Washington Commanders
- 2025 NFL Team Betting Analysis

The Commanders closed the 2025 season with a noticeable uptick in betting form after a brutal mid-season stretch. Their last five games produced a 3-2 ATS mark via an LWLWW sequence, including consecutive covers in the final two weeks. The totals side has been even more pronounced, with the over cashing in four of those five contests (UOOOO) and seven of the last ten overall. That late push lifted the season over record to 10-7 despite the team’s 5-12 straight-up finish.

Washington finished 7-10 ATS for the year and looked especially shaky when favored, covering just two of five such spots. As underdogs they managed three wins in twelve tries. Home performance was split evenly at 4-4 ATS, while road games dragged the mark down to 3-6. The over trend stood out league-wide as well, clearing at a 58.8 percent clip compared to the roughly 51 percent league average.

First-half tendencies reveal a slow-starting profile. The Commanders led at halftime in only five of seventeen games and after the first quarter in just three. Several large deficits in the opening half contributed to the 7-10 ATS record and frequent second-half comebacks that rarely materialized. The biggest cover came in Week 5 when they took down the Chargers 27-10 as 2.5-point underdogs, clearing the number by 17 points.

The clearest betting angle centers on the totals market. Washington’s recent over surge, combined with a season-long 10-7 over record and consistent difficulty holding early leads, points to continued value on the over in games involving the Commanders heading into the offseason.