Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders - Week 4

Match by Match

IND 0

WAS

1 play

· Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England · Week: 4

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📊 Form Snapshot

Away

Indianapolis Colts 63 WARM · W2

(2-2) R 1-1 H 1-1

Avg For 25.5 · Avg Agt 26

Power #13 Off #10 Def #22 Run 39%

OFF 284y #25 · 175 pass / 110 rush

DEF 392y #31 · 261 pass / 131 rush

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ATS

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O/U

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Score

23-41

30-33

19-17

30-13

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Home

Washington Commanders 19 COOL · L1

(1-3) R 0-2 H 1-1

Avg For 22 · Avg Agt 30.5

Power #27 Off #16 Def #29 Run 39%

OFF 315y #19 · 191 pass / 124 rush

DEF 336y #18 · 243 pass / 94 rush

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ATS

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O/U

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Score

22-24

20-37

33-31

13-30

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✏️ Match Preview

Indianapolis arrives in London as the 3.5-point favorite after a Week 3 victory that halted a brief skid and kept them alone in second place in the AFC South. The Colts have posted 24 points per game while allowing 30.3, modest but still superior to Washington's 1-2 mark that includes two road losses. On a neutral site the script favors the side that has already secured a divisional win and carries the lower implied total on a posted 23.5. Indianapolis will aim to keep the game in the low twenties by leaning on its ground attack and forcing Washington into predictable passing situations. With both teams at 1-2, the recent form edge belongs to the Colts, who have shown the ability to close games when the score stays tight. The market number reflects that modest advantage; Indianapolis needs only to replicate its divisional performance and limit explosive plays to stay ahead of the spread. A low-scoring environment also suits a defense that has lived on the field but still enters as the more reliable unit on this neutral field.

🔑 Keys to Success

Indianapolis Colts

Lean on the ground game to keep Washington in long-yardage situations; Colts team total sits on a number that rewards clock control.
Force early third downs to limit Washington's 132 rush yards per game; 23.5 total rewards defensive stops on first and second down.
Stay ahead of the chains in the red zone where both sides sit at 66.67 percent efficiency; covering -3.5 starts with points before the two-minute warning.

Washington Commanders

Establish the run early to keep the Colts defense on the field and push the total toward the low 20s; Commanders rush attack is the clearest path inside the number.
Exploit Indianapolis' 30.3 points allowed by creating explosive plays on early downs; +3.5 lives on sustained drives rather than field goals.
Manage the game if Daniels is limited; a controlled pace keeps Washington within a 23.5 total that already prices in a defensive battle.

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