Baltimore Ravens
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Rank #31 · Record 8-9 · ATS 6-11 (35.3%)

← Season
40
Momentum
23.3 form + 16.5 margin L6: 33% wins · 2 pts/g
Cold form
Streak
L1
L6 pt diff
+12
L6 ATS
2-4
W W L L L L W L W L

Last 3

3 gm
SU
1-2
ATS
1-2 · 33.3%
O/U
3-0 · 100%
Pt diff
+11 (3.7/g)

Last 6

6 gm
SU
2-4
ATS
2-4 · 33.3%
O/U
4-2 · 66.7%
Pt diff
+12 (2/g)

Season

17 gm
SU
8-9
ATS
6-11 · 35.3%
O/U
9-8 · 52.9%
Pt diff
+26 (1.5/g)

Market splits

This season, coloured vs the 52.4% break-even.

Full spread
6-11
35.3%
Total (over)
9-8
52.9%
As favourite
5-9
35.7%
Home ATS
2-7
22.2%
Away ATS
4-4
50.0%
1H ATS
7-9
43.8%
1Q ATS
7-10
41.2%

Last season vs now

Baseline profile compared to the current season.

No 2024 baseline imported yet, so there's no prior-season profile to compare. Baselines are built with php artisan nfl:build-baselines 2024.

Key players

Top producer per category (season per-game average).

Passer

Lamar Jackson Ravens

Lamar Jackson

196.1 yds/g · 21 TD · 13 gm

Rusher

Derrick Henry Ravens

Derrick Henry

93.8 yds/g · 16 TD · 17 gm

Receiver

Zay Flowers Ravens

Zay Flowers

71.2 yds/g · 5 TD · 17 gm

Notable prop trends

Biggest Over/Under leans vs the posted line (min 5 games).

Derrick Henry Ravens
Derrick Henry
Receptions · avg 0.8 vs line 1.2
3-11
21% Unders
Rashod Bateman Ravens
Rashod Bateman
Receiving yds · avg 16 vs line 26.39
3-11
21% Unders
Rashod Bateman Ravens
Rashod Bateman
Receptions · avg 1.36 vs line 2.14
3-11
21% Unders
Mark Andrews Ravens
Mark Andrews
Receiving yds · avg 24.82 vs line 32.74
5-12
29% Unders
Zay Flowers Ravens
Zay Flowers
Receiving yds · avg 71.24 vs line 60.41
11-5
69% Overs
Isaiah Likely Ravens
Isaiah Likely
Receiving yds · avg 21.93 vs line 23.21
4-10
29% Unders

Season story

The Ravens close the 2025 season with shaky recent form. Their last five games produced a 2-3 ATS mark and a clear lean toward overs (4-1), including three straight overs before a Week 18 unders result. Over the last ten contests the record sits at 4-6 ATS, with a four-game losing skid ATS from Weeks 3-6 that exposed defensive and covering issues. Baltimore finished 8-9 overall and just 6-11 ATS, ranking near the bottom of the league in covering spreads.

As favorites in 14 of 17 games they covered only five times, while going 1-2 ATS as underdogs. Home performance was especially poor at 2-7 ATS, whereas the road mark reached 4-4. The totals leaned slightly over at 9-8, aligning closely with league norms. First-half leads came in just seven games (41%), indicating inconsistent early-game control that often left them chasing or playing from narrow margins.

Notable betting outcomes include the Week 15 road shutout of Cincinnati, where Baltimore covered a modest 2.5-point spread by 24 points. The Week 17 win in Green Bay as 3.5-point underdogs also stood out, producing a 17-point margin and an over. Conversely, heavy home losses to Houston and Cincinnati highlighted the difficulty covering large spreads at home.

For bettors, the clearest angles center on avoiding Baltimore at home, where the ATS mark was dismal, and monitoring the recent uptick in overs. Road games offered more value, particularly when the Ravens entered as underdogs or modest favorites, while first-half trends suggest waiting for clearer early-game signals before committing to totals or spreads.

Game log

Wk Match Score Spread Cover ATS O/U 1H Mgn
1
Bills Bills vs Ravens Ravens
41 - 40 -1 -2 L O +7
2
Browns Browns @ Ravens Ravens
17 - 41 -11.5 12.5 W O +7
3
Lions Lions @ Ravens Ravens
38 - 30 -5 -13 L O +0
4
Chiefs Chiefs vs Ravens Ravens
37 - 20 -2.5 -19.5 L O -10
5
Texans Texans @ Ravens Ravens
44 - 10 +1.5 -32.5 L O -21
6
Rams Rams @ Ravens Ravens
17 - 3 +7.5 -6.5 L U +0
8
Bears Bears @ Ravens Ravens
16 - 30 -6.5 7.5 W U +4
9
Dolphins Dolphins vs Ravens Ravens
6 - 28 -7.5 14.5 W U +8
10
Vikings Vikings vs Ravens Ravens
19 - 27 -4 4 W U -1
11
Browns Browns vs Ravens Ravens
16 - 23 -7.5 -0.5 L U -6
12
Jets Jets @ Ravens Ravens
10 - 23 -13.5 -0.5 L U -4
13
Bengals Bengals @ Ravens Ravens
32 - 14 -7 -25 L U -5
14
Steelers Steelers @ Ravens Ravens
27 - 22 -6 -11 L O -8
15
Bengals Bengals vs Ravens Ravens
0 - 24 -2.5 21.5 W U +14
16
Patriots Patriots @ Ravens Ravens
28 - 24 -3 -7 L O +0
17
Packers Packers vs Ravens Ravens
24 - 41 +3.5 20.5 W O +13
18
Steelers Steelers vs Ravens Ravens
26 - 24 -3.5 -5.5 L O +7