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Dolphins 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

Season 2026 • Generated at 2026-08-10 00:48:57

Rank: 4 • ATS%: 60%

Starts

Favourite: 15

Underdog: 5

Spread Performance

ATS: 12-8 (60%)

Covers as Fav: 8

Wins as Dog: 2

Totals

Overs: 10 (50.00%)

Unders: 10 (50.00%)

Biggest Cover

35.5 vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (R3)

Score: 10-38 • Spread: 7.5

Team Story

## Current Season Standing & ATS Performance

The Dolphins currently sit ranked fourth in the NRL in ATS performance, having posted a 12-8 record against the spread for a 60% ATS rate. This mark comfortably clears the 52.38% threshold required to beat the bookmakers over the long term, confirming that the Dolphins have delivered positive value to spread bettors through the opening rounds. Their recent form has supported this standing, with the side posting a 6-4 ATS record across its last ten outings. The combination of consistent cover rates and a top-five ranking positions the Dolphins as one of the more reliable ATS propositions in the competition at present.

## Favourite vs Underdog Performance

Dolphins have opened as favourites in 15 games and as underdogs in five contests so far. When installed as favourites they have covered the spread on eight occasions, demonstrating a measured ability to meet market expectations in those spots. In their five underdog starts the side has secured two outright wins, adding occasional upside for moneyline or plus-spread bettors. The split between favourite and underdog opportunities has allowed the Dolphins to maintain an overall ATS edge without relying on a single role, keeping their 60% success rate intact as the season progresses.

## Over/Under Trends

The totals market has remained balanced for the Dolphins, with exactly 10 overs and 10 unders registered through the games played. Both the over and under percentages sit at 50%, indicating no pronounced lean that bettors can currently exploit. This even split contrasts with the broader league environment and suggests that game scripts involving the Dolphins have not produced consistent scoring patterns that favour one side of the total. Bettors tracking this market must therefore continue to monitor individual matchups rather than applying a blanket over or under approach.

## Biggest Spread Cover

The Dolphins’ largest spread cover to date occurred in round 3 against the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks. Installed as 7.5-point underdogs, they secured a 38-10 victory that produced a 35.5-point margin and easily cleared the spread. This performance stands as the clearest example of the side exceeding market expectations in a single outing and remains the benchmark for spread value generated so far.

## League Context & Outlook

Across the league, favourites have covered at a 47.67% clip (82-90), while the totals market has tilted toward the under with 99 unders against 73 overs (57.56%). The Dolphins’ 60% ATS rate therefore represents clear outperformance relative to the competition-wide favourite cover percentage. Their even over/under record also diverges from the league’s under-heavy distribution. Looking ahead, the Dolphins’ recent 6-4 ATS sequence and sustained ranking suggest continued viability for spread bettors provided the side maintains its current efficiency in both favourite and underdog roles.

Game Log

Per-match ATS + O/U (from joined odds + results)

Round Match Score Side Spread Margin Cover ATS Total Scored O/U
1
vs
30-40 Home -1.5 -10 -11.5 L 48.5 70 Over
2
vs
18-14 Home -8.5 4 -4.5 L 56.5 32 Under
3
vs
10-38 Away 7.5 28 35.5 W 55.5 48 Under
4
vs
26-12 Away 3.5 -14 -10.5 L 51.5 38 Under
5
vs
18-52 Home -10.5 -34 -44.5 L 50.5 70 Over
7
vs
22-22 Home 14.5 0 14.5 W 52.5 44 Under
8
vs
20-18 Away 5.5 -2 3.5 W 48.5 38 Under
9
vs
28-10 Home -3.5 18 14.5 W 54.5 38 Under
10
vs
44-12 Home -6.5 32 25.5 W 49.5 56 Over
11
vs
10-32 Away -1.5 22 20.5 W 55.5 42 Under
12
vs
22-30 Away 2.5 8 10.5 W 48.5 52 Over
14
vs
14-40 Away -4.5 26 21.5 W 55.5 54 Under
15
vs
48-10 Home -6.5 38 31.5 W 51.5 58 Over
16
vs
22-36 Away -7.5 14 6.5 W 51.5 58 Over
17
vs
26-24 Home -6.5 2 -4.5 L 50.5 50 Under
18
vs
13-12 Away -1.5 -1 -2.5 L 50.5 25 Under
19
vs
0-66 Home -4.5 -66 -70.5 L 49.5 66 Over
20
vs
36-16 Home -3.5 20 16.5 W 50.5 52 Over
22
vs
22-28 Away -12.5 6 -6.5 L 48.5 50 Over
23
vs
40-32 Home -7.5 8 0.5 W 48.5 72 Over