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Youngblood's NBA Bombcard Best Bets
Full Market Analysis · 2026 Season · Round Jun 14,2026
Match by Match
📋 Jun 14,2026 Round Summary
Both legs show 78.5 true win rate on Spurs 1H plays with positive edges above 4. Spurs home scoring and form support the TT over and spread cover. High units allocation reflects model conviction on first-half dominance in this playoff matchup.
NY New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
Jun 14 10:30am EST · Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Game 5 Series (4,1) NY Leads, Best of 5
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10 plays UPCOMING DONE LIVE ▾
✏️ Game Analysis
Spurs strong home defensive form and playoff desperation vs Knicks 9-1 heater create layered edges on 1H TT Over, 1H spread and Under. NY road dog value on full spread adds hedge. Pace slowdown in playoffs supports Q1 Under bias. All plays exceed 76% true win rate per model.
All Markets — 10 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
1h TT - San Antonio Spurs - Over
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1h_tt Unibet 57.5 1.92 78.0% 5.0% T3 5u L
1h SPREAD San Antonio Spurs
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1h_spread SportsBet -3.5 1.89 78.0% 4.0% T3 5u W
1h Under
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1h_ou Ladbrokes 111.5 1.88 78.0% 4.0% T3 5u W
Q1 Under
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1q_ou Ladbrokes 56.5 1.83 78.0% 3.0% T3 5u W
FULL SPREAD New York Knicks
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 full_spread Ladbrokes 5.5 1.88 76.0% 4.0% T3 5u W
FULL Under
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 full_ou SportsBet 216.5 1.90 76.0% 3.0% T3 5u W
Q1 SPREAD San Antonio Spurs
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1q_spread Ladbrokes -2.5 1.96 76.0% 3.0% T3 5u W
Over Jalen Brunson Points
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 Over Unibet 27.5 1.94 72.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u -
Under Karl-Anthony Towns Points
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 Under Ladbrokes 16.5 1.85 68.0% 3.0% T2 2.5u -
Over Mikal Bridges Assists
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 Over SportsBet 2.5 1.76 67.0% 2.0% T2 2.5u -
1h Tt — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
1h TT - San Antonio Spurs - Over
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1h_tt Unibet 57.5 1.92 78.0% 5.0% T3 5u L
1h Spread — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
1h SPREAD San Antonio Spurs
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1h_spread SportsBet -3.5 1.89 78.0% 4.0% T3 5u W
1h Ou — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
1h Under
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1h_ou Ladbrokes 111.5 1.88 78.0% 4.0% T3 5u W
1q Ou — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Q1 Under
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1q_ou Ladbrokes 56.5 1.83 78.0% 3.0% T3 5u W
Full Spread — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
FULL SPREAD New York Knicks
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 full_spread Ladbrokes 5.5 1.88 76.0% 4.0% T3 5u W
Full Ou — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
FULL Under
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 full_ou SportsBet 216.5 1.90 76.0% 3.0% T3 5u W
1q Spread — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Q1 SPREAD San Antonio Spurs
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 1q_spread Ladbrokes -2.5 1.96 76.0% 3.0% T3 5u W
Player Props — 3 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% Tier Units Result
Over Jalen Brunson Points
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 Over Unibet 27.5 1.94 72.0% 4.0% T2 2.5u -
Under Karl-Anthony Towns Points
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 Under Ladbrokes 16.5 1.85 68.0% 3.0% T2 2.5u -
Over Mikal Bridges Assists
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs
 Over SportsBet 2.5 1.76 67.0% 2.0% T2 2.5u -
  Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
  Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
1 2 3 4 OT T
New York Knicks NY New York Knicks
San Antonio Spurs SA San Antonio Spurs
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Matchcast Betting Odds
NBA BOMBCARD S2
Bombcards Best Bets
1H TT 57.5 - Over 1H TT
Tier:
★ ★ ★
1.92
Spurs post 4-6 last 10 but average 118.7 ppg; home playoff spot vs Knicks fuels first-half scoring push.
Game: vs
True:78.5%
Edge:5.2%
Unit: 5
1h Under 111.5 1H O/U
Tier:
★ ★ ★
1.88
NYK last 10 form dominant (8W-1L) but playoff pace slows vs SA mixed results; bias favors 1H Under.
Game: vs
True:78.5%
Edge:4.2%
Unit: 5
1H SPREAD -3.5 1H SPREAD
Tier:
★ ★ ★
1.89
Spurs strong home form and defensive playoff style favor covering 1H spread despite NY recent wins.
Game: vs
True:78.5%
Edge:4.2%
Unit: 5
Q1 Under 56.5 1Q O/U
Tier:
★ ★ ★
1.83
Spurs mixed last-10 form and playoff pace slowdown favor Under in Q1 per system bias.
Game: vs
True:78.5%
Edge:3.8%
Unit: 5
FULL SPREAD 5.5 FULL SPREAD
Tier:
★ ★ ★
1.88
Knicks enter on 9-1 heater while Spurs sit at 4-6; road dog value in playoff must-win spot for NY.
Game: vs
True:76.5%
Edge:4.2%
Unit: 5
AFL BOMBCARD S1

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NBA BOMBCARD H1
RESULT ANALYSIS
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What Is a Unit in Sports Betting?

In sports betting, one of the biggest differences between punters who eventually go broke and those who win consistently over time is surprisingly simple: they bet in units. Read More

Team
Game Markets
Total Plays
7
all game markets
Total Risk
35u
units deployed
T4 + T3
35u
of 15u cap
Best Edge
5.2%
highest edge play
Games
1
with plays
Spreads · Totals All qualifying game market plays —
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
NY NY vs SA SA
1h_tt
1h TT - San Antonio Spurs - Over
 Unibet 57.5 1.92 78.5% 5.2% 4.8 T3 5u L
NY NY vs SA SA
1h_ou
1h Under
 Ladbrokes 111.5 1.88 78.5% 4.2% 3.1 T3 5u W
NY NY vs SA SA
1h_spread
1h SPREAD San Antonio Spurs
 SportsBet -3.5 1.89 78.5% 4.2% 2.8 T3 5u W
NY NY vs SA SA
1q_ou
Q1 Under
 Ladbrokes 56.5 1.83 78.5% 3.8% 2.1 T3 5u W
NY NY vs SA SA
full_spread
FULL SPREAD New York Knicks
 Ladbrokes 5.5 1.88 76.5% 4.2% 3.1 T3 5u W
NY NY vs SA SA
full_ou
FULL Under
 SportsBet 216.5 1.90 76.5% 3.8% 3.825 T3 5u W
NY NY vs SA SA
1q_spread
Q1 SPREAD San Antonio Spurs
 Ladbrokes -2.5 1.96 76.5% 3.8% 2.1 T3 5u W
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
NY NY vs SA SA
full_spread
FULL SPREAD New York Knicks
 Ladbrokes 5.5 1.88 76.5% 4.2% 3.1 T3 5u W
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
NY NY vs SA SA
full_ou
FULL Under
 SportsBet 216.5 1.90 76.5% 3.8% 3.825 T3 5u W
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
NY NY vs SA SA
1h_spread
1h SPREAD San Antonio Spurs
 SportsBet -3.5 1.89 78.5% 4.2% 2.8 T3 5u W
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
NY NY vs SA SA
1h_ou
1h Under
 Ladbrokes 111.5 1.88 78.5% 4.2% 3.1 T3 5u W
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
NY NY vs SA SA
1h_tt
1h TT - San Antonio Spurs - Over
 Unibet 57.5 1.92 78.5% 5.2% 4.8 T3 5u L
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
NY NY vs SA SA
1q_spread
Q1 SPREAD San Antonio Spurs
 Ladbrokes -2.5 1.96 76.5% 3.8% 2.1 T3 5u W
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
NY NY vs SA SA
1q_ou
Q1 Under
 Ladbrokes 56.5 1.83 78.5% 3.8% 2.1 T3 5u W
NBA STORE
Player Props
Total Plays
3
all prop markets
Total Risk
7.5u
units deployed
T4 + T3
0u
of 15u cap
Best Edge
4.8%
highest edge play
Players
3
unique players flagged
Player Props Try scorers · Player O/U —
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units
NY vs SA
Over
Jalen Brunson Over POINTS
Brunson averaging 28.4 PPG in playoffs; favorable matchup vs SA secondary defenders.
 Unibet 27.5 1.94 72.5% 4.8% 3.2 T2 2.5u
NY vs SA
Under
Karl-Anthony Towns Under POINTS
Towns on minutes restriction in playoffs; SA elite interior defense limits volume.
 Ladbrokes 16.5 1.85 68.0% 3.1% 2.4 T2 2.5u
NY vs SA
Over
Mikal Bridges Over ASSISTS
Bridges playmaking elevated with Brunson primary focus; SA switch-heavy scheme creates kick-out opportunities.
 SportsBet 2.5 1.76 67.5% 2.9% 2.1 T2 2.5u
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units
NY vs SA
Over
Jalen Brunson Over POINTS
Brunson averaging 28.4 PPG in playoffs; favorable matchup vs SA secondary defenders.
 Unibet 27.5 1.94 72.5% 4.8% 3.2 T2 2.5u
NY vs SA
Over
Mikal Bridges Over ASSISTS
Bridges playmaking elevated with Brunson primary focus; SA switch-heavy scheme creates kick-out opportunities.
 SportsBet 2.5 1.76 67.5% 2.9% 2.1 T2 2.5u
Game Market Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units
NY vs SA
Under
Karl-Anthony Towns Under POINTS
Towns on minutes restriction in playoffs; SA elite interior defense limits volume.
 Ladbrokes 16.5 1.85 68.0% 3.1% 2.4 T2 2.5u
NBA BOMBCARD H1

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