MLB 2026 Best Bets – Expert Picks & Player Props
The MLB 2026 Bombcard combines the Youngbloods Betting Engine with expert human oversight from experienced sports analysts. Every play is model-generated then rigorously reviewed and vetoed before being ranked by true probability and edge, with clear unit staking recommendations. The page updates live as odds and model outputs change.
YOUNGBLOODS MLB BETTING ENGINE
| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Over 0.5 Home Runs — Pete Crow-Armstrong
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
Player Props | Unibet | 0.5 | 6.25 | 50.0% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
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Form: 1 HR in last 5 games · Over HR line 0 of 2 recently.
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.00 | 53.1% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection reaches 3.0 runs through first three innings · Early scoring pace favors the over.
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Over 8.5
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
Full Game O/U | PlayUp | 8.5 | 2.02 | 53.0% | 6.3% | 3.2 | T2 | 2.5u | 8.7 runs | Lean Over — slight projection edge on total |
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Both sides posted three overs in last five games · Projection of 8.7 edges above the total line.
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Under 4.5 Strikeouts — Clay Holmes
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
Player Props | Ladbrokes | 4.5 | 1.60 | 61.0% | 3.1% | 1.6 | T1 | 1u | — | — |
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No recent form data supplied.
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Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | 1.57 | 58.0% | -5.1% | -2.6 | T1 | 1u | 8.7 runs | Fair price, independent read shows no mispricing | |
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Cubs hold 70-52 straight up record · Higher momentum supports home moneyline edge.
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St. Louis Cardinals +0.5 First 5 Innings
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
1st 5 Innings Spreads | SportsBet | +0.5 | 1.90 | 53.0% | 3.9% | 2 | T1 | 1u | 2.4 – 2.3 runs F5 | Lean Cardinals — baseline F5 margin favors away side |
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Cardinals carry W2 streak into matchup · Narrow first-five projection backs the plus half run.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
Betfair | 1.57 | 58.0% | -5.1% | -2.6 | T1 | 1u | 8.7 runs | Fair price, independent read shows no mispricing | |
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Cubs hold 70-52 straight up record · Higher momentum supports home moneyline edge.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 8.5
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
PlayUp | 8.5 | 2.02 | 53.0% | 6.3% | 3.2 | T2 | 2.5u | 8.7 runs | Lean Over — slight projection edge on total |
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Both sides posted three overs in last five games · Projection of 8.7 edges above the total line.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
St. Louis Cardinals +0.5 First 5 Innings
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
SportsBet | +0.5 | 1.90 | 53.0% | 3.9% | 2 | T1 | 1u | 2.4 – 2.3 runs F5 | Lean Cardinals — baseline F5 margin favors away side |
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Cardinals carry W2 streak into matchup · Narrow first-five projection backs the plus half run.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.00 | 53.1% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection reaches 3.0 runs through first three innings · Early scoring pace favors the over.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Under 4.5 Strikeouts — Clay Holmes
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
Ladbrokes | 4.5 | 1.60 | 61.0% | 3.1% | 1.6 | T1 | 1u |
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No recent form data supplied.
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Over 0.5 Home Runs — Pete Crow-Armstrong
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs |
Unibet | 0.5 | 6.25 | 50.0% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u |
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Form: 1 HR in last 5 games · Over HR line 0 of 2 recently.
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| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 8
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Full Game O/U | SportsBet | 8 | 1.94 | 56.0% | 6.4% | 3.2 | T2 | 2.5u | 9 runs | Lean Over — baseline anchors at 9 |
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Both clubs posted three overs in last five · Projection at 9 clears the total line.
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.20 | 49.3% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection of 3.1 runs in first three exceeds the posted 2.5 line.
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OVER 4.5 First 5 Innings Total
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
1st 5 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 4.5 | 2.25 | 47.0% | 5.0% | 2.5 | T2 | 2.5u | 5.4 runs F5 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection of 5.4 runs in first five clears the 4.5 total line.
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Over 5.5 Strikeouts — Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Player Props | Unibet | 5.5 | 1.92 | 55.0% | 4.2% | 2.1 | T1 | 1u | — | — |
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Form: 8, 5, 5, 3, 7 Ks in last 5 starts · Averaging 5.6 K per start, over line in 2 of 5.
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Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | 1.90 | 51.0% | -0.8% | -0.4 | T1 | 1u | 9 runs | Fair price, projection nearly even | |
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Reds on W1 after mixed stretch while Marlins cool off from 4-1 run · Home side holds narrow edge.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Betfair | 1.90 | 51.0% | -0.8% | -0.4 | T1 | 1u | 9 runs | Fair price, projection nearly even | |
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Reds on W1 after mixed stretch while Marlins cool off from 4-1 run · Home side holds narrow edge.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 8
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
SportsBet | 8 | 1.94 | 56.0% | 6.4% | 3.2 | T2 | 2.5u | 9 runs | Lean Over — baseline anchors at 9 |
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Both clubs posted three overs in last five · Projection at 9 clears the total line.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.20 | 49.3% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection of 3.1 runs in first three exceeds the posted 2.5 line.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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OVER 4.5 First 5 Innings Total
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
PointsBet (AU) | 4.5 | 2.25 | 47.0% | 5.0% | 2.5 | T2 | 2.5u | 5.4 runs F5 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection of 5.4 runs in first five clears the 4.5 total line.
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| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 5.5 Strikeouts — Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Unibet | 5.5 | 1.92 | 55.0% | 4.2% | 2.1 | T1 | 1u |
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Form: 8, 5, 5, 3, 7 Ks in last 5 starts · Averaging 5.6 K per start, over line in 2 of 5.
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| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Over 8
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates |
Full Game O/U | SportsBet | 8 | 1.93 | 58.8% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 9.7 runs | Lean Over — baseline total sits well above the number |
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Pirates have gone over in four of their last five games · Projection of 9.7 runs clears the eight total.
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.00 | 52.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Elevated scoring pace supports going over in the first three innings · Projection reaches 3.1 runs against the 2.5 line.
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Boston Red Sox -0.5 First 5 Innings
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates |
1st 5 Innings Spreads | PointsBet (AU) | -0.5 | 2.05 | 51.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.6 – 2.3 runs F5 | Lean Red Sox — baseline margin exceeds the -0.5 line |
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Boston projected to lead 3.6 to 2.3 after five innings · Supports the first-five spread on the road side.
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Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | 1.77 | 55.0% | -0.9% | -0.5 | T1 | 1u | 9.7 runs | Fairly priced game, forced side on favorite | |
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Boston broke a four-game losing streak in their last outing · Projection gives them a 1.7-run advantage.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates |
Betfair | 1.77 | 55.0% | -0.9% | -0.5 | T1 | 1u | 9.7 runs | Fairly priced game, forced side on favorite | |
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Boston broke a four-game losing streak in their last outing · Projection gives them a 1.7-run advantage.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 8
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates |
SportsBet | 8 | 1.93 | 58.8% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 9.7 runs | Lean Over — baseline total sits well above the number |
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Pirates have gone over in four of their last five games · Projection of 9.7 runs clears the eight total.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Boston Red Sox -0.5 First 5 Innings
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates |
PointsBet (AU) | -0.5 | 2.05 | 51.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.6 – 2.3 runs F5 | Lean Red Sox — baseline margin exceeds the -0.5 line |
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Boston projected to lead 3.6 to 2.3 after five innings · Supports the first-five spread on the road side.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.00 | 52.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Elevated scoring pace supports going over in the first three innings · Projection reaches 3.1 runs against the 2.5 line.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||
| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Detroit Tigers -0.5 First 5 Innings
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
1st 5 Innings Spreads | SportsBet | -0.5 | 1.91 | 55.5% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 1.8 – 2.8 runs F5 | Lean Tigers — baseline home margin exceeds posted spread |
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Projected 1.8-2.8 first-five runs supports Tigers covering early -0.5 spread.
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Over 9
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
Full Game O/U | TABtouch | 9 | 2.00 | 54.0% | 6.4% | 3.2 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.6 runs | Slight lean Over — baseline total exceeds line with high-confidence sample |
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White Sox 3 overs in last 5 away games · Projection 9.6 runs sits above total line.
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Detroit Tigers -1.5 Run Line
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
Full Game Spreads (Run Line) | SportsBet | -1.5 | 2.41 | 47.0% | 6.7% | 3.4 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.6 runs | Baseline margin supports cover; price appears inefficient |
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Tigers 7-3 on run line last 10 games · Projected margin favors covering -1.5 at home.
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Under 0.5 Home Runs — Munetaka Murakami
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
Player Props | Unibet | 0.5 | 1.26 | 74.3% | 12.0% | 6 | T1 | 1u | — | — |
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Form: 0 HR in last 4 games, 2 in last 10 · Quiet recent power output.
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Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | 1.69 | 58.0% | -0.5% | -0.3 | T1 | 1u | 9.6 runs | Projection aligns with market, no clear misprice | |
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Detroit Tigers 4-1 in last 5 with hot momentum · Recent form supports home moneyline edge.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
Betfair | 1.69 | 58.0% | -0.5% | -0.3 | T1 | 1u | 9.6 runs | Projection aligns with market, no clear misprice | |
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Detroit Tigers 4-1 in last 5 with hot momentum · Recent form supports home moneyline edge.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Detroit Tigers -1.5 Run Line
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
SportsBet | -1.5 | 2.41 | 47.0% | 6.7% | 3.4 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.6 runs | Baseline margin supports cover; price appears inefficient |
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Tigers 7-3 on run line last 10 games · Projected margin favors covering -1.5 at home.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Over 9
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
TABtouch | 9 | 2.00 | 54.0% | 6.4% | 3.2 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.6 runs | Slight lean Over — baseline total exceeds line with high-confidence sample |
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White Sox 3 overs in last 5 away games · Projection 9.6 runs sits above total line.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Detroit Tigers -0.5 First 5 Innings
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
SportsBet | -0.5 | 1.91 | 55.5% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 1.8 – 2.8 runs F5 | Lean Tigers — baseline home margin exceeds posted spread |
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Projected 1.8-2.8 first-five runs supports Tigers covering early -0.5 spread.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Under 0.5 Home Runs — Munetaka Murakami
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers |
Unibet | 0.5 | 1.26 | 74.3% | 12.0% | 6 | T1 | 1u |
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Form: 0 HR in last 4 games, 2 in last 10 · Quiet recent power output.
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| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Over 0.5 Home Runs — Junior Caminero
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
Player Props | PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 4.75 | 52.0% | 12.0% | 6 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
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Form: 5 HR in last 10 games · Multiple multi-total base games in the last five.
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Over 0.5 Home Runs — Pete Alonso
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
Player Props | PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 4.00 | 52.0% | 12.0% | 6 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
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Form: 3 HR in last 10 games · Two multi-hit games with power in the last five.
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Over 8.5
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
Full Game O/U | SportsBet | 8.5 | 1.99 | 53.0% | 5.1% | 2.6 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.1 runs | Slight lean Over — baseline sits just above the number |
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Orioles and Rays each saw three overs across their last five outings · Line of 8.5 sits below projected 9.1 runs.
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.05 | 51.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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First three innings projection of 3.0 runs clears the posted line of 2.5 · Early scoring environment favors the over.
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Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
Moneyline (H2H) | Unibet | 0 | 1.68 | 55.0% | -4.0% | -2 | T1 | 1u | 9.1 runs | Baseline home edge but price fairly efficient |
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Tampa Bay Rays on W9 streak with 5-0 in last five games · Straight up season mark backs the home side.
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Under 0.5 Home Runs — Cedric Mullins
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
Player Props | PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 7.00 | 26.3% | 12.0% | 6 | T1 | 1u | — | — |
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Form: 0 HR in last 10 games · No home runs across the recent games.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
Unibet | 0 | 1.68 | 55.0% | -4.0% | -2 | T1 | 1u | 9.1 runs | Baseline home edge but price fairly efficient |
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Tampa Bay Rays on W9 streak with 5-0 in last five games · Straight up season mark backs the home side.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 8.5
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
SportsBet | 8.5 | 1.99 | 53.0% | 5.1% | 2.6 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.1 runs | Slight lean Over — baseline sits just above the number |
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Orioles and Rays each saw three overs across their last five outings · Line of 8.5 sits below projected 9.1 runs.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.05 | 51.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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First three innings projection of 3.0 runs clears the posted line of 2.5 · Early scoring environment favors the over.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Junior Caminero
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 4.75 | 52.0% | 12.0% | 6 | T3 | 5u |
|
Form: 5 HR in last 10 games · Multiple multi-total base games in the last five.
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Over 0.5 Home Runs — Pete Alonso
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 4.00 | 52.0% | 12.0% | 6 | T3 | 5u |
|
Form: 3 HR in last 10 games · Two multi-hit games with power in the last five.
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Under 0.5 Home Runs — Cedric Mullins
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays |
PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 7.00 | 26.3% | 12.0% | 6 | T1 | 1u |
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Form: 0 HR in last 10 games · No home runs across the recent games.
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| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Over 3.5 Strikeouts — Michael King
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
Player Props | Ladbrokes | 3.5 | 1.65 | 69.3% | 12.0% | 6 | T4 ★ | 7.5u | — | — |
|
Form: 6,5,6,7,4 Ks in last 5 starts · Averages 5.6 K per start with 9 K/9, over line in 4 of 5.
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Over 7.5
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
Full Game O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 7.5 | 2.00 | 58.5% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 9.5 runs | Line appears low relative to anchored full-game total |
|
Baseline projects 9.5 runs which exceeds the posted total of 7.5 · Scoring environment supports the over.
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.15 | 50.6% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
First three innings project to 3.0 runs just above the 2.5 line · Early scoring pace backs the over.
|
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|
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | ML | 2.20 | 48.0% | 3.0% | 1.5 | T1 | 1u | 9.5 runs | Baseline run edge to away side not fully reflected in price |
|
Padres enter with five-game win streak as Guardians sit at one-and-four in last five · Form favors the moneyline.
|
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|
OVER 4.5 First 5 Innings Total
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
1st 5 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 4.5 | 2.15 | 47.0% | 3.0% | 1.5 | T1 | 1u | 5.5 runs F5 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
Projection reaches 5.5 runs in first five innings versus 4.5 line · Elevated early total supports the over.
|
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
Betfair | ML | 2.20 | 48.0% | 3.0% | 1.5 | T1 | 1u | 9.5 runs | Baseline run edge to away side not fully reflected in price |
|
Padres enter with five-game win streak as Guardians sit at one-and-four in last five · Form favors the moneyline.
|
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 7.5
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
PointsBet (AU) | 7.5 | 2.00 | 58.5% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 9.5 runs | Line appears low relative to anchored full-game total |
|
Baseline projects 9.5 runs which exceeds the posted total of 7.5 · Scoring environment supports the over.
|
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.15 | 50.6% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
First three innings project to 3.0 runs just above the 2.5 line · Early scoring pace backs the over.
|
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OVER 4.5 First 5 Innings Total
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
PointsBet (AU) | 4.5 | 2.15 | 47.0% | 3.0% | 1.5 | T1 | 1u | 5.5 runs F5 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
Projection reaches 5.5 runs in first five innings versus 4.5 line · Elevated early total supports the over.
|
||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 3.5 Strikeouts — Michael King
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians |
Ladbrokes | 3.5 | 1.65 | 69.3% | 12.0% | 6 | T4 ★ | 7.5u |
|
Form: 6,5,6,7,4 Ks in last 5 starts · Averages 5.6 K per start with 9 K/9, over line in 4 of 5.
|
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| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Under 3.5 Strikeouts — Robert Stock
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets |
Player Props | Ladbrokes | 3.5 | 2.20 | 53.0% | 9.6% | 4.8 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
|
No recent form data supplied for Robert Stock.
|
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|
Over 8.5
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets |
Full Game O/U | Unibet | 8.5 | 1.92 | 57.0% | 6.9% | 3.5 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.8 runs | Lean Over — market line sits below model anchor |
|
Both sides posted multiple overs in last five · Projection clears the total by nearly a run.
|
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|
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 1.80 | 56.0% | 4.1% | 2.1 | T1 | 1u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
Projection of 3.1 runs supports the first-three total over.
|
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|
New York Mets
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | ML | 1.90 | 52.0% | 0.1% | 0.1 | T1 | 1u | 9.8 runs | Price looks fair |
|
Mets carry warm momentum despite L2 streak · Narrow projection supports the home moneyline.
|
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
New York Mets
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets |
Betfair | ML | 1.90 | 52.0% | 0.1% | 0.1 | T1 | 1u | 9.8 runs | Price looks fair |
|
Mets carry warm momentum despite L2 streak · Narrow projection supports the home moneyline.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 8.5
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets |
Unibet | 8.5 | 1.92 | 57.0% | 6.9% | 3.5 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.8 runs | Lean Over — market line sits below model anchor |
|
Both sides posted multiple overs in last five · Projection clears the total by nearly a run.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 1.80 | 56.0% | 4.1% | 2.1 | T1 | 1u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
Projection of 3.1 runs supports the first-three total over.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Under 3.5 Strikeouts — Robert Stock
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets |
Ladbrokes | 3.5 | 2.20 | 53.0% | 9.6% | 4.8 | T3 | 5u |
|
No recent form data supplied for Robert Stock.
|
||||||||
| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 6.5 Strikeouts — Chris Sale
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
Player Props | SportsBet | 6.5 | 1.77 | 64.0% | 11.3% | 5.7 | T4 ★ | 7.5u | — | — |
|
Form: 8, 9, 11, 6 Ks in last four starts · 12.24 K/9 across those outings.
|
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|
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Matt Olson
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
Player Props | PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 4.30 | 52.0% | 12.0% | 6 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
|
Form: 5 HR in last 10 games · 2 HR in last 5 games.
|
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|
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 First 5 Innings
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
1st 5 Innings Spreads | SportsBet | +1.5 | 1.66 | 62.3% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 1.8 – 2.2 runs F5 | Lean Diamondbacks — projected margin far short of 1.5 |
|
Diamondbacks L5 shows two wins amid L2 streak supporting plus 1.5 in first five innings.
|
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|
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 1.89 | 55.2% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
Projection at 3.0 runs exceeds the line supporting the first three innings total over.
|
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|
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
Moneyline (H2H) | TAB | 1.52 | 58.0% | -6.4% | -3.2 | T1 | 1u | 8.3 runs | Fair price, projection aligns with market | |
|
The Braves L5 includes three wins and a W2 streak backed by 73 hot momentum on the moneyline.
|
|||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
TAB | 1.52 | 58.0% | -6.4% | -3.2 | T1 | 1u | 8.3 runs | Fair price, projection aligns with market | |
|
The Braves L5 includes three wins and a W2 streak backed by 73 hot momentum on the moneyline.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 First 5 Innings
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
SportsBet | +1.5 | 1.66 | 62.3% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 1.8 – 2.2 runs F5 | Lean Diamondbacks — projected margin far short of 1.5 |
|
Diamondbacks L5 shows two wins amid L2 streak supporting plus 1.5 in first five innings.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 1.89 | 55.2% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
Projection at 3.0 runs exceeds the line supporting the first three innings total over.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 6.5 Strikeouts — Chris Sale
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
SportsBet | 6.5 | 1.77 | 64.0% | 11.3% | 5.7 | T4 ★ | 7.5u |
|
Form: 8, 9, 11, 6 Ks in last four starts · 12.24 K/9 across those outings.
|
||||||||
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Matt Olson
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves |
PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 4.30 | 52.0% | 12.0% | 6 | T3 | 5u |
|
Form: 5 HR in last 10 games · 2 HR in last 5 games.
|
||||||||
| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 5.5 Strikeouts — Gerrit Cole
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays |
Player Props | SportsBet | 5.5 | 2.22 | 51.0% | 7.3% | 3.7 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
|
Form: 9, 5, 7, 11, 8 Ks in last 5 starts · Averaging 8 strikeouts per start with 11.37 K/9.
|
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|
Under 8
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays |
Full Game O/U | Unibet | 8 | 1.89 | 57.0% | 6.5% | 3.3 | T2 | 2.5u | 7.1 runs | Lean Under — baseline anchors well below market total |
|
Yankees under in three of last five · Projection 7.1 runs sits below total.
|
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|
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | 2.36 | 47.0% | 5.0% | 2.5 | T1 | 1u | 7.1 runs | Market shades Yankees heavily despite near-even baseline projection | |
|
Both teams 3-2 in last five · Narrow projection edges Blue Jays at home.
|
|||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays |
Betfair | 2.36 | 47.0% | 5.0% | 2.5 | T1 | 1u | 7.1 runs | Market shades Yankees heavily despite near-even baseline projection | |
|
Both teams 3-2 in last five · Narrow projection edges Blue Jays at home.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Under 8
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays |
Unibet | 8 | 1.89 | 57.0% | 6.5% | 3.3 | T2 | 2.5u | 7.1 runs | Lean Under — baseline anchors well below market total |
|
Yankees under in three of last five · Projection 7.1 runs sits below total.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 5.5 Strikeouts — Gerrit Cole
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays |
SportsBet | 5.5 | 2.22 | 51.0% | 7.3% | 3.7 | T3 | 5u |
|
Form: 9, 5, 7, 11, 8 Ks in last 5 starts · Averaging 8 strikeouts per start with 11.37 K/9.
|
||||||||
| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Under 4.5 Strikeouts — George Kirby
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
Player Props | SportsBet | 4.5 | 2.24 | 52.0% | 9.1% | 4.6 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
|
Form: 2, 3, 3, 6 Ks in last four starts · Averages 3.5 K per start and over the line in 0 of 4.
|
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|
Houston Astros -1.5 Run Line
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
Full Game Spreads (Run Line) | SportsBet | -1.5 | 2.77 | 47.0% | 11.6% | 5.8 | T3 | 5u | 7.7 runs | Market shading the favourite's run-line price |
|
Mariners cover just 2 of last 10 on run line · Projection supports home covering the spread.
|
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|
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 1.94 | 54.1% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
Projection of 3.0 runs in first three innings backs the over.
|
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|
Under 8.5
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
Full Game O/U | PlayUp | 8.5 | 1.83 | 56.0% | 4.0% | 2 | T1 | 1u | 7.7 runs | Lean Under — baseline sits well below the number |
|
Both sides lean under in recent games with Mariners 1-4 overs last five · Projection at 7.7 supports under.
|
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|
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | 1.81 | 54.0% | -0.3% | -0.2 | T1 | 1u | 7.7 runs | Price looks fair | |
|
Astros hold 2-3 record in last five while Mariners sit at 1-4 · Form favors home side in matchup.
|
|||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
Betfair | 1.81 | 54.0% | -0.3% | -0.2 | T1 | 1u | 7.7 runs | Price looks fair | |
|
Astros hold 2-3 record in last five while Mariners sit at 1-4 · Form favors home side in matchup.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Houston Astros -1.5 Run Line
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
SportsBet | -1.5 | 2.77 | 47.0% | 11.6% | 5.8 | T3 | 5u | 7.7 runs | Market shading the favourite's run-line price |
|
Mariners cover just 2 of last 10 on run line · Projection supports home covering the spread.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Under 8.5
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
PlayUp | 8.5 | 1.83 | 56.0% | 4.0% | 2 | T1 | 1u | 7.7 runs | Lean Under — baseline sits well below the number |
|
Both sides lean under in recent games with Mariners 1-4 overs last five · Projection at 7.7 supports under.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 1.94 | 54.1% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
|
Projection of 3.0 runs in first three innings backs the over.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Under 4.5 Strikeouts — George Kirby
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros |
SportsBet | 4.5 | 2.24 | 52.0% | 9.1% | 4.6 | T3 | 5u |
|
Form: 2, 3, 3, 6 Ks in last four starts · Averages 3.5 K per start and over the line in 0 of 4.
|
||||||||
| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Under 8.5
Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels |
Full Game O/U | PlayUp | 8.5 | 2.05 | 56.1% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 7.9 runs | Lean Under — baseline total sits comfortably under |
|
Angels went under in four of their last five outings · Projection comes in 0.6 runs below the eight-and-a-half total.
|
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|
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | — | 1.97 | 50.0% | -0.1% | -0.1 | T1 | 1u | 7.9 runs | Fair price, independent read shows no mispricing |
|
Angels won three straight while Royals dropped four in a row · Recent form supports home moneyline in projected close game.
|
|||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels |
Betfair | — | 1.97 | 50.0% | -0.1% | -0.1 | T1 | 1u | 7.9 runs | Fair price, independent read shows no mispricing |
|
Angels won three straight while Royals dropped four in a row · Recent form supports home moneyline in projected close game.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Under 8.5
Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels |
PlayUp | 8.5 | 2.05 | 56.1% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 7.9 runs | Lean Under — baseline total sits comfortably under |
|
Angels went under in four of their last five outings · Projection comes in 0.6 runs below the eight-and-a-half total.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||
| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Under 5.5 Strikeouts — Gage Jump
Texas Rangers @ Athletics |
Player Props | SportsBet | 5.5 | 2.03 | 53.5% | 7.5% | 3.8 | T4 ★ | 7.5u | — | — |
|
Form: 11, 5, 7, 5, 8 Ks in last five starts · Averaging 7.2 Ks per start.
|
|||||||||||
|
Over 4.5 Strikeouts — Kumar Rocker
Texas Rangers @ Athletics |
Player Props | SportsBet | 4.5 | 1.99 | 53.0% | 6.2% | 3.1 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
|
Form: 5, 5, 7, 6 Ks in last four starts · Over the posted line in 3 of 3 graded starts.
|
|||||||||||
|
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers @ Athletics |
Moneyline (H2H) | Bet Right | 1.92 | 50.0% | -1.3% | -0.7 | T1 | 1u | 9.9 runs | Price fairly aligned with baseline projection | |
|
Texas Rangers post 60-62 straight up this season while Athletics stand at 47-74, aligning with the projected edge.
|
|||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers @ Athletics |
Bet Right | 1.92 | 50.0% | -1.3% | -0.7 | T1 | 1u | 9.9 runs | Price fairly aligned with baseline projection | |
|
Texas Rangers post 60-62 straight up this season while Athletics stand at 47-74, aligning with the projected edge.
|
||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 4.5 Strikeouts — Kumar Rocker
Texas Rangers @ Athletics |
SportsBet | 4.5 | 1.99 | 53.0% | 6.2% | 3.1 | T3 | 5u |
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Form: 5, 5, 7, 6 Ks in last four starts · Over the posted line in 3 of 3 graded starts.
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Under 5.5 Strikeouts — Gage Jump
Texas Rangers @ Athletics |
SportsBet | 5.5 | 2.03 | 53.5% | 7.5% | 3.8 | T4 ★ | 7.5u |
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Form: 11, 5, 7, 5, 8 Ks in last five starts · Averaging 7.2 Ks per start.
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| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Over 0.5 Home Runs — Shohei Ohtani
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
Player Props | PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 4.00 | 50.0% | 8.4% | 4.2 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
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Form: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 HR in last 5 games · 3 HR over last 10 games.
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.00 | 52.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Both sides post mixed early windows this season · 3.1 run projection clears the 2.5 total in first three innings.
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Milwaukee Brewers +0.5 First 5 Innings
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
1st 5 Innings Spreads | SportsBet | +0.5 | 2.09 | 51.4% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 2.8 – 2.2 runs F5 | Lean Brewers — baseline shows away edge through F5 |
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Brewers carry W1 into first five while Dodgers cool on L1 · 2.8-2.2 projection supports away half-run in F5.
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Over 0.5 Hits — Shohei Ohtani
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
Player Props | PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 1.36 | 62.0% | 3.6% | 1.8 | T1 | 1u | — | — |
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Form: 1H, 2H, 0H, 2H, 0H in last 5 games · 12 hits over last 10 games.
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Over 8
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
Full Game O/U | Unibet | 8 | 1.96 | 53.0% | 4.4% | 2.2 | T1 | 1u | 8.3 runs | Slight lean Over — baseline total edges above line |
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Recent O/U splits show balance across both clubs · Projection of 8.3 runs edges just over the total line.
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Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | 2.74 | 47.0% | 10.7% | 5.4 | T1 | 1u | 8.3 runs | Forced side on fairly-priced game | |
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Brewers enter on W1 after L5 split as Dodgers cool on L1 · Narrow projection backs moneyline value for away side.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
Betfair | 2.74 | 47.0% | 10.7% | 5.4 | T1 | 1u | 8.3 runs | Forced side on fairly-priced game | |
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Brewers enter on W1 after L5 split as Dodgers cool on L1 · Narrow projection backs moneyline value for away side.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 8
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
Unibet | 8 | 1.96 | 53.0% | 4.4% | 2.2 | T1 | 1u | 8.3 runs | Slight lean Over — baseline total edges above line |
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Recent O/U splits show balance across both clubs · Projection of 8.3 runs edges just over the total line.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Milwaukee Brewers +0.5 First 5 Innings
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
SportsBet | +0.5 | 2.09 | 51.4% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 2.8 – 2.2 runs F5 | Lean Brewers — baseline shows away edge through F5 |
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Brewers carry W1 into first five while Dodgers cool on L1 · 2.8-2.2 projection supports away half-run in F5.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.00 | 52.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Both sides post mixed early windows this season · 3.1 run projection clears the 2.5 total in first three innings.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 0.5 Hits — Shohei Ohtani
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 1.36 | 62.0% | 3.6% | 1.8 | T1 | 1u |
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Form: 1H, 2H, 0H, 2H, 0H in last 5 games · 12 hits over last 10 games.
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Over 0.5 Home Runs — Shohei Ohtani
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers |
PointsBet (AU) | 0.5 | 4.00 | 50.0% | 8.4% | 4.2 | T3 | 5u |
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Form: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 HR in last 5 games · 3 HR over last 10 games.
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| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 7.5
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
Full Game O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 7.5 | 1.90 | 61.0% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 9 runs | Lean Over — baseline sits comfortably above the number |
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Rockies recorded four overs in their last five outings · Total projection of nine runs clears the 7.5 line.
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Under 5.5 Strikeouts — Kyle Freeland
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
Player Props | SportsBet | 5.5 | 1.71 | 61.0% | 6.5% | 3.3 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
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Form: 3, 8, 2, 4 Ks in last four starts · Over the line in 1 of 4 starts.
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
1st 3 Innings O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.05 | 51.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection reaches 3.0 runs in first three innings · Early scoring environment backs the over 2.5.
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San Francisco Giants +1.5 Run Line
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
Full Game Spreads (Run Line) | SportsBet | 1.5 | 1.49 | 55.7% | 5.5% | 2.8 | T1 | 1u | 9 runs | Short price on home +1.5 looks inefficient in near-even projection |
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Giants went 6-4 on run line in last ten games · Expected margin favors covering the plus 1.5.
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Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
Moneyline (H2H) | Betfair | - | 2.16 | 48.0% | 2.4% | 1.2 | T1 | 1u | 9 runs | Baseline projects slight away edge; price fairly close |
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Rockies hold 3-2 record in last five games with two-game win streak · Recent form provides edge on the moneyline.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
Betfair | - | 2.16 | 48.0% | 2.4% | 1.2 | T1 | 1u | 9 runs | Baseline projects slight away edge; price fairly close |
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Rockies hold 3-2 record in last five games with two-game win streak · Recent form provides edge on the moneyline.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
San Francisco Giants +1.5 Run Line
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
SportsBet | 1.5 | 1.49 | 55.7% | 5.5% | 2.8 | T1 | 1u | 9 runs | Short price on home +1.5 looks inefficient in near-even projection |
|
Giants went 6-4 on run line in last ten games · Expected margin favors covering the plus 1.5.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Over 7.5
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
PointsBet (AU) | 7.5 | 1.90 | 61.0% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 9 runs | Lean Over — baseline sits comfortably above the number |
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Rockies recorded four overs in their last five outings · Total projection of nine runs clears the 7.5 line.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.05 | 51.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection reaches 3.0 runs in first three innings · Early scoring environment backs the over 2.5.
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| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Under 5.5 Strikeouts — Kyle Freeland
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants |
SportsBet | 5.5 | 1.71 | 61.0% | 6.5% | 3.3 | T3 | 5u |
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Form: 3, 8, 2, 4 Ks in last four starts · Over the line in 1 of 4 starts.
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| Game | Market | Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Full Game O/U | Over 7.5 |
PointsBet (AU) | 7.5 | 1.90 | 61% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 9 runs | Lean Over — baseline sits comfortably above the number |
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Rockies recorded four overs in their last five outings · Total projection of nine runs clears the 7.5 line.
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Full Game O/U | Over 8 |
SportsBet | 8 | 1.93 | 58.8% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 9.7 runs | Lean Over — baseline total sits well above the number |
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Pirates have gone over in four of their last five games · Projection of 9.7 runs clears the eight total.
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Full Game O/U | Over 7.5 |
PointsBet (AU) | 7.5 | 2.00 | 58.5% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 9.5 runs | Line appears low relative to anchored full-game total |
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Baseline projects 9.5 runs which exceeds the posted total of 7.5 · Scoring environment supports the over.
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Full Game O/U | Under 8.5 |
PlayUp | 8.5 | 2.05 | 56.1% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | 7.9 runs | Lean Under — baseline total sits comfortably under |
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Angels went under in four of their last five outings · Projection comes in 0.6 runs below the eight-and-a-half total.
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Full Game Spreads (Run Line) | Houston Astros -1.5 Run Line |
SportsBet | -1.5 | 2.77 | 47% | 11.6% | 5.8 | T3 | 5u | 7.7 runs | Market shading the favourite's run-line price |
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Mariners cover just 2 of last 10 on run line · Projection supports home covering the spread.
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1st 5 Innings Spreads | Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 First 5 Innings |
SportsBet | +1.5 | 1.66 | 62.3% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 1.8 – 2.2 runs F5 | Lean Diamondbacks — projected margin far short of 1.5 |
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Diamondbacks L5 shows two wins amid L2 streak supporting plus 1.5 in first five innings.
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Full Game O/U | Over 8.5 |
Unibet | 8.5 | 1.92 | 57% | 6.9% | 3.5 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.8 runs | Lean Over — market line sits below model anchor |
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Both sides posted multiple overs in last five · Projection clears the total by nearly a run.
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Full Game O/U | Under 8 |
Unibet | 8 | 1.89 | 57% | 6.5% | 3.3 | T2 | 2.5u | 7.1 runs | Lean Under — baseline anchors well below market total |
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Yankees under in three of last five · Projection 7.1 runs sits below total.
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Full Game O/U | Over 8 |
SportsBet | 8 | 1.94 | 56% | 6.4% | 3.2 | T2 | 2.5u | 9 runs | Lean Over — baseline anchors at 9 |
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Both clubs posted three overs in last five · Projection at 9 clears the total line.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 1.89 | 55.2% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection at 3.0 runs exceeds the line supporting the first three innings total over.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 1.94 | 54.1% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection of 3.0 runs in first three innings backs the over.
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Full Game O/U | Over 9 |
TABtouch | 9 | 2.00 | 54% | 6.4% | 3.2 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.6 runs | Slight lean Over — baseline total exceeds line with high-confidence sample |
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White Sox 3 overs in last 5 away games · Projection 9.6 runs sits above total line.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.00 | 53.1% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection reaches 3.0 runs through first three innings · Early scoring pace favors the over.
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Full Game O/U | Over 8.5 |
PlayUp | 8.5 | 2.02 | 53% | 6.3% | 3.2 | T2 | 2.5u | 8.7 runs | Lean Over — slight projection edge on total |
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Both sides posted three overs in last five games · Projection of 8.7 edges above the total line.
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Full Game O/U | Over 8.5 |
SportsBet | 8.5 | 1.99 | 53% | 5.1% | 2.6 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.1 runs | Slight lean Over — baseline sits just above the number |
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Orioles and Rays each saw three overs across their last five outings · Line of 8.5 sits below projected 9.1 runs.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.00 | 52.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Elevated scoring pace supports going over in the first three innings · Projection reaches 3.1 runs against the 2.5 line.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.00 | 52.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Both sides post mixed early windows this season · 3.1 run projection clears the 2.5 total in first three innings.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.05 | 51.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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First three innings projection of 3.0 runs clears the posted line of 2.5 · Early scoring environment favors the over.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.05 | 51.9% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection reaches 3.0 runs in first three innings · Early scoring environment backs the over 2.5.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.15 | 50.6% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.0 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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First three innings project to 3.0 runs just above the 2.5 line · Early scoring pace backs the over.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 2.20 | 49.3% | 6.0% | 3 | T2 | 2.5u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection of 3.1 runs in first three exceeds the posted 2.5 line.
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Full Game Spreads (Run Line) | Detroit Tigers -1.5 Run Line |
SportsBet | -1.5 | 2.41 | 47% | 6.7% | 3.4 | T2 | 2.5u | 9.6 runs | Baseline margin supports cover; price appears inefficient |
|
Tigers 7-3 on run line last 10 games · Projected margin favors covering -1.5 at home.
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1st 3 Innings O/U | OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total |
PointsBet (AU) | 2.5 | 1.80 | 56% | 4.1% | 2.1 | T1 | 1u | 3.1 runs F3 | Lean Over — projection sits above the line |
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Projection of 3.1 runs supports the first-three total over.
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Moneyline (H2H) | Los Angeles Angels |
Betfair | 1.97 | 50% | -0.1% | -0.1 | T1 | 1u | 7.9 runs | Fair price, independent read shows no mispricing | |
|
Angels won three straight while Royals dropped four in a row · Recent form supports home moneyline in projected close game.
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Moneyline (H2H) | Texas Rangers |
Bet Right | 1.92 | 50% | -1.3% | -0.7 | T1 | 1u | 9.9 runs | Price fairly aligned with baseline projection | |
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Texas Rangers post 60-62 straight up this season while Athletics stand at 47-74, aligning with the projected edge.
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Moneyline (H2H) | Milwaukee Brewers |
Betfair | 2.74 | 47% | 10.7% | 5.4 | T1 | 1u | 8.3 runs | Forced side on fairly-priced game | |
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Brewers enter on W1 after L5 split as Dodgers cool on L1 · Narrow projection backs moneyline value for away side.
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Moneyline (H2H) | Toronto Blue Jays |
Betfair | 2.36 | 47% | 5.0% | 2.5 | T1 | 1u | 7.1 runs | Market shades Yankees heavily despite near-even baseline projection | |
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Both teams 3-2 in last five · Narrow projection edges Blue Jays at home.
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| Game | Market | Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No player prop plays available | ||||||||||