Cincinnati Bengals
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Rank #18 · Record 6-11 · ATS 8-9 (47.1%)

← Season
54
Momentum
35 form + 19.3 margin L6: 50% wins · 5.7 pts/g
Warm form
Streak
L1
L6 pt diff
+34
L6 ATS
4-2
L L L W W W L W W L

Last 3

3 gm
SU
2-1
ATS
2-1 · 66.7%
O/U
1-2 · 33.3%
Pt diff
+45 (15/g)

Last 6

6 gm
SU
3-3
ATS
4-2 · 66.7%
O/U
2-4 · 33.3%
Pt diff
+34 (5.7/g)

Season

17 gm
SU
6-11
ATS
8-9 · 47.1%
O/U
9-8 · 52.9%
Pt diff
-78 (-4.6/g)

Market splits

This season, coloured vs the 52.4% break-even.

Full spread
8-9
47.1%
Total (over)
9-8
52.9%
As favourite
3-3
50.0%
Home ATS
4-5
44.4%
Away ATS
4-4
50.0%
1H ATS
9-8
52.9%
1Q ATS
8-9
47.1%

Last season vs now

Baseline profile compared to the current season.

No 2024 baseline imported yet, so there's no prior-season profile to compare. Baselines are built with php artisan nfl:build-baselines 2024.

Key players

Top producer per category (season per-game average).

Passer

Joe Burrow Bengals

Joe Burrow

226.1 yds/g · 17 TD · 8 gm

Rusher

Chase Brown Bengals

Chase Brown

59.9 yds/g · 6 TD · 17 gm

Receiver

Ja'Marr Chase Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase

88.3 yds/g · 8 TD · 16 gm

Notable prop trends

Biggest Over/Under leans vs the posted line (min 5 games).

Tee Higgins Bengals
Tee Higgins
Receptions · avg 3.93 vs line 4.53
5-10
33% Unders
Mike Gesicki Bengals
Mike Gesicki
Receiving yds · avg 23.62 vs line 24.23
4-9
31% Unders
Noah Fant Bengals
Noah Fant
Receiving yds · avg 20.21 vs line 17.71
9-5
64% Overs
Ja'Marr Chase Bengals
Ja'Marr Chase
Receiving yds · avg 88.25 vs line 81.88
10-6
63% Overs
Joe Flacco Bengals
Joe Flacco
Passing yds · avg 248 vs line 238.11
3-6
33% Unders
Drew Sample Bengals
Drew Sample
Receiving yds · avg 1.6 vs line 6.2
1-4
20% Unders

Season story

The Bengals close the 2025 season on a mixed note after a 3-2 ATS run in their final five games, though the sequence WLWWL shows no sustained momentum. Their last 10 games produced an even 5-5 ATS mark, bookended by losing streaks that included three straight ATS defeats early in that stretch and a closing loss. Totals leaned under in six of those ten contests, continuing a pattern of lower-scoring outcomes late in the year.

Cincinnati finished 8-9 ATS overall on a 6-11 record, covering just three of six games as favorites while going 2-? as underdogs in their 11 dog starts. Home performance was slightly worse at 4-5 ATS, while they managed a flat 4-4 mark on the road. The over hit in nine of 17 games, barely above the league norm, with no pronounced home or away bias in totals.

First-quarter and first-half leads offer limited insight: they led after the first quarter in only six games and at halftime in eight, suggesting they were often playing from behind or in close contests early. Margin trends show occasional blowouts in both directions, but the team rarely dominated from the opening whistle.

The clearest standout was the Week 13 road cover against Baltimore, where Cincinnati won 32-14 as a 7-point underdog for a 25-point margin—their largest of the season. Other notable results include narrow home losses that cost covers as favorites and several high-total overs in the middle of the year.

For bettors, the Bengals offer the most consistent angle when installed as underdogs, where their ATS results held up better than when favored. The recent uptick in unders and the lack of first-quarter dominance point to value on the under in games involving Cincinnati, especially against teams that control the early tempo.

Game log

Wk Match Score Spread Cover ATS O/U 1H Mgn
1
Browns Browns vs Bengals Bengals
16 - 17 -5 -4 L U +4
2
Jaguars Jaguars @ Bengals Bengals
27 - 31 -3.5 0.5 W O -7
3
Vikings Vikings vs Bengals Bengals
48 - 10 +3 -35 L O -31
4
Broncos Broncos vs Bengals Bengals
28 - 3 +7.5 -17.5 L U -18
5
Lions Lions @ Bengals Bengals
37 - 24 +10.5 -2.5 L O -11
6
Packers Packers vs Bengals Bengals
27 - 18 +14 5 W O -10
7
Steelers Steelers @ Bengals Bengals
31 - 33 +5.5 7.5 W O +7
8
Jets Jets @ Bengals Bengals
39 - 38 -6.5 -7.5 L O +11
9
Bears Bears @ Bengals Bengals
47 - 42 +3 -2 L O +3
11
Steelers Steelers vs Bengals Bengals
34 - 12 +5.5 -16.5 L U -4
12
Patriots Patriots @ Bengals Bengals
26 - 20 +7 1 W U -4
13
Ravens Ravens vs Bengals Bengals
14 - 32 +7 25 W U +5
14
Bills Bills vs Bengals Bengals
39 - 34 +5.5 0.5 W O +10
15
Ravens Ravens @ Bengals Bengals
24 - 0 +2.5 -21.5 L U -14
16
Dolphins Dolphins vs Bengals Bengals
21 - 45 -4.5 19.5 W O +3
17
Cardinals Cardinals @ Bengals Bengals
14 - 37 -7.5 15.5 W U +16
18
Browns Browns @ Bengals Bengals
20 - 18 -7.5 -9.5 L U -2