Match by Match
Marlins
@
Reds
Sun 16 Aug 08:41 AEST
4 plays
DONE
▾
✏️ Game Analysis
The expected scoring environment for the Miami Marlins at the Cincinnati Reds sits in the moderate range with a clear lean toward the under. The Marlins have carried stronger momentum into this contest, while the Reds have looked uneven in their recent outings.
On the main markets the moneyline offers a modest plus-money look on the Marlins since the projection aligns closely with the odds. The standout play on this game is the under nine on the full game total because the projection sits under the posted number.
In the player props the under on Ryan Gusto strikeouts looks appealing given the matchup dynamics. Elly De La Cruz draws the biggest stake on the game with the over on his home run line as his power threat looms large.
The game script suggests a lower-output affair where pitching and timely hitting will decide the outcome rather than a slugfest.
| Play / Side | Market | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Under 9
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Full Game O/U | PointsBet (AU) | 9 | 2.00 | 57.0% | 8.5% | 4.3 | T3 | 5u | 8.4 runs | Lean Under — baseline anchors well below the number |
|
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Elly De La Cruz
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Player Props | Unibet | 0.5 | 5.10 | 50.0% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u | — | — |
|
Under 4.5 Strikeouts — Ryan Gusto
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Player Props | Unibet | 4.5 | 1.97 | 53.0% | 4.7% | 2.4 | T2 | 2.5u | — | — |
|
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Moneyline (H2H) | Unibet | 2.04 | 48.0% | -1.0% | -0.5 | T1 | 1u | 8.2 runs | Fair price, projection aligns closely with market |
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Unibet | 2.04 | 48.0% | -1.0% | -0.5 | T1 | 1u | 8.2 runs | Fair price, projection aligns closely with market |
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Under 9
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
PointsBet (AU) | 9 | 2.00 | 57.0% | 8.5% | 4.3 | T3 | 5u | 8.4 runs | Lean Under — baseline anchors well below the number |
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
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No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Play / Side | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units | Projection | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No qualifying plays | ||||||||||
| Player / Prop | Bookmaker | Line | Odds | True% | Edge% | EV | Tier | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Under 4.5 Strikeouts — Ryan Gusto
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Unibet | 4.5 | 1.97 | 53.0% | 4.7% | 2.4 | T2 | 2.5u |
|
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Elly De La Cruz
Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds |
Unibet | 0.5 | 5.10 | 50.0% | 10.0% | 5 | T3 | 5u |
| Hitters | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | AVG |
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| Pitchers | IP | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | W/L | H/S |
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