Green Bay Packers
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

The Packers have hit a cold stretch late in the season, managing just one ATS win across their last five games after a three-game cover streak within the prior ten. That mid-season run briefly improved their ATS mark before another four-game skid dropped them to 3-6-1 over the last ten, with totals remaining split at 5-5 in that span.

For the full year Green Bay sits at 6-10-1 ATS despite a 9-7 straight-up record. They were installed as favorites in 15 of 17 contests yet covered only five times in those spots, while going 1-1 as underdogs. Home performance has been neutral at 4-4 ATS, but the road has been a consistent liability at 2-6 ATS. The over has landed in nine of 17 games, slightly ahead of the under.

Green Bay led at halftime in nine games and after the first quarter in seven, showing a tendency to start strong before fading in several losses. This pattern has contributed to late-game margin swings that hurt ATS results, especially when favored by double digits. Away games have produced the widest variance, with several double-digit margins in either direction.

The clearest standout was their Week 1 home win over Detroit, covering a 2.5-point spread by 11.5 points in a 27-13 result. They also cashed as three-point underdogs in the Week 13 rematch. The opposite end includes multiple double-digit home favorites that failed to cover, most notably the Week 9 and Week 17 home losses.

As it stands, the Packers offer little value when lined as favorites or on the road. Their first-half lead rate has not translated into consistent full-game covers, and the combination of poor ATS results as favorites and on the road makes them a team to fade in most betting spots heading into the final weeks.