Las Vegas Raiders
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis
Rank #25 · Record 3-14 · ATS 7-10 (41.2%)
Last 3
3 gmLast 6
6 gmSeason
17 gmMarket splits
This season, coloured vs the 52.4% break-even.
Last season vs now
Baseline profile compared to the current season.
php artisan nfl:build-baselines 2024.
Key players
Top producer per category (season per-game average).
Notable prop trends
Biggest Over/Under leans vs the posted line (min 5 games).
Season story
Season-long the numbers were unattractive: 7-10 ATS overall and just 7-10 on the over. With only three starts as favorites they covered once, while going 6-9 ATS in 14 underdog spots. Home and road results offered little separation, finishing 4-5 ATS at home and 3-5 away. The under hit at a 58.8 percent clip, often when Las Vegas trailed early and the game script turned conservative.
First-half trends were especially telling. The Raiders led at halftime in just four of 17 games (23.5 percent) and after the first quarter in five (29.4 percent). Large negative first-half margins appeared repeatedly, most notably minus-21 at Kansas City and minus-17 at both Indianapolis and Philadelphia. Those slow starts repeatedly forced them into comeback attempts that rarely produced ATS wins.
The clearest positive came in Week 16, when they covered a 14-point spread at Houston despite a 21-23 loss. That marked their largest spread cover of the season. A Week 18 home win over Kansas City as 5.5-point dogs provided a late-season ATS surprise but little else.
For future betting angles, the Raiders have shown modest value only as sizable road underdogs when totals sit below the league average. Their persistent first-half deficits and overall 41 percent ATS rate suggest fading them as favorites or in games expecting a high-scoring script until personnel or coaching changes alter the early-game profile.
Game log
| Wk | Match | Score | Spread | Cover | ATS | O/U | 1H Mgn |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Patriots
vs
Raiders
|
13 - 20 | +2.5 | 9.5 | W | U | -3 |
| 2 |
Chargers
@
Raiders
|
20 - 9 | +3.5 | -7.5 | L | U | -11 |
| 3 |
Commanders
vs
Raiders
|
41 - 24 | +3.5 | -13.5 | L | O | -10 |
| 4 |
Bears
@
Raiders
|
25 - 24 | -1 | -2 | L | O | +5 |
| 5 |
Colts
vs
Raiders
|
40 - 6 | +7 | -27 | L | U | -17 |
| 6 |
Titans
@
Raiders
|
10 - 20 | -4.5 | 5.5 | W | U | +10 |
| 7 |
Chiefs
vs
Raiders
|
31 - 0 | +12 | -19 | L | U | -21 |
| 9 |
Jaguars
@
Raiders
|
30 - 29 | +3 | 2 | W | O | +3 |
| 10 |
Broncos
vs
Raiders
|
10 - 7 | +9 | 6 | W | U | +0 |
| 11 |
Cowboys
@
Raiders
|
33 - 16 | +3.5 | -13.5 | L | U | -15 |
| 12 |
Browns
@
Raiders
|
24 - 10 | -4 | -18 | L | U | -11 |
| 13 |
Chargers
vs
Raiders
|
31 - 14 | +9.5 | -7.5 | L | O | +0 |
| 14 |
Broncos
@
Raiders
|
24 - 17 | +7.5 | 0.5 | W | O | -7 |
| 15 |
Eagles
vs
Raiders
|
31 - 0 | +11.5 | -19.5 | L | U | -17 |
| 16 |
Texans
vs
Raiders
|
23 - 21 | +14 | 12 | W | O | -6 |
| 17 |
Giants
@
Raiders
|
34 - 10 | +1 | -23 | L | O | -14 |
| 18 |
Chiefs
@
Raiders
|
12 - 14 | +5.5 | 7.5 | W | U | +3 |