St George Illawarra Dragons 2026 Season Betting Stats – ATS, Over/Under & Form Trends

## Current Season Standing & ATS Performance

The St George Illawarra Dragons currently sit ranked 12th in ATS performance. They have compiled a 9-11 ATS record through the rounds played, translating to a 45% ATS percentage that falls short of the 52.38% threshold required to consistently beat the bookies. This ranking places them in the lower half of the competition for spread outcomes, with the side yet to demonstrate reliable covering form across the campaign. The 9 ATS wins have come against 11 ATS losses, leaving the club tracking below league-average expectations for margin-based betting markets.

## Favourite vs Underdog Performance

The Dragons have started as favourites in just 1 game while entering as underdogs on 19 occasions. They have recorded 0 covers as favourites and secured 3 wins as underdogs. This split highlights a pronounced reliance on underdog situations, where the limited number of favourite starts has produced no spread success. The 3 wins achieved when installed as underdogs represent the entirety of their positive betting results in those roles, while the single favourite start has yielded no ATS return. These figures position the club as one that has delivered minimal value when bet against the spread in either role so far.

## Over/Under Trends

The Dragons have played to 6 overs and 14 unders, producing an over percentage of 30% and an under percentage of 70%. This distribution indicates a clear lean toward the under in total points markets. With unders occurring more than twice as often as overs, the club’s games have tracked toward lower-scoring outcomes at a rate that exceeds typical expectations. Bettors following totals on Dragons matches have therefore found greater consistency on the under side of the ledger through the current portion of the season.

## Biggest Spread Cover

The Dragons’ biggest spread cover occurred in round 13 against the Brisbane Broncos. They covered a 20.5-point spread in a 26-30 result, achieving a cover margin of 24.5 points. This remains the largest margin by which the club has beaten the spread in any single outing. No other cover has approached this level, making the round 13 performance the standout data point for spread betting on the team to date.

## League Context & Outlook

Across the league, favourites have posted an 82-90 record for a 47.67% cover rate, while totals have leaned toward the under at 57.56% (99 unders versus 73 overs). The Dragons’ 45% ATS mark sits just below the league favourite cover rate, and their 70% under rate exceeds the competition-wide under percentage. These alignments suggest the club’s results have followed broader league tendencies but with amplified under volume. Looking ahead, the current under-heavy profile and underdog-heavy schedule will continue to shape betting angles until the Dragons demonstrate measurable improvement in ATS consistency or shift their total-points distribution.