Full Scoreboard » Full Scoreboard » Full Scoreboard » Full Scoreboard » Full Scoreboard » Full Scoreboard » Full Scoreboard »
NRL GO PRO
Season 2025 Betting Analysis → Team Betting → Props → Bombcard
NFL

NFL 2025 Season Betting Analysis – ATS, Totals & Market Splits

Progressive ATS, totals, favourite/underdog, home/away and 1H form across the season. · Generated 2026-07-27 05:06:56

Refresh

Games Settled

272

Home Win %

53.7%

Favourite ATS

47.6%

127-140

Over %

50.9%

138O · 133U

Avg Total

46.0

Biggest cover: Panthers 35.5

1H Fav ATS

48.1%

129-139

ATS% by Team

Over% by Team

Team Rankings

Search + click headers to sort

# Team (ATS L10 >) Wk 18 Rec ATS% O/U% Fav Dog Home ATS Away ATS 1H ATS Big Cover
1
Seattle Seahawks Best ATS
W W W L W W L L W W
14-3 12-5 · 70.6% 9-8 · 53% 13 4 50% 89% 59% 23.5 vs Saints (W3)
2
Los Angeles Rams
W W L W L W W W L W
12-5 12-5 · 70.6% 11-6 · 65% 15 2 75% 67% 59% 25 vs Jaguars (W7)
3
New England Patriots
W L W P L W L W W W
14-3 11-5 · 68.8% 11-6 · 65% 11 6 50% 88% 71% 23.5 vs Panthers (W4)
4
San Francisco 49ers
L W L W W W W W W L
12-5 11-6 · 64.7% 9-7 · 56% 12 5 50% 78% 53% 16 vs Cardinals (W11)
5
Jacksonville Jaguars
L L W P W W W W L W
13-4 10-6 · 62.5% 9-7 · 56% 10 7 78% 43% 65% 32 vs Chargers (W11)
6
Philadelphia Eagles
W W W L L L W W W L
11-6 10-7 · 58.8% 8-9 · 47% 15 2 50% 67% 53% 19.5 vs Raiders (W15)
7
Indianapolis Colts
W L L W L L W L W W
8-9 10-7 · 58.8% 9-8 · 53% 9 8 56% 63% 53% 27 vs Raiders (W5)
8
Carolina Panthers
L W L W L W L W L W
8-9 10-7 · 58.8% 7-10 · 41% 3 14 63% 56% 41% 35.5 vs Falcons (W3)
9
Chicago Bears
W L W W W L W W L L
11-6 10-7 · 58.8% 7-10 · 41% 6 11 63% 56% 41% 20.5 vs Browns (W15)
10
New York Giants
L L W P W L L P W W
4-13 8-7 · 53.3% 10-7 · 59% 2 15 50% 56% 56% 24.5 vs Eagles (W6)
11
Atlanta Falcons
W W L W L L W W W L
8-9 9-8 · 52.9% 8-9 · 47% 6 11 38% 67% 63% 19.5 vs Vikings (W2)
12
New Orleans Saints
L L W L W W W W W W
6-11 9-8 · 52.9% 6-11 · 35% 4 13 38% 67% 25% 18.5 vs Jets (W16)
13
Pittsburgh Steelers
W L W L L W W W L W
10-7 9-8 · 52.9% 10-7 · 59% 8 9 67% 38% 71% 16.5 vs Bengals (W11)
14
Houston Texans
L W L W W W W L W L
12-5 9-8 · 52.9% 6-11 · 35% 9 8 56% 50% 59% 32.5 vs Ravens (W5)
15
Los Angeles Chargers
W L W L W W W W L L
11-6 8-8 · 50.0% 8-9 · 47% 12 5 63% 38% 53% 23.5 vs Vikings (W8)
16
Minnesota Vikings
W L L L L W W P W W
9-8 8-8 · 50.0% 8-9 · 47% 9 8 50% 50% 47% 35 vs Bengals (W3)
17
Cleveland Browns
L L W W L L L W W W
5-12 8-9 · 47.1% 6-11 · 35% 3 14 67% 25% 63% 22.5 vs Dolphins (W7)
18
Cincinnati Bengals
L L L W W W L W W L
6-11 8-9 · 47.1% 9-8 · 53% 6 11 44% 50% 53% 25 vs Ravens (W13)
19
Miami Dolphins
W L W W L W L L W L
7-10 8-9 · 47.1% 9-8 · 53% 6 11 56% 38% 59% 31.5 vs Falcons (W8)
20
Detroit Lions
L W L L L W L L L W
9-8 8-9 · 47.1% 10-7 · 59% 11 6 50% 44% 53% 25 vs Bears (W2)
21
Buffalo Bills
W L W L W L W L L W
12-5 8-9 · 47.1% 9-8 · 53% 15 2 44% 50% 29% 23.5 vs Panthers (W8)
22
New York Jets
W W P W W L L L L L
3-14 7-9 · 43.8% 11-6 · 65% 0 17 44% 43% 35% 9.5 vs Browns (W10)
23
Denver Broncos
W W L W L L W L L W
14-3 7-9 · 43.8% 7-10 · 41% 12 5 56% 29% 41% 17.5 vs Bengals (W4)
24
Dallas Cowboys
L L W W W L L L L L
7-9 7-10 · 41.2% 11-6 · 65% 10 7 50% 33% 47% 23.5 vs Commanders (W7)
25
Las Vegas Raiders
W W L L L W L W L W
3-14 7-10 · 41.2% 7-10 · 41% 3 14 44% 38% 41% 12 vs Texans (W16)
26
Washington Commanders
L L L L W L W L W W
5-12 7-10 · 41.2% 10-7 · 59% 5 12 50% 33% 47% 19.5 vs Chargers (W5)
27
Tennessee Titans
L W W W L W L W L L
3-14 7-10 · 41.2% 11-6 · 65% 0 17 44% 38% 41% 20 vs Chiefs (W16)
28
Green Bay Packers
L L P W W W L L L L
9-7 6-10 · 37.5% 9-8 · 53% 15 2 50% 25% 47% 11.5 vs Lions (W1)
29
Kansas City Chiefs
W L L L L L L L W L
6-11 6-11 · 35.3% 4-13 · 24% 14 3 56% 13% 38% 19.5 vs Ravens (W4)
30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W L L L W L L L L L
8-9 6-11 · 35.3% 8-9 · 47% 11 6 25% 44% 47% 16 vs Saints (W8)
31
Baltimore Ravens
W W L L L L W L W L
8-9 6-11 · 35.3% 9-8 · 53% 14 3 22% 50% 44% 21.5 vs Bengals (W15)
32
Arizona Cardinals Worst ATS
W L L P L L L L L L
3-14 5-11 · 31.3% 10-7 · 59% 3 14 14% 44% 47% 12.5 vs Cowboys (W9)
NFL BOMBCARD H1

🔥 Hot Teams

Top of the league momentum board

Hot Form
1
Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars

L6 6-0 · Streak W8 · Pt Diff +121

Offence driving results (34.5 pts/G, L6)

100
2
Seahawks Seattle Seahawks

L6 6-0 · Streak W7 · Pt Diff +84

Offence driving results (26.5 pts/G, L6)

96
3
Texans Houston Texans

L6 6-0 · Streak W9 · Pt Diff +48

Offence driving results (26.8 pts/G, L6)

91
4
Patriots New England Patriots

L6 5-1 · Streak W3 · Pt Diff +84

Offence driving results (33 pts/G, L6)

84

❄️ Cold Teams to Fade

Bottom of the momentum board

Cold
1
Cardinals Arizona Cardinals

L6 0-6 · Streak L9 · Pt Diff -98

Struggling both sides of the ball recently (34.2 allowed/G)

3
2
Colts Indianapolis Colts

L6 0-6 · Streak L7 · Pt Diff -58

Struggling both sides of the ball recently (30.5 allowed/G)

8
3
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs

L6 0-6 · Streak L6 · Pt Diff -42

Struggling both sides of the ball recently (21.2 allowed/G)

10
4
Jets New York Jets

L6 1-5 · Streak L5 · Pt Diff -131

Struggling both sides of the ball recently (35.3 allowed/G)

12

Momentum Board

Top 15 teams by momentum score (recent form + point differential, last 6 games)

Bashers vs Bums

Punter Metric

2025 results split by season tier — how teams perform vs the Top 8 vs the Bottom 8.

Top 8

Seahawks Seahawks Patriots Patriots Broncos Broncos Jaguars Jaguars Rams Rams Bills Bills Texans Texans 49ers 49ers

Bottom 8

Bengals Bengals Commanders Commanders Browns Browns Giants Giants Cardinals Cardinals Raiders Raiders Titans Titans Jets Jets
# Team Tier Overall vs Top 8 (SU) vs Top 8 (ATS) vs Bot 8 (SU) vs Bot 8 (ATS) Profile Ratio
1 Seahawks Seattle Seahawks Top 8 14-3
82.4%
 4-2
66.7%
 4-2
66.7%
 4-0
100%
 3-1
75%
 Giant Killer 0.67
2 Patriots New England Patriots Top 8 14-3
82.4%
 1-1
50%
 1-1
50%
 6-1
85.7%
 4-2
57.1%
 Basher of Bums 0.58
3 Broncos Denver Broncos Top 8 14-3
82.4%
 1-1
50%
 1-1
50%
 7-0
100%
 1-6
14.3%
 Basher of Bums 0.50
4 Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars Top 8 13-4
76.5%
 3-3
50%
 3-3
50%
 5-1
83.3%
 3-2
50%
 Basher of Bums 0.60
5 Rams Los Angeles Rams Top 8 12-5
70.6%
 4-2
66.7%
 4-2
66.7%
 3-0
100%
 3-0
100%
 Giant Killer 0.67
6 Bills Buffalo Bills Top 8 12-5
70.6%
 1-2
33.3%
 1-2
33.3%
 4-0
100%
 2-2
50%
 Basher of Bums 0.33
7 Texans Houston Texans Top 8 12-5
70.6%
 3-4
42.9%
 3-4
42.9%
 4-0
100%
 2-2
50%
 Basher of Bums 0.43
8 49ers San Francisco 49ers Top 8 12-5
70.6%
 2-4
33.3%
 2-4
33.3%
 5-0
100%
 4-1
80%
 Basher of Bums 0.33
9 Eagles Philadelphia Eagles Mid 11-6
64.7%
 2-1
66.7%
 2-1
66.7%
 3-2
60%
 3-2
60%
 Elite – Consistent 1.11
10 Chargers Los Angeles Chargers Mid 11-6
64.7%
 1-3
25%
 0-3
0%
 3-2
60%
 2-3
40%
 Basher of Bums 0.42
11 Bears Chicago Bears Mid 11-6
64.7%
 0-1
0%
 0-1
0%
 5-0
100%
 4-1
80%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
12 Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers Mid 10-7
58.8%
 1-2
33.3%
 1-2
33.3%
 3-2
60%
 2-3
40%
 Balanced 0.56
13 Lions Detroit Lions Mid 9-8
52.9%
 0-1
0%
 0-1
0%
 4-0
100%
 3-1
75%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
14 Packers Green Bay Packers Mid 9-7
52.9%
 0-1
0%
 0-1
0%
 4-1
80%
 1-3
20%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
15 Vikings Minnesota Vikings Mid 9-8
52.9%
 0-1
0%
 0-1
0%
 4-0
100%
 3-0
75%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
16 Colts Indianapolis Colts Mid 8-9
47.1%
 1-7
12.5%
 4-4
50%
 4-0
100%
 3-1
75%
 Basher of Bums 0.13
17 Ravens Baltimore Ravens Mid 8-9
47.1%
 0-4
0%
 0-4
0%
 4-1
80%
 2-3
40%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
18 Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mid 8-9
47.1%
 3-3
50%
 3-3
50%
 2-0
100%
 1-1
50%
 Basher of Bums 0.50
19 Falcons Atlanta Falcons Mid 8-9
47.1%
 2-3
40%
 3-2
60%
 2-1
66.7%
 2-1
66.7%
 Balanced 0.60
20 Panthers Carolina Panthers Mid 8-9
47.1%
 1-5
16.7%
 1-5
16.7%
 1-1
50%
 2-0
100%
 Basher of Bums 0.33
21 Cowboys Dallas Cowboys Mid 7-9
41.2%
 0-1
0%
 0-1
0%
 5-2
71.4%
 3-4
42.9%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
22 Dolphins Miami Dolphins Mid 7-10
41.2%
 1-3
25%
 2-2
50%
 3-2
60%
 3-2
60%
 Basher of Bums 0.42
23 Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs Mid 6-11
35.3%
 0-5
0%
 1-4
20%
 3-2
60%
 3-2
60%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
24 Saints New Orleans Saints Mid 6-11
35.3%
 0-5
0%
 1-4
20%
 3-1
75%
 3-1
75%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
25 Bengals Cincinnati Bengals Bot 8 6-11
35.3%
 1-3
25%
 3-1
75%
 2-2
50%
 1-3
25%
 Balanced 0.50
26 Commanders Washington Commanders Bot 8 5-12
29.4%
 0-2
0%
 1-1
50%
 3-0
100%
 3-0
100%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
27 Browns Cleveland Browns Bot 8 5-12
29.4%
 0-3
0%
 1-2
33.3%
 2-3
40%
 3-2
60%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
28 Giants New York Giants Bot 8 4-13
23.5%
 0-3
0%
 1-2
33.3%
 1-2
33.3%
 1-2
33.3%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
29 Cardinals Arizona Cardinals Bot 8 3-14
17.6%
 0-8
0%
 1-6
12.5%
 0-2
0%
 0-2
0%
 Struggle vs Quality —
30 Raiders Las Vegas Raiders Bot 8 3-14
17.6%
 1-4
20%
 5-0
100%
 1-3
25%
 1-3
25%
 Struggle vs Quality 0.80
31 Titans Tennessee Titans Bot 8 3-14
17.6%
 0-9
0%
 3-6
33.3%
 2-1
66.7%
 2-1
66.7%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
32 Jets New York Jets Bot 8 3-14
17.6%
 0-6
0%
 1-4
16.7%
 2-0
100%
 2-0
100%
 Basher of Bums 0.00
Ratio = win% vs Top 8 ÷ win% vs Bottom 8. <0.5 = Basher of Bums · ~1.0 = consistent · >1.5 = Giant Killer.

Player Prop Leaders

Season statistical leaders (per-game averages). See Prop Betting Records below for Over/Under-vs-line hit rates.

Passing Yards

  1. 1
    Matthew Stafford Rams

    Matthew Stafford

    Rams Rams
    AVG 276.9 yds · 46TD
  2. 2
    Mac Jones 49ers

    Mac Jones

    49ers 49ers
    AVG 268.9 yds · 13TD
  3. 3
    Jared Goff Lions

    Jared Goff

    Lions Lions
    AVG 268.5 yds · 34TD
  4. 4
    Dak Prescott Cowboys

    Dak Prescott

    Cowboys Cowboys
    AVG 267.8 yds · 30TD
  5. 5
    Jacoby Brissett Cardinals

    Jacoby Brissett

    Cardinals Cardinals
    AVG 258.9 yds · 23TD
  6. 6
    Drake Maye Patriots

    Drake Maye

    Patriots Patriots
    AVG 258.5 yds · 31TD

Rushing Yards

  1. 1
    James Cook III Bills

    James Cook III

    Bills Bills
    AVG 97.6 yds · 7TD
  2. 2
    Derrick Henry Ravens

    Derrick Henry

    Ravens Ravens
    AVG 93.8 yds · 16TD
  3. 3
    Jonathan Taylor Colts

    Jonathan Taylor

    Colts Colts
    AVG 93.2 yds · 18TD
  4. 4
    Bijan Robinson Falcons

    Bijan Robinson

    Falcons Falcons
    AVG 86.9 yds · 7TD
  5. 5
    De'Von Achane Dolphins

    De'Von Achane

    Dolphins Dolphins
    AVG 84.4 yds · 8TD
  6. 6
    J.K. Dobbins Broncos

    J.K. Dobbins

    Broncos Broncos
    AVG 77.2 yds · 4TD

Receiving Yards

  1. 1
    Puka Nacua Rams

    Puka Nacua

    Rams Rams
    AVG 107.2 yds · 10TD
  2. 2
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba Seahawks

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba

    Seahawks Seahawks
    AVG 105.5 yds · 10TD
  3. 3
    Ja'Marr Chase Bengals

    Ja'Marr Chase

    Bengals Bengals
    AVG 88.3 yds · 8TD
  4. 4
    George Pickens Cowboys

    George Pickens

    Cowboys Cowboys
    AVG 84.1 yds · 9TD
  5. 5
    CeeDee Lamb Cowboys

    CeeDee Lamb

    Cowboys Cowboys
    AVG 82.8 yds · 3TD
  6. 6
    Amon-Ra St. Brown Lions

    Amon-Ra St. Brown

    Lions Lions
    AVG 82.4 yds · 11TD

Anytime TD

  1. 1
    Jonathan Taylor Colts

    Jonathan Taylor

    Colts Colts
    AVG 20 TD (17g)
  2. 2
    Jahmyr Gibbs Lions

    Jahmyr Gibbs

    Lions Lions
    AVG 18 TD (17g)
  3. 3
    Christian McCaffrey 49ers

    Christian McCaffrey

    49ers 49ers
    AVG 17 TD (17g)
  4. 4
    Derrick Henry Ravens

    Derrick Henry

    Ravens Ravens
    AVG 16 TD (17g)
  5. 5
    Davante Adams Rams

    Davante Adams

    Rams Rams
    AVG 14 TD (14g)
  6. 6
    Josh Jacobs Packers

    Josh Jacobs

    Packers Packers
    AVG 14 TD (15g)

Prop Betting Records (vs posted line)

True Over/Under records — consensus prop lines settled against actual box scores. Anytime TD = scored a rushing/receiving TD.

Passing Yards

Over 49.7% (272-275)

49.7%
Over
Avg Actual / Avg Line (272/275)
1
Jacoby Brissett Cardinals

Jacoby Brissett

9-2 276.9 /243.3
81.8%
2
Tyler Shough Saints

Tyler Shough

7-2 250.7 /207.7
77.8%
3
Drake Maye Patriots

Drake Maye

13-4 258.5 /233.3
76.5%
4
Spencer Rattler Saints

Spencer Rattler

6-2 198.3 /205.5
75%
5
Marcus Mariota Commanders

Marcus Mariota

6-2 200.3 /200.3
75%
6
Trevor Lawrence Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence

11-6 235.7 /226.3
64.7%

Rushing Yards

Over 47.2% (792-886)

47.2%
Over
Avg Actual / Avg Line (792/886)
1
Jameson Williams Lions

Jameson Williams

8-0 50.5 /0.5
100%
2
DJ Moore Bears

DJ Moore

7-1 8.4 /3.9
87.5%
3
Devin Neal Saints

Devin Neal

5-1 32.7 /30.9
83.3%
4
J.K. Dobbins Broncos

J.K. Dobbins

8-2 77.2 /58.5
80%
5
Kyler Murray Cardinals

Kyler Murray

4-1 34.6 /28.6
80%
6
Malik Davis Cowboys

Malik Davis

5-2 32.4 /12.4
71.4%

Receiving Yards

Over 46.0% (1638-1924)

46.0%
Over
Avg Actual / Avg Line (1638/1924)
1
Pat Bryant Broncos

Pat Bryant

8-1 36.9 /20.6
88.9%
2
Johnny Mundt Jaguars

Johnny Mundt

4-1 14.4 /10.1
80%
3
Alec Pierce Colts

Alec Pierce

11-3 62.2 /36.9
78.6%
4
Ty Johnson Bills

Ty Johnson

7-2 16.2 /9.3
77.8%
5
Greg Dulcich Dolphins

Greg Dulcich

7-2 37.2 /18.1
77.8%
6
Tyjae Spears Titans

Tyjae Spears

9-3 22.1 /15.8
75%

Receptions

Over 45.0% (1548-1889)

45.0%
Over
Avg Actual / Avg Line (1548/1889)
1
Pat Bryant Broncos

Pat Bryant

6-1 3 /1.9
85.7%
2
Mack Hollins Patriots

Mack Hollins

10-2 3.6 /2.2
83.3%
3
Jake Tonges 49ers

Jake Tonges

5-1 4.8 /2.8
83.3%
4
Josh Reynolds Jets

Josh Reynolds

4-1 2.2 /1.7
80%
5
Brian Robinson Jr. 49ers

Brian Robinson Jr.

4-1 3 /0.5
80%
6
Tyjae Spears Titans

Tyjae Spears

9-3 3.8 /2.5
75%

Anytime TD

Hit 13.1% (1116-7397)

13.1%
Hit
Avg Actual / Avg Line (1116/7397)
1
Christian McCaffrey 49ers

Christian McCaffrey

12-5
70.6%
2
Josh Jacobs Packers

Josh Jacobs

10-5
66.7%
3
Davante Adams Rams

Davante Adams

9-5
64.3%
4
Javonte Williams Cowboys

Javonte Williams

10-6
62.5%
5
De'Von Achane Dolphins

De'Von Achane

10-6
62.5%
6
Zach Charbonnet Seahawks

Zach Charbonnet

10-6
62.5%

What Is a Unit in Sports Betting?

In sports betting, one of the biggest differences between punters who eventually go broke and those who win consistently over time is surprisingly simple: they bet in units. Read More

Team

Market Performance

Hit rate of the labelled side, with the dark tick at the 52.4% break-even needed to beat the vig. Bars that stop short of it had no edge; a red bar means fade to the other side.

Full game
Full game spread
Favourite ATS · 127-140
47.6%
Back dogs
Full game total
Over rate · 138-133
50.9%
No edge
First half
1H spread
Favourite ATS · 129-139
48.1%
No edge
1H total
Over rate · 127-139
47.7%
No edge
First quarter
1Q spread
Favourite ATS · 133-138
49.1%
No edge
1Q total
Over rate · 129-141
47.8%
No edge
Player props · over rate vs posted line
Passing Yards
Over rate · 272-275
49.7%
No edge
Rushing Yards
Over rate · 792-886
47.2%
Unders
Receiving Yards
Over rate · 1638-1924
46.0%
Unders
Receptions
Over rate · 1548-1889
45.0%
Unders · best
Dark tick = 52.4% break-even (−110 vig). Prop rows are Over rate vs the consensus posted line; player-level breakdowns in the Prop Betting Records section.

Week-by-Week Tracker

How the key markets shifted week to week. Each point is that week in isolation; the dashed line is the 50% coin-flip mark.

Week Games Fav ATS Over 1H Fav ATS Home Win
Week 1 › 16 56.3% 25.0% 56.3% 56.3%
Week 2 › 16 56.3% 62.5% 53.3% 43.8%
Week 3 › 16 53.3% 50.0% 57.1% 75.0%
Week 4 › 16 50.0% 60.0% 62.5% 68.8%
Week 5 › 14 42.9% 64.3% 57.1% 28.6%
Week 6 › 15 40.0% 40.0% 60.0% 60.0%
Week 7 › 15 66.7% 53.3% 60.0% 60.0%
Week 8 › 13 84.6% 61.5% 69.2% 61.5%
Week 9 › 14 35.7% 57.1% 42.9% 28.6%
Week 10 › 14 35.7% 50.0% 28.6% 57.1%
Week 11 › 15 46.2% 26.7% 40.0% 53.3%
Week 12 › 14 30.8% 28.6% 35.7% 64.3%
Week 13 › 16 43.8% 43.8% 37.5% 50.0%
Week 14 › 14 42.9% 85.7% 57.1% 42.9%
Week 15 › 16 56.3% 62.5% 50.0% 62.5%
Week 16 › 16 33.3% 62.5% 25.0% 37.5%
Week 17 › 16 37.5% 43.8% 31.3% 37.5%
Week 18 › 16 43.8% 43.8% 46.7% 75.0%

Season Story

Refresh
The 2025 NFL season produced a modest home-field edge, with home teams winning 53.68 percent of games across 272 contests. Favorites failed to cover the spread consistently, finishing 127-140 for a 47.57 percent ATS mark and falling short of the roughly 52.4 percent break-even threshold. The totals market stayed nearly even, with overs hitting in 50.92 percent of games and unders in 49.08 percent, while the average combined score settled at 46 points.

Seattle emerged as the clearest team to back against the number. The Seahawks posted a 12-5 ATS record at 70.59 percent, comfortably clearing the profitability line while going 9-4 ATS as favorites and adding two wins in four underdog spots. Their road performance stood out most, with an 8-1 ATS mark away from home compared to a flat 4-4 at home. Seattle also delivered several decisive covers, including a 23.5-point win over the Saints in Week 3.

At the other end of the spectrum, Arizona proved the most reliable fade. The Cardinals managed just a 5-11-1 ATS record at 31.25 percent, struggling especially at home where they covered only once in seven tries. Their poor straight-up record of 3-14 aligned with consistent failure to beat the closing number.

Carolina offered the clearest underdog profile. The Panthers received 14 underdog starts and secured seven wins in those spots while finishing 10-7 ATS overall. That resilience produced the season’s largest cover, a 35.5-point victory over Atlanta in Week 3 that underscored their ability to outperform expectations when installed as underdogs.

Jacksonville and New England also posted strong ATS marks above 62 percent, with the Jaguars covering five of seven underdog opportunities. The league-wide data showed that early-game form signals, such as first-quarter and first-half lead percentages for teams like New England and Seattle, often translated into sustained betting value rather than isolated surges. Overall, the season rewarded disciplined backing of road teams that exceeded market expectations while punishing sides that repeatedly fell short of the number.
NFL GAME PASS
Dive Deeper
From the morningread to the specific bets and the full resarch
Todays Bombcard → league intelligence → Player Prop Trends → Season Intelligence → Full Standings →

© 2026 Beating The Spread Guru Pty Ltd. All rights reserved

Privacy • Terms & Conditions • Responsible Gambling