Brisbane Broncos 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

## Current Season Standing & ATS Performance

The Brisbane Broncos currently sit ranked 17th in ATS performance across the ongoing NRL 2026 season. They hold a 7-13 ATS record with an ATS percentage of 35, which falls below the 52.38 percent threshold required to beat the bookies on a consistent basis. This places them among the weaker ATS sides to date, as they have covered the spread in only seven of their 20 games. Their recent form shows limited success, with the ATS results reflecting ongoing challenges in aligning actual margins with bookmaker expectations.

## Favourite vs Underdog Performance

Brisbane have started as the favourite in nine games and as the underdog in 11 contests so far. When installed as favourites they have covered the spread on just two occasions. As underdogs they have secured four wins against the spread. These figures indicate that the Broncos have struggled to exceed expectations in either role, particularly when tabbed as the favourite where their cover rate remains low. The split between favourite and underdog starts highlights a season in which they have been more frequently positioned as the underdog, yet even those opportunities have produced only modest ATS returns.

## Over/Under Trends

The Broncos’ games have trended toward the under, with eight overs and 12 unders recorded to date. This equates to an over percentage of 40 and an under percentage of 60. The pattern suggests that total points in Brisbane matches have more often remained below the posted totals, aligning with a defensive or lower-scoring style that has kept games under the line in the majority of outings. First-half markets are not yet available for analysis.

## Biggest Spread Cover

Brisbane’s biggest spread cover this season occurred in round 8 against the Canterbury Bulldogs. They covered a 4.5-point spread in a 32-12 victory, exceeding the line by a margin of 24.5 points. This remains their standout ATS performance and the only instance where they have substantially outperformed the spread by a wide margin.

## League Context & Outlook

Across the league, favourites have posted 82 wins and 90 losses for a 47.67 percent cover rate, while totals have leaned under with 73 overs and 99 unders for a 42.44 percent over rate. The largest single cover in the competition stands at 70.5 points by the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks. Brisbane’s 35 percent ATS mark and 40 percent over rate both sit below these league benchmarks, underscoring their relative underperformance against the spread and totals markets.

Looking ahead, the Broncos’ current trends of limited favourite covers and a clear under bias in totals suggest continued caution for bettors until their ATS results show sustained improvement.