Los Angeles Rams
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Rank #2 · Record 12-5 · ATS 12-5 (70.6%)

← Season
56
Momentum
35 form + 20.6 margin L6: 50% wins · 7.5 pts/g
Warm form
Streak
W1
L6 pt diff
+45
L6 ATS
4-2
W W L W L W W W L W

Last 3

3 gm
SU
1-2
ATS
2-1 · 66.7%
O/U
3-0 · 100%
Pt diff
+13 (4.3/g)

Last 6

6 gm
SU
3-3
ATS
4-2 · 66.7%
O/U
6-0 · 100%
Pt diff
+45 (7.5/g)

Season

17 gm
SU
12-5
ATS
12-5 · 70.6%
O/U
11-6 · 64.7%
Pt diff
+172 (10.1/g)

Market splits

This season, coloured vs the 52.4% break-even.

Full spread
12-5
70.6%
Total (over)
11-6
64.7%
As favourite
11-4
73.3%
Home ATS
6-2
75.0%
Away ATS
6-3
66.7%
1H ATS
10-7
58.8%
1Q ATS
8-9
47.1%

Last season vs now

Baseline profile compared to the current season.

No 2024 baseline imported yet, so there's no prior-season profile to compare. Baselines are built with php artisan nfl:build-baselines 2024.

Key players

Top producer per category (season per-game average).

Passer

Matthew Stafford Rams

Matthew Stafford

276.9 yds/g · 46 TD · 17 gm

Rusher

Kyren Williams Rams

Kyren Williams

73.6 yds/g · 10 TD · 17 gm

Receiver

Puka Nacua Rams

Puka Nacua

107.2 yds/g · 10 TD · 16 gm

Notable prop trends

Biggest Over/Under leans vs the posted line (min 5 games).

Puka Nacua Rams
Puka Nacua
Rushing yds · avg 0.6 vs line 1.65
1-9
10% Unders
Blake Corum Rams
Blake Corum
Receiving yds · avg 0.38 vs line 1
1-7
13% Unders
Davante Adams Rams
Davante Adams
Receptions · avg 4.29 vs line 5.07
4-10
29% Unders
Blake Corum Rams
Blake Corum
Receptions · avg 0.22 vs line 0.5
2-7
22% Unders
Matthew Stafford Rams
Matthew Stafford
Passing yds · avg 276.88 vs line 253.24
11-6
65% Overs
Matthew Stafford Rams
Matthew Stafford
Rushing yds · avg 1.08 vs line 0.5
4-8
33% Unders

Season story

The Rams enter the postseason window riding a sharp betting run, posting a 4-1 ATS mark and going 5-0 to the over across their last five games. That stretch includes four straight overs before a narrow under in Week 17, keeping the last-10 totals record at a robust 8-2. Their overall ATS ledger sits at 12-5, a 70.6% clip that ranks among the league’s best. As favorites in 15 of 17 outings they covered 11 times, while their lone road-dog cover came in Week 16. Home ATS stands at 6-2; away it is 6-3, showing little venue-based regression.

First-half tendencies are pronounced. Los Angeles led at the break in 11 games, often building early cushions that forced opponents into catch-up mode. First-quarter leads occurred in eight contests, indicating they are not always the fastest starters but settle in quickly. The totals lean has been decisive: 11 overs against just six unders, well above the league’s near-even split.

Standout results include a 28-point demolition of Jacksonville as three-point favorites in Week 7 and a 27-point home cover against Tampa Bay. Conversely, three of their five ATS losses came by three points or fewer, underscoring how close some of the misses were.

Current value centers on the over when Los Angeles is involved, particularly in games trending toward high-scoring environments, while the Rams remain a reliable favorite at home where their ATS edge is most pronounced.

Game log

Wk Match Score Spread Cover ATS O/U 1H Mgn
1
Texans Texans @ Rams Rams
9 - 14 -3 2 W U -2
2
Titans Titans vs Rams Rams
19 - 33 -5.5 8.5 W O -3
3
Eagles Eagles vs Rams Rams
33 - 26 +3.5 -3.5 L O +12
4
Colts Colts @ Rams Rams
20 - 27 -3.5 3.5 W U +3
5
49ers 49ers @ Rams Rams
26 - 23 -8.5 -11.5 L O -10
6
Ravens Ravens vs Rams Rams
3 - 17 -7.5 6.5 W U +0
7
Jaguars Jaguars vs Rams Rams
7 - 35 -3 25 W U +21
9
Saints Saints @ Rams Rams
10 - 34 -14 10 W O +10
10
49ers 49ers vs Rams Rams
26 - 42 -4.5 11.5 W O +14
11
Seahawks Seahawks @ Rams Rams
19 - 21 -3 -1 L U +5
12
Buccaneers Buccaneers @ Rams Rams
7 - 34 -6.5 20.5 W U +24
13
Panthers Panthers vs Rams Rams
31 - 28 -10.5 -13.5 L O +4
14
Cardinals Cardinals vs Rams Rams
17 - 45 -8 20 W O +14
15
Lions Lions @ Rams Rams
34 - 41 -6 1 W O -7
16
Seahawks Seahawks vs Rams Rams
38 - 37 +1.5 0.5 W O +6
17
Falcons Falcons vs Rams Rams
27 - 24 -8 -11 L O -21
18
Cardinals Cardinals @ Rams Rams
20 - 37 -7 10 W O +10