Las Vegas Raiders
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Rank #25 · Record 3-14 · ATS 7-10 (41.2%)

← Season
17
Momentum
11.7 form + 5.1 margin L6: 17% wins · -13.2 pts/g
Cold form
Streak
W1
L6 pt diff
-79
L6 ATS
3-3
W W L L L W L W L W

Last 3

3 gm
SU
1-2
ATS
2-1 · 66.7%
O/U
2-1 · 66.7%
Pt diff
-24 (-8/g)

Last 6

6 gm
SU
1-5
ATS
3-3 · 50%
O/U
4-2 · 66.7%
Pt diff
-79 (-13.2/g)

Season

17 gm
SU
3-14
ATS
7-10 · 41.2%
O/U
7-10 · 41.2%
Pt diff
-191 (-11.2/g)

Market splits

This season, coloured vs the 52.4% break-even.

Full spread
7-10
41.2%
Total (over)
7-10
41.2%
As favourite
1-2
33.3%
Home ATS
4-5
44.4%
Away ATS
3-5
37.5%
1H ATS
7-10
41.2%
1Q ATS
8-9
47.1%

Last season vs now

Baseline profile compared to the current season.

No 2024 baseline imported yet, so there's no prior-season profile to compare. Baselines are built with php artisan nfl:build-baselines 2024.

Key players

Top producer per category (season per-game average).

Passer

Geno Smith Raiders

Geno Smith

201.7 yds/g · 19 TD · 15 gm

Rusher

Ashton Jeanty Raiders

Ashton Jeanty

57.4 yds/g · 5 TD · 17 gm

Receiver

Brock Bowers Raiders

Brock Bowers

56.7 yds/g · 7 TD · 12 gm

Notable prop trends

Biggest Over/Under leans vs the posted line (min 5 games).

Geno Smith Raiders
Geno Smith
Rushing yds · avg 7.87 vs line 9.7
4-11
27% Unders
Brock Bowers Raiders
Brock Bowers
Receiving yds · avg 56.67 vs line 59.58
3-9
25% Unders
Ashton Jeanty Raiders
Ashton Jeanty
Rushing yds · avg 57.35 vs line 62.68
6-11
35% Unders
Brock Bowers Raiders
Brock Bowers
Receptions · avg 5.33 vs line 5.67
4-8
33% Unders
Geno Smith Raiders
Geno Smith
Passing yds · avg 201.67 vs line 218.93
6-9
40% Unders
Raheem Mostert Raiders
Raheem Mostert
Rushing yds · avg 5.14 vs line 9.07
2-5
29% Unders

Season story

The Raiders enter the offseason on an uneven note after a 3-2 ATS mark in their final five games. That stretch produced three overs and a WLWLW sequence, showing brief ATS resilience but little sustained momentum. Over the prior ten contests the record flattened to 5-5 ATS and 5-5 on the total, confirming the inconsistency that defined their year.

Season-long the numbers were unattractive: 7-10 ATS overall and just 7-10 on the over. With only three starts as favorites they covered once, while going 6-9 ATS in 14 underdog spots. Home and road results offered little separation, finishing 4-5 ATS at home and 3-5 away. The under hit at a 58.8 percent clip, often when Las Vegas trailed early and the game script turned conservative.

First-half trends were especially telling. The Raiders led at halftime in just four of 17 games (23.5 percent) and after the first quarter in five (29.4 percent). Large negative first-half margins appeared repeatedly, most notably minus-21 at Kansas City and minus-17 at both Indianapolis and Philadelphia. Those slow starts repeatedly forced them into comeback attempts that rarely produced ATS wins.

The clearest positive came in Week 16, when they covered a 14-point spread at Houston despite a 21-23 loss. That marked their largest spread cover of the season. A Week 18 home win over Kansas City as 5.5-point dogs provided a late-season ATS surprise but little else.

For future betting angles, the Raiders have shown modest value only as sizable road underdogs when totals sit below the league average. Their persistent first-half deficits and overall 41 percent ATS rate suggest fading them as favorites or in games expecting a high-scoring script until personnel or coaching changes alter the early-game profile.

Game log

Wk Match Score Spread Cover ATS O/U 1H Mgn
1
Patriots Patriots vs Raiders Raiders
13 - 20 +2.5 9.5 W U -3
2
Chargers Chargers @ Raiders Raiders
20 - 9 +3.5 -7.5 L U -11
3
Commanders Commanders vs Raiders Raiders
41 - 24 +3.5 -13.5 L O -10
4
Bears Bears @ Raiders Raiders
25 - 24 -1 -2 L O +5
5
Colts Colts vs Raiders Raiders
40 - 6 +7 -27 L U -17
6
Titans Titans @ Raiders Raiders
10 - 20 -4.5 5.5 W U +10
7
Chiefs Chiefs vs Raiders Raiders
31 - 0 +12 -19 L U -21
9
Jaguars Jaguars @ Raiders Raiders
30 - 29 +3 2 W O +3
10
Broncos Broncos vs Raiders Raiders
10 - 7 +9 6 W U +0
11
Cowboys Cowboys @ Raiders Raiders
33 - 16 +3.5 -13.5 L U -15
12
Browns Browns @ Raiders Raiders
24 - 10 -4 -18 L U -11
13
Chargers Chargers vs Raiders Raiders
31 - 14 +9.5 -7.5 L O +0
14
Broncos Broncos @ Raiders Raiders
24 - 17 +7.5 0.5 W O -7
15
Eagles Eagles vs Raiders Raiders
31 - 0 +11.5 -19.5 L U -17
16
Texans Texans vs Raiders Raiders
23 - 21 +14 12 W O -6
17
Giants Giants @ Raiders Raiders
34 - 10 +1 -23 L O -14
18
Chiefs Chiefs @ Raiders Raiders
12 - 14 +5.5 7.5 W U +3