Denver Broncos
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Denver’s recent betting form has been uneven. Over their last 10 games the Broncos sit at 5-5 ATS and 5-5 on the total, but the last five have tilted toward the under at 3-2 with back-to-back unders to close that stretch. Their ATS sequence (LWLLW) shows no sustained hot streak, just sporadic covers amid several near-misses as favorites.

For the full season Denver finished 14-3 straight up yet only 7-9-1 ATS, a clear case of winning without covering. They went just 3 covers in 12 starts as favorites while posting 4 wins in 5 tries as underdogs. Home ATS performance was respectable at 5-4, but road results were poor at 2-5. The totals leaned under all year (7 overs, 10 unders), outpacing the league’s near-even split.

First-quarter and first-half leads both came in only eight of 17 games (47.1 percent), indicating the Broncos have not been consistent fast starters. They have also shown a habit of close margins, with several one-possession outcomes that hurt them as favorites. The clearest standout remains their Week 4 28-3 home win over Cincinnati, covering by 17.5 points as 7.5-point favorites—the season’s largest spread cover.

The current betting angle centers on unders and fading Denver as large road favorites. Their 58.8 percent under rate, combined with only a 28.6 percent ATS mark away from home, continues to offer the most reliable edges despite the team’s strong overall record.