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Match by Match
Orioles Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays Rays
Sat 15 Aug 09:11 AEST
7 plays DONE
The projected scoring environment looks elevated with a total around 9.1 runs as the Orioles visit the Rays. Baltimore has looked uneven lately while Tampa Bay has carried clear momentum and keeps finding ways to win. The Rays moneyline offers a measured play at the current price, though it already bakes in the home edge without much extra room. The full game over 8.5 stands as the standout lean here because the projection sits above the number, and the same direction appears in the first three innings over 2.5. On the player props, Gunnar Henderson draws interest to clear the over on home runs, yet Junior Caminero and Pete Alonso both attract the largest attention in that market. Cedric Mullins provides the contrasting look on the under side. Overall the script favors the Rays setting the tone and pushing the run total higher across the night.
All Markets — 7 play(s) · Edge% ≥ 3
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Projection Assessment
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Junior Caminero
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
Player Props PointsBet (AU) 0.5 4.75 52.0% 12.0% 6 T3 5u
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Pete Alonso
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
Player Props PointsBet (AU) 0.5 4.00 52.0% 12.0% 6 T3 5u
Over 8.5
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
Full Game O/U SportsBet 8.5 1.99 53.0% 5.1% 2.6 T2 2.5u 9.1 runs Slight lean Over — baseline sits just above the number
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
1st 3 Innings O/U PointsBet (AU) 2.5 2.05 51.9% 6.0% 3 T2 2.5u 3.0 runs F3 Lean Over — projection sits above the line
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Gunnar Henderson
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
Player Props PointsBet (AU) 0.5 5.50 48.0% 10.0% 5 T2 2.5u
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
Moneyline (H2H) Unibet 0 1.68 55.0% -4.0% -2 T1 1u 9.1 runs Baseline home edge but price fairly efficient
Under 0.5 Home Runs — Cedric Mullins
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
Player Props PointsBet (AU) 0.5 7.00 26.3% 12.0% 6 T1 1u
Moneyline (H2H) — 1 play(s) · Edge% ≥ 3
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Projection Assessment
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
Unibet 0 1.68 55.0% -4.0% -2 T1 1u 9.1 runs Baseline home edge but price fairly efficient
Full Game Spreads (Run Line) — 0 play(s) · Edge% ≥ 3
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Projection Assessment
No qualifying plays
Full Game O/U — 1 play(s) · Edge% ≥ 3
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Projection Assessment
Over 8.5
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
SportsBet 8.5 1.99 53.0% 5.1% 2.6 T2 2.5u 9.1 runs Slight lean Over — baseline sits just above the number
1st 5 Innings Spreads — 0 play(s) · Edge% ≥ 3
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Projection Assessment
No qualifying plays
1st 3 Innings O/U — 1 play(s) · Edge% ≥ 3
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Projection Assessment
OVER 2.5 First 3 Innings Total
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
PointsBet (AU) 2.5 2.05 51.9% 6.0% 3 T2 2.5u 3.0 runs F3 Lean Over — projection sits above the line
1st 5 Innings O/U — 0 play(s) · Edge% ≥ 3
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Projection Assessment
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 4 play(s) · Edge% ≥ 3
Player / Prop Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Gunnar Henderson
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
PointsBet (AU) 0.5 5.50 48.0% 10.0% 5 T2 2.5u
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Junior Caminero
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
PointsBet (AU) 0.5 4.75 52.0% 12.0% 6 T3 5u
Over 0.5 Home Runs — Pete Alonso
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
PointsBet (AU) 0.5 4.00 52.0% 12.0% 6 T3 5u
Under 0.5 Home Runs — Cedric Mullins
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
PointsBet (AU) 0.5 7.00 26.3% 12.0% 6 T1 1u