Los Angeles Chargers
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Rank #15 · Record 11-6 · ATS 8-8 (50.0%)

← Season
64
Momentum
46.7 form + 17.5 margin L6: 67% wins · 3.3 pts/g
Warm form
Streak
L2
L6 pt diff
+20
L6 ATS
4-2
W L W L W W W W L L

Last 3

3 gm
SU
1-2
ATS
1-2 · 33.3%
O/U
1-2 · 33.3%
Pt diff
-3 (-1/g)

Last 6

6 gm
SU
4-2
ATS
4-2 · 66.7%
O/U
3-3 · 50%
Pt diff
+20 (3.3/g)

Season

17 gm
SU
11-6
ATS
8-8 · 50%
O/U
8-9 · 47.1%
Pt diff
+28 (1.6/g)

Market splits

This season, coloured vs the 52.4% break-even.

Full spread
8-8
50.0%
Total (over)
8-9
47.1%
As favourite
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS
5-3
62.5%
Away ATS
3-5
37.5%
1H ATS
9-8
52.9%
1Q ATS
8-9
47.1%

Last season vs now

Baseline profile compared to the current season.

No 2024 baseline imported yet, so there's no prior-season profile to compare. Baselines are built with php artisan nfl:build-baselines 2024.

Key players

Top producer per category (season per-game average).

Passer

Justin Herbert Chargers

Justin Herbert

232.9 yds/g · 26 TD · 16 gm

Rusher

Omarion Hampton Chargers

Omarion Hampton

60.6 yds/g · 4 TD · 9 gm

Receiver

Quentin Johnston Chargers

Quentin Johnston

56.5 yds/g · 8 TD · 13 gm

Notable prop trends

Biggest Over/Under leans vs the posted line (min 5 games).

Ladd McConkey Chargers
Ladd McConkey
Receiving yds · avg 49.31 vs line 58.69
5-11
31% Unders
Ladd McConkey Chargers
Ladd McConkey
Receptions · avg 4.13 vs line 5
6-10
38% Unders
Justin Herbert Chargers
Justin Herbert
Rushing yds · avg 31.13 vs line 19.69
10-6
63% Overs
Omarion Hampton Chargers
Omarion Hampton
Receptions · avg 3.56 vs line 2.06
6-3
67% Overs
Omarion Hampton Chargers
Omarion Hampton
Rushing yds · avg 60.56 vs line 53.22
6-3
67% Overs
Kimani Vidal Chargers
Kimani Vidal
Receptions · avg 1.44 vs line 1.83
3-6
33% Unders

Season story

The Chargers closed their 2025 campaign with uneven recent form that offered selective betting opportunities. Their last five games produced a 3-2 ATS record on a WWWLL sequence while totals landed 2-3, and the prior ten-game stretch showed a 6-4 ATS mark with a clear hot streak of four straight covers before two consecutive losses. Over-under results remained split at 5-5 across those ten contests, offering little consistent lean. Overall the team finished 8-8-1 ATS, covering just four times in twelve starts as favorites but cashing four of five tries as underdogs. Home performance stood out at 5-3 ATS while road results lagged at 3-5, and the totals record settled at 8-9. The Chargers led at halftime in eight of seventeen games and after the first quarter in seven, indicating they stayed competitive early in most outings yet without available half or quarter lines to leverage. Their most notable ATS result came in week eight when they covered a 3.5-point spread by 27 points in a 37-10 win over Minnesota. Large losses such as the 29-point defeat at Jacksonville in week eleven and the week-five home blowout to Washington highlighted the downside when spreads were modest. Looking ahead, the clearest value appears in home spots and underdog roles where the Chargers showed repeatable tendencies, while favorite situations and road games produced far less reliable outcomes across the full season.

Game log

Wk Match Score Spread Cover ATS O/U 1H Mgn
1
Chiefs Chiefs @ Chargers Chargers
21 - 27 +3 9 W O +7
2
Raiders Raiders vs Chargers Chargers
9 - 20 -3.5 7.5 W U +11
3
Broncos Broncos @ Chargers Chargers
20 - 23 -3 0 P U +3
4
Giants Giants vs Chargers Chargers
21 - 18 -6.5 -9.5 L U -3
5
Commanders Commanders @ Chargers Chargers
27 - 10 -2.5 -19.5 L U +0
6
Dolphins Dolphins vs Chargers Chargers
27 - 29 -4 -2 L O -4
7
Colts Colts @ Chargers Chargers
38 - 24 -1.5 -15.5 L O -20
8
Vikings Vikings @ Chargers Chargers
10 - 37 -3.5 23.5 W O +18
9
Titans Titans vs Chargers Chargers
20 - 27 -9.5 -2.5 L O +3
10
Steelers Steelers @ Chargers Chargers
10 - 25 -3 12 W U +9
11
Jaguars Jaguars vs Chargers Chargers
35 - 6 -3 -32 L U -8
13
Raiders Raiders @ Chargers Chargers
14 - 31 -9.5 7.5 W O +0
14
Eagles Eagles @ Chargers Chargers
19 - 22 +3 6 W O +4
15
Chiefs Chiefs vs Chargers Chargers
13 - 16 +5.5 8.5 W U -3
16
Cowboys Cowboys vs Chargers Chargers
17 - 34 +2 19 W O +4
17
Texans Texans @ Chargers Chargers
20 - 16 -2 -6 L U -11
18
Broncos Broncos vs Chargers Chargers
19 - 3 +12.5 -3.5 L U -7