South Sydney Rabbitohs 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends
Season 2026 • Generated at 2026-08-10 00:48:57
Starts
Favourite: 10
Underdog: 10
Spread Performance
ATS: 9-11 (45%)
Covers as Fav: 5
Wins as Dog: 4
Totals
Overs: 11 (55.00%)
Unders: 9 (45.00%)
Biggest Cover
44.5 vs Melbourne Storm (R8)
Score: 6-48 • Spread: 2.5
Team Story
South Sydney Rabbitohs currently sit ranked 14th in ATS performance. They hold an ATS record of 9 wins against 11 losses for an ATS percentage of 45, which has not cleared the 52.38 percent threshold required to consistently beat the bookies. Their last-ten ATS sequence of L L W W L W L W L L reflects ongoing inconsistency, with just four covers across those ten outings. The side has therefore delivered below the level needed for reliable ATS profitability through the current stage of the campaign.
## Favourite vs Underdog Performance
The Rabbitohs have started as favourites in 10 matches and as underdogs in the other 10. When installed as favourites they have covered the spread on five occasions, while their four wins as underdogs represent the only positive results in those spots. This balanced split in starting roles has not translated into strong ATS returns, leaving the team with a net negative record that continues to place them outside the top half of the league in this metric.
## Over/Under Trends
Total points markets have leaned slightly toward the over for South Sydney, with 11 overs and nine unders recorded so far. That produces an over percentage of 55 and an under percentage of 45. While the over rate exceeds 50 percent, the sample remains modest and the margin over the line is narrow, indicating that totals betting has not yet established a dominant directional bias for this team.
## Biggest Spread Cover
The Rabbitohs’ largest spread cover to date occurred in round 8 against the Melbourne Storm. They covered a 2.5-point line in a 6-48 victory that produced a 44.5-point margin. That result stands as the clearest example of the side exceeding market expectations, though it remains an isolated peak within an otherwise sub-50 percent ATS season.
## League Context & Outlook
Across the league, favourites have covered just 82 of 172 games for a 47.67 percent rate, while totals have favoured the under at 99 games to 73 overs, producing a 57.56 percent under rate. South Sydney’s own under rate of 45 percent sits below the league figure, yet their overall ATS performance continues to lag the modest league average for favourites. With an ATS percentage of 45 and a 14th-place ranking, the Rabbitohs are tracking toward another season of limited betting value unless recent form improves markedly. Continued monitoring of their next several fixtures will be essential to determine whether the current trends stabilise or shift.
Game Log
Per-match ATS + O/U (from joined odds + results)
| Round | Match | Score | Side | Spread | Margin | Cover | ATS | Total | Scored | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
30-40 | Away | 1.5 | 10 | 11.5 | W | 48.5 | 70 | Over |
| 2 |
|
26-18 | Away | 1.5 | -8 | -6.5 | L | 49.5 | 44 | Under |
| 3 |
|
20-16 | Home | -5.5 | 4 | -1.5 | L | 53.5 | 36 | Under |
| 5 |
|
32-24 | Home | -1.5 | 8 | 6.5 | W | 46.5 | 56 | Over |
| 6 |
|
34-36 | Home | -6.5 | -2 | -8.5 | L | 49.5 | 70 | Over |
| 7 |
|
30-12 | Home | -13.5 | 18 | 4.5 | W | 51.5 | 42 | Under |
| 8 |
|
6-48 | Away | 2.5 | 42 | 44.5 | W | 50.5 | 54 | Over |
| 9 |
|
42-38 | Away | -1.5 | -4 | -5.5 | L | 52.5 | 80 | Over |
| 10 |
|
36-12 | Home | -2.5 | 24 | 21.5 | W | 54.5 | 48 | Under |
| 11 |
|
10-32 | Home | 1.5 | -22 | -20.5 | L | 55.5 | 42 | Under |
| 12 |
|
30-18 | Away | 2.5 | -12 | -9.5 | L | 53.5 | 48 | Under |
| 14 |
|
28-14 | Away | 3.5 | -14 | -10.5 | L | 50.5 | 42 | Under |
| 15 |
|
48-6 | Home | -5.5 | 42 | 36.5 | W | 50.5 | 54 | Over |
| 17 |
|
12-32 | Away | -5.5 | 20 | 14.5 | W | 46.5 | 44 | Under |
| 18 |
|
36-14 | Away | 4.5 | -22 | -17.5 | L | 45.5 | 50 | Over |
| 19 |
|
26-24 | Home | 1.5 | 2 | 3.5 | W | 48.5 | 50 | Over |
| 20 |
|
34-24 | Away | -0.5 | -10 | -10.5 | L | 48.5 | 58 | Over |
| 21 |
|
28-26 | Home | 1.5 | 2 | 3.5 | W | 46.5 | 54 | Over |
| 22 |
|
32-16 | Away | 11.5 | -16 | -4.5 | L | 50.5 | 48 | Under |
| 23 |
|
28-24 | Home | -9.5 | 4 | -5.5 | L | 46.5 | 52 | Over |