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Dolphins 2026 Season

Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

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TABLE
3 - 40
RESULT (W-L) 17 - 6
POINTS
FOR -
22
34
26
24
26
AGT -
0
16
12
20
16
TRIES
4
6
5
4
4
POWER RANK -
FORM > LATEST
W
W
W
W
W
The Dolphins have built clear ATS momentum lately, posting a 4-1 record across their last five games after a WWWWL sequence. That run stands in contrast to their last 10, where they split evenly at 5-5. On the totals side they have turned sharply toward unders, hitting the under in four of their last five and six of their last 10. The pattern suggests opponents are struggling to keep pace once the Dolphins settle into games. For the season the Dolphins sit at 15-9 ATS, a 62.5% cover rate that ranks second in the competition. They have covered 10 times in 18 starts as favourites and secured three wins as underdogs from six opportunities. The totals lean the other way, with just 10 overs against 14 unders, aligning with the league-wide unders bias this year. Half-time splits reveal a team that often finishes strongly. They led at the break in 14 of 24 games but won the second half in 17, indicating a clear tendency to outscore opponents after halftime. Home and away results show no extreme split, yet the second-half edge has been consistent regardless of venue. Their standout betting result came in round 3, covering by 35.5 points as 7.5-point underdogs at Cronulla. Other notable covers include a 26-point win over the Cowboys and a 38-point home victory over the Roosters, both well clear of the spread. Right now the Dolphins offer the clearest value on the unders, especially when they are favoured, while their recent ATS form makes them dangerous against the number even on the road. With a strong second-half profile they remain a side bettors can trust to grind out margins once the game settles. The Dolphins head to Cbus Super Stadium to face the Titans in round 27. They enter on a mixed but ATS-friendly run, having covered four of five while keeping games under the total. The Titans have struggled to cover spreads lately, setting up a spot where the Dolphins’ late-game strength could again prove decisive.
SELECT A SEASON
ROUND
PLAYED
BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE
RESULT
BYE
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
BYE
L
L
W
W
W
W
BYE
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
BYE
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
BYE
HM / AW
BYE HM AW HM HM AW AW HM BYE HM AW HM HM AW AW BYE AW HM AW HM AW HM HM BYE AW HM AW HM AW AW AW BYE
PTS FOR
BYE 12 38 30 18 38 12 18 BYE 22 18 28 44 32 30 BYE 40 48 36 26 12 0 36 BYE 28 40 22 34 26 24 26 BYE
PTS AGT
BYE 24 34 40 14 10 26 52 BYE 23 20 10 12 10 22 BYE 14 10 22 24 13 66 16 BYE 22 32 0 16 12 20 16 BYE
TOTAL
BYE 36 72 70 32 48 38 70 BYE 45 38 38 56 42 52 BYE 54 58 58 50 25 66 52 BYE 50 72 22 50 38 44 42 BYE
AVG FOR
BYE 12 25 27 25 27 25 24 BYE 24 23 23 25 26 26 BYE 27 29 29 29 28 26 27 BYE 27 28 27 28 28 27 27 BYE
AVG AGT
BYE 24 29 33 28 24 25 29 BYE 28 27 25 24 23 23 BYE 22 21 21 22 21 23 23 BYE 23 23 22 22 22 22 21 BYE
AVG TOTAL
BYE 36 54 60 53 51 50 53 BYE 52 50 48 49 49 49 BYE 49 50 50 51 49 49 50 BYE 50 51 49 50 50 49 48 BYE

Match by Match

R27 : Dolphins Dolphins Gold Coast Titans Titans
Fri 04 Sep 18:00 AEST · Cbus Super Stadium

1 plays

The Dolphins head to Cbus Super Stadium for Round 27 carrying the most significant momentum of any side in recent weeks, while the Titans face an uphill battle to arrest a dismal run of results. With both teams having already shaped their seasons, this clash offers a clear contrast in form and execution. Dolphins enter on a five-game winning streak, posting consistent attacking output alongside a disciplined defensive structure. Across those victories they averaged 30 points scored and just 16.4 conceded, with try counts ranging between four and seven per outing. Their margins of victory have varied from six to 22 points, reflecting an ability to close games efficiently regardless of opponent resistance. The Titans, by comparison, have lost their past five matches by an average of 19 points, managing only 16.8 points per game while conceding 36. Their attack has been inconsistent, scoring just six and eight points in two of those defeats. Statistically the gap is stark. Dolphins boast a 13.6-point average winning margin in their current streak, while the Titans have been unable to limit any opponent below 30 points during their losing sequence. At home the Titans will hope to exploit any travel fatigue, yet their defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will struggle to contain the Dolphins’ structured attack. Completions and error rates will be decisive; the Dolphins have shown greater ball security in recent weeks. Betting markets reflect this disparity. SportsBet lists the Dolphins at $1.55, with the Titans at $2.47. The spread sits at Dolphins -4.5, priced near even money, while the total points line is set at 56.5. Recent trends support backing the Dolphins to cover a modest spread, given their ability to win by double figures on four of their last five outings. The Dolphins are well positioned to extend their streak and finish the season strongly. Expect them to control territory and limit the Titans’ opportunities through structured sets. A final margin of 12 to 18 points in the Dolphins’ favour appears the most probable outcome.

Dolphins hold a clear form edge over Gold Coast Titans with an 18-point projected margin. This matchup angle directly supports the approved Dolphins -6.5 play at True 64% and 3% edge. The spread reinforces the expected game shape by aligning with the margin projection, giving the single unit wager at 1.95 clear value on TAB. Both teams feature in a contest where Dolphins are positioned to dictate terms and cover the line. The True 64% probability and 3% edge calculation confirm the bet captures the form differential without deviation. This setup keeps the focus on Dolphins controlling the outcome and delivering the required points advantage against the Titans.

Probabilities

All Markets — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -6.5
Dolphins @ Gold Coast Titans
1H Spreads TAB -6.5 1.95 64.0% 3.0% 0.06 T1 1u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -6.5
Dolphins @ Gold Coast Titans
TAB -6.5 1.95 64.0% 3.0% 0.06 T1 1u L
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0

R26 : Dolphins Dolphins Sydney Roosters Roosters
Sat 29 Aug 17:30 AEST · Allianz Stadium

1 plays

The Dolphins arrive at Allianz Stadium on a mission in Round 26, carrying a perfect five-game winning streak into a clash against the Sydney Roosters that carries major implications for late-season positioning. Both sides have averaged 32 points per game this season, yet the manner of their recent results suggests a tight, high-tempo contest awaits. The Dolphins have been clinical. Their last-five scores read 36-16, 28-22, 40-32, 22-0 and 34-16, producing an average winning margin of 14.8 points. They have conceded just 17.2 points per game across the campaign while crossing for an average of 5.6 tries in those victories. That attacking rhythm, built on structured sets and quick play-the-balls, has made them one of the competition’s most consistent road teams. The Roosters, by contrast, have shown flashes of brilliance alongside concerning lapses. Victories of 23-22, 82-12, 20-18 and 12-6 were bookended by a 24-25 loss, leaving them with an average margin of 15.6 points when they win. At home they have held opponents to 16.6 points per game, but the inconsistency in their middle-third control remains a vulnerability the Dolphins will target. Statistically the contest is even. Both teams post identical season averages of 32 points scored, while the Roosters hold a marginal defensive edge (16.6 conceded versus 17.2). The line has settled at Roosters -5.5 with head-to-head odds of $1.55 for the home side and $2.47 for the Dolphins. The total sits at 47.5, reflecting expectations of an open game. Tactically, the Roosters’ ability to dominate field position through their forwards will be tested by the Dolphins’ disciplined completion rates. Any drop in Roosters’ kick-chase or ruck speed could hand the visitors repeated opportunities in good ball. The Dolphins’ current momentum makes them dangerous, yet the Roosters’ home advantage and slight defensive edge point to a narrow victory. Expect the Roosters to prevail by 6–10 points in a contest decided in the final quarter.

The Dolphins visit the Sydney Roosters where the home edge and form advantage remain clear from the outset. Approved plays center on the Dolphins T1 unit at True 35% with an Edge of -15% offered at 2.5. This selection ties directly into a projected shape featuring early Dolphins involvement that supports the total leaning slightly over. The team total call underscores Dolphins capacity to register points in the opening period while Roosters maintain overall control. Such dynamics produce a contest outline where scoring stays measured yet pushes the combined output beyond baseline expectations. The alignment between the True probability and the listed edge confirms the bet reinforces the expected game flow without deviation from available data.

Probabilities

All Markets — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins
Dolphins @ Sydney Roosters
Head To Head PointsBet (AU) 0 2.50 35.0% -15.0% -0.2 T1 1u W
Head To Head — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins
Dolphins @ Sydney Roosters
PointsBet (AU) 0 2.50 35.0% -15.0% -0.2 T1 1u W
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0

R25 : Parramatta Eels Eels Dolphins Dolphins
Fri 21 Aug 20:00 AEST · Suncorp Stadium

1 plays

The Dolphins host the Parramatta Eels at Suncorp Stadium in Round 25 with clear momentum on their side and a strong home record to protect. While both sides remain in the hunt for late-season positioning, the contrast in recent results sets up a lopsided contest on paper. The Eels arrive with a mixed 2-3 record across their last five outings. Their scoring has fluctuated sharply, posting 12, 18, 16, 24 and 32 points while conceding 28, 24, 13, 28 and 30. That produces season averages of 20.4 points scored and 24.6 conceded, highlighting ongoing issues converting opportunities and maintaining defensive structure on the road. By comparison, the Dolphins have won four of their last five, bouncing back emphatically from a heavy defeat to post 36, 28, 40 and 22 points. Their attacking output has averaged 25.2 points per game for the season, though they have also leaked 27.2 on average. The four wins have come by margins of 20, 6, 8 and 22, underlining a side capable of building scoreboard pressure once they establish field position. Statistically, the Dolphins hold the edge in both attack and recent form. They have scored more points per game and shown greater consistency in the try-scoring department, crossing for 6, 5, 7 and 4 tries in their four victories. The Eels have managed just 2-5 tries across their last five matches, reflecting limited attacking threat when under sustained pressure. Betting markets reflect this disparity. The Dolphins are trading at $1.22-$1.25 while the Eels sit at $4.00-$4.30. The line has settled between 12.5 and 14.5 points in favour of the home side, with totals hovering around 50.5-51.5. Trends suggest the Dolphins are likely to cover the spread given their recent attacking output and the Eels’ defensive vulnerabilities on the road. Tactically, expect the Dolphins to control territory through strong completion rates and look to exploit the edges once the Eels tire. The visitors will need early points and disciplined ball control to stay competitive, yet their patchy form suggests that scenario is unlikely. The Dolphins should prevail by 12 to 18 points.

Parramatta Eels travel to face the Dolphins in a contest defined by the home side's strong form against the visitors' poor attack. The projection supports heavy home cover, directly backing the Dolphins -14.5 play. With a True 78% and 12% Edge at 1.98 odds via SportsBet, this spread call captures the expected dominance. The Dolphins and Eels matchup shapes a game where the home team covers the line comfortably. Moderate total elements align with this view, keeping the focus on the spread as the primary reinforcement of the projected outcome. The Eels attack limitations make the Dolphins -14.5 the standout angle in this Friday night fixture.

Probabilities

All Markets — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -14.5
Parramatta Eels @ Dolphins
Full Spreads SportsBet -14.5 1.98 78.0% 12.0% 0.12 T4 ★ 7.5u W
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -14.5
Parramatta Eels @ Dolphins
SportsBet -14.5 1.98 78.0% 12.0% 0.12 T4 ★ 7.5u W
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0

R24 : Dolphins Dolphins Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Sea Eagles
Fri 14 Aug 18:00 AEST · 4 Pines Park

3 plays

Dolphins head to 4 Pines Park in Round 24 facing an Eagles side in desperate need of a turnaround. The visitors arrive with momentum after three straight victories, while the locals have lost their past five matches and conceded 170 points across that stretch. Dolphins’ recent form shows clear improvement. After opening their last five games with two heavy defeats, they have posted wins of 20, six and eight points. Their attack has averaged 34.7 points per game in those three victories, supported by an average of six tries. The defensive numbers remain a concern, with 29.8 points conceded per game for the season, yet the trend since the two early losses has been far more stable. Eagles, by contrast, have struggled to find any consistency. Their last five results produced margins of nine, one, six, 36 and 22 points—all defeats. They are scoring just 19.2 points per game on average this season and conceding 34, the worst defensive figure of the two sides. At home they have been unable to turn the venue into a fortress, allowing at least 38 points in three of their past five outings. Statistically, Dolphins hold modest edges in both attack and defence. Their season averages of 23.2 points scored and 29.8 conceded compare favourably to Eagles’ 19.2 and 34. The visitors have also shown greater scoring potency in recent weeks, crossing for 18 tries across their last five matches compared with Eagles’ 17. Completion rates and error counts will likely decide whether Dolphins can maintain their attacking rhythm against a home defence that has repeatedly leaked points. With no head-to-head odds currently available, the market is likely to price the contest around the visitors’ superior recent form and Eagles’ ongoing defensive issues. Expect a focus on total points, given both teams’ tendencies to concede high numbers. Dolphins will look to control possession and limit second-phase opportunities, while Eagles must improve their middle-third defence to stand any chance of halting the visitors’ momentum. Dolphins are the stronger side on current evidence and should secure victory at 4 Pines Park. A margin of 10 to 16 points appears the most probable outcome.

The Dolphins head to Manly Warringah Sea Eagles backed by road form that supports the projected margin. Dolphins -9.5 carries 68% True and 3% edge, while Dolphins -4.5 sits at 61% True and 2% edge. Both spreads reinforce Dolphins establishing control early and sustaining pressure throughout. The Over 29.5 Dolphins at 55% True and 2% edge ties directly into this shape, highlighting their ability to exceed the team total line. These plays align on a contest where Manly struggles to match the Dolphins output, with totals tracking season averages. The combination confirms Dolphins covering the spreads while clearing their team total.

Probabilities

All Markets — 3 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -9.5
Dolphins @ Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Full Spreads SportsBet -9.5 1.87 68.0% 3.0% 0.05 T2 2.5u W
Dolphins -4.5
Dolphins @ Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
1H Spreads SportsBet -4.5 1.92 61.0% 2.0% 0.03 T2 2.5u W
Over 29.5 (Dolphins)
Dolphins @ Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Full Team Totals SportsBet 29.5 1.80 55.0% 2.0% 0.03 T2 2.5u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -9.5
Dolphins @ Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
SportsBet -9.5 1.87 68.0% 3.0% 0.05 T2 2.5u W
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -4.5
Dolphins @ Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
SportsBet -4.5 1.92 61.0% 2.0% 0.03 T2 2.5u W
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 29.5 (Dolphins)
Dolphins @ Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
SportsBet 29.5 1.80 55.0% 2.0% 0.03 T2 2.5u L
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Dolphins — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Dolphins secured a commanding 22-0 victory on the road in Round 24. They led 8-0 at halftime and added 14 unanswered points in the second half, with tries from Kodi Nikorima, Selwyn Cobbo, Jack Bostock and Jamayne Isaako sealing the result.

Season Story So Far

With 14 wins from 21 games, the Dolphins sit comfortably in the top four. They've posted a strong points differential of +120, showing consistency across attack and defence through a balanced campaign.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Currently fourth on the ladder with 34 points. They've scored 578 points and conceded 458 this season, keeping them well placed heading into the finals race.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • L 12-13
  • L 0-66
  • W 36-16
  • W 28-22
  • W 40-32

Three wins on the trot heading into the latest result.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Dolphins have been a solid performer against the line in recent weeks. Strong value has often appeared on their team totals and handicap plays, especially when they control the tempo.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Averaging 27 points scored and 22 conceded per game. In the most recent outing they showed clinical finishing while keeping a clean sheet, underlining the improvement in both ends of the field.

Player Highlights

  • Jamayne Isaako: Crossed for a try and kicked three goals in the big win.
  • Kodi Nikorima: Scored and assisted while directing the attack from five-eighth.
  • Selwyn Cobbo: Grabbed a try with strong running metres and physical presence.

Outlook / What to Watch

The side looks sharp heading into the back end of the season, with momentum building from recent form. Keep an eye on how the attack flows when the ball gets wide early.

R23 : Brisbane Broncos Broncos Dolphins Dolphins
Sat 08 Aug 17:30 AEST · Suncorp Stadium

3 plays

The Dolphins host the Broncos at Suncorp Stadium in Round 23, a contest that could define both clubs' trajectories for the remainder of the 2026 season. With the visitors arriving on the back of four losses in five games and the home side showing three wins from their past five outings, momentum sits clearly with the Dolphins. Brisbane's recent form has been particularly concerning. Their last five results read L-L-W-L-L, during which they have managed just 64 points across those matches for an average of 12.8 per game. Their defensive record is scarcely better, conceding 112 points and an average of 22.4. The try-scoring output has dried up completely, with only 12 tries registered in that stretch, including a single try in their most recent outing. Dolphins, by contrast, enter with greater attacking threat despite some inconsistency. Their last five games have produced 102 points at 20.4 per match, highlighted by two 30-plus performances. While their defence has been porous at times—conceding an average of 28.2 points—the three wins in that sequence show they can capitalise on opportunities when their attack clicks, evidenced by 18 tries scored. Statistically, the Broncos are struggling to control games. Their low scoring average suggests issues in completion rates and territory, while the Dolphins have shown they can put pressure on opponents through structured sets and broken-field play. Home advantage at Suncorp may offer Brisbane some respite, yet their recent inability to score points on the road or at home remains a red flag. Tactically, the Dolphins will look to exploit Brisbane's leaky middle defence, while the Broncos must find a way to manufacture early points to avoid falling into deficit patterns seen in their recent losses. With no clear favourite on the head-to-head market and totals likely hovering around the mid-40s given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities, the value lies in the Dolphins' ability to cover a modest spread. Expect the Dolphins to secure victory here, winning by a margin of 8 to 14 points as their superior recent attack overwhelms a struggling Broncos side.

Brisbane Broncos arrive at Dolphins with the home side's edge dictating terms. The approved plays all converge on elevated scoring. Dolphins over 27.5 at 68% True and 4% Edge highlights their recent form advantage. Broncos over 19.5 registers 55% True and 1% Edge, accounting for inconsistency on the road that prevents large margins. Together these drive the total over 48.5 with 62% True and 2% Edge. The structure projects Dolphins leading the points charge while Broncos contribute enough to clear their line, resulting in a combined output that exceeds the game total without either side running away with the result.

Probabilities

All Markets — 3 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 27.5 (Dolphins)
Brisbane Broncos @ Dolphins
Full Team Totals SportsBet 27.5 1.80 68.0% 4.0% 7 T3 5u W
Over 48.5
Brisbane Broncos @ Dolphins
Full O/U SportsBet 48.5 1.90 62.0% 2.0% 4 T3 5u W
Over 19.5 (Brisbane Broncos)
Brisbane Broncos @ Dolphins
Full Team Totals SportsBet 19.5 1.80 55.0% 1.0% 2 T3 5u W
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 48.5
Brisbane Broncos @ Dolphins
SportsBet 48.5 1.90 62.0% 2.0% 4 T3 5u W
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 2 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 27.5 (Dolphins)
Brisbane Broncos @ Dolphins
SportsBet 27.5 1.80 68.0% 4.0% 7 T3 5u W
Over 19.5 (Brisbane Broncos)
Brisbane Broncos @ Dolphins
SportsBet 19.5 1.80 55.0% 1.0% 2 T3 5u W
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Dolphins — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Dolphins secured a strong 40-32 home win over the visitors. Trailing 24-30 at halftime, they flipped the script in the second half with three unanswered tries, including a late effort from Selwyn Cobbo to seal the result. Jamayne Isaako was outstanding with 16 points from a try and six goals.

Season Story So Far

Sitting at 13 wins from 20 games, the Dolphins have shown real consistency in patches while dealing with some heavy defeats. Their +98 points differential reflects an attacking side that can dominate at home, though away form remains a work in progress. The recent run of results has them right in the mix for a top-six finish.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Dolphins sit fifth on the ladder with 32 points from 20 games. They have scored 556 points and conceded 458, giving them a healthy +98 differential that underlines their overall scoring threat.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • W 26-24
  • L 12-13
  • L 0-66
  • W 36-16
  • W 28-22

After a tough middle stretch that included a heavy loss, the Dolphins have bounced back with two solid wins, showing better discipline and finishing.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Dolphins have been a strong home betting proposition, regularly exceeding total points markets and covering key spreads. Player try markets on their backline stars have also proven profitable, with several key contributors hitting value on a regular basis.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Offensively the side is clicking, averaging 28 points per game with strong middle service and outside speed. Defensively they concede an average of 23 points, but the second-half effort in the latest outing showed real improvement in structure and line speed when it mattered most.

Player Highlights

  • Jamayne Isaako: Led the scoring with 16 points including a try and six goals in a composed display.
  • Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: Two tries and 227 run metres from fullback, constantly threatening the line.
  • Connelly Lemuelu: Another double-try haul and strong post-contact work with 116 metres.
  • Herbie Farnworth: Powerful 135 metres and a try in the centres, adding physical presence.
  • Selwyn Cobbo: Clinched the win with a late try and continued his strong finish to games.

Outlook / What to Watch

With back-to-back wins under their belt and a favourable run of home fixtures ahead, the Dolphins look well placed to push for a top-four spot. Keep an eye on Isaako’s goal-kicking accuracy and Tabuai-Fidow’s ability to break games open from the back — both will be key to maintaining momentum through the back end of the season.

R22 : Dolphins Dolphins St George Illawarra Dragons Dragons
Fri 31 Jul 18:00 AEST · WIN Stadium

1 plays

Dolphins travel to WIN Stadium in Round 22 confident of extending their strong run against a Dragons side struggling for consistency. With the visitors installed as heavy favourites at $1.24-$1.26 across major bookmakers, the mismatch in recent form and attacking output looks set to define the contest. Dolphins enter with a 3-2 record from their last five outings, highlighted by convincing victories of 14, 2 and 20 points. Their scoring bursts of 36, 26 and 36 points in those wins demonstrate an ability to put sides under sustained pressure. In contrast, Dragons have managed just one victory in five, a narrow 14-point win, while suffering four losses that exposed defensive vulnerabilities, most notably a 38-point concession in their latest outing. Season averages underscore the gap. Dolphins average 22 points scored and 28.2 conceded, while Dragons sit at 18 points for and a more respectable 22.8 against. The visitor’s recent try-scoring rate of 19 across five games dwarfs the home side’s 16, suggesting Dolphins will test Dragons’ defensive structures repeatedly. Tactically, Dolphins have shown they can win both high-scoring affairs and grind out tighter contests. Their capacity to score in bunches, evidenced by multiple 30-plus point hauls, creates problems for a Dragons attack averaging under 20 points per game. Home advantage at WIN Stadium offers Dragons some protection, yet their four losses in five indicate they are yet to solve issues with completions and error rates that have cost them momentum. Betting markets reflect the disparity. Sportsbet, TAB and PointsBet all list Dolphins as $1.24-$1.26 favourites, with a -12.5 line priced around even money. The totals market sits at 49.5, a line that appears reachable given Dolphins’ recent offensive peaks. Punters looking at the Dragons +12.5 face an uphill task unless the home side can drastically improve first-half discipline. Expect Dolphins to control territory and field position, using their strike power out wide to stretch the Dragons defence. While Dragons may keep the margin respectable early through structured sets, the visitors’ superior attack should pull away after half-time. Dolphins are predicted to win by 12 to 20 points.

Dolphins versus St George Illawarra Dragons presents a matchup where the Dolphins project to control proceedings. The approved play of Dolphins -13.5 carries True 78% and Edge 8% at odds of 1.9 with Ladbrokes. This bet directly ties into the expected margin of 14.5 to 16 points, allowing the Dolphins to cover the spread against the Dragons. The supporting projection for a 50-54 total reinforces a game where the Dolphins establish dominance early and maintain it throughout. Selecting this spread play aligns all elements of the projected game shape, confirming the Dolphins as the side to back in covering the line with confidence.

Probabilities

All Markets — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -13.5
Dolphins @ St George Illawarra Dragons
Full Spreads Ladbrokes -13.5 1.90 78.0% 6.0% 0.12 T1 1u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -13.5
Dolphins @ St George Illawarra Dragons
Ladbrokes -13.5 1.90 78.0% 6.0% 0.12 T1 1u L
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Dolphins — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Dolphins secured a solid 28-22 victory on the road. They led 16-10 at halftime after a strong first half that included three tries, then held firm in the second half despite the opposition pushing back late. The win came from good control in key moments and clinical finishing when opportunities arose.

Season Story So Far

Sitting comfortably in the top half of the ladder after 20 rounds, the Dolphins have shown real consistency. Thirteen wins from 20 games highlight a side that has found ways to get the job done more often than not. Their +98 points differential reflects a balanced attack and improving defence, with the group clearly playing with confidence heading into the back end of the year.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Dolphins sit fifth on the ladder with 32 points from 20 games. They have recorded 13 wins and six losses, with one loss in extra time. Points scored stand at 556 against 458 conceded, giving them a healthy +98 differential that underlines their strong season to date.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • W 36-22
  • W 26-24
  • L 12-13
  • L 0-66
  • W 36-16

Three wins from the last five games, with the heavy loss standing out as the clear outlier. The side has generally been competitive and has bounced back well from defeats.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Dolphins have been a reliable performer this season, particularly in games where they have been given a decent look at the total. Their scoring average of 27 points per game suggests they are capable of pushing games over the line more often than not, while their defensive numbers around 23 points conceded per game give them a solid platform.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Offensively the Dolphins are averaging 27 points per game, with a clear ability to post big scores when their attack clicks. Defensively they are conceding around 23 points per outing, which has been good enough to keep them in most contests. The balance between attack and defence has been one of their strengths this year.

Player Highlights

  • Selwyn Cobbo: Two tries in the latest win, showing his usual threat on the edge.
  • Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: Strong contribution with a try and plenty of metres, continuing to influence games at the back.
  • Jamayne Isaako: Four goals from the boot and involved in several attacking raids.
  • Herbie Farnworth: Consistent metres and work rate in the middle, keeping the forward momentum going.

Outlook / What to Watch

The Dolphins look well placed for a strong finish. Their mix of experience and strike power gives them a real chance to push higher on the ladder. Keeping the error count down and maintaining that defensive structure will be key as they eye a favourable run into the finals.

R20 : North Queensland Cowboys Cowboys Dolphins Dolphins
Sun 19 Jul 16:05 AEST · Suncorp Stadium

1 plays

The Dolphins host the Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium in Round 20, a clash that pits two sides with sharply contrasting recent trajectories. While both teams enter with mixed results, home advantage and attacking potency give the Dolphins the clearer edge. The Cowboys arrive on the back of two wins but remain a fragile unit overall. Their last five outings read LLLWW, with scores of 12, 14, 20, 26 and 19 points scored. That run masks consistent defensive issues, conceding 26.8 points per game for the season and surrendering 38 and 40 points in two of their three defeats. Their try-scoring has improved lately (four tries in each of the past three games), yet the average of 18.2 points scored underlines limited sustained threat. The Dolphins, despite two straight losses, bring superior firepower. Their season averages of 24.4 points scored and 27 conceded are stronger than the Cowboys’ marks, and their recent form includes a 48-10 demolition and a 36-22 win. The 0-66 loss remains an outlier, while the two preceding victories showed clinical finishing (eight and six tries). At Suncorp, where they average more than 26 points in home games, the Dolphins look better equipped to control tempo. Statistically, the Dolphins hold advantages in both attack and efficiency. The Cowboys have managed only 91 points across their last five matches while conceding 134. In contrast, the Dolphins have posted 122 points in that window despite the heavy defeat. The 50.5-point total line sits close to both teams’ combined averages, yet the Dolphins’ recent high-scoring wins suggest the over remains viable. Betting markets reflect this edge, with the Dolphins priced at $1.55–1.62 and the Cowboys at $2.30–2.45. The -3.5 handicap for the home side is offered at even money across most agencies, while alternate lines show money flowing toward the Dolphins at -6.5 and -7.5. The Cowboys have covered just two of their last five spreads, highlighting difficulty staying competitive on the road. Tactically, the Dolphins’ ability to spread the ball wide and exploit edge defence should stretch a Cowboys side that has conceded heavily in recent losses. The Cowboys will need early completion rates above 75 percent and territory dominance to stay in the contest, yet their season-long average of 18.2 points rarely supports comeback wins. The Dolphins are expected to prevail by 8–14 points, likely covering the -3.5 spread while keeping the total around or slightly under the 50.5 line.

North Queensland Cowboys at Dolphins presents a totals market that leans slightly over projection. Dolphins hold home edge, positioning them with venue advantage, yet the key approved play focuses on the Cowboys team total over 22.5. This bet at 5 units carries True 51% probability alongside a 2% edge at odds 1.94 via SportsBet. The projected game shape indicates the Cowboys will generate points sufficient to clear this threshold. Alignment between the team total and overall totals lean strengthens the case for elevated scoring from the visitors. This approach maintains focus on the data-supported angle without deviation.

Probabilities

All Markets — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 22.5 (North Queensland Cowboys)
North Queensland Cowboys @ Dolphins
Full Team Totals SportsBet 22.5 1.94 51.0% 2.0% 0.02 T3 5u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 22.5 (North Queensland Cowboys)
North Queensland Cowboys @ Dolphins
SportsBet 22.5 1.94 51.0% 2.0% 0.02 T3 5u L
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Scoring Tries Total
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Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Dolphins — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Dolphins secured a convincing 36-16 victory over the visitors at home. They trailed 10-12 at halftime but exploded in the second half with 24 points to pull away comfortably. Six tries were scored, with Jamayne Isaako contributing 20 points through two tries and six goals.

Season Story So Far

Through 20 games the Dolphins sit in a strong position with 13 wins and 6 losses. Their +98 points differential reflects a potent attack that has posted 556 points while conceding 458. The side has shown real consistency at home and remains firmly in the finals conversation.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Currently sitting fifth on the ladder with 32 points. The attack averages 27.8 points per game while the defence is allowing 22.9. The +98 differential is one of the better marks in the top half of the table.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • W 48-10
  • W 36-22
  • W 26-24
  • L 12-13
  • L 0-66

Three straight wins were followed by two heavy defeats, with the most recent outing a dominant home performance that halted the slide.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Dolphins have covered the line in three of their last five outings. Totals have gone over the key 27.5 mark in four of those contests when playing at home. Their second-half scoring average remains a key trend for overs bettors.

Attacking & Defensive Story

The attack has been clinical, averaging just under 28 points per game with strong second-half output. Defensively they have tightened up after a couple of blowouts, holding the opposition to under 25 points in three of the last five. The forward pack has been effective through the middle and the backline is creating consistent line breaks.

Player Highlights

  • Jamayne Isaako: Led the way with two tries and six goals for 20 points in the latest win, showing his value as a finisher and goal kicker.
  • Herbie Farnworth: Strong metres gained and ten tackle busts highlighted his damaging running game through the middle.
  • Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: Topped the run metres with 186 and added two line breaks to keep the attack moving.
  • Thomas Gilbert: Captaincy impact with a try and solid work rate of 61 points in a strong interchange role.

Outlook / What to Watch

The Dolphins will look to build on their strong home form and push for a top-four finish. Key will be maintaining second-half intensity and finding ways to avoid the occasional big loss. With Isaako in confident form and the forward rotation providing impact, they remain a dangerous side capable of stretching any opposition.

R19 : Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Sharks Dolphins Dolphins
Sat 11 Jul 15:00 AEST · KAYO Stadium

3 plays

The Dolphins host the Sharks at KAYO Stadium in Round 19 with clear momentum and home advantage on their side. The visitors arrive in inconsistent form despite recent wins, while the locals have powered through most of their last five outings with an explosive attack. Cronulla’s last-five results read W-W-W-L-W. They posted 28, 34, 10, 8 and 28 points, conceding 22, 12, 8, 27 and 16. The 19-point loss stands out as a sharp defensive lapse, but the three wins immediately prior showed strong control. Their season averages sit at 21.6 points scored and 17 conceded. Dolphins’ sequence of W-W-W-W-L produced 40, 48, 36, 26 and 12 points for, with 14, 10, 22, 24 and 13 against. Four of those victories came by double-digit margins, underlining a potent attack averaging 32.4 points per game and a defence conceding just 16.6. Statistically the gap is pronounced. Dolphins average more than ten points per game more in attack and maintain a comparable defensive record. Cronulla’s try-scoring has been streaky—six, five and five in three wins, but only one and two in the other two games—while Dolphins have posted seven, eight, six and five tries across four of their last five matches. Bookmakers have installed the Dolphins as 1.55 favourites, with the Sharks at 2.44. The line sits at Dolphins –4.5, with totals lined at 49.5. Given Dolphins’ 32.4 scoring average and Cronulla’s modest 21.6, the total looks likely to land around that mark rather than pushing well over. Tactically, the Dolphins will look to exploit their fast start and high completion rates to build early leads. The Sharks must improve their error count and maintain structure after half-time to stay in the contest. Dolphins are the stronger side at home and should prevail. Expect them to win by a margin of six to twelve points.

The Dolphins host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks with a clear edge in attack depth backing their projected margin. Backing the Dolphins -4.5 aligns with a True 68% probability and 2% edge, pointing to a controlled home win. The Under 24.5 at True 48% and -3% edge suggests a tight, low-output contest overall. Pairing that with the Sharks team total Under 21.5, carrying True 52% and 4% edge, reinforces expectations of Cronulla being held in check. These lines converge on a game shape where the Dolphins dictate terms without the scoreboard exploding, keeping totals suppressed while they secure the spread.

Probabilities

All Markets — 3 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -4.5
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Dolphins
Full Spreads SportsBet -4.5 1.97 68.0% 2.0% 0.03 T1 1u L
Under 21.5 (Cronulla Sutherland Sharks)
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Dolphins
Full Team Totals SportsBet 21.5 2.00 52.0% 4.0% 0.08 T1 1u L
Under 24.5
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Dolphins
1H O/U PointsBet (AU) 24.5 1.85 48.0% -3.0% -0.06 T1 1u W
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins -4.5
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Dolphins
SportsBet -4.5 1.97 68.0% 2.0% 0.03 T1 1u L
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Under 24.5
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Dolphins
PointsBet (AU) 24.5 1.85 48.0% -3.0% -0.06 T1 1u W
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Under 21.5 (Cronulla Sutherland Sharks)
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Dolphins
SportsBet 21.5 2.00 52.0% 4.0% 0.08 T1 1u L
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Spread 0

R18 : Dolphins Dolphins Newcastle Knights Knights
Sun 05 Jul 16:05 AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium

2 plays

The Dolphins arrive at McDonald Jones Stadium in Round 18 carrying the most impressive momentum in the competition, while the Knights will need to produce their best performance of the season to halt the visitors’ surge. Dolphins have secured five consecutive victories, scoring 180 points across those matches while conceding just 92. Their attacking output has been relentless, averaging 36 points per game for the season with 31 tries in their last five outings alone. The Knights, by contrast, have recorded four wins and one loss in the same stretch, averaging a modest 25.6 points scored and showing occasional vulnerability when pressured. Both sides share identical defensive averages of 18.4 points conceded per game, yet the Dolphins’ ability to convert opportunities stands out. In their five-game streak they have produced margins of 8, 26, 38, 14 and 2 points, demonstrating both explosive scoring power and composure when matches tighten. The Knights’ recent results have been tighter, including a two-point loss and narrow wins, suggesting they struggle to match the Dolphins’ tempo over eighty minutes. At home the Knights will look to exploit their structured middle and quick play-the-ball, but the Dolphins’ defensive line speed and completion rate have neutralised similar approaches in recent weeks. With the total points line set at 50.5 and head-to-head markets almost even, the market recognises the Dolphins’ superior current form yet respects the home advantage. Expect the Dolphins to control field position and capitalise on the Knights’ lower try-scoring rate. A victory by 8-14 points appears the most probable outcome.

Dolphins hold a slight form edge against Newcastle Knights, projecting a four-point win in this Sunday clash. The approved plays reinforce a high-scoring shape, with totals aligning near 52 points. Backing the Over 48.5 at True 51% and 1% Edge captures the full-game flow expected from both sides. Meanwhile the Over 25.5 at True 50% and 0% Edge locks in first-half production as a key component. Together these calls project consistent scoring across both periods, driven by the Dolphins' edge without overextending into unapproved territory. The 1.9 and 1.88 odds support value in this totals-heavy outlook, keeping the focus on points accumulation rather than margins or specific team results.

Probabilities

All Markets — 2 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 48.5
Dolphins @ Newcastle Knights
Full O/U TAB 48.5 1.90 51.0% 1.0% 0.02 T1 1u L
Over 25.5
Dolphins @ Newcastle Knights
2H O/U TABtouch 25.5 1.88 50.0% 0.0% 0 T1 1u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 48.5
Dolphins @ Newcastle Knights
TAB 48.5 1.90 51.0% 1.0% 0.02 T1 1u L
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 25.5
Dolphins @ Newcastle Knights
TABtouch 25.5 1.88 50.0% 0.0% 0 T1 1u L
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
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Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0

R17 : New Zealand Warriors Warriors Dolphins Dolphins
Sat 27 Jun 15:00 AEST · Suncorp Stadium

2 plays

The Dolphins enter Round 17 hosting the Warriors at Suncorp Stadium as clear frontrunners, sitting on a five-game winning streak while the visitors search for consistency. With the home side averaging 37.2 points scored per game and conceding just 15.6, their attacking rhythm has been difficult to contain. The Warriors’ last-five results read W-W-L-L-W, but the underlying numbers reveal defensive resilience. They have allowed just 14.8 points per contest on average this season, with three of their five recent outings keeping opponents under 20. However, their scoring has been uneven, producing just eight points in one loss and 42 in a win, highlighting an attack that can fluctuate sharply. Statistically the contrast is stark. The Dolphins have posted 32, 30, 40, 48 and 36 points in their past five matches, regularly crossing 30. Their average winning margin sits around 22 points across that stretch. The Warriors, by comparison, have recorded margins of +30, +18, -2, -2 and +18, showing they can compete but struggle to match sustained scoring bursts. At Suncorp, home advantage adds another layer. The Dolphins have been clinical in their recent victories, converting high completion rates into points while restricting opposition opportunities. The Warriors will need to tighten their middle-third control and limit errors if they are to stay within striking distance. Betting markets reflect the home side’s dominance, with the Dolphins priced at $1.45 and the Warriors at $2.75–$2.78. The -6.5 line sits around even money both ways, while the total points line hovers at 50.5, suggesting bookmakers expect a competitive but high-scoring affair. Expect the Dolphins to control territory and field position early. If they maintain their current completion efficiency, a double-digit victory appears the most likely outcome. Prediction: Dolphins by 10–14 points.

The New Zealand Warriors visit the Dolphins with approved betting lines highlighting restraint from the hosts. Backing the Under 29.5 Dolphins at True 35% and -5% Edge indicates the home attack will struggle to breach that mark. The Warriors selection at True 26% and -7% Edge adds weight to the visitors holding their own in the structure. Together these wagers project a game shape defined by contained Dolphins scoring and viable Warriors positioning, steering clear of high-volume exchanges. The combination locks in expectations of a measured contest where both the team total and the outright line support a compact outcome.

Probabilities

All Markets — 2 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Under 29.5 (Dolphins)
New Zealand Warriors @ Dolphins
Full Team Totals SportsBet 29.5 1.87 35.0% -5.0% -0.09 T1 1u W
Warriors
New Zealand Warriors @ Dolphins
Head To Head Betfair 0 3.00 26.0% -7.0% -0.21 T1 1u L
Head To Head — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Warriors
New Zealand Warriors @ Dolphins
Betfair 0 3.00 26.0% -7.0% -0.21 T1 1u L
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Under 29.5 (Dolphins)
New Zealand Warriors @ Dolphins
SportsBet 29.5 1.87 35.0% -5.0% -0.09 T1 1u W
1st Half
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1st Half
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Scoring Tries Total
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Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Dolphins — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Dolphins came away with a tight 26-24 home win over the visitors in round 17. They led 16-12 at halftime after a strong first-half effort that included three tries, then held on in a high-scoring second half where the opposition fought back to level the scores late before a final try sealed it.

Season Story So Far

After 14 games the Dolphins sit in solid shape with nine wins and a strong points differential. Their attack has been consistent, piling up 414 points while keeping concessions to 285, showing they can both score freely and stay competitive defensively across the season.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Dolphins are fourth on the ladder with 22 points. They have scored 414 points and conceded 285 for a healthy differential of +129, underlining their balanced performance through the first half of the season.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • W 32-10
  • W 30-22
  • W 40-14
  • W 48-10
  • W 36-22

Five straight wins with the side averaging 37 points scored and just 16 conceded per game.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Dolphins have been covering the line regularly on the back of those big wins. Totals have also gone over regularly given the high-scoring nature of their recent games, with strong first-half numbers supporting overs in the opening 40 minutes.

Attacking & Defensive Story

The attack remains potent, regularly breaking 30 points and creating plenty of line breaks through the edges. Defensively they have tightened up in the last month, holding opposition sides under 22 points in four of the past five games while forcing errors and limiting post-contact metres.

Player Highlights

  • Jamayne Isaako: Two tries, three goals and 14 points in the latest win, finishing with 190 run metres and strong kick-return work.
  • Selwyn Cobbo: Also crossed for two tries and added 184 run metres with six tackle busts.
  • Herbie Farnworth: Strong middle showing with a try, 127 run metres and 11 tackle busts.
  • Kodi Nikorima: Controlled the middle well with 11 general play passes and a try assist.

Outlook / What to Watch

The Dolphins head into the second half of the season with real momentum from five straight wins. Keeping the attack firing while maintaining the defensive discipline shown lately will be key as they look to hold a top-four spot and push deeper into September.

R16 : Dolphins Dolphins Wests Tigers Tigers
Sat 20 Jun 15:00 AEST · Campbelltown Sports Stadium

4 plays

The Dolphins arrive at Campbelltown Sports Stadium in Round 16 with the look of a team hitting peak form, while the Wests Tigers face yet another stern examination of their defensive structure. Five consecutive victories have propelled the visitors into genuine contention, and their statistical dominance suggests the mismatch could be pronounced. Dolphins’ recent run has been built on ruthless attacking efficiency. Across their last five outings they have posted 44, 32, 30, 40 and 48 points while conceding just 13.6 points per game on average for the season. Their try-scoring rate remains elevated, underlining an attack that converts field position into points at an elite clip. In contrast, the Tigers’ form guide reads two wins and three losses, with their defence shipping an alarming 40.4 points per game. Heavy defeats have been common, including a 68-point concession in one of their past five fixtures. The statistical gulf is stark. Where the Dolphins average 38.8 points scored, the Tigers manage just 18.4. That 20-point differential per game is reflected in recent head-to-head trends and explains why bookmakers have installed the visitors at $1.39–$1.44. The spread sits at 7.5–8.5 in favour of the Dolphins, a line that looks inviting given their capacity to win by multiple converted tries. Tactical factors further tilt the contest. Campbelltown offers the Tigers a home-ground buffer, yet their completion rates and error counts under pressure have repeatedly undermined that advantage this season. The Dolphins, meanwhile, have shown they can travel and impose their high-tempo style regardless of venue. Expect the visitors to control the middle third, limit the Tigers’ ruck speed and capitalise on any handling mistakes with structured shifts to the edges. From a betting standpoint, the most compelling angles lie with the Dolphins on the line or to win with a margin exceeding 13.5. Totals markets hover around 52–52.5; while the Tigers’ defence is porous, the Dolphins’ efficiency could keep the scoreboard moving quickly enough to push the game over, though a slight lean to the under is understandable if conditions tighten. The Dolphins should prevail comfortably. Expect a 24–32 point victory that extends their winning streak and further exposes the Tigers’ ongoing defensive frailties.

The Dolphins carry a clear form edge into this clash with the Wests Tigers and a projected margin near 10. That shape lines up with the approved plays. Wests Tigers +8.5 at True 38% and Edge -2% keeps the visitors in range without forcing an outright result. Under 25.5 at True 51% and Edge 0% signals a tight opening period where neither side breaks the game open early. Dolphins Under 29.5 at True 42% and Edge -3% caps their output, while Wests Tigers Over 21.5 at True 44% and Edge -2% in the second half balances the ledger. Together the calls point to a measured contest that stays inside the key totals and leaves the Tigers covering the number.

Probabilities

All Markets — 4 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 21.5 (Wests Tigers)
Dolphins @ Wests Tigers
Full Team Totals TAB 21.5 1.85 44.0% -2.0% -0.04 T2 2.5u W
Under 25.5
Dolphins @ Wests Tigers
1H O/U TAB 25.5 2.00 51.0% 0.0% 0 T1 1u W
Under 29.5 (Dolphins)
Dolphins @ Wests Tigers
Full Team Totals SportsBet 29.5 1.87 42.0% -3.0% -0.06 T1 1u L
Wests Tigers 8.5
Dolphins @ Wests Tigers
Full Spreads Bet Right 8.5 1.90 38.0% -2.0% -0.04 T1 1u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Wests Tigers 8.5
Dolphins @ Wests Tigers
Bet Right 8.5 1.90 38.0% -2.0% -0.04 T1 1u L
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Under 25.5
Dolphins @ Wests Tigers
TAB 25.5 2.00 51.0% 0.0% 0 T1 1u W
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 2 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 21.5 (Wests Tigers)
Dolphins @ Wests Tigers
TAB 21.5 1.85 44.0% -2.0% -0.04 T2 2.5u W
Under 29.5 (Dolphins)
Dolphins @ Wests Tigers
SportsBet 29.5 1.87 42.0% -3.0% -0.06 T1 1u L
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total