Cleveland Browns
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Rank #17 · Record 5-12 · ATS 8-9 (47.1%)

← Season
33
Momentum
23.3 form + 9.8 margin L6: 33% wins · -7 pts/g
Cold form
Streak
W2
L6 pt diff
-42
L6 ATS
3-3
L L W W L L L W W W

Last 3

3 gm
SU
2-1
ATS
3-0 · 100%
O/U
1-2 · 33.3%
Pt diff
+6 (2/g)

Last 6

6 gm
SU
2-4
ATS
3-3 · 50%
O/U
2-4 · 33.3%
Pt diff
-42 (-7/g)

Season

17 gm
SU
5-12
ATS
8-9 · 47.1%
O/U
6-11 · 35.3%
Pt diff
-100 (-5.9/g)

Market splits

This season, coloured vs the 52.4% break-even.

Full spread
8-9
47.1%
Total (over)
6-11
35.3%
As favourite
1-2
33.3%
Home ATS
6-3
66.7%
Away ATS
2-6
25.0%
1H ATS
10-6
62.5%
1Q ATS
11-6
64.7%

Last season vs now

Baseline profile compared to the current season.

No 2024 baseline imported yet, so there's no prior-season profile to compare. Baselines are built with php artisan nfl:build-baselines 2024.

Key players

Top producer per category (season per-game average).

Passer

Joe Flacco Browns

Joe Flacco

203.8 yds/g · 2 TD · 4 gm

Rusher

Quinshon Judkins Browns

Quinshon Judkins

59.1 yds/g · 7 TD · 14 gm

Receiver

Harold Fannin Jr. Browns

Harold Fannin Jr.

45.7 yds/g · 6 TD · 16 gm

Notable prop trends

Biggest Over/Under leans vs the posted line (min 5 games).

Cedric Tillman Browns
Cedric Tillman
Receptions · avg 1.62 vs line 2.42
2-11
15% Unders
Jerry Jeudy Browns
Jerry Jeudy
Receiving yds · avg 35.41 vs line 40.88
5-12
29% Unders
David Njoku Browns
David Njoku
Receiving yds · avg 24.42 vs line 29.71
3-9
25% Unders
Dylan Sampson Browns
Dylan Sampson
Rushing yds · avg 17.29 vs line 25.5
1-6
14% Unders
David Njoku Browns
David Njoku
Receptions · avg 2.75 vs line 3.33
4-8
33% Unders
Isaiah Bond Browns
Isaiah Bond
Receptions · avg 1.08 vs line 1.75
4-8
33% Unders

Season story

The Cleveland Browns closed the 2025 season with a sharp ATS turnaround in their final stretch. After a rough midseason skid, they posted a 3-2 ATS mark over their last five games and finished the final 10 contests at 5-5 ATS, capped by three straight covers. That late surge came mostly as underdogs, where the value consistently sat. Overall the Browns finished 8-9 ATS and a dismal 5-12 straight up, but the splits reveal a clear home-road divide that shaped their betting profile. At home they went 6-3 ATS while away they managed just 2-6. As favorites in only three games they covered just once, but as 14-point underdogs they covered seven times.

Totals leaned heavily under, with just six overs against 11 unders for the year. The Browns led at halftime in only seven of 17 games and after the first quarter in just five, pointing to slow starts that kept first-half scoring suppressed. Opponents often built leads before Cleveland’s defense settled in, contributing to the under-heavy results. The most glaring standout came in Week 7 when they covered a 2.5-point spread by 25 points in a 31-6 home win over Miami, their largest margin cover of the season.

From a betting standpoint the Browns offered the clearest value as home underdogs or in games where the total sat near or above 40. Their road performances rarely justified the number, while the consistent unders trend held across both home and away venues. Bettors who targeted Cleveland at home or on the under side captured the most reliable edges throughout the campaign.

Game log

Wk Match Score Spread Cover ATS O/U 1H Mgn
1
Bengals Bengals @ Browns Browns
17 - 16 +5 4 W U -4
2
Ravens Ravens vs Browns Browns
41 - 17 +11.5 -12.5 L O -7
3
Packers Packers @ Browns Browns
10 - 13 +7.5 10.5 W U -3
4
Lions Lions vs Browns Browns
34 - 10 +10 -14 L U -13
5
Vikings Vikings @ Browns Browns
21 - 17 +3.5 -0.5 L O +3
6
Steelers Steelers vs Browns Browns
23 - 9 +5.5 -8.5 L U -6
7
Dolphins Dolphins @ Browns Browns
6 - 31 -2.5 22.5 W U +11
8
Patriots Patriots vs Browns Browns
32 - 13 +7 -12 L O -2
10
Jets Jets vs Browns Browns
27 - 20 -2.5 -9.5 L O +0
11
Ravens Ravens @ Browns Browns
23 - 16 +7.5 0.5 W U +6
12
Raiders Raiders vs Browns Browns
10 - 24 +4 18 W U +11
13
49ers 49ers @ Browns Browns
26 - 8 +4.5 -13.5 L U -2
14
Titans Titans @ Browns Browns
31 - 29 -4 -6 L O +3
15
Bears Bears vs Browns Browns
31 - 3 +7.5 -20.5 L U -14
16
Bills Bills @ Browns Browns
23 - 20 +10.5 7.5 W O -10
17
Steelers Steelers @ Browns Browns
6 - 13 +3 10 W U +4
18
Bengals Bengals vs Browns Browns
18 - 20 +7.5 9.5 W U +2