San Francisco 49ers
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

Rank #4 · Record 12-5 · ATS 11-6 (64.7%)

← Season
80
Momentum
58.3 form + 22.1 margin L6: 83% wins · 9.5 pts/g
Hot form
Streak
L1
L6 pt diff
+57
L6 ATS
5-1
L W L W W W W W W L

Last 3

3 gm
SU
2-1
ATS
2-1 · 66.7%
O/U
2-1 · 66.7%
Pt diff
+15 (5/g)

Last 6

6 gm
SU
5-1
ATS
5-1 · 83.3%
O/U
3-3 · 50%
Pt diff
+57 (9.5/g)

Season

17 gm
SU
12-5
ATS
11-6 · 64.7%
O/U
9-8 · 52.9%
Pt diff
+66 (3.9/g)

Market splits

This season, coloured vs the 52.4% break-even.

Full spread
11-6
64.7%
Total (over)
9-7
56.3%
As favourite
10-2
83.3%
Home ATS
4-4
50.0%
Away ATS
7-2
77.8%
1H ATS
9-8
52.9%
1Q ATS
10-7
58.8%

Last season vs now

Baseline profile compared to the current season.

No 2024 baseline imported yet, so there's no prior-season profile to compare. Baselines are built with php artisan nfl:build-baselines 2024.

Key players

Top producer per category (season per-game average).

Passer

Mac Jones 49ers

Mac Jones

268.9 yds/g · 13 TD · 8 gm

Rusher

Christian McCaffrey 49ers

Christian McCaffrey

70.7 yds/g · 10 TD · 17 gm

Receiver

Ricky Pearsall 49ers

Ricky Pearsall

58.7 yds/g · 0 TD · 9 gm

Notable prop trends

Biggest Over/Under leans vs the posted line (min 5 games).

Christian McCaffrey 49ers
Christian McCaffrey
Receptions · avg 6 vs line 5.32
11-6
65% Overs
Demarcus Robinson 49ers
Demarcus Robinson
Receptions · avg 1.67 vs line 1.54
8-4
67% Overs
Brian Robinson Jr. 49ers
Brian Robinson Jr.
Rushing yds · avg 35.13 vs line 20.44
10-6
63% Overs
Jake Tonges 49ers
Jake Tonges
Receptions · avg 4.83 vs line 2.83
5-1
83% Overs
Brock Purdy 49ers
Brock Purdy
Rushing yds · avg 17.11 vs line 11.17
6-3
67% Overs
Kyle Juszczyk 49ers
Kyle Juszczyk
Receptions · avg 1.44 vs line 1.28
6-3
67% Overs

Season story

The 49ers closed the season with clear momentum on the spread, going 4-1 ATS in their final five games after a mid-season dip. That stretch featured four consecutive covers before the finale, building on a 7-3 ATS record across the last 10 outings. The unit has been one of the more dependable late-season ATS plays, particularly when the totals leaned slightly toward the over in six of those ten contests.

San Francisco posted an 11-6 ATS mark overall, excelling as favorites by covering 10 of 12 spreads. Their road performance drove the success with a 7-2 ATS record away from home, while home games finished even at 4-4. The team went just 1-4 ATS as underdogs. On the totals side they finished 9-7 to the over, staying close to league average.

A consistent pattern emerged in first-half control, as the 49ers led at halftime in 11 of 17 games and after the first quarter in nine. This early edge often created advantageous positions, though they showed vulnerability in a few home spots where slow starts or second-half fades cost them covers. Road games produced the cleanest results, with several comfortable margins against both divisional and non-conference opponents.

Standout betting outcomes included the Week 11 41-22 road win over Arizona that easily cleared a -3 spread and the Week 5 cover as 8.5-point underdogs at the Rams. Multiple road wins as small favorites or dogs against the Giants and Colts also delivered strong value.

Bettors found the most reliable angles backing the 49ers on the road and when installed as favorites, especially in games where their first-half leads held or expanded. Home underdogs and overs in high-total spots offered less consistent returns.

Game log

Wk Match Score Spread Cover ATS O/U 1H Mgn
1
Seahawks Seahawks vs 49ers 49ers
13 - 17 -2.5 1.5 W U -3
2
Saints Saints vs 49ers 49ers
21 - 26 -3 2 W O +9
3
Cardinals Cardinals @ 49ers 49ers
15 - 16 -2.5 -1.5 L U +3
4
Jaguars Jaguars @ 49ers 49ers
26 - 21 -3 -8 L U -11
5
Rams Rams vs 49ers 49ers
23 - 26 +8.5 11.5 W O +10
6
Buccaneers Buccaneers vs 49ers 49ers
30 - 19 +3 -8 L O -4
7
Falcons Falcons @ 49ers 49ers
10 - 20 -2 8 W U +7
8
Texans Texans vs 49ers 49ers
26 - 15 +1.5 -9.5 L U -9
9
Giants Giants vs 49ers 49ers
24 - 34 -2.5 7.5 W O +10
10
Rams Rams @ 49ers 49ers
42 - 26 +4.5 -11.5 L O -14
11
Cardinals Cardinals vs 49ers 49ers
22 - 41 -3 16 W O +15
12
Panthers Panthers @ 49ers 49ers
9 - 20 -7 4 W U +7
13
Browns Browns vs 49ers 49ers
8 - 26 -4.5 13.5 W U +2
15
Titans Titans @ 49ers 49ers
24 - 37 -12.5 0.5 W O +7
16
Colts Colts vs 49ers 49ers
27 - 48 -6 15 W O +7
17
Bears Bears @ 49ers 49ers
38 - 42 -3 1 W O +7
18
Seahawks Seahawks @ 49ers 49ers
13 - 3 +1.5 -8.5 L U -7