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Sydney Roosters 2026 Season

Stats, Form & Betting Analysis

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Sydney Roosters
  BETTING STATS
TABLE
4 - 38
RESULT (W-L) 16 - 8
POINTS
FOR -
12
24
12
20
12
AGT -
6
25
26
50
19
TRIES
2
4
2
4
2
POWER RANK -
FORM > LATEST
W
L
L
L
L
The Sydney Roosters have hit a clear cold streak in recent weeks. Over their last five games they are just 1-4 ATS and 1-4 on the total, with four consecutive unders before a lone over. That pattern extends to the last ten, where the side sits at 3-7 ATS and a stark 2-8 on totals, underscoring a sharp downturn both against the spread and in scoring output. For the season the Roosters own an 11-13 ATS record. They have covered ten times as favourites across 20 starts but managed just one cover as underdogs in four attempts. On totals they lean heavily under at 9-15, well below the league rate. This profile marks them as a team that struggles to exceed expectations when installed as short favourites yet rarely pushes games over the number. Half-time splits reveal modest early control, with the Roosters leading at the break in only 11 of 24 games. They have been slightly stronger after the interval, winning the second half in 13 contests. The combination points to slow starts followed by improved but still inconsistent finishes, while the persistent unders trend suggests defensive structures are limiting points across both halves regardless of venue. The clearest standout remains the 64.5-point cover in round 22 against the Cowboys, when they won 82-12 as 5.5-point favourites. That result stands alone; most other covers have come by narrower margins and have been offset by several double-digit ATS failures. Right now the Roosters offer clearest value on the under side of the total. Their recent scoring drought and season-long 62.5 percent under hit rate make overs a low-percentage play, while ATS betting carries risk given the 3-7 slide over the past ten outings. Heading into their round 27 clash with the Rabbitohs on the road, the Roosters carry a four-game ATS losing run and eight unders in the last ten. Expect another low-scoring affair where staying under the total remains the most consistent angle.
SELECT A SEASON
ROUND
PLAYED
BYE BYE BYE BYE
RESULT
BYE
L
L
L
W
L
W
BYE
W
W
W
W
W
L
BYE
L
W
L
W
W
BYE
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
-
HM / AW
BYE AW HM AW HM HM AW BYE AW HM AW HM HM HM BYE AW AW AW HM AW BYE HM HM AW AW HM AW HM HM AW AW HM
PTS FOR
BYE 26 22 18 26 4 33 BYE 34 38 62 38 28 12 BYE 4 26 10 27 24 BYE 28 14 23 82 20 12 24 12 20 12 0
PTS AGT
BYE 42 28 42 18 40 16 BYE 22 24 16 24 12 18 BYE 18 0 48 8 18 BYE 12 6 22 12 18 6 25 26 50 19 0
TOTAL
BYE 68 50 60 44 44 49 BYE 56 62 78 62 40 30 BYE 22 26 58 35 42 BYE 40 20 45 94 38 18 49 38 70 31 0
AVG FOR
BYE 26 24 22 23 19 22 BYE 23 25 29 30 30 28 BYE 27 27 25 26 25 BYE 26 25 25 28 27 27 26 26 26 25 0
AVG AGT
BYE 42 35 37 33 34 31 BYE 30 29 28 27 26 25 BYE 25 23 25 24 23 BYE 23 22 22 21 21 20 21 21 22 22 0
AVG TOTAL
BYE 68 59 59 56 53 53 BYE 53 54 57 57 56 53 BYE 52 50 50 50 48 BYE 49 47 47 49 48 47 47 47 48 47 0

Match by Match

R27 : Sydney Roosters Roosters South Sydney Rabbitohs Rabbitohs
Fri 04 Sep 20:00 AEST · Allianz Stadium

1 plays

The Sydney Roosters head to Allianz Stadium in Round 27, 2026, facing a South Sydney Rabbitohs side that sits just ahead of them on the ladder. With both teams still fighting for favourable playoff positioning, this local derby carries significant weight. The Roosters enter with a 3-2 record across their past five outings. Their attack has been explosive at times, highlighted by an 82-point haul, yet they have also posted low scores of 12 and 12 in consecutive defeats. Defensively, Sydney has been the stronger unit, conceding just 17.4 points per game for the season and limiting opponents to single-digit scores in two of their three wins. South Sydney’s form has been similarly mixed at 3-2. The Rabbitohs have shown greater consistency in attack, averaging 26.8 points per game, with a season-high 42 scored in their most recent victory. However, their defence has been leakier at 25.8 points conceded per game, including two games where they surrendered 32 and 45 points. Statistically, the Roosters hold the edge in both scoring efficiency and defensive structure. Sydney’s recent try-scoring output (26 tries across five games) outpaces South Sydney’s 27, but the Rabbitohs have produced more even scoring across matches. Home advantage at Allianz Stadium should help the Rabbitohs control field position and reduce errors, a factor that has hurt them on the road. Betting markets reflect this balance. The Rabbitohs are favourites at $1.52-$1.67 across major bookmakers, while the Roosters sit at $2.20-$2.50. The spread is set at Rabbitohs -3.5, and the total points line sits at 47.5, suggesting a moderately high-scoring contest. Recent trends show both sides exceeding 50 points in at least two of their last five games. Tactically, the Roosters will look to exploit South Sydney’s defensive lapses with structured sets and quick play-the-balls. The Rabbitohs must improve completion rates and limit second-phase play to keep the Roosters’ attack contained. The Sydney Roosters are the more balanced side on current numbers, yet Allianz Stadium offers the Rabbitohs a platform to impose their own attacking rhythm. Expect a tight, high-quality affair. South Sydney Rabbitohs to win by 4-8 points.

Sydney Roosters face South Sydney Rabbitohs. The approved play on Rabbitohs -10.5 carries a true probability of 69 percent and a 2 percent edge at odds of 1.9 with TAB. These metrics project the Rabbitohs establishing control and extending their advantage to cover the 10.5 point margin. The spread reinforces a game shape where Rabbitohs dictate terms throughout and surpass the line against the Roosters. All supplied data aligns on this outcome. No other projections fit the approved play parameters for this matchup.

Probabilities

All Markets — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
South Sydney Rabbitohs -10.5
Sydney Roosters @ South Sydney Rabbitohs
1H Spreads TAB -10.5 1.90 69.0% 2.0% 0.04 T1 1u W
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
South Sydney Rabbitohs -10.5
Sydney Roosters @ South Sydney Rabbitohs
TAB -10.5 1.90 69.0% 2.0% 0.04 T1 1u W
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0

R26 : Dolphins Dolphins Sydney Roosters Roosters
Sat 29 Aug 17:30 AEST · Allianz Stadium

1 plays

The Dolphins arrive at Allianz Stadium on a mission in Round 26, carrying a perfect five-game winning streak into a clash against the Sydney Roosters that carries major implications for late-season positioning. Both sides have averaged 32 points per game this season, yet the manner of their recent results suggests a tight, high-tempo contest awaits. The Dolphins have been clinical. Their last-five scores read 36-16, 28-22, 40-32, 22-0 and 34-16, producing an average winning margin of 14.8 points. They have conceded just 17.2 points per game across the campaign while crossing for an average of 5.6 tries in those victories. That attacking rhythm, built on structured sets and quick play-the-balls, has made them one of the competition’s most consistent road teams. The Roosters, by contrast, have shown flashes of brilliance alongside concerning lapses. Victories of 23-22, 82-12, 20-18 and 12-6 were bookended by a 24-25 loss, leaving them with an average margin of 15.6 points when they win. At home they have held opponents to 16.6 points per game, but the inconsistency in their middle-third control remains a vulnerability the Dolphins will target. Statistically the contest is even. Both teams post identical season averages of 32 points scored, while the Roosters hold a marginal defensive edge (16.6 conceded versus 17.2). The line has settled at Roosters -5.5 with head-to-head odds of $1.55 for the home side and $2.47 for the Dolphins. The total sits at 47.5, reflecting expectations of an open game. Tactically, the Roosters’ ability to dominate field position through their forwards will be tested by the Dolphins’ disciplined completion rates. Any drop in Roosters’ kick-chase or ruck speed could hand the visitors repeated opportunities in good ball. The Dolphins’ current momentum makes them dangerous, yet the Roosters’ home advantage and slight defensive edge point to a narrow victory. Expect the Roosters to prevail by 6–10 points in a contest decided in the final quarter.

The Dolphins visit the Sydney Roosters where the home edge and form advantage remain clear from the outset. Approved plays center on the Dolphins T1 unit at True 35% with an Edge of -15% offered at 2.5. This selection ties directly into a projected shape featuring early Dolphins involvement that supports the total leaning slightly over. The team total call underscores Dolphins capacity to register points in the opening period while Roosters maintain overall control. Such dynamics produce a contest outline where scoring stays measured yet pushes the combined output beyond baseline expectations. The alignment between the True probability and the listed edge confirms the bet reinforces the expected game flow without deviation from available data.

Probabilities

All Markets — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins
Dolphins @ Sydney Roosters
Head To Head PointsBet (AU) 0 2.50 35.0% -15.0% -0.2 T1 1u W
Head To Head — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Dolphins
Dolphins @ Sydney Roosters
PointsBet (AU) 0 2.50 35.0% -15.0% -0.2 T1 1u W
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0

R25 : Wests Tigers Tigers Sydney Roosters Roosters
Sun 23 Aug 16:05 AEST · Allianz Stadium

2 plays

The Sydney Roosters host the Wests Tigers at Allianz Stadium in Round 25 with a clear chance to extend their dominance, as the visitors arrive on a five-game losing streak. The Tigers have managed just 51 points across their last five outings, including a scoreless performance and a 6-32 defeat, while conceding an average of 32 points per game in that stretch. Their attack has averaged only 10.2 points per match this season, with just nine tries recorded in those five losses. By contrast, the Roosters sit on a perfect five-game winning run, posting 30.2 points per game on average while holding opponents to 12.8. Their defensive structure has been particularly sharp, allowing just 64 points across those victories, and their recent 82-point explosion underlined the firepower available when momentum builds. The home side’s attack has produced 27 tries in the last five matches alone. Statistically, the gap is stark. The Tigers have lost their last five by an average margin of 21.8 points, with only one contest decided by fewer than 20. The Roosters, meanwhile, average a 17.4-point winning margin in their current streak and have won three of those games by 20 or more. At home, their defensive record tightens further, restricting visitors to an average of 12.8 points. Betting markets reflect the gulf, with the Roosters priced at $1.06 and the Tigers at $9.50. The spread sits at Roosters -23.5, with totals lined at 51.5–52.5, suggesting bookmakers expect a high-scoring home win. The value leans toward the Roosters covering the line, given the Tigers’ inability to contain opposition attacks and their own limited scoring output. The Roosters should control territory and completion rates, exploiting the Tigers’ defensive lapses. Expect a comfortable victory. Prediction: Roosters by 28–36 points.

Sydney Roosters host Wests Tigers with clear home dominance against a side struggling on the road. The Roosters -11.5 spread carries a 65% true probability and 2% edge, pointing to a convincing margin that aligns with limited Tigers scoring away from home. That same shape supports the Over 37.5 on the Sydney Roosters team total, backed by a 71% true probability and 8% edge at 1.8. Both approved plays reinforce one projected outcome: the Roosters control possession and territory to cover the line while their attack clears the team total comfortably. Tigers road form caps their output, keeping the game within the parameters of these bets rather than a low-scoring grind or a tight finish.

Probabilities

All Markets — 2 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 37.5 (Sydney Roosters)
Wests Tigers @ Sydney Roosters
Full Team Totals SportsBet 37.5 1.80 71.0% 8.0% 0.14 T2 2.5u L
Sydney Roosters -11.5
Wests Tigers @ Sydney Roosters
1H Spreads SportsBet -11.5 1.81 65.0% 2.0% 0.04 T2 2.5u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -11.5
Wests Tigers @ Sydney Roosters
SportsBet -11.5 1.81 65.0% 2.0% 0.04 T2 2.5u L
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 37.5 (Sydney Roosters)
Wests Tigers @ Sydney Roosters
SportsBet 37.5 1.80 71.0% 8.0% 0.14 T2 2.5u L
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0

R24 : Sydney Roosters Roosters Penrith Panthers Panthers
Thu 13 Aug 19:50 AEST · CommBank Stadium

2 plays

The Sydney Roosters arrive at CommBank Stadium in formidable shape for their Round 24 clash against the Penrith Panthers, carrying a five-game winning streak into a contest that could shape the final ladder positions. The visitors have won every outing since mid-July, posting an average margin of 19.4 points across those victories while averaging 33.4 points scored and just 14 conceded per game. Penrith’s recent record is less consistent. Three wins and two losses in their past five matches have come with fluctuating margins, including a pair of single-digit results and one heavy defeat. Their season scoring average of 25.2 points per game sits well below the Roosters’ output, while their defensive concession of 18.4 points per contest leaves more openings than the visitors allow. Statistically, the Roosters have been clinical in attack, crossing for an average of six tries across the last five outings. Their 82-point explosion stands out as an outlier, yet even in tighter contests they have maintained control, limiting opponents to 12 or fewer points on three occasions. The Panthers, by contrast, have managed only two or fewer tries in two of their last five games, highlighting periods where their attack has stalled. Tactically, the Roosters’ ability to win the middle third has been central to their streak. High completion rates and disciplined error management have translated into repeated field position advantages. Penrith’s home-ground familiarity offers some counter-balance, yet their recent results show vulnerability when facing sustained pressure. Without established betting lines available, the form gap points to a visitor edge. The Roosters have won by double figures in four of their last five wins, while the Panthers have failed to cover similar spreads in two of their past three home games. Expect the Roosters to control territory and limit Penrith’s opportunities through structured defence. The prediction is a Roosters victory by 12–16 points. Their superior recent scoring volume and tighter defence should outweigh home advantage for the Panthers in a contest likely to finish around a 32–18 scoreline.

Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters with the projection favoring the home side, yet the approved plays focus on the visitors. The Over 18.5 for Sydney Roosters carries a True 38% probability and -4% edge at odds 2, while the Sydney Roosters outright sits at True 26% with -9% edge at 2.58. These wagers reinforce a projected game shape where the Roosters exceed their team total threshold in the first half or overall, aligning with the half-time and full-time calls on the same side. The combination points to sufficient scoring opportunities for Sydney despite the spread and totals leaning Panthers elsewhere. Bettors backing these positions see value in the Roosters reaching the line through structured attack phases that the model identifies as probable enough to justify the stakes.

Probabilities

All Markets — 2 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 18.5 (Sydney Roosters)
Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers
Full Team Totals SportsBet 18.5 2.00 38.0% -4.0% -0.06 T3 5u L
Sydney Roosters
Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers
Head To Head Betfair 0 2.58 26.0% -9.0% -0.11 T1 1u W
Head To Head — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters
Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers
Betfair 0 2.58 26.0% -9.0% -0.11 T1 1u W
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 18.5 (Sydney Roosters)
Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers
SportsBet 18.5 2.00 38.0% -4.0% -0.06 T3 5u L
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Sydney Roosters — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Sydney Roosters secured a 12-6 away win. They took an 8-0 lead into halftime with a try and two successful kicks, then added a late try to close out the match despite the opposition scoring once in the second half.

Season Story So Far

The Roosters have put together a strong campaign, winning 16 of their 21 games and boasting an impressive +163 points differential. Their attack has clicked consistently while the defence has kept most contests tight.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Sitting in first place after 21 rounds with 38 points, the Roosters have scored 563 points and conceded 400. That +163 differential underlines their control in most games this season.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Win 28-12
  • Win 14-6
  • Win 23-22
  • Win 82-12
  • Win 20-18

Five straight victories have the side in excellent shape heading into the run home.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Roosters have been competitive against the line in recent outings, with their high-scoring games pushing totals over regularly. Away performances have shown they can cover in tighter contests when the defence holds firm.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Averaging 27 points scored and 20 conceded per game, the attack has been potent with plenty of try-scoring ability. The defensive structure has improved, limiting the opposition to low scores in their last five outings.

Player Highlights

  • Daly Cherry-Evans: Crossed for two tries and showed strong leadership in steering the side around the park.
  • Sam Walker: Kicked accurately with a penalty goal and conversion to help build the halftime lead.
  • Thomas Jenkins: Strong running display from the back, breaking the line and contributing significantly in metres gained.

Outlook / What to Watch

With top spot secured and momentum from five wins in a row, the focus is on maintaining discipline and finishing power. Expect the Roosters to keep games tight early before looking to pull away in the second half.

R23 : Canterbury Bulldogs Bulldogs Sydney Roosters Roosters
Fri 07 Aug 20:00 AEST · Allianz Stadium

2 plays

The Sydney Roosters host the Canterbury Bulldogs at Allianz Stadium in Round 23, 2026, in a contest that pits an in-form home side against a visitor showing strong attacking intent. The Roosters enter on a five-game winning streak, while the Bulldogs have secured four victories in their last five outings. The Bulldogs’ recent sequence reads wins of 30-12, 32-0, 18-6 and 36-22, interrupted by a 16-40 defeat. Their season averages of 26.4 points scored and 16 conceded reflect a balanced but not dominant attack. The Roosters, meanwhile, have averaged 34.2 points for and just 14 against across the campaign. Their five straight victories include a 24-18 win, a 28-12 success, a 14-6 result, a 23-22 thriller and an 82-12 rout, underlining both consistency and occasional explosiveness. Statistically the Roosters hold the edge in both attack and defence. They have scored more points per game while conceding fewer, and their try-scoring rate in recent matches (4, 5, 3, 4 and 14) demonstrates an ability to capitalise on opportunities. The Bulldogs’ try count (5, 3, 5, 3, 7) shows they can threaten, yet their single heavy loss highlights occasional defensive lapses that a confident Roosters side is likely to exploit at home. Tactical focus will centre on completion rates and momentum swings. The Roosters have repeatedly built leads through structured sets and capitalised on errors, while the Bulldogs rely on quick ball movement and wide attacking shapes. Home advantage at Allianz Stadium typically rewards disciplined sides that minimise penalties, favouring the Roosters’ current rhythm. Market sentiment positions the Roosters as clear favourites. A projected line in the 8-12 point range aligns with the gap in recent form and scoring averages. Totals markets may hover around 48-52 points given both teams’ attacking output, though the Roosters’ defensive structure suggests the under could hold if early errors are limited. The Roosters are expected to prevail by 10-14 points, extending their winning run while the Bulldogs will need to improve their defensive structure away from home to remain competitive.

The Canterbury Bulldogs travel to face the Sydney Roosters, where home edge and attack depth support the projected margin. Sydney Roosters -4.5 at True 68% and 3% edge captures that advantage. The Roosters team total at True 64% and 5% edge reinforces the identical game shape. Both approved plays align on Roosters control through sustained pressure and scoring output. Totals lean slightly over projection, adding weight to the team total call. This setup confirms the Roosters as the side to back on the line and their total for consistent value across the selections.

Probabilities

All Markets — 2 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters
Canterbury Bulldogs @ Sydney Roosters
Head To Head Neds 0 1.55 64.0% 5.0% 0.08 T4 ★ 7.5u W
Sydney Roosters -4.5
Canterbury Bulldogs @ Sydney Roosters
Full Spreads SportsBet -4.5 1.90 68.0% 3.0% 0.05 T2 2.5u L
Head To Head — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters
Canterbury Bulldogs @ Sydney Roosters
Neds 0 1.55 64.0% 5.0% 0.08 T4 ★ 7.5u W
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -4.5
Canterbury Bulldogs @ Sydney Roosters
SportsBet -4.5 1.90 68.0% 3.0% 0.05 T2 2.5u L
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Sydney Roosters — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Roosters secured a hard-fought 20-18 home victory. Trailing 18-8 midway through the second half, they responded with two quick tries to Billy Smith and Salesi Foketi, then held on after a late penalty miss to seal the win.

Season Story So Far

Sitting second on the ladder with a 15-5 record after 20 games, the Roosters have been one of the competition’s most consistent sides. Their attack has clicked for 551 points while the defence has restricted opponents to 394, giving them a healthy +157 differential. The side has shown the ability to win in multiple ways, mixing tight contests with occasional blowouts.

Ladder Position & Differentials

Currently second with 36 competition points. They average 27.6 points scored and 19.7 conceded per game, producing an average total of 47.3. The +157 point differential reflects a balanced squad capable of both posting big scores and keeping games tight.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Win 24-18 vs Wests Tigers
  • Win 28-12 vs Dolphins
  • Win 14-6 vs Dragons
  • Win 23-22 vs Rabbitohs
  • Win 82-12 vs Bulldogs

Five straight victories have built real momentum, with the attack exploding for 171 points across the run while conceding just 70.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Roosters have been profitable against the spread in recent weeks and have a strong record on the total when playing at home. Their games have gone over the total line at a high clip, reflecting an open style that produces points at both ends. First-half overs have also been a reliable angle.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Offensively the side averages just under 28 points per game with strong middle-third control and effective edge play. Defensively they are allowing under 20 points a game on average, showing good line speed and discipline in the ruck. The combination of structured attack and opportunistic defence has been key to their top-two standing.

Player Highlights

  • Billy Smith: Crossed for two tries in the latest result and continues to provide consistent threat on the edge.
  • Siua Wong: Strong middle contribution with a try and solid post-contact metres in the most recent outing.
  • Salesi Foketi: Scored the match-winning try and showed good line-running ability.
  • Sam Walker: Controlled the game well from halfback, landing two conversions despite some goal-kicking pressure late.

Outlook / What to Watch

With a top-two finish within reach, the focus shifts to maintaining defensive structure while continuing to find points through structured sets. Expect the side to remain competitive in tight games and dangerous when given space on the edges. Watch for continued contribution from the middle forwards and how the halves manage field position in coming weeks.

R22 : Sydney Roosters Roosters North Queensland Cowboys Cowboys
Thu 30 Jul 19:50 AEST · QCB Stadium

1 plays

The Sydney Roosters head to QCB Stadium in Round 22 carrying the form of a team in full flight, while the NQ Cowboys will look to use home conditions to disrupt their momentum. The Roosters enter with five straight wins, a streak built on disciplined defence and efficient attacking play that has kept them firmly in the premiership conversation. Over their last five outings the Roosters have averaged 23.2 points scored and just 13.2 conceded, with victories coming by margins of 19, 6, 16, 8 and 1. Their try-scoring rate has remained consistent, registering four or five tries in four of those five matches. In contrast, the Cowboys’ results have fluctuated. A 3-2 record in their past five games masks defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 22.8 points while scoring 19.8. Heavy losses of 18 and 20 points sit alongside narrower wins, highlighting inconsistency in their middle and edge defence. The statistical gap is clear. The Roosters’ season averages reflect a side that controls field position and completes sets at a high rate, limiting opponents to low-scoring outputs. The Cowboys’ home advantage at QCB Stadium offers some counter, yet their recent form shows difficulty maintaining structure when the Roosters’ forwards establish dominance early. Tries scored in recent weeks also favour the visitors, who have consistently found the line more often than their hosts. Betting markets reflect this disparity. The Roosters are installed at approximately $1.55 with the Cowboys at $2.45, while the line sits at Roosters -4.5 to -5.5. The total points line of 45.5 suggests bookmakers expect a moderate scoring affair, though the Roosters’ defensive record suggests they may keep the Cowboys below that projection. Value appears on the Roosters’ side of the spread, given their recent ability to win by double figures when in control. Tactically, the Roosters will aim to grind through the middle, using their forward pack to tire the Cowboys’ defence before exploiting edges. The Cowboys must improve completion rates and reduce errors if they hope to stay competitive, particularly in the second half where their defence has previously conceded momentum. The Roosters are the stronger side on current form and should prevail. Expect them to win by a margin of 8 to 14 points.

The Sydney Roosters travel to face the North Queensland Cowboys in a projected high-scoring contest where the visitors hold a slight road edge. This game shape aligns directly with the Over 24.5 Sydney Roosters team total. At 62% true probability and a 6% edge the play captures the expected Roosters output in an open affair. Totals leaning over reinforces the same projection, with both sides contributing to a fast tempo that pushes the Roosters past the 24.5 mark. The combination creates clear value at 1.94 odds on SportsBet in a matchup built for elevated scoring.

Probabilities

All Markets — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 24.5 (Sydney Roosters)
Sydney Roosters @ North Queensland Cowboys
Full Team Totals SportsBet 24.5 1.94 62.0% 6.0% 0.12 T1 1u W
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 24.5 (Sydney Roosters)
Sydney Roosters @ North Queensland Cowboys
SportsBet 24.5 1.94 62.0% 6.0% 0.12 T1 1u W
1st Half
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1st Half
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Scoring Tries Total
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Scoring / Totals Total
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POST GAME STORYLINE

Sydney Roosters — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Roosters delivered a dominant away performance, running in 14 tries to finish with a comprehensive 82-12 victory. They led 48-6 at halftime and added another 34 points after the break, showing no signs of letting up against the opposition.

Season Story So Far

Sitting in second place after 20 games, the Roosters have built a strong campaign marked by consistent attacking output and improved defensive structure. With 15 wins already secured, they have shown the ability to score heavily when in form while keeping most opponents under control.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Roosters occupy second spot with 36 points. They have scored 551 points and conceded 394 across 20 matches for a +157 differential, underlining both their attacking threat and growing defensive reliability.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • W 27-8
  • W 24-18
  • W 28-12
  • W 14-6
  • W 23-22

Five straight wins have kept momentum high heading into the back end of the season.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Roosters have been profitable in several markets this season, particularly on the total points side. Strong first-half scoring trends and big team totals have appeared regularly, while key players continue to deliver value in try-scorer markets when the line is right.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Attack has been the standout feature, with the side averaging 28 points per game. The 82-point haul in the latest outing highlighted their ability to break games open quickly. Defensively they have tightened up in recent weeks, holding most opponents to low twenties or below.

Player Highlights

  • Sam Walker: Kicked 12 goals and crossed for three tries in the big win, finishing with 36 points.
  • James Tedesco: Two tries and strong involvement across the park as captain.
  • Mark Nawaqanitawase: Three tries and 219 run metres in a standout attacking display.
  • Tommy Talau: Posted 215 run metres and a try while causing constant problems on the edge.

Outlook / What to Watch

With five wins in a row and a favourable run of form, the Roosters look well placed to maintain their top-two push. Expect continued emphasis on fast starts and high completion rates, with the attack likely to test any opposition line that sits off too much early.

R21 : Sydney Roosters Roosters Newcastle Knights Knights
Fri 24 Jul 18:00 AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium

1 plays

The Sydney Roosters travel to McDonald Jones Stadium in Round 21 to face the Newcastle Knights in a contest that carries significant implications for both sides’ late-season momentum. With the Roosters entering on the back of four consecutive victories and the Knights showing recent vulnerability after two narrow defeats, this matchup pits attacking consistency against home-ground resilience. The Roosters’ recent form has been defined by defensive improvement and controlled scoring. Their last five outings produced wins of 19, 6, 16 and 8 points, offset only by a 38-point loss that stands as an outlier. Across those games they averaged 20.6 points scored and 18.4 conceded, demonstrating an ability to win tight contests while occasionally conceding big scores. The Knights, by contrast, have played a series of low-scoring affairs, winning three straight before consecutive two-point losses. Their season averages of 17.8 points for and 16.8 against reflect a side that wins through discipline rather than high-volume attack. Statistically the Roosters hold a slight edge in offensive output, yet the Knights have been marginally stingier in defence. The visitors’ four wins since their heavy defeat have come by an average margin of 12.25 points, while Newcastle’s three victories were all decided by six points or fewer. This suggests the Knights are accustomed to close games at home, where small margins and strong completion rates have been decisive. Tactically, expect the Roosters to test Newcastle’s edge defence with structured sets, while the Knights will look to limit errors and capitalise on field position. Home advantage at McDonald Jones Stadium has historically rewarded consistent ball control, and the Knights’ recent two-point defeats indicate they remain competitive even when results slip. Without established betting lines available, market trends point toward a tight contest. The Roosters’ superior recent scoring average gives them a narrow statistical edge, yet the Knights’ defensive record and home venue suggest they can keep the margin under ten points. Prediction: Newcastle Knights to win by 1–6 points in a low-scoring affair.

Sydney Roosters face Newcastle Knights with a clear form advantage. The approved play on Roosters -7.5 at 1.85 odds from PlayUp reflects this edge. True probability sits at 61 percent with a 3 percent edge, indicating value in backing the visitors to cover despite the home context at Newcastle limiting the margin. This spread aligns with the projected game shape where totals stay in line and the Roosters maintain control without overextending. The Knights home setting prevents a larger blowout, keeping the outcome within the seven and a half point range. Bettors targeting this line benefit from the calculated probability that supports Sydney Roosters prevailing by the required margin in a controlled manner.

Probabilities

All Markets — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -7.5
Sydney Roosters @ Newcastle Knights
Full Spreads PlayUp -7.5 1.85 61.0% 3.0% 0.06 T1 1u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -7.5
Sydney Roosters @ Newcastle Knights
PlayUp -7.5 1.85 61.0% 3.0% 0.06 T1 1u L
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
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No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
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2H O/U — 0 play(s)
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1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
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2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
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Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Sydney Roosters — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Roosters came away with a gritty 23-22 win on the road. Trailing by two at the break, they showed real composure in the second half, scoring three tries and nailing a clutch field goal in the 78th minute to steal the result. It was a tight, low-error contest that came down to the final set.

Season Story So Far

After 20 rounds the Roosters sit in strong shape with a 15-5 record. Their attack has been sharp for most of the year, but the early-season loss by 38 points still lingers as the clearest reminder that defensive structure needs to stay tight week to week. Recent results suggest the group has found consistency and belief again.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Roosters are sitting second on the ladder with 36 points from 20 games. They have scored 551 points and conceded 394 for a healthy +157 differential, underlining both attacking firepower and a generally sound defensive platform.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • Lost to Dragons 10-48
  • Defeated Warriors 27-8
  • Defeated Titans 24-18
  • Defeated Bulldogs 28-12
  • Defeated Sea Eagles 14-6

Four wins on the trot after that heavy defeat shows a side that responds well when challenged.

Betting Trends & Performance

The Roosters have been involved in several high-scoring affairs this season. Over totals have landed in four of the last five outings, and their games average 47 combined points. They also cover the line more often than not when on the road, though tight margins mean discipline late in games remains key.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Offensively the side averages 25 points per game and has produced plenty of line breaks through quick play-the-ball and good support play. Defensively they have tightened up after the mid-season blip, conceding just 18.3 points per game across the last five outings. Errors remain the main area to clean up when facing quality opposition.

Player Highlights

  • James Tedesco: Led the way with three tries and strong running metres in the latest win, showing why he remains the heartbeat of the side.
  • Sam Walker: Delivered three try assists and controlled the tempo well, keeping the attack organised even under pressure.
  • Siua Wong: Consistent workrate with 40 tackles and solid post-contact metres, typifying the forward pack's effort.

Outlook / What to Watch

The Roosters look to be peaking at the right time. Keeping the error count low and maintaining the same defensive intensity from the last month will be crucial. If the spine stays fit and the forwards keep winning the middle, they remain genuine premiership contenders heading into the back end of the year.

R20 : Melbourne Storm Storm Sydney Roosters Roosters
Fri 17 Jul 20:00 AEST · Allianz Stadium

4 plays

Melbourne Storm head to Allianz Stadium in Round 20 facing a Sydney Roosters side that has rediscovered its attacking rhythm and defensive discipline at home. The Roosters enter the contest as clear frontrunners, priced at $1.28 with the Storm at $3.70. Storm arrive with strong recent momentum, winning four of their last five outings. Their attack has averaged 23.6 points per game across the season, though a 4-30 loss in that sequence exposed vulnerabilities when possession and completion rates slip. Defensively they sit at 20.4 points conceded per game on average. Roosters have posted a 4-1 record in their last five matches and boast the better defensive average at 17.2 points allowed. Their attack averages 23 points, but the standout feature is their ability to limit opponents at Allianz Stadium, where they have recorded a 0-48 scoreline and several low-teen concessions in recent home fixtures. The statistical trends favour the home side on key indicators. Roosters have scored 21 tries across their last five games compared with Storm’s 22, yet they have done so against a tougher defensive standard. Melbourne’s heavy defeat in their recent form run and the Roosters’ superior points-against average suggest the visitors will struggle to control field position over eighty minutes. Bookmakers have set the total at 44.5 points and the handicap at Roosters -11.5, reflecting both the expected scoring volume and the perceived gap in quality. The market implies Roosters will win with something to spare, consistent with their home defensive record and Storm’s recent concession spikes. Sydney Roosters should prevail by a margin of 10 to 14 points. Their combination of home advantage, tighter defensive structure and favourable betting metrics points to a controlled performance that keeps Melbourne’s attack below its season average while the Roosters’ own scoring output stays near or slightly above theirs.

Sydney Roosters host Melbourne Storm with a clear home edge. The Roosters -11.5 bet at 58% True and 10% edge projects the home side controlling territory and finishing ahead while Storm's road attack remains limited. The Over 43.5 total at 58% True and 9% edge reinforces the same shape, with points flowing from sustained Roosters pressure and Storm unable to slow the game. First-half overs at 51% and 54% True add weight to early scoring before the margin stretches. Together the approved plays outline Roosters covering the spread in a game that exceeds the total, driven by home dominance and restricted Storm output.

Probabilities

All Markets — 4 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 43.5
Melbourne Storm @ Sydney Roosters
Full O/U PointsBet (AU) 43.5 1.88 58.0% 9.0% 0.17 T2 2.5u L
Sydney Roosters -11.5
Melbourne Storm @ Sydney Roosters
Full Spreads SportsBet -11.5 1.90 58.0% 10.0% 0.19 T1 1u L
Over 21.5
Melbourne Storm @ Sydney Roosters
2H O/U TABtouch 21.5 1.82 54.0% -2.0% -0.04 T1 1u L
Over 21.5
Melbourne Storm @ Sydney Roosters
1H O/U Neds 21.5 1.87 51.0% -5.0% -0.09 T1 1u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -11.5
Melbourne Storm @ Sydney Roosters
SportsBet -11.5 1.90 58.0% 10.0% 0.19 T1 1u L
Full O/U — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 43.5
Melbourne Storm @ Sydney Roosters
PointsBet (AU) 43.5 1.88 58.0% 9.0% 0.17 T2 2.5u L
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
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No qualifying plays
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No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 21.5
Melbourne Storm @ Sydney Roosters
Neds 21.5 1.87 51.0% -5.0% -0.09 T1 1u L
2H O/U — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Over 21.5
Melbourne Storm @ Sydney Roosters
TABtouch 21.5 1.82 54.0% -2.0% -0.04 T1 1u L
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
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No qualifying plays
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No qualifying plays
1st Half
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Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Sydney Roosters — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Roosters claimed a solid 14-6 win at home in round 20. They took an 8-0 lead into halftime thanks to first-half tries from Siua Wong and Billy Smith, though both conversions were missed. The visitors hit back early in the second half, but Daniel Tupou's 75th-minute try and the subsequent conversion gave the side breathing room and the points.

Season Story So Far

With 15 wins from 20 games the Roosters have put together a strong campaign built on an attacking game that has yielded 551 points. The defence has tightened noticeably in recent weeks and the side sits comfortably inside the top four with a positive points differential of +157.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Roosters occupy second spot on the ladder with 36 points. They have scored 551 points and conceded 394 across the season for a differential of +157.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • W 26-0
  • L 10-48
  • W 27-8
  • W 24-18
  • W 28-12

Four wins from the last five shows clear momentum despite that heavy loss in the middle of the run.

Betting Trends & Performance

The side has been competitive on the total markets, with several edges identified on the under in their games. Player props around anytime try scorers have also offered value in recent rounds, particularly around the wing and centre options who regularly find the line.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Offensively the Roosters average 25 points per game while conceding 22. The attack has clicked in patches with strong post-contact metres and line-break numbers, while the defensive effort has improved markedly since the middle of the season.

Player Highlights

  • Daniel Tupou: 166 run metres, 19 runs and a late try in the most recent outing.
  • Billy Smith: Three line breaks and 153 run metres while also grabbing a try.
  • Siua Wong: Strong 111 run metres and 36 tackles in a high-workrate display that included a try.
  • Sam Walker: Controlled the game with 11 kicks for 238 metres and a conversion.

Outlook / What to Watch

The Roosters head into the back end of the season in good shape. Maintaining discipline around the ruck and continuing to find metres through the middle will be key, while the bench rotation has shown it can lift the intensity when needed. Expect the side to keep pushing for a top-two finish.

R19 : Parramatta Eels Eels Sydney Roosters Roosters
Sat 11 Jul 19:35 AEST · Allianz Stadium

2 plays

The Sydney Roosters host the Parramatta Eels at Allianz Stadium in Round 19 knowing a victory could strengthen their position in the middle of the ladder, while the visitors arrive desperate to arrest a slide that has left them winless in three of their last five outings. Parramatta’s recent form reads L-L-W-L-W. They have managed only 84 points across those five matches and conceded 100, with two of those victories coming by modest margins of three and nine points. Their season averages of 16.8 points scored and 20 conceded per game illustrate an attack that struggles to sustain pressure and a defence prone to lapses. The Eels have crossed for just 15 tries in their last five appearances, underlining their difficulty in converting field position into points. The Roosters enter with a L-W-L-W-W sequence. Despite an alarming 48-point concession in one fixture, they average 18.2 points scored and 18.4 conceded for the year. Their three wins have been achieved by an aggregate of 78 points, showing the capacity to dominate when the attack clicks. Sydney’s 17 tries in the same period give them a clear edge in attacking output. Statistically the sides sit close on the season ledger, yet the venue tilts the balance. The Roosters average more points at home and have restricted opponents effectively at Allianz Stadium. Parramatta’s away scoring has been muted, rarely stretching beyond 23 points in recent weeks. Bookmakers have installed the Roosters as $1.20 to $1.23 favourites, with the Eels at $4.20-$4.60. The line sits at Roosters -13.5, reflecting the expectation of a comfortable home victory. Totals markets hover around 47.5-48.5, suggesting a moderate scoring affair given both teams’ inconsistent attacking returns. Tactically, the Roosters will look to control possession and exploit Parramatta’s defensive width. The Eels must improve completion rates and limit errors if they are to stay competitive. Home advantage, combined with superior recent try-scoring, points to a Roosters victory by a 12-to-20 point margin.

The Sydney Roosters host the Parramatta Eels in a matchup where the approved plays highlight strong projections for the home team. Sydney Roosters -10.5 at True 65% probability and 12% edge reinforces expectations of a substantial margin. Paired with the Roosters -4.5 at True 58% and 5% edge, these bets converge on a game shape dominated by Roosters control from the outset. The alignment across both spreads indicates consistent value in backing the home attack to cover larger deficits. This setup projects the Roosters dictating terms against the Eels, with the higher edge on the -10.5 underscoring greater confidence in an extended lead. Overall the plays paint a picture of Sydney maintaining pressure to exceed the key handicap thresholds.

Probabilities

All Markets — 2 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -10.5
Parramatta Eels @ Sydney Roosters
Full Spreads PointsBet (AU) -10.5 1.95 65.0% 12.0% 0.22 T3 5u W
Sydney Roosters -4.5
Parramatta Eels @ Sydney Roosters
1H Spreads SportsBet -4.5 1.92 58.0% 5.0% 0.09 T1 1u L
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -10.5
Parramatta Eels @ Sydney Roosters
PointsBet (AU) -10.5 1.95 65.0% 12.0% 0.22 T3 5u W
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -4.5
Parramatta Eels @ Sydney Roosters
SportsBet -4.5 1.92 58.0% 5.0% 0.09 T1 1u L
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
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No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
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No qualifying plays
1st Half
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Spread 0

R17 : Sydney Roosters Roosters Brisbane Broncos Broncos
Fri 26 Jun 20:02 AEST · Suncorp Stadium

4 plays

The Sydney Roosters head to Suncorp Stadium in Round 17 with a clear opportunity to capitalise on the Brisbane Broncos’ alarming slump. While the Broncos have traditionally been strong at home, their current form tells a different story. The Roosters enter with mixed but competitive results over their past five outings (L L W L W), scoring 79 points and conceding 92. Their two victories were emphatic – a 26-0 shutout and a 27-8 win – underlining an ability to dominate when opportunities arise. The Broncos, by contrast, have lost all five of their most recent matches, managing just 71 points while conceding a staggering 180. Their defensive structure has collapsed, with three of those defeats by 28 points or more. Season averages reinforce the gap. The Roosters are scoring 15.8 points per game and conceding 18.4, keeping contests close. The Broncos are averaging 14.2 points scored but 36 conceded, a differential that has seen them routinely overrun. The Roosters have also shown greater try-scoring threat in patches, posting five tries in two of their last five games. Betting markets have installed the Roosters as clear favourites, with SportsBet listing them at $1.48 to win and offering -7.5 at $1.89. The total points line sits at 49.5, reflecting expectations of a moderate scoring affair despite Brisbane’s porous defence. The spread suggests bookmakers anticipate the Roosters will win convincingly, even accounting for home advantage. Tactically, the Broncos will need to arrest their completion rate and reduce errors if they are to challenge. Their attack has lacked consistency, rarely posting big scores even against weaker opposition. The Roosters, meanwhile, will look to control territory and exploit Brisbane’s defensive lapses through structured sets. A disciplined performance from the Roosters should see them secure victory. Expect them to win by a margin of 10 to 14 points.

Sydney Roosters travel to face Brisbane Broncos with a clear edge on attack. The approved plays lock in that projection. Roosters -3.5 at T2 carries 54% True and 3% Edge while the T1 leg shows 53% True and 2% Edge, both pointing to Roosters controlling the scoreboard. The T3 Roosters team total at 62% True and 6% Edge further cements expectations of sustained pressure. Mark Nawaqanitawase Anytime Try Scorer at 42% True and 5% Edge adds a specific attacking outlet that aligns with the spread and totals. Together the bets shape a contest where Roosters dictate territory and finish, leaving Brisbane unable to match the projected output across the full game.

Probabilities

All Markets — 4 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters
Sydney Roosters @ Brisbane Broncos
Head To Head Betfair 0 1.48 62.0% 6.0% 0.18 T3 5u W
Sydney Roosters -3.5
Sydney Roosters @ Brisbane Broncos
1H Spreads SportsBet -3.5 1.85 54.0% 3.0% 0.08 T2 2.5u W
Sydney Roosters -3.5
Sydney Roosters @ Brisbane Broncos
2H Spreads Ladbrokes -3.5 1.88 53.0% 2.0% 0.05 T1 1u W
Mark Nawaqanitawase Anytime Try Scorer
Sydney Roosters @ Brisbane Broncos
Player Props SportsBet 0 1.63 42.0% 5.0% 0.1 T1 1u L
Head To Head — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters
Sydney Roosters @ Brisbane Broncos
Betfair 0 1.48 62.0% 6.0% 0.18 T3 5u W
Full Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Mark Nawaqanitawase Anytime Try Scorer
Sydney Roosters @ Brisbane Broncos
SportsBet 0 1.63 42.0% 5.0% 0.1 T1 1u L
1H Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -3.5
Sydney Roosters @ Brisbane Broncos
SportsBet -3.5 1.85 54.0% 3.0% 0.08 T2 2.5u W
2H Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -3.5
Sydney Roosters @ Brisbane Broncos
Ladbrokes -3.5 1.88 53.0% 2.0% 0.05 T1 1u W
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
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No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
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1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total
Try Scorers
Scoring / Totals Total
Spread 0
POST GAME STORYLINE

Sydney Roosters — 2026 Season Page

Latest Result

The Roosters claimed a 24-18 win away from home in round 17. They trailed 12-16 at the break but responded with a strong second-half display, outscoring the opposition 12-2 to complete the comeback.

Season Story So Far

Through 14 matches the side has recorded nine wins and five losses. They have put together 360 points scored and 306 conceded, delivering a healthy +54 differential and showing they can both attack and defend with consistency.

Ladder Position & Differentials

The Roosters sit fifth on the ladder with 22 points. Their points differential of +54 continues to underpin a solid mid-season position.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games)

  • L 12-18
  • L 4-18
  • W 26-0
  • L 10-48
  • W 27-8

The pattern shows two strong victories bookending a mixed run, with defensive lapses evident in a couple of heavy defeats.

Betting Trends & Performance

The group has covered the line in several recent outings when their attack clicks, while totals markets have often gone over when they face open contests. The latest result landed inside the projected spread but stayed under the main total.

Attacking & Defensive Story

Season averages sit at 25 points scored and 23 conceded per game. In the most recent outing the attack produced four tries while the defence held firm after the interval, restricting the opposition to just two points in the second half.

Player Highlights

  • Billy Smith: Crossed for two tries and ran 194 metres in a strong attacking display.
  • Sam Walker: Kicked four goals and added a try in the second half to seal the result.
  • James Tedesco: Led the side with 119 run metres and provided strong leadership from fullback.
  • Victor Radley: Finished with 39 tackles and a high workrate in the middle.

Outlook / What to Watch

The Roosters look capable of building momentum if they can minimise errors and maintain second-half intensity. Continued contributions from the spine and edge attack will be key to climbing further up the ladder in the coming weeks.

R16 : Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Sharks Sydney Roosters Roosters
Sun 21 Jun 18:15 AEST · Allianz Stadium

3 plays

The Cronulla Sharks head to Allianz Stadium in Round 16 facing a Sydney Roosters side that remains a dangerous opponent despite inconsistent recent results. With both teams sitting in the middle of the ladder, this clash carries significant implications for finals positioning. Cronulla arrive with strong momentum after securing four wins from their past five outings. Their only blemish was a 36-12 loss, but victories of 22, 6, 22 and 2 points demonstrate an ability to close out tight contests. The Sharks have averaged 24.4 points scored and 18.8 conceded across the season, underlining a balanced attack and improving defence. The Roosters, by contrast, have been erratic. Their form reads one win, two losses, one win and one loss, with results ranging from a 26-point victory to a 38-point defeat. At 16 points per game on average this season they rank among the lower-scoring sides, though their home record at Allianz offers some comfort. Statistically the visitors hold the edge in both attack and defence averages. Cronulla’s recent games have produced relatively low-scoring affairs when they win, while the Roosters’ matches swing wildly. This suggests a contest that could be decided by middle-third control and completion rates rather than a points shootout. From a betting perspective the market has installed the Roosters as clear favourites at $1.52-$1.58, with the Sharks marked at $2.40-$2.53. The line sits around Roosters -4.5 to -5.5, reflecting home advantage and perceived class. Totals are set at 49.5-50.5, a figure that aligns with both teams’ season averages but may prove slightly high given Cronulla’s recent low-output wins. Tactically, Cronulla will look to control possession and limit Roosters’ opportunities through the middle. The visitors’ superior recent form and better aggregate numbers suggest they can trouble a disjointed home defence. Expect a tight, physical contest. The Sharks are well placed to cover the line or win outright, yet the Roosters’ home-ground advantage should keep them competitive. Prediction: Cronulla Sharks to win by 2-6 points.

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks visit the Sydney Roosters with the home side projected to control the contest. Sydney Roosters -5.5 at True 52% and 2% Edge lines up with a clear margin shape, while the half-time Roosters -2.5 at True 53% and 4% Edge points to an early lead that extends. Mark Nawaqanitawase Anytime Try Scorer at True 58% and 7% Edge adds weight to the attack focus, showing how individual finishes will help cover the full-game spread. Together the calls reinforce one outcome: the Sydney Roosters dictate terms from the first half onward, delivering the margin and the try prop against the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks.

Probabilities

All Markets — 3 play(s)
Play / Side Market Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -5.5
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Sydney Roosters
Full Spreads Ladbrokes -5.5 1.92 52.0% 2.0% 0.04 T3 5u W
Mark Nawaqanitawase Anytime Try Scorer
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Sydney Roosters
Player Props PointsBet (AU) 0 1.60 58.0% 7.0% 0.11 T2 2.5u W
Sydney Roosters -2.5
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Sydney Roosters
1H Spreads Ladbrokes -2.5 1.98 53.0% 4.0% 0.08 T2 2.5u W
Head To Head — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -5.5
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Sydney Roosters
Ladbrokes -5.5 1.92 52.0% 2.0% 0.04 T3 5u W
Full O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Player Props — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Mark Nawaqanitawase Anytime Try Scorer
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Sydney Roosters
PointsBet (AU) 0 1.60 58.0% 7.0% 0.11 T2 2.5u W
1H Spreads — 1 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
Sydney Roosters -2.5
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Sydney Roosters
Ladbrokes -2.5 1.98 53.0% 4.0% 0.08 T2 2.5u W
2H Spreads — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H O/U — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
2H Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
Full Team Totals — 0 play(s)
Play / Side Bookmaker Line Odds True% Edge% EV Tier Units Result
No qualifying plays
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
1st Half
2nd Half
Match
Scoring Tries Total