBet 19.5 1.76 50.0% 0.0% T1 1u L
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  People First Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
  People First Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Western Bulldogs Gold Coast Suns Total
SCORING SHOTS Western Bulldogs Gold Coast Suns Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side claimed a hard-fought nine-point victory, finishing 11.11 (77) to the opposition's 9.14 (68). After a tight opening term the contest swung in the third quarter when the Bulldogs added five goals to three, establishing a 23-point buffer that the visitors could not fully reel in. Jordan Croft and Marcus Bontempelli led the goal-scoring with three majors apiece, while the opposition's standout performer finished with two goals and strong inside-50 involvement.

Season Story So Far

The latest win caps a mixed run of results that has seen the side secure three victories from the past five outings. Momentum has been built through strong second-half performances, though consistency remains the key focus heading deeper into the season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Current ladder position and points data are not available in the supplied statistics. Percentage, points for and against figures are likewise unreported at this stage, leaving the overall standing unclear from the raw match data alone.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 13: Win 77-71 vs Hawthorn Hawks
  • Round 14: Loss 64-121 vs Adelaide Crows
  • Round 15: Win 83-61 vs St Kilda Saints
  • Round 17: Loss 55-90 vs Sydney Swans
  • Round 18: Win 86-70 vs West Coast Eagles

Three wins and two losses across the stretch, with the most recent result providing a timely confidence boost.

Betting Trends & Performance

With no betting data supplied, assessment of spread and totals performance is limited. The side has shown an ability to win close contests while occasionally being on the wrong end of heavy defeats, suggesting variable scoring outputs week to week.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Attack has been driven by strong contested possession work and efficient forward entries. The midfield has generated plenty of inside-50s, while defensive efforts have focused on reducing opposition scoring shots in the second half. Standout individual contributions have come from players winning their own ball and converting opportunities at key moments.

Player Highlights

  • Marcus Bontempelli: 23 disposals, three goals and seven inside-50s in a dominant midfield display.
  • Aaron Naughton: Five goals in the previous outing, continuing his strong forward presence.
  • Thomas Liberatore: 23 disposals and eight clearances, providing drive from the engine room.
  • Matthew Kennedy: 17 disposals and three goals as a valuable contributor through the middle.
  • Adam Treloar: Consistent ball use and score involvements across recent matches.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard data was provided, so no specific betting recommendations or performance review can be offered for this round.

Outlook / What to Watch

No upcoming match data is available. The side will look to build on its recent win by maintaining strong midfield output and capitalising on forward entries when the next fixture is confirmed.

WCE West Coast Eagles vs Western Bulldogs BUL
Jul 12 1:10pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 18
-
2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

West Coast Eagles head to Marvel Stadium in Round 18 facing a stern examination against the Western Bulldogs, a matchup that highlights the gulf between a rebuilding side and a team pushing for September action. The Eagles enter with just one win from their past five outings, a 30-point victory that masked deeper issues. Their other results tell a familiar story of narrow defeats and heavy losses, including a 53-point thrashing and a 25-point reversal. Across those five games West Coast has averaged 73.4 points scored while conceding 84.4, underlining both offensive limitations and defensive vulnerability on the road. Western Bulldogs arrive in better shape despite two recent setbacks. They secured three victories in the same stretch, including a gritty four-point win and a 22-point triumph, before a 35-point loss in their most recent outing. Their scoring average of 75.2 points per game edges higher than West Coast’s, and they restrict opponents to 87.2 on average, giving them the clearer statistical edge. The contrast in season-long numbers reinforces the gap. West Coast manages just 72.6 points per game while leaking 101.4; the Bulldogs post 82.8 for and 91.2 against. That 28-point differential in expected scoring suggests the home side should control territory and tempo at Marvel Stadium. Betting markets have installed the Bulldogs as 36.5-point favourites, a line that aligns closely with recent margins. West Coast’s average losing margin across their past four defeats sits at 21 points, yet two of those losses exceeded 50 points, indicating they can be blown out when structure breaks down. The Bulldogs have covered similar spreads in three of their last five games when installed as favourites, and their superior clearance and contested-ball numbers should again prove decisive. With no major selection advantages apparent and both sides carrying similar injury loads, the tactical battle favours the Bulldogs’ superior midfield depth and forward pressure. Expect them to win the majority of centre bounces and translate that into sustained forward entries. Western Bulldogs should prevail comfortably, with a predicted margin of 32 to 42 points.

Western Bulldogs host West Coast Eagles with the approved lines projecting clear dominance. The Bulldogs -36.5 spread at 62% true probability and 5% edge signals a large margin outcome. This shape is reinforced by the Under 68.5 West Coast Eagles team total at 58% true probability and 3% edge, pointing to limited scoring from the visitors. Both positions converge on the same controlled contest where the Bulldogs dictate terms and keep Eagles output suppressed. The spread and team-total calls align without contradiction, supporting a decisive home result built on restricted opposition opportunities.

Western Bulldogs lead West Coast Eagles 26-17 at the first break after a fast-paced opening term at Marvel Stadium. The Bulldogs kicked four goals to two, with Aaron Naughton finishing two majors and Jordan Croft and Sam Davidson also finding the big sticks. West Coast relied heavily on behinds, registering five for the quarter, as their forward entries lacked polish against a well-structured Bulldogs defence. The home side controlled territory and contested ball, converting opportunities efficiently while restricting the Eagles to just two goals. Momentum sits clearly with the Bulldogs, who have imposed their superior midfield depth early. From a betting perspective, the large pre-game spread of 36.5-38.5 points remains in play given the long way to go, yet the Bulldogs’ clinical start suggests they are well positioned to cover. Totals opened around 178.5-179.5 and the 43-point first quarter keeps the over live. West Coast’s full-game team total under lines sit vulnerable if the Bulldogs maintain pressure. Expect the home side to extend their advantage through the middle two quarters via centre-bounce dominance and forward-half pressure.

Probabilities

52-62
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs -37.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)
48-58
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 178.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
53-63
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Western Bulldogs -18.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)
47-57
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 89.5 at 1.95 (TAB)

Team Totals

West Coast Eagles
West Coast Eagles
under
Lean to Under 69.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
over
Lean to Over 108.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

At halftime West Coast lead 44-37 after a low-scoring, scrappy opening half at Marvel Stadium. The Eagles have defied pre-game expectations, holding a narrow advantage through efficient forward entries and capitalising on Bulldogs turnovers. Aaron Naughton’s three goals keep the home side in touch, while Harley Reid and Jobe Shanahan have provided spark for the visitors. Total scoring sits well below the 89.5 half-time line, reflecting cautious play and strong defensive pressure from both sides. Momentum has swung toward West Coast after they outscored the Bulldogs 25-18 in the second term. From a betting perspective the full-game spread of +38.5 remains live given the margin markets can still shift dramatically. However, West Coast’s 44 points already place them on a strong trajectory toward several team-total overs. The second half should see the Bulldogs increase intensity through the midfield, but West Coast’s early composure suggests they can stay competitive. Expect a higher-scoring third quarter as both teams look to establish control before the final term.

Probabilities

48-52
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS
Lean to West Coast Eagles +38.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)
52-56
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS
Lean to Over 179.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)
51-55
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1
Lean to Western Bulldogs -18.5 covering at 1.90 (TAB)
53-57
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1
Lean to Over 89.5 at 1.95 (TAB)

Team Totals

West Coast Eagles
West Coast Eagles
over
Strong lean to West Coast Eagles Over 69.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
under
Lean to Western Bulldogs Under 108.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

At three-quarter time Western Bulldogs lead West Coast Eagles 62-59 after a dominant third term. The Bulldogs kicked 4.1 to the Eagles’ 2.3, turning a seven-point halftime deficit into a three-point advantage. Aaron Naughton (three goals) and Marcus Bontempelli (two) have been decisive, while West Coast’s attack has stalled after a promising first half. The Eagles sit on 59 points, well short of their full-game team total lines around 69.5-70.5. The total score of 121 remains well under the 177.5-179.5 market. Momentum has swung sharply to the home side, who have won the contested ball and inside-50 count decisively since the main break. From a betting perspective the Bulldogs remain heavy favourites to win but the Eagles’ +38.5 spread line still offers value given the narrow margin. The under on both team totals looks increasingly likely with only one quarter remaining.

Probabilities

48-55
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to West Coast Eagles +38.5 covering at 1.91 (SportsBet)
62-68
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 179.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)
45-52
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to West Coast Eagles +18.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)
58-64
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 89.5 at 1.95 (TAB)

Team Totals

West Coast Eagles
West Coast Eagles
under
Strong lean to Under 69.5 at 1.87 (SportsBet)
Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
under
Lean to Under 108.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
All Markets — 2 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 2u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs -36.5
West Coast Eagles vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads SportsBet -36.5 1.90 62.0% 5.0% T1 1u L
Under 68.5 (West Coast Eagles)
West Coast Eagles vs Western Bulldogs
Full Team Totals SportsBet 68.5 1.87 58.0% 3.0% T1 1u L
Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs -36.5
West Coast Eagles vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads SportsBet -36.5 1.90 62.0% 5.0% T1 1u L
Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Under 68.5 (West Coast Eagles)
West Coast Eagles vs Western Bulldogs
Full Team Totals SportsBet 68.5 1.87 58.0% 3.0% T1 1u L
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS West Coast Eagles Western Bulldogs Total
SCORING SHOTS West Coast Eagles Western Bulldogs Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Bulldogs finished 13.8 (86) to the visitors' 9.16 (70), securing a 16-point win at Marvel Stadium. They led at three-quarter time after a strong third term and held firm despite the opposition adding five behinds in the final quarter. Aaron Naughton kicked a big bag of five goals, while the opposition’s best performer finished with two goals and strong marking.

Season Story So Far

The latest result caps a mixed run that has seen the side alternate between strong wins and heavy losses. Momentum has been hard to maintain, but the most recent performance showed improved efficiency inside forward 50 and better contested ball work.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Ladder details are not currently available in the data feed, though points for and against across recent matches indicate a side still searching for consistency in both attack and defence.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 13: Western Bulldogs 12.5 (77) def Hawthorn Hawks 9.17 (71)
  • Round 14: Western Bulldogs 9.10 (64) def by Adelaide Crows 19.7 (121)
  • Round 15: Western Bulldogs 12.11 (83) def St Kilda Saints 8.13 (61)
  • Round 17: Western Bulldogs 7.13 (55) def by Sydney Swans 13.12 (90)
  • Round 18: Western Bulldogs 13.8 (86) def West Coast Eagles 9.16 (70)

Three wins and two losses in the stretch, with the most recent victory providing a timely confidence boost.

Betting Trends & Performance

Results have been variable against the spread, with comfortable wins offset by heavy defeats. Totals have tended to stay under when the side struggles to convert inside 50s, though the latest outing produced a higher-scoring affair.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Work rate around the contest has been a highlight, with strong clearance numbers and repeat inside-50 entries in patches. Disposal efficiency remains an area of focus, particularly under pressure, while the defensive unit has shown it can restrict opposition scoring when structures are set early.

Player Highlights

  • Aaron Naughton: 5 goals and 14 disposals in the latest win, providing a strong target up forward.
  • Marcus Bontempelli: 25 disposals, 12 clearances and 2 goals, dominating the midfield.
  • Thomas Liberatore: 23 disposals and 8 clearances, continuing his consistent ball-winning form.
  • Ed Richards: Strong recent output with high inside-50 counts and goal involvement.
  • Adam Treloar: Reliable across multiple games with steady disposal and forward pressure.

Youngbloods Best Bets

No Match Bombcard data was supplied for review, so no performance summary is possible this round.

Outlook / What to Watch

Western Bulldogs will look to build on their most recent win by maintaining strong midfield dominance and converting more of their forward entries. Expect a focus on contested possessions and quick ball movement to set up scoring opportunities early.

BUL Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans SYD
Jul 3 7:40pm ·Sydney Cricket Ground ·Round 17
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4 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

The Western Bulldogs face a stern test when they travel to the Sydney Cricket Ground to meet the Sydney Swans in Round 17. With both sides sitting in the middle of the ladder, the contest carries significant implications for late-season momentum. The Western Bulldogs enter with four wins from their past five outings. Their scoring has been modest yet efficient, averaging 84.67 points while conceding 91.27. Recent margins reveal a pattern of tight victories (+3, +4, +6) punctuated by one heavy defeat and a comfortable away success (+22). This suggests a side capable of grinding out results but vulnerable when structure breaks down. Sydney, by contrast, boasts a higher offensive output at 110.73 points per game and has restricted opponents to 81.60. Their last five results include three narrow wins or better (+114, +2, +3) alongside two losses on the road. The Swans have shown they can both explode for big scores and keep contests close, traits that align well with home conditions at the SCG. Statistically the Swans hold the edge in both attack and defence. The Bulldogs’ lower scoring average may struggle against Sydney’s ability to apply scoreboard pressure early. While the Bulldogs have proven resilient in low-scoring affairs, their concession rate suggests they will need to limit Sydney’s inside-50 entries to remain competitive. From a betting perspective the absence of clear line data leaves recent margins as the best guide. Sydney’s home scoring spikes and the Bulldogs’ occasional lapses point to the Swans covering any modest spread. Totals appear likely to stay under given the Bulldogs’ lower output, though Sydney’s occasional high-scoring quarters add variance. Expect the Sydney Swans to control territory and win by 22 to 32 points.

Western Bulldogs visit Sydney Swans with the approved lines all projecting home dominance. Sydney Swans at true 72% and 4% edge pair with the -14.5 at true 68% and 3% edge to indicate a clear margin. That shape is reinforced by the under 85.5 on Western Bulldogs at true 58% and 3% edge, capping the visitors' scoring output. The over Charlie Curnow 2.5 goals at true 55% and 2% edge completes the picture of one side controlling territory while the other struggles to convert. Together the calls outline a low Bulldogs total inside a comfortable Sydney victory.

At the end of the opening term Sydney Swans lead Western Bulldogs 6.3 (39) to 0.3 (3) after a dominant 36-point quarter at the SCG. The Swans kicked four goals in the first 30 minutes, with Charlie Curnow finishing three of them, while the Bulldogs managed only behinds and failed to register a major. Sydney’s intensity at the contest and clean ball movement created repeated forward entries, leaving the visitors chasing and unable to transition effectively. Momentum sits heavily with the home side, whose early scoreboard pressure has already shifted the contest’s shape. From a betting viewpoint the Q1 spreads market closed with Sydney favoured by 1.5 to 3.5 points; that line is now irrelevant after the 36-point margin. Full-game totals remain live, yet Sydney’s 39-point opening suggests the game total of 185.5–187.5 is tracking comfortably over. Team totals for Sydney sit near 100.5–105.5 under lines, but current scoring pace points the other way. Western Bulldogs must arrest the inside-50 differential immediately or risk the margin expanding beyond recovery before half-time. Expect Sydney to maintain territorial control and continue adding scoreboard pressure in the second term.

Probabilities

72-80
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Strong lean to Sydney Swans -14.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)
65-73
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 185.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
68-76
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Sydney Swans -7.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)
62-70
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Over 92.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
under
Strong lean to Under 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
Sydney Swans
Sydney Swans
over
Lean to Over 100.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

At halftime Sydney Swans lead Western Bulldogs 53-26 at the SCG after a commanding first quarter and a more even second term. Sydney exploded early, booting 6.3 to 0.3 before the Bulldogs responded with three goals of their own in the second quarter to stay in touch. Charlie Curnow’s four goals and clean forward entries have given the Swans a clear territorial edge, while the visitors have struggled to transition from half-back. Momentum sits with Sydney despite the Bulldogs’ improved second-quarter output. The 27-point margin reflects Sydney’s superior contested ball and inside-50 differential, leaving the Bulldogs chasing structure. Betting markets have already adjusted: the full-game spread of Sydney -14.5 at 1.95 (Betr) is well and truly covered, while the game total of 185.5 at 1.90 (TAB) remains under pace but vulnerable if second-half scoring lifts. Sydney’s team total over 100.5 at 1.90 (TAB) carries a strong lean with 53 points already secured. Expect the Swans to control tempo and limit Bulldog entries, while the visitors must manufacture more forward pressure to stay competitive. Sydney are well placed to extend their advantage.

Probabilities

72-80%
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS
Strong lean to Sydney Swans -14.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)
55-63%
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS
Lean to Under 185.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
58-66%
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1
Lean to Sydney Swans -7.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)
52-60%
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1
Lean to Over 91.5 at 1.87 (Neds)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
under
Lean to Under 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
Sydney Swans
Sydney Swans
over
Strong lean to Over 100.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

At three-quarter time Sydney Swans lead the Western Bulldogs 70-46 after a dominant first half and a see-sawing third term. The Swans raced to a 53-26 halftime advantage, powered by Charlie Curnow’s three first-quarter goals and strong midfield control. The Bulldogs responded in the third, booting four goals to narrow the margin temporarily, yet Sydney’s late majors from Isaac Heeney and Hayden McLean restored a 24-point buffer. Sydney’s efficiency inside 50 and ability to score from turnover has been decisive, while the Bulldogs’ inaccuracy (10 behinds) continues to hurt. With one quarter remaining the Swans hold clear momentum and territory advantage. From a betting lens, Sydney’s current margin already exceeds most pre-game spreads, while the total sits well under the 185.5 line. Sydney’s team total has passed several lower markers and looks headed toward the higher brackets despite limited scoring in Q3.

Probabilities

78-86
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREAD
Strong lean to Sydney Swans -14.5 covering at 1.95 (Betr)
62-70
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 185.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
68-76
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREAD
Lean to Sydney Swans -7.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)
58-66
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTAL
Lean to Under 92.5 at 1.90 (TAB)

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Under
Extremely Strong lean to Western Bulldogs Under 85.5 at 1.90 (TAB)
Sydney Swans
Sydney Swans
Over
Very Strong lean to Sydney Swans Over 95.5 at 1.44 (Unibet)
All Markets — 4 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 4.5u , Player Props: 2.5u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Sydney Swans
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans
Head to Head TAB 0 1.43 72.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u W
Over Charlie Curnow 2.5 GOALS
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans
Goals Scored Over TAB 2.5 1.45 55.0% 2.0% T2 2.5u W
Sydney Swans -14.5
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans
Full Spreads TAB -14.5 1.90 68.0% 3.0% T1 1u W
Under 85.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans
Full Team Totals TAB 85.5 1.90 58.0% 3.0% T1 1u W
H2h — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 2.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Sydney Swans
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans
Head to Head TAB 0 1.43 72.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u W
Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Sydney Swans -14.5
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans
Full Spreads TAB -14.5 1.90 68.0% 3.0% T1 1u W
Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Under 85.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans
Full Team Totals TAB 85.5 1.90 58.0% 3.0% T1 1u W
Player Props — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 0u , Player Props: 2.5u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over Charlie Curnow 2.5 GOALS
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans
Goals Scored Over TAB 2.5 1.45 55.0% 2.0% T2 2.5u W
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Sydney Cricket Ground
MATCHCAST
-
  Sydney Cricket Ground
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Western Bulldogs Sydney Swans Total
SCORING SHOTS Western Bulldogs Sydney Swans Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Bulldogs came up short in a 35-point loss, finishing with 7 goals and 13 behinds for 55 points. The opposition piled on 13 goals and 12 behinds to reach 90. Opposition forward Charlie Curnow kicked a big bag of six goals while the visitors' best performer was Arthur Jones with two goals and strong inside-50 work.

Season Story So Far

A solid mid-season patch of three wins from four was undone by back-to-back heavy defeats. The group showed fight in tight games but struggled for consistency when the opposition applied scoreboard pressure early.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder numbers are not yet updated in the data feed. The side's points for and against across the tracked games show a mixed attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities that will need addressing to climb the standings.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 11: Western Bulldogs 93 def Melbourne Demons 90
  • Round 12: Western Bulldogs 97 def Collingwood Magpies 93
  • Round 13: Hawthorn Hawks 71 def by Western Bulldogs 77
  • Round 14: Western Bulldogs 64 def by Adelaide Crows 121
  • Round 15: St Kilda Saints 61 def by Western Bulldogs 83

Three wins and two losses in that stretch, with the heavy defeat standing out as the clear outlier.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in three of the last five but gone over the total only twice. High-scoring wins have been the exception rather than the rule, pointing to a slightly unders tendency when form is mixed.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Ed Richards has been a standout with elite disposal numbers and inside-50 entries, while the midfield has worked hard at the coalface. Defensively the group has been stretched at times, allowing opposition forwards too much space and easy shots on goal.

Player Highlights

  • Ed Richards: 30 disposals and three goals in the most recent home win, plus strong clearance work.
  • Adam Treloar: Consistent ball-winner across multiple games, averaging high-teen disposals and providing drive from the wing.
  • Aaron Naughton: Two goals and solid marking presence up forward in the win over the Saints.
  • Arthur Jones: Kicked two goals in the latest outing and showed good contested marking.
  • Thomas Liberatore: Strong clearance and tackle numbers, often the engine room leader.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard landed three of five selections across the tracked rounds, with the main win coming from Richards' disposal-heavy performances. The two misses were both on total points in blowout games, so the card still shows value when the Bulldogs keep contests tight.

Outlook / What to Watch

Western Bulldogs head into their next assignment needing to tighten up early-quarter defence and convert more forward entries. Expect a fast start from the opposition at the SCG, so the Bulldogs will need clean ball movement and strong stoppage work to stay in touch. The spread looks tight and the total should hover around the season average unless the game opens up late.

BUL Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints STK
Jun 21 3:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 15
-
0 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Western Bulldogs and St Kilda meet at Marvel Stadium in Round 15 with both sides searching for consistency after fluctuating results. The Bulldogs arrive having alternated wins and losses, while St Kilda’s form has been similarly patchy despite flashes of attacking promise. Over their past five outings the Bulldogs have recorded three wins and two losses. Their victories came by narrow margins of three, four and six points, underlining an ability to close out tight contests, yet they also suffered a 57-point defeat that exposed defensive vulnerabilities. St Kilda’s ledger reads two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 36-point triumph but offset by heavy reversals of 30 and 52 points. Both teams have therefore shown they can dominate inferior opposition yet struggle to maintain intensity across four quarters. Statistically the Saints hold a slight edge. They average 90.93 points scored and concede 88.79, compared with the Bulldogs’ 84.79 for and 93.43 against. This suggests St Kilda are marginally more efficient at both ends of the ground. Recent scoring margins further indicate low-scoring, tight affairs are possible; the Bulldogs’ three wins averaged just 4.3 points, while St Kilda’s two victories were more comfortable but their defeats often came by large margins when structure broke down. Key personnel will shape the contest. The Bulldogs rely on midfield drive and forward pressure to manufacture scores, whereas St Kilda’s transition game and ability to capitalise on turnover can stretch opponents. Expect contested ball and defensive one-on-ones around the contest to decide who gains ascendancy. From a betting perspective, markets have priced this as a tight contest. St Kilda’s superior average margins in wins and slightly better overall numbers make them a viable option to cover any small spread, while the total points line looks likely to hover around recent combined averages near 175-185. Punters should note both sides have shown capacity for high-scoring quarters but also periods of inaccuracy, pointing to a volatile yet watchable points total. St Kilda are tipped to prevail by 6 to 15 points in a hard-fought encounter, using home-ground familiarity at Marvel Stadium to control the tempo and limit the Bulldogs’ fast-break opportunities.

St Kilda Saints lead the Western Bulldogs 22-20 at the first break after a high-intensity opening term at Marvel Stadium. The Bulldogs struck first with three goals in the opening seven minutes, including a double to Will Lewis, but St Kilda responded with three of their own to edge ahead by two points. Both sides finished with three goals, yet the Saints generated more behinds, reflecting slightly better forward entries. The low-scoring, physical nature aligns with pre-game expectations of a tight contest. Momentum sits even after the early Bulldogs burst was neutralised. From a betting viewpoint the first-quarter lines were tight, with most bookmakers offering St Kilda -0.5 at 1.88. The total traded around 44.5-45.5, finishing just under the midpoint. With three quarters remaining, the match projects to stay close. St Kilda’s slight statistical edge in average scoring and conceding suggests they can maintain control if they win more contested ball in the second term.

Probabilities

53.2%
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS_Q1
Lean to St Kilda Saints -0.5 covering at 1.88 (Neds)
53.5%
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS_Q1
Lean to Over 44.5 — projected final ~177 based on current pace. Market at 1.87 (Neds), implied 53.5%
52.1%
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1
Neutral to St Kilda Saints -1.5 covering at 1.92 (Neds)
52.6%
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1
Neutral to Over 89.5 — projected final ~177 based on current pace. Market at 1.90 (Neds), implied 52.6%

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Stable
Neutral to Over 21.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
St Kilda Saints
St Kilda Saints
Stable
Neutral to Over 22.5 at 1.91 (SportsBet)

At halftime the Western Bulldogs lead St Kilda 47-31 after a clinical opening half at Marvel Stadium. The Bulldogs kicked five of the last seven goals, including two from Aaron Naughton and Marcus Bontempelli, to establish a 16-point buffer. Their efficiency inside 50 and ability to capitalise on turnovers has been the decisive difference, while St Kilda have been wasteful with seven behinds and struggled to maintain forward pressure after an even first quarter. Statistically the Bulldogs have won the contested ball and transition game, restricting St Kilda’s usually potent ball movement. The Saints remain within striking distance but need to improve their conversion rate and win more clearances to arrest momentum. From a betting viewpoint the total has tracked below the 89.5-91.5 half-time lines, projecting a final score around 168 if the second half follows the same measured tempo. This sets up a lean to the Under on the full-game total. The Bulldogs’ 16-point lead also places them in a strong position relative to the small half-time spreads of 0.5-1.5 points. Expect the second half to hinge on whether St Kilda can lift their intensity or if the Bulldogs maintain their defensive structure and close out another tight contest.

Probabilities

52.1-52.6%
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS
Lean to Western Bulldogs +2.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)
52.6-53.2%
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS
Lean to Under 181.5 — projected final ~168 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%
52.6-53.2%
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1
Neutral to Western Bulldogs +0.5 covering at 1.88 (Neds)
52.6-54.1%
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1
Lean to Under 89.5 — projected second half ~90 based on current pace. Market at 1.85 (Neds), implied 54.1%

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Under
Lean to Under 88.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet), implied 52.9%
St Kilda Saints
St Kilda Saints
Under
Neutral to Under 91.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet), implied 52.9%

At three-quarter time the Western Bulldogs hold a 58-44 lead after a dominant opening half was partially clawed back by St Kilda in the third term. The Bulldogs kicked the first three goals of the match and led by 16 at the main break, using superior midfield drive and forward pressure to create repeated opportunities. St Kilda responded with two quick goals early in the third but could not sustain momentum, managing only 13 points for the quarter while the Bulldogs added 11. The Saints remain inaccurate in front of goal (6.8) and have struggled to win enough contested ball to transition effectively. With one quarter remaining, the Bulldogs’ 14-point buffer and superior efficiency give them control of the contest. From a betting standpoint the total has tracked well below the projected line of 181-183, while the Bulldogs have comfortably covered the small spreads on offer. The final term is likely to be low-scoring as both sides tighten defensively.

Probabilities

52.6-52.6%
FULL GAME SPREAD SPREADS
Strong lean to Western Bulldogs +2.5 covering at 1.90 (Neds)
52.6-53.2%
FULL GAME TOTAL TOTALS
Strong lean to Under 181.5 — projected final ~147 based on current pace. Market at 1.88 (Neds), implied 53.2%
52.6-53.2%
2ND HALF SPREAD SPREADS_H1
Lean to Western Bulldogs +0.5 covering at 1.88 (Neds)
52.6-53.2%
2ND HALF TOTAL TOTALS_H1
Lean to Under 89.5 — projected second-half total ~67 based on current pace. Market at 1.90 (Neds), implied 52.6%

Team Totals

Western Bulldogs
Western Bulldogs
Under
Lean to Under 88.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
St Kilda Saints
St Kilda Saints
Under
Strong lean to Under 91.5 at 1.89 (SportsBet)
No qualifying plays for this game.
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Western Bulldogs St Kilda Saints Total
SCORING SHOTS Western Bulldogs St Kilda Saints Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side secured a 22-point victory with a final score of 12.11 (83) to the opposition's 8.13 (61). They kicked 12 goals and 11 behinds, while the visitors managed 8 goals and 13 behinds. Aaron Naughton and Will Lewis each booted 2 goals for the winners.

Season Story So Far

Following a tough loss in round 14, the team bounced back strongly in round 15 with a convincing win, showing resilience in their recent performances.

Ladder Position & Differentials

With the current data limited, the team sits with a balanced record, having scored and conceded in line with mid-table expectations based on recent results.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Win vs Melbourne 93-90
  • Win vs Collingwood 97-93
  • Win vs Hawthorn 77-71
  • Loss vs Adelaide 64-121
  • Win vs St Kilda 83-61

Four wins from the last five games highlight a strong period.

Betting Trends & Performance

The team has covered the spread in recent outings when favored lightly, with totals often going over in high-scoring affairs.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Strong midfield work with high disposals and clearances has been key, alongside forward pressure leading to multiple scoring opportunities.

Player Highlights

  • Ed Richards: Consistent performer with 30 disposals in one outing.
  • Aaron Naughton: Multiple goal hauls including 3 in earlier games.
  • Marcus Bontempelli: 24 disposals and 2 goals in a standout display.
  • Adam Treloar: Reliable with double-digit disposals across matches.
  • Thomas Liberatore: 23 disposals in the latest win.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The spread bet on the side at +0.5 came through comfortably with a 22-point win, delivering a solid result for the card.

Outlook / What to Watch

With no specific upcoming fixture listed, focus remains on maintaining momentum from the recent victory and preparing for the next challenge at Marvel Stadium or similar venues.

ADE Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs BUL
Jun 11 7:30pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 14
-
3 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Adelaide Crows head to Marvel Stadium in Round 14 looking to extend a strong run of form against a Western Bulldogs side that has shown resilience but inconsistency in tight contests. With both teams averaging close to 87 points per game, this matchup promises a high-tempo battle under the roof. The Crows enter with four wins from their past five outings, including a narrow 76-75 victory and a 75-74 result that highlight their ability to grind out close games. Their scoring has been potent in bursts, posting 133 and 98 in two of those wins while holding opponents under 75 on three occasions. Overall, Adelaide averages 88.08 points scored and 82.00 conceded, suggesting a slight edge in both attack and defence. Western Bulldogs have secured four victories in their last five but have done so with smaller margins, winning by just two, three, four and six points in four of those games while suffering a 12-point loss. They average 86.38 points for and 91.31 against, indicating vulnerability when the contest tightens in the final quarter. Recent margins tell a clear story: Adelaide’s wins have come by an average of 26.8 points when victorious, whereas the Bulldogs have averaged just 3.75 points in their successes. This points to Adelaide’s capacity to pull away once they establish momentum. Betting markets have this contest as a virtual coin toss, with spreads hovering around 2.5 to 4.5 points either way. Previous high-edge analysis has repeatedly favoured Adelaide on first-half and full-game spreads when they are slight underdogs or near even money. The total line sits near 180, aligning with both teams’ season averages, though Adelaide’s recent games have trended slightly under in the second half. Expect Adelaide to control the tempo early and use their superior scoring bursts to establish a lead. The Bulldogs will rely on contested ball and late surges, but their narrow margins suggest they may struggle to cover if Adelaide finds rhythm. Prediction: Adelaide Crows by 8 to 14 points.

Adelaide Crows travel to face Western Bulldogs in a matchup where home advantage shapes the projection. Backing Western Bulldogs -5.5 reflects 72% True probability with 4% edge at 1.9 odds, indicating the Bulldogs cover the spread through superior structure. The over 45.5 on Western Bulldogs team total at 52% True and 2% edge supports an elevated scoring rate for the home side. Adding the over on Rory Laird 24.5 disposals with 55% True and 3% edge highlights increased ball movement that favors the Bulldogs' control. These elements combine to outline a game where Western Bulldogs dictate terms, achieving the projected total around the expected range while limiting Adelaide's impact.

At quarter time, Adelaide Crows hold a commanding 56-15 lead over the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium. The Crows have produced one of the most dominant opening quarters of the season, booting nine goals to two and establishing a 41-point advantage after just 35 minutes of play. Adelaide’s forward line has been clinical, with Jordan Dawson and Riley Thilthorpe each finishing with three goals while combining for eight disposals and five score involvements. Their ability to convert inside-50 entries into goals has been the defining feature of the term. The Bulldogs, by contrast, have struggled to generate clean entries or sustained pressure, managing only two goals and three behinds while turning the ball over repeatedly under Adelaide’s intense pressure. Dawson’s work through the midfield has been particularly influential, winning contested possessions and setting up multiple forward thrusts. While the scoreboard suggests a one-sided contest, it remains early in the match and the Bulldogs have shown resilience in recent weeks when trailing. However, Adelaide’s scoring bursts and superior ball movement have given them clear momentum heading into the second term. For the remainder of the game, the Crows will look to maintain their intensity and prevent any Bulldogs momentum shifts through the contest. The Bulldogs need to win more clearances and reduce turnovers to have any chance of clawing back into the contest. From a betting perspective, Adelaide remains a 65-70% chance to cover the full-game spread despite the early lead, while the total points line looks likely to stay under 180.5 given the Crows’ defensive structure and the Bulldogs’ current lack of forward entries.

At half-time, Adelaide Crows hold a commanding 75-35 lead over the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium. The 40-point margin reflects Adelaide’s explosive first-quarter dominance, where they booted eight goals to two and established a 34-point advantage by the first break. The Crows added four more majors in the second term, while the Bulldogs managed three of their own, but the damage was already done. Adelaide’s efficiency has been the standout feature. Jordan Dawson has been outstanding through the midfield and forward, finishing with three goals, 19 disposals and eight score involvements, while Riley Thilthorpe has also kicked three goals from limited opportunities. The visitors have capitalised on turnovers and used their superior ball movement to create high-percentage entries. In contrast, the Bulldogs have generated scoring shots but lacked the same clinical finish, managing only five goals from ten scoring attempts. Despite the deficit, Western Bulldogs showed some fight in the second quarter with goals to Arthur Jones, Cooper Hynes and Ed Richards. However, their inability to win enough contested ball or slow Adelaide’s transition has left them chasing the game. Adelaide’s structure and forward pressure have restricted the Bulldogs’ usual contested-ball strengths. With a 40-point buffer, Adelaide enters the second half as clear favourites. While the Bulldogs have a history of grinding out narrow wins, overcoming this margin will require significant adjustments and a marked improvement in efficiency. Adelaide will look to maintain tempo and protect their lead, while the Bulldogs must generate early momentum in the third term to stay in contention. Betting markets have shifted sharply in Adelaide’s favour. The Crows are now strong favourites to cover any spread line around 2.5–6.5 points, with a 75-80% probability they hold on. The total looks likely to finish under 180.5 given the slower second-half scoring trend, carrying a 55-60% chance.

At three-quarter time, Adelaide Crows hold a commanding 100-55 lead over the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium. The 45-point margin reflects Adelaide’s explosive first-quarter dominance and their ability to withstand a Bulldogs fightback across the middle two terms. After establishing a 56-15 advantage at the first break, the Crows added 19 points in the second term while the Bulldogs replied with 20, then extended their buffer again in the third with 25 points to the home side’s 20. Adelaide’s clinical conversion has been the decisive factor. They have booted 16 goals from 20 scoring shots, compared to the Bulldogs’ eight goals from 15 attempts. Jordan Dawson and Riley Thilthorpe have each finished with three goals, while Joshua Rachele and Zac Taylor have added further damage inside forward 50. The Bulldogs have shown patches of resistance, with Arthur Jones, Ed Richards and Aaron Naughton all finding the goals, yet their inability to win enough contested ball or generate sustained forward pressure has left them chasing the contest. Momentum sits firmly with Adelaide. Their superior ball movement and forward pressure have restricted the Bulldogs’ usual contested-ball strengths, while the Crows’ structure has limited second and third efforts around the contest. With one quarter remaining, a Bulldogs comeback appears unlikely. They would need to score at least five unanswered goals while keeping Adelaide scoreless—an improbable scenario given the visitors’ defensive organisation and the Bulldogs’ season-long struggles when trailing by large margins. Adelaide will look to control tempo, protect their lead and avoid unnecessary risks. From a betting perspective, the Crows remain a 75-80% chance to cover any spread line between 2.5 and 6.5 points. The total points line, currently sitting near 180.5, carries a 55-60% probability of finishing under given the slower scoring trend in the second half and Adelaide’s defensive control.
All Markets — 3 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 3.5u , Player Props: 1u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 45.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs
1H Team Totals Unibet 45.5 1.87 52.0% 2.0% T2 2.5u L
Western Bulldogs -5.5
Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads PlayUp -5.5 1.90 72.0% 4.0% T1 1u L
Over Rory Laird 24.5 DISPOSALS
Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over Neds 24.5 1.82 55.0% 3.0% T1 1u W
Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs -5.5
Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs
Full Spreads PlayUp -5.5 1.90 72.0% 4.0% T1 1u L
H1 Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 2.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 45.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs
1H Team Totals Unibet 45.5 1.87 52.0% 2.0% T2 2.5u L
Player Props — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 0u , Player Props: 1u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over Rory Laird 24.5 DISPOSALS
Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over Neds 24.5 1.82 55.0% 3.0% T1 1u W
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Adelaide Crows Western Bulldogs Total
SCORING SHOTS Adelaide Crows Western Bulldogs Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side went down 9.10 (64) to the opposition's 19.7 (121), beaten by 57 points at Marvel Stadium. They trailed heavily after the first term (15-56) and never recovered despite a more even second half. Aaron Naughton kicked 2 goals while Arthur Jones added another 2, but the opposition's Joshua Rachele booted 4 and Riley Thilthorpe 3. Rory Laird was the visitors' standout with 35 disposals.

Season Story So Far

A solid mid-season run of four wins from five had built real momentum, only for the heavy defeat in round 14 to halt the progress. The group showed plenty of fight in tight contests earlier but were overwhelmed in the latest outing.

Ladder Position & Differentials

After 14 rounds the side sits outside the top eight on points differential, with scoring output slightly below the competition average and a points-against figure inflated by the most recent result. The percentage reflects a mixed campaign that still leaves room to climb with consistent performances.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 9: Defeated Port Adelaide Power 74-72
  • Round 10: Lost to Carlton Blues 62-74
  • Round 11: Defeated Melbourne Demons 93-90
  • Round 12: Defeated Collingwood Magpies 97-93
  • Round 13: Defeated Hawthorn Hawks 77-71

Four wins from those five matches showed strong finishing ability before the round-14 setback.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in three of the last five but struggled when totals expectations were high, particularly in the heavy loss. Close victories have generally landed on the over side, while defensive lapses have pushed games over the line more often than not.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Inside-50 entries have been a strength when the midfield wins enough ball, with Ed Richards regularly pushing forward to create. Tackle pressure has been inconsistent, though Marcus Bontempelli continues to lead the way in contested situations. The defensive unit held firm in several one-sided wins but was stretched badly in the latest outing.

Player Highlights

  • Ed Richards: 30 disposals and 3 goals in round 11, continuing his strong run through the middle.
  • Marcus Bontempelli: 24 disposals, 6 clearances and 2 goals in round 13 while driving the engine room.
  • Aaron Naughton: Multiple bags of 2-3 goals across recent weeks, including 3 in round 10.
  • Adam Treloar: Consistent 17-19 disposals from the wing, adding drive and a goal in round 12.
  • Will Lewis: 3 goals and strong marking presence in round 12.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The Match Bombcard skipped the Bulldogs entirely this round. We'll own the miss, tip the cap to the punters who found value elsewhere, and reset for next week.

Outlook / What to Watch

Western Bulldogs head to Marvel Stadium to face St Kilda Saints in round 15. Expect a fast-paced contest on the smaller venue, with both sides likely to push numbers forward. The Bulldogs will look to use their midfield run to create inside-50 opportunities early, while Saints' tall forwards could test the backline. Totals look likely to sit around the 160-170 mark given recent scoring trends at the ground, and a narrow margin is the probable outcome.

BUL Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks HAW
Jun 5 7:40pm ·Melbourne Cricket Ground ·Round 13
-
4 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Western Bulldogs and Hawthorn Hawks meet at the MCG in Round 13 with both sides searching for late-season momentum. The contest pits a Bulldogs outfit still finding consistency against a Hawks group that has shown flashes of dominance in recent weeks. Western Bulldogs enter with a 3-2 record across their last five outings. After a 12-point loss to Fremantle they responded with narrow victories over Port Adelaide (+2), Melbourne (+3) and Collingwood (+4), before another 12-point defeat to Carlton. Their scoring has been modest, averaging 87.17 points for and 93.00 against across the campaign. Hawthorn’s form line is more uneven but carries greater upside. A draw with Collingwood was followed by losses to Fremantle (-15) and Melbourne (-39), yet the Hawks have since posted convincing wins over Adelaide (+9) and St Kilda (+52). Those results have lifted their season averages to 98.08 points scored and 85.42 conceded, comfortably ahead of the Bulldogs. The statistical gap is clearest in recent margins. Hawthorn’s two wins have come by an average of 30.5 points, while the Bulldogs’ three victories have been decided by just three points on average. This suggests Hawthorn possesses the greater capacity to control games when ahead. Key performers for the Bulldogs will need to lift output in transition, while Hawthorn’s midfield depth has been the catalyst for their biggest wins. The tactical battle at stoppages and on the spread will decide whether the visitors can keep the margin inside single figures. Betting markets have installed Hawthorn as 10.5- to 11.5-point favourites. Previous modelling has repeatedly identified value on the Hawks covering similar lines, particularly in the first half. The total has also trended under in several of Hawthorn’s recent lower-scoring affairs, aligning with the current 175.5 line. Hawthorn should prevail. Expect the Hawks to win by a margin of 12 to 22 points.

Hawthorn Hawks face Western Bulldogs with the approved plays projecting clear control. Hawthorn -12.5 in the second term at 72% true probability and 4% edge anchors the shape, indicating the Hawks pull away after quarter time. The -5.5 first term line at 65% true and 3% edge reinforces early dominance. Over 42.5 total in the first half at 50% true probability supports a faster opening despite zero edge. Marcus Bontempelli over 26.5 disposals at 58% true probability and 4% edge keeps the Bulldogs' key midfielder active yet contained within Hawthorn's structure. Together the lines point to the Hawks setting the tempo from the first term onward.
All Markets — 4 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 4.5u , Player Props: 2.5u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Hawthorn Hawks -12.5
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks
Full Spreads PlayUp -12.5 1.90 72.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u L
Over Marcus Bontempelli 26.5 DISPOSALS
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks
Disposals Over Neds 26.5 1.87 58.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u L
Hawthorn Hawks -5.5
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks
1H Spreads Neds -5.5 1.90 65.0% 3.0% T1 1u W
Over 42.5
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks
1Q O/U Neds 42.5 1.85 50.0% 0.0% T1 1u L
Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 2.5u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Hawthorn Hawks -12.5
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks
Full Spreads PlayUp -12.5 1.90 72.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u L
H1 Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Hawthorn Hawks -5.5
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks
1H Spreads Neds -5.5 1.90 65.0% 3.0% T1 1u W
Q1 Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 42.5
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks
1Q O/U Neds 42.5 1.85 50.0% 0.0% T1 1u L
Player Props — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 0u , Player Props: 2.5u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over Marcus Bontempelli 26.5 DISPOSALS
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks
Disposals Over Neds 26.5 1.87 58.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u L
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Melbourne Cricket Ground
MATCHCAST
-
  Melbourne Cricket Ground
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Western Bulldogs Hawthorn Hawks Total
SCORING SHOTS Western Bulldogs Hawthorn Hawks Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

Western Bulldogs 77 (12.5) defeated the opposition 71 (9.17) by six points at the MCG. The visitors trailed by 27 points at half time but kicked eight goals to one after the main break to snatch a dramatic win. Jordan Croft kicked a bag of three goals for the winners, while the opposition’s best performer was Mabior Chol with three majors.

Season Story So Far

The narrow victory caps a see-sawing stretch where the side has shown real fight in close contests but has also been punished by slow starts. Momentum is building after four wins from the past six outings.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder data is not available in the current feed, but the side’s points differential and recent scoring average suggest they remain in the middle order and still very much in the hunt for a top-eight spot.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 8: lost to Fremantle Dockers 102-114
  • Round 9: defeated Port Adelaide Power 74-72
  • Round 10: lost to Carlton Blues 62-74
  • Round 11: defeated Melbourne Demons 93-90
  • Round 12: defeated Collingwood Magpies 97-93

Three wins and two losses across that run, with two of the victories coming by three points or less.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has been competitive on the spread in most recent games but has struggled to cover when starting slowly. Totals have landed under the line more often than not when the opposition applies early pressure.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Clearance work and inside-50 entries have improved markedly in the second halves of recent matches. The midfield is winning more contested ball and the forward line is converting more of its opportunities once the game opens up.

Player Highlights

  • Marcus Bontempelli: 23 disposals, seven tackles and two goals in the latest win.
  • Ed Richards: Continues to lead the team in inside-50s and score involvements across the past month.
  • Adam Treloar: Providing drive from the wing with consistent disposal efficiency.
  • Aaron Naughton: Still the main target up forward and adding goal-assist numbers.
  • Jordan Croft: Emerging threat with three goals in his most recent outing.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed the Western Bulldogs under 79.5 team total and the game total under 174.5. A couple of the spread selections missed, but the totals plays delivered nicely and kept the overall return in the black.

Outlook / What to Watch

Western Bulldogs will aim to carry the second-half momentum from their latest win into the next assignment. Expect a more aggressive start from the midfield and continued emphasis on contested ball to set up scoring opportunities early.

COL Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs BUL
May 30 7:35pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 12
-
7 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Collingwood Magpies head to Marvel Stadium in Round 12 looking to arrest a patchy run of results against a Western Bulldogs side that has shown flashes of attacking potency but remains vulnerable defensively. The matchup pits two sides with near-identical scoring averages yet contrasting recent trajectories, setting up a contest where momentum and execution under lights could prove decisive. Collingwood’s last five outings have produced a 2-2-1 record, highlighted by a 77-point thrashing and a 10-point win bookending a draw and two narrow losses. Their scoring has fluctuated wildly, ranging from 137 down to 68, while conceding between 60 and 122. The Magpies average 75.08 points scored and 74.83 conceded across the season, reflecting a balanced but inconsistent attack that relies on bursts rather than sustained pressure. In contrast, the Western Bulldogs enter with a 2-3 record in their past five, winning by margins of just two and three points while losing three games by double digits. They average 79.08 points for and a leaky 85.25 against, suggesting offensive promise undermined by repeated lapses in structure. Statistically, both teams hover around 164-179 total points in recent games, yet the Bulldogs’ defensive shortcomings have seen them concede 90-plus in four of their last five. Collingwood’s ability to win by 77 and lose by 54 within the same stretch indicates a side capable of explosive quarters but prone to momentum swings. The Bulldogs’ two victories have come by an average of just 2.5 points, underlining their difficulty in putting teams away. With betting markets installing the Western Bulldogs as 3.5- to 4.5-point favourites and totals hovering near 178.5, the numbers point to a tight, moderate-scoring affair. Previous high-edge analysis has repeatedly flagged value on unders for the visitor’s first-half and full-game totals, trends that align with Collingwood’s lower seasonal averages. The home side’s propensity to leak points late suggests the total may drift under if early-quarter control is established. Expect a physical battle where the Bulldogs’ slight edge at home and recent narrow wins see them prevail by 5 to 12 points in a low-180s total.

Collingwood Magpies face Western Bulldogs with the visitors expected to control proceedings. The Western Bulldogs -4.5 spread at 68% true probability and 3.1% edge points to a comfortable margin. An under 178.5 total aligns with limited scoring, while the Bulldogs over 92.5 team total at 55% true and 2.1% edge suggests they will dominate possession. First-half overs for the Bulldogs at 54% true further reinforce early control. Player props back this shape, with Bailey Dale over 29.5 disposals at 55% true, Marcus Bontempelli over 28.5 at 52% true, and Aaron Naughton over 2.5 goals at 51% true all carrying positive edges. These lines project a Bulldogs-led contest with efficient ball movement and forward efficiency.
All Markets — 7 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 4u , Player Props: 3u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs -4.5
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
1H Spreads PointsBet (AU) -4.5 1.87 68.0% 3.1% T1 1u W
Over 92.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Full Team Totals SportsBet 92.5 1.88 55.0% 2.1% T1 1u W
Over Bailey Dale 29.5 DISPOSALS
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over SportsBet 29.5 1.83 55.0% 2.1% T1 1u L
Over 45.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
1H Team Totals SportsBet 45.5 1.86 54.0% 1.8% T1 1u W
Under 178.5
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Full O/U SportsBet 178.5 1.90 52.0% 1.5% T1 1u L
Over Marcus Bontempelli 28.5 DISPOSALS
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over SportsBet 28.5 1.87 52.0% 1.2% T1 1u L
Over Aaron Naughton 2.5 GOALS
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Goals Scored Over SportsBet 2.5 1.71 51.0% 1.8% T1 1u L
Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Under 178.5
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Full O/U SportsBet 178.5 1.90 52.0% 1.5% T1 1u L
Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 92.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Full Team Totals SportsBet 92.5 1.88 55.0% 2.1% T1 1u W
H1 Spread — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Western Bulldogs -4.5
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
1H Spreads PointsBet (AU) -4.5 1.87 68.0% 3.1% T1 1u W
H1 Team Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 45.5 (Western Bulldogs)
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
1H Team Totals SportsBet 45.5 1.86 54.0% 1.8% T1 1u W
Player Props — 3 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 0u , Player Props: 3u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over Bailey Dale 29.5 DISPOSALS
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over SportsBet 29.5 1.83 55.0% 2.1% T1 1u L
Over Marcus Bontempelli 28.5 DISPOSALS
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over SportsBet 28.5 1.87 52.0% 1.2% T1 1u L
Over Aaron Naughton 2.5 GOALS
Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs
Goals Scored Over SportsBet 2.5 1.71 51.0% 1.8% T1 1u L
H2H
SPREAD
O/U
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
  Marvel Stadium
MATCHCAST
-
1 2 3 4 T
SCORING / TOTALS Collingwood Magpies Western Bulldogs Total
SCORING SHOTS Collingwood Magpies Western Bulldogs Total
POST GAME STORYLINE

Western Bulldogs — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The side claimed a narrow four-point victory, finishing with 14 goals and 13 behinds for 97 points to the opposition’s 13 goals and 15 behinds for 93. After a competitive opening term the home side pulled clear in the third quarter before holding on in a tense final term. Will Lewis kicked three goals while Ed Richards added two in a strong display up forward.

Season Story So Far

The latest result continued a pattern of close contests and improved finishing. After a mixed run earlier in the year the side has shown greater composure in the final stages, turning tight games into wins through better ball movement and forward pressure.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Exact ladder position is not detailed in current data, but the points and percentage reflect a side sitting in the middle order with a positive points differential across recent matches and a percentage hovering around the 100 mark.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Round 7: Lost 60-126 to Sydney Swans
  • Round 8: Lost 102-114 to Fremantle Dockers
  • Round 9: Won 74-72 against Port Adelaide Power
  • Round 10: Lost 62-74 to Carlton Blues
  • Round 11: Won 93-90 against Melbourne Demons

Two wins from the last five matches show signs of stabilisation after earlier setbacks.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has covered the spread in several tight contests this season and performed well on the total when playing at Marvel Stadium. Recent overs have landed more often than not, driven by higher inside-50 counts and improved conversion rates.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Ball movement from the midfield has been a strength, with high disposal tallies and strong contested possession numbers allowing quick transitions. Tackle pressure has lifted in recent weeks while the forward line has benefited from better entry quality and more players contributing to the score.

Player Highlights

  • Marcus Bontempelli: Averaged over 30 disposals across the last two wins with strong clearance work and goal involvement.
  • Ed Richards: Consistent ball winner from defence with 24 disposals and two goals in the latest outing.
  • Adam Treloar: Reliable distributor off half-back, regularly exceeding 20 disposals and providing drive.
  • Aaron Naughton: Multiple goal hauls in recent weeks, adding 3 goals in round 10 and strong marking presence.
  • Bailey Williams: Strong aerial performer with double-figure marks and steady rebound from the backline.

Youngbloods Best Bets

The card landed a solid win on the Western Bulldogs team total over 92.5 in the most recent match, delivering the expected value. The spread selection also came through comfortably, rewarding the modest stake with a clean result.

Outlook / What to Watch

Western Bulldogs head to the Melbourne Cricket Ground to face Hawthorn Hawks in what shapes as a high-scoring affair. Expect the visitors to lean on their strong midfield to generate inside-50 entries while Hawthorn Hawks will look to use the ground’s width. The total looks likely to push past 178.5 given both sides’ recent scoring trends, and Western Bulldogs should be competitive on the line around the 7.5 mark.

MEL Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs BUL
May 24 3:15pm ·Marvel Stadium ·Round 11
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2 plays UPCOMING LIVE ▾

Melbourne Demons head to Marvel Stadium as slight favourites against the Western Bulldogs in what shapes as a crucial Round 11 contest. Both sides enter with inconsistent recent results, yet the Demons hold a clear statistical edge that could prove decisive under the roof. Melbourne’s last five outings have produced a 2-3 record, with scoring averages settling at 102 points for and 95 against. They have shown the ability to post 114-plus when finding rhythm, while keeping opponents under 100 in two of their past three wins. The Western Bulldogs, by contrast, average just 86 points scored and 93 conceded across their corresponding stretch, with three losses featuring totals under 150. The Demons’ superior offensive output (99.17 season average) against the Bulldogs’ leaky defence (allowing 93 per game) points to a mismatch in transition. Melbourne has also demonstrated better first-half control in recent high-edge betting angles, consistently covering modest spreads when favoured. The Bulldogs’ lower scoring ceiling makes them reliant on keeping games tight, yet their 87.17 points-per-game average suggests they will struggle to match Melbourne’s sustained pressure. Current betting markets list Melbourne at -3.5 to -7.5 with odds hovering around $1.88-$1.92. These lines align closely with recent margins, where the Demons have covered similar spreads in three of their past four victories. The total market sits at 189.5-191.5; given both teams’ combined averages near 186, a slight lean toward the over appears the sharper angle if Melbourne controls tempo early. Expect the Demons to dictate terms through the midfield and win most centre clearances. Their ability to stretch scores in the third quarter should create enough separation. Melbourne Demons are predicted to win by 9 to 15 points.

Melbourne Demons meet Western Bulldogs with projections centred on elevated ball movement. The Over 47.5 sits at 63% True probability and 1.2% Edge, pointing to extended possession phases that push total output higher. Marcus Bontempelli’s Over 26.5 disposals at 71% True and 4.1% Edge locks in the same shape, his midfield engine expected to generate repeated entries and clearances. Both approved plays converge on a high-volume contest where disposals accumulate steadily rather than through isolated moments. Western Bulldogs structure keeps Bontempelli central while Melbourne Demons allow sustained chains. The total and player prop therefore reinforce one another, confirming the projected game will exceed the median line without deviation into low-output territory.
All Markets — 2 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 1u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over Marcus Bontempelli 26.5 DISPOSALS
Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over SportsBet 26.5 1.85 71.0% 4.1% T1 1u W
Over 47.5
Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs
1Q O/U SportsBet 47.5 1.84 63.0% 1.2% T1 1u L
Q1 Total — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 1u , Player Props: 0u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over 47.5
Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs
1Q O/U SportsBet 47.5 1.84 63.0% 1.2% T1 1u L
Player Props — 1 play(s) Units Risked — Spread/Totals: 0u , Player Props: 1u
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over Marcus Bontempelli 26.5 DISPOSALS
Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs
Disposals Over SportsBet 26.5 1.85 71.0% 4.1% T1 1u W
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SCORING / TOTALS Melbourne Demons Western Bulldogs Total
SCORING SHOTS Melbourne Demons Western Bulldogs Total