Miami Dolphins
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Miami’s recent form shows clear inconsistency from a betting standpoint. The Dolphins went 2-3 ATS in their last five games with four overs, following a WLLWL sequence that flipped between covers and misses. Over the last ten, they split evenly at 5-5 ATS while the totals leaned under early before shifting to four overs in the final five. That late surge toward the over has been the most reliable pattern in their closing stretch.

For the full season Miami finished 8-9 ATS and 9-8 on the total. They covered just three of six games as favorites while posting a 3-? record as underdogs in 11 starts. Home performance offered the clearest edge at 5-4 ATS, while road results dragged at 3-5. The Dolphins led at halftime in eight games and after the first quarter in seven, suggesting they stayed competitive early but lacked sustained control.

Home/away splits and first-half tendencies point to a team that performed better in front of their own fans but faded on the road. Scoring margins fluctuated sharply, with several low-scoring unders mixed among high-output overs. The offense showed occasional first-quarter leads but rarely built on them consistently.

Standout results include the Week 8 34-10 road win over Atlanta as 7.5-point dogs—the largest spread covered all season. Additional covers came as underdogs against Buffalo and the Jets, while several double-digit losses as favorites or near-even money produced the nine ATS defeats.

The current betting angle centers on Miami’s home ATS mark and their recent lean toward overs. Road underdog spots have produced mixed results, and the first-half lead rate has not translated into reliable second-half value. Bettors have found the most consistent edges backing the Dolphins at home or taking the over when totals sit near the league average.