The New Zealand Warriors enter Round 27 hosting the Manly Sea Eagles at Go Media Stadium with a chance to solidify their late-season momentum against a side clinging to relevance. The Warriors have won all five of their most recent outings, averaging 40.2 points scored and conceding just 16.4 per game across the campaign. In contrast, Manly have managed just two victories in their last five, posting a season average of 24 points for and 29.2 against. Manly’s recent form tells a tale of inconsistency. Their last five results include heavy defeats of 48-12, 42-20 and 22-0, before back-to-back 44-point wins. That scoring burst masks deeper issues: across those five matches they have conceded 146 points while scoring 120. Their attack has produced 22 tries in the period, but defensive lapses have repeatedly proven costly. The Warriors, meanwhile, have been clinical. Victories by margins of 36, 16, 34, 19 and 14 points reflect both offensive firepower and a miserly defence that has limited opponents to single-digit scores in two of the last three games. With 35 tries scored in their last five outings, their attack is firing on all cylinders heading into this clash. Statistically the gap is stark. The Warriors average 23.8 more points per game than Manly while conceding 12.8 fewer. Home advantage at Go Media Stadium has been decisive for the Warriors this year, amplifying an already potent home record. Bookmakers have installed the Warriors as short favourites, with head-to-head odds around $1.58-$1.68 and a line of -4.5. The total points market sits at 48.5, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring contest given both teams’ recent outputs. A closer examination of margins suggests the Warriors are likely to cover the spread, with their defensive structure often shutting games down in the second half. Tactically, Manly must improve completion rates and reduce errors if they are to challenge. The Warriors will look to exploit edge defence and maintain their high completion percentages that have underpinned their winning streak. Expect the Warriors to continue their strong finish to the season. A 14–20 point victory for the home side appears the most probable outcome.

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles face New Zealand Warriors with the visitors holding a clear home edge. The approved play on New Zealand Warriors -5.5 aligns with this projection, backed by a True 56% and Edge 2% at odds of 1.87. This spread bet reinforces the expected game shape where Warriors dominate through attack. The total leaning over projection further supports a high-scoring contest that favors the home side covering the margin. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles will struggle to match the intensity, allowing New Zealand Warriors to secure the points spread. This single approved play captures the core dynamic without deviation.

The New Zealand Warriors host the Newcastle Knights in Round 26 at Go Media Stadium with both sides still eyeing favourable ladder positions. The Warriors enter as clear favourites after an impressive late-season surge that has delivered four wins from their past five outings. Newcastle’s form has been inconsistent. A win-loss-win-loss pattern in their last five games leaves them with three victories but also highlights defensive vulnerabilities exposed in a 24-44 defeat. Their scoring has been steady at 28-36 points in wins, yet the concession of 44 points in their most recent loss underlines issues when under pressure. The Warriors, by contrast, have found rhythm. After an opening-round loss, they have reeled off four consecutive victories, averaging 38.75 points scored in those wins while holding opponents to just 12.5 points. Their season averages of 32.2 points for and 13.6 against reflect a balanced attack and the competition’s stingiest defence. Statistically the gap is stark. Newcastle concede 24.6 points per game on average; the Warriors allow just 13.6. The home side also generates more tries, averaging 5.6 per game across their last five compared with Newcastle’s 5.2. Home advantage at Go Media Stadium has further amplified the Warriors’ attacking output this season. Betting markets reflect the disparity. The Warriors are priced at $1.27-$1.30 while Newcastle sit at $3.55-$3.90. The line sits at Warriors -10.5 to -12.5, and the total is set at 48.5 points. Recent trends suggest the Warriors will control territory and limit Newcastle’s opportunities through strong completion rates and low error counts. Expect the Warriors to set the tempo early and maintain defensive structure. Newcastle will need to match the Warriors’ intensity and capitalise on any lapses, but sustained pressure is likely to expose their defensive frailties. Prediction: New Zealand Warriors by 12-18 points.

Newcastle Knights face New Zealand Warriors away from home, where the Warriors' home edge and attack depth shape the expected result. The approved plays on Warriors -6.5 at True 55% with 5% Edge and Warriors -10.5 at True 68% with 4% Edge both signal a strong margin for the home team. These selections align to project the Warriors establishing control early and extending their lead. The consistent backing across spreads indicates the Knights will be outpaced in key areas, enabling the Warriors to secure the required victory margin through superior execution.

The New Zealand Warriors arrive at Accor Stadium as the clear form side heading into Round 25, while the South Sydney Rabbitohs face a stern examination of their inconsistent campaign. The Warriors have secured four wins from their past five outings and enter as favourites at Sportsbet odds of $1.67. Over their last five matches the Warriors have averaged 27.2 points scored and just 10.8 conceded. Their defensive structure has been particularly impressive, limiting three of those opponents to single figures. The sole defeat came against a high-scoring opponent by 12 points, yet the side rebounded with convincing victories of 36, 16 and 34 points. South Sydney’s record is more uneven: two wins and three losses, with 23.6 points scored per game but 24.4 conceded. Their defensive lapses have been costly, with three of the last five games featuring 30-plus points allowed. Statistically the contrast is stark. The Warriors’ recent try-scoring output (3-1-8-5-7) reflects a potent attacking edge, while South Sydney’s 4-6-3-6-5 tries shows less consistency in finishing. The Rabbitohs have managed only one win by more than six points this stretch, whereas the Warriors have produced three victories by double-digit margins. Tactically the contest will hinge on completion rates and error management. The Warriors’ low concession average suggests strong ball security and line speed. South Sydney must improve discipline if they are to trouble a defence that has kept three straight opponents under 13 points. Home advantage offers the Rabbitohs some buffer, yet current form points the other way. Bookmakers have set the total at 45.5 points, reflecting expectations of an open but controlled contest. The Warriors sit at $1.84 to cover a 3.5-point spread, a line that aligns with their superior recent margins. Expect the Warriors to dictate territory and tempo. Their defensive organisation should restrict South Sydney’s attacking platforms, allowing the visitors to pull clear in the second half. A 10-14 point victory for the New Zealand Warriors appears the most probable outcome.

New Zealand Warriors hold the edge over South Sydney Rabbitohs on form and road matchups. This sets up the Warriors to win at 56% True probability with 4% Edge. The same shape supports the Warriors team total over 24.5 at 55% True probability and 2% Edge. Even the game total over 22.5 at 47% True probability and -3% Edge fits the projection of points flowing in a contest where Warriors push the pace. Together these approved plays paint a consistent picture of the Warriors dictating terms and delivering an over result against the Rabbitohs.

The New Zealand Warriors head to Suncorp Stadium in Round 24 carrying genuine momentum, while the Brisbane Broncos search for answers after a string of disappointing results. With the visitors sitting on a 4-1 record across their past five outings, this contest shapes as a clear test of whether the Broncos can arrest their slide on home soil. The Warriors have been both efficient and clinical. Their recent scores read 32-6, 20-12, 6-18, 42-6 and 28-12, underlining an ability to dominate games through structured attack and a miserly defence that has conceded just 10.8 points per game on average this season. Four wins have come by double-figure margins, reflecting sustained control rather than one-off bursts. In contrast, the Broncos’ last five matches have yielded only a single victory. Scores of 16-28, 14-12, 10-18, 6-30 and 32-40 tell the story of a side leaking points at an alarming 25.6 per game while struggling to generate consistent attacking threat at 15.6 points scored. Their only recent success was narrow, and three of the defeats were by 12 points or more, highlighting defensive fragility and an inability to close games. Statistically the gap is stark. The Warriors average 25.6 points for and 10.8 against, creating a +14.8 differential. The Broncos sit at 15.6 for and 25.6 against, a -10.0 differential. Recent try-scoring trends reinforce this: the Warriors have crossed for 23 tries across those five games compared with the Broncos’ 14. Home advantage at Suncorp will assist the Broncos’ completion rate and field position, yet their current form suggests they may struggle to convert that edge into scoreboard pressure. Without key individual names available, the tactical emphasis falls on the Warriors’ ability to maintain low error rates and exploit the Broncos’ porous middle. Expect the visitors to target early field position and keep the Broncos’ attack starved of possession. From a betting perspective, the form differential points to value on the Warriors either on the head-to-head or as a handicap selection. A total points line around 42-44 looks realistic given both teams’ recent defensive numbers, although the Broncos’ home scoring record could push the game slightly higher if they avoid another heavy concession early. Overall, the Warriors’ superior organisation and scoring consistency should prove decisive. A victory by 12 to 18 points appears the most probable outcome, with the visitors likely to control territory and limit the Broncos to sporadic opportunities.

New Zealand Warriors travel to take on Brisbane Broncos carrying a road edge that aligns directly with the approved spread. Backing Warriors -6.5 reflects True 52% confidence and a 2% edge, reinforcing a scenario where the visitors dictate terms sufficiently to cover. The Over 22.5 play at True 51% and 1% edge complements this by projecting enough combined scoring to clear the total without disrupting the margin. Together these calls shape a contest where Warriors establish control on the road, meeting the spread requirement while the points total climbs above the line. The projection from both plays confirms the Warriors as the side to control the outcome in this matchup.

The Penrith Panthers arrive at Go Media Stadium as clear underdogs on paper, yet their recent ability to bounce back from narrow defeats gives them every chance of upsetting the New Zealand Warriors in Round 23. With both sides separated by just 0.4 points per game in attack, the contest will hinge on which defence can impose itself on a slippery Auckland surface. Penrith’s last-five record reads L W L W W, producing an aggregate margin of +36 across those matches. Their scoring has been streaky: three low-output games (12, 12 and 24 points) offset by two high-scoring wins (36 and 42). Defensively they have been solid, conceding 18 points per game on average this season, though two of their three wins came against sides they held to 18 or fewer. The Warriors sit on L W W L W and boast the stingiest defence of the two, allowing just 13.6 points per game. Their recent margins include a 36-point win and two single-digit results, indicating they can both blow teams away and grind out tight victories. At home they have restricted opponents to six points on two occasions in their last five outings, underlining a clear venue edge. Statistically the match shapes as a low-scoring affair. Combined averages suggest a total around 39–42 points, and both teams have posted under 20 points in three of their past five games. Penrith’s try-scoring rate (average 4.2 per game) is slightly higher, but the Warriors have been more efficient in converting opportunities, evidenced by their superior points-per-try ratio in recent weeks. Tactically, the Panthers will look to use their experience in the middle third to slow the Warriors’ ruck speed, while New Zealand’s home advantage will encourage an early high-tempo approach aimed at forcing errors. Completion rates and penalty counts in the opening 20 minutes are likely to decide which side gains field position and control. Current markets price the Warriors as favourites, with the line hovering around a six-point start for Penrith. The total points line sits near 41.5, reflecting the defensive strengths both sides bring. Expect the New Zealand Warriors to prevail by a 6–10 point margin in a tight, physical contest decided by a late field goal or converted try after the 70-minute mark.

Penrith Panthers travel to face New Zealand Warriors with road form providing the decisive edge against a Warriors home setup hampered by scoring dips. The approved Penrith Panthers -3.5 bet at True 53% and 5% Edge aligns directly with that projection, signalling the visitors should control the contest and cover the spread. The separate Penrith Panthers wager at True 58% and 8% Edge reinforces the same shape, backing the Panthers to dictate tempo and limit Warriors opportunities. Both plays converge on a Panthers-led outcome where defensive structure and road efficiency outweigh home advantage. Bettors see consistent value in backing Penrith across the spread and outright angles, confirming the projected game flow without reliance on external variables.

The New Zealand Warriors travel to Cbus Super Stadium in Round 22 seeking to extend their defensive resilience against a Gold Coast Titans side that has shown flashes of attacking potency at home. With the Warriors installed as 1.58-1.61 favourites across major bookmakers and the Titans at 2.32-2.55, the contest carries significant implications for both teams’ push towards the finals. The Warriors enter with a 3-2 record in their past five outings, producing scores of 38, 24, 32, 20 and 6. Their defensive numbers stand out: just 16.4 points conceded per game on the season and only 82 points allowed across those five matches. Wins by 18, 26 and 8 points highlight their ability to control games when completing sets, while the two losses were by narrow margins of 2 and 12. The Titans mirror the 3-2 form line but display greater inconsistency. Their results read 19, 12, 18, 38 and 38, averaging 25 points scored and 24 conceded. The two heavy wins of 6 and 20 points came against softer opposition, yet they have leaked 30 and 22 points in defeats. At 24 points conceded per game for the year, their defence remains the clear vulnerability the Warriors will target. Statistically, the Warriors hold the edge in structure and efficiency. They average 24 points per game while restricting opponents to 16.4, creating an expected margin advantage of roughly seven points before home-ground adjustment. The Titans’ recent high-scoring wins mask an underlying issue with completion rates; their three wins have been accompanied by defensive lapses that the Warriors’ organised attack can exploit. Tactically, expect the Warriors to focus on early completion and kick-pressure to limit Titans field position. The Titans will need to generate quick play-the-balls and exploit any second-phase opportunities if they are to trouble a Warriors defensive line that has held opponents to single figures in two of their last three wins. Betting markets reflect this assessment. The Warriors are favoured at -3.5 and -4.5 with odds between 1.85-1.95, while the total sits at 49.5. The Titans’ inability to keep games under 44 combined points in three of their past five fixtures suggests the over holds value if the Warriors control possession. The Warriors should prevail by 6-12 points, leveraging superior defensive organisation and experience in high-stakes road games to overcome the Titans’ home advantage and occasional attacking bursts.

The New Zealand Warriors hold the form edge against the Gold Coast Titans. The sole approved play backs Warriors T1 at 1.65, carrying a true probability of 58 percent for an 8 percent edge. This selection shapes the projected game around the Warriors asserting control early, with totals remaining near the middle of the lines. The team total in the first half supports a controlled start that avoids over or under extremes. Such alignment confirms the Warriors as the side to dictate proceedings from kick-off, consistent with the calculated edge and without reliance on broader totals movement.

The New Zealand Warriors travel to Accor Stadium to face the Canterbury Bulldogs in Round 21, a matchup that pits two sides with contrasting momentum against each other in what promises to be a tight contest. The Bulldogs enter as hosts with strong home advantage, while the Warriors look to build on their recent resurgence. The Warriors’ last five outings show a 3-2 record, with wins of 38-20, 32-6 and 20-12 sandwiching narrow losses. Their attack has clicked at times, averaging 24.4 points per game this season, though defensive lapses have allowed 14.8 points on average. The Bulldogs, meanwhile, boast a 4-1 record in their previous five, highlighted by a commanding 32-0 shutout and a 30-12 victory. Their season averages of 21 points scored and 15.2 conceded reflect a balanced, if slightly lower-scoring, unit that has thrived on defensive structure. Statistically, the Warriors hold a slight edge in attacking output, having crossed for 21 tries across their last five games compared with the Bulldogs’ 17. However, the Bulldogs have shown greater consistency at home, conceding just 12 points in three of their last four victories before the heavy defeat that interrupted their streak. The Warriors’ ability to win on the road will be tested against a Bulldogs side that has kept games low-scoring when it matters. Key factors will include completion rates and error management. Both teams have demonstrated periods of control, but the Warriors’ higher scoring ceiling could be neutralised by the Bulldogs’ organised defence. Home ground familiarity gives the Bulldogs a tactical advantage in maintaining field position and managing the middle. With no line movements available from bookmakers at this stage, the market is expected to favour the Bulldogs given their home status and recent form. A low-to-mid 40s total points line appears likely given both defences’ recent showings. Expect the Bulldogs to edge a hard-fought win by 4-10 points, capitalising on home support and the Warriors’ occasional lapses on the road.

The New Zealand Warriors carry a slight edge on form and matchup heading into their clash with the Canterbury Bulldogs. This dynamic points to a contest where the Bulldogs can still generate sufficient attacking output to clear the Over 18.5 team total. The approved play on Over 18.5 Canterbury Bulldogs at 1.94 with a True 52% and 1% edge aligns directly with the projected game shape leaning over 46-48. Backing this team total reinforces the expectation that the Bulldogs will contribute enough points, capitalizing on opportunities even against a favored Warriors side. The 1% edge at True 52% provides the necessary confidence for this lean in a matchup that favors controlled scoring bursts from both teams.

The New Zealand Warriors host the St George Illawarra Dragons at Go Media Stadium in Round 20, a contest that pits the competition’s stingiest defence against a side still searching for consistency on the road. The Warriors enter as clear favourites, and the numbers explain why. The Warriors have averaged 24 points scored and just 16.4 conceded across the season, with their last five games producing a 24-16.4 average margin in their two wins. Their defensive display in the 32-6 victory stands out, while the attack has shown explosive potential, posting 38 points in one outing. In contrast, the Dragons have managed only two wins in five, averaging 20.4 points for and 23.2 against. Their results have been tight in defeat, but the three losses by double figures underline vulnerability away from home. Statistically the gap is clear. The Warriors are scoring four points per game more than the Dragons while conceding nearly seven fewer. Recent try tallies reinforce the trend: the Warriors have crossed for 21 tries in their last five matches compared with the Dragons’ 18. The home side’s ability to control territory and complete sets should be accentuated at Go Media Stadium, where they have historically been difficult to beat. Betting markets reflect the disparity. The Warriors are trading between $1.16 and $1.21, with the Dragons at $4.60–$5.20. The line sits at Warriors –14.5 or –15.5, and the total hovers around 46.5–47.5. Those numbers suggest bookmakers expect the Warriors to control territory and limit the Dragons to low-teen scoring. Tactically, the Warriors will look to exploit the Dragons’ recent lapses in goal-line defence and use their forward pack to dominate the middle third. The Dragons must improve completion rates and reduce errors if they are to stay competitive, yet their season averages suggest this remains an ongoing issue on the road. A 14–20 point victory for the Warriors appears the most probable outcome. Expect them to lead at half-time and pull away in the final 20 minutes behind superior field position and defensive organisation.

The New Zealand Warriors face the St George Illawarra Dragons with the home side projected to dominate. The Warriors -15.5 spread at 78% True and 8% Edge signals a clear margin of victory driven by superior attack. This shape aligns directly with the player props. Alofiana Khan-Pereira Anytime Try Scorer at 68% True and 5% Edge plus Dallin Watene-Zelezniak Anytime Try Scorer at 65% True and 3% Edge both reinforce sustained Warriors pressure that should stretch the Dragons defence. Together the bets paint one outcome: the Warriors control territory, generate repeat sets and cross multiple times while the Dragons struggle to score away. The spread and both try props sit on the same side of the ledger, confirming the expected blowout trajectory without deviation.

The New Zealand Warriors will look to steady their season when they travel to Campbelltown Sports Stadium to face the Wests Tigers in Round 19. With the Warriors sitting as clear favourites at $1.34 and the Tigers at $3.28, this clash offers a significant test of momentum for both sides. The Warriors enter with mixed recent form, recording wins in two of their last five outings. Their attack has averaged 23.6 points per game this season while conceding just 17.6, underlining a disciplined structure. Recent results show tight contests — including narrow two-point losses — alongside comfortable victories by 18 points, reflecting an ability to control games when their completion rate stays high. In contrast, the Tigers have endured a difficult run, winning just once in five matches. Their season averages of 14.8 points scored and 33.6 conceded highlight defensive vulnerabilities, most evident in a 68-point concession during their last five. Despite flashes of attacking output, such as a 36-point game, inconsistency has hampered their progress. Statistically, the Warriors hold clear advantages in both attack and defence. Their try-scoring rate in recent weeks (averaging over four tries) outpaces the Tigers, who have managed just 2.6 tries per game on average. The 45.5 total points line looks reachable given the Warriors’ offensive ceiling, though the Tigers’ home struggles may keep the score lower than expected. Betting markets reflect this disparity, with the Warriors favoured by 8.5 points at even money. Home advantage at Campbelltown offers the Tigers some hope, yet their poor recent margins suggest the spread will be difficult to overcome. The Warriors should prevail, likely by a 12-to-18 point margin. Expect them to dominate territory and limit the Tigers’ opportunities through strong defensive sets.

New Zealand Warriors face Wests Tigers with a clear season form edge against a side poor in attack. The approved Warriors -8.5 play at 1.91 captures this mismatch, supported by True 78% and 12% edge. This spread projects Warriors dictating terms through structure and control, keeping Tigers attack contained and unable to stay competitive on the line. The bet reinforces a projected shape where Warriors establish dominance early and extend the margin. Tigers limited output aligns directly with the handicap, confirming the value in the Warriors side. The True 78% and Edge 12% figures highlight how the data shapes expectations of a decisive Warriors result on the spread.

The Dolphins enter Round 17 hosting the Warriors at Suncorp Stadium as clear frontrunners, sitting on a five-game winning streak while the visitors search for consistency. With the home side averaging 37.2 points scored per game and conceding just 15.6, their attacking rhythm has been difficult to contain. The Warriors’ last-five results read W-W-L-L-W, but the underlying numbers reveal defensive resilience. They have allowed just 14.8 points per contest on average this season, with three of their five recent outings keeping opponents under 20. However, their scoring has been uneven, producing just eight points in one loss and 42 in a win, highlighting an attack that can fluctuate sharply. Statistically the contrast is stark. The Dolphins have posted 32, 30, 40, 48 and 36 points in their past five matches, regularly crossing 30. Their average winning margin sits around 22 points across that stretch. The Warriors, by comparison, have recorded margins of +30, +18, -2, -2 and +18, showing they can compete but struggle to match sustained scoring bursts. At Suncorp, home advantage adds another layer. The Dolphins have been clinical in their recent victories, converting high completion rates into points while restricting opposition opportunities. The Warriors will need to tighten their middle-third control and limit errors if they are to stay within striking distance. Betting markets reflect the home side’s dominance, with the Dolphins priced at $1.45 and the Warriors at $2.75–$2.78. The -6.5 line sits around even money both ways, while the total points line hovers at 50.5, suggesting bookmakers expect a competitive but high-scoring affair. Expect the Dolphins to control territory and field position early. If they maintain their current completion efficiency, a double-digit victory appears the most likely outcome. Prediction: Dolphins by 10–14 points.

The New Zealand Warriors visit the Dolphins with approved betting lines highlighting restraint from the hosts. Backing the Under 29.5 Dolphins at True 35% and -5% Edge indicates the home attack will struggle to breach that mark. The Warriors selection at True 26% and -7% Edge adds weight to the visitors holding their own in the structure. Together these wagers project a game shape defined by contained Dolphins scoring and viable Warriors positioning, steering clear of high-volume exchanges. The combination locks in expectations of a measured contest where both the team total and the outright line support a compact outcome.

The New Zealand Warriors will look to arrest a late-season slump when they host the North Queensland Cowboys at One NZ Stadium in Round 16. While both sides have stumbled into the mid-season break, the Warriors’ superior defensive organisation and significant home advantage make them clear favourites. The Cowboys arrive with just two wins from their past five outings. Their attack has been inconsistent, averaging only 20.8 points per game for the season, and they have conceded 25.8 points on average. Recent results highlight the problem: after back-to-back victories they were held to 12 and 14 points while shipping 26 and 40 respectively. The absence of consistent forward momentum has left their middle third exposed. The Warriors, despite losing their past two matches, remain the more threatening side overall. They average 26.8 points scored and, crucially, just 13.6 conceded. Their three wins immediately prior to the recent losses came with margins of 22, 30 and 18 points, underlining the damage they can inflict when completing sets. Even in defeat they have kept points against manageable, suggesting systemic defensive structure rather than one-off lapses. At home the gap widens. One NZ Stadium has been a fortress, where the Warriors have routinely restricted opponents below 20 points. The Cowboys’ road attack, already modest, is unlikely to find enough field position against a Warriors rush defence that has forced errors at a high rate in recent weeks. Betting markets reflect this disparity. The Warriors are trading between $1.33 and $1.38, with the line sitting at -9.5. Totals markets hover around 50.5, indicating bookmakers expect a controlled rather than high-scoring contest. The value appears to lie with the Warriors on the spread or under the total, given both teams’ recent inability to post big scores consecutively. Tactically the Cowboys must improve their kick pressure and cut their error rate if they are to stay competitive. The Warriors, meanwhile, will target early territory and look to exploit the Cowboys’ right-edge defence through structured shifts. Expect the Warriors to return to the winner’s list. A 12–16 point victory looks the most probable outcome, with the home side’s defensive discipline proving the decisive factor.

North Queensland Cowboys visit New Zealand Warriors with the home side holding clear edges on the spreads. Warriors -9.5 at True 58% and 3% Edge lines up as the primary position, backed by Warriors -4.5 at True 54% and 2% Edge. Both bets project the same game shape: Warriors controlling territory and finishing with the stronger completion rate to cover the full margin. The larger stake on the -9.5 reinforces conviction that the Cowboys will struggle to stay competitive once the Warriors establish field position. Together the plays point to a decisive home win rather than a tight contest, with the half-time line adding confirmation that the margin builds early and holds through the second forty.