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Canterbury Bulldogs 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

Season 2026 • Generated at 2026-08-10 00:48:57

Rank: 11 • ATS%: 45%

Starts

Favourite: 11

Underdog: 9

Spread Performance

ATS: 9-11 (45%)

Covers as Fav: 4

Wins as Dog: 3

Totals

Overs: 8 (40.00%)

Unders: 12 (60.00%)

Biggest Cover

32.5 vs Penrith Panthers (R6)

Score: 32-16 • Spread: 16.5

Team Story

## Current Season Standing & ATS Performance

The Canterbury Bulldogs currently sit ranked 11th in ATS performance after 20 games. Their record stands at 9 wins and 11 losses against the spread for a 45% ATS rate, which falls below the 52.38% threshold needed to consistently beat the bookies. The side has therefore not generated positive returns for spread bettors through the first 20 rounds. Recent form shows some improvement, with the team posting 7 ATS wins in its last 10 outings. This run includes four consecutive covers in the most recent matches sampled, suggesting the current ATS record may understate recent defensive and margin control.

## Favourite vs Underdog Performance

The Bulldogs have started as favourites in 11 games and as underdogs in 9. When installed as favourites they have covered the spread on just 4 occasions. When listed as underdogs they have secured 3 outright wins. These splits indicate limited success both when expected to win by a margin and when required to upset. The 4 covers from 11 favourite starts represent a 36% rate in those situations, while the 3 wins from 9 underdog starts translate to a 33% outright success rate. Bettors following the Bulldogs in either role have therefore faced negative results to date.

## Over/Under Trends

Total points markets have leaned toward the under for Canterbury. The team has played 8 overs and 12 unders, producing a 40% over rate and a 60% under rate. This distribution aligns with the league-wide tendency, where unders have occurred in 57.56% of games. The Bulldogs’ lower-scoring profile has contributed to the under hitting more frequently than the over through the first 20 rounds. First-half totals markets are not yet available for analysis.

## Biggest Spread Cover

The Bulldogs’ largest spread cover this season occurred in round 6 against the Penrith Panthers. They won 32-16 while covering a 16.5-point spread by a final margin of 32.5 points. This performance stands as their clearest margin victory relative to the line. For context, the league’s biggest cover of the season belongs to the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 70.5 points.

## League Context & Outlook

League-wide, favourites have covered at a 47.67% clip (82 wins, 90 losses), reinforcing the difficulty of finding consistent value on the favourite side. The Bulldogs’ 45% ATS mark places them slightly below this benchmark and confirms their current ranking of 11th. The league’s under rate of 57.56% mirrors the Bulldogs’ own 60% under frequency, indicating broader scoring suppression across the competition.

Looking ahead, the recent 7-3 ATS stretch in the last 10 games offers the clearest positive signal. Continued execution in both favourite and underdog spots will be required to lift the season ATS percentage above the 52.38% break-even line.

Game Log

Per-match ATS + O/U (from joined odds + results)

Round Match Score Side Spread Margin Cover ATS Total Scored O/U
1
vs
14-14 Home -7.5 0 -7.5 L 40.5 28 Under
3
vs
10-14 Away 0.5 4 4.5 W 49.5 24 Under
4
vs
16-24 Home -12.5 -8 -20.5 L 47.5 40 Under
5
vs
32-24 Away 1.5 -8 -6.5 L 46.5 56 Over
6
vs
32-16 Home 16.5 16 32.5 W 47.5 48 Over
7
vs
38-20 Away -13.5 -18 -31.5 L 49.5 58 Over
8
vs
32-12 Away -4.5 -20 -24.5 L 49.5 44 Under
9
vs
12-28 Home -1.5 -16 -17.5 L 51.5 40 Under
10
vs
44-12 Away 6.5 -32 -25.5 L 49.5 56 Over
11
vs
38-16 Away 5.5 -22 -16.5 L 51.5 54 Over
12
vs
30-20 Home -3.5 10 6.5 W 48.5 50 Over
13
vs
22-16 Away 4.5 -6 -1.5 L 48.5 38 Under
14
vs
14-12 Home -6.5 2 -4.5 L 51.5 26 Under
16
vs
12-12 Home 7.5 0 7.5 W 48.5 24 Under
17
vs
12-30 Away -0.5 18 17.5 W 46.5 42 Under
19
vs
16-40 Home -4.5 -24 -28.5 L 45.5 56 Over
20
vs
32-0 Home -5.5 32 26.5 W 45.5 32 Under
21
vs
18-6 Home 4.5 12 16.5 W 43.5 24 Under
22
vs
22-36 Away -5.5 14 8.5 W 43.5 58 Over
23
vs
20-18 Away 9.5 -2 7.5 W 45.5 38 Under