Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Week 4

Match by Match

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· Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, USA · Week: 4

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📊 Form Snapshot

Away

Green Bay Packers 59 STEADY · W1

(2-2) R 2-1 H 0-1

Avg For 18.3 · Avg Agt 26.3

Power #14 Off #19 Def #21 Run 19%

OFF 307y #20 · 249 pass / 58 rush

DEF 324y #14 · 185 pass / 139 rush

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ATS

–

O/U

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Score

22-39

20-17

14-35

17-14

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Home

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 COOL · L4

(0-4) R 0-1 H 0-3

Avg For 19 · Avg Agt 24

Power #29 Off #27 Def #18 Run 38%

OFF 278y #28 · 172 pass / 106 rush

DEF 283y #4 · 204 pass / 79 rush

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ATS

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O/U

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Score

27-33

19-23

16-23

14-17

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✏️ Match Preview

Green Bay enters Week 4 as the 3.5-point road favorite at Raymond James Stadium after a 1-2 start that includes a 1-1 mark away from home. The Packers have leaned on the passing game for 266.7 yards per contest while posting 18.7 points, yet the defense has surrendered 30.3 points per game. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, remains winless at 0-3 with Baker Mayfield sidelined, having scored 20.7 points and allowed 26.3. The 39.5 total reflects expectations of a measured, lower-output afternoon. Green Bay’s road results have been more reliable than its lone home outing, suggesting the unit can maintain structure on the road even after last week’s defeat. Tampa’s offense has managed only 185 passing yards per game and a 30% red-zone rate, limiting its ability to keep pace if the game stays in the 20s. With the spread at Packers -3.5, Green Bay’s ability to win on the road while controlling the ball through the air sets up as the clearer path to covering or pushing the number in a game unlikely to balloon past the modest total.

🔑 Keys to Success

Green Bay Packers

Lean on 266.7 passing yards to create explosive plays; Packers -3.5 is the road-favored number.
Force Tampa into third-and-long early; 39.5 total rewards the side that controls the clock.
Exploit red-zone opportunities after 41.67% rate; keep the game under the posted total.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Establish 94.3 rush yards to shorten possessions; Bucs +3.5 benefits from a run-heavy approach.
Keep Green Bay’s defense on the field; 26.3 points allowed suggests Tampa can stay inside the number.
Target low red-zone efficiency at 30%; 39.5 total favors the team that avoids turnovers.

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