🏈 BTS Guru NFL Engine · Weekly Briefing
NFL Weekly Report
NFL Weekly Report
Week 2 slate — form, market form & leans
Week 2 Preview
•
Form through Week 1, 2026
•
16 game(s) on the slate
Games This Week
16
Week 2
League Points / Game
49.4
High environment
Home Win Rate
62.5%
Season to date
Favorite ATS
56.3%
Cover rate
Totals Lean
Over
Market bias
01
This Week's Briefing
League context before you look at a single price
League scoring environment is High with scoring holding steady; 63% home win rate across the slate so far.
Across 16 completed game(s) in the selected window the league is averaging 49.4 combined points per game — a High-scoring environment. Form leaders and matchup flags below reflect only games in this window.
Across the Season to Date window, league-wide favorites went 12-4 (75%) straight up, covered the spread 9-7 (56.3%), and totals landed 53.3% Over (avg line 45.3 vs 49.4 actual) over 16 settled game(s).
Key Takeaways
- League averaging 49.4 combined points per game across the selected window.
- Home teams are winning 63% of games in the window.
- 16 team(s) on a winning streak, 16 on a losing streak (in-window).
02
The Slate — Week 2
Every game with both clubs' form and settled market records · biggest form gaps first
Mon, Sep 21 · 3:00 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
· MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, USA
Balanced · 45 comb. PPG
Away · Cold · momentum 0
#19 power
Pass-heavy · 84%
Off
419 yds
#5
353 pass / 66 rush
Def
239 yds
#4
132 pass / 107 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG22
Allowed39
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
AT
Home · Hot · momentum 100
#6 power
Balanced · 59%
Off
367 yds
#13
215 pass / 152 rush
Def
195 yds
#2
127 pass / 68 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG23
Allowed10
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
Form edge → New York Jets
New York Jets hold a clear form edge (100 vs 0 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 6:05 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 4:05 PM ET
· Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, USA
Balanced · 44 comb. PPG
Away · Hot · momentum 100
#3 power
Balanced · 65%
Off
360 yds
#14
234 pass / 126 rush
Def
272 yds
#10
185 pass / 87 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG34
Allowed10
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
AT
Home · Cold · momentum 0
#32 power
Balanced · 65%
Off
176 yds
#32
115 pass / 61 rush
Def
392 yds
#24
172 pass / 220 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG10
Allowed31
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
Form edge → Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars hold a clear form edge (100 vs 0 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 6:05 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 4:05 PM ET
· SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, USA
Balanced · 41 comb. PPG
Away · Hot · momentum 100
#10 power
Run-heavy · 55%
Off
290 yds
#19
160 pass / 130 rush
Def
259 yds
#7
185 pass / 74 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG27
Allowed13
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
AT
Home · Cold · momentum 0
#26 power
Balanced · 70%
Off
268 yds
#24
187 pass / 81 rush
Def
393 yds
#25
277 pass / 116 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG14
Allowed26
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
Form edge → Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders hold a clear form edge (100 vs 0 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 6:25 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 4:25 PM ET
· Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, USA
Under lean · 40 comb. PPG
Away · Cold · momentum 0
#23 power
Pass-heavy · 71%
Off
259 yds
#26
185 pass / 74 rush
Def
290 yds
#15
160 pass / 130 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG13
Allowed27
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
AT
Home · Hot · momentum 100
#5 power
Run-heavy · 54%
Off
379 yds
#11
205 pass / 174 rush
Def
290 yds
#14
168 pass / 122 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG27
Allowed7
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
Form edge → San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers hold a clear form edge (100 vs 0 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 10:20 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 8:20 PM ET
· GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, USA
Over lean · 54 comb. PPG
Away · Cold · momentum 0
#31 power
Balanced · 59%
Off
251 yds
#27
149 pass / 102 rush
Def
506 yds
#31
304 pass / 202 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG23
Allowed41
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
AT
Home · Hot · momentum 100
#1 power
Run-heavy · 44%
Off
392 yds
#9
172 pass / 220 rush
Def
176 yds
#1
115 pass / 61 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG31
Allowed10
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
Form edge → Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs hold a clear form edge (100 vs 0 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Tue, Sep 22 · 10:15 AM AEST
· Mon, Sep 21 · 8:15 PM ET
· SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, USA
Under lean · 35 comb. PPG
Away · Hot · momentum 100
#9 power
Balanced · 58%
Off
394 yds
#7
229 pass / 165 rush
Def
244 yds
#5
175 pass / 69 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG28
Allowed20
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U0-0-1
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
AT
Home · Cold · momentum 0
#28 power
Balanced · 58%
Off
290 yds
#18
168 pass / 122 rush
Def
379 yds
#22
205 pass / 174 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG7
Allowed27
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
Form edge → New York Giants
New York Giants hold a clear form edge (100 vs 0 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 3:00 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
· NRG Stadium, Houston, USA
Over lean · 64 comb. PPG
Away · Hot · momentum 97
#8 power
Balanced · 70%
Off
351 yds
#15
245 pass / 106 rush
Def
282 yds
#12
193 pass / 89 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG33
Allowed27
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
AT
Home · Cold · momentum 4
#21 power
Balanced · 67%
Off
381 yds
#10
257 pass / 124 rush
Def
409 yds
#27
323 pass / 86 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG31
Allowed36
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
Form edge → Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals hold a clear form edge (97 vs 4 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 3:00 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
· Nissan Stadium, Nashville, USA
Under lean · 34 comb. PPG
Away · Hot · momentum 92
#15 power
Balanced · 57%
Off
318 yds
#16
182 pass / 136 rush
Def
295 yds
#16
163 pass / 132 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG24
Allowed22
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
AT
Home · Cold · momentum 0
#27 power
Balanced · 65%
Off
195 yds
#31
127 pass / 68 rush
Def
367 yds
#20
215 pass / 152 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG10
Allowed23
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
Form edge → Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles hold a clear form edge (92 vs 0 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 3:00 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
· Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, USA
Under lean · 30 comb. PPG
Away · Hot · momentum 98
#13 power
Pass-heavy · 78%
Off
264 yds
#25
206 pass / 58 rush
Def
238 yds
#3
118 pass / 120 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG20
Allowed13
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
AT
Home · Cold · momentum 6
#22 power
Balanced · 61%
Off
277 yds
#22
168 pass / 109 rush
Def
285 yds
#13
188 pass / 97 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG10
Allowed13
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
Form edge → Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers hold a clear form edge (98 vs 6 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 3:00 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
· M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, USA
Over lean · 71 comb. PPG
Away · Cold · momentum 9
#17 power
Pass-heavy · 81%
Off
469 yds
#4
378 pass / 91 rush
Def
369 yds
#21
204 pass / 165 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG30
Allowed31
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
AT
Home · Hot · momentum 100
#2 power
Balanced · 60%
Off
506 yds
#2
304 pass / 202 rush
Def
251 yds
#6
149 pass / 102 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG41
Allowed23
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
Form edge → Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens hold a clear form edge (100 vs 9 momentum).
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 6:25 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 4:25 PM ET
· AT&T Stadium, Arlington, USA
Balanced · 42 comb. PPG
Away · Cold · momentum 8
#18 power
Run-heavy · 55%
Off
295 yds
#17
163 pass / 132 rush
Def
318 yds
#17
182 pass / 136 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG22
Allowed24
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
AT
Home · Cold · momentum 0
#24 power
Pass-heavy · 72%
Off
244 yds
#28
175 pass / 69 rush
Def
394 yds
#26
229 pass / 165 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG20
Allowed28
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U0-0-1
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 6:25 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 4:25 PM ET
· State Farm Stadium, Glendale, USA
Under lean · 39 comb. PPG
Away · Hot · momentum 94
#11 power
Balanced · 66%
Off
285 yds
#20
188 pass / 97 rush
Def
277 yds
#11
168 pass / 109 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG13
Allowed10
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
AT
Home · Hot · momentum 100
#7 power
Balanced · 70%
Off
393 yds
#8
277 pass / 116 rush
Def
268 yds
#9
187 pass / 81 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG26
Allowed14
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Fri, Sep 18 · 10:15 AM AEST
· Thu, Sep 17 · 8:15 PM ET
· Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, USA
Over lean · 67 comb. PPG
Away · Hot · momentum 91
#16 power
Run-heavy · 55%
Off
369 yds
#12
204 pass / 165 rush
Def
469 yds
#29
378 pass / 91 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG31
Allowed30
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
AT
Home · Hot · momentum 96
#12 power
Pass-heavy · 79%
Off
409 yds
#6
323 pass / 86 rush
Def
381 yds
#23
257 pass / 124 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG36
Allowed31
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 3:00 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
· Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, USA
Under lean · 37 comb. PPG
Away · Cold · momentum 0
#30 power
Balanced · 68%
Off
272 yds
#23
185 pass / 87 rush
Def
360 yds
#19
234 pass / 126 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG10
Allowed34
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
AT
Home · Cold · momentum 3
#25 power
Balanced · 68%
Off
282 yds
#21
193 pass / 89 rush
Def
351 yds
#18
245 pass / 106 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG27
Allowed33
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 3:00 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
· Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, USA
Over lean · 50 comb. PPG
Away · Cold · momentum 0
#29 power
Pass-heavy · 74%
Off
478 yds
#3
353 pass / 125 rush
Def
552 yds
#32
261 pass / 291 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG37
Allowed59
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
AT
Home · Cold · momentum 2
#20 power
Run-heavy · 50%
Off
238 yds
#30
118 pass / 120 rush
Def
264 yds
#8
206 pass / 58 rush
Record0-1
Last 50-1
PPG13
Allowed20
ATS0-1 (0%)
O/U0-1 (0% O)
StreakL1
Straight Up0-1
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
Mon, Sep 21 · 3:00 AM AEST
· Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
· Soldier Field, Chicago, USA
Over lean · 98 comb. PPG
Away · Hot · momentum 100
#14 power
Run-heavy · 55%
Off
239 yds
#29
132 pass / 107 rush
Def
419 yds
#28
353 pass / 66 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG39
Allowed22
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
AT
Home · Hot · momentum 100
#4 power
Run-heavy · 47%
Off
552 yds
#1
261 pass / 291 rush
Def
478 yds
#30
353 pass / 125 rush
Record1-0
Last 51-0
PPG59
Allowed37
ATS1-0 (100%)
O/U1-0 (100% O)
StreakW1
Straight Up1-0
No Match Lean or story written for this game yet.
03
Matchup Flags
Where league context creates an actionable spot
Minnesota Vikings@Chicago BearsHigh TotalBoth clubs moving the ball (98 combined PPG in the window).
Lean → Over
Pittsburgh Steelers@New England PatriotsLow TotalTwo low-output offences (30 combined PPG in the window).
Lean → Under
Green Bay Packers@New York JetsForm EdgeClear recent-form gap (0 vs 100 momentum).
Lean → Jets ML
New Orleans Saints@Baltimore RavensHigh TotalBoth clubs moving the ball (71 combined PPG in the window).
Lean → Over
04
Form Board
Who is hot and who is fading heading into the slate
Hot Teams
Cold Teams
Moneyline
Favorite Win %75%
Underdog Win %25%
Spread
Favorite Cover %56.3%
Avg Spread4
Totals
Over %53.3%
Avg Line vs Actual45.3 / 49.4