Newcastle Knights 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

## Current Season Standing & ATS Performance

The Newcastle Knights currently sit ranked second in the league for ATS performance after delivering a 61.9% mark through 21 rounds. With 13 ATS wins and 8 ATS losses, the side has comfortably surpassed the 52.38% threshold required to beat the bookies on a consistent basis. This strong ATS record reflects disciplined execution against the spread regardless of game script, and the team has maintained positive momentum in recent weeks with four wins in their last five ATS decisions.

## Favourite vs Underdog Performance

Newcastle have operated as favourites in only seven contests while taking the underdog role in 14 starts. They have covered the spread in three of those seven favourite assignments and secured seven outright wins when installed as underdogs. The heavier underdog workload has proven advantageous for ATS purposes, allowing the Knights to collect the majority of their 13 spread victories in games where the market assigned them lower win probabilities.

## Over/Under Trends

The Knights have produced 10 overs and 11 unders on the season, translating to an over percentage of 47.62% and an under percentage of 52.38%. These figures sit close to league-wide totals, where overs have occurred in just 42.44% of games and unders in 57.56%. Newcastle’s slight lean toward the under has aligned with the broader league environment, though the margin remains narrow enough that game script and weather continue to dictate outcomes more than any persistent team tendency.

## Biggest Spread Cover

The Knights’ largest spread cover this season occurred in round 22 against the Brisbane Broncos. Newcastle covered a 6.5-point spread by a final margin of 30.5 points in the 30-6 victory. That performance stands as the clearest example of the side exceeding market expectations in a single outing and remains the benchmark for spread-beating results to date.

## League Context & Outlook

Across the competition, favourites have covered at a 47.67% clip, indicating a modest underdog edge that Newcastle have exploited through their 14 underdog starts. The league also continues to trend toward unders at 57.56%, a pattern the Knights have matched. With an ATS record that already places them second overall, the Knights are tracking as one of the more reliable sides for spread bettors heading into the remaining rounds. Continued success in underdog spots combined with disciplined defensive efforts should keep them positioned to challenge for a top ATS ranking as the season progresses.