Canberra Raiders 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

## Current Season Standing & ATS Performance

The Canberra Raiders currently sit ranked 16th in ATS performance league-wide. They hold an 8-13 ATS record for an ATS percentage of 38.1, which sits below the 52.38 percent threshold required to beat the bookies on a consistent basis. The side has therefore not delivered against the spread in the current campaign, with their last-10 ATS sequence reading four wins and six losses. This ranking places them among the weaker ATS units, and the ongoing nature of the season means further opportunities remain to adjust that standing through upcoming rounds.

## Favourite vs Underdog Performance

Canberra has started as the favourite in eight games and as the underdog in 13 contests so far. When installed as favourites they have covered the spread on just two occasions. In their 13 starts as underdogs they have secured five outright wins. These figures illustrate a clear pattern: the Raiders have struggled to outperform market expectations when favoured, while their success rate when receiving points has been modest at best. Bettors tracking this split will note the limited value generated on the favourite side of the ledger.

## Over/Under Trends

The Raiders’ games have produced 10 overs and 11 unders, translating to an over percentage of 47.62 and an under percentage of 52.38. This slight lean toward the under aligns directionally with the broader league totals environment, though the margin remains narrow. First-half markets are not yet available for analysis, so all observations are confined to full-game totals. The current distribution suggests that games involving Canberra have not trended strongly toward either side of the total, limiting exploitable edges in this market at present.

## Biggest Spread Cover

Canberra’s largest spread cover this season occurred in round 21 against the Wests Tigers. The Raiders won 56-10 while favoured by 12.5 points and covered by a margin of 33.5. That result stands as the clearest example of the team exceeding market expectations in a single outing. No other cover this year has approached that margin, underscoring how infrequently the side has delivered decisive results against the number.

## League Context & Outlook

League-wide, favourites have covered at a 47.67 percent clip (82 wins, 90 losses), while totals have leaned toward the under at 57.56 percent. The Raiders’ ATS percentage of 38.1 lags well behind the favourite-cover benchmark, and their under rate of 52.38 sits modestly below the league under percentage. The season’s largest single cover belongs to the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 70.5 points, highlighting the scale of outlier results possible elsewhere. Looking ahead, Canberra’s recent ATS sequence of three wins in the last six games offers a modest positive signal, yet sustained improvement above the 52.38 percent threshold will be required to shift their current 16th-place standing.