Jacksonville Jaguars
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Jacksonville’s recent form has turned sharply positive for bettors. The Jaguars went 4-1 ATS and 4-1 to the over in their last five games, with the lone ATS loss coming in Week 17. That run built on a last-10 stretch of 6-3-1 ATS and 7-3 over, showing consistent late-season value on both sides and totals.

For the full season Jacksonville finished 13-4 straight up and 10-6-1 ATS, comfortably above the league-wide favorite cover rate. They covered five of ten games as favorites and went 5-2 ATS as underdogs. The split between venues is stark: a 7-2 home ATS mark contrasted with just 3-4 away from TIAA Bank Field. The over hit in nine of 16 games with a line, slightly ahead of the league average.

First-half tendencies stand out. Jacksonville led at halftime in 11 of 17 games, often building leads early before the outcome was decided. They led after the first quarter eight times, indicating they are not chronic slow starters. The pattern of strong first halves has paired with a tendency for games to finish over the total in recent weeks.

Standout results include the Week 11 35-6 home win over the Chargers that covered a +3 spread by 29 points and the Week 18 41-7 dismantling of Tennessee that covered -12.5 by 34. The 48-20 home win over the Jets in Week 15 also produced a comfortable 28-point cover of -13.5.

The clearest betting angle right now is backing Jacksonville at home, where the ATS record is dominant, while monitoring the over trend that has accelerated in the final stretch. Away performances remain inconsistent and offer less reliable value.